| Profitability | 80/100 |
| Growth | 66/100 |
| Momentum | 89/100 |
| Quality | 70/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 86/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 29/100 |
| Value | 47/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 50/100 |
| Overall | 54.4/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| ABNB | 75 |
| BKNG | 77 |
| VIK | 73 |
| CCL | 53 |
| EXPE | 67 |
| SABRP | 29 |
| RCL | 54 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 54 and price structure at 74 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 54.4 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 63 → 57 → 59 → 54 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 82% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,229 → now 1,229 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,229 | 238.8M | $75.1B | 88.8% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,173 | 223.2M | $60.6B | 83.0% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,191 | 223.6M | $61.4B | 83.1% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,185 | 219.0M | $69.9B | 81.4% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,157 | 227.0M | $70.4B | 84.4% |
| 2025 Q1 | 1,058 | 217.3M | $44.3B | 80.8% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,036 | 213.8M | $48.9B | 79.5% |
| 2024 Q3 | 946 | 210.3M | $36.9B | 78.2% |
| 2024 Q2 | 910 | 212.1M | $33.5B | 78.9% |
| 2024 Q1 | 845 | 206.7M | $28.3B | 76.8% |
| 2023 Q4 | 832 | 204.9M | $25.9B | 76.2% |
| 2023 Q3 | 731 | 200.0M | $18.1B | 74.3% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bunch Tara | director | 2026-07-31 | A-Award | 683 | — | 683 |
| Bayley Michael W | Pres&CEO, Royal Caribbean Intl | 2026-07-29 | SELL | 12,811 | $4.05M | 45,297 |
| Wiernicki Christopher J | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 571 | — | 922 |
| Ofer Eyal | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 831 | — | 43,756 |
| Moore Ann S | director | 2026-05-28 | TAX W/H | 78 | $0.02M | 28,925 |
| Montiel Maritza Gomez | director | 2026-05-28 | TAX W/H | 78 | $0.02M | 12,771 |
| Montiel Maritza Gomez | director | 2026-05-28 | A-Award | 831 | — | 13,602 |
| Mcpherson Amy | director | 2026-05-28 | TAX W/H | 408 | $0.11M | 10,164 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 20 | 784,418 | $247.6M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 9 | 1,047 | $0.3M | None — compensation |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Bayley Michael W | 12,811 | $4.0M |
| 2026-02-17 | Laura Bethge | 7,854 | $2.6M |
| 2026-02-17 | Maritza Montiel | 1,385 | $0.5M |
| 2026-02-13 | Naftali Holtz | 45,781 | $15.0M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 10 filings | 2,249,633 | $721M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital Research Global Investors | 6.40% | 17.2M sh |
| 2026-08-12 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital Research Global Investors | 12.80% | 34.3M sh |
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital International Investors | 9.50% | 25.8M sh |
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital World Investors | 7.60% | 20.6M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-11 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-10-09 |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-21 |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-20 |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2018-05-17 | 2018-06-09 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Td Waterhouse Canada Inc. | 102,736 | $28M |
| Generate Investment Management Ltd | 97,846 | $26M |
| Artemis Investment Management Llp | 81,865 | $22M |
| Fjarde Ap-Fonden /Fourth Swedish N | 79,395 | $21M |
| Mn Services Vermogensbeheer B.V. | 74,300 | $20M |
| Czech National Bank | 71,466 | $19M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VOO | 0.1% | $1.7B |
| VFIAX | 0.1% | $1.7B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 2.9M | 31 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 2.3M | 38 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.9M | 32 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 1.6M | 20 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 1.1M | 26 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 1.1M | 48 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| North America | $11.5B | 68% |
| Europe | $3.0B | 17% |
| Asia Pacific | $1.7B | 10% |
| Other Region | $862M | 5% |
Moat score 51/100 — Weak; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Jason T. Liberty | Chief Executive Officer & Chairman |
| Michael W. Bayley | President & CEO of Royal Caribbean |
| Naftali Holtz | Executive VP & CFO |
| Harri U. Kulovaara | Executive Vice President of Newbuilding |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -30.6% | +477.0% | +57.2% | +18.6% | +8.8% |
| Gross profit | +117.0% | -284.3% | +175.4% | +27.9% | +7.2% |
| Operating income | -15.9% | -80.2% | -475.7% | +42.7% | +19.6% |
| Net income | -9.3% | -59.0% | -178.7% | +69.5% | +48.5% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.5 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 16.5 | 17.9 | |
| Cost of revenue | 2.7 | 6.6 | 7.8 | 8.7 | 9.5 | |
| Gross profit | -1.2 | 2.2 | 6.1 | 7.8 | 8.4 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | |
| Operating income | -3.9 | -0.8 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | |
| EBITDA | -2.7 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 6.9 | |
| D&A | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | |
| Pretax income | -5.3 | -2.2 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.3 | |
| Income tax | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Net income | -5.3 | -2.2 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.3 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | -20.89 | -8.45 | 6.31 | 10.94 | 15.61 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 252 | 255 | 283 | 279 | 273 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |
| Total current assets | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 | |
| PP&E (net) | 28.1 | 30.7 | 32.5 | 36.3 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| Total assets | 33.8 | 35.1 | 37.1 | 41.6 | |
| Accounts payable | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | |
| Short-term debt | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.3 | |
| Deferred revenue | 4.2 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 8.6 | 9.4 | 9.8 | 12.1 | |
| Long-term debt | 21.3 | 19.7 | 18.5 | 18.8 | |
| Total liabilities | 30.9 | 30.2 | 29.3 | 31.4 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 2.9 | 4.9 | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | (2.2) | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.3 | |
| D&A | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | |
| Operating cash flow | 0.5 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 6.5 | |
| Capital expenditures | (2.7) | (3.9) | (3.3) | (5.2) | |
| Investing cash flow | (3.0) | (3.9) | (3.4) | (5.0) | |
| Buybacks | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | (1.2) | |
| Dividends paid | 0.0 | 0.0 | (0.1) | (0.3) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 2.0 | (2.0) | (1.8) | 1.0 | |
| Financing cash flow | 1.7 | (2.0) | (1.9) | (1.0) | |
| Free cash flow | (2.2) | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | -76.0% | -54.2% | 44.7% | 46.8% | 48.6% | 44% | |
| ROA | -16.3% | -6.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | |
| ROIC | -12.7% | -2.4% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | |
| Gross margin | -78.8% | 25.2% | 44.1% | 47.5% | 46.8% | 46.6% | |
| Operating margin | -252.6% | -8.7% | 20.7% | 24.9% | 27.4% | 27.3% | |
| Net margin | -343.3% | -24.4% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 23.8% | 23.6% | |
| EBITDA margin | -174.6% | 7.0% | 32.8% | 36.9% | 38.5% | 39.2% | |
| FCF margin | -268.1% | -25.2% | 4.2% | 12.1% | 6.9% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | -3.67 | -5.77 | 21.07 | 22.00 | 17.82 | 17.1 | |
| P/B | 3.80 | 4.34 | 7.57 | 8.37 | 7.59 | 7.3 | |
| P/S | 12.61 | 1.41 | 2.57 | 3.84 | 4.25 | 3.97 | |
| P/FCF | -4.70 | -5.58 | 61.68 | 31.70 | 61.61 | -178.5 | |
| EV/EBITDA | -14.32 | 56.10 | 12.58 | 13.75 | 14.16 | 13.2 | |
| EV/Revenue | 25.01 | 3.90 | 4.13 | 5.08 | 5.46 | 5.2 | |
| Earnings yield | -27.2% | -17.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.89% | |
| FCF yield | -21.3% | -17.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | -0.56% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 0.49 | 0.37 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.21 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.19 | |
| Debt / equity | 4.27 | 8.36 | 4.68 | 2.75 | 2.26 | 2.30 | |
| Debt / assets | 67.3% | 71.0% | 63.0% | 56.2% | 54.4% | 52.7% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -7.10 | 35.87 | 4.74 | 3.36 | 3.14 | 3.09 | |
| Interest coverage | -3.07 | -0.58 | 2.22 | 2.82 | 5.34 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.05 | 0.27 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.42 | |
| Receivables turnover | 4.43 | 18.83 | 29.70 | 42.49 | 52.14 | 42.4 | |
| DSO (days) | 82 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 9 | |
| DPO (days) | 62 | 33 | 34 | 36 | 36 | 40 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 39 | -3 | -10 | -17 | -19 | -22 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | -30.6% | 477.0% | 57.2% | 18.6% | 8.8% | — | |
| Net income growth | 9.3% | 59.0% | 178.7% | 69.5% | 48.5% | — | |
| EPS growth | 20.0% | 59.1% | 171.7% | 71.4% | 50.7% | — | |
| FCF growth | 27.9% | 45.8% | 126.0% | 244.5% | -38.1% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | -20.65 | -8.45 | 6.06 | 10.39 | 15.65 | 16.36 | |
| Book value / share | 19.96 | 11.24 | 16.87 | 27.30 | 36.77 | 38.89 | |
| Revenue / share | 6.01 | 34.64 | 49.64 | 59.51 | 65.70 | 69.45 | |
| FCF / share | -16.12 | -8.73 | 2.07 | 7.21 | 4.53 | -1.55 | |
| Cash / share | 10.60 | 7.58 | 1.77 | 1.40 | 3.44 | 3.25 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 2.28% | |
| Altman Z-Score | -0.06 | 0.16 | 1.14 | 1.98 | 2.22 | 2.1 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | 43.45 | -2.47 | -3.08 | -2.87 | -2.66 | -2.65 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 5 / 9 | Middling | |
| Altman Z-Score | 2.1 | Grey zone | Grey |
| Income quality | 1.53 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.65 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.98 |
| Interest burden | 0.81 |
| Operating margin | 29.5% |
| Asset turnover | 0.45× |
| Financial leverage | 4.29× |
| = ROE | 45% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.92 |
| Earnings stability | 0.93 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.91 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 15.9% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | — |
| FCF CAGR 3y | — |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | $104.0B | 39.3 | 35% | 22.6% | +13.6% | 7/9 | +41.3% |
| BKNG | $122.8B | 18.0 | -83% | 26.5% | +12.9% | 5/9 | -16.7% |
| VIK | $37.2B | 27.5 | 140% | 26.8% | +20.0% | 7/9 | +38.7% |
| CCL | $34.8B | 11.2 | 24% | 22.8% | +5.2% | 7/9 | -8.2% |
| EXPE | $33.1B | 17.3 | 199% | 20.3% | +12.0% | 9/9 | — |
| SABRP | $23.6B | 19.4 | -38% | 1.1% | -4.1% | 5/9 | — |
| GM | $73.7B | 42.0 | 3% | 2.7% | -1.1% | 6/9 | — |
| ROST | $76.0B | 28.4 | 43% | 13.6% | +14.0% | 9/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $19.56B | $19.97B / $19.47B | $17.78 | $17.87 / $17.72 | 16 |
| FY2027 | $20.97B | $21.87B / $20.61B | $20.27 | $21.01 / $19.24 | 17 |
| FY2028 | $22.92B | $24.01B / $22.23B | $23.09 | $25.62 / $20.73 | 6 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $324.40 | +16.9% | 5 |
| Last Quarter | $346.40 | +24.8% | 10 |
| Last Year | $347.59 | +25.2% | 49 |
| All Time | $252.87 | -8.9% | 97 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $265.89 | +11.73 | +4.41% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $274.24 | +3.38 | +1.23% | Above |
| SMA 200 | $286.29 | -8.67 | -3.03% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $277.27 | +0.35 | +0.13% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $272.10 | +5.52 | +2.03% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $274.27 | +3.35 | +1.22% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $281.86 | -4.24 | -1.50% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $278.04 / $283.58 / $287.15 | S1 / S2 | $274.47 / $268.93 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $229.24 – $302.55 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $222.22 – $356.39 | Off 52-wk high | -22.1% |
| ATR (14) | $9.31 (3.4%) | Historical vol | 47.0% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | RCL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 6.48% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +15.3% / -11.5% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -81.5% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -11.0% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Reading | RCL | Travel Services n=168 | Consumer Cyclical n=5,686 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +7.0 | -24.8 | -20.5 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +25.6 | -37.1 | -25.1 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +17.8 | -15.5 | -15.0 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +34.9 | -26.8 | -10.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Jason T. Liberty President and Chief Executi | $24.0M | 87% equity+incentive |
| Michael W. Bayley President and CEO, Royal C | $9.4M | 83% equity+incentive |
| Naftali Holtz Chief Financial Officer | $7.1M | 86% equity+incentive |
| Laura Hodges Bethge President, Celebrity Cru | $6.0M | 83% equity+incentive |
| Harri U. Kulovaara EVP, Maritime | $4.9M | 78% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 59 |
| Social | 65 |
| Governance | 70 |
| Composite ESG | 65 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-20 | Material Agreement; Financial Obligation; Exhibits | 1.01,2.03,9.01 |
| 2026-08-07 | Material Agreement; Exhibits | 1.01,9.01 |
| 2026-07-28 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-07-20 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-05-28 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-05-20 | Regulation FD | 7.01 |
| 2026-04-30 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-05-20 to 2026-04-30 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 114 rows · 1998 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-28 to 2026-07-31 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-05-14 to 2026-10-06 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.