| Profitability | 86/100 |
| Growth | 40/100 |
| Momentum | 69/100 |
| Quality | 91/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 78/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 84/100 |
| Value | 32/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 100/100 |
| Overall | 69.4/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| XPO | 58 |
| KNX | 44 |
| TFII | 55 |
| SAIA | 55 |
| SNDR | 50 |
| RXO | 44 |
| ODFL | 69 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 69 and price structure at 72 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 69.4 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 60 → 61 → 63 → 69 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 73% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,031 → now 1,031 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,031 | 166.6M | $33.1B | 79.8% |
| 2026 Q1 | 968 | 163.6M | $28.5B | 78.4% |
| 2025 Q4 | 922 | 168.9M | $23.4B | 80.9% |
| 2025 Q3 | 857 | 157.7M | $19.8B | 75.5% |
| 2025 Q2 | 904 | 157.7M | $22.5B | 75.6% |
| 2025 Q1 | 869 | 163.8M | $23.8B | 78.5% |
| 2024 Q4 | 950 | 165.0M | $25.5B | 79.0% |
| 2024 Q3 | 882 | 165.5M | $28.5B | 79.3% |
| 2024 Q2 | 880 | 164.7M | $25.8B | 78.9% |
| 2024 Q1 | 890 | 158.6M | $31.7B | 76.0% |
| 2023 Q4 | 890 | 158.0M | $29.4B | 75.7% |
| 2023 Q3 | 828 | 156.8M | $29.5B | 75.1% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackman Worthing | director | 2026-09-22 | A-Award | 545 | — | 545 |
| Overbey Cecil E. Jr. | SVP - Strategic Development | 2026-08-25 | SELL | 19,952 | $3.96M | 22,746 |
| Congdon David S | director, Executive Chairman | 2026-05-27 | GIFT | 295,670 | — | 0 |
| Davis Andrew Stephen | director | 2026-05-20 | A-Award | 859 | — | 3,635 |
| Stith Thomas A. Iii | director | 2026-05-20 | A-Award | 859 | — | 4,817 |
| Stallings Wendy T. | director | 2026-05-20 | A-Award | 859 | — | 7,817 |
| Smith Albert Randolph Ii | director | 2026-05-20 | A-Award | 859 | — | 859 |
| Gantt Greg C | director | 2026-05-20 | A-Award | 859 | — | 89,410 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 7 | 67,059 | $13.1M | Counted |
| G — Gifts | 7 | 386,384 | — | None |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Overbey Cecil E. Jr. | 19,952 | $4.0M |
| 2026-05-04 | Gregory C Gantt | 22,107 | $4.5M |
| 2026-02-26 | Congdon Earl E | 25,000 | $4.9M |
| 2026-02-19 | Congdon David S | 52,000 | $10.1M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 7 filings | 144,384 | $28M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | SCHEDULE 13G | Abigail P. Johnson | 5.60% | 11.7M sh |
| 2026-02-13 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | David S. Congdon | 3.70% | 7.8M sh |
| 2025-10-31 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 11.06% | 23.3M sh |
| 2025-08-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 6.30% | 13.4M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-11 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-06-05 | 2026-07-08 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-10-07 | 2025-11-14 |
| Tommy Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-05-03 | 2024-06-14 |
| Tommy Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-05-03 | 2024-06-13 |
| Thomas Hawley Tuberville | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2024-05-03 | 2024-06-13 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 522,979 | $91M |
| Avity Investment Management Inc. | 184,419 | $32M |
| Fjarde Ap-Fonden /Fourth Swedish N | 80,615 | $14M |
| Gateway Investment Advisers Llc | 79,697 | $14M |
| Signature Estate & Investment Advi | 70,186 | $12M |
| Czech National Bank | 53,621 | $9M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $1.0B |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $1.0B |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $1.0B |
| VTI | 0.0% | $1.0B |
| VFINX | 0.0% | $852M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $852M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 2.9M | 41 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 2.6M | 49 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 2.0M | 43 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 1.8M | 31 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 1.5M | 139 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 1.4M | 34 sh |
Moat score 54/100 — Weak; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Kevin Freeman | President, Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Adam N. Satterfield | Executive Vice President, Assistant Secretary & Chief Financial Officer |
| Gregory Plemmons | Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer |
| Earl E. Congdon | Chairman Emeritus & Senior Advisor |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +30.9% | +19.1% | -6.3% | -0.9% | -5.5% |
| Gross profit | +44.5% | +27.1% | -8.2% | -2.4% | -12.6% |
| Operating income | +53.4% | +32.3% | -10.9% | -5.9% | -11.8% |
| Net income | +53.8% | +33.1% | -10.0% | -4.3% | -13.7% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5.3 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 5.5 | |
| Cost of revenue | 3.5 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | |
| Gross profit | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | |
| Operating income | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | |
| EBITDA | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.7 | |
| D&A | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| Pretax income | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | |
| Income tax | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
| Net income | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 4.45 | 6.09 | 5.63 | 5.48 | 4.83 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 233 | 226 | 220 | 216 | 210 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | |
| Total current assets | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| PP&E (net) | 3.7 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.5 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total assets | 4.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Long-term debt | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total liabilities | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 3.7 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | |
| D&A | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | (0.1) | (0.1) | 0.1 | (0.0) | |
| Operating cash flow | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.8) | (0.8) | (0.8) | (0.4) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.5) | (0.7) | (0.8) | (0.4) | |
| Buybacks | (1.3) | (0.5) | (1.0) | (0.7) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.1) | (0.2) | (0.2) | (0.2) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 0.0 | (0.0) | (0.0) | (0.0) | |
| Financing cash flow | (1.4) | (0.7) | (1.2) | (1.0) | |
| Free cash flow | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 29.5% | 37.6% | 31.3% | 27.9% | 23.9% | 25% | |
| ROA | 22.5% | 28.5% | 23.9% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 19.0% | |
| ROIC | 33.9% | 39.1% | 31.6% | 27.3% | 24.2% | 20.8% | |
| Gross margin | 33.8% | 36.0% | 35.3% | 34.8% | 32.2% | 31.7% | |
| Operating margin | 26.5% | 29.4% | 28.0% | 26.6% | 24.8% | 25.8% | |
| Net margin | 19.7% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 19.4% | |
| EBITDA margin | 31.4% | 33.8% | 33.6% | 32.7% | 31.4% | 32.4% | |
| FCF margin | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.4% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 39.25 | 22.51 | 35.42 | 31.97 | 32.15 | 36.1 | |
| P/B | 11.03 | 8.49 | 10.31 | 8.93 | 7.63 | 8.6 | |
| P/S | 7.72 | 4.95 | 7.48 | 6.52 | 5.99 | 6.97 | |
| P/FCF | 61.28 | 33.83 | 54.08 | 42.70 | 34.46 | 35.0 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.23 | 14.59 | 22.08 | 19.96 | 19.01 | 21.4 | |
| EV/Revenue | 7.61 | 4.93 | 7.42 | 6.53 | 5.97 | 6.9 | |
| Earnings yield | 2.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.78% | |
| FCF yield | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.86% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 2.98 | 1.76 | 2.10 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.89 | |
| Quick ratio | 2.98 | 1.76 | 2.10 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.89 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.00 | |
| Debt / assets | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -0.37 | -0.06 | -0.18 | 0.03 | -0.05 | -0.15 | |
| Interest coverage | 805.60 | 1177.63 | 3549.12 | 7348.16 | 4601.85 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 1.14 | 1.30 | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.00 | 0.98 | |
| Receivables turnover | 10.39 | 10.92 | 10.14 | 10.76 | 21.92 | 8.9 | |
| DSO (days) | 35 | 33 | 36 | 34 | 17 | 41 | |
| DPO (days) | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 8 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 27 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 12 | 33 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 30.9% | 19.1% | -6.3% | -0.9% | -5.5% | — | |
| Net income growth | 53.8% | 33.1% | -10.0% | -4.3% | -13.7% | — | |
| EPS growth | 56.7% | 38.6% | -8.8% | -3.1% | -11.0% | — | |
| FCF growth | -6.4% | 38.3% | -11.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 4.47 | 6.20 | 5.65 | 5.48 | 4.88 | 5.22 | |
| Book value / share | 15.90 | 16.44 | 19.41 | 19.61 | 20.54 | 21.79 | |
| Revenue / share | 22.72 | 28.18 | 26.75 | 26.86 | 26.19 | 26.84 | |
| FCF / share | 2.86 | 4.12 | 3.70 | 4.10 | 4.55 | 5.34 | |
| Cash / share | 3.10 | 1.06 | 1.98 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 1.36 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 1.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.21% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 24.62 | 19.32 | 24.19 | 21.30 | 18.91 | 22.7 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 8/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.39 | -2.82 | -2.73 | -3.04 | -3.61 | -2.62 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 22.7 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 1.28 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.62 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.75 |
| Interest burden | 1.00 |
| Operating margin | 25.8% |
| Asset turnover | 0.99× |
| Financial leverage | 1.29× |
| = ROE | 25% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.38 |
| Earnings stability | 0.05 |
| Earnings persistence | 1.00 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | -2.0% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | -3.5% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 19.9% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | $21.9B | 54.4 | 22% | 6.9% | +7.0% | 8/9 | +42.4% |
| KNX | $10.5B | 241.5 | 1% | 2.1% | +4.1% | 5/9 | +39.5% |
| TFII | $9.4B | 25.9 | 13% | 5.9% | +6.7% | 8/9 | +19.6% |
| SAIA | $8.9B | 32.2 | 11% | 9.9% | +4.8% | 7/9 | +10.1% |
| SNDR | $5.5B | 49.2 | 4% | 3.2% | +6.2% | 6/9 | — |
| RXO | $4.7B | -46.7 | -7% | -0.5% | +9.5% | 5/9 | — |
| PAYX | $39.7B | 22.1 | 47% | 26.4% | +14.0% | 9/9 | — |
| WCN | $42.3B | 40.6 | 13% | 11.6% | +6.1% | 7/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $5.97B | $6.10B / $5.75B | $5.88 | $6.00 / $5.62 | 16 |
| FY2027 | $6.46B | $6.88B / $6.08B | $6.74 | $7.23 / $6.38 | 16 |
| FY2028 | $6.99B | $7.48B / $6.69B | $7.64 | $8.10 / $7.33 | 9 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $224.25 | +19.5% | 4 |
| Last Quarter | $232.55 | +23.9% | 11 |
| Last Year | $208.79 | +11.2% | 57 |
| All Time | $223.98 | +19.3% | 108 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $179.40 | +8.32 | +4.64% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $189.09 | -1.37 | -0.72% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $200.54 | -12.82 | -6.39% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $183.67 | +4.05 | +2.21% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $182.39 | +5.33 | +2.92% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $189.15 | -1.43 | -0.76% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $194.20 | -6.48 | -3.34% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $187.68 / $190.40 / $191.91 | S1 / S2 | $186.17 / $183.45 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $170.95 – $187.85 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $125.23 – $251.63 | Off 52-wk high | -25.4% |
| ATR (14) | $4.88 (2.6%) | Historical vol | 23.4% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | ODFL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 5.84% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +20.7% / -16.3% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -39.4% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -7.4% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Reading | ODFL | Trucking n=82 | Industrials n=9,922 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -3.0 | -19.8 | -24.1 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -36.4 | -23.0 | -26.2 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +43.2 | -25.0 | -24.5 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +46.3 | +3.2 | -22.6 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin M. Freeman President and Chief Execut | $11.6M | 91% equity+incentive |
| Adam N. Satterfield Executive Vice Presiden | $6.4M | 89% equity+incentive |
| Gregory B. Plemmons Executive Vice Presiden | $6.4M | 89% equity+incentive |
| Cecil E. Overbey, Jr. Senior Vice President | $3.9M | 85% equity+incentive |
| Ross H. Parr Senior Vice President - Legal | $3.9M | 85% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 50 |
| Social | 61 |
| Governance | 67 |
| Composite ESG | 59 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Officer/Director Change | 5.02 |
| 2026-09-03 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-07-29 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-07-23 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-06-03 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-05-21 | Shareholder Vote; Other Events; Exhibits | 5.07,8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-04-29 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-03-03 | Regulation FD Disclosure; Financial Statements and Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-27 to 2026-07-29 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 111 rows · 1998 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-20 to 2026-09-22 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2025-08-14 to 2026-05-06 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.