| Profitability | 49/100 |
| Growth | 51/100 |
| Momentum | 78/100 |
| Quality | 70/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 85/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 63/100 |
| Value | 67/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 80/100 |
| Overall | 62.2/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| DG | 58 |
| DLTR | 60 |
| BJ | 55 |
| COST | 63 |
| CL | 61 |
| MDLZ | 53 |
| TGT | 62 |
These two disagree — business quality 62, price structure 31 out of 100, so the business reads better than the price does. We publish the disagreement rather than resolving it: they answer different questions, and the gap between them is information, not an error.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 75 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 62.2 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 43 → 47 → 48 → 62 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 27% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 2,036 → now 1,889 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,889 | 409.4M | $52.7B | 90.1% |
| 2026 Q1 | 1,842 | 382.2M | $45.8B | 84.1% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,725 | 380.7M | $36.9B | 83.8% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,631 | 370.2M | $32.9B | 81.5% |
| 2025 Q2 | 1,733 | 385.5M | $37.2B | 84.8% |
| 2025 Q1 | 1,805 | 379.9M | $39.2B | 83.6% |
| 2024 Q4 | 1,959 | 372.4M | $49.6B | 82.0% |
| 2024 Q3 | 1,974 | 377.9M | $57.7B | 83.2% |
| 2024 Q2 | 1,932 | 374.6M | $54.4B | 82.4% |
| 2024 Q1 | 2,036 | 367.4M | $63.9B | 80.8% |
| 2023 Q4 | 1,931 | 369.2M | $51.5B | 81.3% |
| 2023 Q3 | 1,717 | 361.8M | $39.6B | 79.6% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weinstein Mark A. | Executive Officer | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 2,142 | — | 2,142 |
| Weinstein Mark A. | Executive Officer | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 23,787 | — | 25,929 |
| Lee James | Executive Officer | 2026-09-30 | TAX W/H | 7,636 | $1.21M | 83,823 |
| Cornell Brian C | director, Executive Officer | 2026-08-25 | SELL | 50,000 | $8.18M | 143,270 |
| Kremer Melissa K | Executive Officer | 2026-08-24 | SELL | 15,500 | $2.63M | 56,981 |
| Liegel Matthew A | Chief Accounting Officer | 2026-08-21 | SELL | 926 | $0.15M | 12,266 |
| Depinto Joseph Michael | director | 2026-08-03 | A-Award | 1,007 | — | 1,007 |
| Mcgee Grant B | Executive Officer | 2026-06-30 | A-Award | 4,127 | — | 4,127 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 9 | 185,479 | $26.0M | Counted |
| F — Tax withholding | 18 | 58,931 | $7.4M | None — compensation |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Cornell Brian C | 50,000 | $8.5M |
| 2026-08-24 | Kremer Melissa K | 15,500 | $2.6M |
| 2026-08-21 | Liegel Matthew A | 926 | $0.2M |
| 2026-06-29 | Roath Lisa R | 7,000 | $1.0M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 8 filings | 160,746 | $23M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.51% | 34.0M sh |
| 2025-10-31 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 12.74% | 57.9M sh |
| 2025-07-29 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 11.32% | 51.4M sh |
| 2025-05-07 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | 10.00% | 45.5M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-01-29 | 2026-02-10 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-10-24 | 2025-11-14 |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-04-11 | 2025-05-07 |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-04-11 | 2025-05-07 |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Senate | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-04-11 | 2025-05-07 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Smead Capital Management, Inc. | 1.2M | $193M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 394,576 | $59M |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 311,646 | $49M |
| Gradient Investments Llc | 305,837 | $48M |
| Wedge Capital Management L L P/Nc | 194,609 | $30M |
| Gateway Investment Advisers Llc | 133,296 | $21M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $2.3B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $2.3B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $2.3B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $2.3B |
| SCHD | 1.8% | $2.0B |
| VOO | 0.1% | $1.9B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 4.8M | 50 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 4.3M | 53 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 3.1M | 33 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 3.0M | 57 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 2.5M | 161 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 2.5M | 51 sh |
Moat score 50/100 — Weak; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Brian C. Cornell | Executive Chair of the Board |
| Lisa Roath | Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer |
| Michael J. Fiddelke | CEO & Director |
| James Lee | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +13.3% | +2.9% | -1.6% | -0.8% | -1.7% |
| Gross profit | +13.1% | -14.6% | +11.2% | +1.0% | +6.3% |
| Operating income | +32.3% | -56.7% | +48.4% | -3.0% | -9.2% |
| Net income | +59.0% | -60.0% | +48.8% | -1.1% | -9.4% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 106.0 | 109.1 | 107.4 | 106.6 | 104.8 | |
| Cost of revenue | 77.3 | 84.6 | 80.2 | 79.0 | 75.5 | |
| Gross profit | 28.7 | 24.5 | 27.3 | 27.5 | 29.3 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 19.7 | 20.6 | 21.5 | 21.9 | 21.5 | |
| Operating income | 9.0 | 3.9 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.1 | |
| EBITDA | 12.0 | 6.6 | 8.6 | 8.7 | 8.0 | |
| D&A | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.8 | |
| Pretax income | 8.9 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 4.8 | |
| Income tax | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | |
| Net income | 6.9 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.7 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 14.10 | 5.98 | 8.94 | 8.86 | 8.13 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 493 | 465 | 463 | 462 | 456 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 2.2 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.5 | |
| ST investments | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | |
| Total current assets | 17.8 | 17.5 | 19.5 | 20.0 | |
| PP&E (net) | 34.2 | 36.5 | 36.8 | 37.5 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | |
| Total assets | 53.3 | 55.4 | 57.8 | 59.5 | |
| Accounts payable | 13.5 | 12.1 | 13.1 | 12.6 | |
| Short-term debt | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 | |
| Deferred revenue | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 19.5 | 19.3 | 20.8 | 21.2 | |
| Long-term debt | 16.0 | 14.9 | 14.3 | 3.5 | |
| Total liabilities | 42.1 | 41.9 | 43.1 | 43.3 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 11.2 | 13.4 | 14.7 | 16.2 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 2.8 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.7 | |
| D&A | 2.7 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.1 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
| Working capital change | (2.4) | 1.0 | 0.1 | (0.4) | |
| Operating cash flow | 4.0 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 6.6 | |
| Capital expenditures | (5.5) | (4.8) | (2.9) | (3.7) | |
| Investing cash flow | (5.5) | (4.8) | (2.9) | (3.6) | |
| Buybacks | (2.6) | (0.1) | (1.0) | (0.4) | |
| Dividends paid | (1.8) | (2.0) | (2.0) | (2.1) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | 2.5 | (0.1) | (0.4) | 0.3 | |
| Financing cash flow | (2.2) | (2.3) | (3.6) | (2.2) | |
| Free cash flow | (1.5) | 3.8 | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 50.9% | 23.1% | 33.6% | 29.1% | 24.0% | 27% | |
| ROA | 13.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | |
| ROIC | 30.8% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 11.3% | |
| Gross margin | 27.1% | 22.5% | 25.4% | 25.8% | 27.9% | 29.3% | |
| Operating margin | 8.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | |
| Net margin | 6.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | |
| EBITDA margin | 11.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | |
| FCF margin | 4.8% | -1.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 13.45 | 25.81 | 14.48 | 14.80 | 12.83 | 15.9 | |
| P/B | 7.29 | 6.39 | 4.46 | 4.13 | 2.94 | 3.9 | |
| P/S | 0.88 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.45 | 0.65 | |
| P/FCF | 18.39 | -47.52 | 15.70 | 13.53 | 16.22 | 15.4 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.69 | 13.43 | 8.79 | 8.72 | 5.70 | 9.0 | |
| EV/Revenue | 0.98 | 0.81 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.45 | 0.8 | |
| Earnings yield | 7.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.27% | |
| FCF yield | 5.4% | -2.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.49% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 0.99 | 0.92 | 0.91 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.99 | |
| Quick ratio | 0.35 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.36 | |
| Debt / equity | 1.28 | 1.70 | 1.46 | 1.36 | 0.35 | 1.05 | |
| Debt / assets | 30.6% | 35.8% | 35.5% | 34.4% | 9.4% | 30.5% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 0.88 | 2.55 | 1.84 | 1.74 | 0.01 | 1.44 | |
| Interest coverage | 22.16 | 8.16 | 11.59 | 13.86 | 11.72 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 2.02 | 2.04 | 1.98 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.76 | |
| Receivables turnover | 144.62 | 108.90 | 104.28 | 148.63 | 385.93 | — | |
| DSO (days) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | |
| DPO (days) | 67 | 62 | 59 | 58 | 61 | 64 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | -6 | -0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | -0 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 13.3% | 2.9% | -1.6% | -0.8% | -1.7% | — | |
| Net income growth | 59.0% | -60.0% | 48.8% | -1.1% | -9.4% | — | |
| EPS growth | 67.4% | -58.4% | 48.7% | -0.1% | -8.8% | — | |
| FCF growth | -35.5% | -129.7% | 352.6% | 17.3% | -34.5% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 14.45 | 6.01 | 8.94 | 8.92 | 8.14 | 9.67 | |
| Book value / share | 26.69 | 24.27 | 29.00 | 31.99 | 35.52 | 39.27 | |
| Revenue / share | 220.57 | 235.83 | 231.94 | 232.47 | 230.24 | 237.03 | |
| FCF / share | 10.57 | -3.26 | 8.24 | 9.76 | 6.44 | 10.02 | |
| Cash / share | 12.30 | 4.82 | 8.22 | 10.39 | 12.06 | 11.91 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.75% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 4.09 | 3.40 | 3.28 | 3.18 | 2.90 | 3.3 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.40 | -2.34 | -3.06 | -2.61 | -3.57 | -2.79 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 7 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 3.3 | Safe (>2.99) | Safe |
| Income quality | 1.99 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.79 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.78 |
| Interest burden | 0.93 |
| Operating margin | 5.7% |
| Asset turnover | 1.81× |
| Financial leverage | 3.58× |
| = ROE | 26% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.53 |
| Earnings stability | 0.25 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.95 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | -0.1% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 9.7% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 40.7% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DG | $29.7B | 17.4 | 20% | 4.9% | +4.8% | 7/9 | +29.4% |
| DLTR | $23.3B | 15.1 | 46% | 10.5% | -7.8% | 8/9 | +32.1% |
| BJ | $13.0B | 22.3 | 28% | 2.8% | +9.1% | 6/9 | +10.7% |
| COST | $438.3B | 47.6 | 28% | 3.1% | +10.1% | 8/9 | +7.0% |
| CL | $75.0B | 37.0 | 434% | 12.9% | +5.2% | 8/9 | — |
| MDLZ | $81.6B | 23.4 | 13% | 16.5% | +6.9% | 6/9 | — |
| MNST | $89.6B | 42.0 | 26% | 23.0% | +20.4% | 7/9 | — |
| DEO | $52.9B | 30.6 | 39% | -2.8% | -2.2% | 5/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $104.76B | $105.06B / $104.52B | $7.30 | $7.42 / $7.00 | 25 |
| FY2026 | $104.72B | $105.14B / $104.46B | $7.29 | $7.41 / $6.99 | 21 |
| FY2027 | $110.11B | $110.66B / $109.40B | $10.20 | $10.52 / $9.00 | 25 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $177.50 | +15.1% | 2 |
| Last Quarter | $163.97 | +6.3% | 32 |
| Last Year | $138.59 | -10.1% | 81 |
| All Time | $168.80 | +9.4% | 222 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $155.46 | -1.22 | -0.78% | Below |
| SMA 50 | $157.41 | -3.17 | -2.01% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $130.27 | +23.97 | +18.40% | Above |
| EMA 9 | $154.59 | -0.35 | -0.23% | Below |
| EMA 21 | $155.32 | -1.08 | -0.70% | Below |
| EMA 50 | $153.64 | +0.60 | +0.39% | Above |
| EMA 200 | $134.19 | +20.05 | +14.94% | Above |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $156.65 / $158.70 / $160.77 | S1 / S2 | $154.58 / $152.53 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $151.32 – $159.61 | Squeeze | ON |
| 52-wk range | $81.20 – $170.75 | Off 52-wk high | -9.7% |
| ATR (14) | $3.96 (2.6%) | Historical vol | 20.5% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | TGT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 3.68% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +12.2% / -7.7% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -62.3% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -4.3% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Reading | TGT | Discount Stores n=55 | Consumer Defensive n=3,080 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -21.7 | +14.9 | -15.7 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -22.7 | +36.4 | -19.0 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | -6.0 | +43.9 | -6.2 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -33.4 | +29.2 | -5.0 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Brian C. Cornell Chair & former Chief Execut | $21.8M | 89% equity+incentive |
| Michael J. Fiddelke Former EVP & Chief Opera | $9.6M | 85% equity+incentive |
| Jim Lee EVP & Chief Financial Officer | $6.4M | 83% equity+incentive |
| Richard H. Gomez Former EVP & Chief Commerci | $6.2M | 82% equity+incentive |
| Amy Tu Former EVP & Chief Legal & Compliance | $5.8M | 78% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 64 |
| Social | 68 |
| Governance | 73 |
| Composite ESG | 68 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-08-14 | Material Agreement; Termination of Agreement; Financial Obligation; Ex | 1.01,1.02,2.03,9.01 |
| 2026-07-22 | Officer/Director Change; Exhibits | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2026-06-12 | Officer/Director Change; Shareholder Vote; Exhibits | 5.02,5.07,9.01 |
| 2026-05-20 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-03-03 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-02-11 | Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Financial Statements an | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-02-10 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers | 5.02 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-11-18 to 2026-08-19 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-01-31 to 2027-01-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 115 rows · 1987 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-30 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2025-05-07 to 2026-04-30 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.