| Profitability | 32/100 |
| Growth | 70/100 |
| Momentum | 93/100 |
| Quality | 60/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 82/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 52/100 |
| Value | 52/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 30/100 |
| Overall | 41.7/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| VST | 27 |
| NRG | 38 |
| TLN | 21 |
| DUK | 47 |
| SO | 43 |
| AEP | 48 |
| CEG | 42 |
Both readings sit below the midpoint — business quality at 42 and price structure at 43 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 41.7 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 41 → 44 → 49 → 42 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 36% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 2,002 → now 1,858 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,858 | 290.0M | $70.4B | 81.9% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,895 | 283.6M | $76.8B | 80.1% |
| 2025 Q4 | 2,002 | 254.2M | $87.8B | 71.8% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,812 | 249.1M | $80.2B | 70.4% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,711 | 256.2M | $80.4B | 72.4% |
| 2025 Q1 | 1,536 | 257.1M | $50.3B | 72.6% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,539 | 253.8M | $54.8B | 71.7% |
| 2024 Q3 | 1,413 | 257.0M | $63.9B | 72.6% |
| 2024 Q2 | 1,304 | 254.6M | $49.0B | 71.9% |
| 2024 Q1 | 1,171 | 259.9M | $44.2B | 73.4% |
| 2023 Q4 | 997 | 261.4M | $28.3B | 73.9% |
| 2023 Q3 | 900 | 268.4M | $27.3B | 75.8% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrington Charles L. | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 188 | — | 5,542 |
| Crandall Roger W | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 82 | — | 82 |
| Crandall Roger W | director | 2026-08-11 | BUY | 1,500 | $0.42M | 1,693 |
| Crandall Roger W | director | 2026-08-04 | A-Award | 462 | $0.12M | 462 |
| Harrington Charles L. | director | 2026-06-30 | A-Award | 146 | — | 5,345 |
| Rimmer Nneka Louise | director | 2026-04-28 | A-Award | 556 | $0.17M | 4,475 |
| Richardson John M | director | 2026-04-28 | A-Award | 556 | $0.17M | 16,399 |
| Paterson Eileen P. | director | 2026-04-28 | A-Award | 556 | $0.17M | 1,555 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P — Open-market purchases | 1 | 1,500 | $0.4M | Counted |
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 1 | 19,405 | — | None — mechanics |
| F — Tax withholding | 1 | 7,660 | $2.5M | None — compensation |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Andrew Novotny | 29,727 | $8.2M |
| 2026-09-17 | Andrew Novotny | 9,909 | $2.6M |
| 2026-09-17 | Andrew Novotny | 19,825 | $5.4M |
| 2026-08-21 | Andrew Novotny | 19,825 | $5.4M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 4 filings | 79,286 | $22M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | ECP Calpine Rollover Fund, LP | 0.10% | 0.4M sh |
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital International Investors | 3.30% | 11.9M sh |
| 2026-04-29 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 6.39% | 23.2M sh |
| 2026-03-26 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-10 |
| Lisa C. McClain | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-10-31 | 2025-11-24 |
| Lisa C. McClain | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-24 |
| John Boozman | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-09-11 |
| John Boozman | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-09-11 |
| John Boozman | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-09-10 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Davenport & Co Llc | 443,100 | $114M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 239,866 | $61M |
| Segra Capital Management, Llc | 176,159 | $45M |
| Generate Investment Management Ltd | 134,499 | $34M |
| Czech National Bank | 94,675 | $24M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 76,907 | $21M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $2.7B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $2.7B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $2.7B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $2.7B |
| VFIAX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VFFSX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 5.4M | 37 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 4.2M | 37 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 2.8M | 39 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 2.4M | 28 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 1.9M | 52 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 1.9M | 89 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Constellation Mid Atlantic | $6.5B | 29% |
| Constellation Midwest | $5.8B | 26% |
| Constellation Other Regions | $5.6B | 25% |
| Constellation New York | $2.4B | 11% |
| Constellation ERCOT | $1.9B | 9% |
Moat score 61/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Joseph Dominguez | President, CEO & Chairman |
| Michael R. Koehler | Executive Vice President & Chief Administration Officer |
| Shane Smith | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Bryan Craig Hanson | Senior Executive VP & Chief Generation Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +11.6% | +24.4% | +2.0% | -5.4% | +8.3% |
| Gross profit | -16.2% | -22.1% | +54.6% | +81.4% | +223.2% |
| Operating income | -235.2% | -243.1% | +225.3% | +170.3% | -29.1% |
| Net income | -134.8% | -22.0% | -1114.4% | +131.0% | -38.1% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 19.6 | 24.4 | 24.9 | 23.6 | 25.5 | |
| Cost of revenue | 16.9 | 22.3 | 21.6 | 17.6 | 6.2 | |
| Gross profit | 2.7 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 19.4 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Operating income | -0.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 3.1 | |
| EBITDA | 3.8 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 7.0 | 5.0 | |
| D&A | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 | |
| Pretax income | 0.1 | -0.6 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 3.5 | |
| Income tax | 0.2 | -0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.2 | |
| Net income | -0.2 | -0.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | 2.3 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | -0.63 | -0.47 | 5.01 | 11.90 | 7.40 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 327 | 328 | 324 | 315 | 314 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 3.7 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 4.3 | |
| Total current assets | 9.4 | 8.3 | 10.8 | 12.1 | |
| PP&E (net) | 19.8 | 22.1 | 21.2 | 22.5 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
| Total assets | 46.9 | 50.8 | 52.9 | 57.2 | |
| Accounts payable | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Short-term debt | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 7.8 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 7.9 | |
| Long-term debt | 4.5 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.3 | |
| Total liabilities | 35.5 | 39.5 | 39.4 | 42.4 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 11.4 | 11.3 | 13.5 | 14.9 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | (0.2) | 1.6 | 3.7 | 2.3 | |
| D&A | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.6 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | (5.2) | (9.9) | (7.3) | (1.0) | |
| Operating cash flow | (2.4) | (5.3) | (2.5) | 4.2 | |
| Capital expenditures | (1.7) | (2.4) | (2.6) | (2.9) | |
| Investing cash flow | 3.1 | 3.0 | 7.4 | (3.2) | |
| Buybacks | (1.8) | (1.0) | (1.0) | (0.4) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.2) | (0.4) | (0.4) | (0.5) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (2.3) | 3.5 | (0.8) | 0.6 | |
| Financing cash flow | (0.8) | 2.2 | (2.3) | (0.4) | |
| Free cash flow | (4.0) | (7.7) | (5.0) | 1.3 |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | ||||||
| ROE | -1.4% | 14.8% | 31.1% | 16.8% | 15% | |
| ROA | -0.3% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | |
| ROIC | 2.4% | 5.3% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | |
| Gross margin | 8.7% | 13.3% | 25.4% | 75.8% | 22.2% | |
| Operating margin | 2.0% | 6.5% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% | |
| Net margin | -0.7% | 6.5% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | |
| EBITDA margin | 12.0% | 16.9% | 29.6% | 19.6% | 25.5% | |
| FCF margin | -16.5% | -31.0% | -21.3% | 5.0% | — | |
| VALUATION | ||||||
| P/E | -174.04 | 22.74 | 18.63 | 47.83 | 26.3 | |
| P/B | 2.51 | 3.38 | 5.31 | 7.64 | 3.0 | |
| P/S | 1.13 | 1.48 | 2.96 | 4.34 | 3.07 | |
| P/FCF | -6.85 | -4.78 | -13.89 | 86.12 | 311.2 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.72 | 10.87 | 10.80 | 20.05 | 15.0 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.35 | 1.84 | 3.19 | 4.55 | 3.8 | |
| Earnings yield | -0.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 3.61% | |
| FCF yield | -14.6% | -20.9% | -7.2% | 1.2% | 0.32% | |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | ||||||
| Current ratio | 1.19 | 1.31 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.46 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.00 | 1.08 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.20 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.52 | 0.85 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.77 | |
| Debt / assets | 12.3% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 25.1% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.74 | 2.11 | 0.77 | 0.91 | 2.96 | |
| Interest coverage | 2.61 | 3.95 | 8.43 | 8.15 | — | |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | ||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.32 | |
| Receivables turnover | 9.45 | 11.03 | 9.33 | 6.92 | 6.7 | |
| DSO (days) | 39 | 33 | 39 | 53 | 54 | |
| DPO (days) | 46 | 24 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 17 | 35 | 71 | 151 | 105 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | ||||||
| Revenue growth | — | 2.0% | -5.4% | 8.3% | — | |
| Net income growth | — | 1121.4% | 130.8% | -38.1% | — | |
| EPS growth | — | 1150.1% | 135.3% | -38.1% | — | |
| FCF growth | — | -91.1% | 34.9% | 125.6% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | ||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | -0.48 | 5.08 | 11.94 | 7.39 | 9.79 | |
| Book value / share | 33.49 | 34.14 | 41.93 | 46.23 | 91.31 | |
| Revenue / share | 74.29 | 77.87 | 75.06 | 81.32 | 88.33 | |
| FCF / share | -12.29 | -24.13 | -16.02 | 4.10 | 0.87 | |
| Cash / share | 1.28 | 1.15 | 9.62 | 11.94 | 3.04 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | ||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 2.24% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.06 | 1.23 | 1.97 | 2.49 | 1.5 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 4/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | — | -1.89 | -1.93 | -2.24 | -2.11 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 4 / 9 | Middling | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.5 | Distress (<1.81) | Distress |
| Income quality | 1.21 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.11 | Elevated | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.68 |
| Interest burden | 0.96 |
| Operating margin | 17.0% |
| Asset turnover | 0.41× |
| Financial leverage | 3.33× |
| = ROE | 15% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.37 |
| Earnings stability | 0.96 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.94 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 5.8% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 60.3% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | — |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VST | $51.0B | 25.3 | 43% | 7.6% | -28.4% | 7/9 | -27.8% |
| NRG | $21.8B | 27.3 | 24% | 6.8% | +12.9% | 6/9 | -38.2% |
| TLN | $16.8B | -87.8 | -13% | -12.3% | +65.8% | 4/9 | -15.1% |
| DUK | $94.7B | 18.2 | 10% | 14.4% | +6.7% | 8/9 | -1.3% |
| SO | $104.9B | 21.9 | 13% | 16.8% | +6.4% | 8/9 | — |
| AEP | $69.2B | 21.8 | 10% | 13.1% | +7.7% | 5/9 | — |
| D | $55.9B | 22.0 | 9% | 7.5% | +20.3% | 6/9 | — |
| NEE | $166.5B | 17.9 | 17% | 41.7% | +12.1% | 6/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $33.57B | $40.50B / $27.93B | $12.06 | $12.36 / $11.64 | 10 |
| FY2027 | $34.42B | $44.93B / $22.29B | $13.31 | $14.37 / $12.56 | 11 |
| FY2028 | $36.26B | $41.02B / $31.82B | $16.82 | $19.37 / $14.46 | 9 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $350.00 | +29.0% | 1 |
| Last Quarter | $360.50 | +32.8% | 10 |
| Last Year | $370.79 | +36.6% | 24 |
| All Time | $294.71 | +8.6% | 59 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $273.81 | -2.44 | -0.89% | Below |
| SMA 50 | $275.63 | -4.26 | -1.55% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $284.14 | -12.77 | -4.49% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $280.71 | -9.34 | -3.33% | Below |
| EMA 21 | $277.73 | -6.36 | -2.29% | Below |
| EMA 50 | $274.67 | -3.30 | -1.20% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $283.48 | -12.11 | -4.27% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $273.08 / $278.54 / $282.09 | S1 / S2 | $269.53 / $264.07 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $242.83 – $304.78 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $228.63 – $411.21 | Off 52-wk high | -34.0% |
| ATR (14) | $13.50 (5.0%) | Historical vol | 60.6% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | CEG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 6.18% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +10.8% / -13.0% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -37.4% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -11.8% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Reading | CEG | Independent Power Producers n=141 | Utilities n=1,247 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +3.3 | -11.5 | -13.6 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +8.3 | -23.2 | -17.2 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +10.8 | +0.2 | -4.2 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +44.5 | +15.0 | +0.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Joseph Dominguez President and Chief Executi | $16.2M | 86% equity+incentive |
| Bryan C. Hanson Executive Vice President and | $7.4M | 58% equity+incentive |
| Daniel Eggers Executive Vice President and C | $5.0M | 80% equity+incentive |
| James McHugh Executive Vice President and Ch | $4.1M | 74% equity+incentive |
| Kathleen Barrón Executive Vice President and | $4.1M | 74% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 76 |
| Social | 66 |
| Governance | 69 |
| Composite ESG | 70 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Earnings Release; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 2.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-05 | Officer/Director Change; Exhibits | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2026-07-14 | Other Events | 8.01 |
| 2026-06-02 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-05-01 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-04-20 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-03-31 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-03-26 | Officer/Director Change; Exhibits | 5.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 19 rows · 2022-02-25 to 2026-08-06 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 19 rows · 2020 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-04-28 to 2026-09-30 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-03-26 to 2026-08-07 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.