| Profitability | 20/100 |
| Growth | 14/100 |
| Momentum | 36/100 |
| Quality | 56/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 83/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 71/100 |
| Value | 79/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 90/100 |
| Overall | 39.8/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| NVR | 48 |
| PHM | 48 |
| TOL | 54 |
| DHI | 52 |
| TMHC | 51 |
| IBP | 37 |
| LEN | 40 |
Both readings sit below the midpoint — business quality at 40 and price structure at 24 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 39.8 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 24 → 23 → 40 → 40 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 0% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,057 → now 941 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 941 | 214.8M | $19.3B | 90.3% |
| 2026 Q1 | 940 | 204.7M | $17.7B | 86.1% |
| 2025 Q4 | 970 | 204.7M | $21.0B | 86.1% |
| 2025 Q3 | 984 | 214.3M | $26.9B | 90.1% |
| 2025 Q2 | 942 | 229.0M | $24.8B | 96.3% |
| 2025 Q1 | 972 | 222.3M | $25.4B | 93.5% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,024 | 228.1M | $30.0B | 95.9% |
| 2024 Q3 | 1,057 | 226.3M | $40.9B | 95.2% |
| 2024 Q2 | 984 | 231.9M | $33.1B | 97.5% |
| 2024 Q1 | 1,028 | 231.0M | $37.9B | 97.2% |
| 2023 Q4 | 953 | 235.2M | $33.5B | 98.9% |
| 2023 Q3 | 872 | 237.0M | $25.4B | 99.7% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mcclure Teri P | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 15 | $0.00M | 32,013 |
| Banse Amy | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 15 | $0.00M | 16,977 |
| Hudson Sherrill W | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 15 | $0.00M | 38,308 |
| Smith Dacona | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 15 | $0.00M | 6,292 |
| Wolfe Serena | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 15 | $0.00M | 6,362 |
| Gilliam Theron I | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 15 | $0.00M | 36,838 |
| Olivera Armando J | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 24 | $0.00M | 23,371 |
| Sonnenfeld Jeffrey | director | 2026-10-07 | A-Award | 21 | $0.00M | 28,209 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P — Open-market purchases | 45 | 7,502,276 | $595.3M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 2 | 64,656 | $6.2M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 1 | 2,000 | — | None |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-11 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-08-10 | 2026-09-07 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Smead Capital Management, Inc. | 2.3M | $186M |
| Salem Investment Counselors Inc | 262,888 | $21M |
| Atria Investments, Inc | 171,687 | $14M |
| Concurrent Investment Advisors, Ll | 119,284 | $10M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 88,045 | $6M |
| Jgp Wealth Management, Llc | 63,537 | $5M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| AFTY | 2.4% | $451M |
| VITSX | 0.0% | $436M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $436M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $436M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $436M |
| VFINX | 0.0% | $415M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 3.1M | 48 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 2.4M | 48 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.7M | 42 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 1.6M | 26 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 1.2M | 41 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 1.1M | 67 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Homebuilding West | $11.9B | 45% |
| Homebuilding Central | $7.8B | 29% |
| Homebuilding East | $7.0B | 26% |
| Homebuilding Other Regions | $27M | 0% |
Moat score 55/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Stuart A. Miller | Executive Chairman, CEO & President |
| Diane J. Bessette | Chief Financial Officer & Vice President |
| Katherine Lee Martin | Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary |
| David Collins | Vice President & Controller |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +20.8% | +24.2% | +1.7% | +3.5% | -3.6% |
| Gross profit | +42.0% | +25.3% | -10.6% | -2.6% | -24.3% |
| Operating income | +63.3% | +32.8% | -19.8% | -11.4% | -42.8% |
| Net income | +79.7% | +4.2% | -14.6% | -0.2% | -47.7% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 27.1 | 33.7 | 34.3 | 35.5 | 34.2 | |
| Cost of revenue | 19.8 | 24.5 | 26.1 | 27.5 | 28.1 | |
| Gross profit | 7.3 | 9.2 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 6.1 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 2.7 | |
