Know What They Know
🐷 PIG ROAST
💬 Word on the Street
While Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-FL) quietly added $15,001 to $50,000 in Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) to her portfolio, the real action happened after hours where Dominion Energy Inc. (D) surged 9% on NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) merger speculation and Roblox Corporation (RBLX) bounced 10% despite being down 42% year-to-date. Smart money dumped a net $4.2 billion today—with CRWV insiders alone unloading $839.8 million—while the VIX jumped 7.2% to 18.4, suggesting someone knows something the rest of us don't. Here's what smart money actually did with their capital today.
The Big Idea: When insiders, institutions, AND politicians all bet on the same stock? That's convergence — and historically, these aligned signals tend to pack more punch than solo moves. We track the smart money so you don't have to.
ETF Institutional funds adding/removing positions
INSIDER Corporate executives buying/selling their own stock
CONGRESS Politicians making trades (yes, we see you)
▲ + Buying Rising Stock: Smart money accumulating as price rises — ideal alignment
+ Buying Falling Stock: Smart money accumulating while price drops — falling knife risk
▲ - Selling Rising Stock: Smart money exiting while price still rising — warning signal
- Selling Falling Stock: Smart money exiting as price drops — confirms downtrend
The Bottom Line: Convergence + aligned momentum = strongest setups. Convergence + divergent momentum = proceed with caution. This isn't financial advice — it's intelligence. What you do with it is on you.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
KO
The Coca-Cola Company
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
RTX
RTX Corporation
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
HON
Honeywell International Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
Market volatility gauges present a mixed picture this week, with equity volatility remaining in normal territory as the VIX sits at 18.43, reflecting a modest 7.2% weekly increase that suggests neither complacency nor significant fear among stock traders. In contrast, bond market volatility surged dramatically, with the MOVE index jumping 31.4% week-over-week to 18.44, indicating growing uncertainty in fixed income markets despite absolute levels remaining historically low. The divergence between relatively calm equity volatility and rapidly rising bond volatility suggests investors are pricing in increased uncertainty around interest rate movements while maintaining relatively steady expectations for stock price swings.
Market breadth remains mixed with major indices showing participation rates below 50%, though transportation stocks demonstrate relatively stronger internal momentum at 62%. Semiconductors, Real Estate, and Energy are exhibiting clear relative strength with participation above 70%, while defensive sectors including Healthcare and Utilities are lagging significantly with participation below 30%. This performance pattern suggests a risk-on environment in specific growth and cyclical areas, though the weak overall breadth across broader market indices indicates selective rather than broad-based strength.
As of May 13, Fed net liquidity stood at $6.73 trillion, down $19.0 billion from the prior week, marking a reduction in the liquidity available to flow into risk assets. The next H.4.1 release drops Thursday, May 21, which will show whether this tightening trend continues or reverses—a key metric institutional traders watch for shifts in market conditions.
The NAHB Housing Market Index climbed to 37.0 in May, beating estimates of 35.0 and marking its third consecutive monthly gain, though the index remains deeply in contractionary territory below 50 where it has been stuck since late 2022 amid elevated mortgage rates. Net long-term TIC flows jumped to $81.3B in March from $57.0B in February, reflecting continued foreign appetite for U.S. assets as Treasury yields have remained elevated. Market focus today shifts to April housing starts and building permits data, with traders watching for confirmation of housing stabilization after permits hit a one-year low of 1.422 million in March, while tomorrow's FOMC minutes will be parsed for any signals on the Fed's rate path as the Economic Surprise Index has ticked up to +0.9, its highest level in three weeks.
Institutional positioning through ETFs showed a notable rotation into mega-cap technology names during the period, with META attracting additions from 5,253 funds while INTC and CSCO drew 5,069 and 4,791 new positions respectively, even as sentiment remained divided with significant removal activity across the same names. The flow pattern suggests institutions rebalanced within technology and communication services sectors, with healthcare name LLY seeing notable position reductions from 2,628 funds amid the broader tech-focused repositioning.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
⭐
INTC
Intel Corporation
⭐
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
⭐
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
⭐
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
⭐
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
⭐
INTC
Intel Corporation
⭐
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
⭐
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
⭐
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
⭐
Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar made multiple purchases of CARR shares, while Rep. Gilbert Cisneros added a position in DASH during the reporting period. Rep. Dwight Evans reduced holdings across multiple positions, selling AMT, INTC, and TMO.
CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
⭐
CONGRESS
DASH
DoorDash, Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
⭐
CONGRESS
MKL
Markel Corporation
⭐
CONGRESS
AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
AMT
American Tower Corporation
⭐
CONGRESS
INTC
Intel Corporation
⭐
CONGRESS
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
PWR
Quanta Services, Inc.
⭐
CONGRESS
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis Corp.
⭐
CONGRESS
Recent insider filings show concentrated buying activity at RSG with 21 insiders making purchases, followed by 10 insiders at ALKT and 9 at NOMD. On the selling side, CRWV recorded the most significant cluster with 265 insiders disposing of shares totaling $839.8M, while LTH saw 18 insiders sell $735.7M in holdings.
