InsiderStreet Equity Research

Produced by InsiderStreet.ai from live production data. It is not investment advice, not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security, and not a recommendation for any investor. Do not rely on it for any investment decision.

Last Close

$120.85

2026-10-16

Market Cap

$18.3B

Volume

1.7M

52-Wk High

$141.96

52-Wk Low

$75.42

Trailing PE

8.9

P/S

2.36

Gross Margin

42.5%

Net Margin

27.1%

ROE

40%

ROIC

16%

Piotroski

8/9

Altman Z

3.7

1-Yr Return

+46.5%

5-Yr Return

+193.4%

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global producer and distributor of hydrogen and nitrogen-based products. These essential chemicals serve a variety of purposes worldwide, including energy generation, agricultural fertilization, environmental emissions reduction, and numerous other industrial applications. The company's core product lineup features vital nitrogen compounds such as anhydrous ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), and different forms of ammonium nitrate. In addition to these primary offerings, CF Industries also provides specialized chemicals like diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid, and aqua ammonia, alongside complex fertilizers containing nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. Its diverse customer base includes agricultural cooperatives, independent fertilizer distributors, commodity traders, wholesalers, and a wide array of industrial end-users. Founded in 1946, the firm is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.

SectorBasic MaterialsIndustryAgricultural InputsExchangeNYSEMarket Cap$18.3BEmployees2,900 (SEC-filed)CEOChristopher D. BohnIPO2005-08-11CountryUS

2375 Waterview Drive, Northbrook, IL 60062 · Tel 847 405 2400 · cfindustries.com

INSIDERSTREET SCORE83 / 100Street mean $128.17 (6 analysts, last qtr) — their number, not ours

INSIDER CONSENSUS SIGNALROUTINE SELLING — LOW SIGNAL$61M sold / 6 mo, zero open-market buys

INSIDERSTREET
SCORE83of 100

Score Breakdown

Profitability	90/100
Growth	76/100
Momentum	97/100
Quality	92/100
Earnings Quality	79/100
Balance Sheet	81/100
Value	84/100
Risk (safety)	90/100
Overall	83.5/100

Each component is a diagnostic reading on its own 0-100 scale. The overall score is computed separately from the underlying financials and is not the average of the rows above — components are not equally weighted and three of them (Momentum, Value, Risk) are derived partly from price rather than from the business.

Peer Comparison — IS Score

Symbol	IS Score
NTR	63
CTVA	41
MOS	23
SMG	55
PAAS	89
IP	20
CF	83

IS Score Trend — quarterly

14 quarters, 23 Q1 to 26 Q2. Peak 85 in 23 Q1, latest 83 — -1 since. Fell in 1 of the last 4 quarters. Dashed line marks 40 on the 0-100 scale.

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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

1 Year vs S&P 500 · CF +46.5% · S&P 500 +15.9% · spread +30.6pp

7 Years vs S&P 500 · CF +193.4% · S&P 500 +189.9% · spread +3.5pp

Both charts indexed to 100 at the start of their window and drawn on a single shared scale, so the gap to the benchmark is the gap you see. Adjusted closes throughout.

BUSINESS QUALITY83 / 100IS Score 83.5 / 100 · -1.2 from peak of 85

Fundamental factor model, quarterly. Measures how the business is doing - not where the price is going.

PRICE STRUCTURELEAN BULLISHTechnical Score 61 / 100 · Power +22 · 16 of 22 indicator votes bullish

Vote share across trend, momentum, volume, volatility and pattern families. Describes where the price is, not where it is going.

Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 83 and price structure at 61 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.

Trigger	Where it stands now	What it would mean
IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters	now 83.5	would move us up one band
IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior	last four: 74 → 74 → 79 → 83	the direction matters more than the level
Technical vote share back above 50%	now 73%	price structure no longer broken
Institutional holder count rises two quarters running	peak 970 → now 970	fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning

We publish these so the view can be shown to be wrong. If none of them move and our reading does, we owe you an explanation.

This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Site Convergence Score2 of 4top 13% of 29,420 symbols

Sources Aligned— of 3independent disclosures

Congress (180d)0 buysnone disclosed

Insider Buys (180d)0none disclosed

ETF Funds (30d)924 up / 811 downnet +113 funds

Institutions Added (13F)51managers opening or increasing

Congressional and insider figures are disclosed purchases in the trailing 180 days; ETF figures are COUNTS OF FUNDS whose holding changed in 30 days, not dollars. Coincidence of separate disclosures, not coordination. An absent source means nothing qualifying was disclosed in its window.

Institutions holding — 12 quarters

Peak 970 · latest 970 (+0 from peak).

Quarter	Holders	13F shares	Value	Reported own%	Guard
2026 Q2	970	160.3M	$16.0B	104.4%	ex-outlier 95.9%
2026 Q1	919	150.6M	$18.2B	98.0%
2025 Q4	813	159.7M	$11.5B	104.0%	ex-outlier 91.2%
2025 Q3	793	159.0M	$13.5B	103.5%
2025 Q2	807	166.7M	$14.5B	108.5%
2025 Q1	761	166.0M	$12.3B	108.1%
2024 Q4	784	164.9M	$13.0B	107.4%
2024 Q3	710	163.8M	$12.7B	106.6%
2024 Q2	698	171.0M	$11.6B	111.3%
2024 Q1	747	178.2M	$13.5B	116.0%
2023 Q4	737	175.3M	$12.7B	114.1%
2023 Q3	706	180.9M	$14.2B	117.7%

How to read ownership above 100%. A 13F reports the positions a manager has investment discretion over, and where two or more managers share discretion over the same block, each one reports it. Summed across filers, the total can therefore exceed the shares actually outstanding without anything being wrong. We publish the figure as filed rather than netting it down, and flag separately any quarter where the arithmetic is not merely high but impossible.

Why 2026-06 reads 104.36%. Institutions cannot hold more of a company than exists. The reported 160.3M shares exceed the 153.6M outstanding, and a single filer accounts for the excess: BlackRock, Inc. reports 13,029,812 shares against 12,191,733 the prior quarter, a 1x jump, which alone would be 8.5% of the company. Excluding that filing, ownership is 95.9%. We publish both figures. 13F filings are due 45 days after quarter end and amendments keep arriving after that, so the newest quarter is provisional by construction - this is what an unsettled quarter looks like.

Why 2025-12 reads 103.95%. Institutions cannot hold more of a company than exists. The reported 159.7M shares exceed the 153.6M outstanding, and a single filer accounts for the excess: VANGUARD GROUP INC reports 19,561,463 shares against 19,768,207 the prior quarter, a 1x jump, which alone would be 12.7% of the company. Excluding that filing, ownership is 91.2%. We publish both figures. 13F filings are due 45 days after quarter end and amendments keep arriving after that, so the newest quarter is provisional by construction - this is what an unsettled quarter looks like.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Insider	Role	Date	Type	Shares	Value	Post-Txn Owned
Scribner Andrew	EVP and CFO	2026-05-26	A-Award	6,464	—	6,464
Dehaas Deborah L	director	2026-04-28	A-Award	1,390	—	12,233
Wagler Theresa E	director	2026-04-28	A-Award	1,390	—	36,464
Eaves John W	director	2026-04-28	A-Award	1,390	—	27,336
Ellerbusch Susan A	director	2026-04-28	A-Award	1,390	—	7,323
Madrazo Yris Jesus	director	2026-04-28	A-Award	1,390	—	12,473
Noonan Anne P	director	2026-04-28	A-Award	2,208	—	34,870
Toelle Michael	director	2026-04-28	A-Award	1,390	—	27,336

6-mo decomposition (Form 4)	Txns	Shares	Value	Signal weight
S — Open-market sales	35	552,323	$61.0M	Counted
F — Tax withholding	9	34,969	$3.5M	None — compensation
G — Gifts	1	1,973	—	None
P — Open-market purchases	0	0	$0	Counted — none occurred

Monthly Net Insider Flow (000 shares)

Net of acquisitions minus dispositions, all Form 4 types.

Signal Summary

SignalRoutine Selling — Low Signal

Open-Market Sells$61.0M35 txns / 6 mo

Open-Market Buys$0.0M0 txns / 6 mo

ClusterNone active3+ insiders / 21 days

Filed	Filer	Shares registered	Est. proceeds
2026-05-22	Stephen J Hagge	3,293	$0.4M
2026-03-17	Frost Bert A	6,000	$0.8M
2026-03-17	Hoker Richard A	3,499	$0.4M
2026-03-17	Mayer Erik M.	1,500	$0.2M
Trailing 12 mo	26 filings	642,375	$69M

Filed	Form	Reporting person	% of class	Shares
2026-04-29	SCHEDULE 13G	Vanguard Portfolio Management	5.05%	7.8M sh
2026-04-29	SCHEDULE 13G	Vanguard Capital Management	7.41%	11.4M sh
2026-03-26	SCHEDULE 13G/A	The Vanguard Group	—	exit/reporting change
2026-02-09	SCHEDULE 13G	STATE STREET CORPORATION	5.00%	7.9M sh

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Member	Chamber	Trade	Size band	Traded	Disclosed
Gilbert Cisneros	House	BUY	$1,001 - $15,000	2026-01-09	2026-02-16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros	House	BUY	$1,001 - $15,000	2026-01-08	2026-02-13
Ro Khanna	House	SELL	$1,001 - $15,000	2025-09-05	2025-10-03
Pete Ricketts	Senate	SELL	$50,001 - $100,000	2023-09-21	2023-10-20
Pete Ricketts	Senate	SELL	$50,001 - $100,000	2023-09-21	2023-10-19
John Peter Ricketts	Senate	SELL	$50,001 - $100,000	2023-09-21	2023-10-19

House 12-Mo3 trades2 purchases

Senate 12-Mo0 tradesNone purchases

CoverageSTOCK Act filings30-45 day disclosure lag

13F Filers (last complete Q)919

13F Shares151M98.0% of shares out

New / Closed213 / 91positions, QoQ

Increased / Reduced314 / 300positions, QoQ

Put/Call (13F)1.06option positions

Free Float99.4%150M sh

2.8 · Largest Reporting 13F Managers

Manager	Shares	Value
Ninety One Uk Ltd	495,823	$57M
Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic	251,726	$26M
Vontobel Holding Ltd.	120,037	$14M
Y-Intercept	107,538	$12M
Assenagon Asset Management S.A.	103,419	$12M
Wedge Capital Management L L P/Nc	96,869	$11M

EDGAR 13F holdings as of 2026-09-30; filer values normalized to dollars.

2.9 · Top ETF & Fund Ownership

Fund	Weight	Position
VITSX	0.0%	$553M
VTI	0.0%	$553M
VTSAX	0.0%	$553M
VSMPX	0.0%	$553M
VOO	0.0%	$458M
VFINX	0.0%	$458M

13F Filers Holding CF — quarterly

Institutional Put/Call — quarterly

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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Daily short-sale volume as % of volume reported in FINRA's short-sale file — a flow measure, not short interest; dashed = 50-day average.

Latest Session58.9%2026-10-15

20-Day Avg47.1%50-day 52.2%

TrendFalling20d vs 50d

By Market CenterQ: 58% · N: 86% · B: 25%latest session

Weekly Notional ($B)

Where CF Trades in the Dark

ATS Venue (4-wk)	Shares	Avg trade
Incr Intelligent Cross Llc	2.2M	46 sh
Ubsa Ubs Ats	2.0M	42 sh
Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1)	1.4M	42 sh
Ebxl Level Ats	1.3M	26 sh
Sgmt Sigma X2	1.1M	40 sh
Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4)	0.9M	134 sh

Where a dollar of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. revenue goes. All values FY2025 filings, live.

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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Region	Revenue	Share
UNITED STATES	$5.3B	60%
Non-US	$1.7B	20%
All Regions Outside of US and Canada	$712M	8%
CANADA	$598M	7%
United Kingdom [Domain]	$378M	4%
North America	$58M	1%

CF (live moat model)Peer median: NTR · CTVA · MOS · SMG · PAAS

Component scores from the live moat model. Peer median illustrative.

Moat score 57/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.

3.8 · Employees (SEC filings)

Officer	Title
Christopher D. Bohn	President, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Bert A. Frost	Executive Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer
Susan L. Menzel	Executive Vice President & Chief Administrative Officer
Michael McGrane	Senior Vice President, Gen. Counsel & Sec.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Revenue ($B)

EPS ($) — GAAP diluted actual, street-basis estimate

Actual bars are GAAP diluted EPS from the filed income statement; the lighter forward bars are street-basis consensus. The two are different measures and are not comparable quarter to quarter.

Quarterly EPS — Actual vs. Consensus

Beats (>2%)3 of 6recent quarters

Avg Surprise+13.3%

Next Report2026-11-04

Income Quality1.22OCF ÷ net income

Beat Rate—%0 of 0 quarters

Current Streak0longest 0

Avg EPS Surprise—%median —%

Surprise Trend—last 4 vs prior 4

Period	EPS est.	EPS actual	EPS surprise	Rev est. ($M)	Rev actual ($M)	Rev surprise

Announcement dates to . Consensus as it stood at each report. Revenue surprise shown where both estimate and actual are filed. A beat record is history, not a forecast.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Profit Margins (%)

Revenue by Segment — Stacked

Live segmentation data.

YoY Growth Heatmap — Income Lines

YoY growth	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Revenue	+58.5%	+71.1%	-40.7%	-10.5%	+19.3%
Gross profit	+183.1%	+149.6%	-55.1%	-22.3%	+32.5%
Operating income	+240.4%	+162.0%	-57.9%	-25.9%	+35.5%
Net income	+189.3%	+264.9%	-54.4%	-20.1%	+19.5%

$B · FY ends	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Revenue	6.5	11.2	6.6	5.9	7.1
Cost of revenue	4.2	5.3	4.0	3.9	4.4
Gross profit	2.4	5.9	2.6	2.1	2.7
R&D expense	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
SG&A expense	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.4
Operating income	2.1	5.6	2.4	1.7	2.4
EBITDA	2.6	6.3	3.3	2.8	3.3
D&A	0.9	0.8	0.9	0.9	0.9
Pretax income	1.5	5.1	2.2	1.8	2.2
Income tax	0.3	1.2	0.4	0.3	0.4
Net income	0.9	3.3	1.5	1.2	1.5
Diluted EPS ($)	4.24	16.39	7.87	6.74	8.97
Diluted shares (M)	216	204	194	181	162

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Operating CF$3B

CapEx$1B

Free cash flow$2B

SBC$0B

Buybacks$0B

Net cash change$0B

Balance Sheet — Full

$B	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Cash & equivalents	2.3	2.0	1.6	2.0
ST investments	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Receivables (net)	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.5
Total current assets	3.7	3.1	2.5	3.0
PP&E (net)	6.7	7.4	7.0	7.1
Goodwill + intangibles	2.1	3.0	3.0	3.0
Total assets	13.3	14.4	13.5	14.1
Accounts payable	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.7
Short-term debt	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
Deferred revenue	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1
Total current liabilities	1.0	0.8	0.8	0.9
Long-term debt	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.5
Total liabilities	5.5	6.0	5.9	6.3
Shareholders' equity	7.9	8.4	7.6	7.8

Cash Flow Statement — Full

$B	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25
Net income	3.9	1.5	1.5	1.8
D&A	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9
Stock-based compensation	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Working capital change	(0.9)	0.2	0.0	(0.1)
Operating cash flow	3.9	2.8	2.3	2.8
Capital expenditures	(0.5)	(0.5)	(0.5)	(1.0)
Investing cash flow	(0.4)	(1.7)	(0.5)	(0.9)
Buybacks	(1.3)	(0.6)	(1.5)	0.0
Dividends paid	(0.3)	(0.3)	(0.4)	(0.3)
Debt issuance / (repay)	(0.5)	0.0	0.0	0.0
Financing cash flow	(2.7)	(1.4)	(2.2)	(1.5)
Free cash flow	3.4	2.3	1.8	1.8

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Balance Sheet Structure ($B)

Cash Generation vs Capex ($B)

Left: what the balance sheet is made of — the gap between the assets bar and the liabilities bar is book equity. Right: whether the capex bar is covered by the operating-cash bar; where it is not, the difference was funded externally and free cash flow goes negative.

Ratio	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25	TTM
PROFITABILITY
ROE	29.9%	81.0%	28.3%	22.8%	29.6%	40%
ROA	7.5%	26.1%	11.0%	8.7%	10.6%	13.9%
ROIC	30.8%	72.7%	27.8%	22.1%	30.6%	16.5%
Gross margin	36.1%	52.7%	39.9%	34.6%	38.5%	42.5%
Operating margin	32.7%	50.1%	35.5%	29.4%	33.4%	38.1%
Net margin	14.0%	29.9%	23.0%	20.5%	20.5%	27.1%
EBITDA margin	39.9%	56.1%	49.3%	47.6%	46.5%	53.8%
FCF margin	35.9%	30.3%	15.5%	29.5%	25.4%	—
VALUATION
P/E	15.27	4.69	9.46	11.87	8.30	8.9
P/B	4.37	3.11	2.52	2.90	2.50	3.2
P/S	2.14	1.40	2.18	2.44	1.70	2.36
P/FCF	5.96	4.62	13.99	8.26	6.70	9.6
EV/EBITDA	6.18	2.63	4.78	5.73	4.26	4.7
EV/Revenue	2.46	1.48	2.36	2.71	1.98	2.5
Earnings yield	6.5%	21.3%	10.6%	8.4%	12.1%	11.31%
FCF yield	16.8%	21.6%	7.1%	12.1%	14.9%	10.44%

Ratio	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25	TTM
LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY
Current ratio	1.81	3.69	3.81	3.08	3.37	4.86
Quick ratio	1.53	3.22	3.44	2.70	2.93	4.32
Debt / equity	1.16	0.64	0.57	0.65	0.82	0.63
Debt / assets	30.0%	24.2%	22.5%	24.1%	28.0%	23.9%
Net debt / EBITDA	0.80	0.14	0.37	0.58	0.60	0.27
Interest coverage	9.39	14.81	15.99	15.56	15.45	—

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Ratio	FY21	FY22	FY23	FY24	FY25	TTM
EFFICIENCY
Asset turnover	0.54	0.87	0.48	0.43	0.51	0.51
Receivables turnover	18.16	22.24	13.25	14.18	16.36	10.8
DSO (days)	20	16	28	26	22	34
DPO (days)	8	6	8	11	35	53
Cash conversion cycle	41	41	55	43	18	15
GROWTH (YoY)
Revenue growth	58.5%	71.1%	-40.7%	-10.5%	19.3%	—
Net income growth	189.3%	264.9%	-54.4%	-20.1%	19.5%	—
EPS growth	188.5%	298.3%	-52.8%	-12.3%	32.8%	—
FCF growth	154.8%	44.4%	-69.6%	69.8%	2.9%	—
PER SHARE ($)
EPS (diluted, TTM)	4.26	16.95	8.00	7.02	9.32	13.67
Book value / share	14.88	25.59	29.99	28.73	30.99	58.07
Revenue / share	30.34	56.67	34.79	34.21	45.38	50.38
FCF / share	10.90	17.19	5.41	10.09	11.54	12.43
Cash / share	7.55	11.77	10.66	9.30	12.70	16.15
SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES
Buyback yield	3.8%	8.6%	4.0%	10.4%	0.0%	2.44%
Altman Z-Score	2.66	4.57	3.08	2.95	2.39	3.7
Piotroski F-Score	8	9	6	4	8	8/9
Beneish M-Score	-2.51	-2.60	-2.53	-3.03	-2.80	-2.53

Model	Score	Zone	Note
Piotroski F-Score	8 / 9	Strong
Altman Z-Score	3.7	Safe (>2.99)	Safe
Income quality	1.22	Cash-backed	OCF ÷ net income
Beneish M-Score	-2.53	Non-manipulator	vs −2.22 threshold

DuPont Decomposition (TTM)	Value
Tax burden	0.68
Interest burden	0.95
Operating margin	42.3%
Asset turnover	0.54×
Financial leverage	2.69×
= ROE	39%

Growth Quality (live)	Value
Revenue stability	0.25
Earnings stability	0.04
Earnings persistence	0.50
Revenue CAGR 3y	-3.9%
EPS CAGR 3y	3.7%
FCF CAGR 3y	-11.4%

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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Buyback Yield2.44%

Dividend Yield1.74%

Total Shareholder Return4.33%cash yield

SBC / Revenue0.6%dilution pressure

Company	Mkt cap	P/E	ROE	Net margin	Rev growth	Piotroski	1-yr ret
NTR	$34.0B	14.4	9%	11.2%	+8.4%	8/9	+26.4%
CTVA	$8.6B	8.5	4%	18.2%	+3.7%	5/9	+40.9%
MOS	$6.0B	94.1	0%	-9.7%	+5.5%	6/9	-35.5%
SMG	$3.2B	43.7	-39%	9.6%	-2.0%	5/9	+5.7%
PAAS	$18.3B	13.4	22%	27.0%	+38.0%	7/9	—
IP	$18.0B	-5.2	-21%	-0.2%	+10.3%	4/9	—
CRS	$18.7B	35.6	26%	19.1%	+8.6%	9/9	—
DD	$17.6B	283.6	0%	7.9%	-32.7%	8/9	—

1-yr returns computed from adjusted price history; peers without a tracked series show —.

Buy

42 Analysts

Str Sell (0)Sell (6)Hold (15)Buy (21)Str Buy (0)

Mean Target (qtr)$128.176 targets

Target vs. Price+6.1%last-quarter mean

Next Report2026-11-04street $2.98

Consensus estimates	Revenue mean	High / Low	EPS mean	High / Low	# EPS est.
FY2026	$8.14B	$9.79B / $7.64B	$14.97	$16.28 / $13.52	8
FY2027	$7.36B	$8.09B / $6.88B	$11.27	$13.00 / $9.57	9
FY2028	$6.91B	$9.40B / $6.12B	$8.96	$10.58 / $7.22	7

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Street Price Target — Trajectory

Window	Avg Target	vs. Price	# Targets
Last Month	$136.00	+12.5%	2
Last Quarter	$128.17	+6.1%	6
Last Year	$109.88	-9.1%	26
All Time	$99.20	-17.9%	65

Rolling mean of published targets vs. last close $120.85. Aggregated from StreetInsider, Benzinga, Pulse 2.0.

Third-Party Composite Rating

A-

DCF

5/5

ROE

5/5

ROA

5/5

Debt/Eq

1/5

P/E

3/5

P/B

2/5

Independent quant composite as of 2026-10-16; components scored 1–5 (5 best). Shown for contrast with the InsiderStreet Score — methodologies differ.

