— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: AESC (NYSE) · $vol 7M · 0H6G.L (LSE) · $vol 0M · AES.DE (XETRA) · $vol 0M

AES NYSE

The AES Corporation
1W: +1.7% 1M: +3.0% 3M: -11.0% YTD: +0.4% 1Y: +34.2% 3Y: -20.7% 5Y: -31.2%
$14.68
-0.01 (-0.07%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±0.8%
$14 $14 $14 $15 $15
NYSE · Utilities · Independent Power Producers · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 61 · $10.5B mcap · 709M float · 1.97% daily turnover · Short 22% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: 4.2%  ·  5Y Avg: 1.6%
Cost Advantage
55
Intangibles
33
Switching Cost
17
Network Effect
30
Scale ★
68
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AES has No discernible competitive edge (38.2/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. ROIC of 4.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$18
Avg Target
$18
High
Based on 8 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 11Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$18.00
Analysts8
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-04-09 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-20 HSBC Initiated $16 -3.1% $16.51
2026-02-20 Morgan Stanley $24 $23 -1 +40.6% $16.36
2026-02-03 Jefferies $20 $16 -4 +1.6% $15.74
2025-12-05 Argus Research $28 $18 -10 +29.2% $13.93
2025-10-22 Morgan Stanley David Arcaro $32 $24 -8 +68.9% $14.21
2025-10-21 Barclays Initiated $15 +4.2% $14.40
2025-10-13 Susquehanna $15 $17 +2 +20.8% $14.07
2025-10-06 Evercore ISI $23 $15 -8 +5.1% $14.27
2025-03-05 Susquehanna Initiated $15 +36.9% $10.96
2025-03-04 Mizuho Securities $24 $15 -9 +38.6% $10.82
2025-03-03 Seaport Global Initiated $7 -37.4% $11.19
2024-09-18 Evercore ISI Durgesh Chopra Initiated $23 +19.5% $19.24
2024-09-11 Jefferies Julien Dumoulin-Smith Initiated $20 +12.0% $17.86
2024-05-31 Argus Research Gary Hovis $36 $28 -8 +28.6% $21.77
2024-05-17 Mizuho Securities Anthony Crowdell Initiated $24 +13.2% $21.21
2023-08-02 UBS Gregg Orrill $33 $26 -7 +23.6% $21.04
2022-11-29 UBS $25 $33 +8 +17.7% $28.04
2022-08-18 Morgan Stanley $30 $32 +2 +26.2% $25.36
2022-07-21 Morgan Stanley $28 $30 +1 +47.6% $19.98
2022-06-29 UBS Daniel Ford Initiated $25 +22.7% $20.37
2022-06-23 Morgan Stanley $29 $28 -0 +40.7% $20.25
2022-06-13 Morgan Stanley $32 $29 -4 +45.1% $19.99
2022-04-26 Credit Suisse Initiated $25 +13.2% $22.08
2022-04-20 Morgan Stanley Initiated $32 +30.4% $24.92
2021-05-02 Argus Research Gary Hovis Initiated $36 +34.2% $26.82

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
5
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
4
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AES receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: ROE (5/5), P/E (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-11 C+ B
2026-05-05 B C+
2026-04-01 B- B
2026-03-05 B B-
2026-03-04 B+ B
2026-03-04 B- B+
2026-03-03 B+ B-
2026-03-02 A- B+
2026-01-08 B+ A-
2026-01-03 A- B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

36 Grade C
Profitability
52
Balance Sheet
21
Earnings Quality
71
Growth
40
Value
86
Momentum
69
Safety
15
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AES scores highest in Value (86/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.50
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.85
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.84
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 16.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 3.71x
Accruals: -7.3%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AES scores 0.50, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AES scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AES's score of -2.85 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AES's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AES receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 16.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AES's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
7.84x
PEG
-1.72x
P/S
0.84x
P/B
2.37x
P/FCF
-6.81x
P/OCF
2.03x
EV/EBITDA
10.16x
EV/Revenue
3.06x
EV/EBIT
17.31x
EV/FCF
-25.80x
Earnings Yield
13.28%
FCF Yield
-14.68%
Shareholder Yield
4.97%
Graham Number
$20.14
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 7.8x earnings, AES trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 13.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $20.14 per share, suggesting a potential 37% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.756
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.346
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.177
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.252
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.417
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
25.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AES's ROE of 25.4% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.42x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.76 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$15.91
Price/Value
0.89x
Margin of Safety
11.42%
Premium
-11.42%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AES's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $15.91, AES appears undervalued with a 11% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 7.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$14.70
Median 1Y
$13.65
5th Pctile
$6.80
95th Pctile
$27.32
Ann. Volatility
40.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Andrés Gluski
President Chief Executive Officer
$1,241,000 $8,796,107 $12,716,194
Juan Ignacio Rubiolo
EVP President, Energy Infrastructure
$530,000 $1,809,816 $3,237,227
Bernerd Da Santos
EVP President, Renewables Tish Mendoza EVP Chief Human Resources Officer
$644,000 $1,369,376 $3,155,786
Stephen Coughlin EVP
Chief Financial Officer
$597,000 $1,284,554 $3,126,922
Tish Mendoza EVP
Chief Human Resources Officer
$577,000 $1,158,755 $2,573,791

CEO Pay Ratio

440:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $12,716,194
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $28,911
Employees: 8,336

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
8,336
-8.4% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,467,490
Rev: $12,233,000,000
Profit / Employee
$113,844
NI: $949,000,000
SGA / Employee
$28,911
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -4.9% 19.1% -15.2% -5.5% -13.0% -10.1% -20.9% -19.5% -14.1% -21.4% 9.8% 21.2% 34.3% 45.6% 58.2% 45.6% 32.9% 37.0% 17.0% 25.4% 25.41%
ROA -0.4% 1.6% -1.2% -0.4% -1.0% -0.8% -1.5% -1.4% -1.0% -1.6% 0.6% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.9% 3.0% 2.2% 2.5% 1.8% 2.7% 2.70%
ROIC 10.8% 10.5% 9.9% 9.4% 8.7% 9.2% 7.8% 8.0% 7.7% 7.7% -21.5% -11.3% 2.9% -0.1% 6.1% 5.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.2% 4.2% 4.24%
ROCE 3.1% 6.8% -0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 3.3% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 4.5% 6.3% 5.4% 5.2% 6.3% 4.4% 5.1% 5.09%
Gross Margin 27.1% 25.0% 20.1% 18.6% 18.3% 24.7% 18.1% 18.4% 16.7% 26.7% 16.7% 20.1% 18.8% 21.9% 14.2% 15.0% 15.9% 21.9% 18.8% 20.1% 20.13%
Operating Margin 25.4% 23.7% 18.8% 16.8% 16.8% 23.3% 16.2% 16.7% 14.3% 24.8% 14.5% 17.7% 16.6% 20.2% 11.1% 12.4% 14.2% 16.5% 16.5% 18.4% 18.40%
Net Margin 0.9% 11.3% -22.8% 4.0% -5.8% 11.6% -29.5% 4.7% -1.3% 6.7% -3.4% 14.0% 9.6% 15.5% 18.9% 1.6% -3.7% 18.9% 10.4% 15.3% 15.31%
EBITDA Margin 13.2% 34.6% -37.9% 27.0% 12.1% 31.7% -10.9% 26.9% 19.0% 30.0% 2.1% 30.7% 26.8% 30.7% 32.4% 21.9% 25.9% 44.6% 16.0% 32.3% 32.33%
FCF Margin 5.8% -0.1% -1.9% -3.0% -5.2% -9.1% -14.6% -18.9% -25.1% -29.4% -37.0% -44.9% -45.3% -46.4% -37.8% -28.8% -21.2% -18.3% -13.3% -11.8% -11.84%
OCF Margin 24.3% 18.7% 17.1% 18.5% 18.4% 17.6% 21.5% 22.2% 23.4% 26.4% 23.9% 21.5% 20.3% 19.4% 22.4% 24.8% 29.9% 32.3% 35.2% 39.7% 39.74%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 26.26%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 10.50%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.23%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.14%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.01%
Cash ROA snapshot only 9.59%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 14.19%
CROIC snapshot only -4.23%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 11.87%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.10%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.75%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -106.06 25.63 -33.48 -104.80 -34.42 -50.93 -30.91 -29.67 -33.32 -17.30 48.28 22.33 13.71 11.89 4.85 6.07 7.23 8.17 11.41 7.53 7.845
P/S Ratio 1.41 1.26 1.24 1.38 1.04 1.14 1.34 1.16 0.95 0.76 0.92 0.93 0.93 1.09 0.70 0.70 0.61 0.77 0.84 0.81 0.838
P/B Ratio 5.60 5.23 4.94 5.62 4.34 5.01 6.92 6.21 5.06 3.98 4.70 4.69 4.65 5.36 2.37 2.33 2.00 2.55 1.49 1.46 2.375
P/FCF 24.49 -1147.08 -64.61 -45.70 -19.82 -12.49 -9.19 -6.17 -3.79 -2.58 -2.49 -2.08 -2.05 -2.34 -1.86 -2.43 -2.86 -4.19 -6.31 -6.81 -6.812
P/OCF 5.81 6.72 7.27 7.46 5.62 6.45 6.22 5.25 4.06 2.87 3.85 4.33 4.58 5.58 3.14 2.82 2.03 2.37 2.38 2.03 2.030
EV/EBITDA 16.76 10.61 38.33 29.45 25.92 25.37 19.54 17.72 14.88 14.49 14.47 14.05 12.97 13.68 9.74 10.56 10.36 9.57 11.37 10.16 10.156
EV/Revenue 3.18 2.95 2.81 2.93 2.53 2.56 3.03 2.81 2.60 2.43 2.90 2.93 2.95 3.13 2.94 2.96 2.89 3.03 3.13 3.06 3.056
EV/EBIT 36.32 16.30 -131.73 426.21 319.09 173.25 42.24 36.34 28.17 29.44 26.02 25.37 22.61 24.27 14.82 17.07 17.23 15.05 20.03 17.31 17.311
EV/FCF 55.15 -2685.16 -146.50 -96.64 -48.41 -28.13 -20.84 -14.89 -10.37 -8.27 -7.83 -6.53 -6.50 -6.73 -7.77 -10.29 -13.61 -16.56 -23.61 -25.80 -25.797
Earnings Yield -0.9% 3.9% -3.0% -1.0% -2.9% -2.0% -3.2% -3.4% -3.0% -5.8% 2.1% 4.5% 7.3% 8.4% 20.6% 16.5% 13.8% 12.2% 8.8% 13.3% 13.28%
FCF Yield 4.1% -0.1% -1.5% -2.2% -5.0% -8.0% -10.9% -16.2% -26.4% -38.8% -40.1% -48.2% -48.7% -42.8% -53.6% -41.1% -35.0% -23.9% -15.9% -14.7% -14.68%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.236
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.689
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 15.825
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 18.549
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.97%
Graham Number snapshot only $20.14
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.01 1.01 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.77 0.77 0.766
Quick Ratio 0.92 0.92 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.69 0.69 0.694
Debt/Equity 7.55 7.55 6.68 6.68 6.68 6.68 9.64 9.64 9.64 9.64 10.80 10.80 10.80 10.80 7.96 7.96 7.96 7.96 4.40 4.40 4.404
Net Debt/Equity 7.01 7.01 6.26 6.26 6.26 6.26 8.78 8.78 8.78 8.78 10.07 10.07 10.07 10.07 7.52 7.52 7.52 7.52 4.08 4.08 4.077
Debt/Assets 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.59 0.59 0.586
Debt/EBITDA 10.04 6.55 22.86 16.56 16.33 15.04 11.99 11.40 10.37 10.95 10.58 10.28 9.51 9.58 7.83 8.54 8.66 7.57 9.00 8.07 8.072
Net Debt/EBITDA 9.32 6.08 21.42 15.52 15.30 14.10 10.92 10.38 9.44 9.97 9.86 9.58 8.87 8.93 7.40 8.07 8.18 7.15 8.33 7.47 7.474
Interest Coverage 0.94 2.12 -0.29 0.09 0.10 0.18 0.84 0.86 1.00 0.84 1.08 1.09 1.16 1.10 1.68 1.48 1.43 1.77 1.37 1.55 1.552
Equity Multiplier 13.14 13.14 11.78 11.78 11.78 11.78 15.74 15.74 15.74 15.74 18.01 18.01 18.01 18.01 13.01 13.01 13.01 13.01 7.52 7.52 7.517
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.265
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.646
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.074
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.049
Defensive Interval snapshot only 4123.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.252
Inventory Turnover 15.57 16.61 15.83 16.49 17.51 18.36 12.14 12.53 12.55 12.29 11.50 11.30 11.14 11.20 15.27 15.30 15.32 15.39 16.63 16.72 16.724
Receivables Turnover 7.51 7.87 8.20 8.36 8.64 9.07 7.84 8.08 8.06 7.94 7.88 7.78 7.72 7.63 8.01 7.91 7.85 7.89 7.35 7.50 7.502
Payables Turnover 5.98 6.38 7.30 7.61 8.08 8.47 5.68 5.86 5.87 5.75 3.65 3.59 3.54 3.56 3.47 3.48 3.48 3.50 4.40 4.43 4.428
DSO 49 46 45 44 42 40 47 45 45 46 46 47 47 48 46 46 47 46 50 49 48.7 days
DIO 23 22 23 22 21 20 30 29 29 30 32 32 33 33 24 24 24 24 22 22 21.8 days
DPO 61 57 50 48 45 43 64 62 62 63 100 102 103 103 105 105 105 104 83 82 82.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 11 11 18 18 18 17 12 12 12 12 -22 -23 -23 -22 -36 -35 -35 -34 -11 -12 -11.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.327
Operating Cycle snapshot only 70.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.557
Capital Intensity snapshot only 4.146
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 8.6% 14.7% 15.3% 14.1% 12.4% 12.8% 13.2% 14.5% 10.4% 3.6% 0.5% -3.7% -4.1% -3.8% -3.1% -3.2% -3.2% -1.5% -0.4% 3.0% 3.04%
Net Income -1.7% 2.5% -10.6% 39.8% -1.5% -1.5% -32.2% -2.4% -4.8% -1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 3.3% 3.0% 6.4% 1.7% 19.7% 1.2% -49.7% -4.2% -4.22%
