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Not Investment Advice

ACRE NYSE

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
1W: +5.2% 1M: -12.6% 3M: -22.2% YTD: -26.9% 1Y: -25.4% 3Y: -50.6% 5Y: -62.7%
$3.45
+0.04 (+1.17%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.1%
$3 $3 $3 $4 $4
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Tech Score Sell · Power 32 · $191.4M mcap · 54M float · 0.935% daily turnover · Short 58% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: not rated, financial company (lending is its business) Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Not rated: lending and leverage are a financial company's business, which the model misreads.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
42.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 1.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.1%
Cost Advantage
32
Intangibles
53
Switching Cost
50
Network Effect
24
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ACRE shows a Weak competitive edge (42.5/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 1.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$5
Avg Target
$5
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 6Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$5.25
Analysts2
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-07-10 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-06-02 UBS Marissa Lobo $4 $6 +2 +11.6% $4.93
2026-02-12 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti $7 $5 -2 -10.2% $5.57
2025-04-16 UBS Doug Harter Initiated $4 — +7.1% $3.50
2024-09-20 Wells Fargo Donald Fandetti Initiated $7 — -10.4% $7.81
2022-04-25 J.P. Morgan — Initiated $16 — +2.7% $15.58

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ACRE receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-12 C+ B-
2026-02-18 C C+
2026-02-12 C+ C
2026-02-11 C- C+
2026-02-10 C+ C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 43 Grade D
Profitability
60
Balance Sheet
19
Earnings Quality
60
Growth
88
Value
41
Momentum
80
Safety
0
Cash Flow
37
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ACRE scores highest in Growth (88/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.12
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
—
—
Ohlson O-Score
-5.12
Bankruptcy prob: 0.6%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 9.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -3.47x
Accruals: -1.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ACRE scores -0.12, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ACRE scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ACRE's implied 0.6% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ACRE receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 9.3/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-45.88x
PEG
0.00x
P/S
1.95x
P/B
0.39x
P/FCF
19.20x
P/OCF
16.47x
EV/EBITDA
22.82x
EV/Revenue
17.14x
EV/EBIT
24.82x
EV/FCF
113.46x
Earnings Yield
-1.75%
FCF Yield
5.21%
Shareholder Yield
13.26%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. ACRE currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.327
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.225
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.691
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.054
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
3.214
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-0.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ACRE's ROE of -0.9% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 3.21x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.33 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$3.46
Median 1Y
$2.71
5th Pctile
$1.13
95th Pctile
$6.55
Ann. Volatility
54.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Bryan P. Donohoe
Chief Executive Officer
$— $263,340 $263,340
Jeffrey M. Gonzales
Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
$145,432 $— $257,839
Anton S. Feingold
General Counsel, Vice President and Secretary
$85,597 $— $140,216

CEO Pay Ratio

114:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $263,340
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $2,305
Employees: 4,250

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
4,250
+32.8% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$20,082
Rev: $85,349,000
Profit / Employee
$-212
NI: $-902,000
SGA / Employee
$2,305
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 10.1% 10.5% 9.6% 7.3% 6.1% 4.2% 1.0% -0.7% 0.5% -5.7% -6.8% -7.6% -10.2% -6.0% -2.3% -3.3% -1.4% -0.2% -3.8% -0.9% -0.88%
ROA 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 2.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3% -0.2% 0.1% -1.6% -2.0% -2.2% -3.0% -1.7% -0.7% -1.0% -0.5% -0.1% -1.2% -0.3% -0.27%
ROIC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 1.92%
ROCE -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.3% -0.5% -0.0% 1.5% 4.3% 2.6% 3.9% 3.90%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 2.6% 1.0% 69.7% 76.5% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -1.2% 1.2% 32.3% 28.3% 37.5% 37.52%
Net Margin 36.6% 57.0% 61.8% 39.9% 2.4% 9.6% -30.8% -8.8% 48.3% -2.4% 47.3% -14.9% -54.0% 21.8% 62.5% 2.5% 28.6% -13.2% -35.0% 30.5% 30.53%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% -1.7% 1.3% 39.0% 31.7% 1.7% 1.68%
FCF Margin 42.1% 47.3% 51.0% 53.1% 55.2% 52.4% 50.3% 49.4% 54.4% 57.5% 1.4% 4.4% 21.2% -2.3% 1.2% 1.4% 88.6% 36.8% -64.7% 15.1% 15.11%
OCF Margin 42.2% 47.4% 51.0% 53.1% 55.3% 52.4% 50.3% 49.4% 54.4% 57.5% 1.4% 4.4% 21.2% -2.3% 1.2% 1.4% 90.1% 38.0% -62.9% 17.6% 17.62%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.25%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -1.34%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.29%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.31%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.90%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.85%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 0.89%
CROIC snapshot only 0.76%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 38.02%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -15.52%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 13.37%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.23%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.29 6.89 7.52 7.45 8.56 12.92 49.20 -79.55 114.60 -11.29 -7.33 -6.25 -5.20 -8.33 -18.18 -13.90 -32.66 -291.21 -13.38 -57.19 -45.883
P/S Ratio 4.52 4.08 4.28 3.66 3.46 3.53 3.39 3.90 4.16 5.39 9.51 30.65 182.75 -19.14 9.41 12.06 9.52 4.67 3.86 2.90 1.948
P/B Ratio 0.63 0.61 0.66 0.51 0.49 0.51 0.49 0.58 0.58 0.70 0.55 0.52 0.59 0.54 0.45 0.48 0.48 0.52 0.54 0.52 0.391
P/FCF 10.71 8.62 8.39 6.89 6.27 6.73 6.74 7.90 7.65 9.38 6.99 6.97 8.60 8.20 7.53 8.93 10.75 12.71 -5.97 19.20 19.197
P/OCF 10.70 8.61 8.38 6.88 6.27 6.73 6.74 7.90 7.65 9.38 6.99 6.97 8.60 8.20 7.53 8.93 10.57 12.30 — 16.47 16.465
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 144.00 33.95 31.86 29.67 22.82 22.823
EV/Revenue 23.27 22.22 20.92 20.68 20.44 17.90 18.18 18.65 20.77 23.54 49.50 170.29 870.05 -91.92 41.22 50.05 36.96 22.79 21.11 17.14 17.144
EV/EBIT -9680.09 — — — — — — — -9605.63 -9307.35 -1721.83 -959.20 -626.39 -294.15 -172.45 -3286.45 48.62 40.29 34.75 24.82 24.818
EV/FCF 55.22 46.97 41.04 38.98 37.00 34.15 36.12 37.75 38.21 40.98 36.41 38.69 40.95 39.39 33.00 37.04 41.72 62.00 -32.62 113.46 113.459
Earnings Yield 13.7% 14.5% 13.3% 13.4% 11.7% 7.7% 2.0% -1.3% 0.9% -8.9% -13.6% -16.0% -19.2% -12.0% -5.5% -7.2% -3.1% -0.3% -7.5% -1.7% -1.75%
FCF Yield 9.3% 11.6% 11.9% 14.5% 15.9% 14.9% 14.8% 12.7% 13.1% 10.7% 14.3% 14.4% 11.6% 12.2% 13.3% 11.2% 9.3% 7.9% -16.7% 5.2% 5.21%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.004
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.518
EV/OCF snapshot only 97.311
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 20.791
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 35.622
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 13.26%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.00 — 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.00 91.21 0.00 0.00 99.66 97.02 0.00 4.21 8.36 7.90 0.00 0.08 0.47 0.22 0.217
Quick Ratio 0.00 — 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.00 91.21 0.00 0.00 99.66 97.02 0.00 4.21 8.36 7.90 0.00 0.08 0.47 0.22 0.217
Debt/Equity 2.62 2.80 2.61 2.39 2.51 2.32 2.35 2.42 2.41 2.58 2.46 2.50 2.38 2.17 1.74 1.70 1.55 2.06 2.58 2.58 2.581
Net Debt/Equity 2.60 2.73 2.59 2.35 2.41 2.10 2.14 2.21 2.32 2.36 2.30 2.38 2.21 2.05 1.51 1.52 1.39 2.00 2.41 2.55 2.545
Debt/Assets 0.71 0.72 0.71 0.70 0.71 0.69 0.69 0.70 0.70 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.69 0.67 0.62 0.62 0.58 0.65 0.69 0.69 0.695
Debt/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 121.62 28.16 26.06 26.01 19.23 19.229
Net Debt/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 109.30 25.21 25.33 24.24 18.96 18.962
Interest Coverage -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.00 0.28 0.49 0.65 0.90 0.896
Equity Multiplier 3.67 3.88 3.65 3.43 3.56 3.38 3.40 3.47 3.46 3.64 3.51 3.55 3.44 3.24 2.80 2.75 2.67 3.18 3.73 3.71 3.715
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.065
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.974
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.014
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.010
Defensive Interval snapshot only 331.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.054
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 42.96 39.14 39.69 0.10 23.12 24.42 0.04 0.01 0.47 -0.02 0.02 0.01 2.60 0.07 0.11 0.15 0.146
Payables Turnover — 0.00 — — — 0.00 — — — 0.00 — — 0.00 0.00 — — 7.13 124.10 — — —
DSO 3438 3208 3221 3389 8 9 9 3740 16 15 9931 72727 784 -18261 21956 26215 141 4995 3300 2506 2506.0 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 51 3 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 26215 89 4992 3300 2506 —
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.979
Capital Intensity snapshot only 20.787
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 17.8% 29.7% 35.9% 23.0% 16.7% 6.8% -3.1% -4.7% -12.4% -25.3% -66.7% -90.4% -98.1% -1.2% -25.4% 1.1% 13.6% 4.7% 1.7% 3.2% 3.16%
Net Income 2.4% 1.8% 11.1% -14.9% -23.7% -50.7% -88.3% -1.1% -92.1% -2.3% -7.3% -8.6% -19.4% 10.0% 70.2% 62.5% 87.9% 97.4% -49.0% 75.7% 75.68%
EPS 1.4% 94.2% -19.1% -31.1% -34.3% -57.5% -89.8% -1.1% -92.1% -2.3% -7.3% -8.6% -19.6% 10.6% 70.9% 62.8% 88.2% 97.4% -50.0% 76.3% 76.33%
FCF 31.0% 53.4% 63.6% 54.4% 53.0% 18.4% -4.4% -11.3% -13.8% -18.1% -10.1% -14.6% -25.5% -24.0% -31.4% -35.0% -39.3% -41.9% -2.4% -53.5% -53.48%
EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 8.0% 7.99%
Op. Income — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 7.3% 7.31%
OCF Growth snapshot only -45.76%
Asset Growth snapshot only 26.32%
Equity Growth snapshot only -6.58%
Debt Growth snapshot only 42.17%
Shares Change snapshot only 2.73%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -34.42%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 21.7% 22.7% 23.9% 19.1% 15.7% 12.2% 7.2% 10.6% 6.4% 1.1% -24.1% -51.7% -73.1% — -37.8% -42.2% -37.6% -19.8% -12.8% -5.5% -5.49%
Revenue 5Y 9.9% 15.5% 18.8% 19.2% 17.7% 18.7% 16.1% 14.6% 13.0% 8.1% -9.3% -31.2% -51.9% — -21.1% -22.8% -19.7% -6.5% -2.7% -0.2% -0.20%
EPS 3Y 0.3% -1.7% -0.9% -7.6% -14.7% -24.9% -28.0% — -50.2% — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y -3.3% -2.0% -2.7% -5.5% -6.6% -12.6% -35.4% — -44.6% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y 18.4% 16.1% 17.2% 11.7% 5.6% -7.0% -13.9% — -41.3% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y 7.0% 8.4% 7.9% 6.1% 6.4% -0.4% -26.5% — -37.0% — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 21.7% 22.7% 23.9% 23.9% 24.6% 19.9% 13.9% 14.1% 6.4% 1.1% -24.1% -51.7% -73.1% — -37.8% -49.6% -43.7% -28.3% -23.5% -11.4% -11.37%
Gross Profit 5Y 11.6% 17.6% 18.8% 19.2% 17.7% 18.7% 16.1% 14.6% 13.0% 8.1% -9.3% -29.5% -49.7% — -18.2% -27.5% -24.5% -12.5% -10.1% -4.0% -3.98%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -15.1% — — — — —
FCF 3Y 3.3% 7.2% 14.6% 15.5% 20.3% 22.6% 17.4% 21.4% 20.0% 14.1% 12.0% 5.4% -0.6% -9.7% -16.2% -21.0% -27.0% -28.8% — -36.3% -36.32%
FCF 5Y -11.2% 41.4% — — 13.3% 12.8% 8.5% 7.1% 7.7% 3.6% 5.3% 3.1% 2.3% 2.8% -0.1% -0.2% -4.8% -8.1% — -18.8% -18.77%
OCF 3Y 3.3% 7.2% 14.6% 15.5% 18.9% 20.8% 15.4% 19.1% 19.5% 13.8% 12.0% 5.3% -0.6% -9.7% -16.2% -21.1% -26.6% -28.0% — -33.0% -32.98%
OCF 5Y -11.2% 41.5% — — 13.3% 12.8% 8.5% 7.1% 7.7% 3.6% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5% 1.8% -1.1% -1.3% -4.7% -7.6% — -16.2% -16.25%
Assets 3Y 12.5% 18.0% 15.8% 17.3% 17.7% 12.2% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 5.7% 0.3% -2.8% -7.7% -12.7% -15.5% -18.9% -20.1% -13.8% -9.1% -8.9% -8.85%
Assets 5Y 9.5% 13.9% 12.0% 10.2% 11.4% 7.3% 7.0% 5.7% 6.4% 7.3% 5.5% 4.4% 3.0% -0.4% -6.3% -6.6% -6.5% -3.5% -2.6% -4.2% -4.24%
Equity 3Y 16.6% 16.8% 17.5% 22.7% 21.7% 20.6% 15.5% 14.1% 13.3% 9.8% 1.4% -5.0% -5.7% -7.3% -7.7% -12.7% -12.1% -12.0% -11.8% -10.9% -10.88%
Book Value 3Y -1.2% -1.1% -0.7% 1.5% -1.8% -2.7% -3.4% -2.8% -3.8% -6.7% -12.7% -13.3% -10.1% -11.6% -12.4% -14.8% -12.6% -12.0% -12.2% -12.0% -11.95%
Dividend 3Y -7.9% -6.1% -4.5% -7.5% -11.8% -13.5% -12.1% -10.5% -12.0% -13.4% -13.8% -12.0% -10.4% -12.0% -14.1% -12.5% -11.9% -13.2% -15.8% -13.4% -13.39%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.75 0.88 0.88 0.98 0.99 0.96 0.88 0.93 0.82 0.48 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.30 0.47 0.39 0.42 0.26 0.21 0.11 0.111
Earnings Stability 0.03 0.09 0.17 0.14 0.18 0.04 0.00 0.05 0.07 0.34 0.33 0.40 0.47 0.57 0.40 0.46 0.43 0.42 0.67 0.54 0.544
Margin Stability 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.94 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.96 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.92 0.84 0.87 0.85 0.84 0.83 0.832
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.96 0.94 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.06 0.90 0.84 0.73 0.32 0.00 — 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.01 -0.00 -0.03 -0.08 -0.09 -0.07 -0.13 -0.12 -0.11 -0.14 -0.05 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.05 0.050
Gross Margin Trend 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0.00 -0.34 -0.27 — -0.33 -0.01 -0.007
FCF Margin Trend -0.01 0.07 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.85 3.89 20.70 — 0.32 -1.10 -10.01 — -1.95 -2.72 -2.725
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.8% 0.4% -0.5% -1.8% -3.5% -5.9% -9.6% — -10.2% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 0.2% 0.1% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.68 0.80 0.90 1.08 1.37 1.92 7.30 -10.07 14.98 -1.20 -1.05 -0.90 -0.61 -1.02 -2.42 -1.56 -3.09 -23.67 2.18 -3.47 -3.474
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.97 1.03 0.86 0.858
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -2.979
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.235
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.51%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.416
Accruals Ratio 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.012
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.821
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.430
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 12.6% 14.0% 14.0% 16.7% 18.3% 18.7% 21.2% 19.1% 19.5% 17.3% 22.8% 22.8% 19.3% 20.5% 22.8% 19.7% 17.7% 14.9% 12.6% 13.3% 17.37%
