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ACRE NYSE

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
1W: +3.6% 1M: -8.3% 3M: -4.1% YTD: +3.4% 1Y: +8.9% 3Y: -18.2% 5Y: -41.6%
$4.78
-0.10 (-2.05%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$4 $4 $5 $5 $5
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 37 · $265.2M mcap · 54M float · 0.771% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
33.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 2.2%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.5%
Cost Advantage
38
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
45
Network Effect
24
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ACRE has No discernible competitive edge (33.7/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 2.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$5
Avg Target
$5
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 5Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$5.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-12 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti $7 $5 -2 -10.2% $5.57
2025-04-16 UBS Doug Harter Initiated $4 +7.1% $3.50
2024-09-20 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti Initiated $7 -10.4% $7.81
2022-04-25 J.P. Morgan Initiated $16 +2.7% $15.58

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ACRE receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-02-18 C C+
2026-02-12 C+ C
2026-02-11 C- C+
2026-02-10 C+ C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

21 Grade D
Profitability
37
Balance Sheet
20
Earnings Quality
55
Growth
52
Value
41
Momentum
50
Safety
0
Cash Flow
20
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ACRE scores highest in Earnings Quality (55/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.59
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Beneish M-Score
12.57
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.64
Bankruptcy prob: 2.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 9.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 2.18x
Accruals: 1.4%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ACRE scores -0.59, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ACRE scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ACRE's score of 12.57 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ACRE's implied 2.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ACRE receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 9.9/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-13.32x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
3.33x
P/B
0.54x
P/FCF
-6.04x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
26.25x
EV/Revenue
18.68x
EV/EBIT
30.74x
EV/FCF
-29.21x
Earnings Yield
-7.48%
FCF Yield
-16.55%
Shareholder Yield
12.63%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. ACRE currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.682
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.697
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.607
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.041
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.210
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-3.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ACRE's ROE of -3.8% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.21x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$4.79
Median 1Y
$3.95
5th Pctile
$1.66
95th Pctile
$9.44
Ann. Volatility
53.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Bryan P. Donohoe
Chief Executive Officer
$— $263,340 $263,340
Jeffrey M. Gonzales
Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
$145,432 $— $257,839
Anton S. Feingold
General Counsel, Vice President and Secretary
$85,597 $— $140,216

CEO Pay Ratio

114:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $263,340
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $2,305
Employees: 4,250

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
4,250
+32.8% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$20,082
Rev: $85,349,000
Profit / Employee
$-212
NI: $-902,000
SGA / Employee
$2,305
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 13.9% 12.8% 10.5% 10.6% 9.3% 7.6% 4.2% 1.0% -0.7% 0.5% -5.7% -6.5% -7.1% -9.3% -6.0% -2.3% -3.1% -1.3% -0.2% -3.8% -3.78%
ROA 3.4% 3.1% 2.7% 2.7% 2.3% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3% -0.2% 0.1% -1.6% -1.9% -2.0% -2.7% -1.7% -0.7% -0.9% -0.4% -0.1% -1.2% -1.18%
ROIC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.16%
ROCE -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.3% -0.4% -0.0% 1.5% 4.3% 5.6% 5.59%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.6% 1.0% 69.7% 76.5% 76.54%
Operating Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -1.2% 1.2% 32.3% 28.3% 28.33%
Net Margin 74.9% 36.6% 57.0% 61.8% 39.9% 2.4% 9.6% -30.8% -8.8% 48.3% -2.4% 47.3% -14.9% -54.0% 21.8% 62.5% 2.5% 28.6% -13.2% -35.0% -34.95%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -1.7% 1.3% 39.0% 31.7% 31.65%
FCF Margin 42.3% 42.1% 47.3% 51.0% 53.1% 55.2% 52.4% 50.3% 49.4% 54.4% 57.5% 1.4% 4.4% 21.2% -2.3% 1.2% 1.4% 88.6% 36.8% -63.9% -63.93%
OCF Margin 42.3% 42.2% 47.4% 51.0% 53.1% 55.3% 52.4% 50.3% 49.4% 54.4% 57.5% 1.4% 4.4% 21.2% -2.3% 1.2% 1.4% 90.1% 38.0% -62.9% -62.94%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.50%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -0.72%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.32%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.07%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.12%
Cash ROA snapshot only -2.67%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -2.83%
CROIC snapshot only -2.88%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 47.99%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -42.37%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 18.39%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 2.85%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 5.59 7.29 6.89 7.52 7.45 8.56 12.92 49.20 -79.55 114.60 -11.29 -7.33 -6.25 -5.20 -8.33 -18.18 -13.90 -32.66 -291.21 -13.38 -13.321
P/S Ratio 3.97 4.52 4.08 4.28 3.66 3.46 3.53 3.39 3.90 4.16 5.39 9.51 30.65 182.75 -19.14 9.41 12.06 9.52 4.67 3.86 3.328
P/B Ratio 0.74 0.89 0.61 0.67 0.59 0.56 0.51 0.47 0.54 0.53 0.70 0.52 0.49 0.53 0.54 0.45 0.47 0.47 0.52 0.52 0.537
P/FCF 9.39 10.71 8.62 8.39 6.89 6.27 6.73 6.74 7.90 7.65 9.38 6.99 6.97 8.60 8.20 7.53 8.93 10.75 12.71 -6.04 -6.043
P/OCF 9.38 10.70 8.61 8.38 6.88 6.27 6.73 6.74 7.90 7.65 9.38 6.99 6.97 8.60 8.20 7.53 8.93 10.57 12.30
EV/EBITDA 186.50 47.29 31.86 26.25 26.253
EV/Revenue 19.33 19.07 22.22 21.57 20.70 20.49 17.90 18.50 19.04 20.61 23.54 52.35 179.62 997.33 -91.92 52.45 64.82 51.48 22.79 18.68 18.676
EV/EBIT -3818.49 -7932.64 -9531.70 -9307.35 -1821.05 -1011.75 -718.03 -294.15 -219.44 -4256.28 67.71 40.29 30.74 30.744
EV/FCF 45.71 45.25 46.97 42.32 39.01 37.10 34.15 36.76 38.54 37.91 40.98 38.51 40.81 46.94 39.39 42.00 47.97 58.11 62.00 -29.21 -29.213
Earnings Yield 17.9% 13.7% 14.5% 13.3% 13.4% 11.7% 7.7% 2.0% -1.3% 0.9% -8.9% -13.6% -16.0% -19.2% -12.0% -5.5% -7.2% -3.1% -0.3% -7.5% -7.48%
FCF Yield 10.7% 9.3% 11.6% 11.9% 14.5% 15.9% 14.9% 14.8% 12.7% 13.1% 10.7% 14.3% 14.4% 11.6% 12.2% 13.3% 11.2% 9.3% 7.9% -16.5% -16.55%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.003
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.539
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 27.701
