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Commodities & Futures — Inter-Market Analysis

Live quotes (15-min) · 5-year history · Updated 23:16 UTC

🔥 Reflation Confidence: 60%
Commodity/Dollar ratio rising Oil/Gold ratio rising Bonds/Equities falling
Performance Leaderboard
Inter-Market Ratios
Gold/Silver 67.62
22.2th percentile (3yr) DEPRESSED
Safe-haven premium vs industrial. >80 = silver cheap, <65 = silver rich
50MA: 68.56 · 200MA: 62.76 · Z-score: 0.53
Copper/Gold 0.0015
40.7th percentile (3yr) NORMAL
Economic optimism gauge. Rising = growth, falling = fear
50MA: 0.00 · 200MA: 0.00 · Z-score: 1.16
Oil/Gold 0.0228
51.2th percentile (3yr) NORMAL
Energy vs safe-haven. Falling = deflationary signal
50MA: 0.02 · 200MA: 0.02 · Z-score: 1.52
Gold/SPY 0.52
68.2th percentile (3yr) NORMAL
Real assets vs equities. Rising = loss of equity confidence
50MA: 0.52 · 200MA: 0.59 · Z-score: -0.92
Bonds/Equities 0.11
0.3th percentile (3yr) EXTREME LOW
Risk appetite. Rising TLT/SPY = risk-off rotation
50MA: 0.11 · 200MA: 0.12 · Z-score: -1.85
Credit Spread 0.97
99.6th percentile (3yr) EXTREME HIGH
High-yield vs Treasuries. Falling = credit stress
50MA: 0.96 · 200MA: 0.93 · Z-score: 2.08
Commodity/Dollar 0.34
99.9th percentile (3yr) EXTREME HIGH
Broad commodities vs USD. Inverse = dollar headwind
50MA: 0.30 · 200MA: 0.28 · Z-score: 2.06
COT Convergence Signals
Grain Belt Conviction 3/3 confirming · 100% strength
Specs net long 3/3 grain markets — agricultural inflation signal
Dollar & Rate Impact
Dollar Index: 98.86 ↓ Weakening (20d vs 50d MA)
Dollar weakening is a tailwind for most commodity prices
SymbolNameUSD Corr10Y CorrSensitivityImplication
GCUSD Gold -0.70 +0.39 High Inverse USD weakening is a tailwind for Gold
SIUSD Silver -0.53 +0.28 High Inverse USD weakening is a tailwind for Silver
CLUSD WTI Crude +0.18 -0.56 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.18)
NGUSD Natural Gas -0.02 +0.23 Low No meaningful USD link for Natural Gas
HGUSD Copper -0.20 +0.21 Low Moderate USD correlation (-0.20)
ZCUSX Corn +0.30 -0.42 Positive Moderate USD correlation (+0.30)
ZSUSX Soybeans +0.15 -0.13 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.15)
KEUSX Wheat +0.28 -0.25 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.28)
CCUSD Cocoa +0.28 -0.47 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.28)
KCUSX Coffee +0.30 +0.02 Positive Moderate USD correlation (+0.30)
SBUSX Sugar +0.16 -0.10 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.16)
CTUSX Cotton -0.03 -0.11 Low No meaningful USD link for Cotton
BZUSD Brent Crude +0.20 -0.60 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.20)
PLUSD Platinum -0.48 +0.23 Moderate Inverse USD weakening is a tailwind for Platinum
PAUSD Palladium -0.24 +0.09 Low Moderate USD correlation (-0.24)
Commodity Grid
Energy COT 39.1% -1.91% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
CLUSD WTI Crude 100.05 -2.37%
24%
+0.18
BZUSD Brent Crude 104.61 -2.81% +0.20
NGUSD Natural Gas 2.8200 -0.49%
0%
-0.02
HOUSD Heating Oil 4.7792 -1.38%
53%
RBUSD RBOB Gasoline 3.1266 -2.49%
79%
Precious COT 50.3% +0.63% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
GCUSD Gold 4,409 +0.04%
61%
-0.70
SIUSD Silver 65.19 +0.40%
31%
-0.53
PLUSD Platinum 1,798 -0.19%
42%
-0.48
PAUSD Palladium 1,324 +2.26%
66%
-0.24
Base Metals COT 99.4% -1.07% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
HGUSD Copper 6.5480 +0.01%
99%
-0.20
ALIUSD Aluminum 3,406 -2.15%
Grains COT 97.2% -1.41% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
ZCUSX Corn 530.25 -0.66%
100%
+0.30
ZSUSX Soybeans 1,296 -2.68%
99%
+0.15
KEUSX Wheat 798.50 -2.47%
92%
+0.28
ZMUSD Soybean Meal 352.80 -1.15%
100%
ZLUSX Soybean Oil 69.61 -0.10%
93%
Softs COT 48.7% -0.39% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
CCUSD Cocoa 5,961 -0.02%
24%
+0.28
KCUSX Coffee 285.70 -0.85%
17%
+0.30
SBUSX Sugar 19.15 +0.10%
91%
+0.16
CTUSX Cotton 87.37 -0.96%
100%
-0.03
OJUSX Orange Juice 145.25 +1.04%
10%
LBUSD Lumber 569.00 -1.64%
Livestock COT 6.7% +0.14% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
LEUSX Live Cattle 219.68 +0.85%
1%
GFUSX Feeder Cattle 332.50 +1.51%
16%
HEUSX Lean Hogs 81.53 -1.95%
1%
Indices COT 56.1% +0.74% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
ESUSD S&P 500 7,660 +0.80%
0%
NQUSD Nasdaq 100 29,387 +0.86%
77%
YMUSD Dow Jones 52,585 +0.94%
90%
RTYUSD Russell 2000 2,904 +0.38%
Rates COT 46.6% -0.16% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
ZBUSD 30Y Bond 106.75 +0.00%
3%
ZNUSD 10Y Note 106.11 -0.24%
13%
ZFUSD 5Y Note 104.51 -0.25%
69%
ZTUSD 2Y Note 102.07 -0.16%
99%
Crypto COT 63.0% 0.00% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
BTCUSD Bitcoin 0.0000 +0.00%
63%
ETHUSD Ethereum 0.0000 +0.00%
62%
Dollar COT 83.8% +0.06% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
DXUSD Dollar Index 98.84 +0.06%
83%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms