| Profitability | 39/100 |
| Growth | 31/100 |
| Momentum | 62/100 |
| Quality | 64/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 66/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 67/100 |
| Value | 54/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 90/100 |
| Overall | 51.4/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| SW | 43 |
| AMCR | 53 |
| BALL | 62 |
| AVY | 62 |
| CCK | 60 |
| SEE | 54 |
| PKG | 51 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 51 and price structure at 62 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 51.4 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 63 → 56 → 54 → 51 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 73% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 907 → now 907 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 907 | 88.2M | $19.4B | 99.8% |
| 2026 Q1 | 884 | 86.8M | $16.6B | 98.1% |
| 2025 Q4 | 872 | 87.1M | $17.2B | 98.5% |
| 2025 Q3 | 858 | 84.6M | $17.7B | 95.6% |
| 2025 Q2 | 844 | 83.3M | $15.1B | 94.2% |
| 2025 Q1 | 858 | 82.0M | $15.6B | 92.7% |
| 2024 Q4 | 906 | 82.0M | $18.0B | 92.8% |
| 2024 Q3 | 817 | 81.0M | $17.0B | 91.6% |
| 2024 Q2 | 776 | 80.5M | $14.3B | 91.1% |
| 2024 Q1 | 782 | 80.0M | $14.9B | 90.5% |
| 2023 Q4 | 746 | 80.4M | $12.9B | 90.9% |
| 2023 Q3 | 647 | 81.1M | $12.3B | 91.7% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shirley Donald R. | Exec. VP | 2026-08-20 | SELL | 12,000 | $3.01M | 19,110 |
| Hassfurther Thomas A | President | 2026-08-07 | SELL | 7,063 | $1.79M | 202,891 |
| Hassfurther Thomas A | President | 2026-08-05 | SELL | 8,797 | $2.26M | 209,954 |
| Hassfurther Thomas A | President | 2026-08-03 | SELL | 12,531 | $3.13M | 218,751 |
| Kowlzan Mark W | director, Chairman & CEO | 2026-05-27 | SELL | 9,266 | $2.01M | 473,610 |
| Mencoff Samuel M | director | 2026-05-12 | A-Award | 591 | — | 270,194 |
| Souleles Thomas S | director | 2026-05-12 | A-Award | 591 | — | 11,202 |
| Lyons Robert C | director | 2026-05-12 | A-Award | 591 | — | 13,429 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 5 | 49,657 | $12.2M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 12 | 61,184 | $13.2M | None — compensation |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Donald Ray Shirley | 12,000 | $3.0M |
| 2026-07-28 | Hassfurther Thomas A | 28,391 | $7.3M |
| 2026-05-27 | Kowlzan Mark W | 9,266 | $2.0M |
| 2026-02-13 | Hassfurther Thomas A | 26,450 | $6.5M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 6 filings | 113,236 | $27M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | SCHEDULE 13G | STATE STREET CORPORATION | 5.20% | 4.6M sh |
| 2026-05-15 | SCHEDULE 13G | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 7.30% | 6.5M sh |
| 2026-04-30 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.54% | 6.7M sh |
| 2026-03-27 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April Delaney | House | SELL | $50,001 - $100,000 | 2026-08-25 | 2026-09-10 |
| April McClain Delaney | House | SELL | $50,001 - $100,000 | 2026-08-25 | 2026-09-10 |
| April Delaney | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-05-06 | 2026-06-08 |
| Thomas R. Carper | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2020-04-02 | 2021-05-17 |
| Thomas R. Carper | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2020-04-02 | 2021-05-16 |
| Thomas Richard Carper | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2020-04-02 | 2021-05-16 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Summit Financial Strategies, Inc. | 236,708 | $54M |
| Ghp Investment Advisors, Inc. | 55,233 | $13M |
| Banque Pictet & Cie Sa | 51,570 | $12M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 42,739 | $10M |
| Ellsworth Advisors, Llc | 36,313 | $8M |
| Norman Fields, Gottscho Capital Ma | 33,504 | $8M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $651M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $651M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $651M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $651M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $533M |
| VFFSX | 0.0% | $533M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 1.7M | 37 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.4M | 36 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 1.1M | 27 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 0.7M | 51 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 0.6M | 129 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 0.5M | 22 sh |
Moat score 55/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Mark W. Kowlzan | Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer |
| Thomas A. Hassfurther | President |
| Charles J. Carter | Executive Vice President of Mill Operations |
| Kent A. Pflederer | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +16.1% | +9.7% | -8.0% | +7.4% | +7.2% |
| Gross profit | +35.1% | +11.6% | -18.7% | +5.0% | +6.0% |
| Operating income | +52.5% | +10.7% | -24.3% | +2.4% | +14.0% |
| Net income | +82.5% | +22.4% | -25.7% | +5.2% | -4.5% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.7 | 8.5 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 9.0 | |
| Cost of revenue | 5.9 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 7.1 | |
| Gross profit | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |
| Operating income | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | |
| EBITDA | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| D&A | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | |
| Pretax income | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | |
| Income tax | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Net income | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 8.83 | 11.02 | 8.48 | 8.93 | 8.58 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 94 | 93 | 90 | 90 | 90 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | |
| ST investments | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| Receivables (net) | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | |
| Total current assets | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | |
| PP&E (net) | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 5.4 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | |
| Total assets | 8.0 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 10.9 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
| Long-term debt | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | |
| Total liabilities | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 6.3 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 3.7 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| D&A | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | (0.1) | (0.0) | (0.2) | (0.1) | |
| Operating cash flow | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.8) | (0.5) | (0.7) | (0.8) | |
| Investing cash flow | (0.8) | (0.9) | (0.3) | (2.6) | |
| Buybacks | (0.5) | (0.1) | (0.0) | (0.2) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.4) | (0.4) | (0.4) | (0.4) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.0) | 0.4 | (0.4) | 1.5 | |
| Financing cash flow | (1.0) | (0.1) | (0.9) | 0.9 | |
| Free cash flow | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 24.5% | 28.3% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 15% | |
| ROA | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | |
| ROIC | 17.3% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | |
| Gross margin | 24.2% | 24.7% | 21.8% | 21.3% | 21.0% | 20.1% | |
| Operating margin | 16.6% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | |
| Net margin | 10.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | |
| EBITDA margin | 21.7% | 22.3% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 19.4% | |
| FCF margin | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 13.56 | 10.37 | 18.15 | 24.41 | 23.90 | 30.5 | |
| P/B | 3.16 | 2.91 | 3.47 | 4.46 | 4.02 | 4.5 | |
| P/S | 1.48 | 1.26 | 1.78 | 2.34 | 2.06 | 2.21 | |
| P/FCF | 23.32 | 15.92 | 16.45 | 37.81 | 25.36 | 28.3 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.00 | 6.91 | 10.04 | 13.26 | 12.64 | 13.5 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.74 | 1.54 | 2.04 | 2.58 | 2.47 | 2.6 | |
| Earnings yield | 7.4% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.31% | |
| FCF yield | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.53% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 3.09 | 2.86 | 2.57 | 3.23 | 3.17 | 2.94 | |
| Quick ratio | 2.07 | 1.75 | 1.77 | 2.10 | 1.94 | 1.86 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.63 | 0.95 | 0.94 | |
| Debt / assets | 34.9% | 34.9% | 36.6% | 31.4% | 40.0% | 40.0% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 1.21 | 1.26 | 1.28 | 1.22 | 2.14 | 2.14 | |
| Interest coverage | 8.27 | 20.44 | 19.99 | 26.71 | 13.99 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 1.01 | 1.07 | 0.94 | 0.96 | 0.91 | 0.87 | |
| Receivables turnover | 8.12 | 8.06 | 7.56 | 7.70 | 7.49 | 6.7 | |
| DSO (days) | 45 | 45 | 48 | 47 | 49 | 55 | |
| DPO (days) | 26 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 30 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 71 | 74 | 84 | 83 | 88 | 86 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 16.1% | 9.7% | -8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | — | |
| Net income growth | 82.4% | 22.4% | -25.7% | 5.2% | -3.9% | — | |
| EPS growth | 83.3% | 27.4% | -24.6% | 5.3% | -4.0% | — | |
| FCF growth | -20.0% | 37.2% | 25.9% | -38.4% | 40.2% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 8.90 | 11.33 | 8.54 | 8.99 | 8.63 | 7.81 | |
| Book value / share | 38.15 | 40.34 | 44.60 | 49.21 | 51.32 | 52.72 | |
| Revenue / share | 81.77 | 93.27 | 87.05 | 93.67 | 100.33 | 107.83 | |
| FCF / share | 5.17 | 7.38 | 9.42 | 5.81 | 8.13 | 8.40 | |
| Cash / share | 7.45 | 4.46 | 12.74 | 8.79 | 6.71 | 6.72 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 1.8% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.00% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.97 | 3.93 | 3.91 | 4.93 | 3.65 | 3.9 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.47 | -2.71 | -2.79 | -2.59 | -2.38 | -2.45 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 5 / 9 | Middling | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.9 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 2.35 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.45 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.75 |
| Interest burden | 0.89 |
| Operating margin | 10.9% |
| Asset turnover | 0.95× |
| Financial leverage | 2.16× |
| = ROE | 15% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.91 |
| Earnings stability | 0.01 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.91 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 5.9% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | -7.1% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | -3.5% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW | $21.6B | 43.3 | 3% | 1.1% | +8.3% | 8/9 | +0.8% |
| AMCR | $20.3B | 16.3 | 9% | 6.1% | +56.6% | 7/9 | +14.3% |
| BALL | $16.7B | 17.9 | 17% | 5.5% | +15.7% | 9/9 | +33.3% |
| AVY | $13.3B | 19.2 | 31% | 8.3% | +5.8% | 8/9 | +12.5% |
| CCK | $12.4B | 16.4 | 27% | 6.7% | +10.3% | 7/9 | — |
| SEE | $6.2B | 15.8 | 54% | 8.1% | -0.6% | 5/9 | — |
| SON | $4.9B | 7.7 | 19% | 5.6% | +31.7% | 5/9 | — |
| SLGN | $4.0B | 14.8 | 12% | 4.6% | +8.4% | 7/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $10.07B | $10.19B / $9.90B | $10.47 | $10.62 / $10.36 | 6 |
| FY2027 | $10.93B | $11.26B / $10.38B | $14.11 | $17.63 / $12.52 | 7 |
| FY2028 | $11.25B | $11.45B / $11.05B | $14.66 | $17.61 / $13.21 | 4 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $289.00 | +22.5% | 1 |
| Last Quarter | $285.00 | +20.8% | 6 |
| Last Year | $260.70 | +10.5% | 20 |
| All Time | $230.54 | -2.3% | 39 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $232.65 | +3.35 | +1.44% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $238.40 | -2.40 | -1.01% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $227.50 | +8.50 | +3.74% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $231.76 | +4.24 | +1.83% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $232.41 | +3.59 | +1.54% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $234.75 | +1.25 | +0.53% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $227.26 | +8.74 | +3.85% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $232.81 / $234.80 / $237.03 | S1 / S2 | $230.58 / $228.59 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $224.55 – $240.74 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $190.33 – $259.98 | Off 52-wk high | -9.2% |
| ATR (14) | $4.74 (2.0%) | Historical vol | 17.9% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | PKG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 3.58% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +9.3% / -8.0% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -30.1% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -5.9% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Reading | PKG | Packaging & Containers n=399 | Consumer Cyclical n=5,686 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -5.9 | -23.8 | -20.5 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -24.1 | -24.5 | -25.1 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +21.0 | -18.0 | -15.0 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +40.9 | -27.1 | -10.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Mark W. Kowlzan Chief Executive Officer | $17.0M | 86% equity+incentive |
| Thomas A. Hassfurther President | $12.2M | 82% equity+incentive |
| Charles J. Carter Executive Vice President— | $5.2M | 82% equity+incentive |
| Donald R. Shirley Executive Vice President, | $4.0M | 71% equity+incentive |
| Kent A. Pflederer Executive Vice President a | $3.7M | 78% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 67 |
| Social | 67 |
| Governance | 62 |
| Composite ESG | 66 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-05-13 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-04-23 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-03-03 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Financial St | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2026-01-28 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2025-12-10 | Regulation FD Disclosure; Financial Statements and Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2025-12-04 | Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities; Material Impairment | 2.05,2.06,9.01 |
| 2025-10-23 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-26 to 2026-07-22 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 107 rows · 1999 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-12 to 2026-08-20 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-03-27 to 2026-08-07 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.