| Profitability | 42/100 |
| Growth | 36/100 |
| Momentum | 58/100 |
| Quality | 66/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 77/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 41/100 |
| Value | 32/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 80/100 |
| Overall | 52.7/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| MCD | 68 |
| YUM | 62 |
| CMG | 56 |
| QSR | 61 |
| DRI | 53 |
| YUMC | 63 |
| SBUX | 53 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 53 and price structure at 61 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 52.7 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 36 → 37 → 40 → 53 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 64% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 2,468 → now 2,411 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 2,411 | 983.9M | $99.0B | 86.0% |
| 2026 Q1 | 2,350 | 940.5M | $82.4B | 82.2% |
| 2025 Q4 | 2,335 | 935.6M | $76.3B | 81.8% |
| 2025 Q3 | 2,268 | 920.2M | $76.1B | 80.5% |
| 2025 Q2 | 2,351 | 954.5M | $85.2B | 83.5% |
| 2025 Q1 | 2,407 | 923.0M | $87.3B | 80.7% |
| 2024 Q4 | 2,408 | 882.8M | $77.6B | 77.2% |
| 2024 Q3 | 2,339 | 873.5M | $81.5B | 76.4% |
| 2024 Q2 | 2,264 | 845.4M | $63.9B | 73.9% |
| 2024 Q1 | 2,450 | 819.8M | $73.2B | 71.7% |
| 2023 Q4 | 2,468 | 818.8M | $76.3B | 71.6% |
| 2023 Q3 | 2,311 | 809.3M | $72.4B | 70.8% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewer Brady | ceo, International | 2026-10-05 | SELL | 1,641 | $0.16M | 71,508 |
| Kelly Sara | evp, chief partner officer | 2026-09-15 | TAX W/H | 1,454 | $0.14M | 56,353 |
| Niccol Brian R | director, chairman and ceo | 2026-09-09 | TAX W/H | 56,267 | $5.63M | 428,697 |
| Brewer Brady | ceo, International | 2026-09-04 | SELL | 2,229 | $0.24M | 73,149 |
| Brewer Brady | ceo, International | 2026-08-05 | SELL | 2,229 | $0.24M | 75,135 |
| Brewer Brady | ceo, International | 2026-07-06 | SELL | 2,229 | $0.23M | 77,364 |
| Kelly Sara | evp, chief partner officer | 2026-06-15 | TAX W/H | 316 | $0.03M | 57,567 |
| Brewer Brady | ceo, International | 2026-06-11 | SELL | 588 | $0.06M | 79,593 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 13 | 21,744 | $2.2M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 6 | 61,612 | $6.1M | None — compensation |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Brewer Brady | 1,641 | $0.2M |
| 2026-09-04 | Brewer Brady | 2,229 | $0.2M |
| 2026-08-05 | Brewer Brady | 2,229 | $0.2M |
| 2026-07-06 | Brewer Brady | 2,229 | $0.2M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 12 filings | 21,156 | $2M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital World Investors | 8.20% | 92.9M sh |
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital Research Global Investors | 9.00% | 102.4M sh |
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital World Investors | 9.20% | 104.8M sh |
| 2025-11-05 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 10.01% | 113.9M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-10-09 |
| Kevin Hern | House | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2026-09-23 | 2026-10-14 |
| Kevin Hern | House | SELL | $15,001 - $50,000 | 2026-09-23 | 2026-10-13 |
| James E Hon Banks | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-20 |
| James E. Banks | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-20 |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-21 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Saratoga Research & Investment Man | 568,490 | $53M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 488,836 | $37M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 458,693 | $43M |
| Fort Washington Investment Advisor | 403,157 | $38M |
| Mn Services Vermogensbeheer B.V. | 336,130 | $32M |
| Czech National Bank | 327,549 | $31M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $3.4B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $3.4B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $3.4B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $3.4B |
| VFINX | 0.2% | $2.8B |
| VFFSX | 0.2% | $2.8B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 9.9M | 66 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 8.4M | 70 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 6.1M | 44 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 5.2M | 67 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 4.8M | 84 sh |
| Pure Purestream | 3.4M | 51 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| UNITED STATES | $27.1B | 73% |
| International | $6.9B | 19% |
| CHINA | $3.2B | 9% |
Moat score 59/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Brian R. Niccol | Chairman & Chief Executive Officer |
| Catherine R. Smith | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Mike Grams | EVP & COO |
| Brady Brewer | Chief Executive Officer of Starbucks International |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +23.6% | +11.0% | +11.6% | +0.6% | +2.8% |
| Gross profit | +65.9% | -0.2% | +17.6% | -1.4% | -7.5% |
| Operating income | +212.0% | -5.2% | +27.1% | -7.9% | -33.8% |
| Net income | +352.4% | -21.9% | +25.7% | -8.8% | -50.6% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 29.1 | 32.3 | 36.0 | 36.2 | 37.2 | |
| Cost of revenue | 20.7 | 23.9 | 26.1 | 26.5 | 28.2 | |
| Gross profit | 8.4 | 8.4 | 9.8 | 9.7 | 9.0 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | |
| Operating income | 4.9 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 3.6 | |
| EBITDA | 7.4 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 5.4 | |
| D&A | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | |
| Pretax income | 5.4 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 3.2 | |
| Income tax | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | |
| Net income | 4.2 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 3.54 | 2.83 | 3.58 | 3.31 | 1.63 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 1,186 | 1,158 | 1,151 | 1,137 | 1,140 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 2.8 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.2 | |
| ST investments | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | |
| Receivables (net) | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | |
| Total current assets | 7.0 | 7.3 | 6.8 | 7.4 | |
| PP&E (net) | 14.6 | 15.8 | 18.0 | 17.8 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.5 | |
| Total assets | 28.0 | 29.4 | 31.3 | 32.0 | |
| Accounts payable | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | |
| Short-term debt | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | |
| Deferred revenue | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
| Total current liabilities | 9.2 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 10.2 | |
| Long-term debt | 13.1 | 13.5 | 14.3 | 14.6 | |
| Total liabilities | 36.7 | 37.4 | 38.8 | 40.1 | |
| Shareholders' equity | -8.7 | -8.0 | -7.4 | -8.1 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 3.3 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | |
| D&A | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Working capital change | (2.1) | (1.1) | (1.0) | (1.5) | |
| Operating cash flow | 4.4 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 4.7 | |
| Capital expenditures | (1.8) | (2.3) | (2.8) | (2.3) | |
| Investing cash flow | (2.1) | (2.3) | (2.7) | (2.5) | |
| Buybacks | (4.0) | (1.0) | (1.3) | 0.0 | |
| Dividends paid | (2.3) | (2.4) | (2.6) | (2.8) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | |
| Financing cash flow | (5.6) | (3.0) | (3.7) | (2.3) | |
| Free cash flow | 2.6 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | -64.0% | -46.8% | -49.4% | -48.7% | -23.9% | -24% | |
| ROA | 13.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | |
| ROIC | 32.7% | 30.1% | 35.4% | 27.6% | 14.0% | 9.0% | |
| Gross margin | 28.9% | 26.0% | 27.4% | 26.8% | 24.2% | 31.7% | |
| Operating margin | 16.8% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | |
| Net margin | 14.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | |
| EBITDA margin | 25.3% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 15.5% | |
| FCF margin | 15.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 28.22 | 27.36 | 24.02 | 28.54 | 50.88 | 56.0 | |
| P/B | -22.27 | -10.31 | -12.39 | -14.41 | -11.67 | -14.5 | |
| P/S | 4.08 | 2.78 | 2.75 | 2.97 | 2.54 | 2.90 | |
| P/FCF | 26.23 | 35.13 | 26.95 | 32.35 | 38.68 | 30.5 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.43 | 17.68 | 16.17 | 18.19 | 21.52 | 22.0 | |
| EV/Revenue | 4.66 | 3.42 | 3.33 | 3.58 | 3.16 | 3.4 | |
| Earnings yield | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.78% | |
| FCF yield | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.28% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.20 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.75 | 0.72 | 0.76 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.54 | |
| Debt / equity | -4.44 | -2.73 | -3.08 | -3.46 | -3.29 | -2.92 | |
| Debt / assets | 75.2% | 85.1% | 83.5% | 82.3% | 83.1% | 79.3% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 2.31 | 3.30 | 2.79 | 3.12 | 4.23 | 3.20 | |
| Interest coverage | 12.41 | 9.76 | 10.82 | 9.84 | 6.86 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.96 | 1.09 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.35 | |
| Receivables turnover | 31.88 | 30.49 | 30.49 | 30.17 | 29.85 | 29.4 | |
| DSO (days) | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |
| DPO (days) | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 25 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 20 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 18 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 23.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 0.6% | 2.8% | — | |
| Net income growth | 352.4% | -21.9% | 25.7% | -8.8% | -50.6% | — | |
| EPS growth | 349.0% | -19.5% | 26.0% | -7.8% | -50.8% | — | |
| FCF growth | 3857.2% | -43.4% | 43.8% | -9.7% | -26.4% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 3.54 | 2.85 | 3.59 | 3.31 | 1.63 | 1.73 | |
