$12.10

+0.24 (+2.02%)

Weekly Expected Move ±9.2%

$10 $11 $12 $13 $14

NASDAQ · Industrials · General Transportation · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 61 · $937.8M mcap · 37M float · 0.945% daily turnover · Short 79% of daily vol

Overview Chart Smart Money Financials Income Statement Cash Flow Balance Sheet Earnings

Analysis Technicals Weather Peers ESG Institutions ETF Exposure Dark Pool Short Interest Supply Chain

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE

31.3 / 100

NoneWeakNarrowWide

Primary source: Efficient Scale · ROIC: 4.4%

Cost Advantage

Intangibles

Switching Cost

Network Effect

Scale ★

The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AEBI has No discernible competitive edge (31.3/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 4.4% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets

Low

$16

Avg Target

$16

High

Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0

Rating Summary

ConsensusBuy

Avg Target$15.75

Analysts2

Price Target Change History

Date	Firm	Analyst	Old	New	Change	Upside @ Call	Stock@Call
2025-11-26	Roth Capital	—	Initiated	$16	—	+40.3%	$11.76
2025-11-14	D.A. Davidson	Michael Shlisky	Initiated	$15	—	+34.0%	$11.19

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-

May 22, 2026

DCF

ROE

ROA

D/E

P/E

P/B

The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AEBI receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).

Rating Change History

Date	From	To
2026-05-05	C+	B-
2026-04-27	B-	C+
2026-04-21	C+	B-
2026-04-17	B-	C+
2026-04-17	C+	B-
2026-04-16	B-	C+
2026-04-15	C+	B-
2026-04-13	B-	C+
2026-04-09	B	B-
2026-03-19	C+	B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 22 Grade D

Profitability

Balance Sheet

Earnings Quality

Growth

—

Value

Momentum

—

Safety

Cash Flow

The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AEBI scores highest in Earnings Quality (64/100) and lowest in Profitability (10/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score

1.58

Distress Zone

Piotroski F-Score

3/9

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗

Beneish M-Score

—

Ohlson O-Score

-7.26

Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%

Low Risk

Credit Rating

Score: 28.9/100

Earnings Quality

50/100

OCF/NI: 0.70x

Accruals: 0.2%

The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AEBI scores 1.58, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AEBI scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AEBI's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AEBI receives an estimated rating of B (score: 28.9/100). The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AEBI's score of 50/100 is moderate — some divergence between reported earnings and underlying cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E

109.11x

PEG

-2.73x

P/S

0.50x

P/B

0.92x

P/FCF

-189.99x

P/OCF

99.14x

EV/EBITDA

11.46x

EV/Revenue

0.89x

EV/EBIT

18.83x

EV/FCF

-357.40x

Earnings Yield

1.45%

FCF Yield

-0.53%

Shareholder Yield

0.85%

Graham Number

$5.79

Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 109.1x earnings, AEBI is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $5.79 per share, 109% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden

0.833

NI / EBT

Interest Burden

0.174

EBT / EBIT

EBIT Margin

0.047

EBIT / Rev

Asset Turnover

0.787

Rev / Assets

Equity Multiplier

2.464

Assets / Equity

ROE

1.3%

The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AEBI's ROE of 1.3% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.787), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate

0.00%

Fair P/E

8.50x

Intrinsic Value

$1.20

Price/Value

8.11x

Margin of Safety

-711.01%

Premium

711.01%

Assessment

Overvalued

Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AEBI's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. AEBI trades at a 711% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1.20, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 109.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 226 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price

$12.10

Median 1Y

$0.12

5th Pctile

$0.00

95th Pctile

$4.78

Ann. Volatility

220.9%

25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees

5,700

Revenue / Employee

$267,829

Rev: $1,526,625,000

Profit / Employee

$1,709

NI: $9,739,000

SGA / Employee

$31,692

Avg labor cost proxy

R&D / Employee

$4,648

Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
ROE	0.3%	1.2%	1.3%	1.33%
ROA	0.1%	0.5%	0.5%	0.54%
ROIC	3.7%	3.0%	4.4%	4.35%
ROCE	1.8%	3.2%	4.8%	4.83%
Gross Margin	20.0%	17.3%	17.4%	17.42%
Operating Margin	3.7%	6.5%	4.4%	4.39%
Net Margin	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	0.15%
EBITDA Margin	6.4%	9.4%	7.4%	7.42%
FCF Margin	-1.8%	2.1%	-0.2%	-0.25%
OCF Margin	-0.7%	3.0%	0.5%	0.48%
ROIC Economic	snapshot only			4.16%
Cash ROA	snapshot only			0.38%
Cash ROIC	snapshot only			0.51%
CROIC	snapshot only			-0.27%
NOPAT Margin	snapshot only			4.06%
Pretax Margin	snapshot only			0.82%
R&D / Revenue	snapshot only			1.65%
SGA / Revenue	snapshot only			11.71%
SBC / Revenue	snapshot only			0.12%

Valuation

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
P/E Ratio	797.56	74.56	68.94	109.110
P/S Ratio	2.04	0.74	0.47	0.505
P/B Ratio	2.63	0.91	0.92	0.920
P/FCF	-112.20	35.14	-189.99	-189.992
P/OCF	—	24.63	99.14	99.137
EV/EBITDA	45.34	17.60	11.46	11.462
EV/Revenue	2.88	1.40	0.89	0.891
EV/EBIT	90.73	28.50	18.83	18.832
EV/FCF	-158.47	66.31	-357.40	-357.401
Earnings Yield	0.1%	1.3%	1.5%	1.45%
FCF Yield	-0.9%	2.8%	-0.5%	-0.53%
Price/Tangible Book	snapshot only			9.720
EV/OCF	snapshot only			186.489
EV/Gross Profit	snapshot only			4.908
Acquirers Multiple	snapshot only			18.218
Shareholder Yield	snapshot only			0.85%
Graham Number	snapshot only			$5.79

Leverage & Solvency

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Current Ratio	1.94	1.90	1.90	1.903
Quick Ratio	1.07	1.15	1.15	1.152
Debt/Equity	1.27	0.93	0.93	0.930
Net Debt/Equity	1.09	0.81	0.81	0.810
Debt/Assets	0.42	0.38	0.38	0.378
Debt/EBITDA	15.41	9.51	6.17	6.171
Net Debt/EBITDA	13.24	8.28	5.37	5.369
Interest Coverage	1.05	1.89	1.85	1.848
Equity Multiplier	2.98	2.46	2.46	2.464
Cash Ratio	snapshot only			0.214
Debt Service Coverage	snapshot only			3.036
Cash to Debt	snapshot only			0.130
FCF to Debt	snapshot only			-0.005
Defensive Interval	snapshot only			712.1 days

Efficiency & Turnover

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Asset Turnover	0.43	0.50	0.79	0.787
Inventory Turnover	1.63	2.35	3.74	3.735
Receivables Turnover	2.71	3.22	5.09	5.088
Payables Turnover	4.03	3.47	5.51	5.515
DSO	135	113	72	71.7 days
DIO	224	155	98	97.7 days
DPO	91	105	66	66.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle	268	164	103	103.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover	snapshot only			4.719
Operating Cycle	snapshot only			169.5 days
Cash Velocity	snapshot only			16.049
Capital Intensity	snapshot only			1.270

Growth Quality

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Revenue Stability	—	—	—	—
Earnings Stability	—	—	—	—
Margin Stability	—	—	—	—
Rev. Growth Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.000
FCF Positive Streak	0	0	0	0
Earnings Persistence	—	—	—	—
Earnings Smoothness	—	—	—	—
ROE Trend	—	—	—	—
Gross Margin Trend	—	—	—	—
FCF Margin Trend	—	—	—	—
Sustainable Growth Rate	-0.2%	0.8%	0.5%	0.55%
Internal Growth Rate	—	0.3%	0.2%	0.22%

Cash Flow Quality

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
OCF/Net Income	-2.77	3.03	0.70	0.695
FCF/OCF	2.57	0.70	-0.52	-0.522
FCF/Net Income	snapshot only			-0.363
OCF/EBITDA	snapshot only			0.061
CapEx/Revenue	1.1%	0.9%	0.7%	0.73%
CapEx/Depreciation	snapshot only			0.239
Accruals Ratio	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.002
Sloan Accruals	snapshot only			0.167
Cash Flow Adequacy	snapshot only			0.422
Earnings Quality Score	snapshot only			0.500

Dividends & Buybacks

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Dividend Yield	0.2%	0.5%	0.9%	0.62%
Dividend/Share	$0.03	$0.07	$0.08	$0.07
Payout Ratio	1.7%	38.5%	58.9%	58.90%
FCF Payout Ratio	—	18.2%	—	—
Total Payout Ratio	1.7%	38.5%	58.9%	58.90%
Div. Increase Streak	0	0	0	0
Chowder Number	—	—	—	—
Buyback Yield	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00%
Net Buyback Yield	0.0%	-0.3%	-0.5%	-0.48%
Total Shareholder Return	0.2%	0.2%	0.4%	0.38%

DuPont Factors

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT)	1.61	0.86	0.83	0.833
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT)	0.05	0.23	0.17	0.174
EBIT Margin	0.03	0.05	0.05	0.047
Asset Turnover	0.43	0.50	0.79	0.787
Equity Multiplier	2.98	2.46	2.46	2.464

Per Share

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
EPS (Diluted TTM)	$0.02	$0.17	$0.14	$0.14
Book Value/Share	$4.73	$13.86	$10.57	$13.15
Tangible Book/Share	$-0.41	$1.31	$1.00	$1.00
Revenue/Share	$6.11	$17.01	$20.50	$24.11
FCF/Share	$-0.11	$0.36	$-0.05	$-0.01
OCF/Share	$-0.04	$0.51	$0.10	$0.17
Cash/Share	$0.84	$1.68	$1.28	$1.87
EBITDA/Share	$0.39	$1.36	$1.59	$1.59
Debt/Share	$5.99	$12.90	$9.83	$9.83
Net Debt/Share	$5.14	$11.22	$8.56	$8.56

Academic Models

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Altman Z-Score	—	—	—	1.576
Altman Z-Prime	snapshot only			2.363
Piotroski F-Score	2	4	3	3
Beneish M-Score	—	—	—	—
Ohlson O-Score	snapshot only			-7.257
ROIC (Greenblatt)	snapshot only			9.95%
Net-Net WC	snapshot only			$-4.09
EVA	snapshot only			$-83269092.81

Credit

Metric	Q3'25	Q4'25	Q1'26	Current
Credit Rating	snapshot only			B
Credit Score	24.38	36.92	28.87	28.873
Credit Grade	snapshot only			15
Implied Spread (bps)	snapshot only			750.000
Industry Credit Rank	snapshot only			0
Sector Credit Rank	snapshot only			19

AEBI NASDAQ

Edge Score

Analyst Insights

Financial Rating

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Risk & Quality Signals

Valuation

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Profitability Trends

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Earnings Stability

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Workforce & Productivity

Scaling Efficiency

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