Know What They Know
π· PIG ROAST
π¬ Word on the Street
While Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-FL) quietly added up to $50,000 in Carrier Global (CARR) shares, insiders at Crown Electrokinetics (CRWV) stampeded for the exits with $1.3 billion in salesβpart of a brutal $4.4 billion net outflow as smart money turned decisively bearish. Meanwhile, after hours, SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG) and Enphase Energy (ENPH) are suddenly the talk of Wall Street again, with SolarEdge up 244% over the past year and Enphase pivoting to power AI data centers in what looks like the energy sector's latest plot twist. Here's what smart money did with their actual dollars today.
The Big Idea: When insiders, institutions, AND politicians all bet on the same stock? That's convergence β and historically, these aligned signals tend to pack more punch than solo moves. We track the smart money so you don't have to.
ETF Institutional funds adding/removing positions
INSIDER Corporate executives buying/selling their own stock
CONGRESS Politicians making trades (yes, we see you)
β² + Buying Rising Stock: Smart money accumulating as price rises β ideal alignment
+ Buying Falling Stock: Smart money accumulating while price drops β falling knife risk
β² - Selling Rising Stock: Smart money exiting while price still rising β warning signal
- Selling Falling Stock: Smart money exiting as price drops β confirms downtrend
The Bottom Line: Convergence + aligned momentum = strongest setups. Convergence + divergent momentum = proceed with caution. This isn't financial advice β it's intelligence. What you do with it is on you.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
NOW
ServiceNow, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
CRM
Salesforce, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
KO
The Coca-Cola Company
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
RTX
RTX Corporation
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
HON
Honeywell International Inc.
β
CONGRESS
INSIDER
ETF
Market volatility indicators are presenting a mixed picture, with the VIX holding steady at 17.26 in the normal range despite a modest 1.1% weekly increase, suggesting equity market participants remain relatively calm. In contrast, the MOVE index surged 42.6% over the week to 19.90, signaling a notable pickup in bond market volatility expectations even though absolute levels remain low by historical standards. This divergence between equity and fixed income volatility measures indicates that bond traders are pricing in increased uncertainty around interest rate movements while stock market fear gauges show little sign of stress.
Market breadth shows a narrow leadership pattern, with the Nasdaq demonstrating relatively stronger participation at 52% compared to the S&P 500's 46% and Dow's 43%. Semiconductors, Real Estate, and Technology sectors are leading with participation rates between 71-100%, while defensive areas including Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, and Utilities significantly lag with participation under 30%. The transportation index stands out with 64% breadth, creating a divergence from the broader market indices and suggesting uneven participation across the equity landscape.
As of May 13, Fed net liquidity stands at $6.73 trillion, up $19.0 billion week-over-week, indicating an expansion in available liquidity that historically correlates with supportive conditions for risk assets. The next H.4.1 release drops Thursday, May 21, which will show whether this liquidity expansion continues or reverses.
Yesterday's manufacturing data delivered meaningful upside surprises, with the NY Empire State Index surging to 19.6 versus expectations of 7.5βits strongest reading since late 2023βwhile Industrial Production rose 0.7% against a 0.3% forecast, reversing the prior month's contraction and suggesting factory activity is stabilizing after months of softness. Positioning data showed speculators extended their net short stance on the S&P 500 to -143.8K contracts from -103.9K, the most bearish posture since early 2024, while Nasdaq 100 positioning flipped negative to -16.0K from a small net long of 1.2K, reflecting growing caution despite strong economic prints. Today's housing market sentiment gauge and tomorrow's housing starts and permits data come into focus as the sector remains depressed, with permits at 1.422 million units in March still hovering near cyclical lows last seen consistently during the 2008-2011 period, while Fed Governor Waller's speech tomorrow could provide clues on the central bank's reaction function given the recent string of firmer activity data pushing the Economic Surprise Index back into positive territory at +1.0.
Institutional flows show a notable rotation into technology names, with META attracting additions from 5,907 ETFs despite 3,228 removals, while INTC and CSCO also saw substantial position increases at 5,648 and 5,421 ETFs respectively. The activity reflects a broader rebalancing within tech and semiconductors, as LLY's 2,897 ETF removals suggest concurrent profit-taking in large-cap pharmaceuticals.
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
INTC
Intel Corporation
β
CSCO
Cisco Systems, Inc.
β
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
β
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
β
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
β
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
β
INTC
Intel Corporation
β
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
β
NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
β
# Congressional Trading Activity Recent congressional disclosures show Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar made two separate purchases of CARR (Carrier Global Corporation), while Rep. Gilbert Cisneros both purchased DASH (DoorDash) and sold FLEX (Flex Ltd.) in the same period. On the sell side, Rep. Greg Stanton divested from TCNNF (Trulieve Cannabis Corp.) and Rep. April Delaney reduced her position in MORN (Morningstar Inc.), with no other discernible sector patterns emerging from this reporting period.
CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
β
CONGRESS
DASH
DoorDash, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
β
CONGRESS
STE
STERIS plc
β
CONGRESS
MKL
Markel Corporation
β
CONGRESS
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis Corp.
β
CONGRESS
FLEX
Flex Ltd.
β
CONGRESS
MORN
Morningstar, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
β
CONGRESS
CLH
Clean Harbors, Inc.
β
CONGRESS
Multiple insiders accumulated shares at ALKT (12 insiders), RSG (7 insiders), and NOMD (7 insiders) during the reporting period. On the distribution side, CRWV saw the largest cluster with 342 insiders selling approximately $1.3B in shares, followed by LTH with 18 insiders disposing of $735.7M.
ALKT
Alkami Technology, Inc.
β
INSIDER
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
β
INSIDER
NOMD
Nomad Foods Limited
β
INSIDER
ARTV
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc.
β
INSIDER
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
β
INSIDER
CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock
β
INSIDER
LTH
Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
β
INSIDER
JHG
Janus Henderson Group plc
β
INSIDER
DOCN
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.
β
INSIDER
SHC
Sotera Health Company
β
INSIDER
Twenty-eight companies report earnings today, with institutional activity showing contrasting signals ahead of results. NBIS and BIDU have experienced recent accumulation by large investors, while RYAAY and BRC have seen distribution patterns indicating institutional position reduction. Yesterday's session saw significant moves in SGML, which declined 22.3%, and RBC, which dropped 6.0%.
SGML
Sigma Lithium Corporation
β
MET
-22.3%
RBC
RBC Bearings Incorporated
β
BEAT
-6.0%
LFT-PA
Lument Finance Trust, Inc.
β
MISS
+1.7%
MFG
Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.
β
BEAT
+0.0%
FPS
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.
β
LGN
Legence Corp. Class A Common stock
β
ROLL
RBC Bearings Incorporated
β
MANE
Veradermics, Incorporated
β
USAS
Americas Gold and Silver Corporation
β
KALV
KalVista Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
β
MISS
+0.0%
NBIS
Nebius Group N.V.
β
BIDU
Baidu, Inc.
β
OXLCN
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
β
OXLCP
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
β
OXLCG
Oxford Lane Capital Corp. 7.95% Notes due 2032
β
BPYPO
Brookfield Property Partners L.P.
β
KLAR
Klarna Group plc
β
BPYPN
Brookfield Property Partners L.P.
β
ATH-PE
Athene Holding Ltd.
β
ATH-PA
Athene Holding Ltd.
β
ATH-PB
Athene Holding Ltd.
β
ANAB
AnaptysBio, Inc.
β
RGTIW
Rigetti Computing, Inc.
β
SEAL-PB
Seapeak LLC
β
SEAL-PA
Seapeak LLC
β
PANW
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
β
KEYS
Keysight Technologies, Inc.
β
VIK
Viking Holdings Ltd
β
VSAT
Viasat, Inc.
β
KEN
Kenon Holdings Ltd.
β
CMBT
Cmb.Tech N.V.
β
FGNXP
FG Nexus Inc.
β
EXP
Eagle Materials Inc.
β
MMYT
MakeMyTrip Limited
β
HSAI
Hesai Group
β
Smart money flows reveal a pronounced technology rotation as institutions added positions across major names, with META drawing additions from 5,907 ETFs, INTC from 5,648 ETFs, and CSCO from 5,421 ETFs, while concurrent profit-taking in LLY reflected 2,897 ETF removals from large-cap pharmaceuticals. Insider accumulation clustered heavily at ALKT with 12 insiders purchasing shares, alongside RSG and NOMD each attracting 7 insiders, though this was overshadowed by massive distribution at CRWV where 342 insiders sold approximately $1.3 billion in shares and LTH where 18 insiders disposed of $735.7 million. Congressional activity showed Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar making two separate purchases of Carrier Global Corporation (CARR), Rep. Gilbert Cisneros both purchasing DoorDash (DASH) and selling Flex Ltd. (FLEX), while Rep. Greg Stanton divested from Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TCNNF) and Rep. April Delaney reduced her Morningstar Inc. (MORN) position, presenting no clear directional sector bias from Capitol Hill participants. Market structure shows increasingly fragmented leadership as the VIX held steady at 17.26 with only a 1.1% weekly increase, contrasting sharply with the MOVE index surging 42.6% to 19.90 and signaling bond traders are pricing substantially more interest rate uncertainty than equity volatility gauges reflect. Breadth patterns confirm this narrow participation, with Semiconductors, Real Estate, and Technology posting participation rates between 71-100% while Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, and Utilities languish below 30%, creating a barbell structure where the Nasdaq's 52% breadth significantly outpaces the S&P 500's 46% and Dow's 43%. Speculators have grown increasingly cautious despite firm economic data, extending S&P 500 net short positioning to -143.8K contracts from -103.9K and flipping Nasdaq 100 positioning negative to -16.0K from a small net long of 1.2K, marking the most bearish stance since early 2024 even as the NY Empire State Index surged to 19.6 versus expectations of 7.5 and Industrial Production rose 0.7% against a 0.3% forecast. Twenty-eight companies report earnings today with institutional positioning already diverging ahead of results, as NBIS and BIDU experienced recent accumulation while RYAAY and BRC saw distribution patterns from large investors, following yesterday's session where SGML declined 22.3% and RBC dropped 6.0% post-results. The disconnect between improving manufacturing dataβwith the Economic Surprise Index back in positive territory at +1.0βand increasingly defensive speculator positioning alongside surging bond volatility creates a critical watch point, particularly as housing market indicators remain depressed with permits at 1.422 million units hovering near cyclical lows last seen during 2008-2011. Fed Governor W
Key themes: Watch convergence signals closely. Stocks where insiders, institutions, and politicians agree tend to show stronger directional moves.