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 30.744
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 12.63%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 6.45 6.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 0.08 0.08 0.077
Quick Ratio 6.45 6.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 0.08 0.08 0.077
Debt/Equity 3.03 3.03 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.58 2.58 2.58 2.58 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.17 2.06 2.06 2.056
Net Debt/Equity 2.87 2.87 2.73 2.73 2.73 2.73 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.05 2.00 2.00 1.998
Debt/Assets 0.74 0.74 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.65 0.65 0.647
Debt/EBITDA 160.53 40.76 26.06 21.42 21.422
Net Debt/EBITDA 151.80 38.54 25.33 20.82 20.823
Interest Coverage -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.00 0.28 0.49 0.65 0.649
Equity Multiplier 4.08 4.08 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.88 3.38 3.38 3.38 3.38 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.18 3.18 3.176
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.034
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.760
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.028
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.042
Defensive Interval snapshot only 480.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.041
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 39.14 37.23 37.17 34.20 24.42 10.35 2.98 0.54 -0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.09 0.089
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.24 6.24 124.10 174.26 174.265
DSO 7178 6805 3208 3058 3013 3011 9 10 10 11 15 35 123 671 -18261 10800 13239 10529 4995 4084 4084.2 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 59 59 3 2 2.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 13180 10470 4992 4082 4082.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.607
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.347
Capital Intensity snapshot only 23.542
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 15.4% 17.8% 29.7% 35.9% 23.0% 16.7% 6.8% -3.1% -4.7% -12.4% -25.3% -66.7% -90.4% -98.1% -1.2% -25.4% 1.1% 13.6% 4.7% 1.7% 1.67%
Net Income 4.6% 2.4% 1.8% 11.1% -14.9% -23.7% -50.7% -88.3% -1.1% -92.1% -2.3% -7.3% -8.6% -19.4% 10.0% 70.2% 62.5% 87.9% 97.4% -49.0% -48.99%
EPS 3.5% 1.4% 94.2% -19.1% -31.1% -34.3% -57.5% -89.8% -1.1% -92.1% -2.3% -7.3% -8.6% -19.6% 10.6% 70.9% 62.8% 88.2% 97.4% -50.0% -50.00%
FCF 30.5% 31.0% 53.4% 63.6% 54.4% 53.0% 18.4% -4.4% -11.3% -13.8% -18.1% -10.1% -14.6% -25.5% -24.0% -31.4% -35.0% -39.3% -41.9% -2.4% -2.37%
EBITDA
Op. Income -1.0%
OCF Growth snapshot only -2.34%
Asset Growth snapshot only -7.60%
Equity Growth snapshot only -5.66%
Debt Growth snapshot only -10.65%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.67%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -39.42%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 19.0% 21.7% 22.7% 23.9% 19.1% 15.7% 12.2% 7.2% 10.6% 6.4% 1.1% -24.1% -51.7% -73.1% -37.8% -42.2% -37.6% -19.8% -12.8% -12.81%
Revenue 5Y 4.8% 9.9% 15.5% 18.8% 19.2% 17.7% 18.7% 16.1% 14.6% 13.0% 8.1% -9.3% -31.2% -51.9% -21.1% -22.8% -19.7% -6.5% -2.7% -2.69%
EPS 3Y 6.6% 0.3% -1.7% -0.9% -7.6% -14.7% -24.9% -28.0% -50.2%
EPS 5Y 6.2% -3.3% -2.0% -2.7% -5.5% -6.6% -12.6% -35.4% -44.6%
Net Income 3Y 20.5% 18.4% 16.1% 17.2% 11.7% 5.6% -7.0% -13.9% -41.3%
Net Income 5Y 14.3% 7.0% 8.4% 7.9% 6.1% 6.4% -0.4% -26.5% -37.0%
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 19.0% 21.7% 22.7% 23.9% 23.9% 24.6% 19.9% 13.9% 14.1% 6.4% 1.1% -24.1% -51.7% -73.1% -37.8% -49.6% -43.7% -28.3% -23.5% -23.55%
Gross Profit 5Y 8.1% 11.6% 17.6% 18.8% 19.2% 17.7% 18.7% 16.1% 14.6% 13.0% 8.1% -9.3% -29.5% -49.7% -18.2% -27.5% -24.5% -12.5% -10.1% -10.07%
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y -15.1%
FCF 3Y 0.9% 3.3% 7.2% 14.6% 15.5% 20.3% 22.6% 17.4% 21.4% 20.0% 14.1% 12.0% 5.4% -0.6% -9.7% -16.2% -21.0% -27.0% -28.8%
FCF 5Y -15.4% -11.2% 41.4% 13.3% 12.8% 8.5% 7.1% 7.7% 3.6% 5.3% 3.1% 2.3% 2.8% -0.1% -0.2% -4.8% -8.1%
OCF 3Y 0.9% 3.3% 7.2% 14.6% 15.5% 18.9% 20.8% 15.4% 19.1% 19.5% 13.8% 12.0% 5.3% -0.6% -9.7% -16.2% -21.1% -26.6% -28.0%
OCF 5Y -15.3% -11.2% 41.5% 13.3% 12.8% 8.5% 7.1% 7.7% 3.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5% 1.8% -1.1% -1.3% -4.7% -7.6%
Assets 3Y 2.9% 2.9% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 12.2% 12.2% 12.2% 12.2% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% -12.7% -12.7% -12.7% -12.7% -13.8% -13.8% -13.76%
Assets 5Y 6.9% 6.9% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9% 13.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% 7.3% -0.4% -0.4% -0.4% -0.4% -3.5% -3.5% -3.46%
Equity 3Y 4.1% 4.1% 16.8% 16.8% 16.8% 16.8% 20.6% 20.6% 20.6% 20.6% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% -7.3% -7.3% -7.3% -7.3% -12.0% -12.0% -11.99%
Book Value 3Y -7.9% -11.8% -1.1% -1.2% -3.4% -5.7% -2.7% 0.8% 2.7% 2.4% -6.7% -5.5% 0.1% 4.7% -11.6% -12.0% -9.6% -7.8% -12.0% -12.4% -12.38%
Dividend 3Y -6.0% -7.9% -6.1% -4.5% -7.5% -11.8% -13.5% -12.1% -10.5% -12.0% -13.4% -13.8% -12.0% -10.4% -12.0% -14.1% -12.5% -11.9% -13.2% -15.8% -15.76%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.35 0.75 0.88 0.88 0.98 0.99 0.96 0.88 0.93 0.82 0.48 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.30 0.47 0.39 0.42 0.26 0.21 0.214
Earnings Stability 0.05 0.03 0.09 0.17 0.14 0.18 0.04 0.00 0.05 0.07 0.34 0.33 0.40 0.47 0.57 0.40 0.46 0.43 0.42 0.67 0.666
Margin Stability 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.94 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.84 0.87 0.85 0.84 0.844
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.94 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.804
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.90 0.84 0.73 0.32 0.00 0.00
ROE Trend 0.07 0.06 0.02 0.02 -0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.09 -0.11 -0.09 -0.13 -0.12 -0.11 -0.14 -0.05 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.009
Gross Margin Trend 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.34 -0.27 -0.33 -0.326
FCF Margin Trend -0.05 -0.01 0.07 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.85 3.89 20.70 0.32 -1.10 -10.01 -1.94 -1.944
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.4% 1.1% 0.4% -0.5% -2.3% -4.4% -5.9% -9.4% -10.3%
Internal Growth Rate 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.60 0.68 0.80 0.90 1.08 1.37 1.92 7.30 -10.07 14.98 -1.20 -1.05 -0.90 -0.61 -1.02 -2.42 -1.56 -3.09 -23.67 2.18 2.179
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.97 1.02 1.016
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.214
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.885
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.99%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.095
Accruals Ratio 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 0.014
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -1.203
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -1.265
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 13.6% 12.6% 14.0% 14.0% 16.7% 18.3% 18.7% 21.2% 19.1% 19.5% 17.3% 22.8% 22.8% 19.3% 20.5% 22.8% 19.7% 17.7% 14.9% 12.6% 12.55%
Dividend/Share $1.15 $1.12 $1.23 $1.34 $1.30 $1.26 $1.31 $1.36 $1.42 $1.41 $1.40 $1.38 $1.27 $1.17 $1.09 $0.99 $0.91 $0.80 $0.71 $0.61 $0.60
Payout Ratio 75.8% 91.8% 96.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 10.4% 22.3%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9%
Total Payout Ratio 75.8% 91.8% 96.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 10.4% 23.6%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.33 0.41 0.51 0.58 0.57 0.49 0.42 0.38 0.35 0.31 0.23 0.23 0.13 0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.08 -0.13 -0.20 -0.27 -0.268
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -57.8% -48.1% -49.1% -23.3% -27.2% -28.8% -27.6% -29.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -44.3% -35.5% -35.1% -9.3% -10.5% -10.4% -9.0% -8.2% 20.2% 20.6% 18.4% 24.2% 22.8% 19.3% 20.5% 22.8% 19.7% 17.7% 14.9% 12.6% 12.63%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.94 1.07 0.92 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.01 0.46 0.09 0.68 0.682
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -141.98 -260.30 -18.30 188.86 45.26 27.68 25.32 7.36 2.12 56.17 -0.83 -0.31 -0.70 -0.697
EBIT Margin -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.03 -0.18 -1.39 0.31 -0.24 -0.02 0.76 0.57 0.61 0.607
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.041
Equity Multiplier 4.13 4.13 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.61 3.61 3.61 3.61 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.46 3.46 3.46 3.46 3.21 3.21 3.210
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.52 $1.22 $1.28 $1.28 $1.05 $0.80 $0.54 $0.13 $-0.09 $0.06 $-0.72 $-0.82 $-0.89 $-1.17 $-0.64 $-0.24 $-0.33 $-0.14 $-0.02 $-0.36 $-0.36
Book Value/Share $11.45 $10.02 $14.34 $14.24 $13.31 $12.37 $13.62 $13.69 $13.75 $13.64 $11.57 $11.51 $11.50 $11.49 $9.91 $9.70 $9.85 $9.68 $9.27 $9.21 $8.90
Tangible Book/Share $11.45 $10.02 $14.34 $14.24 $13.31 $12.37 $13.62 $13.69 $13.75 $13.64 $11.57 $11.51 $11.50 $11.49 $9.48 $9.27 $9.41 $9.26 $8.97 $8.91 $8.91
Revenue/Share $2.14 $1.97 $2.16 $2.25 $2.13 $1.98 $1.99 $1.90 $1.91 $1.74 $1.50 $0.63 $0.18 $0.03 $-0.28 $0.46 $0.38 $0.47 $1.02 $1.24 $1.44
FCF/Share $0.90 $0.83 $1.02 $1.15 $1.13 $1.10 $1.04 $0.96 $0.94 $0.95 $0.86 $0.86 $0.80 $0.71 $0.65 $0.58 $0.52 $0.42 $0.38 $-0.79 $-0.79
OCF/Share $0.91 $0.83 $1.02 $1.15 $1.13 $1.10 $1.04 $0.96 $0.94 $0.95 $0.86 $0.86 $0.80 $0.71 $0.65 $0.58 $0.52 $0.43 $0.39 $-0.78 $-0.78
Cash/Share $1.81 $1.58 $1.07 $1.06 $0.99 $0.92 $3.08 $3.10 $3.11 $3.09 $2.56 $2.55 $2.55 $2.54 $1.17 $1.15 $1.16 $1.14 $0.53 $0.53 $1.56
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.13 $0.52 $0.73 $0.88 $0.88
Debt/Share $34.65 $30.31 $40.21 $39.92 $37.31 $34.69 $31.63 $31.81 $31.95 $31.69 $29.88 $29.73 $29.71 $29.69 $21.51 $21.05 $21.37 $21.02 $19.06 $18.93 $18.93
Net Debt/Share $32.84 $28.73 $39.14 $38.86 $36.31 $33.77 $28.55 $28.71 $28.84 $28.60 $27.32 $27.18 $27.16 $27.15 $20.34 $19.90 $20.21 $19.88 $18.53 $18.40 $18.40
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -0.594
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.461
Piotroski F-Score 6 6 5 4 5 4 4 3 2 4 3 3 2 3 3 4 5 5 4 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.26 -2.52 91.67 91.47 91.29 91.19 -2.62 -2.55 -2.65 -2.52 -3.68 0.00 -3.76 22.60 12.57 12.568
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.640
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-18.82
EVA snapshot only $-119787150.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 29.16 29.28 21.63 22.64 22.76 22.70 23.88 23.85 23.37 24.22 13.84 14.26 9.90 9.93 35.51 37.51 29.41 35.76 13.04 9.86 9.856
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -27.650
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 14
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 1

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