Dividend/Share $1.12 $1.23 $1.34 $1.30 $1.26 $1.31 $1.36 $1.42 $1.41 $1.40 $1.38 $1.27 $1.17 $1.09 $0.99 $0.91 $0.80 $0.71 $0.61 $0.60 $0.60
Payout Ratio 91.8% 96.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 10.4% — 22.3% — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% — 2.5% 2.54%
Total Payout Ratio 91.8% 96.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 10.4% — 23.6% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.41 0.51 0.58 0.57 0.49 0.42 0.38 0.35 0.31 0.23 0.23 0.13 0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.08 -0.13 -0.20 -0.27 -0.19 -0.194
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -48.1% -49.1% -23.3% -27.2% -28.8% -27.6% -29.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -35.5% -35.1% -9.3% -10.5% -10.4% -9.0% -8.2% 20.2% 20.6% 18.4% 24.2% 22.8% 19.3% 20.5% 22.8% 19.7% 17.7% 14.9% 12.6% 13.3% 13.26%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.94 1.07 0.92 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.01 0.46 0.09 0.68 0.33 0.327
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -260.30 — — — — — — — -18.30 188.86 45.26 27.68 25.32 7.36 2.12 56.17 -0.83 -0.31 -0.70 -0.22 -0.225
EBIT Margin -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.03 -0.18 -1.39 0.31 -0.24 -0.02 0.76 0.57 0.61 0.69 0.691
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.054
Equity Multiplier 3.87 3.96 3.64 3.38 3.61 3.61 3.52 3.45 3.51 3.50 3.45 3.51 3.45 3.46 3.18 3.17 3.07 3.21 3.24 3.21 3.214
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.22 $1.28 $1.28 $1.05 $0.80 $0.54 $0.13 $-0.09 $0.06 $-0.72 $-0.82 $-0.89 $-1.17 $-0.64 $-0.24 $-0.33 $-0.14 $-0.02 $-0.36 $-0.08 $-0.08
Book Value/Share $14.25 $14.34 $14.47 $15.41 $13.99 $13.62 $13.16 $12.72 $12.46 $11.57 $11.05 $10.70 $10.35 $9.91 $9.73 $9.55 $9.34 $9.27 $8.90 $8.68 $8.84
Tangible Book/Share $14.25 $14.34 $14.47 $15.41 $13.99 $13.62 $13.16 $12.72 $12.46 $11.57 $10.87 $10.54 $10.35 $9.48 $9.34 $9.15 $8.97 $8.97 $8.90 $8.68 $8.68
Revenue/Share $1.97 $2.16 $2.25 $2.13 $1.98 $1.99 $1.90 $1.91 $1.74 $1.50 $0.63 $0.18 $0.03 $-0.28 $0.46 $0.38 $0.47 $1.02 $1.24 $1.55 $1.78
FCF/Share $0.83 $1.02 $1.15 $1.13 $1.10 $1.04 $0.96 $0.94 $0.95 $0.86 $0.86 $0.80 $0.71 $0.65 $0.58 $0.52 $0.42 $0.38 $-0.80 $0.23 $0.24
OCF/Share $0.83 $1.02 $1.15 $1.13 $1.10 $1.04 $0.96 $0.94 $0.95 $0.86 $0.86 $0.80 $0.71 $0.65 $0.58 $0.52 $0.43 $0.39 $-0.78 $0.27 $0.28
Cash/Share $0.33 $1.07 $0.29 $0.50 $1.41 $3.08 $2.82 $2.64 $1.11 $2.56 $1.83 $1.30 $1.76 $1.17 $2.25 $1.64 $1.52 $0.53 $1.56 $0.31 $0.32
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.13 $0.52 $0.73 $0.88 $1.17 $1.17
Debt/Share $37.35 $40.21 $37.69 $36.79 $35.07 $31.63 $30.92 $30.73 $29.99 $29.88 $27.20 $26.76 $24.66 $21.51 $16.96 $16.19 $14.52 $19.06 $22.99 $22.41 $22.41
Net Debt/Share $37.02 $39.14 $37.40 $36.28 $33.66 $28.55 $28.10 $28.10 $28.88 $27.32 $25.37 $25.46 $22.90 $20.34 $14.71 $14.55 $13.00 $18.53 $21.43 $22.10 $22.10
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -0.124
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.938
Piotroski F-Score 5 5 4 4 5 5 4 4 5 3 4 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 2 4 4
Beneish M-Score 49.70 91.67 40.10 151.71 -2.52 -2.62 -2.21 804.29 -0.93 -3.68 — 33.61 0.55 — — — -2.59 — 9.97 — —
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.123
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-22.53
EVA snapshot only $-140202350.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 11.53 22.11 12.13 13.26 13.47 24.17 11.60 42.59 11.72 13.80 36.84 35.50 11.11 34.88 38.62 31.61 14.45 13.32 10.35 9.32 9.321
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -22.290
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 6
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 0

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