| Operating income | 5.1 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 2.8 | |
| EBITDA | 5.9 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 3.0 | |
| D&A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Pretax income | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | |
| Income tax | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | |
| Net income | 4.4 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 14.27 | 15.72 | 13.73 | 14.31 | 7.98 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 307 | 290 | 283 | 272 | 258 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 4.8 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 3.8 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | |
| Total current assets | 28.3 | 27.2 | 27.0 | 17.1 | |
| PP&E (net) | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | |
| Total assets | 38.0 | 39.2 | 41.3 | 34.4 | |
| Accounts payable | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| Short-term debt | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 5.9 | 6.7 | 7.8 | 5.5 | |
| Long-term debt | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3.9 | |
| Total liabilities | 13.7 | 12.5 | 13.3 | 12.3 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 24.2 | 26.7 | 28.0 | 22.1 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 4.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.1 | |
| D&A | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| Working capital change | (2.3) | 0.6 | (2.0) | (2.4) | |
| Operating cash flow | 3.3 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.1) | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.2) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.3) | 0.2 | |
| Buybacks | (1.0) | (1.2) | (2.3) | (1.8) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.4) | (0.4) | (0.5) | (0.5) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.2) | (1.2) | (0.8) | 1.6 | |
| Financing cash flow | (1.3) | (3.2) | (3.7) | (1.6) | |
| Free cash flow | 3.2 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.0 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 22.8% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 6% | |
| ROA | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | |
| ROIC | 16.0% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | |
| Gross margin | 27.1% | 27.3% | 24.0% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 9.5% | |
| Operating margin | 18.8% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | |
| Net margin | 16.3% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | |
| EBITDA margin | 21.8% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | |
| FCF margin | 9.1% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 0.1% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 6.73 | 5.24 | 8.81 | 11.65 | 15.94 | 14.6 | |
| P/B | 1.43 | 1.00 | 1.31 | 1.64 | 1.51 | 0.9 | |
| P/S | 1.10 | 0.72 | 1.01 | 1.29 | 0.97 | 0.57 | |
| P/FCF | 12.08 | 7.54 | 6.83 | 20.53 | 1175.72 | 20.2 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.66 | 4.22 | 6.26 | 8.54 | 12.09 | 10.7 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.23 | 0.76 | 0.97 | 1.28 | 1.04 | 0.7 | |
| Earnings yield | 14.9% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.16% | |
| FCF yield | 8.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 0.1% | 4.95% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 5.06 | 4.83 | 4.04 | 3.44 | 3.12 | 8.38 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.92 | 1.10 | 1.23 | 0.85 | 0.96 | 1.17 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.20 | |
| Debt / assets | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 12.9% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 0.61 | 0.26 | -0.27 | -0.10 | 0.85 | 1.57 | |
| Interest coverage | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.86 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 0.96 | |
| Receivables turnover | 24.29 | 23.16 | 20.71 | 21.19 | 21.86 | 34.6 | |
| DSO (days) | 15 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 11 | |
| DPO (days) | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 328 | 299 | 280 | 255 | 197 | 151 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 20.8% | 24.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | -3.8% | — | |
| Net income growth | 79.7% | 4.2% | -14.6% | -0.2% | -47.2% | — | |
| EPS growth | 84.4% | 9.2% | -12.2% | 4.4% | -44.0% | — | |
| FCF growth | -40.1% | 30.0% | 58.3% | -56.1% | -98.7% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 14.71 | 16.06 | 14.09 | 14.71 | 8.23 | 5.52 | |
| Book value / share | 69.10 | 83.87 | 95.12 | 104.28 | 87.02 | 91.25 | |
| Revenue / share | 90.10 | 117.31 | 122.70 | 132.74 | 135.26 | 134.48 | |
| FCF / share | 8.19 | 11.17 | 18.18 | 8.35 | 0.11 | 3.82 | |
| Cash / share | 9.74 | 16.68 | 23.47 | 18.63 | 15.08 | 4.84 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.96% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 4.16 | 3.87 | 4.40 | 4.77 | 4.20 | 3.5 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 7/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -1.89 | -2.04 | -2.52 | -2.23 | -1.23 | -2.79 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.5 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 0.79 | Accrual-heavy | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.79 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.73 |
| Interest burden | 0.94 |
| Operating margin | 5.9% |
| Asset turnover | 0.94× |
| Financial leverage | 1.55× |
| = ROE | 6% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.42 |
| Earnings stability | 0.70 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.50 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | -1.5% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | -26.3% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | -44.2% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVR | $15.9B | 14.6 | 32% | 10.2% | -10.6% | 3/9 | -22.2% |
| PHM | $21.6B | 11.6 | 15% | 11.9% | -7.3% | 3/9 | -7.5% |
| TOL | $12.3B | 10.7 | 14% | 10.5% | -1.1% | 4/9 | +0.3% |
| DHI | $39.0B | 13.2 | 13% | 9.8% | -3.5% | 5/9 | -7.8% |
| TMHC | $6.7B | 10.6 | 11% | 7.2% | -9.0% | 4/9 | — |
| IBP | $4.9B | 19.9 | 38% | 8.3% | +0.3% | 4/9 | — |
| MDC | $4.7B | 54.8 | 3% | 2.2% | +5346.9% | 4/9 | — |
| SKY | $4.2B | 22.6 | 12% | 6.9% | +4.5% | 7/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $31.45B | $32.29B / $30.86B | $4.86 | $5.29 / $4.65 | 10 |
| FY2027 | $31.95B | $33.64B / $31.18B | $5.26 | $6.76 / $4.72 | 12 |
| FY2028 | $33.82B | $37.44B / $32.01B | $6.46 | $9.53 / $4.42 | 10 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $70.00 | -9.2% | 2 |
| Last Quarter | $72.13 | -6.4% | 8 |
| Last Year | $89.73 | +16.4% | 26 |
| All Time | $125.42 | +62.7% | 78 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $78.44 | -1.36 | -1.73% | Below |
| SMA 50 | $81.41 | -4.33 | -5.32% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $91.47 | -14.39 | -15.73% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $76.57 | +0.51 | +0.67% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $77.93 | -0.85 | -1.09% | Below |
| EMA 50 | $80.44 | -3.36 | -4.18% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $91.07 | -13.99 | -15.36% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $77.04 / $78.86 / $80.04 | S1 / S2 | $75.86 / $74.04 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $72.64 – $84.23 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $71.78 – $130.83 | Off 52-wk high | -41.1% |
| ATR (14) | $3.05 (4.0%) | Historical vol | 47.8% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | LEN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 5.20% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +15.9% / -11.3% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -56.7% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -8.4% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Reading | LEN | Residential Construction n=146 | Consumer Cyclical n=5,686 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -38.7 | -23.0 | -20.5 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -42.2 | -36.8 | -25.1 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | -19.5 | -18.2 | -15.0 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -45.1 | +4.1 | -10.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart Miller Executive Chairman | $29.5M | 97% equity+incentive |
| Jonathan M. Jaffe Former Co-Chief Executive | $23.4M | 96% equity+incentive |
| Diane Bessette Vice President and Chief Fina | $8.3M | 91% equity+incentive |
| Katherine Lee Martin Chief Legal Officer & C | $8.0M | 92% equity+incentive |
| Mark Sustana Former Vice President, General | $2.3M | 68% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 43 |
| Social | 54 |
| Governance | 65 |
| Composite ESG | 54 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2019-06-25 to 2026-09-16 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-11-30 to 2028-11-30 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 123 rows · 1995 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-07 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | not present for this symbol |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | not present for this symbol |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.