| Profitability | 75/100 |
| Growth | 58/100 |
| Momentum | 83/100 |
| Quality | 80/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 70/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 50/100 |
| Value | 50/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 56.0/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| COF | 63 |
| MA | 77 |
| V | 73 |
| PYPL | 64 |
| SYF | 56 |
| GPN | 23 |
| AXP | 56 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 56 and price structure at 58 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 56.0 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 54 → 52 → 54 → 56 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 55% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 3,046 → now 3,025 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 3,025 | 581.0M | $193.1B | 85.7% |
| 2026 Q1 | 2,911 | 578.3M | $171.7B | 85.3% |
| 2025 Q4 | 3,046 | 586.4M | $212.6B | 86.5% |
| 2025 Q3 | 2,756 | 582.4M | $190.4B | 85.9% |
| 2025 Q2 | 2,719 | 595.6M | $186.9B | 87.8% |
| 2025 Q1 | 2,625 | 597.8M | $158.1B | 88.2% |
| 2024 Q4 | 2,641 | 598.2M | $174.0B | 88.2% |
| 2024 Q3 | 2,457 | 589.6M | $156.1B | 87.0% |
| 2024 Q2 | 2,352 | 603.9M | $136.7B | 89.1% |
| 2024 Q1 | 2,319 | 609.6M | $135.5B | 89.9% |
| 2023 Q4 | 2,196 | 612.4M | $112.1B | 90.3% |
| 2023 Q3 | 2,008 | 612.0M | $89.4B | 90.3% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wardell Lisa W | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 120 | — | 10,575 |
| Wallace Noel R. | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 116 | — | 1,091 |
| Phillips Jr Charles E | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 60 | — | 10,591 |
| Majoras Deborah P | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 58 | — | 5,199 |
| Brennan John Joseph | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 212 | — | 29,784 |
| Baltimore Thomas J Jr | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 116 | — | 10,529 |
| Angelakis Michael J | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 58 | — | 1,971 |
| Young Christopher David | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 128 | — | 21,179 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 5 | 18,916 | $6.3M | Counted |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Glenda Mcneal | 7,033 | $2.4M |
| 2026-03-06 | Jessica Lieberm Quinn | 3,032 | $0.9M |
| 2026-02-19 | Raymond D Joabar | 14,000 | $4.8M |
| 2026-02-12 | Howard M Grosfield | 8,134 | $2.8M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 15 filings | 314,133 | $107M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-15 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-15 | 2026-10-09 |
| Richard W. Allen | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-05-08 | 2026-06-17 |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-11 | 2026-04-05 |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-11 | 2026-04-05 |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-16 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Smead Capital Management, Inc. | 562,102 | $171M |
| Cacti Asset Management Llc | 389,972 | $119M |
| Td Waterhouse Canada Inc. | 328,420 | $99M |
| Douglas Lane & Associates, Llc | 265,930 | $81M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 254,966 | $74M |
| Fjarde Ap-Fonden /Fourth Swedish N | 194,541 | $59M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.2% | $4.9B |
| VSMPX | 0.2% | $4.9B |
| VTI | 0.2% | $4.9B |
| VTSAX | 0.2% | $4.9B |
| VFIAX | 0.2% | $4.2B |
| VFINX | 0.2% | $4.2B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 3.7M | 33 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 2.6M | 33 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.8M | 30 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 1.4M | 20 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 1.1M | 26 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 1.1M | 44 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| United States Geographic Region | $56.0B | 78% |
| EMEA Geographic Region | $7.1B | 10% |
| JAPA Geographic Region | $5.2B | 7% |
| LACC Geographic Region | $4.2B | 6% |
| Other Unallocated | $-271M | -0% |
Moat score 72/100 — Wide; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Stephen Joseph Squeri | Chairman & Chief Executive Officer |
| Ravikumar Radhakrishnan | Executive Vice President & Chief Information Officer |
| Christophe Le Caillec | Chief Financial Officer |
| Howard Martin Grosfield | Group President of US Consumer Services |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +15.9% | +25.2% | +21.1% | +10.1% | +8.4% |
| Gross profit | +41.4% | +13.7% | +9.7% | +9.3% | +10.2% |
| Operating income | +148.8% | -10.3% | +9.7% | +22.7% | +7.0% |
| Net income | +157.1% | -6.8% | +11.4% | +21.0% | +7.0% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 44.4 | 55.6 | 67.4 | 74.2 | 80.5 | |
