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The Edge

Know What They Know

March 13, 2026
*Not investment advice
🔥 PRE MARKET MOVERS
Pre-Market Session • 07:00 ET • $0.0T Total Volume
📈 Top Gainers by $ Volume
CF +13.21% $1.8B
LYB +10.33% $990M
DOW +9.34% $944M
CE +14.75% $368M
HIMX +10.71% $362M
FLY +12.77% $329M
UAMY +16.98% $230M
UMAC +11.64% $227M
LWLG +41.04% $220M
MEOH +8.56% $136M
📉 Top Losers by $ Volume
AAOI -16.39% $1.6B
EMBJ -12.92% $243M
NTSK -21.27% $199M
GPGI -11.09% $193M
LOAR -9.94% $119M
KLAR -11.02% $108M
IOVA -15.91% $107M
BW -11.59% $92M
XMTR -14.72% $78M
ADPT -12.45% $73M

🐷 PIG ROAST

CF +13.2% zacks.com: Fertilizer king CF blasts +13.2% to $136 on fat volume, YTD +70.6%—overbought much? Earnings upgrades tease more gains, but gravity's calling.
LYB +10.3% invezz.com: Middle East mess juices LYB +10.3% to $74.33, YTD +69.6%—chem boys party while oil stalls, analysts high-fiving supply chain chaos.
DOW +9.3% zacks.com: Dow chem surges +9.3% to $37.58 on big volume, YTD +56.6%—earnings optimism fuels the fire, but overbought? Strength's on borrowed time.
CE +14.8% 247wallst.com: Iran drama rockets CE +14.8% to $59.60, YTD +41.5%—analysts slap $81 target, turning conflict into chemical cash bonanza.
FLY +12.8% fool.com: Firefly's rocket test nails it, blasting +12.8% to $23.23 despite YTD -2.2% flop—pre-earnings hype forgives past duds, Flight 8 next?
AAOI -16.4% zacks.com: After 604% 1Y rocket to $106, AAOI crashes -16.4%—photonics AI darling questions if execution matches the 700% hype hangover.
FTAI -8.8% defenseworld.net: Fund dumps 80% stake, tanks FTAI -8.8% to $237 despite YTD +12.7%—aviation hotshot grounded by insider exit panic.
AFRM -8.7% zacks.com: Buy-now-pay-later loser AFRM dives -8.7% to $46.38, YTD -37.4%—credit fears and forum yap bury the "buy the dip" dream.
EMBJ -12.9% seekingalpha.com: Earnings miss and weak guidance crater EMBJ -12.9% to $56.68, YTD -13.4%—Strong Buy upgrade? Tell that to the plunging jet shares

💬 Word on the Street

While Rep. Gilbert Cisneros (D-CA) quietly scooped Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) shares worth up to $15,000, four insiders at NRG Energy (NRG) stampeded for the exits with a staggering $5.3 billion in sales—and that's just the tip of today's $11.4 billion net outflow iceberg. Meanwhile, as the VIX spiked 14.6% to 24.2 and the Fed pumped in $17.4 billion of fresh liquidity, chemical stocks CF Industries (CF), LyondellBasell Industries (LYB), and Dow Inc. (DOW) went absolutely vertical in after-hours trading on Middle East chaos and earnings euphoria. Here's what smart money is doing today.

30
Accumulation
0
Distribution
📈 38.0%
SPY Strength
😱 24.2 ↑
VIX
💧 $6.65T ↑
Fed Liquidity
💰 $1.1B
Smart Money Buying
💸 $12.5B
Smart Money Selling
📉 $11.4B
Net Outflow
🌤️ MARKET WEATHER
Presidential Cycle: Year 2 (2nd Term Year 2) • Donald Trump (R)

We're roughly 20% through the second year of Trump's second term, and both SPY and QQQ are tracking about a percentage point below their historical averages for this phase of the presidential cycle. The concerning part is we're also lagging the typical 20-year seasonal pattern, with SPY underperforming by half a point despite being in a period that historically adds another 1.5% by mid-March. If the historical second-term Year 2 pattern holds—which has averaged 3.5% full-year returns for SPY—the market would need to add roughly 3.7% over the remaining 200 trading days to match that baseline, though past performance obviously doesn't guarantee these seasonal tailwinds will materialize this time around.

SPY -0.2% YTD
30% 10% -25% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 5.6% -3.7% 1.8% -0.8%
2026 Actual
2nd Term Year 2 Avg
Year 2 Projection
vs 2nd Term Year 2: -1.0%
vs 20yr Seasonal: -0.5%
Day: 52 / 252
QQQ -1.8% YTD
30% 10% -25% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 5.5% -5.9% 3.3% -2.6%
2026 Actual
2nd Term Year 2 Avg
Year 2 Projection
vs 2nd Term Year 2: -2.1%
vs 20yr Seasonal: -2.8%
Day: 52 / 252
📊 2nd Term Year 2 years historically average 3.5% for SPY. Current YTD: -0.2%
📖 HOW TO READ THIS REPORT

The Big Idea: When insiders, institutions, AND politicians all bet on the same stock? That's convergence — and historically, these aligned signals tend to pack more punch than solo moves. We track the smart money so you don't have to.

Signal Badges

ETF Institutional funds adding/removing positions
INSIDER Corporate executives buying/selling their own stock
CONGRESS Politicians making trades (yes, we see you)

Momentum Icons

+ Buying Rising Stock: Smart money accumulating as price rises — ideal alignment
+ Buying Falling Stock: Smart money accumulating while price drops — falling knife risk
- Selling Rising Stock: Smart money exiting while price still rising — warning signal
- Selling Falling Stock: Smart money exiting as price drops — confirms downtrend

The Bottom Line: Convergence + aligned momentum = strongest setups. Convergence + divergent momentum = proceed with caution. This isn't financial advice — it's intelligence. What you do with it is on you.

📚 Jargon Buster

Fed Funds Rate

The interest rate banks charge each other overnight. Jerome turns this knob and the entire world screams.

🎯 SMART MONEY CONVERGENCE
📈 Accumulation Detected (10)
TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -10.9% 3M -32.7% 1Y -54.9%
5 member(s) purchased N/A • 10 insiders purchased $197.5M • 174 ETFs increased positions
AZO AutoZone, Inc. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -3.4% 3M +3.4% 1Y +1.5%
2 member(s) purchased N/A • 34 insiders purchased $187.4M • 183 ETFs increased positions
KO The Coca-Cola Company CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +0.7% 3M +10.7% 1Y +12.4%
8 member(s) purchased N/A • 14 insiders purchased $138.4M • 402 ETFs increased positions
EMR Emerson Electric Co. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -7.1% 3M -2.3% 1Y +20.9%
1 member(s) purchased N/A • 10 insiders purchased $134.9M • 237 ETFs increased positions
MCD McDonald's Corporation CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -1.1% 3M +4.2% 1Y +7.4%
2 member(s) purchased N/A • 11 insiders purchased $133.5M • 326 ETFs increased positions
RTX RTX Corporation CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -0.4% 3M +18.1% 1Y +60.7%
3 member(s) purchased N/A • 18 insiders purchased $110.3M • 336 ETFs increased positions
JNJ Johnson & Johnson CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +1.0% 3M +21.0% 1Y +49.2%
2 member(s) purchased N/A • 12 insiders purchased $104.5M • 437 ETFs increased positions
GD General Dynamics Corporation CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -1.5% 3M +6.3% 1Y +36.5%
1 member(s) purchased N/A • 40 insiders purchased $101.7M • 253 ETFs increased positions
HON Honeywell International Inc. CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -2.1% 3M +22.7% 1Y +13.7%
3 member(s) purchased N/A • 11 insiders purchased $97.9M • 288 ETFs increased positions
AMCR Amcor plc CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -7.7% 3M +397.4% 1Y +322.0%
1 member(s) purchased N/A • 16 insiders purchased $95.3M • 148 ETFs increased positions
😱 VOLATILITY & FEAR

Equity market volatility surged into elevated territory this week, with the VIX climbing 14.6% to reach 24.23, reflecting heightened uncertainty among options traders as fear levels pushed above the typical range. In contrast, bond market volatility told a different story, as the MOVE index declined 12.1% to 12.78, indicating relatively calm conditions in fixed income markets. This divergence between equity and bond volatility suggests investors are pricing in stock-specific concerns rather than broader systemic risks that would typically affect both asset classes simultaneously.

VIX
24.23
14.6% WoW
➡️
Elevated
MOVE
12.78
-12.1% WoW
📉
Low

|| Market Sutra ||

"What you measure shapes what you see."