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
⭐
INSIDER
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
⭐
INSIDER
NOMD
Nomad Foods Limited
⭐
INSIDER
ARTV
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc.
⭐
INSIDER
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
⭐
INSIDER
CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock
⭐
INSIDER
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
⭐
INSIDER
JHG
Janus Henderson Group plc
⭐
INSIDER
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.
⭐
INSIDER
SHC
Sotera Health Company
⭐
INSIDER
Thirty-one companies report earnings today, with notable activity in PANW and KEYS showing recent accumulation signals ahead of their prints, while HD and AMRZ have experienced distribution. Yesterday's session saw BRC surge 10.4% while BIDU dropped 5.5%. Tomorrow's calendar includes 30 additional reports as the earnings season continues.
BRC
Brady Corporation
⭐
BEAT
+10.4%
BIDU
Baidu, Inc.
⭐
MISS
-5.5%
IQ
iQIYI, Inc.
⭐
BEAT
-3.4%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global Plc
⭐
BEAT
-3.4%
AGYS
Agilysys, Inc.
⭐
BEAT
+1.6%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings plc
⭐
BEAT
-0.9%
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
⭐
BPYPP
Brookfield Property Partners L.P.
⭐
BPYPO
Brookfield Property Partners L.P.
⭐
KLAR
Klarna Group plc
⭐
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
⭐
KEYS
Keysight Technologies, Inc.
⭐
VIK
Viking Holdings Ltd
⭐
OXLCP
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
⭐
OXLCN
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
⭐
VSAT
Viasat, Inc.
⭐
OXLCG
Oxford Lane Capital Corp. 7.95% Notes due 2032
⭐
ATH-PE
Athene Holding Ltd.
⭐
ATH-PA
Athene Holding Ltd.
⭐
KEN
Kenon Holdings Ltd.
⭐
ATH-PB
Athene Holding Ltd.
⭐
CMBT
Cmb.Tech N.V.
⭐
OXLCO
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
⭐
FGNXP
FG Nexus Inc.
⭐
EXP
Eagle Materials Inc.
⭐
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
⭐
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
⭐
ROIV
Roivant Sciences Ltd.
⭐
ICLR
ICON Public Limited Company
⭐
ENS
EnerSys
⭐
BZ
Kanzhun Limited
⭐
GLNG
Golar LNG Limited
⭐
IMVT
Immunovant, Inc.
⭐
CRVL
CorVel Corporation
⭐
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
⭐
Smart money flows reveal a concentrated technology rotation as institutional investors repositioned into mega-cap names, with Meta Platforms (META) drawing additions from 5,253 funds while Intel (INTC) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) attracted 5,069 and 4,791 new positions respectively, even as these same stocks saw significant removal activity indicating active rebalancing rather than uniform conviction. On the congressional front, Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar made multiple purchases of Carrier Global (CARR) shares while Rep. Gilbert Cisneros added a position in DoorDash (DASH), and Rep. Dwight Evans reduced exposure by selling American Tower (AMT), Intel (INTC), and Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO). Corporate insiders showed the most concentrated buying at Republic Services (RSG) with 21 insiders making purchases, followed by 10 insiders at Alkami Technology (ALKT) and 9 at Nomad Foods (NOMD), while Crown Electrokinetics (CRWV) recorded the heaviest selling with 265 insiders disposing of $839.8 million in shares and Lantheus Holdings (LTH) saw 18 insiders sell $735.7 million in holdings. Market regime signals remain mixed as equity volatility holds steady with the VIX at 18.43 following a modest 7.2% weekly increase, while bond market volatility surged dramatically with the MOVE index jumping 31.4% week-over-week to 18.44, a divergence that suggests investors are pricing increased uncertainty around interest rate movements while maintaining relatively calm expectations for equity price swings. Breadth indicators show selective strength rather than broad participation, with major indices posting participation rates below 50% even as semiconductors, real estate, and energy sectors exhibit clear relative strength with participation above 70%, while defensive sectors including healthcare and utilities lag significantly with participation below 30%. This pattern points to a risk-on environment concentrated in specific growth and cyclical areas, though the weak overall breadth suggests caution about the sustainability of the current advance. Today's focus centers on April housing starts and building permits data as traders seek confirmation of stabilization after permits hit a one-year low of 1.422 million in March, particularly following the NAHB Housing Market Index climbing to 37.0 in May from estimates of 35.0, marking its third consecutive monthly gain despite remaining deeply in contractionary territory. With 31 companies reporting earnings today including Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and Keysight Technologies (KEYS) which have shown recent accumulation signals ahead of their prints, and The Home Depot (HD) and Ameri Holdings (AMRZ) experiencing distribution, traders will parse results for confirmation of the selective strength pattern evident in current market positioning. Tomorrow's FOMC minutes will be scrutinized for signals on the Federal Reserve's rate path as the Economic Surprise Index has ticked up to positive 0.9, its highest level in three weeks, while net long-term TIC flows jumped to $81.3 billion in March from $57.0 billion in February, reflecting continued foreign appetite for U.S.
Key themes: Watch convergence signals closely. Stocks where insiders, institutions, and politicians agree tend to show stronger directional moves.