| Profitability | 39/100 |
| Growth | 69/100 |
| Momentum | 93/100 |
| Quality | 72/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 85/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 64/100 |
| Value | 35/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 61.0/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| ULTA | 62 |
| CPNG | 22 |
| WSM | 70 |
| BBY | 65 |
| TSCO | 48 |
| W | 35 |
| CASY | 61 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 61 and price structure at 76 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 61.0 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 63 → 63 → 63 → 61 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 73% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,090 → now 1,090 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,090 | 33.4M | $25.9B | 90.3% |
| 2026 Q1 | 966 | 31.8M | $22.5B | 86.0% |
| 2025 Q4 | 868 | 32.4M | $17.2B | 87.5% |
| 2025 Q3 | 818 | 32.1M | $17.5B | 86.8% |
| 2025 Q2 | 795 | 33.1M | $16.1B | 89.6% |
| 2025 Q1 | 740 | 34.3M | $13.9B | 92.9% |
| 2024 Q4 | 706 | 32.1M | $11.7B | 87.0% |
| 2024 Q3 | 678 | 31.9M | $11.0B | 86.3% |
| 2024 Q2 | 667 | 31.6M | $11.2B | 85.4% |
| 2024 Q1 | 595 | 32.0M | $9.5B | 86.6% |
| 2023 Q4 | 567 | 31.7M | $8.1B | 85.7% |
| 2023 Q3 | 522 | 32.0M | $8.1B | 86.7% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanon Moats Maria | director | 2026-09-02 | EXERCISE | 326 | — | 1,129 |
| Castanon Moats Maria | director | 2026-09-02 | EXERCISE | 326 | — | 0 |
| Castanon Moats Maria | director | 2026-09-02 | A-Award | 220 | — | 220 |
| Schmeling Judy | director | 2026-09-02 | EXERCISE | 326 | — | 5,314 |
| Schmeling Judy | director | 2026-09-02 | A-Award | 220 | — | 0 |
| Schmeling Judy | director | 2026-09-02 | EXERCISE | 326 | — | 0 |
| Wing Allison M. | director | 2026-09-02 | EXERCISE | 326 | — | 3,379 |
| Wing Allison M. | director | 2026-09-02 | A-Award | 220 | — | 220 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 28 | 36,243 | $29.2M | Counted |
| P — Open-market purchases | 2 | 556 | $0.4M | Counted |
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 29 | 15,484 | — | None — mechanics |
| F — Tax withholding | 6 | 51,908 | $45.3M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 2 | 7,804 | — | None |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Koschel Williams Ena | 2,800 | $2.3M |
| 2026-07-08 | Bramlage Stephen P Jr | 5,700 | $4.8M |
| 2026-07-08 | Wing Allison M. | 530 | $0.4M |
| 2026-07-07 | Rebelez Darren M | 19,000 | $15.5M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 9 filings | 39,730 | $31M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.36% | 2.7M sh |
| 2026-07-31 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Vanguard Portfolio Management | 4.94% | 1.8M sh |
| 2026-07-27 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | BlackRock, Inc. | 7.80% | 2.9M sh |
| 2026-04-29 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 5.23% | 1.9M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-10-09 |
| Rick Larsen | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-07 | 2026-04-16 |
| Richard Ray Larsen | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-07 | 2026-04-16 |
| Thom Tillis | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2015-02-13 | 2015-02-26 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Congress Asset Management Co | 93,641 | $57M |
| Vontobel Holding Ltd. | 64,905 | $39M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 36,272 | $22M |
| Copeland Capital Management, Llc | 20,679 | $13M |
| Wealthplan Investment Management, | 16,096 | $10M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 10,972 | $7M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $716M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $716M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $716M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $716M |
| VFIAX | 0.0% | $591M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $591M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 0.5M | 17 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 0.3M | 21 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 0.3M | 9 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 0.3M | 25 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 0.2M | 14 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 0.2M | 7 sh |
Moat score 72/100 — Wide; primary source Cost Advantage.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Darren Rebelez | President, Chief Executive Officer & Board Chair |
| Stephen Bramlage Jr. | Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Ena Williams Koschel | Chief Operating Officer |
| Thomas Brennan Jr. | Senior Vice President & Chief Merchandising Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +48.8% | +16.5% | -1.5% | +7.3% | +10.2% |
| Gross profit | +17.2% | +11.2% | +9.0% | +12.1% | +15.2% |
| Operating income | +9.6% | +28.5% | +11.0% | +12.2% | +29.8% |
| Net income | +8.6% | +31.5% | +12.4% | +8.9% | +30.7% |
| $B · FY ends | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 13.0 | 15.1 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 17.6 | |
| Cost of revenue | 10.2 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 12.2 | 13.2 | |
| Gross profit | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.3 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | |
| Operating income | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | |
| EBITDA | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | |
| D&A | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
| Pretax income | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | |
| Income tax | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Net income | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 9.10 | 11.91 | 13.43 | 14.64 | 19.16 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 37 | 38 | 37 | 37 | 37 |
| $B | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Total current assets | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | |
| PP&E (net) | 4.2 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 6.2 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | |
| Total assets | 5.9 | 6.3 | 8.4 | 8.9 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | |
| Long-term debt | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.8 | |
| Total liabilities | 3.3 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 5.0 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 2.7 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| $B | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | |
| D&A | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Working capital change | 0.0 | (0.1) | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Operating cash flow | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.7) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.5) | (0.8) | (1.7) | (0.8) | |
| Buybacks | (0.0) | (0.1) | (0.0) | (0.2) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.0) | (0.1) | 0.9 | (0.1) | |
| Financing cash flow | (0.1) | (0.2) | 0.8 | (0.4) | |
| Free cash flow | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 16.3% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 20% | |
| ROA | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | |
| ROIC | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | |
| Gross margin | 21.3% | 20.4% | 22.5% | 23.5% | 24.6% | 23.8% | |
| Operating margin | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | |
| Net margin | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | |
| EBITDA margin | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | |
| FCF margin | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 21.70 | 19.00 | 23.56 | 31.55 | 42.87 | 33.0 | |
| P/B | 3.29 | 3.19 | 3.92 | 4.91 | 7.75 | 6.2 | |
| P/S | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.80 | 1.08 | 1.74 | 1.36 | |
| P/FCF | 15.95 | 20.93 | 31.88 | 29.49 | 42.45 | 39.3 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.11 | 10.27 | 12.51 | 16.56 | 23.80 | 19.2 | |
| EV/Revenue | 0.69 | 0.65 | 0.89 | 1.25 | 1.88 | 1.5 | |
| Earnings yield | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.03% | |
| FCF yield | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.55% | |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 0.80 | 0.99 | 0.87 | 0.92 | 1.01 | 1.02 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.36 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 0.60 | 1.02 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.75 | 0.63 | 0.54 | 0.84 | 0.74 | 0.71 | |
| Debt / assets | 30.7% | 28.2% | 25.8% | 35.1% | 32.5% | 31.7% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.91 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 2.19 | 1.72 | 1.72 | |
| Interest coverage | 8.74 | 12.34 | 13.28 | 9.49 | — | — | |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 2.60 | 2.64 | 2.42 | 2.16 | 2.02 | 2.05 | |
| Receivables turnover | 137.99 | 132.07 | 109.15 | 95.87 | 82.79 | 76.0 | |
| DSO (days) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | |
| DPO (days) | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 22 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | -2 | -3 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -17 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 48.8% | 16.5% | -1.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | — | |
| Net income growth | 8.6% | 31.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 30.7% | — | |
| EPS growth | 8.6% | 30.7% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 31.1% | — | |
| FCF growth | 27.4% | -12.3% | -8.5% | 57.6% | 23.4% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 9.09 | 11.89 | 13.47 | 14.62 | 19.16 | 20.91 | |
| Book value / share | 59.97 | 70.81 | 80.93 | 93.84 | 106.00 | 110.75 | |
| Revenue / share | 346.61 | 401.73 | 398.90 | 426.33 | 471.04 | 505.13 | |
| FCF / share | 12.37 | 10.79 | 9.96 | 15.64 | 19.36 | 17.56 | |
| Cash / share | 4.25 | 10.08 | 5.54 | 8.74 | 14.03 | 10.39 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.81% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 4.52 | 5.05 | 5.48 | 4.86 | 6.00 | 6.1 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 7/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -1.58 | -2.86 | -2.64 | -2.49 | -2.65 | -0.73 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 6.1 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 1.80 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -0.73 | Elevated | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.77 |
| Interest burden | 1.00 |
| Operating margin | 5.4% |
| Asset turnover | 2.13× |
| Financial leverage | 2.26× |
| = ROE | 20% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.97 |
| Earnings stability | 0.95 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.87 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 8.8% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 19.0% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 20.4% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ULTA | $25.4B | 21.5 | 46% | 9.3% | +11.2% | 5/9 | +10.4% |
| CPNG | $25.7B | -32.9 | -20% | -6.4% | +9.9% | 4/9 | -54.7% |
| WSM | $29.5B | 25.3 | 55% | 17.3% | +2.2% | 6/9 | +33.8% |
| BBY | $19.4B | 15.4 | 43% | 3.2% | +1.4% | 7/9 | +24.2% |
| TSCO | $17.3B | 17.3 | 40% | 7.9% | +4.0% | 5/9 | — |
| W | $14.7B | -43.7 | 12% | -0.0% | +7.5% | 3/9 | — |
| GME | $13.5B | 13.5 | 16% | 37.8% | -7.7% | 5/9 | — |
| DKS | $12.8B | 15.2 | 18% | 5.6% | +53.5% | 4/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $17.31B | $17.44B / $17.07B | $18.11 | $18.36 / $17.82 | 12 |
| FY2027 | $20.95B | $22.01B / $19.80B | $21.35 | $21.88 / $20.33 | 13 |
| FY2028 | $21.00B | $22.78B / $19.86B | $23.44 | $23.87 / $22.59 | 13 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $825.00 | +19.7% | 1 |
| Last Quarter | $813.67 | +18.1% | 15 |
| Last Year | $795.79 | +15.5% | 52 |
| All Time | $589.85 | -14.4% | 98 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $624.03 | +65.19 | +10.45% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $703.28 | -14.06 | -2.00% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $736.46 | -47.24 | -6.41% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $653.43 | +35.79 | +5.48% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $646.88 | +42.34 | +6.55% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $687.10 | +2.12 | +0.31% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $709.14 | -19.92 | -2.81% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $674.52 / $681.13 / $688.63 | S1 / S2 | $667.02 / $660.41 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $568.22 – $679.83 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $497.38 – $927.85 | Off 52-wk high | -25.7% |
| ATR (14) | $19.83 (2.9%) | Historical vol | 20.5% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | CASY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 4.97% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +16.1% / -16.7% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -30.0% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -7.8% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.59 | 1.00 |
| Reading | CASY | Specialty Retail n=631 | Consumer Cyclical n=5,686 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +15.3 | -12.8 | -20.5 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +1.7 | -4.5 | -25.1 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +68.3 | -8.2 | -15.0 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +49.0 | +5.5 | -10.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Darren M. Rebelez President and Chief Execut | $14.7M | 88% equity+incentive |
| Ena Williams Chief Operating Officer | $5.1M | 83% equity+incentive |
| Stephen P. Bramlage, Jr. Chief Financial Off | $4.9M | 82% equity+incentive |
| Thomas P. Brennan, Jr. Chief Merchandising O | $3.2M | 78% equity+incentive |
| Chad M. Frazell Chief Human Resources Office | $3.0M | 78% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 59 |
| Social | 58 |
| Governance | 66 |
| Composite ESG | 61 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Earnings Release; Shareholder Vote; Exhibits | 2.02,5.07,9.01 |
| 2026-06-24 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-06-09 | Earnings Release; Officer/Director Change; Bylaws Amendment; Other Eve | 2.02,5.02,5.03,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-06-08 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-03-09 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2025-12-09 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2025-09-08 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Submission of Matters t | 2.02,5.07,9.01 |
| 2025-06-09 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Departure/Election of D | 2.02,5.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2021 to 2026 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-12-07 to 2026-09-08 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-04-30 to 2028-04-30 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 113 rows · 1998 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-09-02 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-04-29 to 2026-07-31 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.