| Book value / share | -4.48 | -7.55 | -6.96 | -6.55 | -7.10 | -6.70 | |
| Revenue / share | 24.46 | 27.98 | 31.30 | 31.81 | 32.59 | 33.51 | |
| FCF / share | 3.80 | 2.22 | 3.20 | 2.92 | 2.14 | 3.18 | |
| Cash / share | 5.57 | 2.76 | 3.44 | 3.12 | 3.04 | 3.16 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | — | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.26 | 2.66 | 3.05 | 2.98 | 2.49 | 3.2 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.89 | -2.60 | -2.84 | -2.75 | -2.76 | -3.32 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.2 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 2.52 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -3.32 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.53 |
| Interest burden | 0.87 |
| Operating margin | 11.2% |
| Asset turnover | 1.24× |
| Financial leverage | -4.03× |
| = ROE | -26% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.87 |
| Earnings stability | 0.26 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.90 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 3.1% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | -19.2% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 6.9% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCD | $171.9B | 19.7 | -465% | 33.3% | +6.3% | 8/9 | -20.0% |
| YUM | $41.1B | 18.8 | -30% | 39.3% | +10.3% | 6/9 | +5.5% |
| CMG | $37.8B | 27.4 | 50% | 12.1% | +7.3% | 5/9 | -28.4% |
| QSR | $26.1B | 18.2 | 36% | 20.1% | +6.5% | 7/9 | +10.9% |
| DRI | $24.5B | 21.0 | 55% | 7.3% | +8.1% | 7/9 | — |
| YUMC | $15.5B | 16.5 | 17% | 7.8% | +8.8% | 7/9 | — |
| LOW | $110.7B | 16.7 | -71% | 9.2% | +8.2% | 7/9 | — |
| ABNB | $104.0B | 39.3 | 35% | 22.6% | +13.6% | 7/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $38.00B | $38.20B / $37.64B | $2.62 | $2.73 / $2.14 | 18 |
| FY2027 | $38.52B | $41.89B / $36.64B | $3.16 | $3.46 / $2.95 | 20 |
| FY2028 | $40.38B | $41.52B / $39.18B | $3.75 | $4.52 / $3.15 | 10 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Quarter | $119.63 | +22.7% | 8 |
| Last Year | $108.03 | +10.8% | 39 |
| All Time | $104.97 | +7.6% | 140 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $94.35 | +3.17 | +3.36% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $100.14 | -2.62 | -2.62% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $98.38 | -0.86 | -0.87% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $94.66 | +2.86 | +3.02% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $95.39 | +2.13 | +2.23% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $98.13 | -0.61 | -0.62% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $97.60 | -0.08 | -0.08% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $96.23 / $97.66 / $98.43 | S1 / S2 | $95.46 / $94.03 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $91.20 – $97.50 | Squeeze | ON |
| 52-wk range | $76.05 – $109.88 | Off 52-wk high | -11.2% |
| ATR (14) | $2.42 (2.5%) | Historical vol | 24.4% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | SBUX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 3.42% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +7.3% / -7.0% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -38.7% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -5.4% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.96 | 1.00 |
| Reading | SBUX | Restaurants n=412 | Consumer Cyclical n=5,686 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -17.4 | -15.9 | -20.5 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -44.0 | -15.6 | -25.1 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +33.9 | -10.1 | -15.0 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -25.3 | +0.0 | -10.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Niccol chairman and chief executive of | $31.0M | 71% equity+incentive |
| Cathy Smith executive vice president, chief | $15.8M | 81% equity+incentive |
| Brady Brewer chief executive officer, Starbu | $10.9M | 92% equity+incentive |
| Sara Kelly executive vice president, chief p | $9.4M | 92% equity+incentive |
| Mike Grams executive vice president, chief o | $8.7M | 88% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 71 |
| Social | 71 |
| Governance | 73 |
| Composite ESG | 72 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Exit/Disposal Costs; Regulation FD | 2.05,7.01 |
| 2026-07-29 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-06-12 | Officer/Director Change | 5.02 |
| 2026-05-20 | Other Events | 8.01 |
| 2026-05-15 | Exit/Disposal Costs | 2.05 |
| 2026-04-28 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-04-02 | Regulation FD; Exhibits | 7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-03-30 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-07-28 to 2026-04-28 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-09-28 to 2028-09-28 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 113 rows · 1998 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-04-17 to 2026-10-05 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2025-11-05 to 2026-08-12 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.