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Economic Surprises › Sweden
Sweden +10.0 ▲ vs 1w ago (+8.8)
Sweden economic data has been beating expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have generally come in above analyst estimates, suggesting the economy may be stronger than consensus forecasts.
Current Score
+10.0
1 Week Ago
+8.8
Releases (90d)
146
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with OMX 30 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
▲ Top Positive Surprises
▼ Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (146 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-05-21 Unemployment Rate 6.5 9.6 +3.939 Low +98.48
2026-05-06 CPI MoM -0.6 -0.2 +2.681 Medium +94.78
2026-05-08 Construction Output YoY 7.4 0.6 +4.711 Low +87.22
2026-05-06 CPI YoY -0.1 0.3 +2.275 Medium +80.42
2026-05-09 CPI YoY -0.2 -0.1 +1.706 Medium +64.65
2026-04-29 Gross Domestic Product QoQ -0.2 0.1 -1.605 Medium -48.27
2026-04-29 Retail Sales MoM 3.1 0.2 +2.811 Low +42.28
2026-05-06 CPIF MoM -0.6 -0.2 +2.201 Low +38.91
2026-05-06 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.2 +2.133 Low +37.70
2026-05-06 Inflation Rate YoY -0.1 0.3 +2.028 Low +35.84
2026-05-09 Inflation Rate YoY -0.2 -0.1 +1.521 Low +28.81
2026-04-29 GDP Growth Rate QoQ -0.2 0.1 -1.904 Low -28.63
2026-05-06 CPIF YoY 0.8 1.2 +1.588 Low +28.07
2026-05-08 Household Consumption YoY 4.1 1.1 +1.416 Low +26.22
2026-05-08 New Orders YoY -7.3 1.2 -1.331 Low -24.65
2026-04-22 Unemployment Rate 9.7 8.6 -1.560 Low -19.96
2026-04-07 CPIF MoM -0.6 -0.2 +2.201 Low +19.91
2026-04-07 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.2 +2.133 Low +19.29
2026-04-29 Gross Domestic Product MoM 1.9 0.3 +1.221 Low +18.36
2026-05-08 Household Consumption MoM 1.4 0.3 +0.950 Low +17.58
2026-03-13 Employed Persons 5.25 5.955 -3.338 Low -16.95
2026-04-29 Consumer Inflation Expectation 6.8 7.5 +0.967 Low +14.53
2026-04-29 Business Confidence 103.3 101.0 +0.881 Low +13.26
2026-05-04 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 57.2 55.5 +0.695 Low +11.73
2026-04-29 Consumer Confidence 91.5 94.0 -0.742 Low -11.16
2026-04-29 Retail Sales YoY 6.2 2.4 +0.618 Low +9.30
2026-04-07 CPIF YoY 1.6 2.0 +0.953 Low +8.62
2026-05-06 S&P Global Services PMI 52.5 54.1 -0.480 Low -8.48
2026-03-04 Services PMI 48.3 54.0 -1.870 Low -7.71
2026-03-25 Economic Tendency Indicator 99.9 98.0 +1.070 Low +7.17
2026-05-08 Industrial Production MoM -2.0 0.7 -0.385 Low -7.12
2026-03-04 S&P Global Services PMI 48.3 54.0 -1.712 Low -7.06
2026-03-10 Gross Domestic Product MoM -1.1 0.2 -1.488 Low -7.05
2026-05-07 House Price Index MoM 0.0 -1.0 +0.383 Low +6.94
2026-04-07 S&P Global Services PMI 55.7 53.4 +0.699 Low +6.32
2026-04-07 S&P Global Services PMI 55.7 53.4 +0.699 Low +6.32
2026-03-25 Consumer Inflation Expectation 7.3 6.7 -0.927 Low -6.21
2026-04-14 CPI YoY 0.5 0.6 +0.284 Medium +6.05
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.5 0.2 +0.802 Medium +5.90
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.5 0.2 +0.802 Medium +5.90
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.5 0.2 +0.802 Medium +5.90
2026-03-10 Construction Output YoY -2.3 1.2 -1.212 Low -5.74
2026-04-07 Inflation Rate YoY 0.6 1.0 +0.608 Low +5.50
2026-04-29 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.6 2.1 -0.178 Medium -5.37
2026-02-20 Capacity Utilization QoQ -0.6 0.1 -1.703 Low -5.32
2026-04-10 Industrial Production YoY 7.0 2.4 +0.481 Low +4.66
2026-04-01 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 56.3 54.9 +0.579 Low +4.56
2026-03-10 Household Consumption YoY 2.8 1.0 +0.935 Low +4.43
2026-03-30 Retail Sales MoM -0.6 0.3 -0.582 Low -4.37
2026-04-29 Economic Tendency Indicator 99.0 98.5 +0.280 Low +4.21
2026-04-22 Employed Persons 5.23 5.29 -0.320 Low -4.09
2026-04-10 Construction Output YoY 0.0 -1.2 +0.416 Low +4.03
2026-02-26 Economic Tendency Indicator 100.1 102.0 -1.028 Low -3.69
2026-04-24 Producer Price Index YoY 2.0 2.4 +0.259 Low +3.47
2026-03-05 CPI 0.6 0.8 +0.407 Medium +3.44
2026-04-10 New Orders YoY 1.0 -1.2 +0.345 Low +3.34
2026-04-29 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.6 2.1 -0.208 Low -3.13
2026-03-13 Unemployment Rate 8.8 8.4 -0.581 Low -2.95
2026-02-25 Producer Price Index MoM 2.4 0.5 -0.820 Low -2.88
2026-03-05 CPI MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.335 Medium +2.83
2026-04-14 Inflation Rate YoY 0.5 0.6 +0.253 Low +2.69
2026-02-20 CPI YoY 0.5 0.4 -0.427 Medium -2.67
2026-02-25 Producer Price Index YoY -2.0 -3.9 -0.757 Low -2.65
2026-02-20 CPI 0.5 0.4 -0.407 Medium -2.54
2026-02-20 CPI 0.5 0.4 -0.407 Medium -2.54
2026-02-20 CPI 0.5 0.4 -0.407 Medium -2.54
2026-03-05 CPI YoY 0.5 0.6 +0.284 Medium +2.40
2026-03-05 CPI 0.5 0.6 +0.271 Medium +2.29
2026-03-05 CPI 0.5 0.6 +0.271 Medium +2.29
2026-04-10 Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.0 0.5 -0.229 Low -2.22
2026-03-10 New Orders YoY -3.9 2.8 -0.450 Low -2.13
2026-02-27 Retail Sales YoY 4.1 1.7 +0.551 Low +2.03
2026-04-10 Household Consumption YoY 1.8 3.0 -0.208 Low -2.01
2026-03-25 Consumer Confidence 95.2 94.2 +0.296 Low +1.98
2026-02-20 CPIF MoM 0.3 0.2 -0.550 Low -1.72
2026-02-24 Industrial Inventories QoQ -5.73 -2.3 -0.501 Low -1.72
2026-05-08 Industrial Production YoY 3.0 2.2 +0.091 Low +1.69
2026-03-06 Current Account 78.1 65.0 +0.385 Low +1.66
2026-03-06 Current Account 78.1 65.0 +0.385 Low +1.66
2026-04-10 Household Consumption MoM 0.1 0.2 -0.129 Low -1.26
2026-02-20 Inflation Rate YoY 0.5 0.4 -0.380 Low -1.19
2026-02-26 Consumer Inflation Expectation 6.5 6.3 -0.329 Low -1.18
2026-03-05 CPIF MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.275 Low +1.16
2026-03-05 CPIF MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.275 Low +1.16
2026-04-24 Producer Price Index MoM 0.6 1.0 +0.086 Low +1.16
2026-03-02 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 56.1 55.4 +0.287 Low +1.13
2026-03-05 CPIF YoY 1.7 1.8 +0.265 Low +1.12
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.267 Low +1.12
2026-03-05 CPIF YoY 1.7 1.8 +0.265 Low +1.12
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate YoY 0.5 0.6 +0.253 Low +1.07
2026-03-30 Retail Sales YoY 2.4 3.6 -0.130 Low -0.98
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.1 1.8 +0.125 Medium +0.92
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.1 1.8 +0.125 Medium +0.92
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.1 1.8 +0.125 Medium +0.92
2026-03-10 Household Consumption MoM 0.7 2.5 -0.186 Low -0.88
2026-03-25 Business Confidence 102.3 102.0 +0.114 Low +0.76
2026-02-27 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.5 0.4 +0.159 Low +0.58
2026-04-10 Industrial Production MoM 5.1 3.2 +0.059 Low +0.57
2026-04-29 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.1 3.0 +0.038 Low +0.57
2026-03-10 Industrial Production YoY 1.9 3.6 -0.118 Low -0.56
2026-02-27 Retail Sales MoM 0.1 0.4 -0.145 Low -0.53
2026-03-26 Balance of Trade 1.8 7.1 -0.066 Low -0.45
2026-02-26 Consumer Confidence 96.3 95.9 +0.116 Low +0.42
2026-02-26 Business Confidence 104.7 105.0 -0.111 Low -0.40
2026-03-26 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.0 3.1 -0.037 Low -0.25
2026-02-27 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.1 2.2 -0.040 Low -0.15
2026-03-10 Industrial Production MoM -5.7 -4.3 -0.032 Low -0.15
2026-02-26 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.0 2.9 +0.039 Low +0.14
2026-02-27 Balance of Trade 6.3 4.5 +0.035 Low +0.13
2026-04-28 Balance of Trade 9.3 8.8 +0.005 Low +0.07
2026-02-20 CPIF YoY 2.0 2.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-20 Inflation Rate MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-20 CPI 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-02-20 CPI MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-05 House Price Index MoM -1.0 -1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-05 House Price Index MoM -1.0 -1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-12 Inflation Rate YoY 0.5 0.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-12 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-12 CPIF MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-12 CPIF YoY 1.7 1.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-12 CPI 0.5 0.5 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-12 CPI YoY 0.5 0.5 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-12 CPI MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-19 Interest Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-19 Riksbank Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-25 Producer Price Index MoM 0.2 0.2 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-25 Producer Price Index YoY -1.7 -1.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-02 House Price Index MoM -1.0 -1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-04-10 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-10 Inflation Rate YoY 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-10 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-10 Inflation Rate YoY 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-14 CPIF MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-14 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-14 CPIF YoY 1.6 1.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-04-14 CPI MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-07 Riksbank Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-07 Interest Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-05-09 CPI MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-09 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-13 Inflation Rate MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-13 CPIF YoY 0.8 0.8 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-13 CPI YoY -0.1 -0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-13 CPIF MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-05-13 CPI MoM -0.6 -0.6 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-05-13 Inflation Rate YoY -0.1 -0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms