| Profitability | 51/100 |
| Growth | 65/100 |
| Momentum | 91/100 |
| Quality | 78/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 70/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 75/100 |
| Value | 72/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 58.6/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| CNA | 54 |
| RE | 45 |
| AFG | 53 |
| ERIE | 64 |
| ORI | 56 |
| L | 51 |
| AIZ | 59 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 59 and price structure at 81 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 58.6 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 48 → 54 → 55 → 59 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 91% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 618 → now 618 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% | Guard |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 618 | 49.1M | $12.2B | 99.1% | |
| 2026 Q1 | 585 | 47.1M | $9.3B | 95.1% | |
| 2025 Q4 | 564 | 47.9M | $10.4B | 96.8% | |
| 2025 Q3 | 538 | 46.9M | $9.1B | 94.8% | |
| 2025 Q2 | 546 | 48.1M | $8.4B | 97.1% | |
| 2025 Q1 | 563 | 49.5M | $9.4B | 100.0% | |
| 2024 Q4 | 567 | 49.0M | $9.1B | 98.9% | |
| 2024 Q3 | 522 | 49.1M | $8.5B | 99.1% | |
| 2024 Q2 | 515 | 49.1M | $7.1B | 99.2% | |
| 2024 Q1 | 509 | 48.9M | $8.0B | 98.7% | |
| 2023 Q4 | 486 | 48.7M | $7.1B | 98.3% | |
| 2023 Q3 | 416 | 49.6M | $6.1B | 100.1% | ex-outlier 86.0% |
Why 2023-09 reads 100.11%. Institutions cannot hold more of a company than exists. The reported 49.6M shares exceed the 49.5M outstanding, and a single filer accounts for the excess: VANGUARD GROUP INC reports 6,999,944 shares against 6,996,410 the prior quarter, a 1x jump, which alone would be 14.1% of the company. Excluding that filing, ownership is 86.0%. We publish both figures. 13F filings are due 45 days after quarter end and amendments keep arriving after that, so the newest quarter is provisional by construction - this is what an unsettled quarter looks like.
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirienzo Dimitry | SVP, CAO, Controller | 2026-10-01 | TAX W/H | 219 | $0.06M | 2,522 |
| Campbell Michael P. | EVP, Chief Operating Officer | 2026-10-01 | TAX W/H | 147 | $0.04M | 27,296 |
| Demmings Keith | director, President & CEO | 2026-09-15 | GIFT | 3,500 | — | 133,170 |
| Biju Nair | EVP, Pres, Global Conn Living | 2026-08-06 | SELL | 3,931 | $1.19M | 24,247 |
| Lonergan Robert | EVP, CSTO | 2026-06-22 | SELL | 7,000 | $1.84M | 27,374 |
| Dirienzo Dimitry | SVP, CAO, Controller | 2026-05-26 | SELL | 2,000 | $0.51M | 2,741 |
| Basu Rajiv | director | 2026-05-22 | A-Award | 668 | — | 3,731 |
| Blake Lynn S. | director | 2026-05-22 | A-Award | 668 | — | 668 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 8 | 42,581 | $11.0M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 15 | 88,591 | $19.7M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 1 | 3,500 | — | None |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-10 |
| Julia Letlow | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-08-26 | 2026-01-14 |
| Kelly Loeffler | Senate | SELL | $250,001 - $500,000 | 2020-04-07 | 2020-05-01 |
| Kelly Loeffler | Senate | BUY | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2020-04-07 | 2020-05-01 |
| Kelly Loeffler | Senate | BUY | $50,001 - $100,000 | 2020-04-07 | 2020-05-01 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Deprince Race & Zollo Inc | 115,398 | $30M |
| Valley Wealth Managers, Inc. | 98,268 | $26M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 24,059 | $6M |
| Ghp Investment Advisors, Inc. | 19,020 | $5M |
| Czech National Bank | 14,172 | $4M |
| Patton Fund Management, Inc. | 12,017 | $3M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $411M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $411M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $411M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $411M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $341M |
| VFIAX | 0.0% | $341M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 0.5M | 26 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 0.4M | 34 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 0.4M | 24 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 0.3M | 42 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 0.3M | 15 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 0.2M | 135 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| UNITED STATES | $10.5B | 100% |
Moat score 48/100 — Weak; primary source Intangible Assets.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Keith Warner Demmings | President, Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Keith Roland Meier | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Biju Nair | Executive Vice President & President of Global Connected Living |
| Michael Campbell | Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +6.0% | +0.1% | +9.2% | +6.7% | +7.9% |
| Gross profit | +13.3% | +88.8% | +9.9% | +5.8% | +8.5% |
| Operating income | +33.4% | -54.6% | +130.6% | +14.9% | +17.3% |
| Net income | +208.9% | -79.7% | +132.3% | +18.3% | +14.8% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 10.2 | 10.2 | 11.1 | 11.9 | 12.8 | |
| Cost of revenue | 6.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.9 | |
| Gross profit | 4.1 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 9.9 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Operating income | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | |
| EBITDA | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |
| D&A | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Pretax income | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | |
| Income tax | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Net income | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 10.20 | 5.05 | 11.95 | 14.46 | 17.39 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 60 | 55 | 54 | 53 | 50 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| ST investments | 6.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.7 | |
| Receivables (net) | 9.4 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 8.6 | |
| Total current assets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.1 | |
| PP&E (net) | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 13.4 | |
| Total assets | 33.1 | 33.6 | 35.0 | 36.3 | |
| Accounts payable | 2.7 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.9 | |
| Total current liabilities | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.9 | |
| Long-term debt | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 | |
| Total liabilities | 28.9 | 28.8 | 29.9 | 30.4 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 4.2 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 5.9 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | |
| D&A | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | (0.2) | 0.3 | (0.0) | 0.4 | |
| Operating cash flow | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.3) | (0.6) | (0.7) | (1.5) | |
| Buybacks | (0.6) | (0.2) | (0.3) | (0.3) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.1) | (0.1) | 0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Financing cash flow | (0.8) | (0.4) | (0.5) | (0.4) | |
| Free cash flow | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 24.0% | 5.7% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 18% | |
| ROA | 3.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | |
| ROIC | -33.4% | -17.1% | 20.4% | 25.3% | 24.7% | 8.9% | |
| Gross margin | 40.7% | 76.8% | 77.3% | 76.7% | 77.2% | 78.1% | |
| Operating margin | 7.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | |
| Net margin | 13.4% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | |
| EBITDA margin | 10.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | |
| FCF margin | 5.8% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 6.12 | 23.09 | 13.59 | 14.39 | 13.85 | 13.3 | |
| P/B | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.81 | 2.14 | 2.06 | 2.3 | |
| P/S | 0.82 | 0.63 | 0.78 | 0.92 | 0.94 | 1.04 | |
| P/FCF | 14.13 | 15.56 | 9.33 | 8.65 | 7.56 | 8.4 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.03 | 0.85 | 6.37 | 7.02 | 6.73 | 8.5 | |
| EV/Revenue | 0.11 | 0.05 | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.76 | 1.1 | |
| Earnings yield | 16.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.58% | |
| FCF yield | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.85% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | — | — | — | — | 0.55 | 1.27 | |
| Quick ratio | — | — | — | — | 0.55 | 1.27 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.36 | |
| Debt / assets | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -6.85 | -9.13 | -1.49 | -1.67 | -1.62 | 0.30 | |
| Interest coverage | 8.00 | 4.23 | 8.47 | 9.67 | 10.91 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.37 | |
| Receivables turnover | 1.26 | 1.18 | 1.23 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.6 | |
| DSO (days) | 289 | 310 | 297 | 282 | 256 | 230 | |
| DPO (days) | 122 | 368 | 371 | 384 | 343 | — | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 167 | -57 | -74 | -102 | -88 | 230 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 4.9% | 0.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | — | |
| Net income growth | 210.6% | -79.8% | 132.3% | 18.3% | 14.8% | — | |
| EPS growth | 235.7% | -78.4% | 133.8% | 21.4% | 19.1% | — | |
| FCF growth | -51.3% | -30.9% | 127.9% | 35.2% | 26.4% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 23.77 | 5.14 | 12.02 | 14.60 | 17.39 | 21.48 | |
