| Profitability | 75/100 |
| Growth | 53/100 |
| Momentum | 74/100 |
| Quality | 80/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 82/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 60/100 |
| Value | 56/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 65/100 |
| Overall | 56.5/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| ICE | 59 |
| SPGI | 74 |
| MCO | 79 |
| NDAQ | 64 |
| COIN | 34 |
| MSCI | 74 |
| CME | 56 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 56 and price structure at 87 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 56.5 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 56 → 58 → 59 → 56 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 91% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,790 → now 1,700 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,700 | 322.8M | $70.3B | 89.7% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,790 | 319.5M | $92.1B | 88.8% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,719 | 321.8M | $85.1B | 89.4% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,631 | 315.0M | $82.3B | 87.5% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,649 | 320.7M | $85.8B | 89.1% |
| 2025 Q1 | 1,587 | 322.9M | $85.7B | 89.7% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,491 | 317.2M | $71.1B | 88.1% |
| 2024 Q3 | 1,381 | 313.0M | $67.7B | 86.9% |
| 2024 Q2 | 1,374 | 312.2M | $60.0B | 86.7% |
| 2024 Q1 | 1,369 | 314.6M | $66.3B | 87.4% |
| 2023 Q4 | 1,357 | 314.6M | $65.1B | 87.4% |
| 2023 Q3 | 1,221 | 312.1M | $61.6B | 86.7% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepard William R | director | 2026-09-25 | BUY | 293 | $0.08M | 263,289 |
| Winkler Julie | Sr MD Chief Commercial Officer | 2026-09-16 | TAX W/H | 359 | $0.10M | 31,561 |
| Vroman Ken | Chief Transformation Officer | 2026-09-16 | TAX W/H | 308 | $0.08M | 20,232 |
| Tobin Jack J | MD Chief Accounting Officer | 2026-09-16 | TAX W/H | 51 | $0.01M | 25,762 |
| Sprague Suzanne | COO & Global Head of Clearing | 2026-09-16 | TAX W/H | 308 | $0.08M | 15,548 |
| Sammann Derek | Sr MD Gl Hd Commodities Mkts | 2026-09-16 | TAX W/H | 359 | $0.10M | 10,134 |
| Mccourt Timothy Francis | Sr MD Global Head Equity & FX | 2026-09-16 | TAX W/H | 364 | $0.10M | 13,366 |
| Marchese John Clifford | Sr MD, General Counsel | 2026-09-16 | TAX W/H | 44 | $0.01M | 3,598 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 10 | 68,995 | $20.5M | Counted |
| P — Open-market purchases | 5 | 2,101 | $0.6M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 54 | 66,146 | $20.2M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 1 | 105 | — | None |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Jonathan Marcus | 388 | $0.1M |
| 2026-09-14 | Elizabeth Anne Cook Trust | 500 | $0.1M |
| 2026-05-18 | Hilda Piell 1998 Tr | 5,753 | $1.8M |
| 2026-05-15 | Terrence Duffy | 35,000 | $10.4M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 16 filings | 102,204 | $29M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.45% | 27.0M sh |
| 2026-03-26 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| 2026-03-05 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 10.10% | 36.2M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-06-16 | 2026-07-03 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-06-16 | 2026-07-03 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-06-15 | 2026-07-03 |
| Thomas R. Carper | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-01-17 | 2024-02-02 |
| Thomas R. Carper | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-01-17 | 2024-02-01 |
| Thomas Richard Carper | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-01-17 | 2024-02-01 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Pinestone Asset Management Inc. | 2.6M | $684M |
| Sarasin & Partners Llp | 1.3M | $346M |
| Hamlin Capital Management, Llc | 531,932 | $139M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 391,660 | $103M |
| Montrusco Bolton Investments Inc. | 289,492 | $76M |
| Fjarde Ap-Fonden /Fourth Swedish N | 239,283 | $63M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $3.0B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $3.0B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $3.0B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $3.0B |
| VFIAX | 0.1% | $2.5B |
| VFFSX | 0.1% | $2.5B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 2.6M | 32 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 2.2M | 36 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.4M | 28 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 1.1M | 19 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 1.0M | 80 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 1.0M | 24 sh |
Moat score 58/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Terrence A. Duffy | Chairman & Chief Executive Officer |
| Lynne Fitzpatrick | Senior MD, President & CFO |
