| Profitability | 82/100 |
| Growth | 73/100 |
| Momentum | 90/100 |
| Quality | 88/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 68/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 90/100 |
| Value | 77/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 78.0/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| WRB | 60 |
| MKL | 50 |
| L | 51 |
| RE | 45 |
| AIZ | 59 |
| CNA | 54 |
| CINF | 78 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 78 and price structure at 78 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 78.0 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 50 → 70 → 65 → 78 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 91% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 958 → now 958 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 958 | 117.1M | $21.5B | 75.9% |
| 2026 Q1 | 926 | 107.0M | $16.7B | 69.4% |
| 2025 Q4 | 929 | 108.6M | $17.6B | 70.5% |
| 2025 Q3 | 870 | 106.2M | $16.7B | 68.9% |
| 2025 Q2 | 872 | 108.5M | $16.1B | 70.3% |
| 2025 Q1 | 862 | 108.4M | $15.9B | 70.3% |
| 2024 Q4 | 845 | 105.9M | $15.1B | 68.7% |
| 2024 Q3 | 790 | 103.7M | $14.0B | 67.3% |
| 2024 Q2 | 753 | 104.4M | $12.3B | 67.7% |
| 2024 Q1 | 765 | 103.6M | $12.8B | 67.2% |
| 2023 Q4 | 745 | 102.1M | $10.5B | 66.2% |
| 2023 Q3 | 709 | 101.8M | $10.4B | 66.0% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debbink Dirk J | director | 2026-08-25 | BUY | 1,000 | $0.17M | 62,059 |
| Schiff Charles Odell | director | 2026-08-03 | SELL | 7,600 | $1.33M | 173,455 |
| Kellington John S | EVP, Chief Info Off. -Sub | 2026-06-08 | EXERCISE | 24,221 | $2.08M | 144,588 |
| Kellington John S | EVP, Chief Info Off. -Sub | 2026-06-08 | TAX W/H | 17,536 | $2.87M | 127,052 |
| Kellington John S | EVP, Chief Info Off. -Sub | 2026-06-08 | EXERCISE | 24,221 | $2.08M | 0 |
| Fu Luyang | Sr. VP, Chief Actuary - Sub | 2026-05-28 | EXERCISE | 774 | $0.07M | 11,444 |
| Fu Luyang | Sr. VP, Chief Actuary - Sub | 2026-05-28 | TAX W/H | 99 | $0.02M | 11,345 |
| Fu Luyang | Sr. VP, Chief Actuary - Sub | 2026-05-28 | EXERCISE | 774 | $0.07M | 0 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 1 | 7,600 | $1.3M | Counted |
| P — Open-market purchases | 1 | 1,000 | $0.2M | Counted |
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 58 | 250,380 | $8.6M | None — mechanics |
| F — Tax withholding | 58 | 113,026 | $18.5M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 2 | 3,576 | — | None |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Portfolio Management | 5.22% | 8.1M sh |
| 2026-04-29 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.51% | 11.7M sh |
| 2026-03-26 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-18 | 2026-10-13 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-18 | 2026-10-12 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-10-09 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Fort Washington Investment Advisor | 1.5M | $238M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 299,242 | $48M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 253,231 | $41M |
| Mather Group, Llc. | 97,627 | $16M |
| Venture Visionary Partners Llc | 73,083 | $12M |
| Fjarde Ap-Fonden /Fourth Swedish N | 64,154 | $10M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $776M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $776M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $776M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $776M |
| SCHD | 0.6% | $721M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $642M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 0.7M | 24 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 0.6M | 23 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 0.5M | 15 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 0.5M | 22 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 0.4M | 19 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 0.3M | 134 sh |
Moat score 49/100 — Weak; primary source Network Effects.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Steven Anthony Soloria | Executive Vice President & Chief Investment Officer |
| Stephen Michael Spray | President, Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Michael James Sewell | Chief Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer, Executive Vice President & Treasurer |
| Steven Justus Johnston CERA FCAS MAAA | Executive Chairman |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +27.7% | -31.8% | +52.6% | +13.2% | +11.4% |
| Gross profit | +68.0% | -73.0% | +206.9% | +18.2% | +13.1% |
| Operating income | +146.7% | -118.8% | -428.0% | +25.6% | +4.3% |
| Net income | +144.1% | -116.4% | -478.4% | +24.4% | +4.4% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 9.6 | 6.6 | 10.0 | 11.3 | 12.6 | |
| Cost of revenue | 3.9 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 6.3 | |
| Gross profit | 5.7 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 6.3 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4 | |
| Operating income | 3.7 | -0.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.0 | |
| EBITDA | 3.9 | -0.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.2 | |
| D&A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |
| Pretax income | 3.7 | -0.7 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.0 | |
| Income tax | 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |
| Net income | 3.0 | -0.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.4 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 18.10 | -3.06 | 11.66 | 14.53 | 15.17 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 163 | 159 | 158 | 158 | 158 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | |
| ST investments | 12.1 | 13.8 | 16.5 | 18.3 | |
| Receivables (net) | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 4.2 | |
| Total current assets | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | |
| PP&E (net) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | |
| Total assets | 29.7 | 32.8 | 36.5 | 41.0 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.3 | |
| Total current liabilities | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.6 | |
| Long-term debt | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| Total liabilities | 19.2 | 20.7 | 22.6 | 25.1 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 10.6 | 12.1 | 13.9 | 15.9 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | (0.5) | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.4 | |
| D&A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | |
| Operating cash flow | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.1 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.0) | (0.0) | (0.0) | (0.0) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.9) | (1.6) | (1.7) | (1.7) | |
| Buybacks | (0.4) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.2) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.4) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.0) | (0.0) | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Financing cash flow | (1.0) | (0.8) | (0.9) | (1.0) | |
| Free cash flow | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 24.7% | -4.1% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 21% | |
| ROA | 10.0% | -1.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | |
| ROIC | -1852.8% | 28.2% | -106.8% | -86.4% | -82.4% | 15.1% | |
| Gross margin | 59.4% | 23.5% | 47.3% | 49.4% | 50.1% | 52.3% | |
| Operating margin | 38.4% | -10.6% | 22.7% | 25.2% | 23.6% | 29.8% | |
| Net margin | 30.8% | -7.4% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 23.8% | |
| EBITDA margin | 40.2% | -7.8% | 24.4% | 26.8% | 25.3% | 31.3% | |
| FCF margin | 20.4% | 31.0% | 20.3% | 23.2% | 24.6% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 5.71 | -30.95 | 8.49 | 9.72 | 10.77 | 8.0 | |
| P/B | 1.28 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.6 | |
| P/S | 1.75 | 2.30 | 1.56 | 1.96 | 2.04 | 1.88 | |
| P/FCF | 8.55 | 7.40 | 7.69 | 8.48 | 8.31 | 7.7 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.93 | -5.21 | 0.74 | 1.87 | 2.17 | 5.8 | |
| EV/Revenue | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.18 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 1.8 | |
| Earnings yield | 17.5% | -3.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.60% | |
| FCF yield | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.99% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | — | — | — | — | 1.29 | 1.90 | |
| Quick ratio | — | — | — | — | 1.29 | 1.90 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Debt / assets | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -3.48 | 25.37 | -5.66 | -5.45 | -5.88 | -0.20 | |
| Interest coverage | 70.25 | -12.09 | 43.15 | 54.92 | 40.60 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.32 | |
| Receivables turnover | 3.84 | 2.34 | 3.21 | 3.37 | 3.46 | 3.1 | |
| DSO (days) | 95 | 156 | 114 | 108 | 105 | 116 | |
| DPO (days) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 95 | 156 | 114 | 108 | 105 | 116 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 27.8% | -31.9% | 52.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | — | |
| Net income growth | 142.3% | -116.5% | 478.4% | 24.4% | 4.4% | — | |
| EPS growth | 141.7% | -117.0% | 479.4% | 24.4% | 4.4% | — | |
| FCF growth | 33.7% | 3.6% | -0.1% | 29.2% | 18.1% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 18.13 | -3.08 | 11.68 | 14.53 | 15.17 | 21.58 | |
| Book value / share | 80.65 | 66.76 | 76.67 | 88.36 | 100.86 | 107.83 | |
| Revenue / share | 59.26 | 41.48 | 63.45 | 71.89 | 80.03 | 90.51 | |
| FCF / share | 12.10 | 12.88 | 12.89 | 16.66 | 19.66 | 22.14 | |