EPS -1.7% 2.4% -10.6% 43.6% -1.6% -1.5% -31.8% -2.4% -4.7% -1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 3.1% 3.0% 5.9% 1.7% 19.8% 1.0% -49.8% -4.5% -4.49%
FCF 25.1% -1.0% -1.3% -1.4% -2.0% -92.4% -7.6% -6.1% -4.3% -2.4% -1.6% -1.3% -73.3% -51.7% 1.1% 38.0% 54.7% 61.2% 65.0% 57.6% 57.60%
EBITDA -30.7% 57.6% -66.8% -46.6% -42.2% -59.1% 1.4% 82.6% 97.9% 72.6% 29.7% 26.9% 24.7% 30.9% 45.8% 30.0% 18.6% 36.5% -9.0% 10.5% 10.53%
Op. Income 36.2% 32.9% 0.7% -10.1% -22.2% -18.0% -8.1% -0.3% 3.4% -1.8% -3.5% -5.7% -0.0% -8.5% -10.3% -18.5% -23.9% -22.3% -9.4% 11.6% 11.55%
OCF Growth snapshot only 64.85%
Asset Growth snapshot only 9.20%
Equity Growth snapshot only 89.00%
Debt Growth snapshot only 4.51%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.28%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 1.83%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 2.2% 3.5% 5.9% 7.4% 9.6% 10.5% 10.2% 9.5% 7.9% 6.0% 4.0% 3.3% 2.2% 0.8% -0.6% -1.0% -1.3% -1.34%
Revenue 5Y -5.7% -4.8% -4.5% -4.1% -2.2% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 4.1% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 4.9% 4.8% 4.6% 4.63%
EPS 3Y 13.8% 77.8% 27.7%
EPS 5Y -27.3% -6.1% 14.8% 15.6% 40.6% 35.0% 37.8% 81.2%
Net Income 3Y 16.3% 77.9% 27.8%
Net Income 5Y -27.4% -4.8% 16.3% 17.2% 42.6% 36.8% 39.7% 83.6%
EBITDA 3Y -20.4% -7.8% -41.2% -30.5% -28.8% -27.5% -13.9% -11.9% -7.5% 3.6% 1.0% 7.3% 12.6% -2.6% 65.4% 44.4% 43.0% 45.5% 19.8% 22.2% 22.16%
EBITDA 5Y -7.1% 1.1% -22.2% -17.0% -16.4% -14.8% -8.8% -11.7% -10.4% -11.2% -8.8% -4.9% -2.3% -2.9% 3.8% 2.4% 3.2% 14.7% 6.5% 12.2% 12.18%
Gross Profit 3Y 6.5% 5.9% 1.7% 0.8% -0.1% 1.4% 2.6% 4.7% 3.6% 3.1% -2.3% -3.8% -5.5% -7.9% -5.2% -6.1% -5.5% -7.0% -4.6% -2.6% -2.62%
Gross Profit 5Y 3.3% 3.3% 0.9% -0.1% -1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% -0.0% -0.5% 0.2% 1.4% -0.5% -0.4% -1.3% -2.4% -2.7% -3.9% -3.3% -3.30%
Op. Income 3Y 7.3% 6.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 1.7% 2.6% 4.8% 3.1% 2.3% -3.7% -5.5% -7.0% -9.7% -7.3% -8.5% -7.7% -11.3% -7.8% -5.0% -5.02%
Op. Income 5Y 3.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1% -0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% -0.5% -1.1% -0.6% 0.8% -1.1% -1.3% -2.4% -3.6% -5.3% -6.2% -5.1% -5.14%
FCF 3Y 14.1%
FCF 5Y 3.3%
OCF 3Y 1.2% -6.2% -6.7% -5.8% -4.0% -3.8% 3.3% 10.3% 10.2% 6.7% 3.3% 0.8% -0.2% 5.3% 13.1% 12.6% 18.4% 21.6% 16.6% 19.8% 19.84%
OCF 5Y -2.7% -6.1% -8.0% -6.5% -2.7% -2.0% 1.7% 4.5% 4.4% 6.3% 5.3% 1.4% 0.7% -0.4% 2.2% 7.0% 9.6% 7.1% 9.3% 13.5% 13.49%
Assets 3Y 1.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 12.9% 10.5% 10.5% 10.51%
Assets 5Y -1.3% -1.3% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% -1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.4% 8.4% 8.39%
Equity 3Y 2.2% 2.2% -4.5% -4.5% -4.5% -4.5% -6.7% -6.7% -6.7% -6.7% -1.9% -1.9% -1.9% -1.9% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 41.4% 41.4% 41.38%
Book Value 3Y 1.9% -0.0% -4.1% -6.5% -4.5% -6.5% -6.9% -8.6% -6.8% -8.8% -1.9% -4.0% -3.8% -2.0% 6.8% 9.1% 6.9% 9.1% 38.3% 41.2% 41.18%
