| Profitability | 92/100 |
| Growth | 77/100 |
| Momentum | 99/100 |
| Quality | 96/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 81/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 94/100 |
| Value | 81/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 91.8/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| AEM | 90 |
| B | 88 |
| WPM | 69 |
| FNV | 82 |
| AU | 91 |
| GFI | 92 |
| NEM | 92 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 92 and price structure at 59 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 91.8 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 88 → 87 → 92 → 92 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 73% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,850 → now 1,794 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,794 | 828.8M | $75.8B | 77.8% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,850 | 814.0M | $83.1B | 76.4% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,729 | 841.6M | $79.8B | 79.0% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,535 | 816.9M | $65.8B | 76.7% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,339 | 841.8M | $46.0B | 79.0% |
| 2025 Q1 | 1,233 | 808.2M | $37.2B | 75.9% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,164 | 810.6M | $28.0B | 76.1% |
| 2024 Q3 | 1,249 | 809.7M | $40.1B | 76.0% |
| 2024 Q2 | 1,130 | 806.1M | $32.0B | 75.7% |
| 2024 Q1 | 1,061 | 790.0M | $26.3B | 74.2% |
| 2023 Q4 | 1,110 | 792.8M | $31.2B | 74.4% |
| 2023 Q3 | 1,012 | 646.1M | $23.7B | 60.7% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toth Peter | EVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off | 2026-10-01 | SELL | 3,000 | $0.34M | 34,315 |
| Viljoen Natascha | director, President & CEO | 2026-10-01 | SELL | 3,882 | $0.45M | 127,471 |
| Beaven Peter David | director | 2026-09-02 | A-Award | 1,092 | — | 1,092 |
| Toth Peter | EVP, Chief Sustain & Dev Off | 2026-09-01 | SELL | 3,000 | $0.37M | 37,315 |
| Viljoen Natascha | director, President & CEO | 2026-09-01 | SELL | 3,882 | $0.48M | 131,353 |
| Boyce Gregory H | director | 2026-08-24 | GIFT | 46,871 | — | 0 |
| Boyce Gregory H | director | 2026-08-24 | GIFT | 46,871 | — | 46,871 |
| Tabolt Brian | Chief Financial Officer | 2026-08-05 | SELL | 11,445 | $1.20M | 29,324 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 19 | 101,996 | $11.5M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 19 | 41,683 | $4.9M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 1 | 46,871 | — | None |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val Hoyle | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-09-22 | 2025-10-10 |
| Adam Smith | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-08-08 | 2025-08-11 |
| Adam Smith | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-08-08 | 2025-08-08 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Ninety One Uk Ltd | 2.5M | $283M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 2.0M | $225M |
| Td Waterhouse Canada Inc. | 564,461 | $65M |
| Euro Pacific Asset Management, Llc | 457,938 | $58M |
| Perpetual Ltd | 432,349 | $50M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 335,335 | $37M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.2% | $3.9B |
| VTI | 0.2% | $3.9B |
| VSMPX | 0.2% | $3.9B |
| VTSAX | 0.2% | $3.9B |
| VFINX | 0.2% | $3.2B |
| VFFSX | 0.2% | $3.2B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 8.6M | 57 sh |
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 8.5M | 56 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 6.0M | 62 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 4.8M | 31 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 2.9M | 69 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 2.8M | 153 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| UNITED KINGDOM | $13.1B | 61% |
| KOREA, REPUBLIC OF | $3.2B | 15% |
| JAPAN | $2.0B | 9% |
| Other Countries | $1.4B | 6% |
| Australia | $803M | 4% |
| MEXICO | $639M | 3% |
| SWITZERLAND | $89M | 0% |
| PHILIPPINES | $82M | 0% |
Moat score 55/100 — Weak; primary source Network Effects.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Natascha Viljoen EMBA | President, Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Peter Ivan Toth | Executive Vice President, Chief Sustainability & Development Officer |
| Mark Rodgers | Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer |
| Peter Wexler | Executive Vice President & Chief Legal Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +6.8% | -2.0% | -1.5% | +57.6% | +19.1% |
| Gross profit | -33.0% | -9.8% | -45.4% | +449.1% | +71.2% |
| Operating income | -35.4% | -15.4% | -59.9% | +784.3% | +80.1% |
| Net income | -58.8% | -139.4% | +449.2% | -232.8% | +111.6% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 12.2 | 11.9 | 11.8 | 18.6 | 22.1 | |
| Cost of revenue | 9.8 | 9.8 | 10.6 | 12.1 | 11.1 | |
| Gross profit | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 11.0 | |
| R&D expense | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
| Operating income | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 10.4 | |
| EBITDA | 5.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 7.9 | 13.1 | |
| D&A | 4.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 2.8 | |
| Pretax income | 1.3 | 0.1 | -2.0 | 4.7 | 11.8 | |
| Income tax | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 4.6 | |
| Net income | 1.2 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 3.3 | 7.1 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 1.46 | -0.58 | -3.00 | 2.86 | 6.41 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 801 | 795 | 841 | 1,148 | 1,108 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 7.6 | |
| ST investments | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | |
| Total current assets | 6.5 | 7.5 | 12.3 | 9.8 | |
| PP&E (net) | 24.1 | 37.6 | 33.5 | 33.3 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | |
| Total assets | 38.5 | 55.5 | 56.3 | 57.1 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 2.9 | 6.0 | 7.5 | 5.7 | |
| Long-term debt | 5.6 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | |
| Total liabilities | 18.9 | 26.3 | 26.2 | 23.1 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 19.5 | 29.2 | 30.1 | 34.0 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | (0.4) | (2.5) | 3.4 | 7.2 | |
| D&A | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.5 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Working capital change | (0.8) | (0.5) | (1.0) | (1.0) | |
| Operating cash flow | 3.2 | 2.8 | 6.4 | 10.3 | |
| Capital expenditures | (2.1) | (2.7) | (3.4) | (3.0) | |
| Investing cash flow | (3.0) | (1.0) | (2.7) | 0.7 | |
| Buybacks | 0.0 | 0.0 | (1.2) | (2.3) | |
| Dividends paid | (1.7) | (1.4) | (1.1) | (1.1) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.2) | (0.1) | (0.5) | (3.5) | |
| Financing cash flow | (2.4) | (1.6) | (3.0) | (7.2) | |
| Free cash flow | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 7.3 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 5.2% | -2.1% | -10.3% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 25% | |
| ROA | 2.8% | -1.1% | -5.3% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | |
| ROIC | 1.1% | -53.1% | 1.6% | 11.5% | 23.6% | 18.7% | |
| Gross margin | 19.5% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 34.6% | 49.8% | 57.6% | |
| Operating margin | 15.7% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 31.0% | 46.9% | 54.3% | |
| Net margin | 9.6% | -3.8% | -21.4% | 18.0% | 32.1% | 33.9% | |
| EBITDA margin | 45.5% | 27.5% | 15.8% | 42.4% | 59.4% | 64.6% | |
| FCF margin | 21.5% | 9.1% | 0.8% | 15.9% | 46.8% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 37.55 | -78.63 | -15.64 | 12.58 | 15.62 | 14.9 | |
| P/B | 1.99 | 1.79 | 1.34 | 1.41 | 3.27 | 3.6 | |
| P/S | 3.59 | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.26 | 5.01 | 4.92 | |
| P/FCF | 16.67 | 31.77 | 400.78 | 14.20 | 10.71 | 12.8 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.23 | 11.27 | 24.37 | 6.06 | 7.07 | 7.4 | |
| EV/Revenue | 3.69 | 3.09 | 3.85 | 2.54 | 4.68 | 4.8 | |
| Earnings yield | 2.7% | -1.3% | -6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.81% | |
| FCF yield | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.79% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 2.90 | 2.23 | 1.25 | 1.63 | 1.72 | 2.55 | |
| Quick ratio | 2.23 | 1.63 | 0.81 | 1.34 | 1.46 | 1.78 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.01 | 0.15 | |
| Debt / assets | 15.5% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 0.8% | 9.5% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 0.28 | 0.72 | 3.45 | 0.68 | -0.49 | -0.22 | |
| Interest coverage | 0.87 | 0.78 | -6.96 | 13.11 | 51.81 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.44 | |
| Receivables turnover | 31.02 | 33.99 | 21.41 | 20.82 | 25.49 | 21.5 | |
| DSO (days) | 12 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 17 | |
| DPO (days) | 19 | 21 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 31 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 59 | 55 | 66 | 63 | 48 | 122 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 6.8% | -2.0% | -1.5% | 58.3% | 18.6% | — | |
| Net income growth | -58.8% | -137.7% | -465.0% | 234.5% | 111.9% | — | |
| EPS growth | -58.4% | -137.8% | -358.8% | 214.6% | 119.7% | — | |
| FCF growth | -26.6% | -58.5% | -91.1% | 2952.6% | 249.0% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 1.46 | -0.55 | -2.54 | 2.91 | 6.39 | 8.07 | |
| Book value / share | 27.63 | 24.34 | 29.65 | 26.05 | 30.57 | 33.25 | |
| Revenue / share | 15.29 | 15.03 | 12.03 | 16.22 | 19.94 | 23.83 | |
| FCF / share | 3.29 | 1.37 | 0.10 | 2.58 | 9.33 | 9.14 | |
| Cash / share | 6.37 | 4.73 | 3.09 | 3.17 | 6.90 | 12.33 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.42% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.98 | 1.57 | 0.95 | 1.65 | 4.12 | 4.9 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 9/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -4.67 | 8.96 | -2.73 | -3.33 | -2.95 | -2.16 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 9 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 4.9 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 1.45 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.16 | Elevated | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.61 |
| Interest burden | 1.00 |
| Operating margin | 55.2% |
| Asset turnover | 0.45× |
| Financial leverage | 1.67× |
| = ROE | 25% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.75 |
| Earnings stability | 0.32 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.50 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 31.2% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | — |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 245.3% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEM | $96.0B | 16.3 | 23% | 42.1% | +49.8% | 9/9 | +2.4% |
| B | $67.2B | 10.5 | 25% | 23.0% | +49.4% | 8/9 | +15.0% |
| WPM | $60.9B | 29.7 | 24% | 58.5% | +90.8% | 6/9 | +18.5% |
| FNV | $47.0B | 31.8 | 20% | 60.9% | +73.6% | 8/9 | +13.5% |
| AU | $46.9B | 12.4 | 47% | 32.3% | +54.6% | 7/9 | — |
| GFI | $33.5B | 7.5 | 92% | 31.2% | +105.2% | 8/9 | — |
| KGC | $28.5B | 9.2 | 37% | 37.7% | +38.2% | 9/9 | — |
| RGLD | $20.2B | 26.0 | 14% | 52.5% | +94.3% | 4/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $26.67B | $27.12B / $26.33B | $9.33 | $9.85 / $8.96 | 10 |
| FY2027 | $28.68B | $29.30B / $28.04B | $10.43 | $12.80 / $8.72 | 11 |
| FY2028 | $29.73B | $38.67B / $23.97B | $11.79 | $17.31 / $7.55 | 9 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $154.00 | +29.8% | 1 |
| Last Quarter | $144.88 | +22.2% | 8 |
| Last Year | $139.68 | +17.8% | 31 |
| All Time | $106.46 | -10.2% | 60 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $117.66 | +0.94 | +0.80% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $121.70 | -3.10 | -2.55% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $112.14 | +6.46 | +5.76% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $116.20 | +2.40 | +2.07% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $117.64 | +0.96 | +0.82% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $117.12 | +1.48 | +1.26% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $107.52 | +11.08 | +10.31% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $114.53 / $117.09 / $118.38 | S1 / S2 | $113.24 / $110.68 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $110.20 – $125.11 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $75.83 – $135.01 | Off 52-wk high | -12.2% |
| ATR (14) | $3.85 (3.2%) | Historical vol | 35.4% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | NEM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 6.91% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +14.8% / -13.3% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -59.8% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -10.7% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.54 | 1.00 |
| Reading | NEM | Gold n=951 | Basic Materials n=7,383 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -21.4 | -35.6 | -30.9 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -25.0 | -36.8 | -33.0 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +11.6 | -37.6 | -31.5 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -19.9 | -41.8 | -34.6 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| KARYN OVELMEN Chief Financial Officer | $0.0M | 200% equity+incentive |
| NATASCHA VILJOEN Chief Operating Officer | $0.0M | 200% equity+incentive |
| AARON PUNA Chief Technology Officer | $0.0M | 200% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 62 |
| Social | 65 |
| Governance | 85 |
| Composite ESG | 71 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-29 to 2026-07-23 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 115 rows · 1997 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-07-27 to 2026-10-01 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | not present for this symbol |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | not present for this symbol |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.