| Cash / share | 87.14 | 84.68 | 93.14 | 110.74 | 124.90 | 220.72 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.58% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.81 | 1.17 | 1.55 | 1.74 | 1.90 | 2.4 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.23 | -2.66 | -2.43 | -2.13 | -2.71 | -2.85 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 2.4 | Grey zone | Grey |
| Income quality | 1.03 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.85 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.80 |
| Interest burden | 0.99 |
| Operating margin | 30.1% |
| Asset turnover | 0.34× |
| Financial leverage | 2.64× |
| = ROE | 21% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.78 |
| Earnings stability | 0.14 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.50 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 14.2% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 35.5% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 17.5% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRB | $28.0B | 15.4 | 20% | 6.6% | +26.0% | 8/9 | +5.3% |
| MKL | $22.9B | 10.1 | 13% | 22.5% | +6.7% | 7/9 | -1.6% |
| L | $22.6B | 13.5 | 10% | 9.4% | +4.3% | 8/9 | +12.8% |
| RE | $15.3B | 8.0 | 13% | 14.1% | -5.1% | 5/9 | — |
| AIZ | $14.0B | 13.3 | 18% | 8.6% | +9.4% | 7/9 | +37.0% |
| CNA | $13.0B | 10.5 | 12% | 8.4% | +4.5% | 8/9 | — |
| AFG | $12.4B | 13.0 | 20% | 12.4% | -1.1% | 6/9 | — |
| ERIE | $11.3B | 19.7 | 25% | 16.5% | +9.7% | 6/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $10.57B | $10.59B / $10.53B | $8.52 | $8.93 / $8.23 | 6 |
| FY2027 | $11.04B | $11.16B / $10.87B | $9.00 | $9.58 / $8.68 | 6 |
| FY2028 | $11.31B | $11.37B / $11.20B | $9.33 | $10.10 / $8.67 | 3 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Quarter | $200.00 | +16.8% | 1 |
| Last Year | $184.43 | +7.7% | 7 |
| All Time | $161.69 | -5.6% | 13 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $163.83 | +7.42 | +4.53% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $168.14 | +3.11 | +1.85% | Above |
| SMA 200 | $167.28 | +3.97 | +2.37% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $166.30 | +4.95 | +2.98% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $165.70 | +5.55 | +3.35% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $167.81 | +3.44 | +2.05% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $166.55 | +4.70 | +2.82% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $168.04 / $169.94 / $172.67 | S1 / S2 | $165.31 / $163.41 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $158.55 – $169.11 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $150.00 – $194.81 | Off 52-wk high | -12.1% |
| ATR (14) | $2.97 (1.7%) | Historical vol | 17.8% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | CINF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 2.79% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +6.7% / -6.7% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -53.1% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -4.4% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.55 | 1.00 |
| Reading | CINF | Insurance - Property & Casualty n=188 | Financial Services n=24,134 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +3.2 | -10.0 | -16.3 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +33.6 | +1.7 | -12.5 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +50.7 | +14.3 | -4.4 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -41.5 | -7.5 | +0.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Steven J. Johnston Executive Chairman of the | $0.4M | 298% equity+incentive |
| Michael J. Sewell Chief Financial Officer, E | $0.3M | 494% equity+incentive |
| Teresa C. Cracas Chief Risk Officer and Exec | $0.2M | 519% equity+incentive |
| John S. Kellington Chief Information Officer | $0.2M | 586% equity+incentive |
| Stephen M. Spray President and Chief Executi | $0.0M | 6120% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 44 |
| Social | 47 |
| Governance | 55 |
| Composite ESG | 49 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Material Agreement; Financial Obligation; Exhibits | 1.01,2.03,9.01 |
| 2026-08-25 | Regulation FD; Other Events; Exhibits | 7.01,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-21 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-07-27 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-06-22 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-06-16 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-05-19 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-05-06 | Shareholder Vote; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.07,7.01,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-26 to 2026-07-27 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 120 rows · 1995 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-07 to 2026-08-25 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | not present for this symbol |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 3 rows · 2026-03-26 to 2026-04-29 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.