— Investors obsessed with P/E ratios missed Amazon's cash-flow power in the early 2000s

📊 MARKET REGIME

Market breadth remains compressed with major indices showing only 37-38% of constituents above their moving averages, while transportation stocks lag further at just 14%. Defensive sectors including Energy, Utilities, and Real Estate are demonstrating relative strength with 55-96% participation, contrasting sharply with growth-oriented areas like Semiconductors and Consumer Discretionary showing participation rates below 30%. This defensive leadership pattern typically emerges when investors rotate away from cyclical and technology exposures toward more traditionally stable sectors.

Sector Strength
⛽ Energy
95.5%
+1.8%
⚡ Utilities
90.3%
-0.9%
🏠 Real Estate
54.8%
-2.8%
🛒 Consumer Staples
38.9%
-1.4%
🧱 Materials
38.5%
-2.2%
📡 Communication
34.8%
-2.7%
🏭 Industrials
34.6%
-4.0%
💻 Technology
34.3%
-1.7%
🏥 Healthcare
31.7%
-2.4%
🔌 Semiconductors
28.0%
-1.8%
🛍️ Consumer Discretionary
26.5%
-4.3%
🏦 Financials
13.5%
-4.7%
📈 INDEX BREADTH
SPY
38.0%
BEARISH
QQQ
37.6%
BEARISH
DIA
36.7%
BEARISH
IYT
14.0%
BEARISH
💧 FED LIQUIDITY
Net Liquidity: $6.65 Trillion
↑ $17.4B WoW

As of March 11, Fed net liquidity stood at $6.65 trillion, increasing $17.4 billion week-over-week, with the next H.4.1 release scheduled for Thursday, March 19. This uptick in liquidity typically correlates with easier financial conditions and increased risk asset support, as more liquidity in the system generally reduces funding pressures and provides additional capital available for market deployment.

📅 ECONOMIC CALENDAR Surprise Index: -0.3

Yesterday's data painted a mixed picture as housing starts surged 7.2% to 1.487M (well above the 1.35M estimate), while building permits dropped 5.4% against expectations of a 1.42% increase—suggesting the strong starts print may not sustain as permits typically lead actual construction activity. The trade deficit narrowed sharply to $54.5B from $72.9B (versus $66.6B expected), driven by a $14.8B jump in exports to $302.1B, while the Atlanta Fed raised its Q1 GDP tracking estimate to 2.7% from 2.1%, indicating resilient growth momentum despite tightening financial conditions. Today's focus shifts to the Q4 GDP second revision (expected at 1.4% versus the prior 4.4% print, marking a significant deceleration) and January's PCE inflation data, where core PCE month-over-month is estimated to hold steady at 0.4%—a pace that would keep the Fed cautious about rate cuts given its status as the central bank's preferred inflation gauge.

Yesterday — Thursday, March 12
23 events · 3 beats · 1 miss
06:30 Balance of Trade -80.8B vs NoneB est
06:30 Imports 356.6B vs NoneB est
12:30 Building Permits (Jan) -5.4% vs 1.42% est
12:30 Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/07) 213.0K vs 215.0K est
12:30 Balance of Trade (Jan) -54.5B vs -66.6B est
12:30 Housing Starts (Jan) 1.487M vs 1.35M est
12:30 Goods Trade Balance Adv (Jan) -80.8B vs NoneB est
12:30 Balance of Trade -80.8B vs NoneB est
12:30 Imports 356.6B vs NoneB est
12:30 Imports (Jan) 356.6B vs NoneB est
12:30 Exports (Jan) 302.1B vs NoneB est
12:30 Housing Starts MoM (Jan) 7.2% vs None% est
15:30 Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) 2.7% vs 2.1% est
Today — Friday, March 13
38 events · 38 upcoming
05:30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q3) prev 4.3%
05:30 GDP Price Index QoQ (Q3) prev 3.7%
07:00 Inflation Expectations (Mar) prev 3.3%
11:30 GDP Price Index QoQ (Q3) est 3.7% / prev 3.7%
11:30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q3) est 1.4% / prev 4.3%
12:30 Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (Jan) est 0.5% / prev 0.9%
12:30 GDP Price Index QoQ (Q3) est 3.7% / prev 3.7%
12:30 PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) est 0.3% / prev 0.4%
12:30 Personal Spending MoM (Jan) est 0.3% / prev 0.4%
12:30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q4) est 1.4% / prev 4.4%
12:30 Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jan) est 1.2% / prev -1.4%
12:30 GDP Price Index QoQ (Q4) est 3.7% / prev 3.7%
12:30 PCE Price Index YoY (Jan) est 2.9% / prev 2.9%
12:30 GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q4) est 1.4% / prev 4.4%
12:30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q3) est 1.4% / prev 4.3%
12:30 Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) est 0.4% / prev 0.4%
12:30 Personal Income MoM (Jan) est 0.5% / prev 0.3%
13:00 Inflation Expectations (Mar) prev 3.4%
13:30 Personal Spending MoM (Jan) prev 0.4%
13:30 GDP Price Index QoQ (Q4) est 3.7% / prev 3.7%
13:30 PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) prev 0.4%
13:30 Personal Income MoM (Jan) prev 0.3%
13:30 Core PCE Price Index MoM (Jan) prev 0.4%
13:30 PCE Price Index YoY (Jan) prev 2.9%
13:30 GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q4) est 1.4% / prev 4.4%
14:00 Inflation Expectations (Mar) prev 3.4%
14:00 JOLTs Job Openings (Jan) est 6.7M / prev 6.542M
14:00 Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Mar) est 55.0 / prev 56.6
14:30 Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) prev 2.7
15:30 Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q1) est 2.7% / prev 2.7%
19:30 CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions prev 172.2K
19:30 CFTC Gold Speculative net positions prev 160.1K
19:30 CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions prev 2.4K
19:30 CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions prev -168.2K
20:30 CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions prev 2.4K
20:30 CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions prev 172.2K
20:30 CFTC Gold Speculative net positions prev 160.1K
20:30 CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions prev -168.2K
Tomorrow — Monday, March 16
2 events · 0 high impact
12:30 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Mar) prev 7.1
13:15 Industrial Production MoM (Feb) prev 0.7%
🏦 INSTITUTIONAL FLOW

Institutional activity shows a split decision on mega-cap technology, with 646 ETFs adding MSFT positions while 373 reduced them, and similar two-way flow in AVGO (645 adding, 451 removing), suggesting portfolio rebalancing within the semiconductor and software space. Memory chipmaker MU attracted 594 ETF buyers amid the AI infrastructure buildout, while healthcare name GILD saw 343 ETFs trim positions, indicating a potential rotation from defensive sectors into cyclical technology exposure.

Top Buying
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -2.1% 3M -18.3% 1Y +6.3%
646 ETFs • 0 shares
AVGO Broadcom Inc.
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +1.0% 3M -17.1% 1Y +78.0%
645 ETFs • 0 shares
MU Micron Technology, Inc.
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +2.1% 3M +60.6% 1Y +356.5%
594 ETFs • 0 shares
INTC Intel Corporation
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -1.5% 3M +11.7% 1Y +128.8%
511 ETFs • 0 shares
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc.
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +0.1% 3M +22.5% 1Y +30.5%
446 ETFs • 0 shares
Top Selling
AVGO Broadcom Inc.
- Selling Rising Stock 5D +1.0% 3M -17.1% 1Y +78.0%
451 ETFs • 0 shares
MSFT Microsoft Corporation
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -2.1% 3M -18.3% 1Y +6.3%
373 ETFs • 0 shares
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc.
- Selling Rising Stock 5D +0.1% 3M +22.5% 1Y +30.5%
343 ETFs • 0 shares
ABBV AbbVie Inc.
- Selling Rising Stock 5D -3.0% 3M +1.1% 1Y +8.2%
314 ETFs • 0 shares
MRK Merck & Co., Inc.
- Selling Rising Stock 5D -0.1% 3M +20.6% 1Y +27.0%
309 ETFs • 0 shares
🏛️ CONGRESSIONAL TRADES

Congressional trading activity shows purchases in financial services, with Rep. Gilbert Cisneros acquiring Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) and Rep. April Delaney adding positions in both EMCOR Group (EME) and Nasdaq Inc. (NDAQ). On the selling side, Rep. Pete Sessions exited Verizon Communications (VZ) while Rep. Kelly Louise Morrison reduced holdings in Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) across two transactions.

Top Buying
FSS Federal Signal Corporation CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -4.9% 3M -2.3% 1Y +33.9%
Rep. Gilbert Cisneros (Gilbert Cisneros) • $1,001 - $15,000
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -1.1% 3M +14.0% 1Y +91.1%
Rep. April Delaney (April Delaney) • $1,001 - $15,000
NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -4.8% 3M -7.3% 1Y +17.7%
Rep. April Delaney (April Delaney) • $1,001 - $15,000
AVGO Broadcom Inc. CONGRESS
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +1.0% 3M -17.1% 1Y +78.0%
Rep. David Taylor (David Taylor) • $1,001 - $15,000
MEDP Medpace Holdings, Inc. CONGRESS
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -5.4% 3M -18.4% 1Y +36.2%
Rep. David Taylor (David Taylor) • $1,001 - $15,000
Top Selling
VZ Verizon Communications Inc. CONGRESS
- Selling Rising Stock 5D -1.1% 3M +26.1% 1Y +22.4%
Rep. Pete Sessions (Pete Sessions) • $1,001 - $15,000
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -10.8% 3M -14.9% 1Y -36.9%
Rep. Kelly Louise Morrison (Kelly Louise Morrison) • $15,001 - $50,000
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -10.8% 3M -14.9% 1Y -36.9%
Rep. Kelly Louise Morrison (Kelly Louise Morrison) • $1,001 - $15,000
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -10.8% 3M -14.9% 1Y -36.9%
Rep. Kelly Louise Morrison (Kelly Louise Morrison) • $1,001 - $15,000
THR Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -0.5% 3M +19.7% 1Y +59.1%
Rep. Gilbert Cisneros (Gilbert Cisneros) • $1,001 - $15,000
👔 INSIDER ACTIVITY

Multiple insiders accumulated shares at The Trade Desk (9 insiders), General Dynamics (24 insiders), and Alkami Technology (6 insiders) during the reporting period. On the distribution side, clusters of insiders sold positions at NRG Energy (4 insiders, $5.3B), Medallia (5 insiders, $2.2B), and BrightSpring Health Services (5 insiders, $1.6B).

Cluster Buying
TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. INSIDER
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D -10.9% 3M -32.7% 1Y -54.9%
9 insiders • $197.5M
GD General Dynamics Corporation INSIDER
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D -1.5% 3M +6.3% 1Y +36.5%
24 insiders • $101.4M
ALKT Alkami Technology, Inc. INSIDER
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +9.5% 3M -18.4% 1Y -23.9%
6 insiders • $101.1M
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co INSIDER
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +6.3% 3M +48.9% 1Y +220.0%
19 insiders • $75.3M
LIN Linde plc INSIDER
+ Buying Rising Stock 5D +0.4% 3M +25.6% 1Y +9.5%
9 insiders • $75.2M
Heavy Selling
NRG NRG Energy, Inc. INSIDER
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -5.2% 3M -8.8% 1Y +73.3%
4 insiders • $5.3B
MDLN Medline Inc. INSIDER
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -6.8%
5 insiders • $2.2B
BTSG BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock INSIDER
- Selling Rising Stock 5D -7.5% 3M +9.1% 1Y +130.1%
5 insiders • $1.6B
WMT Walmart Inc. INSIDER
- Selling Rising Stock 5D +1.6% 3M +9.1% 1Y +44.7%
12 insiders • $701.1M
SHC Sotera Health Company INSIDER
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -11.6% 3M -20.3% 1Y +17.1%
2 insiders • $381.8M
📅 EARNINGS CALENDAR

Yesterday's session saw significant volatility with RWE.SW surging 89.8% while GPGI declined 23.7%. Today's earnings calendar features 282 reporting companies, with institutional activity showing accumulation in INKP.JK and VAPORES.SN, while smart money has been distributing shares of BRPT.JK and ARTO.JK ahead of their reports. Tomorrow's slate includes 186 companies scheduled to report quarterly results.

📊 Previous Earnings — March 12, 2026
598 reported • ✅ 79 beats❌ 58 misses
RWE.SW RWE AG BEAT +89.8%
50
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $1.07 vs $0.39 est (+175.7%)
ACDC ProFrac Holding Corp. MISS +31.1%
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $-0.89 vs $-0.44 est (-103.5%)
GPGI GPGI, Inc. MISS -23.7%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $0.23 vs $0.23 est (-1.5%)
SCR.TO Strathcona Resources Ltd MISS +18.8%
50
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $-0.46 vs $0.54 est (-186.0%)
8240.TWO Wah Hong Industrial Corp. BEAT +17.5%
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $0.64 vs $0.38 est (+69.2%)
TIC TIC Solutions, Inc. MISS -17.5%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $-0.30 vs $0.06 est (-627.3%)
IPX IperionX Limited BEAT -15.5%
50
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $0.10 vs $-0.04 est (+350.0%)
GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. MISS -13.2%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $-0.76 vs $0.59 est (-228.7%)
CSNA3.SA Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional BEAT -12.5%
30
+ Buying Falling Stock
EPS: $0.02 vs $-0.07 est (+122.3%)
TNZ.TO Tenaz Energy Corp. BEAT +12.1%
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $3.32 vs $-0.02 est (+16700.0%)
🎯 Reporting Today — March 13, 2026
282 reporting • Smart Money: 95 acc 119 dist 68 neut
INKP.JK PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
VAPORES.SN Compañía Sud Americana de Vapores S.A.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2891.TW CTBC Financial Holding Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2885.TW Yuanta Financial Holding Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2880.TW Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2603.TW Evergreen Marine Corporation (Taiwan) Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
600989.SS Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
4958.TW Zhen Ding Technology Holding Limited
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
002916.SZ Shennan Circuit Company Limited
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
2695.T Kura Sushi,Inc.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $27.12 vs $0.00 est
186A.T Astroscale Holdings Inc
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
4369.T Tri Chemical Laboratories Inc.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $46.02 vs $43.77 est
4996.T Kumiai Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
EPS: $32.75 vs $0.00 est
1717.TW Eternal Materials Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
CHHQF China Hongqiao Group Limited
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
📌 Next Earnings — March 16, 2026
186 reporting • Smart Money: 54 acc 77 dist 55 neut
058470.KQ LEENO Industrial Inc.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
240810.KQ Wonik Ips Co., Ltd
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
140410.KQ Mezzion Pharma Co.,Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
226950.KQ OliX Pharmaceuticals,Inc
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
357780.KQ Soulbrain Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
005850.KS SL Corporation
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
ILC.SN Inversiones La Construcción S.A.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
SK.SN Sigdo Koppers S.A.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
048410.KQ Hyundai Bioscience Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
019210.KQ YG-1 Co., Ltd.
70
+ Buying Rising Stock
📝 Today's Summary

Smart money flows are revealing a nuanced picture of positioning across different investor categories. Institutional activity shows a notable split on mega-cap technology, with 646 ETFs adding Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) positions while 373 reduced them, and similar two-way action in Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) with 645 ETFs adding and 451 removing, suggesting active rebalancing rather than directional conviction. Memory chipmaker Micron Technology Inc. (MU) attracted 594 ETF buyers amid the ongoing AI infrastructure buildout, while Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) saw 343 ETFs trim positions in what appears to be rotation from defensive healthcare into cyclical technology exposure. On the insider front, concentrated accumulation emerged at The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) with 9 insiders buying, General Dynamics Corporation (GD) with 24 insiders adding shares, and Alkami Technology Inc. (ALKT) with 6 insider purchasers, while distribution clusters appeared at NRG Energy Inc. (NRG) with 4 insiders selling $5.3 billion, Medallia Inc. (MDLA) with 5 insiders offloading $2.2 billion, and BrightSpring Health Services Inc. (BTSG) with 5 insiders distributing $1.6 billion. Congressional trading centered on financial services and infrastructure, with Rep. Gilbert Cisneros acquiring Federal Signal Corporation (FSS), Rep. April Delaney adding EMCOR Group Inc. (EME) and Nasdaq Inc. (NDAQ), while Rep. Pete Sessions exited Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) and Rep. Kelly Louise Morrison reduced Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) across two transactions. Market structure is showing signs of stress beneath the surface, as we're tracking roughly 20 percent through the second year of Trump's second term with both SPY and QQQ running about a percentage point below their historical averages for this phase of the presidential cycle. The seasonal backdrop adds another layer of concern, with SPY underperforming the typical 20-year seasonal pattern by half a point despite being in a period that historically adds another 1.5 percent by mid-March, and if the historical second-term Year 2 pattern averaging 3.5 percent full-year returns were to hold, SPY would need to add roughly 3.7 percent over the remaining 200 trading days to match that baseline. Volatility dynamics reflect this underlying tension, with the VIX surging 14.6 percent to reach 24.23 as equity market uncertainty climbed into elevated territory, while the MOVE index declined 12.1 percent to 12.78, indicating that bond markets remained relatively calm and suggesting investors are pricing stock-specific concerns rather than systemic risks. Market breadth compression tells the same defensive story, with major indices showing only 37 to 38 percent of constituents above their moving averages and transportation stocks lagging at just 14 percent participation, while defensive sectors including Energy, Utilities, and Real Estate are demonstrating

Key themes: Watch convergence signals closely. Stocks where insiders, institutions, and politicians agree tend to show stronger directional moves.