| Profitability | 39/100 |
| Growth | 61/100 |
| Momentum | 88/100 |
| Quality | 65/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 83/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 46/100 |
| Value | 58/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 65/100 |
| Overall | 58.3/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| DLTR | 60 |
| BJ | 55 |
| TGT | 62 |
| OLLI | 70 |
| PSMT | 52 |
| K | 58 |
| DG | 58 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 58 and price structure at 83 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 58.3 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 50 → 58 → 58 → 58 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 91% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,173 → now 1,136 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,136 | 217.2M | $24.6B | 98.5% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,156 | 217.5M | $25.3B | 98.6% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,173 | 216.2M | $28.2B | 98.0% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,061 | 209.8M | $21.4B | 95.1% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,025 | 205.4M | $23.2B | 93.1% |
| 2025 Q1 | 920 | 207.7M | $18.0B | 94.1% |
| 2024 Q4 | 908 | 206.6M | $15.1B | 93.7% |
| 2024 Q3 | 923 | 204.2M | $15.3B | 92.6% |
| 2024 Q2 | 1,049 | 205.2M | $24.0B | 93.0% |
| 2024 Q1 | 1,114 | 203.9M | $28.4B | 92.4% |
| 2023 Q4 | 1,120 | 203.1M | $25.0B | 92.1% |
| 2023 Q3 | 1,037 | 197.0M | $19.9B | 89.3% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reardon Kathleen A | EVP & Chief People Officer | 2026-09-03 | SELL | 5,578 | $0.73M | 61,071 |
| Hicks Gregory H | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 1,647 | — | 1,647 |
| Sandler Debra A. | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 1,647 | — | 8,622 |
| Sandler Debra A. | director | 2026-05-28 | D-Return | 0 | $0.00M | 8,622 |
| Rowland David P | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 1,647 | — | 7,848 |
| Mcguire Timothy I | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 1,647 | — | 17,100 |
| Mcguire Timothy I | director | 2026-05-28 | D-Return | 0 | $0.00M | 17,100 |
| Chadwick Ana Maria | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 1,647 | — | 6,911 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 1 | 5,578 | $0.7M | Counted |
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 1 | 2,691 | $0.2M | None — mechanics |
| F — Tax withholding | 9 | 51,263 | $6.1M | None — compensation |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | Bryan D Wheeler | 9,776 | $1.3M |
| 2025-12-18 | Steven Deckard | 17,850 | $2.4M |
| 2025-12-16 | Roderick West | 2,282 | $0.3M |
| 2025-12-16 | Rhonda M Taylor | 7,500 | $1.0M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 9 filings | 81,711 | $11M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | SCHEDULE 13G | STATE STREET CORPORATION | 4.90% | 10.7M sh |
| 2026-04-29 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.51% | 16.5M sh |
| 2026-03-26 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| 2026-02-09 | SCHEDULE 13G | STATE STREET CORPORATION | 5.00% | 11.0M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-10 |
| Dan Newhouse | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-12-11 | 2026-01-16 |
| Daniel Milton Newhouse | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-12-11 | 2026-01-15 |
| Tommy Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $50,001 - $100,000 | 2021-01-04 | 2021-07-23 |
| Tommy Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $50,001 - $100,000 | 2021-01-04 | 2021-07-22 |
| Thomas Hawley Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $50,001 - $100,000 | 2021-01-04 | 2021-07-22 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Border To Coast Pensions Partnersh | 470,586 | $56M |
| Fort Washington Investment Advisor | 291,059 | $35M |
| Zwj Investment Counsel Inc | 166,892 | $20M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 124,559 | $14M |
| Banque Pictet & Cie Sa | 122,324 | $15M |
| Equitable Trust Co | 103,505 | $12M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $839M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $839M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $839M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $839M |
| VFIAX | 0.0% | $693M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $693M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 2.6M | 40 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 2.1M | 29 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 2.1M | 43 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.8M | 41 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 1.4M | 146 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 1.3M | 31 sh |
Moat score 52/100 — Weak; primary source Intangible Assets.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Todd J. Vasos | Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Emily C. Taylor | Chief Operating Officer |
| Rhonda Taylor | Executive Vice President & General Counsel |
| Carman R. Wenkoff | Executive Vice President & Chief Information Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +1.4% | +10.6% | +2.2% | +5.0% | +5.2% |
| Gross profit | +0.9% | +9.3% | -0.9% | +2.5% | +9.0% |
| Operating income | -9.4% | +3.3% | -26.5% | -29.9% | +28.6% |
| Net income | -9.6% | +0.7% | -31.2% | -32.3% | +34.4% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 34.2 | 37.8 | 38.7 | 40.6 | 42.7 | |
| Cost of revenue | 23.4 | 26.0 | 27.0 | 28.6 | 29.6 | |
| Gross profit | 10.8 | 11.8 | 11.7 | 12.0 | 13.1 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 7.6 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 10.3 | 10.9 | |
| Operating income | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.2 | |
| EBITDA | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 | |
| D&A | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
| Pretax income | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | |
| Income tax | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | |
| Net income | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 10.17 | 10.68 | 7.55 | 5.11 | 6.85 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 236 | 226 | 220 | 220 | 221 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Total current assets | 7.6 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 7.9 | |
| PP&E (net) | 15.9 | 17.2 | 17.4 | 17.5 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |
| Total assets | 29.1 | 30.8 | 31.1 | 31.0 | |
| Accounts payable | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 4.1 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 5.9 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 7.0 | |
| Long-term debt | 7.0 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 4.6 | |
| Total liabilities | 23.5 | 24.0 | 23.7 | 22.5 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 5.5 | 6.7 | 7.4 | 8.5 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | |
| D&A | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Working capital change | (2.0) | (0.3) | 0.6 | 0.8 | |
| Operating cash flow | 2.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 3.6 | |
| Capital expenditures | (1.6) | (1.7) | (1.3) | (1.2) | |
| Investing cash flow | (1.6) | (1.7) | (1.3) | (1.2) | |
| Buybacks | (2.7) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Dividends paid | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | (0.5) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 1.4 | 1.5 | (0.8) | (1.7) | |
| Financing cash flow | (0.4) | (0.5) | (1.3) | (2.2) | |
| Free cash flow | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 37.1% | 40.9% | 27.0% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 20% | |
| ROA | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | |
| ROIC | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | |
| Gross margin | 31.6% | 31.2% | 30.3% | 29.6% | 30.7% | 31.2% | |
| Operating margin | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | |
| Net margin | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | |
| EBITDA margin | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | |
| FCF margin | 5.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 18.53 | 19.86 | 17.30 | 13.65 | 20.99 | 17.4 | |
| P/B | 7.10 | 8.66 | 4.26 | 2.07 | 3.73 | 3.2 | |
| P/S | 1.30 | 1.27 | 0.74 | 0.38 | 0.74 | 0.68 | |
| P/FCF | 24.77 | 113.18 | 41.57 | 9.11 | 10.29 | 11.0 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.11 | 16.10 | 14.05 | 11.87 | 14.29 | 12.4 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.71 | 1.72 | 1.20 | 0.79 | 1.08 | 1.0 | |
| Earnings yield | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.74% | |
| FCF yield | 4.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.11% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.05 | 1.29 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.13 | 1.21 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.31 | |
| Debt / equity | 2.28 | 3.19 | 2.68 | 2.36 | 1.85 | 1.68 | |
| Debt / assets | 54.1% | 60.7% | 58.7% | 56.1% | 50.8% | 48.5% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 3.60 | 4.26 | 5.33 | 6.15 | 4.50 | 3.99 | |
| Interest coverage | 20.46 | 15.75 | 7.49 | 6.25 | 9.52 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 1.31 | 1.37 | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.38 | 1.36 | |
| Receivables turnover | 363.75 | 324.61 | 311.98 | 339.29 | 592.20 | 578.6 | |
| DSO (days) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| DPO (days) | 57 | 51 | 48 | 47 | 49 | 53 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 28 | 37 | 46 | 41 | 32 | 27 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 1.4% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | — | |
| Net income growth | -9.6% | 0.7% | -31.2% | -32.3% | 34.4% | — | |
| EPS growth | -4.6% | 5.1% | -30.4% | -32.3% | 33.6% | — | |
| FCF growth | -37.0% | -76.4% | 63.1% | 143.8% | 82.9% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 10.32 | 10.85 | 7.55 | 5.11 | 6.83 | 7.72 | |
| Book value / share | 26.93 | 24.88 | 30.69 | 33.70 | 38.46 | 42.11 | |
| Revenue / share | 147.18 | 169.93 | 175.96 | 184.60 | 193.05 | 197.81 | |
| FCF / share | 7.72 | 1.90 | 3.15 | 7.66 | 13.93 | 12.24 | |
| Cash / share | 1.48 | 1.71 | 2.44 | 4.24 | 5.14 | 7.21 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.18 | 3.05 | 2.41 | 2.08 | 2.70 | 2.7 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.47 | -2.08 | -2.68 | -2.73 | -3.71 | -2.95 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 2.7 | Grey zone | Grey |
| Income quality | 2.18 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.95 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.76 |
| Interest burden | 0.92 |
| Operating margin | 5.6% |
| Asset turnover | 1.37× |
| Financial leverage | 3.69× |
| = ROE | 20% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.98 |
| Earnings stability | 0.69 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.83 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 4.0% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | -7.9% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 206.8% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLTR | $23.3B | 15.1 | 46% | 10.5% | -7.8% | 8/9 | +32.1% |
| BJ | $13.0B | 22.3 | 28% | 2.8% | +9.1% | 6/9 | +10.7% |
| TGT | $70.1B | 15.9 | 26% | 7.1% | +2.0% | 6/9 | +78.2% |
| OLLI | $5.5B | 20.7 | 15% | 11.5% | +14.4% | 7/9 | -24.3% |
| PSMT | $5.2B | 32.6 | 12% | 2.7% | +10.2% | 4/9 | — |
| K | $29.0B | 47.7 | 33% | 9.5% | +18.3% | 5/9 | — |
| KHC | $28.1B | -8.3 | -9% | — | -1.6% | 5/9 | — |
| HSY | $34.3B | 23.1 | 33% | 16.4% | +7.7% | 6/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $42.62B | $42.77B / $42.52B | $6.58 | $6.79 / $6.45 | 25 |
| FY2026 | $42.62B | $42.77B / $42.52B | $6.58 | $6.79 / $6.45 | 25 |
| FY2027 | $44.52B | $44.62B / $44.47B | $7.91 | $7.97 / $7.81 | 23 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $160.00 | +19.0% | 1 |
| Last Quarter | $145.22 | +8.0% | 9 |
| Last Year | $139.17 | +3.5% | 52 |
| All Time | $155.55 | +15.7% | 128 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $123.82 | +10.61 | +8.57% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $124.29 | +10.14 | +8.16% | Above |
| SMA 200 | $126.27 | +8.16 | +6.46% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $128.38 | +6.05 | +4.71% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $125.73 | +8.70 | +6.92% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $124.13 | +10.30 | +8.30% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $121.20 | +13.23 | +10.92% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $133.96 / $135.56 / $137.23 | S1 / S2 | $132.29 / $130.69 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $114.70 – $132.93 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $95.11 – $158.23 | Off 52-wk high | -15.0% |
| ATR (14) | $3.95 (2.9%) | Historical vol | 29.4% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | DG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 5.56% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +20.9% / -9.6% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -71.0% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -8.0% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.23 | 1.00 |
| Reading | DG | Discount Stores n=55 | Consumer Defensive n=3,080 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +25.5 | +14.9 | -15.7 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +41.6 | +36.4 | -19.0 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +68.9 | +43.9 | -6.2 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +35.2 | +29.2 | -5.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Todd J. Vasos, Chief Executive Officer | $8.2M | 74% equity+incentive |
| Emily C. Taylor, Chief Operating Officer | $8.1M | 88% equity+incentive |
| Steven R. Deckard, Former Executive Vice Pre | $7.7M | 66% equity+incentive |
| Rhonda M. Taylor, Executive Vice President & | $7.6M | 88% equity+incentive |
| Donny H. Lau, Executive Vice President & Chi | $7.6M | 85% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 52 |
| Social | 63 |
| Governance | 68 |
| Composite ESG | 61 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-27 | Earnings Release; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 2.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-06-02 | Earnings Release; Shareholder Vote; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 2.02,5.07,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-03-24 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-03-12 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Regulation FD Disclosur | 2.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-02-03 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Regulation F | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2025-12-04 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Regulation FD Disclosur | 2.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2025-11-17 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Financial St | 5.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-12-03 to 2026-08-27 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-01-30 to 2027-01-30 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 69 rows · 2007 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-28 to 2026-09-03 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-02-09 to 2026-08-07 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.