Dividend 3Y 1.4% -0.5% 2.1% -0.4% 1.7% -0.5% 1.5% -0.4% 1.5% -0.5% 1.7% -0.6% -0.0% 2.3% 0.6% 3.0% 0.3% 1.7% -1.0% 0.5% 0.47%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.72 0.61 0.55 0.46 0.23 0.00 0.11 0.42 0.53 0.54 0.57 0.61 0.72 0.79 0.77 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.52 0.46 0.461
Earnings Stability 0.35 0.46 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.16 0.64 0.93 0.43 0.45 0.12 0.00 0.02 0.26 0.34 0.39 0.39 0.50 0.77 0.769
Margin Stability 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.87 0.88 0.87 0.84 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.84 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.86 0.81 0.80 0.797
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.98 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.80 0.98 0.983
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.09 0.82 0.99 0.34 0.96 0.957
ROE Trend -0.15 0.18 -0.21 -0.06 -0.13 -0.14 -0.16 -0.14 -0.06 -0.28 0.28 0.34 0.48 0.62 0.55 0.38 0.18 0.20 -0.16 -0.10 -0.103
Gross Margin Trend 0.06 0.04 -0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 0.00 0.004
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.08 -0.12 -0.18 -0.22 -0.25 -0.25 -0.29 -0.34 -0.30 -0.27 -0.12 0.03 0.14 0.20 0.24 0.25 0.250
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.0% -8.2% 3.0% 15.6% 26.4% 42.4% 29.5% 16.8% 20.8% 7.5% 15.9% 15.90%
Internal Growth Rate 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 1.7% 1.72%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -18.27 3.81 -4.61 -14.04 -6.13 -7.90 -4.97 -5.65 -8.21 -6.03 12.54 5.15 2.99 2.13 1.54 2.15 3.56 3.44 4.80 3.71 3.709
FCF/OCF 0.24 -0.01 -0.11 -0.16 -0.28 -0.52 -0.68 -0.85 -1.07 -1.11 -1.55 -2.09 -2.23 -2.39 -1.69 -1.16 -0.71 -0.57 -0.38 -0.30 -0.298
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.105
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.321
CapEx/Revenue 18.6% 18.8% 19.0% 21.6% 23.6% 26.7% 36.1% 41.0% 48.5% 55.9% 60.9% 66.5% 65.7% 65.9% 60.2% 53.6% 51.1% 50.6% 48.5% 51.6% 51.58%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.147
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.04 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.11 -0.07 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.073
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.036
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.715
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 3.0% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 3.8% 4.0% 3.5% 5.6% 5.8% 6.8% 5.4% 4.9% 5.0% 4.79%
Dividend/Share $0.58 $0.56 $0.60 $0.57 $0.62 $0.59 $0.63 $0.60 $0.65 $0.62 $0.66 $0.63 $0.65 $0.66 $0.68 $0.69 $0.70 $0.70 $0.70 $0.70 $0.70
Payout Ratio 73.7% 1.8% 85.9% 54.5% 42.1% 27.1% 35.2% 49.0% 43.9% 55.9% 37.4% 37.44%
FCF Payout Ratio 65.0%
Total Payout Ratio 73.7% 1.8% 85.9% 54.5% 42.1% 27.1% 35.2% 49.0% 43.9% 55.9% 37.4% 37.44%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.07 0.068
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -8.7% -8.5% -8.4% -1.3% -0.5% -0.4% -0.4% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -3.6% -3.6% -3.6% -3.1% 0.0% 0.0% -6.2% -5.7% -9.7% -11.0% -10.97%