| Derek Sammann | Senior MD & Global Head of Commodities Markets |
| Julie Winkler | Senior MD & Chief Commercial Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -4.0% | +7.0% | +11.1% | +9.9% | +6.4% |
| Gross profit | -4.3% | +10.7% | +11.3% | +11.1% | +6.3% |
| Operating income | +0.3% | +14.0% | +13.9% | +14.4% | +7.6% |
| Net income | +25.2% | +2.1% | +19.9% | +9.3% | +14.7% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 6.1 | 6.5 | |
| Cost of revenue | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | |
| Gross profit | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 5.6 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |
| Operating income | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.2 | |
| EBITDA | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.7 | |
| D&A | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Pretax income | 3.4 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 5.3 | |
| Income tax | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | |
| Net income | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 4.0 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 7.29 | 7.40 | 8.86 | 9.67 | 11.16 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 359 | 359 | 360 | 360 | 360 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 4.4 | |
| ST investments | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |
| Total current assets | 139.1 | 94.9 | 103.0 | 5.2 | |
| PP&E (net) | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 30.9 | 30.7 | 30.5 | 30.3 | |
| Total assets | 174.2 | 129.7 | 137.4 | 198.5 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 137.7 | 93.4 | 102.3 | 0.1 | |
| Long-term debt | 3.4 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 3.4 | |
| Total liabilities | 147.3 | 103.0 | 111.0 | 169.8 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 26.9 | 26.7 | 26.5 | 28.7 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 4.0 | |
| D&A | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Working capital change | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.2) | 0.1 | |
| Operating cash flow | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 4.3 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.5) | 0.0 | (0.1) | 1.5 | |
| Buybacks | (0.0) | (0.0) | (0.0) | (0.3) | |
| Dividends paid | (2.6) | (3.2) | (3.6) | (3.9) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.0) | (0.0) | 0.0 | (0.0) | |
| Financing cash flow | (25.4) | (48.3) | 5.1 | 56.5 | |
| Free cash flow | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 16% | |
| ROA | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | |
| ROIC | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | |
| Gross margin | 82.2% | 85.0% | 85.1% | 86.1% | 86.1% | 81.9% | |
| Operating margin | 56.4% | 60.1% | 61.6% | 64.1% | 64.9% | 65.1% | |
| Net margin | 56.2% | 53.6% | 57.8% | 57.5% | 62.0% | 63.1% | |
| EBITDA margin | 83.7% | 80.0% | 83.6% | 82.2% | 87.7% | 81.7% | |
| FCF margin | 48.5% | 59.1% | 60.5% | 58.7% | 64.3% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 26.55 | 20.07 | 22.02 | 23.27 | 24.32 | 24.8 | |
| P/B | 2.55 | 2.01 | 2.66 | 3.10 | 3.42 | 4.0 | |
| P/S | 14.93 | 10.76 | 12.73 | 13.39 | 15.09 | 15.60 | |
| P/FCF | 30.77 | 18.21 | 21.03 | 22.81 | 23.46 | 25.1 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.96 | 13.60 | 15.31 | 16.37 | 17.06 | 19.3 | |
| EV/Revenue | 15.03 | 10.88 | 12.80 | 13.45 | 14.97 | 15.8 | |
| Earnings yield | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.04% | |
| FCF yield | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.99% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 92.97 | 1.02 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 92.97 | 1.02 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | |
| Debt / assets | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.08 | -0.14 | 0.23 | |
| Interest coverage | 21.21 | 22.45 | 27.06 | 29.22 | 31.40 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Receivables turnover | 10.47 | 10.94 | 10.95 | 11.06 | 10.76 | 9.0 | |
| DSO (days) | 35 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 41 | |
| DPO (days) | 26 | 41 | 47 | 37 | 31 | 20 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 9 | -8 | -13 | -4 | 3 | 20 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | -4.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | — | |
| Net income growth | 25.2% | 2.1% | 19.9% | 9.3% | 14.7% | — | |
| EPS growth | 25.1% | 2.0% | 19.7% | 9.2% | 14.7% | — | |
| FCF growth | -9.6% | 30.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% | 16.6% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 7.34 | 7.49 | 8.97 | 9.79 | 11.23 | 11.87 | |
| Book value / share | 76.32 | 74.83 | 74.34 | 73.56 | 79.75 | 73.48 | |
| Revenue / share | 13.06 | 13.97 | 15.51 | 17.03 | 18.10 | 18.81 | |
| FCF / share | 6.34 | 8.26 | 9.39 | 9.99 | 11.64 | 11.70 | |
| Cash / share | 8.22 | 7.84 | 8.41 | 8.35 | 12.63 | 6.32 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.88% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 0.55 | 0.6 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 4/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.50 | -2.41 | -2.33 | -2.41 | -1.15 | -2.21 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 4 / 9 | Middling | |
| Altman Z-Score | 0.6 | Distress (<1.81) | Distress |
| Income quality | 1.01 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.21 | Elevated | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.76 |
| Interest burden | 1.08 |
| Operating margin | 76.8% |
| Asset turnover | 0.04× |
| Financial leverage | 6.90× |
| = ROE | 16% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.98 |
| Earnings stability | 0.94 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.95 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 8.9% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 12.5% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 10.7% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | $90.7B | 22.7 | 14% | 35.9% | -0.6% | 8/9 | +5.7% |
| SPGI | $126.7B | 26.1 | 15% | 29.4% | +9.7% | 7/9 | -8.8% |
| MCO | $84.0B | 30.7 | 80% | 40.2% | +11.7% | 7/9 | +3.7% |
| NDAQ | $52.5B | 27.1 | 17% | 20.0% | +7.3% | 7/9 | +7.2% |
| COIN | $45.7B | -46.9 | -8% | -29.5% | -21.0% | 4/9 | — |
| MSCI | $41.4B | 31.3 | -76% | 39.4% | +11.6% | 8/9 | — |
| TRU | $14.2B | 19.3 | 18% | 19.3% | +12.4% | 8/9 | — |
| FDS | $10.7B | 20.6 | 25% | 19.1% | +6.7% | 5/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $7.05B | $7.16B / $6.98B | $12.32 | $12.52 / $12.18 | 10 |
| FY2027 | $7.40B | $7.57B / $7.07B | $13.01 | $13.74 / $12.14 | 10 |
| FY2028 | $7.88B | $8.11B / $7.49B | $14.05 | $14.82 / $13.22 | 3 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $300.80 | +2.4% | 5 |
| Last Quarter | $300.57 | +2.3% | 7 |
| Last Year | $311.04 | +5.8% | 26 |
| All Time | $261.76 | -10.9% | 72 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $272.76 | +21.11 | +7.74% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $273.55 | +20.32 | +7.43% | Above |
| SMA 200 | $278.16 | +15.71 | +5.65% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $281.90 | +11.97 | +4.25% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $276.54 | +17.33 | +6.27% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $272.34 | +21.53 | +7.91% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $271.74 | +22.13 | +8.14% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $288.54 / $291.12 / $292.79 | S1 / S2 | $286.87 / $284.29 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $254.84 – $290.69 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $218.31 – $321.48 | Off 52-wk high | -8.6% |
| ATR (14) | $5.94 (2.0%) | Historical vol | 23.5% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | CME | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 4.01% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +10.1% / -11.9% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -30.9% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -8.9% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.28 | 1.00 |
| Reading | CME | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges n=92 | Financial Services n=24,134 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +30.5 | -2.4 | -16.3 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +44.6 | +20.9 | -12.5 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +75.8 | +9.0 | -4.4 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +46.9 | +14.8 | +0.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Lynne C. Fitzpatrick President and Chief Fin | $4.8M | 81% equity+incentive |
| Derek L. Sammann Global Head of Commodities | $3.4M | 79% equity+incentive |
| Julie M. Winkler Chief Commercial Officer | $3.4M | 79% equity+incentive |
| Sunil K. Cutinho Chief Information Officer | $3.4M | 79% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 59 |
| Social | 61 |
| Governance | 64 |
| Composite ESG | 61 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Bylaws Amendment | 5.03 |
| 2026-09-09 | Officer/Director Change; Exhibits | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2026-08-11 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-07-22 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-06-17 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-06-10 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-05-19 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-04-27 | Material Agreement; Exhibits | 1.01,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-28 to 2026-07-22 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 84 rows · 2005 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-09-15 to 2026-09-25 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 3 rows · 2026-03-05 to 2026-04-29 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.