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Economic Surprises Sweden
Sweden +0.8 ▬ vs 1w ago (+0.9)
Sweden economic data has been roughly in line with expectations. Over the past 90 days, releases have been close to analyst estimates with no strong directional bias.
Current Score
+0.8
1 Week Ago
+0.9
Releases (90d)
117
Top Beats
5
Top Misses
5
Surprise Index — 3 Year Weekly Trend with OMX 30 Overlay
G7 Comparison — Economic Surprise Index
Top Positive Surprises
Top Negative Surprises
All Releases — 90 Day Window (117 events)
Date Event Actual Estimate Surprise Z Impact Contribution
2026-03-13 Employed Persons 5.25 5.955 -3.286 Low -66.72
2026-02-10 Industrial Production MoM 5.1 0.1 +4.919 Low +48.80
2026-01-27 Balance of Trade 7.4 0.1 +6.320 Low +45.37
2026-03-10 Construction Output YoY -2.3 1.2 -2.371 Low -44.92
2026-02-16 Employed Persons 5.914 5.24 +3.570 Low +40.69
2026-02-10 Household Consumption MoM -3.7 0.3 -3.413 Low -33.86
2026-03-04 Services PMI 48.3 54.0 -1.870 Low -30.85
2026-03-10 Gross Domestic Product MoM -1.1 0.2 -1.482 Low -28.07
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.5 0.2 +0.902 Medium +26.52
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.5 0.2 +0.902 Medium +26.52
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.5 0.2 +0.902 Medium +26.52
2026-02-06 CPI 0.1 0.4 +1.221 Medium +22.09
2026-02-20 Capacity Utilization QoQ -0.6 0.1 -1.703 Low -21.28
2026-03-10 Household Consumption YoY 2.8 1.0 +0.935 Low +17.72
2026-02-16 Unemployment Rate 8.6 9.5 +1.263 Low +14.39
2026-02-26 Economic Tendency Indicator 100.1 102.0 -0.992 Low -14.25
2026-03-05 CPI 0.6 0.8 +0.407 Medium +13.74
2026-03-13 Unemployment Rate 8.8 8.4 -0.635 Low -12.89
2026-02-25 Producer Price Index MoM 2.4 0.5 -0.800 Low -11.22
2026-01-23 Producer Price Index YoY -2.7 -1.3 +1.635 Low +10.70
2026-02-25 Producer Price Index YoY -2.0 -3.9 -0.739 Low -10.37
2026-02-20 CPI 0.5 0.4 -0.407 Medium -10.18
2026-02-20 CPI 0.5 0.4 -0.407 Medium -10.18
2026-02-20 CPI 0.5 0.4 -0.407 Medium -10.18
2026-02-06 CPI 0.4 0.6 +0.543 Medium +9.82
2026-03-05 CPI 0.5 0.6 +0.271 Medium +9.16
2026-03-05 CPI 0.5 0.6 +0.271 Medium +9.16
2026-01-23 Producer Price Index MoM -1.1 0.2 +1.368 Low +8.96
2026-03-10 New Orders YoY -3.9 2.8 -0.452 Low -8.57
2026-02-27 Retail Sales YoY 4.1 1.7 +0.546 Low +8.02
2026-02-06 Inflation Rate MoM 0.1 0.4 +0.807 Low +7.30
2026-02-20 CPIF MoM 0.3 0.2 -0.566 Low -7.08
2026-02-02 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 56.0 54.0 +0.834 Low +6.88
2026-02-24 Industrial Inventories QoQ -5.73 -2.3 -0.501 Low -6.87
2026-03-06 Current Account 78.1 65.0 +0.385 Low +6.66
2026-03-06 Current Account 78.1 65.0 +0.385 Low +6.66
2026-01-29 Gross Domestic Product QoQ 0.2 0.6 -0.401 Medium -6.03
2026-01-29 Gross Domestic Product MoM -0.6 0.3 -0.684 Low -5.14
2026-01-30 Retail Sales MoM -0.7 0.3 -0.666 Low -5.13
2026-01-08 Inflation Rate MoM 0.0 0.2 +1.075 Low +4.98
2026-03-05 CPIF MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.283 Low +4.78
2026-03-05 CPIF MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.283 Low +4.78
2026-02-20 Inflation Rate YoY 0.5 0.4 -0.379 Low -4.74
2026-02-26 Consumer Inflation Expectation 6.5 6.3 -0.330 Low -4.73
2026-02-06 Inflation Rate YoY 0.4 0.6 +0.505 Low +4.57
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.8 +0.269 Low +4.54
2026-03-02 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 56.1 55.4 +0.284 Low +4.48
2026-03-05 CPIF YoY 1.7 1.8 +0.265 Low +4.47
2026-03-05 CPIF YoY 1.7 1.8 +0.265 Low +4.47
2026-02-10 Household Consumption YoY 0.5 2.9 -0.430 Low -4.27
2026-03-05 Inflation Rate YoY 0.5 0.6 +0.253 Low +4.26
2026-01-16 House Price Index MoM -1.0 1.0 -0.735 Low -4.09
2026-01-09 Gross Domestic Product MoM 0.9 0.2 +0.798 Low +3.78
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.1 1.8 +0.120 Medium +3.53
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.1 1.8 +0.120 Medium +3.53
2026-02-27 Gross Domestic Product YoY 2.1 1.8 +0.120 Medium +3.53
2026-03-10 Household Consumption MoM 0.7 2.5 -0.184 Low -3.49
2026-01-29 Consumer Inflation Expectation 6.5 6.8 +0.458 Low +3.44
2026-02-06 CPIF MoM 0.2 0.3 +0.378 Low +3.42
2026-02-04 Services PMI 54.3 55.5 -0.383 Low -3.31
2026-01-23 Unemployment Rate 8.3 8.6 +0.465 Low +3.04
2026-01-08 Inflation Rate YoY 0.3 0.5 +0.606 Low +2.81
2026-02-10 Construction Output YoY 1.6 1.2 +0.271 Low +2.69
2026-01-09 Construction Output YoY 1.0 3.0 -0.542 Low -2.57
2026-02-27 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.5 0.4 +0.162 Low +2.38
2026-02-27 Retail Sales MoM 0.1 0.4 -0.150 Low -2.20
2026-03-10 Industrial Production YoY 1.9 3.6 -0.116 Low -2.20
2026-01-30 Retail Sales YoY 1.5 5.1 -0.273 Low -2.10
2026-02-06 CPIF YoY 2.0 2.1 +0.227 Low +2.05
2026-01-29 Gross Domestic Product YoY 1.8 2.2 -0.131 Medium -1.97
2026-01-07 Services PMI 56.7 58.0 -0.397 Low -1.80
2026-02-26 Consumer Confidence 96.3 95.9 +0.116 Low +1.66
2026-01-29 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 0.2 0.3 -0.216 Low -1.63
2026-01-29 Business Confidence 106.4 107.0 -0.211 Low -1.59
2026-01-29 Economic Tendency Indicator 103.0 103.4 -0.206 Low -1.55
2026-02-26 Business Confidence 104.7 105.0 -0.108 Low -1.55
2025-12-29 Balance of Trade 11.6 2.0 +0.416 Low +1.53
2026-01-09 New Orders YoY 23.0 9.1 +0.289 Low +1.37
2026-02-10 New Orders YoY 6.8 15.1 -0.104 Low -1.03
2026-01-09 Household Consumption YoY 3.5 2.5 +0.208 Low +0.98
2026-01-29 GDP Growth Rate YoY 1.8 2.1 -0.124 Low -0.93
2025-12-23 Producer Price Index YoY -1.4 -1.7 -0.268 Low -0.86
2026-03-10 Industrial Production MoM -5.7 -4.3 -0.032 Low -0.61
2026-02-27 GDP Growth Rate YoY 2.1 2.2 -0.039 Low -0.58
2026-02-26 Household Lending Growth YoY 3.0 2.9 +0.038 Low +0.55
2026-01-09 Household Consumption MoM 1.0 0.7 +0.110 Low +0.52
2026-02-27 Balance of Trade 6.3 4.5 +0.035 Low +0.51
2026-01-02 Swedbank Manufacturing PMI 55.3 55.0 +0.123 Low +0.49
2026-01-09 Industrial Production MoM -0.1 4.5 -0.101 Low -0.48
2026-01-29 Consumer Confidence 95.3 95.5 -0.058 Low -0.44
2026-01-09 Industrial Production YoY 4.2 6.0 -0.074 Low -0.35
2026-01-29 Household Lending Growth YoY 2.9 2.8 +0.039 Low +0.30
2025-12-30 Household Lending Growth YoY 2.8 3.0 -0.074 Low -0.28
2025-12-23 Producer Price Index MoM 1.2 0.9 -0.070 Low -0.22
2026-02-10 Industrial Production YoY 4.2 4.0 +0.012 Low +0.12
2026-01-23 Employed Persons 5.252 5.25 +0.011 Low +0.07
2026-01-08 CPIF MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-08 CPIF YoY 2.1 2.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-15 Inflation Rate YoY 0.3 0.3 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-15 CPIF YoY 2.1 2.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-15 CPIF MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-01-29 Riksbank Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-01-29 Interest Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-02-05 House Price Index MoM -1.0 -1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-05 House Price Index MoM -1.0 -1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-02-20 CPI 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-02-20 CPIF YoY 2.0 2.0 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-02-20 Inflation Rate MoM 0.1 0.1 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-05 House Price Index MoM -1.0 -1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-05 House Price Index MoM -1.0 -1.0 +0.000 Low +0.00
2026-03-12 CPIF YoY 1.7 1.7 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-12 CPIF MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-12 CPI 0.5 0.5 -0.000 Medium -0.00
2026-03-12 Inflation Rate MoM 0.6 0.6 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-12 Inflation Rate YoY 0.5 0.5 -0.000 Low -0.00
2026-03-19 Interest Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00
2026-03-19 Riksbank Rate Decision 1.75 1.75 +0.000 Medium +0.00

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms