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Commodities & Futures — Inter-Market Analysis

Live quotes (15-min) · 5-year history · Updated 00:02 UTC

🔥 Reflation Confidence: 80%
Commodity/Dollar ratio rising Oil/Gold ratio rising Bonds/Equities falling Copper/Gold rising
Inter-Market Ratios
Gold/Silver 60.55
7.1th percentile (3yr) EXTREME LOW
Safe-haven premium vs industrial. >80 = silver cheap, <65 = silver rich
50MA: 61.48 · 200MA: 66.83 · Z-score: -0.83
Copper/Gold 0.0014
29.0th percentile (3yr) NORMAL
Economic optimism gauge. Rising = growth, falling = fear
50MA: 0.00 · 200MA: 0.00 · Z-score: 0.89
Oil/Gold 0.0232
41.8th percentile (3yr) NORMAL
Energy vs safe-haven. Falling = deflationary signal
50MA: 0.02 · 200MA: 0.02 · Z-score: 1.94
Gold/SPY 0.56
80.4th percentile (3yr) ELEVATED
Real assets vs equities. Rising = loss of equity confidence
50MA: 0.63 · 200MA: 0.59 · Z-score: -0.17
Bonds/Equities 0.11
0.1th percentile (3yr) EXTREME LOW
Risk appetite. Rising TLT/SPY = risk-off rotation
50MA: 0.12 · 200MA: 0.13 · Z-score: -2.93
Credit Spread 0.96
100.0th percentile (3yr) EXTREME HIGH
High-yield vs Treasuries. Falling = credit stress
50MA: 0.93 · 200MA: 0.91 · Z-score: 2.88
Commodity/Dollar 0.32
99.6th percentile (3yr) EXTREME HIGH
Broad commodities vs USD. Inverse = dollar headwind
50MA: 0.30 · 200MA: 0.25 · Z-score: 2.51
COT Convergence Signals
Grain Belt Conviction 3/3 confirming · 100% strength
Specs net long 3/3 grain markets — agricultural inflation signal
Dollar & Rate Impact
Dollar Index: 99.27 — Neutral (20d vs 50d MA)
SymbolNameUSD Corr10Y CorrSensitivityImplication
GCUSD Gold -0.76 +0.82 High Inverse Moderate USD correlation (-0.76)
SIUSD Silver -0.58 +0.62 High Inverse Moderate USD correlation (-0.58)
CLUSD WTI Crude +0.50 -0.63 Positive Moderate USD correlation (+0.50)
NGUSD Natural Gas -0.16 -0.16 Low Moderate USD correlation (-0.16)
HGUSD Copper -0.51 +0.73 High Inverse Moderate USD correlation (-0.51)
ZCUSX Corn -0.21 +0.02 Low Moderate USD correlation (-0.21)
ZSUSX Soybeans -0.03 -0.12 Low No meaningful USD link for Soybeans
KEUSX Wheat +0.19 -0.10 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.19)
CCUSD Cocoa -0.20 -0.02 Low Moderate USD correlation (-0.20)
KCUSX Coffee +0.13 +0.08 Low No meaningful USD link for Coffee
SBUSX Sugar +0.26 -0.22 Low Moderate USD correlation (+0.26)
CTUSX Cotton -0.65 +0.53 High Inverse Moderate USD correlation (-0.65)
BZUSD Brent Crude +0.43 -0.62 Positive Moderate USD correlation (+0.43)
PLUSD Platinum -0.75 +0.63 High Inverse Moderate USD correlation (-0.75)
PAUSD Palladium -0.63 +0.45 High Inverse Moderate USD correlation (-0.63)
Commodity Grid
Energy COT 28.7% -0.39% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
CLUSD WTI Crude 103.84 -0.30%
35%
+0.50
BZUSD Brent Crude 110.82 -0.41% +0.43
NGUSD Natural Gas 3.1050 -0.29%
5%
-0.16
HOUSD Heating Oil 4.0466 -0.24%
19%
RBUSD RBOB Gasoline 3.5489 -0.71%
53%
Precious COT 54.4% -0.9% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
GCUSD Gold 4,462 -1.10%
30%
-0.76
SIUSD Silver 73.90 -1.68%
28%
-0.58
PLUSD Platinum 1,923 -1.13%
77%
-0.75
PAUSD Palladium 1,368 +0.32%
80%
-0.63
Base Metals COT 100.0% -0.31% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
HGUSD Copper 6.1720 -0.56%
100%
-0.51
ALIUSD Aluminum 3,544 -0.05%
Grains COT 97.4% -0.56% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
ZCUSX Corn 472.50 -0.58%
95%
-0.21
ZSUSX Soybeans 1,203 -0.56%
95%
-0.03
KEUSX Wheat 697.25 -0.92%
98%
+0.19
ZMUSD Soybean Meal 330.10 -0.66%
99%
ZLUSX Soybean Oil 75.37 -0.09%
98%
Softs COT 38.6% -0.78% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
CCUSD Cocoa 3,907 +3.06%
10%
-0.20
KCUSX Coffee 270.15 +0.00%
16%
+0.13
SBUSX Sugar 15.01 +0.00%
19%
+0.26
CTUSX Cotton 81.06 -6.09%
100%
-0.65
OJUSX Orange Juice 157.50 -1.75%
46%
LBUSD Lumber 595.50 +0.08%
Livestock COT 43.1% -0.19% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
LEUSX Live Cattle 247.18 -0.03%
58%
GFUSX Feeder Cattle 363.85 +0.05%
39%
HEUSX Lean Hogs 102.15 -0.58%
31%
Indices COT 36.3% -0.21% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
ESUSD S&P 500 7,365 -0.18%
68%
NQUSD Nasdaq 100 28,889 -0.12%
8%
YMUSD Dow Jones 49,346 -0.23%
31%
RTYUSD Russell 2000 2,745 -0.30%
Rates COT 31.6% +0.01% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
ZBUSD 30Y Bond 109.75 -0.06%
8%
ZNUSD 10Y Note 108.73 +0.03%
43%
ZFUSD 5Y Note 106.56 +0.03%
70%
ZTUSD 2Y Note 103.14 +0.02%
4%
Crypto COT 34.5% 0.00% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
BTCUSD Bitcoin 0.0000 +0.00%
32%
ETHUSD Ethereum 0.0000 +0.00%
36%
Dollar COT 55.2% +0.01% avg
SymbolNamePrice Chg%30d COT%$Corr
DXUSD Dollar Index 99.26 +0.01%
55%
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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms