| Profitability | 62/100 |
| Growth | 44/100 |
| Momentum | 70/100 |
| Quality | 61/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 79/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 48/100 |
| Value | 29/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 55.7/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| YUM | 62 |
| QSR | 61 |
| DRI | 53 |
| YUMC | 63 |
| SBUX | 53 |
| TXRH | 58 |
| CMG | 56 |
These two disagree — business quality 56, price structure 18 out of 100, so the business reads better than the price does. We publish the disagreement rather than resolving it: they answer different questions, and the gap between them is information, not an error.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 55.7 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 62 → 54 → 55 → 56 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 0% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,643 → now 1,203 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,203 | 1152.3M | $38.0B | 89.5% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,251 | 1141.1M | $35.5B | 88.6% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,349 | 1161.7M | $40.5B | 90.2% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,359 | 1149.5M | $42.3B | 89.3% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,550 | 1188.2M | $63.4B | 92.3% |
| 2025 Q1 | 1,562 | 1185.6M | $56.4B | 92.1% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,643 | 1170.6M | $66.7B | 90.9% |
| 2024 Q3 | 1,527 | 1159.6M | $63.0B | 90.0% |
| 2024 Q2 | 1,487 | 1183.3M | $74.3B | 91.9% |
| 2024 Q1 | 1,300 | 1253.5M | $67.4B | 97.5% |
| 2023 Q4 | 1,198 | 1270.8M | $53.6B | 98.5% |
| 2023 Q3 | 1,051 | 1250.8M | $42.9B | 97.0% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rymer Adam T | Chief Financial Officer | 2026-10-01 | TAX W/H | 3,253 | $0.10M | 80,629 |
| Sami Sabir | director | 2026-09-17 | A-Award | 4,747 | $0.16M | 4,747 |
| Boatwright Scott | Chief Executive Officer | 2026-08-22 | TAX W/H | 31,522 | $1.11M | 318,609 |
| Schalow Laurie | Chief Corp Affairs Officer | 2026-08-22 | TAX W/H | 20,075 | $0.71M | 176,465 |
| Rymer Adam T | Chief Financial Officer | 2026-08-22 | TAX W/H | 9,276 | $0.33M | 83,882 |
| Eskenazi Ilene | Chief Legal and HR Officer | 2026-08-22 | TAX W/H | 19,701 | $0.70M | 76,020 |
| Garner Curtis E | Pres, Chief Strgy & Tech Off | 2026-08-22 | TAX W/H | 27,582 | $0.97M | 390,788 |
| Bush Matthew R | Controller, PAO | 2026-08-21 | SELL | 2,675 | $0.10M | 21,415 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 1 | 2,675 | $0.1M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 6 | 111,409 | $3.9M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 1 | 6,672 | — | None |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Matthew Bush | 2,675 | $0.1M |
| 2026-02-24 | Patricia Fili-Krushel | 3,350 | $0.1M |
| 2026-02-06 | Curtis E. Garner | 86,100 | $3.4M |
| 2025-12-12 | Curtis E. Garner | 67,646 | $2.4M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 6 filings | 248,239 | $9M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital World Investors | 3.60% | 45.8M sh |
| 2026-07-27 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | BlackRock, Inc. | 8.90% | 113.5M sh |
| 2026-07-16 | SCHEDULE 13G | JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 5.00% | 64.3M sh |
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital World Investors | 6.20% | 80.8M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-10-09 |
| Tony Wied | House | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2026-09-17 | 2026-10-07 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-11 | 2026-10-09 |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2025-11-03 | 2025-11-21 |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2025-11-03 | 2025-11-21 |
| Markwayne Mullin | Senate | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2025-11-03 | 2025-11-20 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Ninety One Uk Ltd | 3.7M | $119M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 2.6M | $82M |
| Montrusco Bolton Investments Inc. | 2.5M | $79M |
| Sustainable Growth Advisers, Lp | 752,767 | $24M |
| Fisher Funds Management Ltd | 534,263 | $17M |
| Fjarde Ap-Fonden /Fourth Swedish N | 493,928 | $16M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $1.3B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $1.3B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $1.3B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $1.3B |
| VFFSX | 0.1% | $1.1B |
| VOO | 0.1% | $1.1B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 15.9M | 107 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 10.9M | 94 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 9.1M | 142 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 8.6M | 51 sh |
| Bids Bids Ats | 8.1M | 659 sh |
| Pure Purestream | 6.6M | 59 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| U. S. | $11.7B | 100% |
Moat score 56/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Scott Boatwright | Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Curtis E. Garner | President and Chief Strategy & Technology Officer |