Total Shareholder Return -6.0% -5.6% -5.5% 1.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 5.6% 5.8% 0.6% -0.3% -4.8% -6.0% -6.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.61 0.53 0.38 0.18 0.41 0.32 2.27 2.43 4.87 2.10 3.36 7.16 3.98 8.50 1.87 2.19 1.88 1.14 1.90 1.76 1.756
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.25 0.51 4.57 -10.72 -9.15 -4.79 -0.26 -0.21 -0.06 -0.25 0.05 0.05 0.13 0.08 0.39 0.30 0.27 0.41 0.25 0.35 0.346
EBIT Margin 0.09 0.18 -0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.20 0.17 0.17 0.20 0.16 0.18 0.177
Asset Turnover 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.252
Equity Multiplier 12.12 12.12 12.44 12.44 12.44 12.44 13.62 13.62 13.62 13.62 16.89 16.89 16.89 16.89 15.04 15.04 15.04 15.04 9.42 9.42 9.417
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.21 $0.76 $-0.62 $-0.21 $-0.53 $-0.39 $-0.82 $-0.72 $-0.55 $-0.79 $0.36 $0.73 $1.18 $1.57 $2.50 $1.96 $1.42 $1.59 $1.26 $1.87 $1.87
Book Value/Share $3.93 $3.70 $4.19 $3.94 $4.19 $3.94 $3.64 $3.42 $3.64 $3.42 $3.71 $3.49 $3.49 $3.49 $5.11 $5.11 $5.12 $5.10 $9.65 $9.63 $13.09
Tangible Book/Share $1.11 $1.05 $0.26 $0.24 $0.26 $0.24 $0.35 $0.33 $0.35 $0.33 $-0.15 $-0.14 $-0.14 $-0.14 $1.90 $1.90 $1.90 $1.89 $6.31 $6.30 $6.30
Revenue/Share $15.56 $15.38 $16.70 $15.98 $17.57 $17.34 $18.86 $18.26 $19.37 $17.93 $18.92 $17.59 $17.43 $17.23 $17.22 $17.00 $16.90 $16.94 $17.13 $17.46 $17.46
FCF/Share $0.90 $-0.02 $-0.32 $-0.48 $-0.92 $-1.58 $-2.74 $-3.45 $-4.86 $-5.28 $-7.00 $-7.90 $-7.90 $-8.00 $-6.51 $-4.89 $-3.58 $-3.10 $-2.27 $-2.07 $-2.07
OCF/Share $3.78 $2.88 $2.85 $2.96 $3.24 $3.05 $4.06 $4.05 $4.54 $4.74 $4.53 $3.79 $3.54 $3.35 $3.86 $4.22 $5.05 $5.47 $6.03 $6.94 $6.94
Cash/Share $2.12 $2.00 $1.76 $1.65 $1.76 $1.65 $3.15 $2.96 $3.14 $2.96 $2.72 $2.56 $2.55 $2.55 $2.25 $2.25 $2.25 $2.25 $3.15 $3.14 $2.31
EBITDA/Share $2.95 $4.27 $1.23 $1.59 $1.71 $1.75 $2.93 $2.89 $3.39 $3.01 $3.79 $3.67 $3.96 $3.94 $5.19 $4.77 $4.71 $5.37 $4.72 $5.25 $5.25
Debt/Share $29.63 $27.96 $28.03 $26.30 $27.99 $26.30 $35.13 $33.00 $35.12 $33.00 $40.12 $37.75 $37.70 $37.70 $40.70 $40.70 $40.76 $40.64 $42.47 $42.42 $42.42
Net Debt/Share $27.51 $25.96 $26.27 $24.65 $26.23 $24.65 $31.98 $30.05 $31.98 $30.05 $37.40 $35.19 $35.14 $35.14 $38.45 $38.45 $38.50 $38.40 $39.33 $39.27 $39.27
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.505
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.340
Piotroski F-Score 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 7 6 5 6 6 7 6 5 5 5
Beneish M-Score -2.93 -2.59 -2.19 -2.45 -2.39 -2.65 -2.68 -2.66 -2.70 -2.80 -2.94 -3.01 -2.89 -2.67 -2.45 -2.36 -2.49 -2.62 -2.84 -2.85 -2.847
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.844
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 6.09%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-46.63
EVA snapshot only $-2014688188.98
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 14.82 25.40 13.10 16.12 15.95 16.19 15.99 16.10 15.64 15.68 12.12 12.21 11.86 11.70 14.70 12.22 12.10 15.45 13.53 16.92 16.921
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only 4.703
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 8
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 5

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