CF +46.5% vs S&P 500 +15.9% — spread +30.6pp

Sector — XLB +17.8%

Peer Set — indexed to 100

All series indexed to 100 at the start of the window, adjusted closes.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Candlesticks with SMA 20/50 overlay, Bollinger (20,2σ) band, volume, and Wilder RSI(14) — computed from live daily OHLCV.

Moving Average	Value	Distance	% Distance	Signal
SMA 20	$116.86	+3.99	+3.41%	Above
SMA 50	$123.31	-2.46	-1.99%	Below
SMA 200	$114.29	+6.56	+5.74%	Above
EMA 9	$117.74	+3.11	+2.64%	Above
EMA 21	$118.91	+1.94	+1.63%	Above
EMA 50	$120.88	-0.03	-0.02%	Below
EMA 200	$113.57	+7.28	+6.41%	Above

Series and readings from the nightly technical-indicator history — identical data to the site's ribbon chart. Supertrend segments colored by direction.

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

TECHNICAL VERDICTLEAN BULLISHPower Score +2216 of 22 indicator votes bullish

Family Scores (site weights)

Trend 30%44

Momentum 25%90

Volume 20%56

Volatility 10%67

Patterns 15%50

This Week73% bullishof 11 price-based votes

4 Weeks Ago45%+28 pts since

12 Weeks Ago100%-27 pts since

ReadImprovingweek-over-week trajectory

Price vs SMA 20$116.86

Price vs SMA 50$123.31

Price vs SMA 200$114.29

EMA 9/21 Cross117.7/118.9

SMA 50/200Golden

ADX DirectionADX 24

Supertrend$127

Parabolic SAR$111

SMA Slope-0.340

RSI52.6

Stochastic K/D85/73

StochRSI K/D100/99

Williams %R-9

CCI87

TSI vs Signal-13.7

CMO5.2

ROC5.13%

OBV SignalAccum

Chaikin MF-0.240

MFI50

Force Index1M

Elder Ray Bull2.53

RSI (14)30 oversold · 70 overbought

Stochastic %Kvs %D 73

Money Flowvolume-weighted RSI

ADXtrend strength · <20 weak

Williams %Rinverted scale

Level	Value	Level	Value
Pivot / R1 / R2	$120.05 / $121.71 / $123.66	S1 / S2	$118.10 / $116.44
Bollinger (20,2)	$110.95 – $122.77	Squeeze	Off
52-wk range	$75.42 – $141.96	Off 52-wk high	-14.8%
ATR (14)	$4.16 (3.4%)	Historical vol	26.8%

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

+1.6%Jan55%

+5.3%Feb70%

-2.4%Mar38%

+1.2%Apr55%

+1.5%May70%

+0.7%Jun40%

+5.5%Jul85%

+3.5%Aug65%

+1.4%Sep70%

+1.5%Oct40%

+1.6%Nov60%

+4.1%Dec65%

Sample: 20 years — treat short histories as suggestive, not statistical.

Computed from live weekly prices	CF	S&P 500
Weekly volatility (σ, 1y)	6.33%	1.83%
Best / worst week (1y)	+22.8% / -11.5%	—
Max drawdown (5y, monthly)	-54.9%	—
1-week VaR (95%)	-8.1%	—
Beta (5y)	0.40	1.00

CF EQUITY WEATHER (LIVE)RAINY · -25

Trend-27

Momentum+39

Volume-68

Volatility-60

Breadth-38

MARKET REGIME (2026-10-16)NEUTRAL

VIX19.99Normal

Dow TheoryConfirmed Bearish

SPY / QQQ TSI7.2 / 4.7trend strength

Sector Strength46/100breadth average

Average sentiment of 293 stories, weekly buckets, −1 to +1.

This space intentionally left blank — the next section begins on the following page

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Overall-24.9+9.2 vs industry

Trend-26.9+13.9 vs industry

Momentum+38.6+67.1 vs industry

Volume-68.5-24.6 vs industry

Reading	CF	Agricultural Inputs n=308	Basic Materials n=7,383	All US symbols n=70,435
Overall	-24.9	-34.1	-30.9	-20.5
Trend	-26.9	-40.7	-33.0	-21.3
Momentum	+38.6	-28.4	-31.5	-15.8
Volume	-68.5	-43.9	-34.6	-3.8

Trend, momentum and volume are computed per company. Volatility and breadth are market-regime values shared by every symbol in the universe, so they are reported once under Market Regime rather than compared here - a company cannot differ from its sector on a constant.

Executive	Total comp	Structure
W. Anthony Will President and Chief Executiv	$13.7M	87% equity+incentive
Susan L. Menzel Executive Vice President and	$5.9M	85% equity+incentive
Christopher D. Bohn Executive Vice President	$5.9M	79% equity+incentive
Gregory D. Cameron Executive Vice President	$4.3M	79% equity+incentive
Bert A. Frost Executive Vice President, Sale	$4.3M	76% equity+incentive

Pillar (live disclosure scores)	Score
Environmental	44
Social	52
Governance	60
Composite ESG	52

Composite ESG Trend

Filed	8-K contents	Items
2026-09-03	Officer/Director Change	5.02
2026-08-05	Earnings Release; Exhibits	2.02,9.01
2026-08-05	Earnings Release; Exhibits	2.02,9.01
2026-05-06	Earnings Release; Exhibits	2.02,9.01
2026-05-06	Earnings Release; Exhibits	2.02,9.01
2026-05-05	Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits	5.02,7.01,9.01
2026-05-04	Shareholder Vote	5.07
2026-03-16	Regulation FD Disclosure	7.01

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE — FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.

DISCLOSURES. This document is produced by InsiderStreet.ai from live production data. It is not investment advice, not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security, and not a recommendation tailored to any person. Data is sourced as of the dates shown and may no longer be current. InsiderStreet.ai is not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do not make any investment decision based on this document. © 2026 InsiderStreet.ai — all rights reserved. Redistribution prohibited.

Data domain	Source	Coverage for this report
Price & volume	market_db.historical_prices	52 rows
Fundamentals	income_statements_annual	6 rows · 2020 to 2025
Reported vs consensus	fact/earnings_calendar	24 rows · 2020-11-04 to 2026-08-05
Analyst estimates	dim/forward_estimates	3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31
Institutional ownership (13F)	holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary	86 rows · 2004 to 2026
Insider transactions (Form 4)	edgar/form4	12 rows · 2026-04-28 to 2026-05-26
Proposed sales (Form 144)	edgar/form144	1 record
Beneficial ownership (13D/G)	edgar/13dg	4 rows · 2026-02-09 to 2026-04-29
Short-sale volume (FINRA)	edgar/short_volume_daily	60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15
Dark pool (ATS, tier 1)	edgar/darkpool_weekly	12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31
ETF & fund holding	etf_holdings_changelog (30d)	1 record
Peer set	stock_peers_dynamic	8 rows
Industry medians	industry_medians	1 record
Congressional trades	congress_db (House + Senate)	1 record
ESG	fact/esg_disclosures	1 record

Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.

Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Score Breakdown

Peer Comparison — IS Score

IS Score Trend — quarterly

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Institutions holding — 12 quarters

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Monthly Net Insider Flow (000 shares)

Signal Summary

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

2.8 · Largest Reporting 13F Managers

2.9 · Top ETF & Fund Ownership

13F Filers Holding CF — quarterly

Institutional Put/Call — quarterly

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Where CF Trades in the Dark

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

3.8 · Employees (SEC filings)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Balance Sheet — Full

Cash Flow Statement — Full

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Street Price Target — Trajectory

Third-Party Composite Rating

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Family Scores (site weights)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)