| Cost of revenue | -0.1 | 4.9 | 11.8 | 13.4 | 13.5 | |
| Gross profit | 44.6 | 50.7 | 55.6 | 60.8 | 67.0 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 11.5 | 12.7 | 13.3 | 14.2 | 15.3 | |
| Operating income | 10.7 | 9.6 | 10.5 | 12.9 | 13.8 | |
| EBITDA | 12.4 | 11.2 | 12.2 | 14.6 | 15.6 | |
| D&A | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| Pretax income | 10.7 | 9.6 | 10.5 | 12.9 | 13.8 | |
| Income tax | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 3.0 | |
| Net income | 8.1 | 7.5 | 8.4 | 10.1 | 10.8 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 10.02 | 9.84 | 11.21 | 14.02 | 15.38 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 790 | 752 | 736 | 713 | 696 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 33.5 | 46.5 | 40.6 | 47.7 | |
| ST investments | 4.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.2 | 0.0 | |
| Total current assets | 38.4 | 48.7 | 41.5 | 48.5 | |
| PP&E (net) | 5.2 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 7.1 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 5.0 | |
| Total assets | 228.4 | 261.1 | 271.5 | 300.1 | |
| Accounts payable | 12.1 | 13.1 | 13.9 | 14.7 | |
| Short-term debt | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 125.8 | 145.6 | 156.8 | 170.8 | |
| Long-term debt | 42.6 | 47.9 | 49.7 | 56.4 | |
| Total liabilities | 203.6 | 233.1 | 241.2 | 266.6 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 24.7 | 28.1 | 30.3 | 33.5 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 7.5 | 8.4 | 10.1 | 10.8 | |
| D&A | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | |
| Working capital change | 10.2 | 3.8 | (1.9) | 0.9 | |
| Operating cash flow | 21.1 | 18.6 | 14.1 | 18.4 | |
| Capital expenditures | (1.9) | (1.6) | (1.9) | (2.4) | |
| Investing cash flow | (33.7) | (24.4) | (24.4) | (22.9) | |
| Buybacks | (3.5) | (3.7) | (6.0) | (5.8) | |
| Dividends paid | (1.6) | (1.8) | (2.0) | (2.3) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 3.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 6.2 | |
| Financing cash flow | 24.5 | 18.4 | 4.4 | 11.2 | |
| Free cash flow | 19.2 | 17.0 | 12.1 | 16.0 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 35.7% | 32.1% | 31.7% | 34.7% | 34.0% | 34% | |
| ROA | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | |
| ROIC | 20.9% | 24.8% | 29.3% | 25.4% | 25.4% | 13.0% | |
| Gross margin | 100.3% | 91.1% | 82.5% | 81.9% | 83.2% | 84.3% | |
| Operating margin | 24.1% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 27.2% | |
| Net margin | 18.1% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | |
| EBITDA margin | 27.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 29.4% | |
| FCF margin | 29.5% | 34.7% | 25.2% | 16.4% | 19.9% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 14.84 | 14.13 | 15.88 | 20.41 | 23.44 | 19.0 | |
| P/B | 5.40 | 4.30 | 4.74 | 6.83 | 7.59 | 6.2 | |
| P/S | 2.69 | 1.92 | 1.97 | 2.79 | 3.16 | 2.52 | |
| P/FCF | 9.14 | 5.52 | 7.82 | 17.03 | 15.87 | 14.1 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.99 | 9.96 | 10.97 | 14.85 | 16.90 | 9.1 | |
| EV/Revenue | 3.06 | 2.02 | 1.98 | 2.92 | 3.27 | 2.7 | |
| Earnings yield | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.38% | |
| FCF yield | 10.9% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.11% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 1.55 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 1.55 | |
| Debt / equity | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.69 | 1.73 | 1.72 | |
| Debt / assets | 21.7% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 18.8% | 19.2% | 19.2% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.33 | 0.49 | 0.04 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.56 | |
| Interest coverage | 8.33 | 3.47 | 1.53 | 1.56 | 1.68 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.27 | |
| Receivables turnover | 15.59 | 40.98 | — | 2.50 | 2.72 | 0.4 | |
| DSO (days) | 23 | 9 | 0 | 146 | 134 | 969 | |
| DPO (days) | — | 838 | 391 | 367 | 387 | 428 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | — | -829 | -391 | -221 | -252 | 541 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 16.1% | 24.5% | 21.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | — | |
| Net income growth | 157.1% | -6.8% | 11.4% | 21.0% | 7.0% | — | |
| EPS growth | 169.5% | -3.9% | 14.5% | 24.7% | 9.4% | — | |
| FCF growth | 218.4% | 46.8% | -11.6% | -28.6% | 31.9% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 10.48 | 10.07 | 11.53 | 14.39 | 15.75 | 16.88 | |
| Book value / share | 28.84 | 33.12 | 38.65 | 42.99 | 48.65 | 50.56 | |
| Revenue / share | 57.78 | 74.16 | 92.78 | 105.40 | 116.95 | 124.00 | |
| FCF / share | 17.03 | 25.77 | 23.41 | 17.24 | 23.26 | 22.20 | |
| Cash / share | 31.86 | 51.46 | 67.01 | 58.96 | 70.54 | 67.20 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 7.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.26% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 0.50 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.55 | 0.62 | 1.5 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.58 | -3.30 | -2.43 | -2.46 | -3.41 | -0.75 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 9 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.5 | Distress (<1.81) | Distress |
| Income quality | 1.61 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -0.75 | Elevated | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.78 |
| Interest burden | 0.65 |
| Operating margin | 27.2% |
| Asset turnover | 0.28× |
| Financial leverage | 9.07× |
| = ROE | 34% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.98 |
| Earnings stability | 0.91 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.95 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 10.7% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 18.9% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 0.6% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF | $123.8B | 12.5 | 9% | 15.2% | +36.7% | 7/9 | -0.3% |
| MA | $540.9B | 33.9 | 241% | 47.3% | +16.0% | 7/9 | +12.3% |
| V | $751.7B | 34.2 | 61% | 48.4% | +14.4% | 5/9 | +20.3% |
| PYPL | $48.5B | 10.6 | 24% | 12.7% | +5.7% | 6/9 | -14.0% |
| SYF | $24.0B | 7.5 | 21% | 18.9% | -2.4% | 7/9 | — |
| GPN | $22.1B | -21.5 | -4% | -0.3% | +14.8% | 2/9 | — |
| AFRM | $22.0B | 13.0 | 45% | — | +29.8% | 6/9 | — |
| C | $208.4B | 12.0 | 8% | 12.9% | +3.9% | 5/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $79.47B | $79.70B / $79.20B | $17.68 | $18.13 / $17.43 | 22 |
| FY2027 | $86.57B | $87.23B / $84.64B | $20.10 | $20.39 / $19.90 | 22 |
| FY2028 | $93.76B | $95.63B / $89.89B | $23.04 | $24.15 / $21.42 | 16 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $361.17 | +15.2% | 6 |
| Last Quarter | $361.80 | +15.4% | 10 |
| Last Year | $373.81 | +19.2% | 42 |
| All Time | $274.02 | -12.6% | 121 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $306.52 | +7.07 | +2.31% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $321.22 | -7.63 | -2.38% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $328.59 | -15.00 | -4.56% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $309.60 | +3.99 | +1.29% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $310.35 | +3.24 | +1.04% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $317.74 | -4.15 | -1.31% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $325.65 | -12.06 | -3.70% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $311.86 / $316.97 / $320.06 | S1 / S2 | $308.77 / $303.66 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $298.52 – $314.52 | Squeeze | ON |
| 52-wk range | $290.05 – $387.49 | Off 52-wk high | -19.1% |
| ATR (14) | $5.85 (1.9%) | Historical vol | 16.9% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | AXP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 3.53% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +9.8% / -8.4% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -45.7% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -6.1% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 1.05 | 1.00 |
| Reading | AXP | Financial - Credit Services n=681 | Financial Services n=24,134 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -20.4 | -20.7 | -16.3 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -42.0 | -27.8 | -12.5 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +29.2 | -12.0 | -4.4 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -41.8 | -25.0 | +0.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| S.J. Squeri Chairman and CEO | $46.2M | 51% equity+incentive |
| D.E. Buckminster Former Vice Chairman | $15.6M | 39% equity+incentive |
| C.Y. Le Caillec Chief Financial Officer | $13.1M | 38% equity+incentive |
| H.M. Grosfield President, U.S. Consumer Serv | $13.1M | 38% equity+incentive |
| R.D. Joabar Group President, Global Commerci | $12.6M | 40% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 63 |
| Social | 65 |
| Governance | 59 |
| Composite ESG | 62 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Regulation FD | 7.01 |
| 2026-10-08 | Regulation FD | 7.01 |
| 2026-09-15 | Regulation FD | 7.01 |
| 2026-08-17 | Regulation FD | 7.01 |
| 2026-08-12 | Bylaws Amendment; Other Events; Exhibits | 5.03,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-05 | Other Events | 8.01 |
| 2026-07-24 | Earnings Release; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 2.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-07-15 | Regulation FD | 7.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-23 to 2026-07-24 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 135 rows · 1992 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-06-30 to 2026-09-30 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 1 rows · 2026-03-26 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.