| Profitability | 49/100 |
| Growth | 55/100 |
| Momentum | 78/100 |
| Quality | 73/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 70/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 57/100 |
| Value | 57/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 80/100 |
| Overall | 62.9/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| TDG | 59 |
| HWM | 73 |
| GD | 66 |
| ERJ | 39 |
| LHX | 58 |
| HEI | 75 |
| NOC | 63 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 63 and price structure at 64 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 62.9 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 52 → 57 → 63 → 63 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 55% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,896 → now 1,821 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,821 | 121.0M | $58.8B | 85.1% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,896 | 118.2M | $78.6B | 83.2% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,805 | 117.6M | $65.0B | 82.7% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,717 | 118.2M | $69.9B | 83.2% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,625 | 135.1M | $58.3B | 95.1% |
| 2025 Q1 | 1,673 | 120.7M | $59.3B | 84.9% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,647 | 119.2M | $54.2B | 83.8% |
| 2024 Q3 | 1,586 | 118.6M | $60.7B | 83.5% |
| 2024 Q2 | 1,512 | 120.2M | $51.0B | 84.6% |
| 2024 Q1 | 1,521 | 123.7M | $57.9B | 87.0% |
| 2023 Q4 | 1,523 | 125.1M | $57.2B | 88.0% |
| 2023 Q3 | 1,369 | 124.0M | $53.8B | 87.2% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krishna Arvind | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 75 | $0.04M | 2,837 |
| Brown Marianne Catherine | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 96 | $0.05M | 11,706 |
| Warden Kathy J | director, Chair, CEO and President | 2026-08-19 | A-Award | 35,910 | — | 35,910 |
| Welsh Mark A Iii | director | 2026-08-03 | SELL | 8 | $0.00M | 4,480 |
| Welsh Mark A Iii | director | 2026-08-03 | SELL | 19 | $0.01M | 4,461 |
| Welsh Mark A Iii | director | 2026-08-03 | SELL | 11 | $0.01M | 4,450 |
| Welsh Mark A Iii | director | 2026-08-03 | SELL | 31 | $0.02M | 4,419 |
| Welsh Mark A Iii | director | 2026-08-03 | SELL | 10 | $0.01M | 4,409 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 23 | 2,817 | $2.0M | Counted |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Ann Fudge | 2,093 | $1.1M |
| 2026-05-04 | Mark A. Welsh Iii | 190 | $0.1M |
| 2026-03-02 | Simpson Kathryn G | 873 | $0.7M |
| 2026-02-27 | Roeder Roshan S | 1,754 | $1.3M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 17 filings | 40,828 | $28M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital International Investors | 4.30% | 6.0M sh |
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital International Investors | 5.20% | 7.3M sh |
| 2026-04-30 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.22% | 10.2M sh |
| 2025-08-13 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital International Investors | 8.60% | 12.4M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William R. Keating | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-05-08 | 2026-05-19 |
| Steve Cohen | House | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-27 |
| Stephen Cohen | House | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2025-12-29 | 2026-01-27 |
| Tommy Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2022-10-05 | 2022-11-10 |
| Tommy Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2022-10-05 | 2022-11-09 |
| Thomas Hawley Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2022-10-05 | 2022-11-09 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 232,837 | $98M |
| Zwj Investment Counsel Inc | 105,911 | $51M |
| Trinity Street Asset Management Ll | 42,457 | $21M |
| Czech National Bank | 38,369 | $19M |
| Mccollum Christoferson Group Llc | 34,251 | $34M |
| Northcrest Asset Manangement, Llc | 29,881 | $14M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VFIAX | 0.1% | $1.7B |
| VFFSX | 0.1% | $1.7B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 1.1M | 22 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 1.0M | 27 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 0.7M | 20 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 0.4M | 30 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 0.4M | 64 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 0.4M | 11 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Europe | $3.3B | 63% |
| Asia Pacific | $1.9B | 37% |
Moat score 47/100 — Weak; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Kathy J. Warden | Chair, Chief Executive Officer & President |
| John Thomas Greene | Corporate Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Robert J. Fleming | Corporate Vice President & President of Northrop Grumman Space Systems Sector |
| Thomas H. Jones | Corporate Vice President & President of Aeronautics Systems Sector |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -3.1% | +2.6% | +7.3% | +4.4% | +2.2% |
| Gross profit | -2.8% | +2.8% | -12.3% | +27.6% | -0.6% |
| Operating income | +39.0% | -36.3% | -29.5% | +72.3% | -2.1% |
| Net income | +119.7% | -30.1% | -58.0% | +103.0% | +0.2% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 35.7 | 36.6 | 39.3 | 41.0 | 42.0 | |
| Cost of revenue | 28.4 | 29.1 | 32.7 | 32.7 | 33.6 | |
| Gross profit | 7.3 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 8.4 | 8.3 | |
| R&D expense | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 4.0 | |
| Operating income | 5.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 4.3 | |
| EBITDA | 8.7 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 6.8 | 7.2 | |
| D&A | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | |
| Pretax income | 8.9 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 5.1 | |
| Income tax | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | |
| Net income | 7.0 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 43.54 | 31.47 | 13.53 | 28.34 | 29.08 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 161 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 144 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 2.6 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 7.5 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 8.8 | |
| Total current assets | 12.5 | 13.7 | 14.3 | 15.1 | |
| PP&E (net) | 10.6 | 11.5 | 12.3 | 12.8 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 17.9 | 17.8 | 17.8 | 17.6 | |
| Total assets | 43.8 | 46.5 | 49.4 | 51.4 | |
| Accounts payable | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.2 | |
| Short-term debt | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | |
| Deferred revenue | 3.6 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.1 | |
| Total current liabilities | 11.6 | 11.9 | 14.1 | 13.9 | |
| Long-term debt | 11.8 | 13.8 | 14.7 | 17.0 | |
| Total liabilities | 28.4 | 31.7 | 34.1 | 34.7 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 15.3 | 14.8 | 15.3 | 16.7 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 4.9 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |
| D&A | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Working capital change | (0.6) | (0.1) | 0.3 | (0.9) | |
| Operating cash flow | 2.9 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.8 | |
| Capital expenditures | (1.4) | (1.8) | (1.8) | (1.5) | |
| Investing cash flow | (1.2) | (1.6) | (1.7) | (1.2) | |
| Buybacks | (1.5) | (1.5) | (2.5) | (1.6) | |
| Dividends paid | (1.1) | (1.1) | (1.2) | (1.3) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.5 | (0.5) | |
| Financing cash flow | (2.6) | (1.8) | (1.4) | (3.6) | |
| Free cash flow | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 59.6% | 34.7% | 13.7% | 27.7% | 26.2% | 27% | |
| ROA | 16.1% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | |
| ROIC | 18.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | |
| Gross margin | 20.4% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 20.1% | |
| Operating margin | 15.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | |
| Net margin | 19.6% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | |
| EBITDA margin | 24.5% | 21.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 17.4% | |
| FCF margin | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 8.31 | 16.37 | 33.26 | 16.28 | 19.48 | 16.5 | |
| P/B | 4.50 | 5.24 | 4.62 | 4.44 | 4.89 | 4.1 | |
| P/S | 1.63 | 2.19 | 1.74 | 1.66 | 1.94 | 1.72 | |
| P/FCF | 27.04 | 54.69 | 32.56 | 25.92 | 24.64 | 20.3 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.90 | 12.05 | 19.23 | 11.84 | 13.44 | 11.8 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.94 | 2.53 | 2.07 | 2.00 | 2.31 | 2.0 | |
| Earnings yield | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.09% | |
| FCF yield | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.94% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.30 | 1.08 | 1.15 | 1.01 | 1.09 | 1.17 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.22 | 0.99 | 1.05 | 0.91 | 0.99 | 1.06 | |
| Debt / equity | 1.13 | 0.98 | 1.08 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 0.91 | |
| Debt / assets | 34.4% | 34.3% | 34.5% | 37.3% | 38.4% | 32.1% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.27 | 1.62 | 3.06 | 2.03 | 2.13 | 1.88 | |
| Interest coverage | 13.55 | 12.53 | 5.30 | 8.95 | 8.62 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.82 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.83 | 0.84 | |
| Receivables turnover | 24.03 | 24.58 | 26.50 | 30.10 | 9.13 | 4.2 | |
| DSO (days) | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 40 | 87 | |
| DPO (days) | 26 | 30 | 26 | 26 | 32 | 31 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | -0 | -4 | -1 | 0 | 23 | 72 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | -3.1% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | — | |
| Net income growth | 119.7% | -30.1% | -58.0% | 103.0% | 0.2% | — | |
| EPS growth | 128.4% | -27.4% | -57.1% | 108.3% | 3.3% | — | |
| FCF growth | -25.4% | -31.9% | 43.2% | 24.8% | 26.2% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 43.67 | 31.69 | 13.61 | 28.34 | 29.27 | 31.64 | |
| Book value / share | 80.59 | 99.11 | 97.92 | 103.80 | 116.68 | 125.86 | |
