| Profitability | 67/100 |
| Growth | 43/100 |
| Momentum | 70/100 |
| Quality | 82/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 74/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 84/100 |
| Value | 51/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 64.1/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| AFG | 53 |
| CNA | 54 |
| ORI | 56 |
| AIZ | 59 |
| KNSL | 80 |
| RE | 45 |
| ERIE | 64 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 64 and price structure at 78 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 64.1 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 72 → 64 → 63 → 64 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 82% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 443 → now 443 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 443 | 21.8M | $5.2B | 47.1% |
| 2026 Q1 | 403 | 20.0M | $5.0B | 43.3% |
| 2025 Q4 | 422 | 20.8M | $5.9B | 45.1% |
| 2025 Q3 | 418 | 20.6M | $6.5B | 44.7% |
| 2025 Q2 | 410 | 20.3M | $7.0B | 43.9% |
| 2025 Q1 | 413 | 19.9M | $8.3B | 43.0% |
| 2024 Q4 | 400 | 17.3M | $7.1B | 37.5% |
| 2024 Q3 | 369 | 17.1M | $9.0B | 37.0% |
| 2024 Q2 | 311 | 16.8M | $6.1B | 36.3% |
| 2024 Q1 | 318 | 16.9M | $6.8B | 36.6% |
| 2023 Q4 | 298 | 16.7M | $5.6B | 36.2% |
| 2023 Q3 | 303 | 16.9M | $4.9B | 36.6% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shine Sarah | Executive Vice President | 2026-09-30 | J-Other | 7 | $0.00M | 579 |
| Dabreo Anthony | Senior Vice President, Life | 2026-09-30 | J-Other | 5 | $0.00M | 926 |
| Cook Cody | Executive Vice President | 2026-09-30 | J-Other | 7 | $0.00M | 1,171 |
| Cook Cody | Executive Vice President | 2026-08-31 | J-Other | 4 | $0.00M | 1,163 |
| Shine Sarah | Executive Vice President | 2026-08-31 | J-Other | 4 | $0.00M | 573 |
| Dabreo Anthony | Senior Vice President, Life | 2026-08-31 | J-Other | 1 | $0.00M | 921 |
| Connell Eugene C | director | 2026-07-31 | J-Other | 65 | — | 3,454 |
| Borneman J Ralph Jr | director | 2026-07-31 | J-Other | 65 | — | 20,625 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 1 | 465 | $0.1M | Counted |
| P — Open-market purchases | 3 | 7,000 | $1.4M | Counted |
| G — Gifts | 1 | 2,039 | — | None |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | Lorianne Feltz | 1,000 | $0.5M |
| 2023-08-18 | Marc Cipriani | 2,000 | $0.6M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 0 filings | — | $0M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| 2025-05-09 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 11.00% | 5.1M sh |
| 2025-02-07 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 12.50% | 5.8M sh |
| 2025-01-30 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 6.39% | 3.0M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-02-10 | 2026-03-10 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-02-10 | 2026-03-10 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-10 |
| John Fetterman | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-30 | 2026-04-03 |
| John Karl Fetterman | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-30 | 2026-04-03 |
| John Fetterman | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-04-03 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Czech National Bank | 7,432 | $2M |
| Legacy Financial Strategies, Llc | 6,958 | $2M |
| Paragon Capital Management Inc | 4,050 | $1M |
| Gateway Investment Advisers Llc | 3,479 | $1M |
| Mfa Wealth Advisors, Llc | 3,209 | $1M |
| Mather Group, Llc. | 2,701 | $1M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| RSP | 0.2% | $187M |
| NOBL | 1.6% | $179M |
| VITSX | 0.0% | $178M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $178M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $178M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $178M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 0.2M | 12 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 0.2M | 20 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 0.1M | 10 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 0.1M | 7 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 0.1M | 8 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 0.1M | 21 sh |
Moat score 50/100 — Weak; primary source Cost Advantage.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Timothy Gerard NeCastro | President & Chief Executive Officer |
| Parthasarathy Srinivasa | Executive Vice President & Chief Information Officer |
| Julie Marie Pelkowski | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Brian William Bolash | Executive Vice President, Corporate Secretary & General Counsel |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +3.8% | +7.8% | +15.1% | +16.1% | +7.2% |
| Gross profit | -5.9% | +18.3% | +38.3% | +30.0% | -5.3% |
| Operating income | -5.9% | +18.3% | +38.3% | +30.0% | +6.4% |
| Net income | +1.6% | +0.2% | +49.4% | +34.6% | -6.8% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.6 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.1 | |
| Cost of revenue | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | |
| Gross profit | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Operating income | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| EBITDA | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| D&A | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Pretax income | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | |
| Income tax | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Net income | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 5.69 | 5.71 | 8.53 | 11.48 | 10.62 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 46 | 46 | 53 | 53 | 53 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| Total current assets | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | |
| PP&E (net) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total assets | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.4 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | |
| Long-term debt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total liabilities | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |
| D&A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | (0.1) | |
| Working capital change | (0.0) | (0.1) | (0.1) | 0.0 | |
| Operating cash flow | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.1) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.4) | |
| Buybacks | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Dividends paid | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.3) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.1) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Financing cash flow | (0.3) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | |
| Free cash flow | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 23.5% | 21.4% | 28.7% | 32.9% | 26.2% | 25% | |
| ROA | 13.7% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 16.2% | |
| ROIC | 20.7% | 21.2% | 28.7% | 32.0% | 29.7% | 21.9% | |
| Gross margin | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 16.5% | |
| Operating margin | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 17.9% | |
| Net margin | 11.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.0% | |
| EBITDA margin | 13.3% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 19.2% | |
| FCF margin | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 31.54 | 41.84 | 38.47 | 35.38 | 26.86 | 19.7 | |
| P/B | 7.00 | 8.63 | 10.32 | 10.69 | 6.58 | 4.6 | |
| P/S | 3.57 | 4.40 | 5.25 | 5.60 | 3.49 | 2.73 | |
| P/FCF | 36.99 | 41.79 | 59.46 | 43.67 | 26.31 | 20.4 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 27.32 | 29.52 | 28.25 | 27.39 | 20.32 | 14.0 | |
| EV/Revenue | 3.52 | 4.38 | 5.18 | 5.51 | 3.40 | 2.7 | |
| Earnings yield | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.13% | |
| FCF yield | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.91% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.21 | 1.10 | 1.31 | 1.43 | 1.27 | 1.25 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.21 | 1.11 | 1.31 | 1.43 | 1.27 | 1.25 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | |
| Debt / assets | 4.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.8% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.38 | -0.10 | -0.38 | -0.41 | -0.53 | -0.28 | |
| Interest coverage | 76.00 | 190.27 | — | — | — | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 1.21 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.16 | |
| Receivables turnover | 5.41 | 5.66 | 5.64 | 5.61 | 5.92 | 5.4 | |
| DSO (days) | 67 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 62 | 68 | |
| DPO (days) | 23 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 10 | 22 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 45 | 41 | 42 | 44 | 52 | 46 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 3.8% | 7.8% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.4% | — | |
| Net income growth | 1.6% | 0.2% | 49.4% | 34.6% | -6.8% | — | |
| EPS growth | 2.3% | -0.5% | 49.4% | 35.5% | -7.5% | — | |
| FCF growth | -11.5% | 17.7% | -3.5% | 68.6% | 17.4% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 5.69 | 5.67 | 8.47 | 11.48 | 10.62 | 12.49 | |
| Book value / share | 25.66 | 27.49 | 31.56 | 37.99 | 43.34 | 53.41 | |
| Revenue / share | 50.35 | 53.91 | 62.05 | 72.55 | 81.70 | 89.21 | |
| FCF / share | 4.86 | 5.67 | 5.48 | 9.30 | 10.84 | 11.97 | |
| Cash / share | 4.25 | 3.16 | 4.29 | 6.11 | 7.21 | 7.46 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | |
| Altman Z-Score | 9.53 | 12.96 | 16.48 | 17.95 | 11.87 | 9.6 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 6/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -3.07 | -2.70 | -2.92 | -2.54 | -2.46 | -2.59 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 / 9 | Middling | |
| Altman Z-Score | 9.6 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 2.83 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.59 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.79 |
| Interest burden | 1.03 |
| Operating margin | 16.3% |
| Asset turnover | 1.30× |
| Financial leverage | 1.44× |
| = ROE | 25% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.98 |
| Earnings stability | 0.85 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.97 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 12.8% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 18.0% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 15.9% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFG | $12.4B | 13.0 | 20% | 12.4% | -1.1% | 6/9 | +19.7% |
| CNA | $13.0B | 10.5 | 12% | 8.4% | +4.5% | 8/9 | +7.3% |
| ORI | $9.6B | 8.5 | 19% | 12.9% | +11.6% | 7/9 | +5.7% |
| AIZ | $14.0B | 13.3 | 18% | 8.6% | +9.4% | 7/9 | +37.0% |
| KNSL | $8.3B | 14.8 | 30% | 32.1% | +15.8% | 7/9 | — |
| RE | $15.3B | 8.0 | 13% | 14.1% | -5.1% | 5/9 | — |
| THG | $8.1B | 11.0 | 22% | 11.1% | +5.8% | 8/9 | — |
| MCY | $5.7B | 6.1 | 39% | 15.7% | +10.0% | 7/9 | — |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $225.46 | +18.25 | +8.09% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $241.61 | +2.10 | +0.87% | Above |
| SMA 200 | $243.11 | +0.60 | +0.25% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $231.46 | +12.25 | +5.29% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $230.63 | +13.08 | +5.67% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $234.78 | +8.93 | +3.80% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $250.33 | -6.62 | -2.64% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $238.22 / $242.60 / $246.50 | S1 / S2 | $234.32 / $229.94 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $211.11 – $239.81 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $202.12 – $322.93 | Off 52-wk high | -24.5% |
| ATR (14) | $7.44 (3.1%) | Historical vol | 33.8% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | ERIE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 5.32% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +17.9% / -16.4% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -58.3% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -10.1% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| Reading | ERIE | Insurance - Property & Casualty n=188 | Financial Services n=24,134 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.7 | -10.0 | -16.3 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +16.9 | +1.7 | -12.5 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +61.5 | +14.3 | -4.4 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -42.4 | -7.5 | +0.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey A. Ludrof, Former President and CEO | $8.6M | 16% equity+incentive |
| John J. Brinling, Jr., President and CEO** | $2.7M | 47% equity+incentive |
| Philip A. Garcia, Executive Vice President | $1.3M | 58% equity+incentive |
| Thomas B. Morgan, Executive Vice President, | $1.3M | 63% equity+incentive |
| Douglas F. Ziegler, Senior Vice President a | $1.0M | 46% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 48 |
| Social | 65 |
| Governance | 55 |
| Composite ESG | 56 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Earnings Release; Other Events; Exhibits | 2.02,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-05-21 | Officer/Director Change | 5.02 |
| 2026-04-23 | Earnings Release; Shareholder Vote; Other Events; Exhibits | 2.02,5.07,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-02-23 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Other Events; Financial | 2.02,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-02-20 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Other Events | 5.02,8.01,9.01 |
| 2025-12-11 | Other Events; Financial Statements and Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2025-10-30 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Amendment to Code of Et | 2.02,5.05,9.01 |
| 2025-08-07 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Other Events; Financial | 2.02,8.01,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-07-30 to 2026-04-23 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 2 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2027-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 111 rows · 1998 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-07-31 to 2026-09-30 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2025-01-30 to 2026-03-26 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.