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Know What They Know

March 04, 2026
*Not investment advice
🔥 PRE MARKET MOVERS
Pre-Market Session • 07:00 ET • $0.0T Total Volume
📈 Top Gainers by $ Volume
AVAV +9.59% $1.2B
BBY +7.08% $1.1B
WDAY +7.16% $957M
PINS +9.27% $747M
RCAT +7.53% $541M
PLUG +23.20% $500M
ZD +48.09% $440M
KTB +20.61% $208M
TDW +9.77% $173M
SEM +8.40% $164M
📉 Top Losers by $ Volume
LITE -11.34% $5.0B
MDB -22.24% $3.1B
SE -16.53% $3.1B
CRDO -14.81% $1.9B
HL -11.90% $623M
CDE -10.47% $497M
MOD -10.98% $350M
STNE -19.38% $301M
ACHR -10.64% $290M
UUUU -10.61% $282M

🐷 PIG ROAST

KTB +20.6% fool.com: Wrangler crushes Q4 earnings with $1.73 EPS beat and massive revenue smash, rocketing 20.6% to $78.18—Helly Hansen buy paying off big, cowboys cashing in.
TDW +9.8% seekingalpha.com: Tidewater's Q4 EPS explodes to $4.44 vs $0.77 expected, revenue edges out too—up 9.8% to $87.67 on acquisition buzz, oil boats printing money.
INGM +14.3% defenseworld.net: Board greenlights buybacks, sending INGM soaring 14.3% to $24.41—nothing says "we love our stock" like the company hoarding its own shares like a tech dragon.
QMMM +19.4% globenewswire.com: Nasdaq delinquency slap? Who cares—QMMM blasts 19.4% to $119.40, still up insane 16,301% in a year, down 61% from peak delusion.
INTA +11.5% businesswire.com: Partner awards spark 11.5% pop to $26.14 despite 63% YTD bloodbath—false hope trophy for the terminally down 66% from highs.
LITE -11.3% 247wallst.com: AI darlings implode, LITE craters 11.3% to $69.43 amid sector hangover—up 599% in a year? Enjoy the 5-bill vol while it lasts.
MDB -22.2% gurufocus.com: Q4 EPS beat at $1.65, yet tanks 22.2% to $252.73—YTD -29%, down 43% from highs, market shrugs at your "strong" results like a bad date.
SE -16.5% seekingalpha.com: Earnings miss EPS $0.85 vs $0.90 est despite revenue beat, plunges 16.5% to $87.82—YTD -19%, down 56% from highs, Shopee panic party rages.
CRDO -14.8% seekingalpha.com: Beats Q3 with 200% revenue surge and guidance raise, still dives 14.8% to $97.30—YTD -21%, down 54% from highs, AI trade's brutal wake-up.
AG -10.2% [zacks.com](https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2876847/paas-vs-ag-which-silver-mining-stock-should-you-bet-on?cid=CS-STOCKNEWSAPI-FT-analyst_blog|most_popular_stocks-287684

💬 Word on the Street

While Rep. Virginia Foxx purchased Alliance Resource Partners LP (ARLP) in the $1,001 to $15,000 range, 63 insiders at Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) collectively dumped $458.4 million worth of shares—the kind of exodus that makes you wonder what they're seeing on the horizon. After hours, Kontoor Brands Inc. (KBI) surged 20.6% to $78.18 on a monster earnings beat, Tidewater Inc. (TDW) jumped 9.8% to $87.67 after quadrupling expected EPS, and Ingram Micro Holding Corporation (INGM) rocketed 14.3% to $24.41 on a fresh buyback authorization, while overall smart money posted a $725.8 million net outflow with $2.1 billion in sales swamping $1.4 billion in purchases. Here's what smart money is doing today.

30
Accumulation
0
Distribution
📈 64.0%
SPY Strength
😱 21.4 ↑
VIX
💧 $6.61T ↑
Fed Liquidity
💰 $1.4B
Smart Money Buying
💸 $2.1B
Smart Money Selling
📉 $725.8M
Net Outflow
🌤️ MARKET WEATHER
Presidential Cycle: Year 2 (2nd Term Year 2) • Donald Trump (R)

We're 45 days into Year 2 of Trump's second term, and equities are running slightly ahead of the typical second-year script—SPY is tracking 1% above the historical average for this point in the cycle, though it's worth noting that Year 2 tends to be the weakest of the four-year pattern with full-year gains averaging just 3.5%. The seasonal data suggests another 1.5% could materialize by mid-March if this year follows the typical Q1 trajectory, though QQQ is currently flat versus its historical Year 2 benchmark while SPY shows modest outperformance. Smart money will be watching whether the current positioning holds through the traditionally choppier summer months that tend to characterize midterm years before the typical late-year rally into Year 3, which historically has been the strongest performer in the presidential cycle.

SPY -0.2% YTD
30% 10% -25% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 5.6% -3.7% 1.8% -0.8%
2026 Actual
2nd Term Year 2 Avg
Year 2 Projection
vs 2nd Term Year 2: +1.0%
vs 20yr Seasonal: +0.3%
Day: 45 / 252
QQQ -1.8% YTD
30% 10% -25% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 5.5% -5.9% 3.3% -2.6%
2026 Actual
2nd Term Year 2 Avg
Year 2 Projection
vs 2nd Term Year 2: -0.0%
vs 20yr Seasonal: -1.8%
Day: 45 / 252
📊 2nd Term Year 2 years historically average 3.5% for SPY. Current YTD: -0.2%
📖 HOW TO READ THIS REPORT

The Big Idea: When insiders, institutions, AND politicians all bet on the same stock? That's convergence — and historically, these aligned signals tend to pack more punch than solo moves. We track the smart money so you don't have to.

Signal Badges

ETF Institutional funds adding/removing positions
INSIDER Corporate executives buying/selling their own stock
CONGRESS Politicians making trades (yes, we see you)

Momentum Icons

+ Buying Rising Stock: Smart money accumulating as price rises — ideal alignment
+ Buying Falling Stock: Smart money accumulating while price drops — falling knife risk
- Selling Rising Stock: Smart money exiting while price still rising — warning signal
- Selling Falling Stock: Smart money exiting as price drops — confirms downtrend

The Bottom Line: Convergence + aligned momentum = strongest setups. Convergence + divergent momentum = proceed with caution. This isn't financial advice — it's intelligence. What you do with it is on you.

📚 Jargon Buster

Yield

The little treat your money gets for sitting still. Bonds, dividends, staking—basically interest but sexier.

🎯 SMART MONEY CONVERGENCE
📈 Accumulation Detected (10)
TSLA Tesla, Inc. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -4.2% 3M -12.6% 1Y -4.8%
3 member(s) purchased N/A • 27 insiders purchased $142795.2M • 583 ETFs increased positions
ORCL Oracle Corporation CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +2.0% 3M -46.8% 1Y -19.5%
4 member(s) purchased N/A • 4 insiders purchased $1400.0M • 424 ETFs increased positions
CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -25.7% 3M -40.2%
2 member(s) purchased N/A • 24 insiders purchased $181.2M • 132 ETFs increased positions
KO The Coca-Cola Company CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -1.7% 3M +14.3% 1Y +32.8%
8 member(s) purchased N/A • 14 insiders purchased $138.4M • 381 ETFs increased positions
EMR Emerson Electric Co. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -2.8% 3M +10.6% 1Y +13.7%
1 member(s) purchased N/A • 10 insiders purchased $134.9M • 209 ETFs increased positions
ABT Abbott Laboratories CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -0.9% 3M -10.1% 1Y -6.6%
4 member(s) purchased N/A • 13 insiders purchased $116.2M • 357 ETFs increased positions
FDS FactSet Research Systems Inc. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +11.1% 3M -22.0% 1Y -51.5%
9 member(s) purchased N/A • 24 insiders purchased $111.1M • 152 ETFs increased positions
JNJ Johnson & Johnson CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +0.2% 3M +29.0% 1Y +73.5%
2 member(s) purchased N/A • 12 insiders purchased $104.5M • 363 ETFs increased positions
DASH DoorDash, Inc. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +6.7% 3M -31.1% 1Y -4.2%
7 member(s) purchased N/A • 11 insiders purchased $100.3M • 239 ETFs increased positions
UNP Union Pacific Corporation CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +0.2% 3M +21.5% 1Y +9.7%
3 member(s) purchased N/A • 34 insiders purchased $64.7M • 307 ETFs increased positions
😱 VOLATILITY & FEAR

Equity volatility remains elevated with the VIX at 21.44, reflecting continued investor uncertainty in stock markets, though the 2.0% weekly increase suggests fear levels are holding relatively steady rather than accelerating. In contrast, bond market volatility told a different story as the MOVE index jumped 29.3% week-over-week to 13.74, though it remains at historically low absolute levels, indicating fixed income traders are beginning to price in more uncertainty after an extended period of calm. The divergence between elevated equity volatility and still-subdued bond volatility suggests investors are navigating mixed signals about economic conditions and policy outlooks.

VIX
21.44
2.0% WoW
📈
Elevated
MOVE
13.74
29.3% WoW
📈
Low

|| Market Sutra ||

"Low conviction creates high volatility."

— 2015–2016 chop reflected uncertainty around China and oil.

📊 MARKET REGIME

Traditional value sectors are showing unusual strength, with Materials, Utilities, and Energy leading the market while growth-oriented sectors like Technology and Communication Services lag significantly behind. The breadth divergence is notable, as the transport-heavy IYT displays stronger participation at 77% compared to the tech-concentrated QQQ at just 48%, suggesting institutional rotation into economically sensitive and defensive areas. This positioning indicates a shift away from the growth trade that dominated recent years, with money flows favoring companies tied to physical assets and infrastructure over digital platforms.

Sector Strength
🧱 Materials
100.0%
-2.7%
⚡ Utilities
96.8%
-0.3%
⛽ Energy
90.9%
+2.6%
🛒 Consumer Staples
88.9%
-2.2%
🏠 Real Estate
77.4%
-0.1%
🏭 Industrials
73.4%
-0.9%
🛍️ Consumer Discretionary
63.3%
-2.0%
🔌 Semiconductors
60.0%
-6.7%
🏥 Healthcare
56.7%
-0.7%
📡 Communication
43.5%
+1.5%
🏦 Financials
43.2%
+0.5%
💻 Technology
37.1%
-2.0%
📈 INDEX BREADTH
SPY
64.0%
BULLISH
QQQ
48.5%
NEUTRAL
DIA
56.7%
NEUTRAL
IYT
76.7%
BULLISH
💧 FED LIQUIDITY
Net Liquidity: $6.61 Trillion
↑ $0.4B WoW

# Fed Liquidity Update As of February 25, the Fed's net liquidity stands at $6.61 trillion, up $0.4 billion from the prior week, indicating essentially flat conditions in the financial system's available liquidity. The next H.4.1 report releases Thursday, March 5, which will show whether this stability continues or if the Fed's balance sheet operations shift market liquidity levels in either direction.

📅 ECONOMIC CALENDAR Surprise Index: +1.3

Yesterday's API crude oil inventory data showed stockpiles rose by 5.6 million barrels, a notable deceleration from the prior week's 11.4 million barrel build, suggesting demand may be stabilizing after last week's outsized accumulation. Today's calendar centers on the ISM Services PMI (expected at 53.5 versus 53.8 prior) and the prices paid component that held at an elevated 66.6 last month—traders will be parsing whether services inflation pressures are finally easing after that reading marked one of the highest prints since mid-2022. Tomorrow's initial jobless claims forecast of 215,000 versus 212,000 prior and the Q4 productivity revision (4.0% expected versus 4.9% prior) will test whether the labor market remains tight enough to keep the Fed hawkish, while unit labor costs are projected to improve to -0.7% from -1.9%, which would represent the second consecutive quarterly decline and the best back-to-back performance since 2020.

Yesterday — Tuesday, March 03
5 events
21:30 API Crude Oil Stock Change (Feb/27) 5.6 vs None est
Today — Wednesday, March 04
13 events · 13 upcoming
08:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Feb) prev 50.3
08:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Feb) prev 66.6
08:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Feb) prev 53.8
12:00 MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Feb/27) prev 6.09
12:00 Beige Book Pending
13:15 ADP Employment Change (Feb) est 19.0K / prev 22.0K
15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Feb) prev 50.3
15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Feb) est 53.5 / prev 53.8
15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Feb) prev 66.6
15:00 ISM Services PMI (Feb) est 53.0 / prev 53.8
15:30 EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Feb/27) prev 15.989
15:30 EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Feb/27) prev -1.011
19:00 Beige Book Pending
Tomorrow — Thursday, March 05
10 events · 0 high impact
13:30 Export Prices MoM (Jan) est 0.4% / prev 0.3%
13:30 Exports (Jan) prev 287.3B
13:30 Import Prices MoM (Jan) est 0.2% / prev 0.1%
13:30 Imports prev 357.6B
13:30 Unit Labour Costs QoQ (Q4) est -0.7% / prev -1.9%
13:30 Balance of Trade (Jan) prev -70.3B
13:30 Nonfarm Productivity QoQ (Q4) est 4.0% / prev 4.9%
13:30 Imports (Jan) prev 357.6B
13:30 Initial Jobless Claims (Feb/28) est 215.0K / prev 212.0K
18:15 Fed Bowman Speech Pending
🏦 INSTITUTIONAL FLOW

# Institutional Flow Summary Exchange-traded funds demonstrated mixed positioning in technology holdings during the latest period, with 596 ETFs adding Broadcom (AVGO) exposure while 430 reduced it, and 583 funds increasing Tesla (TSLA) positions as 406 trimmed them. The data reveals balanced institutional activity across the sector, with semiconductor exposure (Micron at 569 adds) seeing particular accumulation even as some funds simultaneously reduced positions in mega-cap software names like Microsoft.

Top Buying
AVGO Broadcom Inc.
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -3.6% 3M -8.8% 1Y +31.0%
596 ETFs • 0 shares
TSLA Tesla, Inc.
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -4.2% 3M -12.6% 1Y -4.8%
583 ETFs • 0 shares
MU Micron Technology, Inc.
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -9.2% 3M +83.7% 1Y +263.2%
569 ETFs • 0 shares
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +3.8% 3M -22.3% 1Y -8.9%
533 ETFs • 0 shares
INTC Intel Corporation
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -6.5% 3M +12.9% 1Y +99.8%
470 ETFs • 0 shares
Top Selling
AVGO Broadcom Inc.
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -3.6% 3M -8.8% 1Y +31.0%
430 ETFs • 0 shares
TSLA Tesla, Inc.
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -4.2% 3M -12.6% 1Y -4.8%
406 ETFs • 0 shares
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
- Selling Falling Stock 5D +3.8% 3M -22.3% 1Y -8.9%
359 ETFs • 0 shares
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc.
- Selling Falling Stock 5D +14.3% 3M -18.4% 1Y +86.4%
299 ETFs • 0 shares
ABBV AbbVie Inc.
- Selling Rising Stock 5D +2.3% 3M +2.4% 1Y +40.4%
296 ETFs • 0 shares
🏛️ CONGRESSIONAL TRADES

Congressional representatives made several notable transactions across energy, technology, and consumer sectors. Rep. Tim Moore purchased shares of DNUT while simultaneously reducing his position in COIN, while other members added positions in ARLP and AAPL or trimmed holdings in financial services (STT) and consumer staples (HSY).

Top Buying
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. CONGRESS
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +2.3% 3M +15.6% 1Y +3.7%
Rep. Virginia Foxx (Virginia Foxx) • $1,001 - $15,000
AAPL Apple Inc. CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -3.1% 3M +1.7% 1Y +18.4%
Rep. Cleo Fields (Cleo Fields) • $1,001 - $15,000
DNUT Krispy Kreme, Inc. CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +19.3% 3M -14.1% 1Y -59.5%
Rep. Tim Moore (Tim Moore) • $1,001 - $15,000
SMPL The Simply Good Foods Company CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -6.1% 3M -21.2% 1Y -56.8%
Rep. Tim Moore (Tim Moore) • $15,001 - $50,000
PGR The Progressive Corporation CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +3.5% 3M -3.3% 1Y -10.8%
Rep. David Taylor (David Taylor) • $1,001 - $15,000
Top Selling
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D +12.6% 3M -43.5% 1Y -38.4%
Rep. Tim Moore (Tim Moore) • $1,001 - $15,000
STT State Street Corporation CONGRESS
- Selling Rising Stock 5D -1.0% 3M +9.9% 1Y +32.1%
Rep. Jake Auchincloss (Jake Auchincloss) • $15,001 - $50,000
HSY The Hershey Company CONGRESS
- Selling Rising Stock 5D +1.7% 3M +30.0% 1Y +61.4%
Rep. Scott Mr Franklin (Scott Mr Franklin) • $1,001 - $15,000
HSY The Hershey Company CONGRESS
- Selling Rising Stock 5D +1.7% 3M +30.0% 1Y +61.4%
Rep. Scott Mr Franklin (Scott Mr Franklin) • $1,001 - $15,000
WAT Waters Corporation CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -4.3% 3M -12.2% 1Y -24.4%
Rep. Debbie Dingell (Debbie Dingell) • $1,001 - $15,000
👔 INSIDER ACTIVITY

Insider activity showed balanced signals this week with 15 accumulation versus 15 distribution events, though notable clustering occurred at Coca-Cola where 11 insiders purchased shares and at Vistra where 6 insiders added positions. On the distribution side, Royal Caribbean saw the most concentrated activity with 63 insiders selling a combined $458.4 million, followed by Walmart's 12 insiders disposing of $389.5 million in shares.

Cluster Buying
PSA Public Storage INSIDER
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +0.7% 3M +1.1% 1Y +9.5%
2 insiders • $235.7M
VST Vistra Corp. INSIDER
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -5.8% 3M -15.5% 1Y -15.4%
6 insiders • $148.9M
KO The Coca-Cola Company INSIDER
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -1.7% 3M +14.3% 1Y +32.8%
11 insiders • $137.4M
WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation INSIDER
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +1.4% 3M -1.9% 1Y +31.0%
18 insiders • $135.5M
ABT Abbott Laboratories INSIDER
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -0.9% 3M -10.1% 1Y -6.6%
10 insiders • $113.1M
Heavy Selling
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. INSIDER
- Selling Rising Stock 5D -4.8% 3M -4.9% 1Y +27.7%
63 insiders • $458.4M
WMT Walmart Inc. INSIDER
- Selling Rising Stock 5D +0.9% 3M +19.9% 1Y +37.7%
12 insiders • $389.5M
INVX Innovex International, Inc. INSIDER
- Selling Rising Stock 5D -11.0% 3M +25.8% 1Y +52.7%
14 insiders • $326.1M
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. INSIDER
- Selling Falling Stock 5D +14.3% 3M -18.4% 1Y +86.4%
36 insiders • $137.7M
WYNN Wynn Resorts, Limited INSIDER
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -6.5% 3M -18.3% 1Y +21.4%
4 insiders • $119.2M
📅 EARNINGS CALENDAR

Today 479 companies report earnings, with institutional accumulation patterns present in INCO.JK and ADRO.JK ahead of their releases. Distribution signals have emerged in GGAL.BA and TECO2.BA, suggesting smart money has reduced positions before their reports. Yesterday's session saw significant volatility with VTTGF surging 50.3% while DRVN dropped 34.1% and BEI.DE declined 23.9%.

📊 Previous Earnings — March 03, 2026
365 reported • ✅ 45 beats❌ 21 misses
VTTGF VAT Group AG BEAT +50.3%
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $4.92 vs $4.77 est (+3.1%)
DRVN Driven Brands Holdings Inc. BEAT -34.1%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $0.30 vs $0.29 est (+3.5%)
BEI.DE Beiersdorf AG MISS -23.9%
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $1.82 vs $1.85 est (-1.6%)
BDRFY Beiersdorf AG MISS -23.6%
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $0.42 vs $0.43 est (-2.1%)
0LF8.L Thor Industries, Inc. BEAT -19.6%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $0.34 vs $0.04 est (+865.9%)
SE Sea Limited MISS -17.9%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $0.85 vs $0.90 est (-5.4%)
THO Thor Industries, Inc. BEAT -16.7%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $0.04 vs $0.03 est (+33.3%)
PET.TO Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. BEAT -16.6%
50
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $0.49 vs $0.38 est (+27.7%)
KTB Kontoor Brands, Inc. BEAT +16.0%
50
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $1.73 vs $1.65 est (+4.8%)
PRMRF Paramount Resources Ltd. MISS +13.7%
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $-0.01 vs $0.16 est (-106.1%)
🎯 Reporting Today — March 04, 2026
479 reporting • Smart Money: 273 acc 146 dist 60 neut
INCO.JK PT Vale Indonesia Tbk
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
ADRO.JK PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
BFIN.JK PT BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
214370.KQ Caregen Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2882.TW Cathay Financial Holding Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
BAYNN.MX Bayer AG
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
ENKAI.IS Enka Insaat ve Sanayi A.S.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
FSR.JO FirstRand Limited
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
010690.KS HWASHIN CO.,Ltd
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
3653.TW Jentech Precision Industrial Co., Ltd
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2892.TW First Financial Holding Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
MOEX.ME Public Joint-Stock Company Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
THYAO.IS Türk Hava Yollari Anonim Ortakligi
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
1301.TW Formosa Plastics Corporation
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
1211.SR Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden)
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
📌 Next Earnings — March 05, 2026
299 reporting • Smart Money: 181 acc 70 dist 48 neut
OTP.BD OTP Bank Nyrt.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
LPPF.JK PT Matahari Department Store Tbk
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
1928.T Sekisui House, Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
PPRO.JK PT Pembangunan Perumahan Properti Tbk
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
PETR3.SA Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
FSR.JO FirstRand Limited
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2890.TW SinoPac Financial Holdings Company Limited
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
0I47.L Costco Wholesale Corporation
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
CTO.DE Costco Wholesale Corporation
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
📝 Today's Summary

Smart money flows are painting a picture of measured optimism with strong directional conviction, as accumulation signals hit 30 across the market with zero distribution signals registering today—led by clustering in Tesla (TSLA), Oracle (ORCL), and Crown Crafts (CRWV). Institutional positioning through exchange-traded funds shows balanced but notable activity, with 596 ETFs adding Broadcom (AVGO) exposure while 430 reduced it, and 583 funds increasing Tesla (TSLA) positions as 406 trimmed them, suggesting active reallocation rather than wholesale exits from technology names. Insider activity this week delivered mixed signals with 15 accumulation events matching 15 distribution events, though the concentration tells a more nuanced story—11 insiders purchased Coca-Cola shares and 6 added Vistra positions, while on the selling side 63 insiders at Royal Caribbean disposed of a combined $458.4 million and 12 Walmart insiders sold $389.5 million in stock. Congressional transactions reflected similar sector dispersion as Rep. Tim Moore purchased shares of Krispy Kreme (DNUT) while simultaneously reducing his Coinbase (COIN) position, while other members added Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP) and Apple (AAPL) or trimmed State Street (STT) and Hershey (HSY). Market structure is showing the characteristic choppiness of a presidential cycle Year 2 environment, with SPY tracking 1% above the historical average 45 days into this phase though the full-year outlook for Year 2 typically delivers modest 3.5% gains—the weakest performance of the four-year pattern. Volatility metrics are telling a story of divergence, with the VIX holding at an elevated 21.44 and registering a 2.0% weekly increase that suggests fear levels are steady rather than accelerating, while the bond market MOVE index jumped 29.3% week-over-week to 13.74, indicating fixed income traders are beginning to price in more uncertainty after an extended calm period. The sector rotation underway marks a meaningful departure from recent growth dominance, as Materials, Utilities, and Energy lead the market while Technology and Communication Services lag significantly—the breadth divergence is particularly striking with the transport-heavy iShares Transportation ETF (IYT) showing 77% participation compared to just 48% for the tech-concentrated Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), signaling institutional money is rotating into economically sensitive and defensive areas tied to physical assets over digital platforms. The convergence point to watch centers on whether services sector inflation is finally moderating, with today's ISM Services PMI expected at 53.5 versus 53.8 prior and particular focus on the prices paid component that held at an elevated 66.6 last month—one of the highest readings since mid-2022. Tomorrow's initial jobless claims forecast of 215,000 versus 212,000 prior and the Q4 productivity revision expected at 4.0% versus 4.9% prior will test whether labor market tightness persists enough to keep Federal Reserve

Key themes: Watch convergence signals closely. Stocks where insiders, institutions, and politicians agree tend to show stronger directional moves.