Sweden
+0.8
▬
vs 1w ago (+0.9)
Sweden economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+0.8
1 Week Ago
+0.9
Releases (90d)
117
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with OMX 30 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- Industrial Production MoM +4.92z
- Balance of Trade +6.32z
- Employed Persons +3.57z
- Gross Domestic Product QoQ +0.90z
- Gross Domestic Product QoQ +0.90z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Employed Persons -3.29z
- Construction Output YoY -2.37z
- Household Consumption MoM -3.41z
- Services PMI -1.87z
- Gross Domestic Product MoM -1.48z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (117 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Employed Persons | 5.25 | 5.955 | -3.286 | Low | -66.72 |
| 2026-02-10 | Industrial Production MoM | 5.1 | 0.1 | +4.919 | Low | +48.80 |
| 2026-01-27 | Balance of Trade | 7.4 | 0.1 | +6.320 | Low | +45.37 |
| 2026-03-10 | Construction Output YoY | -2.3 | 1.2 | -2.371 | Low | -44.92 |
| 2026-02-16 | Employed Persons | 5.914 | 5.24 | +3.570 | Low | +40.69 |
| 2026-02-10 | Household Consumption MoM | -3.7 | 0.3 | -3.413 | Low | -33.86 |
| 2026-03-04 | Services PMI | 48.3 | 54.0 | -1.870 | Low | -30.85 |
| 2026-03-10 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | -1.1 | 0.2 | -1.482 | Low | -28.07 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.5 | 0.2 | +0.902 | Medium | +26.52 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.5 | 0.2 | +0.902 | Medium | +26.52 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.5 | 0.2 | +0.902 | Medium | +26.52 |
| 2026-02-06 | CPI | 0.1 | 0.4 | +1.221 | Medium | +22.09 |
| 2026-02-20 | Capacity Utilization QoQ | -0.6 | 0.1 | -1.703 | Low | -21.28 |
| 2026-03-10 | Household Consumption YoY | 2.8 | 1.0 | +0.935 | Low | +17.72 |
| 2026-02-16 | Unemployment Rate | 8.6 | 9.5 | +1.263 | Low | +14.39 |
| 2026-02-26 | Economic Tendency Indicator | 100.1 | 102.0 | -0.992 | Low | -14.25 |
| 2026-03-05 | CPI | 0.6 | 0.8 | +0.407 | Medium | +13.74 |
| 2026-03-13 | Unemployment Rate | 8.8 | 8.4 | -0.635 | Low | -12.89 |
| 2026-02-25 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.4 | 0.5 | -0.800 | Low | -11.22 |
| 2026-01-23 | Producer Price Index YoY | -2.7 | -1.3 | +1.635 | Low | +10.70 |
| 2026-02-25 | Producer Price Index YoY | -2.0 | -3.9 | -0.739 | Low | -10.37 |
| 2026-02-20 | CPI | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.407 | Medium | -10.18 |
| 2026-02-20 | CPI | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.407 | Medium | -10.18 |
| 2026-02-20 | CPI | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.407 | Medium | -10.18 |
| 2026-02-06 | CPI | 0.4 | 0.6 | +0.543 | Medium | +9.82 |
| 2026-03-05 | CPI | 0.5 | 0.6 | +0.271 | Medium | +9.16 |
| 2026-03-05 | CPI | 0.5 | 0.6 | +0.271 | Medium | +9.16 |
| 2026-01-23 | Producer Price Index MoM | -1.1 | 0.2 | +1.368 | Low | +8.96 |
| 2026-03-10 | New Orders YoY | -3.9 | 2.8 | -0.452 | Low | -8.57 |
| 2026-02-27 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.1 | 1.7 | +0.546 | Low | +8.02 |
| 2026-02-06 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | +0.807 | Low | +7.30 |
| 2026-02-20 | CPIF MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | -0.566 | Low | -7.08 |
| 2026-02-02 | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 56.0 | 54.0 | +0.834 | Low | +6.88 |
| 2026-02-24 | Industrial Inventories QoQ | -5.73 | -2.3 | -0.501 | Low | -6.87 |
| 2026-03-06 | Current Account | 78.1 | 65.0 | +0.385 | Low | +6.66 |
| 2026-03-06 | Current Account | 78.1 | 65.0 | +0.385 | Low | +6.66 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.6 | -0.401 | Medium | -6.03 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.684 | Low | -5.14 |
| 2026-01-30 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.7 | 0.3 | -0.666 | Low | -5.13 |
| 2026-01-08 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.0 | 0.2 | +1.075 | Low | +4.98 |
| 2026-03-05 | CPIF MoM | 0.6 | 0.8 | +0.283 | Low | +4.78 |
| 2026-03-05 | CPIF MoM | 0.6 | 0.8 | +0.283 | Low | +4.78 |
| 2026-02-20 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.379 | Low | -4.74 |
| 2026-02-26 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 6.5 | 6.3 | -0.330 | Low | -4.73 |
| 2026-02-06 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.4 | 0.6 | +0.505 | Low | +4.57 |
| 2026-03-05 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.8 | +0.269 | Low | +4.54 |
| 2026-03-02 | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 56.1 | 55.4 | +0.284 | Low | +4.48 |
| 2026-03-05 | CPIF YoY | 1.7 | 1.8 | +0.265 | Low | +4.47 |
| 2026-03-05 | CPIF YoY | 1.7 | 1.8 | +0.265 | Low | +4.47 |
| 2026-02-10 | Household Consumption YoY | 0.5 | 2.9 | -0.430 | Low | -4.27 |
| 2026-03-05 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.5 | 0.6 | +0.253 | Low | +4.26 |
| 2026-01-16 | House Price Index MoM | -1.0 | 1.0 | -0.735 | Low | -4.09 |
| 2026-01-09 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.9 | 0.2 | +0.798 | Low | +3.78 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.1 | 1.8 | +0.120 | Medium | +3.53 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.1 | 1.8 | +0.120 | Medium | +3.53 |
| 2026-02-27 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.1 | 1.8 | +0.120 | Medium | +3.53 |
| 2026-03-10 | Household Consumption MoM | 0.7 | 2.5 | -0.184 | Low | -3.49 |
| 2026-01-29 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 6.5 | 6.8 | +0.458 | Low | +3.44 |
| 2026-02-06 | CPIF MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | +0.378 | Low | +3.42 |
| 2026-02-04 | Services PMI | 54.3 | 55.5 | -0.383 | Low | -3.31 |
| 2026-01-23 | Unemployment Rate | 8.3 | 8.6 | +0.465 | Low | +3.04 |
| 2026-01-08 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.5 | +0.606 | Low | +2.81 |
| 2026-02-10 | Construction Output YoY | 1.6 | 1.2 | +0.271 | Low | +2.69 |
| 2026-01-09 | Construction Output YoY | 1.0 | 3.0 | -0.542 | Low | -2.57 |
| 2026-02-27 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | +0.162 | Low | +2.38 |
| 2026-02-27 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.150 | Low | -2.20 |
| 2026-03-10 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.9 | 3.6 | -0.116 | Low | -2.20 |
| 2026-01-30 | Retail Sales YoY | 1.5 | 5.1 | -0.273 | Low | -2.10 |
| 2026-02-06 | CPIF YoY | 2.0 | 2.1 | +0.227 | Low | +2.05 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.8 | 2.2 | -0.131 | Medium | -1.97 |
| 2026-01-07 | Services PMI | 56.7 | 58.0 | -0.397 | Low | -1.80 |
| 2026-02-26 | Consumer Confidence | 96.3 | 95.9 | +0.116 | Low | +1.66 |
| 2026-01-29 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.216 | Low | -1.63 |
| 2026-01-29 | Business Confidence | 106.4 | 107.0 | -0.211 | Low | -1.59 |
| 2026-01-29 | Economic Tendency Indicator | 103.0 | 103.4 | -0.206 | Low | -1.55 |
| 2026-02-26 | Business Confidence | 104.7 | 105.0 | -0.108 | Low | -1.55 |
| 2025-12-29 | Balance of Trade | 11.6 | 2.0 | +0.416 | Low | +1.53 |
| 2026-01-09 | New Orders YoY | 23.0 | 9.1 | +0.289 | Low | +1.37 |
| 2026-02-10 | New Orders YoY | 6.8 | 15.1 | -0.104 | Low | -1.03 |
| 2026-01-09 | Household Consumption YoY | 3.5 | 2.5 | +0.208 | Low | +0.98 |
| 2026-01-29 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.8 | 2.1 | -0.124 | Low | -0.93 |
| 2025-12-23 | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.4 | -1.7 | -0.268 | Low | -0.86 |
| 2026-03-10 | Industrial Production MoM | -5.7 | -4.3 | -0.032 | Low | -0.61 |
| 2026-02-27 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2.2 | -0.039 | Low | -0.58 |
| 2026-02-26 | Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.0 | 2.9 | +0.038 | Low | +0.55 |
| 2026-01-09 | Household Consumption MoM | 1.0 | 0.7 | +0.110 | Low | +0.52 |
| 2026-02-27 | Balance of Trade | 6.3 | 4.5 | +0.035 | Low | +0.51 |
| 2026-01-02 | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 55.3 | 55.0 | +0.123 | Low | +0.49 |
| 2026-01-09 | Industrial Production MoM | -0.1 | 4.5 | -0.101 | Low | -0.48 |
| 2026-01-29 | Consumer Confidence | 95.3 | 95.5 | -0.058 | Low | -0.44 |
| 2026-01-09 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.2 | 6.0 | -0.074 | Low | -0.35 |
| 2026-01-29 | Household Lending Growth YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | +0.039 | Low | +0.30 |
| 2025-12-30 | Household Lending Growth YoY | 2.8 | 3.0 | -0.074 | Low | -0.28 |
| 2025-12-23 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.2 | 0.9 | -0.070 | Low | -0.22 |
| 2026-02-10 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.2 | 4.0 | +0.012 | Low | +0.12 |
| 2026-01-23 | Employed Persons | 5.252 | 5.25 | +0.011 | Low | +0.07 |
| 2026-01-08 | CPIF MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-01-08 | CPIF YoY | 2.1 | 2.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-01-15 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-01-15 | CPIF YoY | 2.1 | 2.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-01-15 | CPIF MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-01-29 | Riksbank Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-01-29 | Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-02-05 | House Price Index MoM | -1.0 | -1.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-02-05 | House Price Index MoM | -1.0 | -1.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-02-20 | CPI | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-02-20 | CPIF YoY | 2.0 | 2.0 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-02-20 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-03-05 | House Price Index MoM | -1.0 | -1.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-03-05 | House Price Index MoM | -1.0 | -1.0 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-03-12 | CPIF YoY | 1.7 | 1.7 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-03-12 | CPIF MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-03-12 | CPI | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-03-12 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-03-12 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-03-19 | Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-03-19 | Riksbank Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |