| Profitability | 3/100 |
| Growth | 24/100 |
| Momentum | 58/100 |
| Quality | 60/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 87/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 53/100 |
| Value | 54/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 30/100 |
| Overall | 22.5/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| CTVA | 41 |
| SMG | 55 |
| CF | 83 |
| UAN | 74 |
| NTR | 63 |
| FMC | 13 |
| MOS | 23 |
Both readings sit below the midpoint — business quality at 23 and price structure at 14 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 22.5 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 47 → 44 → 48 → 23 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 0% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 710 → now 667 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 667 | 305.1M | $6.3B | 96.0% |
| 2026 Q1 | 694 | 281.9M | $7.0B | 88.7% |
| 2025 Q4 | 656 | 290.9M | $7.4B | 91.5% |
| 2025 Q3 | 710 | 295.9M | $10.1B | 93.1% |
| 2025 Q2 | 702 | 293.0M | $10.8B | 92.2% |
| 2025 Q1 | 628 | 275.6M | $7.4B | 86.7% |
| 2024 Q4 | 622 | 272.2M | $6.7B | 85.6% |
| 2024 Q3 | 632 | 268.8M | $7.0B | 84.6% |
| 2024 Q2 | 642 | 267.1M | $7.3B | 84.0% |
| 2024 Q1 | 653 | 267.7M | $8.5B | 84.2% |
| 2023 Q4 | 678 | 269.5M | $9.9B | 84.8% |
| 2023 Q3 | 656 | 272.4M | $9.9B | 85.7% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Sonya C | director | 2026-09-23 | A-Award | 65 | $0.00M | 7,351 |
| Precourt Walter F. Iii | SVP - Chief Admin Officer | 2026-08-19 | SELL | 23,000 | $0.51M | 116,198 |
| Kuzenko Jody Lynne | director | 2026-05-28 | EXERCISE | 4,873 | — | 13,444 |
| Kuzenko Jody Lynne | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 7,273 | — | 7,273 |
| Kuzenko Jody Lynne | director | 2026-05-28 | EXERCISE | 4,873 | — | 0 |
| Shanahan Kathleen M | director | 2026-05-28 | EXERCISE | 4,873 | — | 7,286 |
| Shanahan Kathleen M | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 7,273 | — | 7,273 |
| Shanahan Kathleen M | director | 2026-05-28 | EXERCISE | 4,873 | — | 0 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 1 | 23,000 | $0.5M | Counted |
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 11 | 49,462 | — | None — mechanics |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Precourt Walter F. Iii | 23,000 | $0.5M |
| 2025-05-29 | Precourt Walter F. Iii | 18,000 | $0.6M |
| 2025-05-08 | Bodine Bruce M. | 180,708 | $5.7M |
| 2024-11-21 | Ricard Corrine D. | 2,793 | $0.1M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 1 filings | 23,000 | $1M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | SCHEDULE 13G | AQR Capital Management Holdings, LLC | 5.76% | 18.3M sh |
| 2026-08-06 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Abigail P. Johnson | 4.20% | 13.2M sh |
| 2026-05-06 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Abigail P. Johnson | 9.10% | 29.0M sh |
| 2026-04-30 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.37% | 23.4M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-07-07 | 2026-08-12 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-05-11 |
| Gilbert Ray Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-13 | 2026-05-11 |
| Thomas R. Carper | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-03-28 | 2024-03-29 |
| Thomas R. Carper | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-03-28 | 2024-03-28 |
| Thomas Richard Carper | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-03-28 | 2024-03-28 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Wedge Capital Management L L P/Nc | 463,188 | $10M |
| Sage Capital Advisors,Llc | 339,622 | $7M |
| Howard Capital Management, Llc | 300,755 | $7M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 296,747 | $5M |
| Butensky & Cohen Financial Securit | 171,547 | $4M |
| Gateway Investment Advisers Llc | 101,808 | $2M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $219M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $219M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $219M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $219M |
| VFIAX | 0.0% | $181M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $181M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 4.2M | 71 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 3.9M | 73 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 3.3M | 34 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 2.9M | 52 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.6M | 64 sh |
| Pure Purestream | 1.4M | 39 sh |
Moat score 36/100 — None; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Bruce Bodine Jr. | Chief Executive Officer, President & Director |
| Luciano Siani Pires | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Walter F. Precourt | Senior Vice President & Chief Administrative Officer |
| Karen A. Swager | Executive Vice President of Operations |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +42.3% | +54.8% | -28.4% | -18.8% | +8.4% |
| Gross profit | +200.5% | +79.9% | -61.6% | -31.6% | +20.2% |
