| Profitability | 43/100 |
| Growth | 60/100 |
| Momentum | 88/100 |
| Quality | 72/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 73/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 27/100 |
| Value | 39/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 30/100 |
| Overall | 51.0/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| MKC | 59 |
| HRL | 46 |
| GIS | 28 |
| DAR | 68 |
| LW | 41 |
| SFD | 68 |
| SJM | 51 |
Both readings sit above the midpoint — business quality at 51 and price structure at 81 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 51.0 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 19 → 22 → 41 → 51 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 100% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 897 → now 890 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 890 | 94.6M | $10.4B | 88.6% |
| 2026 Q1 | 822 | 96.2M | $9.2B | 90.1% |
| 2025 Q4 | 826 | 99.0M | $9.6B | 92.7% |
| 2025 Q3 | 808 | 93.4M | $10.1B | 87.4% |
| 2025 Q2 | 801 | 93.0M | $9.1B | 87.1% |
| 2025 Q1 | 835 | 92.3M | $10.9B | 86.5% |
| 2024 Q4 | 848 | 87.8M | $9.5B | 82.2% |
| 2024 Q3 | 845 | 86.4M | $10.3B | 80.9% |
| 2024 Q2 | 854 | 86.7M | $9.4B | 81.2% |
| 2024 Q1 | 888 | 85.4M | $10.6B | 80.0% |
| 2023 Q4 | 897 | 87.0M | $10.8B | 81.5% |
| 2023 Q3 | 886 | 83.5M | $10.1B | 78.2% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perry Kirk | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 216 | — | 23,403 |
| Perry Kirk | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 1,466 | — | 24,869 |
| Singer David V | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 1,466 | — | 1,466 |
| Taylor Jodi | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 1,466 | — | 10,396 |
| Willoughby Dawn C | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 1,466 | — | 18,581 |
| Abramo Mercedes | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 216 | — | 6,521 |
| Abramo Mercedes | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 1,466 | — | 7,987 |
| Amin Tarang | director | 2026-10-01 | A-Award | 259 | — | 7,667 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 11 | 137,821 | $17.6M | Counted |
| P — Open-market purchases | 1 | 880 | $0.1M | Counted |
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 3 | 103,303 | $11.4M | None — mechanics |
| F — Tax withholding | 16 | 22,202 | $2.6M | None — compensation |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Ferguson Robert D | 2,522 | $0.3M |
| 2026-08-31 | Smucker Mark T | 84,821 | $11.1M |
| 2026-08-28 | Marshall Tucker H | 18,482 | $2.4M |
| 2026-06-29 | Penrose Jill R | 5,000 | $0.6M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 10 filings | 154,997 | $19M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.19% | 7.7M sh |
| 2026-04-27 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | BlackRock, Inc. | 5.90% | 6.2M sh |
| 2026-01-30 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 11.67% | 12.5M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-10 |
| Lisa C. McClain | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-24 |
| Lisa C. McClain | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-10-30 | 2025-11-24 |
| Gary Peters | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-05-11 |
| Gary C. Peters | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-05-11 |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-21 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 495,313 | $59M |
| Wedge Capital Management L L P/Nc | 269,337 | $32M |
| Douglas Lane & Associates, Llc | 266,389 | $32M |
| Cantor Fitzgerald Investment Advis | 155,311 | $18M |
| Gradient Investments Llc | 144,410 | $17M |
| Sound Income Strategies, Llc | 123,073 | $15M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.0% | $384M |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $384M |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $384M |
| VTI | 0.0% | $384M |
| VOO | 0.0% | $334M |
| VFFSX | 0.0% | $334M |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 1.4M | 42 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 1.2M | 23 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 1.0M | 40 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 1.0M | 35 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 1.0M | 31 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 0.7M | 63 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| UNITED STATES | $8.6B | 96% |
| CANADA | $341M | 4% |
Moat score 66/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Captain Mark T. Smucker | Chief Executive Officer, President & Chairman |
| Tucker H. Marshall | CFO and Executive VP of Frozen Handheld & Spreads and Sweet Baked Snacks |
| Robert D. Ferguson | Chief Product Supply Officer and Executive VP of Coffee, Pet & Away from Home |
| Jeannette L. Knudsen | Chief Legal & Governance Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -0.0% | +6.6% | -4.1% | +6.7% | +3.7% |
| Gross profit | -14.0% | +3.7% | +11.2% | +8.6% | -10.3% |
| Operating income | -26.2% | -84.6% | +729.1% | -151.6% | -153.5% |
| Net income | -27.9% | -114.5% | -914.9% | -265.4% | -88.7% |
| $B · FY ends | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8.0 | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.7 | 9.1 | |
| Cost of revenue | 5.3 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 6.0 | |
| Gross profit | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.0 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| Operating income | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 | -0.7 | 0.4 | |
| EBITDA | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | -0.2 | 0.9 | |
| D&A | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | |
| Pretax income | 0.8 | -0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -0.1 | |
| Income tax | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| Net income | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.7 | -1.2 | -0.1 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 5.83 | -0.86 | 7.13 | -11.57 | -1.30 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 108 | 106 | 104 | 106 | 107 |
| $B | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |
| ST investments | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | |
| Total current assets | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | |
| PP&E (net) | 2.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 9.6 | 14.9 | 12.1 | 10.9 | |
| Total assets | 15.0 | 20.3 | 17.6 | 16.2 | |
| Accounts payable | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 2.0 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 2.5 | |
| Long-term debt | 4.3 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 6.4 | |
| Total liabilities | 7.7 | 12.6 | 11.5 | 10.7 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 7.3 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| $B | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | (0.1) | 0.7 | (1.2) | (0.1) | |
| D&A | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | 0.0 | (0.0) | (0.3) | (0.0) | |
| Operating cash flow | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | |
| Capital expenditures | (0.5) | (0.6) | (0.4) | (0.3) | |
| Investing cash flow | 0.3 | (4.0) | (0.1) | (0.3) | |
| Buybacks | (0.4) | (0.4) | (0.0) | (0.0) | |
| Dividends paid | (0.4) | (0.4) | (0.5) | (0.5) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (0.2) | 3.1 | (0.6) | (0.8) | |
| Financing cash flow | (1.0) | 2.1 | (1.1) | (1.2) | |
| Free cash flow | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 7.8% | -1.2% | 9.9% | -17.9% | -2.4% | 4% | |
| ROA | 3.9% | -0.6% | 4.2% | -6.5% | -0.8% | 1.4% | |
| ROIC | 6.1% | 1.2% | 6.0% | -3.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | |
| Gross margin | 33.8% | 32.8% | 38.1% | 38.8% | 33.5% | 38.7% | |
| Operating margin | 12.8% | 1.8% | 16.0% | -7.7% | 4.0% | 9.0% | |
| Net margin | 7.9% | -1.1% | 9.1% | -14.1% | -1.5% | 2.5% | |
| EBITDA margin | 18.3% | 6.7% | 20.7% | -1.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | |
| FCF margin | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 20.56 | -161.31 | 15.34 | -9.76 | -74.58 | 59.3 | |
| P/B | 1.60 | 2.02 | 1.48 | 1.97 | 1.87 | 2.4 | |
| P/S | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.14 | 1.49 | |
| P/FCF | 18.07 | 20.54 | 17.76 | 14.71 | 8.95 | 8.6 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.90 | 31.38 | 11.77 | -126.62 | 19.84 | 15.3 | |
| EV/Revenue | 2.18 | 2.11 | 2.43 | 2.26 | 1.92 | 2.2 | |
| Earnings yield | 4.9% | -0.6% | 6.5% | -10.2% | -1.3% | 1.69% | |
| FCF yield | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 11.67% | |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.03 | 1.44 | 0.52 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.87 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.47 | 0.93 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.35 | |
| Debt / equity | 0.57 | 0.61 | 1.11 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.20 | |
| Debt / assets | 28.7% | 29.5% | 42.2% | 44.2% | 43.7% | 42.6% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 3.03 | 5.72 | 5.02 | -49.43 | 8.03 | 5.14 | |
| Interest coverage | 6.24 | 0.94 | 4.83 | -1.72 | 0.84 | — | |
| Ratio | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0.57 | |
| Receivables turnover | 15.12 | 15.20 | 12.26 | 12.88 | 14.19 | 14.9 | |
| DSO (days) | 24 | 24 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 25 | |
| DPO (days) | 77 | 82 | 98 | 90 | 75 | 78 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 18 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 23 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | -0.0% | 6.6% | -4.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | — | |
| Net income growth | -27.9% | -114.5% | 914.9% | -265.4% | 88.7% | — | |
| EPS growth | -27.2% | -114.8% | 907.2% | -265.4% | 88.8% | — | |
| FCF growth | -42.9% | -0.3% | -10.3% | 27.0% | 41.6% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 5.86 | -0.87 | 6.99 | -11.57 | -1.30 | 2.15 | |
| Book value / share | 75.51 | 69.17 | 72.31 | 57.17 | 51.96 | 53.85 | |
| Revenue / share | 74.20 | 80.92 | 76.87 | 82.01 | 84.83 | 85.74 | |
| FCF / share | 6.67 | 6.80 | 6.04 | 7.67 | 10.84 | 14.87 | |
| Cash / share | 1.58 | 10.85 | 0.58 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.40 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.05% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.95 | 2.02 | 1.20 | 1.01 | 1.15 | 1.5 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.53 | -2.86 | -2.33 | -3.30 | -2.90 | -3.30 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.5 | Distress (<1.81) | Distress |
| Income quality | N/M | Loss-making | OCF ÷ net income not meaningful with negative earnings; OCF itself is the signal |
| Beneish M-Score | -3.30 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.54 |
| Interest burden | 0.54 |
| Operating margin | 8.6% |
| Asset turnover | 0.54× |
| Financial leverage | 2.91× |
| = ROE | 4% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.95 |
| Earnings stability | 0.27 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.20 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 2.7% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | — |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 20.3% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MKC | $12.5B | 8.4 | 23% | 4.8% | +13.2% | 6/9 | -27.9% |
| HRL | $11.2B | 32.4 | 4% | 2.0% | +0.7% | 4/9 | -9.3% |
| GIS | $17.7B | -20.1 | -11% | 9.0% | -4.5% | 4/9 | -30.6% |
| DAR | $9.7B | 16.3 | 12% | 22.5% | +15.0% | 8/9 | +93.6% |
| LW | $7.4B | 29.0 | 12% | 1.7% | +0.9% | 7/9 | — |
| SFD | $7.3B | 6.9 | 16% | 6.5% | +104.3% | 6/9 | — |
| PPC | $7.0B | 12.8 | 15% | 0.3% | +1.4% | 5/9 | — |
| CAG | $6.9B | -3.6 | -25% | 6.7% | -1.8% | 4/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $9.04B | $9.06B / $9.02B | $9.02 | $9.14 / $8.95 | 10 |
| FY2027 | $8.96B | $9.14B / $8.59B | $10.83 | $11.13 / $9.82 | 11 |
| FY2028 | $9.07B | $9.25B / $8.66B | $11.05 | $11.36 / $10.33 | 7 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $148.50 | +16.5% | 2 |
| Last Quarter | $139.07 | +9.1% | 15 |
| Last Year | $125.59 | -1.4% | 41 |
| All Time | $128.43 | +0.8% | 69 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $120.21 | +7.22 | +6.01% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $122.40 | +5.03 | +4.11% | Above |
| SMA 200 | $109.43 | +18.00 | +16.45% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $122.32 | +5.11 | +4.18% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $121.35 | +6.08 | +5.01% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $120.62 | +6.81 | +5.65% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $112.78 | +14.65 | +12.99% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $125.89 / $127.73 / $129.52 | S1 / S2 | $124.10 / $122.26 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $114.33 – $126.09 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $88.25 – $135.89 | Off 52-wk high | -6.2% |
| ATR (14) | $2.83 (2.2%) | Historical vol | 23.8% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | SJM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 4.35% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +13.9% / -7.9% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -32.7% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -5.8% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.26 | 1.00 |
| Reading | SJM | Packaged Foods n=957 | Consumer Defensive n=3,080 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +22.9 | -17.6 | -15.7 | -20.5 |
| Trend | +37.0 | -22.2 | -19.0 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +62.3 | -5.7 | -6.2 | -15.8 |
| Volume | +37.3 | -19.0 | -5.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Smucker Chief Executive Officer, Presid | $10.9M | 77% equity+incentive |
| John Brase Former President and Chief Operat | $4.9M | 42% equity+incentive |
| Tucker Marshall Chief Financial Officer | EV | $3.5M | 76% equity+incentive |
| Robert Ferguson Chief Product Supply Officer | $3.3M | 77% equity+incentive |
| Jeannette Knudsen Chief Legal Officer and Se | $2.7M | 72% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 63 |
| Social | 58 |
| Governance | 70 |
| Composite ESG | 63 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-08-17 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2026-06-09 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-03-03 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers | 5.02 |
| 2026-02-26 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-02-26 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Regulation F | 5.02,7.01 |
| 2026-02-10 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Other Events | 5.02,8.01,9.01 |
| 2025-11-25 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2021 to 2026 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-11-24 to 2026-08-26 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-04-30 to 2028-04-30 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 98 rows · 2002 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-10-01 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 3 rows · 2026-01-30 to 2026-04-30 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.