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Market Weather

Breadth, seasonality & regime — updated 2026-03-20

Market Regime

Risk-Off

Dow Theory: CONFIRMED BEARISH

VIX

26.8

High

SPY TSI

-16.7

Bearish

QQQ TSI

-9.3

Lean Bear

DIA TSI

-26.6

Bearish

IWM TSI

-18.6

Bearish

Sector Strength

39%

Avg bullish

Stock Weather Movers

Most Improved

Symbol	Name	Score	Change
FNBGX	Fidelity Long-Term Treasury Bond Index Fund	-35	+4.5
SGTTX	Columbia Seligman Global Technology Fund Institutional 2 Class	-25	+4.5
CSGZX	Columbia Seligman Global Technology Fund Institutional Class	-25	+4.5
SGTRX	Columbia Seligman Global Technology Fund Class R	-25	+4.5
SHTCX	Columbia Seligman Global Technology Fund Class C	-25	+4.5
FNDSX	Fidelity Sustainability Bond Index Fund	-35	+4.5
ARMZX	Western Asset Ultra-Short Income Fund Class A	-21	+4.5
ANSCU	Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation Unit	-6	+9.0
FERAU	Fifth Era Acquisition Corp I Units	-43	+4.5
ATIIU	Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners II Co. Unit	+16	+9.0

Most Deteriorated

Symbol	Name	Score	Change
VWSTX	Vanguard Ultra-Short-Term Tax-Exempt Fund Investor Shares	-27	-4.5
ABHFX	American Fds, American Income Municipal Bond Fund Class F-1 Shs	-30	-4.5
BFIFX	American Funds Inflation Linked Bond Fund - Class F-1	-37	-4.5
GLFOX	Lazard Global Listed Infrastructure Portfolio Open Shares	-28	-4.5
GLIFX	Lazard Global Listed Infrastructure Portfolio Institutional Shares	-28	-4.5
FIPDX	Fidelity Inflation-Protected Bond Index Fund	-30	-4.5
DFGEX	DFA Global Real Estate Securities Port	-39	-4.5
JAGCX	Janus Henderson Global Technology and Innovation Fund Class C	-39	-4.5
RPSIX	T. Rowe Price Spectrum Income Fund	-41	-4.5
WAPSX	Western Asset Core Plus Bond Fund Class IS	-42	-4.5

ETF Weather Movers

Most Deteriorated

Symbol	Name	Score	Change
FUNL	CornerCap Fundametrics Large-Cap ETF FUNL	+3	-4.5
RIGS	RiverFront Strategic Income Fund	+6	-4.5

Presidential Cycle Seasonality

2026 — 2nd Term Year 2 (Donald Trump, R) · 20-year average vs cycle pattern vs current year

SPY

YTD: -5.1%

QQQ

YTD: -5.2%

DIA

YTD: -5.6%

IWM

YTD: -2.6%

Index & Sector Breadth

% of holdings with bullish TSI (trend strength) — higher = broader participation

SPY S&P 500

BEARISH

33%

Above SMA50: 21% Above SMA200: 45% Avg TSI: -6.8

QQQ Nasdaq 100

BEARISH

34%

Above SMA50: 18% Above SMA200: 40% Avg TSI: -5.4

DIA Dow Jones

BEARISH

30%

Above SMA50: 13% Above SMA200: 47% Avg TSI: -6.9

IWM Russell 2000

BEARISH

30%

Above SMA50: 22% Above SMA200: 43% Avg TSI: -9.1

IYT Transports

BEARISH

Above SMA50: 12% Above SMA200: 56% Avg TSI: -18.1

XLB Materials

BEARISH

27%

Above SMA50: 23% Above SMA200: 54% Avg TSI: -7.4

XLC Communication

BEARISH

30%

Above SMA50: 17% Above SMA200: 26% Avg TSI: -3.1

XLE Energy

BULLISH

91%

Above SMA50: 95% Above SMA200: 95% Avg TSI: +26.4

XLF Financials

BEARISH

12%

Above SMA50: 7% Above SMA200: 32% Avg TSI: -16.7

XLI Industrials

BEARISH

28%

Above SMA50: 14% Above SMA200: 52% Avg TSI: -9.7

XLK Technology

BEARISH

31%

Above SMA50: 28% Above SMA200: 35% Avg TSI: -6.4

XLP Consumer Staples

LEAN BEARISH

36%

Above SMA50: 14% Above SMA200: 44% Avg TSI: -8.1

XLRE Real Estate

LEAN BEARISH

42%

Above SMA50: 19% Above SMA200: 39% Avg TSI: -2.8

XLU Utilities

BULLISH

90%

Above SMA50: 68% Above SMA200: 84% Avg TSI: +21.4

XLV Healthcare

BEARISH

23%

Above SMA50: 10% Above SMA200: 38% Avg TSI: -13.9

XLY Consumer Disc.

BEARISH

21%

Above SMA50: 4% Above SMA200: 33% Avg TSI: -14.5

Stock Weather Distribution

☀️ Sunny: 14

⛅ Partly Cloudy: 745

☁️ Cloudy: 1860

🌧️ Rainy: 4525

⛈️ Stormy: 4861

Sector Weather

Sector	Score	Stocks	Sunny	Cloudy	Stormy
Energy	+7.2	262	6	83	16
Utilities	-3.6	142	0	58	10
Communication Services	-16.5	201	0	71	40
Healthcare	-18.4	749	0	198	212
Technology	-19.2	618	0	207	136
Consumer Defensive	-22.9	177	0	47	59
Real Estate	-24.6	426	0	112	129
Basic Materials	-26.8	246	0	35	91
Industrials	-29.8	570	0	119	260
Financial Services	-32.9	8167	8	859	3664
Consumer Cyclical	-33.6	441	0	70	244

Market Weather

Stock Weather Movers

ETF Weather Movers

Presidential Cycle Seasonality

Index & Sector Breadth

Stock Weather Distribution

Sector Weather

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