| Profitability | 50/100 |
| Growth | 51/100 |
| Momentum | 78/100 |
| Quality | 70/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 83/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 45/100 |
| Value | 63/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 30/100 |
| Overall | 40.6/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| DAL | 41 |
| LUV | 52 |
| LTM | 54 |
| AAL | 13 |
| CPA | 55 |
| CAAP | 67 |
| UAL | 41 |
Both readings sit below the midpoint — business quality at 41 and price structure at 15 out of 100 — so they are not in conflict. The fundamentals and the tape are saying the same thing, which is the case in which either one alone would have been enough.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 40.6 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 48 → 40 → 39 → 41 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 9% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 1,073 → now 1,073 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 1,073 | 292.7M | $38.9B | 89.6% |
| 2026 Q1 | 980 | 284.0M | $26.0B | 87.0% |
| 2025 Q4 | 1,022 | 290.1M | $32.1B | 88.8% |
| 2025 Q3 | 917 | 289.8M | $27.8B | 88.7% |
| 2025 Q2 | 869 | 281.8M | $22.3B | 86.3% |
| 2025 Q1 | 850 | 287.6M | $19.8B | 88.1% |
| 2024 Q4 | 857 | 287.6M | $27.7B | 88.1% |
| 2024 Q3 | 652 | 269.5M | $15.3B | 82.5% |
| 2024 Q2 | 671 | 258.2M | $13.0B | 79.1% |
| 2024 Q1 | 641 | 246.7M | $11.7B | 75.5% |
| 2023 Q4 | 629 | 228.0M | $9.3B | 69.8% |
| 2023 Q3 | 622 | 231.9M | $9.6B | 71.0% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewer Rosalind G | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 157 | — | 480 |
| Shapiro Edward | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 358 | — | 22,105 |
| Friend Matthew | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 347 | — | 11,716 |
| Ward Laysha | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 347 | — | 11,062 |
| Isaacson Walter | director | 2026-09-30 | A-Award | 358 | — | 22,927 |
| Nocella Andrew P | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | 2026-08-25 | SELL | 5,000 | $0.58M | 214,955 |
| Shapiro Edward | director | 2026-08-19 | GIFT | 50,000 | — | 150,000 |
| Nocella Andrew P | EVP & Chief Commercial Officer | 2026-08-04 | SELL | 3,000 | $0.40M | 219,955 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S — Open-market sales | 12 | 328,010 | $38.4M | Counted |
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 27 | 508,417 | $11.0M | None — mechanics |
| F — Tax withholding | 15 | 242,555 | $27.0M | None — compensation |
| G — Gifts | 2 | 8,625 | — | None |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Nocella Andrew P | 5,000 | $0.6M |
| 2026-08-04 | Nocella Andrew P | 3,000 | $0.4M |
| 2026-08-03 | Leskinen Michael D. | 10,000 | $1.3M |
| 2026-07-28 | Hart Brett J | 30,108 | $3.6M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 14 filings | 424,038 | $48M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital International Investors | 2.00% | 6.4M sh |
| 2026-04-30 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.30% | 23.6M sh |
| 2026-03-27 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| 2026-02-13 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | Capital International Investors | 5.60% | 18.2M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-06-11 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-02-10 | 2026-03-10 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 780,483 | $87M |
| Douglas Lane & Associates, Llc | 345,391 | $38M |
| First Citizens Bank & Trust Co | 105,727 | $12M |
| Czech National Bank | 93,261 | $10M |
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 83,854 | $9M |
| Gateway Investment Advisers Llc | 48,290 | $5M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VPMAX | 1.3% | $1.2B |
| VPMCX | 1.3% | $1.2B |
| VITSX | 0.0% | $1.1B |
| VSMPX | 0.0% | $1.1B |
| VTSAX | 0.0% | $1.1B |
| VTI | 0.0% | $1.1B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 6.1M | 56 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 5.8M | 57 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 3.3M | 54 sh |
| Mspl Ms Pool (Ats-4) | 2.9M | 139 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 2.7M | 35 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 2.3M | 76 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| International | $35.0B | 59% |
| Atlantic Destination | $11.6B | 20% |
| Pacific Destination | $6.9B | 12% |
| Latin America Destination | $5.5B | 9% |
Moat score 65/100 — Narrow; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| J. Scott Kirby | Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Brett J. Hart | President |
| Torbjorn J. Enqvist | Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer |
| Andrew Nocella | Executive Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +60.4% | +82.5% | +19.5% | +6.2% | +3.5% |
| Gross profit | -114.3% | +1375.7% | +42.8% | +27.8% | +95.0% |
| Operating income | -83.9% | -328.7% | +80.2% | +21.0% | -7.5% |
| Net income | -72.2% | -137.5% | +255.2% | +20.3% | +6.5% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 24.6 | 45.0 | 53.7 | 57.1 | 59.1 | |
| Cost of revenue | 23.9 | 34.3 | 38.5 | 37.6 | 21.2 | |
| Gross profit | 0.7 | 10.6 | 15.2 | 19.4 | 37.9 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | |
| Operating income | -1.0 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 4.7 | |
| EBITDA | 1.5 | 5.1 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 7.5 | |
| D&A | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |
| Pretax income | -2.6 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 4.3 | |
| Income tax | -0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |
| Net income | -2.0 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3.4 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | -6.10 | 2.23 | 7.89 | 9.45 | 10.22 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 322 | 330 | 332 | 333 | 327 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 7.2 | 6.1 | 8.8 | 5.9 | |
| ST investments | 9.2 | 8.3 | 5.7 | 6.3 | |
| Receivables (net) | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.4 | |
| Total current assets | 20.1 | 18.5 | 18.9 | 16.9 | |
| PP&E (net) | 38.3 | 43.7 | 46.7 | 51.7 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.2 | |
| Total assets | 67.4 | 71.1 | 74.1 | 76.4 | |
| Accounts payable | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.6 | |
| Short-term debt | 2.9 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 4.3 | |
| Deferred revenue | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 11.9 | |
| Total current liabilities | 20.0 | 22.2 | 23.3 | 26.1 | |
| Long-term debt | 28.3 | 27.4 | 25.2 | 20.6 | |
| Total liabilities | 60.5 | 61.8 | 61.4 | 61.2 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 6.9 | 9.3 | 12.7 | 15.3 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.0 | |
| D&A | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.0 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Working capital change | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.0 | |
| Operating cash flow | 6.1 | 6.9 | 9.4 | 8.4 | |
| Capital expenditures | (4.8) | (7.2) | (5.6) | (5.9) | |
| Investing cash flow | (13.8) | (6.1) | (2.7) | (6.4) | |
| Buybacks | 0.0 | 0.0 | (0.2) | (0.6) | |
| Dividends paid | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (3.3) | (1.9) | (4.0) | (4.2) | |
| Financing cash flow | (3.3) | (1.9) | (4.2) | (4.9) | |
| Free cash flow | 1.2 | (0.3) | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | -35.7% | 12.4% | 32.3% | 28.6% | 24.0% | 23% | |
| ROA | -3.1% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | |
| ROIC | -3.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.4% | |
| Gross margin | 2.9% | 23.7% | 28.3% | 34.0% | 64.1% | 65.1% | |
| Operating margin | -4.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | |
| Net margin | -8.0% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | |
| EBITDA margin | 6.1% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.3% | |
| FCF margin | -0.2% | 2.8% | -0.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | -7.22 | 16.90 | 5.22 | 10.32 | 10.91 | 9.0 | |
| P/B | 2.82 | 1.81 | 1.47 | 2.56 | 2.39 | 1.9 | |
| P/S | 0.58 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.50 | |
| P/FCF | -354.40 | 9.99 | -52.57 | 8.48 | 14.30 | 12.3 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 23.35 | 7.23 | 4.60 | 6.67 | 7.10 | 6.5 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.43 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 0.9 | |
| Earnings yield | -13.9% | 5.9% | 19.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.14% | |
| FCF yield | -0.3% | 10.0% | -1.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 8.16% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.19 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 0.65 | 0.78 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.14 | 0.95 | 0.76 | 0.74 | 0.59 | 0.72 | |
| Debt / equity | 7.83 | 5.28 | 3.94 | 2.65 | 2.03 | 2.02 | |
| Debt / assets | 57.7% | 54.1% | 51.7% | 45.4% | 40.6% | 39.8% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 13.93 | 4.46 | 2.85 | 2.48 | 2.41 | 2.81 | |
| Interest coverage | -0.62 | 1.59 | 2.91 | 3.97 | 3.99 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 0.39 | 0.66 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.78 | 0.74 | |
| Receivables turnover | 16.66 | 25.96 | 29.04 | 28.10 | 25.94 | 25.4 | |
| DSO (days) | 22 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | |
| DPO (days) | 32 | 32 | 34 | 36 | 75 | 96 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 5 | -6 | -9 | -9 | -34 | -52 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 60.4% | 82.5% | 19.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | — | |
| Net income growth | 72.2% | 137.5% | 255.1% | 20.3% | 6.5% | — | |
| EPS growth | 73.2% | 136.8% | 254.1% | 19.1% | 9.0% | — | |
| FCF growth | 99.3% | 3217.5% | -120.9% | 1573.1% | -33.2% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | -6.07 | 2.23 | 7.90 | 9.41 | 10.25 | 10.71 | |
| Book value / share | 15.53 | 20.87 | 28.14 | 37.89 | 46.73 | 51.12 | |
| Revenue / share | 76.08 | 136.06 | 162.14 | 170.59 | 180.64 | 192.60 | |
| FCF / share | -0.12 | 3.77 | -0.78 | 11.45 | 7.82 | 7.79 | |
| Cash / share | 56.84 | 49.68 | 43.43 | 43.27 | 37.43 | 50.94 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.17% | |
| Altman Z-Score | 0.52 | 0.95 | 1.14 | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.3 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -3.83 | -2.96 | -2.72 | -2.82 | -3.00 | -2.74 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 / 9 | Strong | |
| Altman Z-Score | 1.3 | Distress (<1.81) | Distress |
| Income quality | 2.55 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.74 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.78 |
| Interest burden | 0.84 |
| Operating margin | 8.5% |
| Asset turnover | 0.78× |
| Financial leverage | 5.38× |
| = ROE | 23% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.85 |
| Earnings stability | 0.76 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.98 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | 7.3% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | 10.0% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | 14.2% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | $49.6B | 15.0 | 16% | 3.7% | +14.1% | 7/9 | +24.8% |
| LUV | $19.3B | 23.8 | 11% | 2.8% | +9.5% | 7/9 | +20.8% |
| LTM | $13.6B | 8.8 | 107% | 3.0% | +20.1% | 7/9 | +9.1% |
| AAL | $7.9B | -24.2 | 8% | 0.4% | +7.5% | 4/9 | -0.1% |
| CPA | $5.5B | 8.7 | 23% | 6.4% | +14.8% | 7/9 | — |
| CAAP | $4.1B | 14.8 | 17% | 10.2% | +7.8% | 7/9 | — |
| ALK | $3.9B | -22.2 | -5% | -1.9% | +9.8% | 6/9 | — |
| SKYW | $3.6B | 8.9 | 15% | 9.1% | +9.1% | 7/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $68.45B | $69.34B / $66.89B | $8.05 | $10.64 / $7.10 | 13 |
| FY2027 | $72.77B | $75.18B / $70.11B | $12.90 | $20.66 / $10.13 | 13 |
| FY2028 | $76.30B | $80.01B / $67.29B | $17.82 | $19.24 / $15.08 | 6 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $148.67 | +54.7% | 3 |
| Last Quarter | $149.71 | +55.8% | 7 |
| Last Year | $148.85 | +54.9% | 36 |
| All Time | $104.12 | +8.3% | 99 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $108.79 | -12.69 | -11.66% | Below |
| SMA 50 | $111.88 | -15.78 | -14.10% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $108.72 | -12.62 | -11.61% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $103.23 | -7.13 | -6.91% | Below |
| EMA 21 | $106.85 | -10.75 | -10.06% | Below |
| EMA 50 | $110.59 | -14.49 | -13.10% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $108.44 | -12.34 | -11.38% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $100.36 / $102.58 / $103.86 | S1 / S2 | $99.08 / $96.86 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $98.41 – $119.17 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $84.64 – $138.77 | Off 52-wk high | -30.8% |
| ATR (14) | $4.09 (4.3%) | Historical vol | 41.0% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | UAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 6.59% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +13.9% / -18.0% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -73.6% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -8.9% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 1.27 | 1.00 |
| Reading | UAL | Airlines, Airports & Air Services n=266 | Industrials n=9,922 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -51.8 | -32.6 | -24.1 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -46.0 | -37.4 | -26.2 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | -70.1 | -36.3 | -24.5 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -41.2 | -34.5 | -22.6 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Kirby Chief Executive Officer | $32.3M | 95% equity+incentive |
| Brett Hart President | $20.3M | 94% equity+incentive |
| Torbjorn Enqvist Executive Vice President an | $11.1M | 91% equity+incentive |
| Andrew Nocella Executive Vice President and | $9.4M | 90% equity+incentive |
| Michael Leskinen Executive Vice President an | $7.1M | 87% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 62 |
| Social | 50 |
| Governance | 68 |
| Composite ESG | 60 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Shareholder Vote | 5.07 |
| 2025-05-28 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-28 | Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders | 5.07 |
| 2025-01-17 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers | 5.02 |
| 2024-12-18 | Amendments to Articles of Incorporation or Bylaws; Financial Statement | 5.03,9.01 |
| 2024-09-17 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Financial St | 5.02,9.01 |
| 2024-05-29 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers; Submission o | 5.02,5.07,9.01 |
| 2024-04-23 | Entry into Material Definitive Agreement; Material Modification to Rig | 1.01,3.03,9.01 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-14 to 2026-07-15 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 65 rows · 2010 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-07-28 to 2026-09-30 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 4 rows · 2026-02-13 to 2026-05-14 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.