| Revenue / share | 222.36 | 236.91 | 260.03 | 278.57 | 293.59 | 301.84 | |
| FCF / share | 13.42 | 9.49 | 13.90 | 17.79 | 23.14 | 25.66 | |
| Cash / share | 22.01 | 16.68 | 20.58 | 29.55 | 30.81 | 16.24 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 6.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.10% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.11 | 3.52 | 2.83 | 2.84 | 3.08 | 3.1 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.00 | -2.08 | -1.22 | -2.73 | -2.84 | -2.40 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.1 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 1.13 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.40 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.85 |
| Interest burden | 0.89 |
| Operating margin | 13.8% |
| Asset turnover | 0.86× |
| Financial leverage | 3.00× |
| = ROE | 27% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.84 |
| Earnings stability | 0.14 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.94 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 4.2% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 1.1% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 17.2% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | $63.0B | 34.6 | -29% | 19.7% | +16.6% | 6/9 | -8.8% |
| HWM | $88.1B | 47.3 | 35% | 21.0% | +18.1% | 7/9 | +15.3% |
| GD | $93.1B | 20.7 | 18% | 8.2% | +9.1% | 8/9 | +4.1% |
| ERJ | $47.4B | 56.8 | 9% | 5.7% | +19.9% | 6/9 | +13.1% |
| LHX | $46.3B | 25.0 | 9% | 10.2% | +7.3% | 8/9 | — |
| HEI | $43.2B | 51.0 | 19% | 16.7% | +20.7% | 7/9 | — |
| LMT | $127.4B | 20.3 | 89% | 9.2% | +7.2% | 9/9 | — |
| BA | $150.3B | 71.2 | 174% | -1.8% | +24.8% | 6/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $44.06B | $44.25B / $43.84B | $28.93 | $29.31 / $28.07 | 16 |
| FY2027 | $47.08B | $48.02B / $46.46B | $30.36 | $31.76 / $29.47 | 16 |
| FY2028 | $49.97B | $51.74B / $47.79B | $32.83 | $34.80 / $29.84 | 16 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $560.00 | +7.7% | 5 |
| Last Quarter | $594.45 | +14.3% | 11 |
| Last Year | $675.00 | +29.8% | 39 |
| All Time | $603.91 | +16.2% | 73 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $495.19 | +24.67 | +4.98% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $525.73 | -5.87 | -1.12% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $593.44 | -73.58 | -12.40% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $495.55 | +24.31 | +4.91% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $499.05 | +20.81 | +4.17% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $515.23 | +4.63 | +0.90% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $557.22 | -37.36 | -6.70% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $501.44 / $506.28 / $512.94 | S1 / S2 | $494.78 / $489.94 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $463.44 – $526.95 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $470.06 – $774.00 | Off 52-wk high | -32.8% |
| ATR (14) | $12.10 (2.3%) | Historical vol | 30.7% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | NOC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 3.86% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +8.6% / -13.6% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -30.2% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -5.7% | — |
| Beta (5y) | -0.11 | 1.00 |
| Reading | NOC | Aerospace & Defense n=500 | Industrials n=9,922 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -9.1 | -27.6 | -24.1 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -3.5 | -35.4 | -26.2 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +48.6 | -23.1 | -24.5 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -40.0 | -33.1 | -22.6 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Kathy J. Warden Chair, Chief Executive Offic | $25.4M | 83% equity+incentive |
| Robert J. Fleming Corporate Vice President a | $6.2M | 72% equity+incentive |
| Roshan S. Roeder Corporate Vice President an | $5.7M | 77% equity+incentive |
| Thomas H. Jones Corporate Vice President and | $5.6M | 80% equity+incentive |
| Kenneth B. Crews Former Corporate Vice Presi | $5.2M | 77% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 64 |
| Social | 62 |
| Governance | 77 |
| Composite ESG | 68 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Officer/Director Change | 5.02 |
| 2026-07-21 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-05-21 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-04-21 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-02-13 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Financial St | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2026-01-27 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2025-11-06 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Financial St | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2025-10-21 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-07-30 to 2026-04-21 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 114 rows · 1998 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-08-03 to 2026-09-30 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2025-08-13 to 2026-08-12 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.