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May 01, 2026
*Not investment advice
πŸ”₯ PRE MARKET MOVERS
Pre-Market Session β€’ 07:00 ET β€’ $0.0T Total Volume
πŸ“ˆ Top Gainers by $ Volume
AAPL +3.49% $129M
ANF +1.50% $76M
ROAD +9.36% $46M
ACAD +3.49% $40M
AAMI +3.88% $30M
LINE +0.46% $25M
PHVS +9.40% $24M
TRUP +3.41% $16M
NOK +5.38% $11M
APXT +0.10% $4M
πŸ“‰ Top Losers by $ Volume
SNDK -2.04% $295M
NVDA -4.36% $126M
MU -2.00% $95M
INTC -1.98% $74M
RBLX -26.31% $45M
CORZW -6.30% $8M
MGTX -1.56% $6M
NIO -2.58% $4M
GMTL -10.76% $3M
MATV -0.69% $2M

🐷 PIG ROAST

QCOM +15.1% Barrons: Beats earnings and suddenly discovers data center customers exist β€” who knew chips could be used for more than phones?
PWR +15.8% Fool: Crushed earnings expectations while already up 149% this year β€” apparently there's no ceiling when you're literally building the grid.
VIAV +15.1% Fool: Up 398% in a year, beats earnings again β€” at this point they're basically printing money faster than the Fed.
TTMI +15.1% Fool: Record quarter sends stock up another 15% after already gaining 675% β€” AI demand apparently knows no bounds.
FTAI +17.2% Fool: Misses earnings but beats revenue β€” investors apparently only care about the top line when planes are involved.
CHKP -19.6% Zacks: Beats earnings, misses revenue, tanks 20% β€” cybersecurity stocks apparently need protection from their own shareholders.
OPCH -24.3% Newsfilecorp: Misses both earnings and revenue while lawyers circle like vultures β€” healthcare just got a lot more expensive.
CHH -15.6% Zacks: Misses earnings by 28 cents β€” apparently travelers are choosing literally anywhere else but Choice Hotels.
WAY -15.4% Zacks: Beats both metrics, still crashes 15% β€” even perfect execution can't save you when you're already down 42%.

πŸ’¬ Word on the Street

Rep. Robert E. Latta (R-OH) quietly picked up shares of Farmer Mac (FMAO) worth up to $15,000 while 178 insiders at Avis Budget Group (CAR) collectively dumped $1.8 billion in stockβ€”the kind of lopsided action that makes you wonder who knows something the rest of us don't. Meanwhile, Qualcomm (QCOM) is suddenly a data center darling and Viavi Solutions (VIAV) just casually notched a 398% annual gain like it's no big deal, all while smart money recorded a $3.1 billion net outflow and the Fed pulled another $7.5 billion out of the system. Here's what smart money is doing today.

30
Accumulation
0
Distribution
πŸ“ˆ 58.1%
SPY Strength
😱 18.8 ↓
VIX
πŸ’§ $6.70T ↓
Fed Liquidity
πŸ’° $840.5M
Smart Money Buying
πŸ’Έ $4.0B
Smart Money Selling
πŸ“‰ $3.1B
Net Outflow
🎯 SMART MONEY CONVERGENCE
πŸ“ˆ Accumulation Detected (10)
META Meta Platforms, Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D -7.2% 3M -17.1% 1Y +10.6%
13 member(s) purchased N/A β€’ 42 insiders purchased $8377.9M β€’ 3272 ETFs increased positions
EQT EQT Corporation ⭐ CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +1.9% 3M +6.9% 1Y +18.3%
2 member(s) purchased N/A β€’ 24 insiders purchased $346.8M β€’ 1091 ETFs increased positions
TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS INSIDER ETF
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +4.3% 3M -24.5% 1Y -56.9%
3 member(s) purchased N/A β€’ 14 insiders purchased $197.5M β€’ 1196 ETFs increased positions
😱 VOLATILITY & FEAR

The VIX currently sits at 18.81, down 0.6% week-over-week, placing equity market volatility expectations in the normal range after recent declines from more elevated levels. Bond market volatility, as measured by the MOVE index at 15.90, fell 3.2% over the week and remains at historically low levels, suggesting traders are pricing in minimal turbulence in fixed income markets. The divergence shows equity investors maintaining moderate caution while bond market participants have grown notably comfortable with current conditions.

VIX
18.81
-0.6% WoW
➑️
Normal
πŸ“Š MARKET REGIME

The market is displaying a technology-led advance with semiconductors showing complete strength alongside real estate and financials in the top tier, while defensive sectors like consumer staples and healthcare are notably lagging. Breadth across major indices remains moderate in the mid-to-high 50% range, though transports are exhibiting a significant divergence with 84% breadth, suggesting broader participation in cyclical areas. This configuration reflects a risk-on environment concentrated in growth and rate-sensitive sectors, though the relatively muted breadth in SPY, QQQ, and DIA indicates the rally lacks widespread conviction across the broader market.

Sector Strength
πŸ”Œ Semiconductors
100.0%
+5.2%
🏠 Real Estate
90.3%
+1.0%
🏦 Financials
76.3%
+0.7%
πŸ’» Technology
74.0%
+2.3%
β›½ Energy
63.6%
+4.6%
🏭 Industrials
54.4%
+0.3%
πŸ“ˆ INDEX BREADTH
SPY
58.1%
NEUTRAL
QQQ
60.4%
BULLISH
DIA
56.7%
NEUTRAL
IYT
83.7%
BULLISH
πŸ’§ FED LIQUIDITY
Net Liquidity: $6.70 Trillion
↓ $7.5B WoW

As of April 29, Fed net liquidity stands at $6.70T, down $7.5B week-over-week, indicating a modest contraction in available system liquidity that historically correlates with tighter market conditions. The next H.4.1 release drops Thursday, May 7, which will show whether this drawdown trend continues or reverses.

πŸ“… ECONOMIC CALENDAR Surprise Index: +1.2

Yesterday's data painted a stagflationary picture as Q1 GDP came in at 2.0% versus the 2.2% estimate while the GDP Price Index surged to 4.5% against 3.8% expectedβ€”the widest miss on inflation within the growth report since Q2 2022β€”and employment costs accelerated with benefits jumping 1.2% versus just 0.4% estimated, the largest quarterly gain since Q4 2022. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE, met expectations at 0.3% monthly but the headline PCE accelerated to 3.5% year-over-year from 2.8%, marking the sharpest monthly jump (0.7%) since August 2023, driven by a robust 0.9% gain in personal spending. Markets are now focused on today's ISM Manufacturing PMI (expected at 53.0) for signs of whether factory activity can sustain momentum amid rising input costs, while tomorrow's Fed Governor Williams speech will be parsed for any shift in tone given the stickier-than-desired inflation backdrop and softening growth trajectory evidenced by the Leading Index's sixth decline in seven months.

Yesterday β€” Thursday, April 30
16 events Β· 7 beats Β· 4 misses
12:30 Core PCE Price Index MoM (Mar) 0.3% vs 0.3% est
12:30 Personal Spending MoM (Mar) 0.9% vs 0.9% est
12:30 PCE Price Index YoY (Mar) 3.5% vs 3.5% est
12:30 PCE Price Index MoM (Mar) 0.7% vs 0.7% est
12:30 Employment Cost - Benefits QoQ (Q1) 1.2% vs 0.4% est
12:30 Employment Cost Index QoQ (Q1) 0.9% vs 0.8% est
12:30 Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Q1) 2.0% vs 2.2% est
12:30 GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q1) 2.0% vs 2.3% est
12:30 Personal Income MoM (Mar) 0.6% vs 0.3% est
12:30 GDP Price Index QoQ (Q1) 4.5% vs 3.8% est
12:30 Employment Cost - Wages QoQ (Q1) 0.8% vs 0.5% est
12:30 Initial Jobless Claims (Apr/25) 189.0K vs 215.0K est
13:45 Chicago PMI (Apr) 49.2 vs 53.0 est
14:00 Leading Index MoM (Mar) -0.6% vs -0.2% est
14:00 Leading Index MoM (Feb) 0.3% vs -0.2% est
Today β€” Friday, May 01
7 events Β· 7 upcoming
14:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) est 53.0 / prev 52.7
14:00 ISM Manufacturing Employment (Apr) est 49.0 / prev 48.7
15:30 Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2) est 3.7% / prev 3.7%
19:30 CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions prev 9.4K
19:30 CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions prev -110.1K
19:30 CFTC Gold Speculative net positions prev 164.0K
19:30 CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions prev 192.3K
Tomorrow β€” Monday, May 04
2 events Β· 0 high impact
14:00 Factory Orders MoM (Mar) est 0.8% / prev 1.2%
16:50 Fed Williams Speech Pending
🏦 INSTITUTIONAL FLOW

Over 3,600 ETFs added positions in Broadcom while 3,300+ added Microsoft and Meta, suggesting institutional flows concentrated in mega-cap technology names despite simultaneous profit-taking by 2,000+ funds in each position. The balanced 10-vs-10 net institutional count indicates active portfolio rebalancing within the technology sector rather than a clear directional shift, with position sizing changes appearing more significant than pure add/remove activity.

Top Buying
AVGO Broadcom Inc. ⭐
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D -0.6% 3M +26.2% 1Y +119.2%
3611 ETFs β€’ 0 shares
MSFT Microsoft Corporation ⭐
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D -1.9% 3M -5.7% 1Y +4.0%
3391 ETFs β€’ 0 shares
META Meta Platforms, Inc. ⭐
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D -7.2% 3M -17.1% 1Y +10.6%
3272 ETFs β€’ 0 shares
Top Selling
MSFT Microsoft Corporation ⭐
β–² - Selling Rising Stock 5D -1.9% 3M -5.7% 1Y +4.0%
2325 ETFs β€’ 0 shares
AVGO Broadcom Inc. ⭐
β–² - Selling Rising Stock 5D -0.6% 3M +26.2% 1Y +119.2%
2249 ETFs β€’ 0 shares
META Meta Platforms, Inc. ⭐
β–² - Selling Rising Stock 5D -7.2% 3M -17.1% 1Y +10.6%
2096 ETFs β€’ 0 shares
πŸ›οΈ CONGRESSIONAL TRADES

Rep. Robert E. Latta purchased FMAO across three separate transactions, while selling activity was dispersed among different members. Rep. Rick Larsen reduced positions in both BR and PAYX, making him the most active seller during this period.

Top Buying
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D +1.0% 3M +2.2% 1Y +9.0%
Rep. Robert E Latta (Robert E Latta) β€’ $1,001 - $15,000
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D +1.0% 3M +2.2% 1Y +9.0%
Rep. Robert E. Latta (Robert E. Latta) β€’ $1,001 - $15,000
FMAO Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D +1.0% 3M +2.2% 1Y +9.0%
Rep. Robert E Latta (Robert E Latta) β€’ $1,001 - $15,000
Top Selling
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D -1.1% 3M -21.3% 1Y -34.9%
Rep. Rick Larsen (Rick Larsen) β€’ $1,001 - $15,000
VZ Verizon Communications Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D +1.6% 3M +20.6% 1Y +15.5%
Rep. Jennifer McClellan (Jennifer McClellan) β€’ $100,001 - $250,000
PAYX Paychex, Inc. ⭐ CONGRESS
- Selling Falling Stock 5D +1.9% 3M -9.4% 1Y -35.2%
Rep. Rick Larsen (Rick Larsen) β€’ $1,001 - $15,000
πŸ‘” INSIDER ACTIVITY

Corporate insiders at EQT Corporation showed coordinated accumulation with 24 individuals purchasing shares, while KLRA and PRLD recorded 5 and 6 insider purchases respectively. On the distribution side, CAR experienced the largest cluster selling activity with 178 insiders offloading $1.8B in stock, followed by CRWV where 334 insiders sold $1.1B in shares.

Cluster Buying
EQT EQT Corporation ⭐ INSIDER
+ Buying Falling Stock 5D +1.9% 3M +6.9% 1Y +18.3%
24 insiders β€’ $346.8M
KLRA Kailera Therapeutics, Inc. ⭐ INSIDER
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D -0.3%
5 insiders β€’ $326.8M
PRLD Prelude Therapeutics Incorporated ⭐ INSIDER
β–² + Buying Rising Stock 5D +18.9% 3M +175.3% 1Y +480.5%
6 insiders β€’ $25.0M
Heavy Selling
CAR Avis Budget Group, Inc. ⭐ INSIDER
β–² - Selling Rising Stock 5D -21.1% 3M +56.2% 1Y +96.9%
178 insiders β€’ $1.8B
CRWV CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock ⭐ INSIDER
β–² - Selling Rising Stock 5D -5.0% 3M +12.1% 1Y +160.6%
334 insiders β€’ $1.1B
RDW Redwire Corporation ⭐ INSIDER
β–² - Selling Rising Stock 5D -8.5% 3M -28.3% 1Y -18.2%
4 insiders β€’ $282.1M
πŸ“… EARNINGS CALENDAR

Sixty-three companies report earnings today, with institutional accumulation signals present in LIN and IMO ahead of their results, while XOM and CVX show distribution patterns before reporting. Yesterday's session saw significant moves in BAND, which surged 60.4%, and VISN, which gained 37.5%, while OPCH declined 28.8%. Tomorrow's calendar expands to 103 companies reporting results.

63 reporting today and 103 on deck tomorrow β€” Full earnings breakdown β†’
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