| Operating income | +497.8% | +93.9% | -72.0% | -53.6% | +68.9% |
| Net income | +144.8% | +119.7% | -67.5% | -85.0% | +209.1% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 12.4 | 19.1 | 13.7 | 11.1 | 12.1 | |
| Cost of revenue | 9.2 | 13.4 | 11.5 | 9.6 | 10.2 | |
| Gross profit | 3.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Operating income | 2.5 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | |
| EBITDA | 3.2 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | |
| D&A | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | |
| Pretax income | 2.2 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | |
| Income tax | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | |
| Net income | 1.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 4.27 | 10.06 | 3.50 | 0.55 | 1.70 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 382 | 356 | 333 | 321 | 319 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | |
| Total current assets | 6.6 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 5.2 | |
| PP&E (net) | 12.9 | 13.8 | 13.6 | 14.0 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | |
| Total assets | 23.4 | 23.0 | 22.9 | 24.5 | |
| Accounts payable | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | |
| Short-term debt | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Total current liabilities | 5.5 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.0 | |
| Long-term debt | 2.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.1 | |
| Total liabilities | 11.2 | 10.6 | 11.3 | 12.2 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 12.2 | 12.4 | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | |
| D&A | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | (1.0) | 0.4 | 0.0 | (0.6) | |
| Operating cash flow | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | |
| Capital expenditures | (1.2) | (1.4) | (1.3) | (1.4) | |
| Investing cash flow | (1.3) | (1.3) | (1.3) | (1.3) | |
| Buybacks | (1.7) | (0.8) | (0.2) | 0.0 | |
| Dividends paid | (0.2) | (0.4) | (0.3) | (0.3) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.4) | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | |
| Financing cash flow | (2.7) | (1.5) | (0.1) | 0.5 | |
| Free cash flow | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | (0.5) |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 16.2% | 31.6% | 9.6% | 1.5% | 10.4% | 0% | |
| ROA | 7.8% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 5.2% | 0.2% | |
| ROIC | 12.7% | 23.6% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 0.2% | |
| Gross margin | 25.9% | 30.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 11.5% | |
| Operating margin | 20.0% | 25.0% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 1.4% | |
| Net margin | 13.2% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 0.4% | |
| EBITDA margin | 26.2% | 30.0% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 17.0% | |
| FCF margin | 7.3% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 0.4% | -4.6% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 8.26 | 3.86 | 9.46 | 43.40 | 5.81 | 94.1 | |
| P/B | 1.27 | 1.15 | 0.90 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.5 | |
| P/S | 1.09 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.50 | |
| P/FCF | 14.99 | 5.14 | 10.97 | 160.12 | -13.29 | -6.3 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.29 | 2.94 | 5.92 | 7.49 | 4.15 | 5.7 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.38 | 0.88 | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.04 | 1.0 | |
| Earnings yield | 12.1% | 25.9% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 17.2% | 0.72% | |
| FCF yield | 6.7% | 19.4% | 9.1% | 0.6% | -7.5% | -15.83% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.11 | 1.18 | 1.22 | 1.08 | 1.32 | 1.34 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.43 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.42 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.51 | |
| Debt / assets | 20.0% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 23.8% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.13 | 0.53 | 1.47 | 2.66 | 1.71 | 2.75 | |
| Interest coverage | 12.45 | 28.50 | 8.02 | 2.37 | 8.81 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.59 | 0.84 | 0.59 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.48 | |
| Receivables turnover | 11.90 | 13.49 | 10.43 | 10.25 | 11.65 | 10.4 | |
| DSO (days) | 31 | 27 | 35 | 36 | 31 | 35 | |
| DPO (days) | 40 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 53 | 41 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 80 | 78 | 92 | 88 | 89 | 122 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 42.3% | 54.8% | -28.4% | -18.8% | 5.0% | — | |
| Net income growth | 144.8% | 119.7% | -67.5% | -85.0% | 598.9% | — | |
| EPS growth | 147.9% | 141.3% | -65.9% | -84.6% | 654.8% | — | |
| FCF growth | 118.1% | 199.3% | -62.6% | -95.3% | -1227.8% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 4.32 | 10.42 | 3.55 | 0.55 | 4.15 | 0.14 | |