| Adam Rymer | Chief Financial Officer |
| David Vilkama | Chief Development Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +26.1% | +14.4% | +14.3% | +14.6% | +5.4% |
| Gross profit | +64.0% | +20.8% | +25.4% | +16.7% | +0.3% |
| Operating income | +177.4% | +44.2% | +34.2% | +23.0% | +5.0% |
| Net income | +83.5% | +37.7% | +36.7% | +24.9% | +0.1% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.5 | 8.6 | 9.9 | 11.3 | 11.9 | |
| Cost of revenue | 5.8 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 8.9 | |
| Gross profit | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| Operating income | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.0 | |
| EBITDA | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | |
| D&A | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| Pretax income | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | |
| Income tax | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Net income | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 0.46 | 0.64 | 0.89 | 1.11 | 1.14 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 1,426 | 1,403 | 1,386 | 1,377 | 1,343 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | |
| ST investments | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Total current assets | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | |
| PP&E (net) | 5.3 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 7.1 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total assets | 6.9 | 8.0 | 9.2 | 9.0 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Total current liabilities | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| Long-term debt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.8 | |
| Total liabilities | 4.6 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 6.2 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 2.4 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| D&A | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Working capital change | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Operating cash flow | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.5) | (0.6) | (0.6) | (0.7) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.8) | (0.9) | (0.8) | (0.0) | |
| Buybacks | (0.8) | (0.6) | (1.0) | (2.4) | |
| Dividends paid | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Financing cash flow | (0.9) | (0.7) | (1.1) | (2.5) | |
| Free cash flow | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 30.2% | 38.5% | 45.3% | 45.7% | 47.4% | 53% | |
| ROA | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 16.0% | |
| ROIC | 13.6% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 13.0% | 18.2% | |
| Gross margin | 22.6% | 23.9% | 26.2% | 26.7% | 25.4% | 24.1% | |
| Operating margin | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 15.2% | |
| Net margin | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.4% | |
| EBITDA margin | 14.6% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 18.3% | |
| FCF margin | 11.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 76.25 | 43.05 | 51.41 | 53.81 | 31.80 | 27.4 | |
| P/B | 21.67 | 16.35 | 20.63 | 22.58 | 17.25 | 17.5 | |
| P/S | 6.60 | 4.48 | 6.40 | 7.30 | 4.10 | 3.04 | |
| P/FCF | 59.30 | 45.86 | 51.66 | 54.61 | 33.74 | 24.1 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 46.26 | 27.73 | 33.76 | 36.92 | 24.38 | 18.9 | |
| EV/Revenue | 6.92 | 4.81 | 6.68 | 7.57 | 4.83 | 3.5 | |
| Earnings yield | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.69% | |
| FCF yield | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.15% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.58 | 1.28 | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.23 | 0.72 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.54 | 1.24 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 1.19 | 0.68 | |
| Debt / equity | 1.53 | 1.58 | 1.32 | 1.24 | 3.48 | 2.46 | |
| Debt / assets | 52.9% | 53.9% | 50.4% | 49.3% | 109.5% | 61.1% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 2.16 | 1.89 | 1.41 | 1.34 | 3.72 | 2.28 | |
| Interest coverage | 381.16 | 346.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 1.19 | 1.27 | 1.32 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.40 | |
| Receivables turnover | 73.95 | 83.64 | 88.77 | 87.20 | 79.39 | 117.1 | |
| DSO (days) | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |
| DPO (days) | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | -2 | -3 | -4 | -3 | -2 | -5 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 26.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 5.4% | — | |
| Net income growth | 83.5% | 37.7% | 36.7% | 24.9% | 0.1% | — | |
| EPS growth | 84.0% | 40.5% | 38.0% | 26.0% | 3.8% | — | |
| FCF growth | 189.0% | 0.5% | 44.9% | 23.6% | -4.2% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 0.46 | 0.64 | 0.89 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 1.10 | |
| Book value / share | 1.61 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 2.67 | 2.14 | 1.71 | |
| Revenue / share | 5.30 | 6.19 | 7.15 | 8.26 | 9.03 | 9.65 | |
| FCF / share | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.89 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.22 | |
| Cash / share | 0.76 | 0.64 | 0.94 | 1.04 | 0.79 | 0.52 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 5.0% | 6.35% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 9.35 | 7.94 | 10.65 | 11.19 | 6.95 | 5.4 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -3.01 | -2.86 | -2.65 | -2.36 | -2.82 | -3.52 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 / 9 | Middling | |
| Altman Z-Score | 5.4 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 1.64 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -3.52 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.76 |
| Interest burden | 0.99 |
| Operating margin | 15.2% |
| Asset turnover | 1.37× |
| Financial leverage | 3.17× |
| = ROE | 50% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.99 |
| Earnings stability | 0.87 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.97 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 10.2% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 11.0% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 7.8% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUM | $41.1B | 18.8 | -30% | 39.3% | +10.3% | 6/9 | +5.5% |
| QSR | $26.1B | 18.2 | 36% | 20.1% | +6.5% | 7/9 | +10.9% |
| DRI | $24.5B | 21.0 | 55% | 7.3% | +8.1% | 7/9 | +15.4% |
| YUMC | $15.5B | 16.5 | 17% | 7.8% | +8.8% | 7/9 | +4.8% |
| SBUX | $111.2B | 56.0 | -26% | 11.2% | +4.5% | 7/9 | — |
| TXRH | $11.1B | 26.9 | 27% | 7.3% | +9.9% | 7/9 | — |
| DPZ | $10.2B | 17.0 | -20% | 12.8% | +4.5% | 8/9 | — |
| EAT | $8.5B | 18.3 | 120% | 8.5% | +7.9% | 8/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $13.03B | $13.08B / $12.95B | $1.15 | $1.21 / $1.11 | 20 |
| FY2027 | $14.44B | $14.59B / $14.15B | $1.37 | $1.46 / $1.29 | 21 |
| FY2028 | $15.89B | $17.12B / $15.25B | $1.59 | $1.76 / $1.49 | 7 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $38.33 | +28.3% | 3 |
| Last Quarter | $41.79 | +39.9% | 12 |
| Last Year | $43.34 | +45.1% | 58 |
| All Time | $49.40 | +65.3% | 186 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $31.53 | -1.65 | -5.24% | Below |
| SMA 50 | $33.90 | -4.02 | -11.87% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $34.55 | -4.67 | -13.52% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $30.80 | -0.92 | -2.99% | Below |
| EMA 21 | $31.80 | -1.92 | -6.04% | Below |
| EMA 50 | $33.04 | -3.16 | -9.57% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $35.12 | -5.24 | -14.93% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $30.80 / $31.10 / $31.63 | S1 / S2 | $30.27 / $29.97 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $29.68 – $33.39 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $28.04 – $42.74 | Off 52-wk high | -30.1% |
| ATR (14) | $1.19 (4.0%) | Historical vol | 36.8% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | CMG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 6.11% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +13.7% / -22.2% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -53.2% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -9.2% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Reading | CMG | Restaurants n=412 | Consumer Cyclical n=5,686 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -34.4 | -15.9 | -20.5 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -48.4 | -15.6 | -25.1 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | -57.3 | -10.1 | -15.0 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +32.8 | +0.0 | -10.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Boatwright Chief Executive Officer | $15.5M | 58% equity+incentive |
| Curt Garner President, Chief Strategy and Te | $7.7M | 55% equity+incentive |
| Jack Hartung Former President and Chief Stra | $7.4M | 74% equity+incentive |
| Chris Brandt Former President, Chief Brand O | $6.3M | 70% equity+incentive |
| Roger Theodoredis Former General Counsel, Ch | $5.0M | 70% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 48 |
| Social | 61 |
| Governance | 68 |
| Composite ESG | 59 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Officer/Director Change; Exhibits | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2026-08-05 | Regulation FD | 7.01 |
| 2026-07-29 | Earnings Release; Other Events; Exhibits | 2.02,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-07-08 | Other Events | 8.01 |
| 2026-06-17 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-04-29 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-04-27 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-02-03 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-21 to 2026-07-29 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 82 rows · 2006 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-06-11 to 2026-10-01 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-05-14 to 2026-08-12 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.