Sweden
+3.0
▼
vs 1w ago (+4.2)
Sweden economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days,
releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+3.0
1 Week Ago
+4.2
Releases (90d)
113
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with OMX 30 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
- CPI MoM +3.03z
- Economic Tendency Indicator +1.61z
- Construction Output YoY +4.85z
- CPI YoY +2.45z
- S&P Global Services PMI +1.22z
▼ Top Negative Surprises
- Unemployment Rate -1.98z
- CPI YoY -1.10z
- Gross Domestic Product QoQ -1.66z
- CPI MoM -0.65z
- Inflation Rate YoY -0.92z
All Releases — 90 Day Window (113 events)
| Date | Event | Actual | Estimate | Surprise Z | Impact | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Unemployment Rate | 9.9 | 8.6 | -1.982 | Low | -45.17 |
| 2026-05-06 | CPI MoM | -0.6 | -0.2 | +3.033 | Medium | +22.28 |
| 2026-06-26 | Economic Tendency Indicator | 101.7 | 98.8 | +1.608 | Low | +19.19 |
| 2026-05-08 | Construction Output YoY | 7.4 | 0.6 | +4.846 | Low | +18.65 |
| 2026-05-06 | CPI YoY | -0.1 | 0.3 | +2.452 | Medium | +18.02 |
| 2026-07-03 | S&P Global Services PMI | 56.6 | 52.6 | +1.223 | Low | +17.16 |
| 2026-06-04 | CPI YoY | 0.8 | 0.5 | -1.104 | Medium | -15.85 |
| 2026-05-09 | CPI YoY | -0.2 | -0.1 | +1.839 | Medium | +14.48 |
| 2026-05-26 | Industrial Inventories QoQ | 11.67 | -1.4 | +2.376 | Low | +13.85 |
| 2026-07-01 | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 58.3 | 55.9 | +0.981 | Low | +13.14 |
| 2026-07-24 | Employed Persons | 5.398 | 5.3 | +0.545 | Low | +12.42 |
| 2026-04-29 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.2 | 0.1 | -1.663 | Medium | -10.39 |
| 2026-05-28 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.9 | 7.0 | +1.580 | Low | +9.65 |
| 2026-06-04 | CPI MoM | 1.0 | 0.7 | -0.650 | Medium | -9.33 |
| 2026-04-29 | Retail Sales MoM | 3.1 | 0.2 | +2.836 | Low | +8.86 |
| 2026-05-06 | CPIF MoM | -0.6 | -0.2 | +2.239 | Low | +8.23 |
| 2026-07-28 | Balance of Trade | 2.6 | -1.0 | +0.329 | Low | +8.22 |
| 2026-05-06 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | -0.2 | +2.162 | Low | +7.94 |
| 2026-05-28 | Economic Tendency Indicator | 99.3 | 97.0 | +1.299 | Low | +7.93 |
| 2026-05-06 | Inflation Rate YoY | -0.1 | 0.3 | +2.045 | Low | +7.51 |
| 2026-07-08 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.9 | 0.3 | +0.463 | Low | +7.29 |
| 2026-06-04 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.920 | Low | -6.61 |
| 2026-06-26 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.8 | 5.5 | -0.548 | Low | -6.54 |
| 2026-05-21 | Unemployment Rate | 8.7 | 9.6 | +1.229 | Low | +6.39 |
| 2026-07-08 | CPIF YoY | 1.3 | 1.2 | -0.403 | Low | -6.35 |
| 2026-07-09 | House Price Index MoM | 2.0 | 1.0 | +0.392 | Low | +6.31 |
| 2026-05-09 | Inflation Rate YoY | -0.2 | -0.1 | +1.534 | Low | +6.04 |
| 2026-04-29 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.2 | 0.1 | -1.910 | Low | -5.97 |
| 2026-05-06 | CPIF YoY | 0.8 | 1.2 | +1.612 | Low | +5.92 |
| 2026-07-24 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.1 | -0.6 | -0.258 | Low | -5.88 |
| 2026-06-26 | Consumer Confidence | 93.6 | 92.0 | +0.489 | Low | +5.84 |
| 2026-07-11 | Household Consumption MoM | -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.334 | Low | -5.64 |
| 2026-05-08 | Household Consumption YoY | 4.1 | 1.1 | +1.439 | Low | +5.54 |
| 2026-07-08 | Construction Output YoY | 3.6 | 2.0 | +0.342 | Low | +5.39 |
| 2026-06-04 | CPIF YoY | 1.5 | 1.3 | -0.744 | Low | -5.34 |
| 2026-05-08 | New Orders YoY | -7.3 | 1.2 | -1.348 | Low | -5.19 |
| 2026-06-30 | Retail Sales YoY | 8.0 | 4.1 | +0.376 | Low | +4.92 |
| 2026-05-28 | Consumer Confidence | 92.4 | 90.0 | +0.750 | Low | +4.58 |
| 2026-07-24 | Producer Price Index YoY | 7.4 | 6.6 | -0.192 | Low | -4.37 |
| 2026-06-03 | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.9 | 51.9 | +0.620 | Low | +4.35 |
| 2026-06-26 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 0.5 | -0.354 | Low | -4.22 |
| 2026-06-15 | Employed Persons | 5.299 | 5.22 | +0.446 | Low | +4.13 |
| 2026-06-04 | CPIF MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | -0.560 | Low | -4.02 |
| 2026-05-29 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.637 | Low | -3.98 |
| 2026-04-29 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 1.9 | 0.3 | +1.235 | Low | +3.86 |
| 2026-05-08 | Household Consumption MoM | 1.4 | 0.3 | +0.979 | Low | +3.77 |
| 2026-06-04 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.0 | 0.7 | -0.463 | Low | -3.33 |
| 2026-05-28 | Business Confidence | 103.3 | 102.0 | +0.508 | Low | +3.10 |
| 2026-06-26 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.6 | 5.7 | -0.250 | Low | -2.98 |
| 2026-04-29 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 6.8 | 7.5 | +0.938 | Low | +2.93 |
| 2026-04-29 | Business Confidence | 103.3 | 101.0 | +0.908 | Low | +2.84 |
| 2026-05-04 | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 57.2 | 55.5 | +0.700 | Low | +2.46 |
| 2026-06-01 | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 57.3 | 56.4 | +0.365 | Low | +2.44 |
| 2026-05-29 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.0 | 1.6 | +0.194 | Medium | +2.42 |
| 2026-04-29 | Consumer Confidence | 91.5 | 94.0 | -0.748 | Low | -2.34 |
| 2026-06-10 | Construction Output YoY | 2.3 | 6.5 | -0.276 | Low | -2.28 |
| 2026-07-08 | New Orders YoY | 1.3 | 4.6 | -0.137 | Low | -2.15 |
| 2026-04-29 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.2 | 2.4 | +0.626 | Low | +1.96 |
| 2026-05-06 | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.5 | 54.1 | -0.476 | Low | -1.75 |
| 2026-07-08 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.2 | -2.0 | +0.110 | Low | +1.74 |
| 2026-06-30 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.2 | -0.6 | +0.130 | Low | +1.71 |
| 2026-07-11 | Household Consumption YoY | 2.1 | 2.6 | -0.101 | Low | -1.71 |
| 2026-06-29 | Balance of Trade | 2.9 | -8.4 | +0.123 | Low | +1.57 |
| 2026-05-08 | Industrial Production MoM | -2.0 | 0.7 | -0.387 | Low | -1.49 |
| 2026-05-28 | Balance of Trade | -7.3 | 4.4 | -0.243 | Low | -1.48 |
| 2026-05-07 | House Price Index MoM | 0.0 | -1.0 | +0.392 | Low | +1.47 |
| 2026-05-29 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.0 | -2.6 | +0.196 | Low | +1.22 |
| 2026-04-29 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.6 | 2.1 | -0.184 | Medium | -1.15 |
| 2026-06-05 | Current Account | 93.9 | 101.0 | -0.135 | Low | -0.99 |
| 2026-04-29 | Economic Tendency Indicator | 99.0 | 98.5 | +0.278 | Low | +0.87 |
| 2026-05-26 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.7 | 4.3 | -0.147 | Low | -0.86 |
| 2026-05-26 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.1 | 0.7 | -0.126 | Low | -0.74 |
| 2026-06-10 | Household Consumption MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | +0.089 | Low | +0.73 |
| 2026-05-29 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.0 | 2.3 | -0.115 | Low | -0.72 |
| 2026-04-29 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.6 | 2.1 | -0.210 | Low | -0.66 |
| 2026-05-29 | Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.0 | 3.2 | -0.074 | Low | -0.46 |
| 2026-06-26 | Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | -0.037 | Low | -0.44 |
| 2026-05-21 | Employed Persons | 5.226 | 5.24 | -0.079 | Low | -0.41 |
| 2026-05-29 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.7 | 5.5 | -0.057 | Low | -0.36 |
| 2026-05-08 | Industrial Production YoY | 3.0 | 2.2 | +0.092 | Low | +0.35 |
| 2026-07-08 | Industrial Production YoY | 6.9 | 6.5 | +0.016 | Low | +0.25 |
| 2026-04-29 | Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.1 | 3.0 | +0.040 | Low | +0.12 |
| 2026-05-07 | Riksbank Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-05-07 | Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-05-09 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-09 | CPI MoM | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-13 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-13 | CPIF YoY | 0.8 | 0.8 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-13 | CPI MoM | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-13 | CPIF MoM | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-13 | CPI YoY | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-13 | Inflation Rate YoY | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | -0.2 | -0.2 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | CPIF MoM | 0.9 | 0.9 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | CPI YoY | 0.8 | 0.8 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | CPI MoM | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.8 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.0 | 1.0 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | CPIF YoY | 1.5 | 1.5 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | Riksbank Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | +0.000 | Medium | +0.00 |
| 2026-06-26 | Business Confidence | 103.6 | 103.6 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | CPIF MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | CPI YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | CPI YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | CPIF YoY | 1.3 | 1.3 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | CPI MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.000 | Medium | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | CPIF MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.000 | Low | -0.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | Household Lending Growth YoY | 3.2 | 3.2 | +0.000 | Low | +0.00 |