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Commodities & Futures — Inter-Market Analysis

Live quotes (15-min) · 5-year history · Updated 00:21 UTC

Inter-Market Ratios

Gold/Silver 66.11

9.6th percentile (3yr) EXTREME LOW

Safe-haven premium vs industrial. >80 = silver cheap, <65 = silver rich

50MA: 59.72 · 200MA: 73.51 · Z-score: -0.8

Copper/Gold 0.0012

4.5th percentile (3yr) EXTREME LOW

Economic optimism gauge. Rising = growth, falling = fear

50MA: 0.00 · 200MA: 0.00 · Z-score: -0.97

Oil/Gold 0.0217

33.5th percentile (3yr) NORMAL

Energy vs safe-haven. Falling = deflationary signal

50MA: 0.01 · 200MA: 0.02 · Z-score: 1.88

Gold/SPY 0.64

94.5th percentile (3yr) EXTREME HIGH

Real assets vs equities. Rising = loss of equity confidence

50MA: 0.67 · 200MA: 0.57 · Z-score: 1.21

Bonds/Equities 0.13

12.1th percentile (3yr) DEPRESSED

Risk appetite. Rising TLT/SPY = risk-off rotation

50MA: 0.13 · 200MA: 0.13 · Z-score: -0.45

Credit Spread 0.92

91.5th percentile (3yr) EXTREME HIGH

High-yield vs Treasuries. Falling = credit stress

50MA: 0.91 · 200MA: 0.91 · Z-score: 0.75

Commodity/Dollar 0.29

99.9th percentile (3yr) EXTREME HIGH

Broad commodities vs USD. Inverse = dollar headwind

50MA: 0.26 · 200MA: 0.24 · Z-score: 3.59

COT Convergence Signals

Energy Complex Conviction 2/3 confirming · 67% strength

WTI Crude Oil ↑63.0% Brent Crude ↑62.3%

Specs net long 2/3 energy markets — supply/demand tightness

Grain Belt Conviction 3/3 confirming · 100% strength

Corn ↑94.2% Soybeans ↑96.1% Wheat SRW ↑87.7%

Specs net long 3/3 grain markets — agricultural inflation signal

Dollar & Rate Impact

Dollar Index: 99.36 ↑ Strengthening (20d vs 50d MA)

Dollar strengthening is a headwind for most commodity prices

Symbol	Name	USD Corr	10Y Corr	Sensitivity	Implication
GCUSD	Gold	-0.10	+0.44	Low	No meaningful USD link for Gold
SIUSD	Silver	-0.28	+0.54	Low	Moderate USD correlation (-0.28)
CLUSD	WTI Crude	+0.50	-0.47	Positive	Moderate USD correlation (+0.50)
NGUSD	Natural Gas	+0.37	-0.46	Positive	Moderate USD correlation (+0.37)
HGUSD	Copper	-0.53	+0.67	High Inverse	USD strengthening is a headwind for Copper
ZCUSX	Corn	+0.34	-0.29	Positive	Moderate USD correlation (+0.34)
ZSUSX	Soybeans	+0.38	-0.46	Positive	Moderate USD correlation (+0.38)
KEUSX	Wheat	+0.30	-0.08	Positive	Moderate USD correlation (+0.30)
CCUSD	Cocoa	-0.42	+0.06	Moderate Inverse	USD strengthening is a headwind for Cocoa
KCUSX	Coffee	-0.37	-0.23	Moderate Inverse	USD strengthening is a headwind for Coffee
SBUSX	Sugar	-0.14	-0.20	Low	No meaningful USD link for Sugar
CTUSX	Cotton	-0.12	+0.33	Low	No meaningful USD link for Cotton
BZUSD	Brent Crude	+0.53	-0.50	Positive	Moderate USD correlation (+0.53)
PLUSD	Platinum	-0.46	+0.41	Moderate Inverse	USD strengthening is a headwind for Platinum
PAUSD	Palladium	-0.46	+0.50	Moderate Inverse	USD strengthening is a headwind for Palladium

Commodity Grid

Energy COT 52.4% +2.91% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	COT%	$Corr
CLUSD	WTI Crude	98.23	+2.80%	63%	+0.50
BZUSD	Brent Crude	112.89	+3.90%	—	+0.53
NGUSD	Natural Gas	3.0950	-2.24%	3%	+0.37
HOUSD	Heating Oil	4.2965	+4.88%	51%	—
RBUSD	RBOB Gasoline	3.2593	+5.21%	91%	—

Precious COT 44.1% -2.37% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	COT%	$Corr
GCUSD	Gold	4,575	-0.67%	12%	-0.10
SIUSD	Silver	67.81	-4.78%	15%	-0.28
PLUSD	Platinum	1,920	-1.21%	57%	-0.46
PAUSD	Palladium	1,414	-2.80%	91%	-0.46

Base Metals COT 81.2% -1.36% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	30d	COT%	$Corr
HGUSD	Copper	5.3745	-1.73%		81%	-0.53
ALIUSD	Aluminum	3,127	-0.99%		—	—

Grains COT 95.2% -1.21% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	COT%	$Corr
ZCUSX	Corn	465.50	-0.90%	94%	+0.34
ZSUSX	Soybeans	1,161	-0.62%	96%	+0.38
KEUSX	Wheat	606.25	-3.35%	100%	+0.30
ZMUSD	Soybean Meal	328.00	-1.35%	85%	—
ZLUSX	Soybean Oil	65.53	+0.18%	100%	—

Softs COT 26.1% -0.3% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	COT%	$Corr
CCUSD	Cocoa	3,255	-2.28%	1%	-0.42
KCUSX	Coffee	309.75	+2.94%	16%	-0.37
SBUSX	Sugar	15.70	+2.15%	3%	-0.14
CTUSX	Cotton	67.31	-1.29%	78%	-0.12
OJUSX	Orange Juice	161.50	-3.32%	29%	—
LBUSD	Lumber	609.50	+0.00%	—	—

Livestock COT 52.2% +0.15% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	COT%	$Corr
LEUSX	Live Cattle	230.82	-0.38%	37%	—
GFUSX	Feeder Cattle	351.40	+1.05%	49%	—
HEUSX	Lean Hogs	104.53	-0.21%	70%	—

Indices COT 32.3% -1.68% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	COT%	$Corr
ESUSD	S&P 500	6,559	-1.52%	40%	—
NQUSD	Nasdaq 100	24,102	-1.95%	16%	—
YMUSD	Dow Jones	45,893	-0.97%	39%	—
RTYUSD	Russell 2000	2,455	-2.27%	—	—

Rates COT 55.1% -0.73% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	COT%	$Corr
ZBUSD	30Y Bond	112.41	-1.72%	93%	—
ZNUSD	10Y Note	110.50	-0.65%	84%	—
ZFUSD	5Y Note	107.80	-0.39%	41%	—
ZTUSD	2Y Note	103.54	-0.15%	0%	—

Crypto COT 21.8% 0.00% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	30d	COT%	$Corr
BTCUSD	Bitcoin	0.0000	+0.00%		22%	—
ETHUSD	Ethereum	0.0000	+0.00%		20%	—

Dollar COT 55.8% +0.43% avg

Symbol	Name	Price	Chg%	30d	COT%	$Corr
DXUSD	Dollar Index	99.46	+0.43%		55%	—

Performance Leaderboard

Top 5 Gainers

1 Coffee +2.94%

2 Brent Crude +3.90%

3 Feeder Cattle +1.05%

4 WTI Crude +2.80%

5 Dollar Index +0.43%

Top 5 Losers

5 Russell 2000 -2.27%

Commodities & Futures — Inter-Market Analysis

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