Know What They Know
π· PIG ROAST
π¬ Word on the Street
Rep. April Delaney (D-DE) just added shares of Markel Group (MKL) while insiders at Crown Holdings (CRWV) collectively dumped $1.9 billion worth of stock β and that whiplash tells you everything about how the people with actual information are positioning right now. Meanwhile, Micron Technology (MU) is riding a +730% wave because Samsung stumbled, Intel (INTC) is suddenly worth +457% despite Apple breaking up with them years ago, and Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) proves that actual rocket science is somehow less complicated than Wall Street expectations. Here's what smart money actually did with their capital today.
The Big Idea: When insiders, institutions, AND politicians all bet on the same stock? That's convergence β and historically, these aligned signals tend to pack more punch than solo moves. We track the smart money so you don't have to.
ETF Institutional funds adding/removing positions
INSIDER Corporate executives buying/selling their own stock
CONGRESS Politicians making trades (yes, we see you)
β² + Buying Rising Stock: Smart money accumulating as price rises β ideal alignment
+ Buying Falling Stock: Smart money accumulating while price drops β falling knife risk
β² - Selling Rising Stock: Smart money exiting while price still rising β warning signal
- Selling Falling Stock: Smart money exiting as price drops β confirms downtrend
The Bottom Line: Convergence + aligned momentum = strongest setups. Convergence + divergent momentum = proceed with caution. This isn't financial advice β it's intelligence. What you do with it is on you.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
KO
The Coca-Cola Company
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
RTX
RTX Corporation
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
HON
Honeywell International Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
Market volatility indicators currently reflect moderate conditions, with the VIX at 17.38 declining 2.5% week-over-week and sitting in the normal range, while bond market volatility as measured by the MOVE index stands at 13.95, down 5.2% and at historically low levels. The divergence between equity and fixed income volatility suggests equity investors are pricing in modest uncertainty while bond markets are exhibiting relative calm, with both measures trending downward over the past week. These readings indicate neither extreme complacency nor elevated fear across major asset classes at present.
Market breadth shows a mixed picture with technology-oriented indices demonstrating stronger participation than broader market averages, as QQQ recorded 62% breadth compared to SPY's 54%. Semiconductors, Real Estate, and Technology sectors are leading with participation rates above 70%, while traditionally defensive areas like Healthcare and Utilities lag significantly at 31% and 26% respectively. The transportation index stands out with 72% breadth, suggesting some divergence from the weaker participation seen in consumer-facing sectors like Consumer Discretionary at just 35%.
Fed net liquidity stood at $6.70 trillion as of April 29, down $7.5 billion from the prior week, indicating a modest tightening in system-wide dollar availability that historically correlates with reduced support for risk asset prices. The next H.4.1 Federal Reserve balance sheet update releases Thursday, May 7, which will show whether this liquidity drain continues or reverses.
April's payrolls blew past expectations with 115K jobs added versus the 62K estimate, yet wage growth disappointed with hourly earnings rising just 0.2% monthly against the 0.3% forecast and the yearly pace slowing to 3.6% from estimates of 3.8%βa divergence that suggests labor demand remains resilient while wage pressures ease, potentially giving the Fed room to pause. Michigan sentiment plunged to 48.2, the lowest reading since 2022's inflation peak and well below the 49.5 estimate, though inflation expectations cooled to 4.5% from the 4.8% forecast, reflecting deep consumer pessimism even as price pressure perceptions moderate. Tomorrow's CPI data takes center stage with markets watching for a 0.3% monthly rise and 2.7% yearly pace, alongside core inflation expected to accelerate to 0.4% monthlyβa potential reversal from recent disinflation that could reshape Fed rate cut expectations after yesterday's mixed labor signals.
Institutional flows show a notable technology sector rotation, with 5,063 ETFs adding positions in META and 5,055 in semiconductor manufacturer MU, while simultaneously 2,892 ETFs reduced META exposure and 2,734 trimmed healthcare giant LLY. The data reveals split positioning in mega-cap tech, with equal numbers of ETFs (10) on both the buy and sell side, suggesting active rebalancing rather than directional conviction.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
β
INTC
Intel Corporation
β
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
β
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
β
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
β
MU
Micron Technology, Inc.
β
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
β
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
β
Rep. April Delaney executed multiple transactions, purchasing shares of Markel Corporation (MKL), STERIS plc (STE), and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG), while selling positions in Morningstar Inc. (MORN) and Service Corporation International (SCI). Rep. Greg Stanton sold shares of Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TCNNF), with Delaney's activity notably concentrated in the industrials and specialty insurance sectors.
MKL
Markel Corporation
β
CONGRESS
STE
STERIS plc
β
CONGRESS
PKG
Packaging Corporation of America
β
CONGRESS
TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated
β
CONGRESS
V
Visa Inc.
β
CONGRESS
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis Corp.
β
CONGRESS
MORN
Morningstar, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
SCI
Service Corporation International
β
CONGRESS
CLH
Clean Harbors, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
Recent SEC filings show 24 insiders at EQT collectively added to their positions, representing the most concentrated cluster of insider accumulation this period. On the distribution side, 463 insiders at CRWV sold shares totaling $1.9 billion, while 42 insiders at CVNA also sold positions worth $1.9 billion, marking two of the largest coordinated insider selling events by both participant count and dollar value.
SVRE
SaverOne 2014 Ltd
β
INSIDER
EQT
EQT Corporation
β
INSIDER
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.
β
INSIDER
NOMD
Nomad Foods Limited
β
INSIDER
PRIM
Primoris Services Corporation
β
INSIDER
CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock
β
INSIDER
CVNA
Carvana Co.
β
INSIDER
SEI
Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.
β
INSIDER
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
β
INSIDER
DVA
DaVita Inc.
β
INSIDER
Ahead of today's earnings reports, 126 companies are set to release results with PBR and PBR-A showing recent accumulation patterns while B and ASTS have exhibited distribution activity. Yesterday's session saw notable moves in WULF, which climbed 28.6%, ROAD advancing 17.0%, and ORLA gaining 12.6%. Tomorrow's calendar includes 73 additional earnings reports as the current reporting season continues.
WULF
TeraWulf Inc.
β
MISS
+28.6%
ROAD
Construction Partners, Inc.
β
BEAT
+17.0%
ORLA
Orla Mining Ltd.
β
MET
+12.6%
SKYT
SkyWater Technology, Inc.
β
MISS
+12.1%
AU
AngloGold Ashanti Plc
β
BEAT
+9.1%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
β
BEAT
+7.8%
ABR
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
β
MISS
+6.4%
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation
β
MISS
+6.3%
CLMT
Calumet, Inc.
β
MISS
+6.1%
UI
Ubiquiti Inc.
β
MISS
+5.9%
PBR
PetrΓΒ³leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
β
PBR-A
PetrΓΒ³leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
β
CEG
Constellation Energy Corporation
β
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
β
SPG-PJ
Simon Property Group, Inc.
β
IX
ORIX Corporation
β
CRCL
Circle Internet Group
β
FOXA
Fox Corporation
β
FOX
Fox Corporation
β
VNOM
Viper Energy, Inc.
β
OVV
Ovintiv Inc.
β
KSPI
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz
β
APC
ARKO Petroleum Corp. Class A Common Stock
β
NXE
NexGen Energy Ltd.
β
FIGR
Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock
β
JD
JD.com, Inc.
β
VOD
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company
β
Q
Qnity Electronics, Inc.
β
DUKB
Duke Energy Corporation 5.625%
β
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
β
BNT
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
β
SKM
SK Telecom Co.,Ltd
β
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
β
OXLCI
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
β
OXLCN
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
β
Smart money flows reveal divergent positioning across market participants as institutions engage in active technology sector rebalancing while corporate insiders show stark concentration patterns. Institutional investors demonstrate split conviction on mega-cap technology, with 5,063 ETFs adding exposure to Meta Platforms (META) even as 2,892 funds reduced positions in the same name, while semiconductor manufacturer Micron Technology (MU) attracted 5,055 ETF buyers against 2,734 sellersβa pattern suggesting tactical repositioning rather than directional bets. Corporate insiders at EQT Corporation showed notable accumulation with 24 participants adding to positions, representing the period's most concentrated insider buying cluster, while massive distribution emerged at Crown Holdings (CRWV) where 463 insiders sold $1.9 billion in shares and at Carvana (CVNA) with 42 insiders offloading $1.9 billion in stock. On Capitol Hill, Rep. April Delaney executed multiple transactions purchasing Markel Corporation (MKL), STERIS plc (STE), and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) while exiting Morningstar Inc. (MORN) and Service Corporation International (SCI), concentrating activity in industrials and specialty insurance, and Rep. Greg Stanton sold shares of Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TCNNF). Market structure indicators paint a picture of selective strength amid mixed breadth conditions, with volatility measures trending downward but revealing notable divergence between asset classes. The VIX declined 2.5% week-over-week to 17.38, residing in normal range territory, while the bond market MOVE index dropped 5.2% to 13.95 at historically low levelsβa spread suggesting equity investors price in modest uncertainty while fixed income markets exhibit relative calm. Market participation shows technology-oriented indices outperforming broader averages with QQQ recording 62% breadth versus SPY's 54%, and sector leadership concentrated in Semiconductors, Real Estate, and Technology all registering above 70% participation rates. Traditional defensive sectors lag significantly with Healthcare at just 31% and Utilities at 26% breadth, though the transportation index's 72% participation rate signals divergence from consumer-facing weakness where Consumer Discretionary manages only 35% breadth. Tomorrow's Consumer Price Index release takes center stage following mixed economic signals that delivered strong payroll numbers but weak wage growth and plunging consumer sentiment. April payrolls exceeded expectations with 115,000 jobs added versus the 62,000 estimate, yet hourly earnings disappointed with 0.2% monthly growth against 0.3% forecasts and yearly wage pace slowing to 3.6% from 3.8% estimates, while Michigan sentiment collapsed to 48.2βthe lowest reading since 2022's inflation peakβeven as inflation expectations cooled to 4.5% from 4.8%. Markets now await CPI data expected to show 0.3% monthly and 2.7% yearly headline inflation with core potentially accelerating to 0.4% monthly, a reading that could reshape Federal Reserve rate cut expectations after yesterday's divergent labor market signals. With
Key themes: Watch convergence signals closely. Stocks where insiders, institutions, and politicians agree tend to show stronger directional moves.