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Economic Surprises Sweden
Sweden +3.0 ▼ vs 1w ago (+4.2)
Sweden economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+3.0
1 Week Ago
+4.2
Releases (90d)
113
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with OMX 30 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
Top Positive Surprises
Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (113 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-07-24 Unemployment Rate 9.9 8.6 -1.982 Low -45.17
2026-05-06 CPI MoM -0.6 -0.2 +3.033 Medium +22.28
2026-06-26 Economic Tendency Indicator 101.7 98.8 +1.608 Low +19.19
2026-05-08 Construction Output YoY 7.4 0.6 +4.846 Low +18.65
2026-05-06 CPI YoY -0.1 0.3 +2.452 Medium +18.02
2026-07-03 S&P Global Services PMI 56.6 52.6 +1.223 Low +17.16
2026-06-04 CPI YoY 0.8 0.5 -1.104 Medium -15.85
2026-05-09 CPI YoY -0.2 -0.1 +1.839 Medium +14.48
2026-05-26 Industrial Inventories QoQ 11.67 -1.4 +2.376 Low +13.85
2026-07-01 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 58.3 55.9 +0.981 Low +13.14
2026-07-24 Employed Persons 5.398 5.3 +0.545 Low +12.42
2026-04-29 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.2 0.1 -1.663 Medium -10.39
2026-05-28 Consumer Inflation Expectation 5.9 7.0 +1.580 Low +9.65
2026-06-04 CPI MoM 1.0 0.7 -0.650 Medium -9.33
2026-04-29 Retail Sales MoM 3.1 0.2 +2.836 Low +8.86
2026-05-06 CPIF MoM -0.6 -0.2 +2.239 Low +8.23
2026-07-28 Balance of Trade 2.6 -1.0 +0.329 Low +8.22
2026-05-06 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.2 +2.162 Low +7.94
2026-05-28 Economic Tendency Indicator 99.3 97.0 +1.299 Low +7.93
2026-05-06 Inflation Rate YoY -0.1 0.3 +2.045 Low +7.51
2026-07-08 Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.9 0.3 +0.463 Low +7.29
2026-06-04 Inflation Rate YoY 0.8 0.5 -0.920 Low -6.61
2026-06-26 Consumer Inflation Expectation 5.8 5.5 -0.548 Low -6.54
2026-05-21 Unemployment Rate 8.7 9.6 +1.229 Low +6.39
2026-07-08 CPIF YoY 1.3 1.2 -0.403 Low -6.35
2026-07-09 House Price Index MoM 2.0 1.0 +0.392 Low +6.31
2026-05-09 Inflation Rate YoY -0.2 -0.1 +1.534 Low +6.04
2026-04-29 GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.2 0.1 -1.910 Low -5.97
2026-05-06 CPIF YoY 0.8 1.2 +1.612 Low +5.92
2026-07-24 Producer Price Index MoM 0.1 -0.6 -0.258 Low -5.88
2026-06-26 Consumer Confidence 93.6 92.0 +0.489 Low +5.84
2026-07-11 Household Consumption MoM -0.1 0.4 -0.334 Low -5.64
2026-05-08 Household Consumption YoY 4.1 1.1 +1.439 Low +5.54
2026-07-08 Construction Output YoY 3.6 2.0 +0.342 Low +5.39
2026-06-04 CPIF YoY 1.5 1.3 -0.744 Low -5.34
2026-05-08 New Orders YoY -7.3 1.2 -1.348 Low -5.19
2026-06-30 Retail Sales YoY 8.0 4.1 +0.376 Low +4.92
2026-05-28 Consumer Confidence 92.4 90.0 +0.750 Low +4.58
2026-07-24 Producer Price Index YoY 7.4 6.6 -0.192 Low -4.37
2026-06-03 S&P Global Services PMI 53.9 51.9 +0.620 Low +4.35
2026-06-26 Producer Price Index MoM 1.3 0.5 -0.354 Low -4.22
2026-06-15 Employed Persons 5.299 5.22 +0.446 Low +4.13
2026-06-04 CPIF MoM 0.9 0.6 -0.560 Low -4.02
2026-05-29 GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.2 -0.1 -0.637 Low -3.98
2026-04-29 Gross Domestic Product MoM 1.9 0.3 +1.235 Low +3.86
2026-05-08 Household Consumption MoM 1.4 0.3 +0.979 Low +3.77
2026-06-04 Inflation Rate MoM 1.0 0.7 -0.463 Low -3.33
2026-05-28 Business Confidence 103.3 102.0 +0.508 Low +3.10
2026-06-26 Producer Price Index YoY 6.6 5.7 -0.250 Low -2.98
2026-04-29 Consumer Inflation Expectation 6.8 7.5 +0.938 Low +2.93
2026-04-29 Business Confidence 103.3 101.0 +0.908 Low +2.84
2026-05-04 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 57.2 55.5 +0.700 Low +2.46
2026-06-01 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 57.3 56.4 +0.365 Low +2.44
2026-05-29 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.0 1.6 +0.194 Medium +2.42
2026-04-29 Consumer Confidence 91.5 94.0 -0.748 Low -2.34
2026-06-10 Construction Output YoY 2.3 6.5 -0.276 Low -2.28
2026-07-08 New Orders YoY 1.3 4.6 -0.137 Low -2.15
2026-04-29 Retail Sales YoY 6.2 2.4 +0.626 Low +1.96
2026-05-06 S&P Global Services PMI 52.5 54.1 -0.476 Low -1.75
2026-07-08 Industrial Production MoM 0.2 -2.0 +0.110 Low +1.74
2026-06-30 Retail Sales MoM -0.2 -0.6 +0.130 Low +1.71
2026-07-11 Household Consumption YoY 2.1 2.6 -0.101 Low -1.71
2026-06-29 Balance of Trade 2.9 -8.4 +0.123 Low +1.57
2026-05-08 Industrial Production MoM -2.0 0.7 -0.387 Low -1.49
2026-05-28 Balance of Trade -7.3 4.4 -0.243 Low -1.48
2026-05-07 House Price Index MoM 0.0 -1.0 +0.392 Low +1.47
2026-05-29 Retail Sales MoM 0.0 -2.6 +0.196 Low +1.22
2026-04-29 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.6 2.1 -0.184 Medium -1.15
2026-06-05 Current Account 93.9 101.0 -0.135 Low -0.99
2026-04-29 Economic Tendency Indicator 99.0 98.5 +0.278 Low +0.87
2026-05-26 Producer Price Index YoY 4.7 4.3 -0.147 Low -0.86
2026-05-26 Producer Price Index MoM 1.1 0.7 -0.126 Low -0.74
2026-06-10 Household Consumption MoM 0.8 0.6 +0.089 Low +0.73
2026-05-29 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.0 2.3 -0.115 Low -0.72
2026-04-29 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.6 2.1 -0.210 Low -0.66
2026-05-29 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.0 3.2 -0.074 Low -0.46
2026-06-26 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.1 3.2 -0.037 Low -0.44
2026-05-21 Employed Persons 5.226 5.24 -0.079 Low -0.41
2026-05-29 Retail Sales YoY 4.7 5.5 -0.057 Low -0.36
2026-05-08 Industrial Production YoY 3.0 2.2 +0.092 Low +0.35
2026-07-08 Industrial Production YoY 6.9 6.5 +0.016 Low +0.25
2026-04-29 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.1 3.0 +0.040 Low +0.12
2026-05-07 Riksbank Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-07 Interest Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-09 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-09 CPI MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-13 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-13 CPIF YoY 0.8 0.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-13 CPI MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-13 CPIF MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-13 CPI YoY -0.1 -0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-13 Inflation Rate YoY -0.1 -0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-29 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.2 -0.2 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-06-11 CPIF MoM 0.9 0.9 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-11 CPI YoY 0.8 0.8 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-06-11 CPI MoM 1.0 1.0 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-06-11 Inflation Rate YoY 0.8 0.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-11 Inflation Rate MoM 1.0 1.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-11 CPIF YoY 1.5 1.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-06-17 Riksbank Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-06-17 Interest Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-06-26 Business Confidence 103.6 103.6 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-07-08 CPIF MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-08 CPI YoY 0.7 0.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-08 Inflation Rate MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-08 Inflation Rate YoY 0.7 0.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 CPI YoY 0.7 0.7 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-15 CPIF YoY 1.3 1.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 CPI MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-07-15 Inflation Rate MoM 0.4 0.4 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 Inflation Rate YoY 0.7 0.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-15 CPIF MoM 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-07-27 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.2 3.2 +0.000 Low +0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms