| Profitability | 35/100 |
| Growth | 27/100 |
| Momentum | 58/100 |
| Quality | 55/100 |
| Earnings Quality | 76/100 |
| Balance Sheet | 38/100 |
| Value | 50/100 |
| Risk (safety) | 65/100 |
| Overall | 43.9/100 |
| Symbol | IS Score |
|---|---|
| FDX | 54 |
| EXPD | 65 |
| JBHT | 65 |
| FDXF | 22 |
| CHRW | 56 |
| CMI | 58 |
| UPS | 44 |
These two disagree — business quality 44, price structure 63 out of 100, so the price reads better than the business does. We publish the disagreement rather than resolving it: they answer different questions, and the gap between them is information, not an error.
| Trigger | Where it stands now | What it would mean |
|---|---|---|
| IS Score reaches 55 and holds two consecutive quarters | now 43.9 | would move us up one band |
| IS Score stops falling - one quarter higher than the prior | last four: 48 → 45 → 43 → 44 | the direction matters more than the level |
| Technical vote share back above 50% | now 55% | price structure no longer broken |
| Institutional holder count rises two quarters running | peak 2,295 → now 2,148 | fewer institutions willing to hold is our clearest warning |
This page is InsiderStreet's own reading, produced from the data in the rest of this document. It is not a price target and not investment advice. Analyst consensus and street price targets appear later under their own heading and are the street's numbers, not ours.
| Quarter | Holders | 13F shares | Value | Reported own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q2 | 2,148 | 558.0M | $59.1B | 65.7% |
| 2026 Q1 | 2,116 | 503.1M | $48.7B | 59.2% |
| 2025 Q4 | 2,126 | 505.5M | $49.2B | 59.5% |
| 2025 Q3 | 1,949 | 471.9M | $38.6B | 55.5% |
| 2025 Q2 | 2,120 | 499.2M | $49.4B | 58.7% |
| 2025 Q1 | 2,209 | 504.7M | $54.2B | 59.4% |
| 2024 Q4 | 2,295 | 514.0M | $63.3B | 60.5% |
| 2024 Q3 | 2,169 | 527.8M | $68.5B | 62.1% |
| 2024 Q2 | 2,183 | 518.3M | $70.0B | 61.0% |
| 2024 Q1 | 2,224 | 513.3M | $75.5B | 60.4% |
| 2023 Q4 | 2,269 | 513.9M | $80.0B | 60.5% |
| 2023 Q3 | 2,211 | 506.7M | $78.2B | 59.6% |
| Insider | Role | Date | Type | Shares | Value | Post-Txn Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramos Wilfredo | Chief Intl, Healthcare and SCS | 2026-09-01 | A-Award | 5,413 | — | 10,256 |
| Subramanian Bala | Chief Digital & Tech Officer | 2026-09-01 | A-Award | 29,223 | — | 29,223 |
| Cesarone Nando | Chief Global Operations Off | 2026-09-01 | A-Award | 58,446 | — | 58,446 |
| Ramos Wilfredo | Chief Intl, Healthcare and SCS | 2026-09-01 | — | 4,144 | $0.40M | 0 |
| Ramos Wilfredo | Chief Intl, Healthcare and SCS | 2026-09-01 | — | 17,293 | $2.02M | 0 |
| Ramos Wilfredo | Chief Intl, Healthcare and SCS | 2026-09-01 | — | 2,044 | $0.32M | 0 |
| Ramos Wilfredo | Chief Intl, Healthcare and SCS | 2026-09-01 | — | 1,599 | $0.30M | 0 |
| Ramos Wilfredo | Chief Intl, Healthcare and SCS | 2026-09-01 | — | 1,975 | — | 0 |
| 6-mo decomposition (Form 4) | Txns | Shares | Value | Signal weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M — Exercises (paired A/D) | 7 | 20,674 | — | None — mechanics |
| F — Tax withholding | 7 | 8,863 | $0.9M | None — compensation |
| P — Open-market purchases | 0 | 0 | $0 | Counted — none occurred |
| Filed | Filer | Shares registered | Est. proceeds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Kevin Maxwell Warsh | 30,550 | $3.0M |
| 2026-01-28 | Brothers Norman M. Jr | 25,014 | $2.7M |
| 2025-02-28 | Lane Laura J | 660 | $0.1M |
| 2024-11-25 | Brothers Norman M. Jr | 7,325 | $1.0M |
| Trailing 12 mo | 2 filings | 55,564 | $6M |
| Filed | Form | Reporting person | % of class | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | SCHEDULE 13G | Vanguard Capital Management | 7.46% | 55.7M sh |
| 2026-03-27 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | The Vanguard Group | — | exit/reporting change |
| 2025-04-17 | SCHEDULE 13G/A | BlackRock, Inc. | 6.10% | 44.7M sh |
| Member | Chamber | Trade | Size band | Traded | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-11 | 2026-10-09 |
| Ro Khanna | House | SELL | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-09-04 | 2026-10-09 |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-21 |
| Katie Britt | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-11-07 | 2026-01-26 |
| Katie Boyd Britt | Senate | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | 2025-11-07 | 2026-01-26 |
| Manager | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Wealth Enhancement Advisory Servic | 1.5M | $139M |
| Davenport & Co Llc | 827,823 | $77M |
| Cacti Asset Management Llc | 356,031 | $33M |
| Capwealth Advisors, Llc | 234,063 | $22M |
| Mn Services Vermogensbeheer B.V. | 216,966 | $20M |
| Czech National Bank | 215,306 | $20M |
| Fund | Weight | Position |
|---|---|---|
| VITSX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VTSAX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VSMPX | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| VTI | 0.1% | $2.2B |
| SCHD | 1.8% | $2.0B |
| VFINX | 0.1% | $1.8B |
| ATS Venue (4-wk) | Shares | Avg trade |
|---|---|---|
| Incr Intelligent Cross Llc | 5.3M | 50 sh |
| Ubsa Ubs Ats | 5.0M | 53 sh |
| Ebxl Level Ats | 3.5M | 31 sh |
| Sgmt Sigma X2 | 3.0M | 52 sh |
| Mstx Ms Trajectory Cross (Ats-1) | 2.8M | 56 sh |
| Mlix Instinct X | 2.4M | 70 sh |
| Region | Revenue | Share |
|---|---|---|
| UNITED STATES | $44.2B | 68% |
| International | $14.5B | 22% |
| Supply Chain & Freight | $5.9B | 9% |
Moat score 50/100 — Weak; primary source Efficient Scale.
| Officer | Title |
|---|---|
| Carol Tome | Chief Executive Officer & Director |
| Kathleen Gutmann | Strategic Advisor |
| Nando Cesarone | Executive VP & Chief Global Operations Officer |
| Brian Dykes | Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer |
| Period | EPS est. | EPS actual | EPS surprise | Rev est. ($M) | Rev actual ($M) | Rev surprise |
|---|
| YoY growth | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | +15.1% | +2.9% | -9.3% | +0.2% | -2.5% |
| Gross profit | -20.0% | +15.2% | -11.8% | -3.7% | -3.7% |
| Operating income | +67.3% | -1.1% | -27.7% | -7.3% | -2.4% |
| Net income | +859.8% | -10.4% | -41.9% | -13.8% | -3.6% |
| $B · FY ends | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 97.2 | 100.0 | 90.7 | 90.9 | 88.6 | |
| Cost of revenue | 79.8 | 80.0 | 73.0 | 73.8 | 72.2 | |
| Gross profit | 17.4 | 20.1 | 17.7 | 17.1 | 16.4 | |
| R&D expense | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| SG&A expense | 4.3 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 8.7 | 8.3 | |
| Operating income | 13.1 | 13.0 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 8.5 | |
| EBITDA | 20.2 | 18.7 | 12.7 | 11.9 | 12.2 | |
| D&A | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.7 | |
| Pretax income | 16.6 | 14.8 | 8.6 | 7.4 | 7.2 | |
| Income tax | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.6 | |
| Net income | 12.9 | 11.5 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 14.68 | 13.20 | 7.80 | 6.76 | 6.56 | |
| Diluted shares (M) | 878 | 871 | 860 | 856 | 850 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash & equivalents | 5.6 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 5.9 | |
| ST investments | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |
| Receivables (net) | 12.6 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 11.2 | |
| Total current assets | 22.2 | 19.4 | 19.3 | 19.0 | |
| PP&E (net) | 38.5 | 41.3 | 41.3 | 42.0 | |
| Goodwill + intangibles | 7.0 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 9.9 | |
| Total assets | 71.1 | 70.9 | 70.1 | 73.1 | |
| Accounts payable | 7.5 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.6 | |
| Short-term debt | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.4 | |
| Deferred revenue | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Total current liabilities | 18.1 | 17.7 | 16.4 | 15.6 | |
| Long-term debt | 17.3 | 18.9 | 19.4 | 27.2 | |
| Total liabilities | 51.3 | 53.5 | 53.3 | 56.8 | |
| Shareholders' equity | 19.8 | 17.3 | 16.7 | 16.3 |
| $B | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net income | 11.5 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| D&A | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.7 | |
| Stock-based compensation | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | |
| Working capital change | (0.4) | (0.4) | 0.3 | (0.9) | |
| Operating cash flow | 14.1 | 10.2 | 10.1 | 8.5 | |
| Capital expenditures | (4.8) | (5.2) | (3.9) | (3.7) | |
| Investing cash flow | (7.5) | (7.1) | (0.2) | (4.7) | |
| Buybacks | (3.5) | (2.2) | (0.5) | (1.0) | |
| Dividends paid | (5.1) | (5.4) | (5.4) | (5.4) | |
| Debt issuance / (repay) | (2.3) | 2.3 | (1.0) | 2.1 | |
| Financing cash flow | (11.2) | (5.5) | (6.9) | (4.1) | |
| Free cash flow | 9.3 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 4.8 |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PROFITABILITY | |||||||
| ROE | 172.9% | 67.9% | 36.2% | 34.0% | 33.8% | 29% | |
| ROA | 19.6% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | |
| ROIC | 34.9% | 28.3% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 8.9% | |
| Gross margin | 17.9% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 16.6% | |
| Operating margin | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | |
| Net margin | 13.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | |
| EBITDA margin | 20.8% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.8% | |
| FCF margin | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | — | |
| VALUATION | |||||||
| P/E | 12.15 | 11.26 | 17.95 | 17.51 | 15.18 | 18.1 | |
| P/B | 10.99 | 6.57 | 6.96 | 6.06 | 5.21 | 5.5 | |
| P/S | 1.61 | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 0.95 | 0.81 | |
| P/FCF | 14.48 | 13.93 | 23.71 | 16.30 | 17.76 | 13.3 | |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.48 | 7.80 | 11.10 | 10.12 | 9.31 | 9.2 | |
| EV/Revenue | 1.76 | 1.46 | 1.56 | 1.33 | 1.25 | 1.1 | |
| Earnings yield | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.51% | |
| FCF yield | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.51% | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE & SOLVENCY | |||||||
| Current ratio | 1.42 | 1.22 | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1.22 | 1.18 | |
| Quick ratio | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.05 | 1.12 | 1.22 | 1.18 | |
| Debt / equity | 1.79 | 1.19 | 1.54 | 1.53 | 1.99 | 1.90 | |
| Debt / assets | 36.8% | 33.1% | 37.7% | 36.6% | 44.2% | 40.2% | |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 0.74 | 0.85 | 1.63 | 1.62 | 2.21 | 2.27 | |
| Interest coverage | 25.30 | 22.36 | 12.06 | 9.64 | 8.06 | — | |
| Ratio | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | TTM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFFICIENCY | |||||||
| Asset turnover | 1.47 | 1.42 | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.26 | |
| Receivables turnover | 8.35 | 7.96 | 7.63 | 8.23 | 8.03 | 8.4 | |
| DSO (days) | 44 | 46 | 48 | 44 | 45 | 43 | |
| DPO (days) | 33 | 35 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 29 | |
| Cash conversion cycle | 14 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 14 | |
| GROWTH (YoY) | |||||||
| Revenue growth | 15.1% | 2.9% | -9.3% | 0.2% | -2.5% | — | |
| Net income growth | 803.3% | -10.4% | -41.9% | -13.8% | -3.6% | — | |
| EPS growth | 795.1% | -9.6% | -41.0% | -13.8% | -3.1% | — | |
| FCF growth | 114.2% | -13.7% | -45.6% | 22.3% | -23.3% | — | |
| PER SHARE ($) | |||||||
| EPS (diluted, TTM) | 14.66 | 13.26 | 7.82 | 6.74 | 6.53 | 5.38 | |
| Book value / share | 16.22 | 22.72 | 20.17 | 19.48 | 19.02 | 17.76 | |
| Revenue / share | 110.58 | 114.85 | 105.76 | 105.94 | 103.87 | 105.80 | |
| FCF / share | 12.30 | 10.72 | 5.92 | 7.24 | 5.59 | 6.45 | |
| Cash / share | 12.05 | 8.72 | 7.03 | 7.36 | 6.90 | 5.47 | |
| SHAREHOLDER RETURN & SCORES | |||||||
| Buyback yield | 0.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | — | |
| Altman Z-Score | 4.38 | 4.14 | 3.51 | 3.29 | 2.92 | 2.8 | |
| Piotroski F-Score | 8 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4/9 | |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.49 | -2.44 | -2.80 | -2.85 | -2.36 | -2.33 | |
| Model | Score | Zone | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piotroski F-Score | 4 / 9 | Middling | |
| Altman Z-Score | 2.8 | Grey zone | Grey |
| Income quality | 1.95 | Cash-backed | OCF ÷ net income |
| Beneish M-Score | -2.33 | Non-manipulator | vs −2.22 threshold |
| DuPont Decomposition (TTM) | Value |
|---|---|
| Tax burden | 0.78 |
| Interest burden | 0.87 |
| Operating margin | 7.5% |
| Asset turnover | 1.26× |
| Financial leverage | 4.61× |
| = ROE | 30% |
| Growth Quality (live) | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue stability | 0.31 |
| Earnings stability | 0.32 |
| Earnings persistence | 0.92 |
| Revenue CAGR 3y | -2.1% |
| EPS CAGR 3y | -22.7% |
| FCF CAGR 3y | -4.0% |
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Rev growth | Piotroski | 1-yr ret |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX | $69.5B | 16.0 | 15% | 6.4% | +7.7% | 6/9 | +55.9% |
| EXPD | $25.5B | 28.4 | 43% | 7.6% | +6.8% | 8/9 | +66.5% |
| JBHT | $21.5B | 32.1 | 18% | 5.2% | +5.3% | 8/9 | +35.3% |
| FDXF | $16.9B | 29.3 | -32% | 6.4% | — | 2/9 | -25.0% |
| CHRW | $16.3B | 26.3 | 37% | 3.8% | -0.1% | 7/9 | — |
| CMI | $73.1B | 27.0 | 22% | 9.9% | +2.9% | 6/9 | — |
| NSC | $73.4B | 27.9 | 17% | 21.2% | +3.0% | 7/9 | — |
| NOC | $73.9B | 16.5 | 27% | 10.1% | +5.9% | 8/9 | — |
| Consensus estimates | Revenue mean | High / Low | EPS mean | High / Low | # EPS est. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $91.59B | $93.47B / $90.85B | $7.18 | $7.27 / $6.93 | 18 |
| FY2027 | $95.01B | $97.69B / $93.25B | $8.02 | $8.41 / $7.18 | 19 |
| FY2028 | $98.25B | $103.31B / $88.67B | $8.61 | $9.34 / $6.84 | 7 |
| Window | Avg Target | vs. Price | # Targets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last Month | $115.00 | +17.9% | 1 |
| Last Quarter | $122.92 | +26.1% | 13 |
| Last Year | $114.74 | +17.7% | 43 |
| All Time | $152.84 | +56.8% | 121 |
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $94.47 | +3.03 | +3.21% | Above |
| SMA 50 | $99.23 | -1.73 | -1.74% | Below |
| SMA 200 | $104.31 | -6.81 | -6.53% | Below |
| EMA 9 | $95.70 | +1.80 | +1.88% | Above |
| EMA 21 | $95.95 | +1.55 | +1.62% | Above |
| EMA 50 | $98.79 | -1.29 | -1.31% | Below |
| EMA 200 | $101.98 | -4.48 | -4.39% | Below |
| Level | Value | Level | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pivot / R1 / R2 | $97.43 / $98.77 / $99.72 | S1 / S2 | $96.48 / $95.14 |
| Bollinger (20,2) | $91.46 – $97.48 | Squeeze | Off |
| 52-wk range | $82.42 – $120.73 | Off 52-wk high | -19.2% |
| ATR (14) | $2.01 (2.1%) | Historical vol | 26.6% |
| Computed from live weekly prices | UPS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Weekly volatility (σ, 1y) | 4.41% | 1.83% |
| Best / worst week (1y) | +12.6% / -10.8% | — |
| Max drawdown (5y, monthly) | -55.6% | — |
| 1-week VaR (95%) | -8.8% | — |
| Beta (5y) | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Reading | UPS | Integrated Freight & Logistics n=311 | Industrials n=9,922 | All US symbols n=70,435 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -23.8 | -18.8 | -24.1 | -20.5 |
| Trend | -41.2 | -23.3 | -26.2 | -21.3 |
| Momentum | +39.1 | -9.7 | -24.5 | -15.8 |
| Volume | -44.8 | +2.0 | -22.6 | -3.8 |
| Executive | Total comp | Structure |
|---|---|---|
| Carol Tomé Chief Executive Officer | $22.9M | 87% equity+incentive |
| Kate Gutmann President International, Health | $8.4M | 75% equity+incentive |
| Nando Cesarone President U.S. and UPS Airlin | $7.8M | 80% equity+incentive |
| Brian Dykes Chief Financial Officer | $7.0M | 79% equity+incentive |
| Bala Subramanian Chief Digital and Technolog | $6.8M | 81% equity+incentive |
| Pillar (live disclosure scores) | Score |
|---|---|
| Environmental | 66 |
| Social | 61 |
| Governance | 82 |
| Composite ESG | 70 |
| Filed | 8-K contents | Items |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Officer/Director Change; Regulation FD; Exhibits | 5.02,7.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-18 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-08-12 | Other Events; Exhibits | 8.01,9.01 |
| 2026-07-28 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-06-15 | Officer/Director Change | 5.02 |
| 2026-05-13 | Officer/Director Change | 5.02 |
| 2026-04-28 | Earnings Release; Exhibits | 2.02,9.01 |
| 2026-02-06 | Departure/Election of Directors; Appointment of Officers | 5.02 |
Methodology. Every figure originates in InsiderStreet's production data layer and is computed deterministically by the same engines that power insiderstreet.ai. This factsheet contains no model-written text. Sections without underlying data are omitted rather than estimated.
| Data domain | Source | Coverage for this report |
|---|---|---|
| Price & volume | market_db.historical_prices | 52 rows |
| Fundamentals | income_statements_annual | 6 rows · 2020 to 2025 |
| Reported vs consensus | fact/earnings_calendar | 24 rows · 2020-10-28 to 2026-07-28 |
| Analyst estimates | dim/forward_estimates | 3 rows · 2026-12-31 to 2028-12-31 |
| Institutional ownership (13F) | holdings_db.institutional_ownership_summary | 110 rows · 1987 to 2026 |
| Insider transactions (Form 4) | edgar/form4 | 12 rows · 2026-05-15 to 2026-09-01 |
| Proposed sales (Form 144) | edgar/form144 | 1 record |
| Beneficial ownership (13D/G) | edgar/13dg | 3 rows · 2025-04-17 to 2026-04-30 |
| Short-sale volume (FINRA) | edgar/short_volume_daily | 60 rows · 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-15 |
| Dark pool (ATS, tier 1) | edgar/darkpool_weekly | 12 rows · 2026-06-15 to 2026-08-31 |
| ETF & fund holding | etf_holdings_changelog (30d) | 1 record |
| Peer set | stock_peers_dynamic | 8 rows |
| Industry medians | industry_medians | 1 record |
| Congressional trades | congress_db (House + Senate) | 1 record |
| ESG | fact/esg_disclosures | 1 record |
Method. Every figure in this factsheet is looked up from a named field computed in code. It contains no model-written text.
Not covered. Short interest as a percent of float and days-to-cover are not in this data set — the short-sale figures above are FINRA volume, a flow, and cannot support squeeze or covering analysis. Options positioning and intraday data are also absent. 13F ownership is filed 45 days after quarter end and congressional trades are disclosed on a lag, so both describe a past position, not a current one.