Know What They Know
π· PIG ROAST
π¬ Word on the Street
Rep. April Delaney quietly added Steris PLC (STE) to her portfolio while 42 insiders at Carvana (CVNA) stampeded for the exits with $1.9 billion in salesβthe kind of divergence that makes you wonder who knows something the rest of us don't. Meanwhile, Datadog (DDOG) rockets 31% after crushing earnings and analysts are *still* pumping the brakes, SentinelOne (S) surges on a cybersecurity beat that suggests ransomware season is alive and well, and SiTime Corporation (SITM) extends its 277% yearly run with another 28% pop because apparently timing chips have better timing than most traders. Here's what smart money actually did with their capital today.
The Big Idea: When insiders, institutions, AND politicians all bet on the same stock? That's convergence β and historically, these aligned signals tend to pack more punch than solo moves. We track the smart money so you don't have to.
ETF Institutional funds adding/removing positions
INSIDER Corporate executives buying/selling their own stock
CONGRESS Politicians making trades (yes, we see you)
β² + Buying Rising Stock: Smart money accumulating as price rises β ideal alignment
+ Buying Falling Stock: Smart money accumulating while price drops β falling knife risk
β² - Selling Rising Stock: Smart money exiting while price still rising β warning signal
- Selling Falling Stock: Smart money exiting as price drops β confirms downtrend
The Bottom Line: Convergence + aligned momentum = strongest setups. Convergence + divergent momentum = proceed with caution. This isn't financial advice β it's intelligence. What you do with it is on you.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
KO
The Coca-Cola Company
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
EMR
Emerson Electric Co.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
TXN
Texas Instruments Incorporated
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
GD
General Dynamics Corporation
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
BK
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
Market volatility measures indicate relatively calm conditions across asset classes, with equity volatility sitting in the normal range while bond market volatility has declined to notably subdued levels. The VIX at 17.38 reflects modest investor hedging activity in equity markets, though the week-over-week decline suggests some reduction in near-term concern. Meanwhile, the MOVE index's sharp 12.9% drop to 13.85 signals that Treasury market participants are pricing in minimal interest rate uncertainty, a level that historically has preceded both extended periods of stability and occasional sharp reversals when unexpected catalysts emerge.
Market breadth shows a moderate advance with 55% of SPY components moving higher, while a notable divergence appears as the tech-heavy QQQ registers 63% participation and transports surge ahead at 74%. Semiconductors and Real Estate are commanding the leadership board at 100% and 90% respectively, demonstrating concentrated strength in rate-sensitive and technology sectors, while traditional defensive areas like Healthcare and Utilities lag significantly at 31% and 36%. The performance split reveals a risk-on tilt favoring growth and cyclical sectors, though the divergence between sector leadership strength and broader index participation suggests uneven market internals.
Fed net liquidity stood at $6.70 trillion as of April 29, down $7.5 billion from the prior week, indicating a slight tightening in financial system liquidity that historically correlates with pressure on risk asset prices. The next H.4.1 Federal Reserve balance sheet update releases Thursday, May 7, which will show whether this contraction trend continues or reverses.
Yesterday's labor market data showed initial jobless claims rising to 200K from 190K but still beating the 205K estimate, maintaining the tight employment conditions that have persisted throughout 2024, while the bigger surprise came from unit labor costs rising just 2.3% versus the 2.6% estimateβa sharp deceleration from the prior 4.6% reading that marks the slowest wage pressure growth since Q2 2021 and could give the Fed more confidence that inflation pressures are easing even as productivity growth of 0.8% badly missed expectations at 1.4%. Today's employment report dominates the calendar with nonfarm payrolls expected to decelerate sharply to just 62K from 178K, which if accurate would represent the weakest job creation since the pandemic recovery period and will be scrutinized alongside average hourly earnings data expected to accelerate to 3.8% YoY from 3.5%βa potential contradiction that would suggest wage inflation is reaccelerating even as hiring slows, complicating the Fed's policy calculus ahead of five separate Fed speaker appearances scheduled throughout the day.
# Institutional Flow Summary ETF positioning data reveals a concentrated technology rotation, with semiconductor and mega-cap tech names AVGO, META, and MU attracting the most inflows despite simultaneous distribution from other fundsβAVGO and META appeared on both the top buyers and sellers lists. The nearly balanced 10-to-10 add/remove ratio suggests institutional capital is churning within tech rather than rotating out, while healthcare name LLY experienced notable trimming among the top outflows.
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
β
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
β
INTC
Intel Corporation
β
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
β
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
β
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
β
GILD
Gilead Sciences, Inc.
β
UNH
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
β
Rep. April Delaney recently purchased positions in STERIS (STE), Markel Group (MKL), and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG), while simultaneously selling holdings in Clean Harbors (CLH), Service Corporation International (SCI), and Morningstar (MORN). The Representative's transactions show a rotation from environmental services and death care sectors into healthcare sterilization, specialty insurance, and packaging materials.
STE
STERIS plc
β
CONGRESS
MKL
Markel Corporation
β
CONGRESS
PKG
Packaging Corporation of America
β
CONGRESS
TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated
β
CONGRESS
NDAQ
Nasdaq, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
CLH
Clean Harbors, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
SCI
Service Corporation International
β
CONGRESS
MORN
Morningstar, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
CHRW
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
Cluster selling dominated this period, with 42 insiders at CVNA offloading $1.9B in stock and 334 insiders at CRWV exiting positions worth $1.4B. On the accumulation side, 24 insiders at EQT added positions in coordinated fashion, though the dollar value was not disclosed.
SVRE
SaverOne 2014 Ltd
β
INSIDER
EQT
EQT Corporation
β
INSIDER
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.
β
INSIDER
PRIM
Primoris Services Corporation
β
INSIDER
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
β
INSIDER
CVNA
Carvana Co.
β
INSIDER
CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock
β
INSIDER
SEI
Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.
β
INSIDER
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
β
INSIDER
STKL
SunOpta Inc.
β
INSIDER
Market activity showed significant movement with IREN surging 42.3%, ACLS climbing 28.0%, and BKSY advancing 27.9% in yesterday's session. Today's earnings calendar features 69 companies reporting, with ENB and BAM showing accumulation signals from institutional participants, while TM and AU are experiencing distribution patterns. Tomorrow's slate expands to 106 companies scheduled to report quarterly results.
IREN
IREN Limited
β
MISS
+42.3%
ACLS
Axcelis Technologies, Inc.
β
BEAT
+28.0%
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc.
β
MISS
+27.9%
XMTR
Xometry, Inc.
β
BEAT
+24.5%
IOVA
Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.
β
MET
+23.6%
AKAM
Akamai Technologies, Inc.
β
MISS
+22.2%
SOUN
SoundHound AI, Inc.
β
MISS
+21.5%
EWTX
Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.
β
BEAT
+21.5%
SYNA
Synaptics Incorporated
β
BEAT
+21.1%
CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock
β
MISS
+20.8%
ENB
Enbridge Inc.
β
BAM
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.
β
UI
Ubiquiti Inc.
β
PAA
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.
β
BNT
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
β
WULF
TeraWulf Inc.
β
MSGS
Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.
β
JHG
Janus Henderson Group plc
β
ROAD
Construction Partners, Inc.
β
FLR
Fluor Corporation
β
STWD
Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
β
TXNM
TXNM Energy, Inc.
β
BPYPO
Brookfield Property Partners L.P.
β
BPYPN
Brookfield Property Partners L.P.
β
ATH-PE
Athene Holding Ltd.
β
PBR
PetrΓ³leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
β
PBR-A
PetrΓ³leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
β
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
β
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
β
SPG-PJ
Simon Property Group, Inc.
β
IX
ORIX Corporation
β
CRCL
Circle Internet Group
β
FOXA
Fox Corporation
β
FOX
Fox Corporation
β
VNOM
Viper Energy, Inc.
β
Smart money positioning reveals a striking divergence between institutional conviction and insider caution. On the institutional side, semiconductor and mega-cap technology names Broadcom (AVGO), Meta Platforms (META), and Micron Technology (MU) dominated ETF inflows, though the appearance of AVGO and META on both buyer and seller lists suggests tactical repositioning rather than directional conviction, while Eli Lilly (LLY) saw notable institutional trimming. Rep. April Delaney rotated capital from environmental services and death care holdings Clean Harbors (CLH) and Service Corporation International (SCI) into healthcare sterilization play STERIS (STE), specialty insurer Markel Group (MKL), and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG), signaling a shift toward industrial and specialty insurance exposure. The insider landscape tells a more cautionary tale, with cluster selling dominating as 42 insiders at Carvana (CVNA) offloaded $1.9 billion in stock and 334 insiders at Crown Castle (CRWV) exited positions worth $1.4 billion, while only 24 insiders at EQT added positions in coordinated buying that stands as a lonely accumulation signal against the broader wave of executive exits. Market internals reveal a bifurcated environment where concentrated sector strength masks underlying fragility in breadth. The VIX at 17.38 and a 12.9% drop in the MOVE index to 13.85 signal subdued volatility expectations across equity and fixed income markets, yet sector performance tells a story of extreme divergence rather than broad-based conviction. Semiconductors and Real Estate commanded 100% and 90% participation respectively, demonstrating strength in rate-sensitive and technology sectors, while Healthcare and Utilities lagged dramatically at 31% and 36%. The 55% advance rate in SPY components appears moderate until compared against the 63% participation in QQQ and 74% surge in transports, revealing a risk-on tilt that favors growth and cyclical exposure. This uneven participation pattern, combined with 30 accumulation signals and zero distribution signals among tracked names including Meta Platforms (META), ServiceNow (NOW), and Alkermes (ALKT), suggests institutional capital is rotating within favored growth sectors rather than embracing defensive positioning despite elevated valuations. Today's employment report represents the critical catalyst that could either validate the current low-volatility regime or expose its fragility. Nonfarm payrolls are expected to decelerate sharply to just 62,000 from 178,000, which would mark the weakest job creation since the pandemic recovery period, yet average hourly earnings are forecast to accelerate to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.5%, presenting a potential contradiction where wage inflation reaccelerates even as hiring slows. This tension follows yesterday's unit labor costs rising just 2.3% versus the 2.6% estimate, marking the slowest wage pressure growth since Q2 2021, creating a critical data point that could influence the five separate Fed speaker appearances scheduled throughout the day. The convergence of historically low Treasury volatility, concentrated sector
Key themes: Watch convergence signals closely. Stocks where insiders, institutions, and politicians agree tend to show stronger directional moves.