| Book value / share | 28.09 | 35.06 | 37.50 | 36.05 | 40.98 | 36.60 | |
| Revenue / share | 32.73 | 55.63 | 41.79 | 34.92 | 39.61 | 37.36 | |
| FCF / share | 2.38 | 7.82 | 3.07 | 0.15 | -1.81 | -2.98 | |
| Cash / share | 2.04 | 2.14 | 1.06 | 0.86 | 0.94 | 0.92 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 3.1% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | — | |
| Altman Z-Score | 2.43 | 3.14 | 2.35 | 1.83 | 1.96 | 1.7 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.30 | -2.23 | -2.74 | -2.45 | -2.53 | -1.98 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.7 | Distress (<1.81) | Distress |
| Income quality | -0.72 | Accrual-heavy | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -1.98 | Elevated | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.18 |
| Interest burden | 0.27 |
| Operating margin | 7.3% |
| Asset turnover | 0.49× |
| Financial leverage | 2.05× |
| = ROE | 0% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.00 |
| Earnings stability | 0.48 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.50 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | -11.0% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | -72.5% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | — |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTVA | $8.6B | 8.5 | 4% | 18.2% | +3.7% | 5/9 | +40.9% |
| SMG | $3.2B | 43.7 | -39% | 9.6% | -2.0% | 5/9 | +5.7% |
| CF | $18.3B | 8.9 | 39% | 32.7% | +20.0% | 9/9 | +46.5% |
| UAN | $1.3B | 8.3 | 48% | 38.3% | +17.5% | 8/9 | +46.7% |
| NTR | $34.0B | 14.4 | 9% | 11.2% | +8.4% | 8/9 | — |
| FMC | $0.7B | -0.3 | -91% | -21.5% | -21.3% | 5/9 | — |
| IKNX | $5.9B | -15.8 | -485% | -2.0% | -23.1% | 3/9 | — |
| BLDR | $5.9B | 59.4 | 3% | -0.1% | -9.4% | 5/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $12.11B | $13.20B / $11.55B | $0.39 | $0.74 / $0.23 | 9 |
| FY2027 | $13.02B | $13.91B / $11.70B | $1.41 | $2.51 / $0.71 | 10 |
| FY2028 | $12.84B | $15.84B / $11.29B | $2.02 | $4.19 / $0.95 | 5 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $23.00 | +22.2% | 3 |
| Last Quarter | $23.50 | +24.9% | 4 |
| Last Year | $28.78 | +52.9% | 27 |
| All Time | $36.83 | +95.7% | 66 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $21.21 | -2.39 | -11.27% | Below |
| SMA 50 | $22.89 | -4.07 | -17.78% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $24.23 | -5.41 | -22.33% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $19.52 | -0.70 | -3.59% | Below |
| EMA 21 | $20.90 | -2.08 | -9.95% | Below |
| EMA 50 | $22.14 | -3.32 | -15.00% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $24.06 | -5.24 | -21.78% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $18.89 / $19.23 / $19.52 | S1 / S2 | $18.60 / $18.26 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $17.26 – $25.17 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $18.41 – $32.25 | Off 52-wk high | -41.7% |
| ATR (14) | $0.87 (4.6%) | Historical vol | 32.7% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | MOS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 6.52% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +20.3% / -16.5% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -72.7% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -10.3% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Reading | MOS | Agricultural Inputs n=308 | Basic Materials n=7,383 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -58.2 | -34.1 | -30.9 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -55.5 | -40.7 | -33.0 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | -72.4 | -28.4 | -31.5 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -53.5 | -43.9 | -34.6 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Bruce M. Bodine President and Chief Executiv | $10.4M | 86% equity+incentive |
| Luciano Siani Pires Executive Vice President | $3.8M | 75% equity+incentive |
| Karen A. Swager Executive Vice President - O | $2.8M | 69% equity+incentive |
| Walter F. Precourt III Senior Vice President | $2.7M | 68% equity+incentive |
| Jenny Wang Executive Vice President - Commer | $2.7M | 71% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 62 |
| Social | 70 |
| Governance | 80 |
| Composite ESG | 71 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Officer/Director Change | 5.02 |
| 2026-08-28 | Other Events | 8.01 |
| 2026-08-17 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-17 | Financial Obligation; Other Events; Exhibits | 2.03,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-14 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-10 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-04 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-06-15 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-11-02 to 2026-08-04 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 64 rows · 2006 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-28 to 2026-09-23 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-04-30 to 2026-08-12 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.