| Book value / share | 94.65 | 78.64 | 90.01 | 98.06 | 116.97 | 123.14 | |
| Revenue / share | 176.48 | 189.56 | 208.32 | 228.08 | 255.28 | 271.73 | |
| FCF / share | 10.29 | 7.64 | 17.51 | 24.29 | 31.84 | 33.43 | |
| Cash / share | 164.63 | 148.32 | 69.87 | 80.41 | 90.68 | 239.31 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 10.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.82% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 0.73 | 0.64 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.53 | 1.2 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.57 | -2.62 | -2.59 | -2.46 | -2.83 | -2.98 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.2 | Distress (<1.81) | Distress |
| Income quality | 1.76 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.98 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.80 |
| Interest burden | 0.92 |
| Operating margin | 10.7% |
| Asset turnover | 0.38× |
| Financial leverage | 6.17× |
| = ROE | 18% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.95 |
| Earnings stability | 0.10 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.81 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 8.4% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 49.3% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 12.2% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNA | $13.0B | 10.5 | 12% | 8.4% | +4.5% | 8/9 | +7.3% |
| RE | $15.3B | 8.0 | 13% | 14.1% | -5.1% | 5/9 | — |
| AFG | $12.4B | 13.0 | 20% | 12.4% | -1.1% | 6/9 | +19.7% |
| ERIE | $11.3B | 19.7 | 25% | 16.5% | +9.7% | 6/9 | -20.0% |
| ORI | $9.6B | 8.5 | 19% | 12.9% | +11.6% | 7/9 | +5.7% |
| L | $22.6B | 13.5 | 10% | 9.4% | +4.3% | 8/9 | — |
| MKL | $22.9B | 10.1 | 13% | 22.5% | +6.7% | 7/9 | — |
| KNSL | $8.3B | 14.8 | 30% | 32.1% | +15.8% | 7/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $13.92B | $14.11B / $13.68B | $22.54 | $23.20 / $21.88 | 5 |
| FY2027 | $14.72B | $15.23B / $14.10B | $23.36 | $23.89 / $22.65 | 5 |
| FY2028 | $15.69B | $16.51B / $14.87B | $24.95 | $26.04 / $23.87 | 2 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Quarter | $331.00 | +16.8% | 5 |
| Last Year | $294.06 | +3.8% | 16 |
| All Time | $277.27 | -2.1% | 22 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $269.56 | +13.75 | +5.10% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $277.76 | +5.55 | +2.00% | Above |
| SMA 200 | $251.86 | +31.45 | +12.49% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $274.84 | +8.47 | +3.08% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $273.38 | +9.93 | +3.63% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $274.36 | +8.95 | +3.26% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $255.87 | +27.44 | +10.72% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $281.26 / $283.90 / $285.92 | S1 / S2 | $279.24 / $276.60 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $257.68 – $281.44 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $205.24 – $303.94 | Off 52-wk high | -6.8% |
| ATR (14) | $5.62 (2.0%) | Historical vol | 23.8% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | AIZ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 3.27% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +7.3% / -10.5% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -40.1% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -7.2% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.54 | 1.00 |
| Reading | AIZ | Insurance - Property & Casualty n=188 | Financial Services n=24,134 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +2.0 | -10.0 | -16.3 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +34.9 | +1.7 | -12.5 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +54.1 | +14.3 | -4.4 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -53.8 | -7.5 | +0.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Keith W. Demmings, President and Chief Execu | $15.2M | 88% equity+incentive |
| Keith R. Meier, Executive Vice President, Ch | $5.5M | 82% equity+incentive |
| Francesca L. Luthi, Former Executive Vice Pr | $4.2M | 80% equity+incentive |
| Michael P. Campbell, Executive Vice Presiden | $4.1M | 82% equity+incentive |
| Biju Nair, Executive Vice President and Pres | $3.6M | 79% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 45 |
| Social | 60 |
| Governance | 52 |
| Composite ESG | 52 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-11-02 to 2026-08-04 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 93 rows · 2003 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-22 to 2026-10-01 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | not present for this symbol |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | not present for this symbol |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.