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AESI NYSE

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
1W: +2.5% 1M: +26.1% 3M: +66.2% YTD: +100.2% 1Y: +51.3% 3Y: +25.0%
$19.07
-0.40 (-2.05%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.9%
$16 $18 $19 $20 $21
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 65 · $2.4B mcap · 80M float · 6.15% daily turnover · Short 34% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
31.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -3.0%
Cost Advantage
20
Intangibles
24
Switching Cost
48
Network Effect
28
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AESI has No discernible competitive edge (31.5/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -3.0% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$19
Low
$20
Avg Target
$20
High
Based on 2 analysts since May 4, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 5Hold: 3Sell: 2Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$17.83
Analysts6
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-18 Piper Sandler $13 $19 +6 +0.7% $18.87
2026-05-06 RBC Capital $12 $20 +8 +9.6% $18.25
2026-05-01 Stifel Nicolaus $14 $28 +14 +61.1% $17.38
2026-04-15 Piper Sandler $10 $13 +3 +8.4% $11.99
2026-02-25 Stifel Nicolaus Stephen Gengaro $13 $14 +1 +40.4% $9.97
2026-02-24 Stifel Nicolaus Stephen Gengaro Initiated $13 +27.8% $10.17
2026-01-27 Stephens $23 $16 -7 +39.1% $11.50
2026-01-15 RBC Capital $13 $12 -1 +8.7% $11.04
2025-11-20 Goldman Sachs Ati Modak Initiated $8 -6.7% $8.57
2025-11-17 Piper Sandler $12 $10 -2 +11.9% $8.94
2025-10-30 Loop Capital Markets James McIlree Initiated $22 +82.0% $12.09
2025-10-16 Piper Sandler Derek Podhaizer $14 $12 -2 +12.5% $10.67
2025-10-13 Barclays Initiated $11 +4.3% $10.55
2025-10-09 RBC Capital $25 $13 -12 +12.1% $11.60
2025-08-14 Piper Sandler Derek Podhaizer $22 $14 -8 +23.1% $11.38
2025-03-12 Piper Sandler Derek Podhaizer $25 $22 -3 +22.4% $17.97
2024-10-14 Citigroup Scott Gruber Initiated $23 +12.9% $20.38
2024-10-14 Bank of America Securities Saurabh Pant Initiated $22 +10.0% $20.45
2024-10-11 RBC Capital Keith Mackey Initiated $25 +21.5% $20.58
2024-05-20 Piper Sandler Luke Lemoine Initiated $25 +6.2% $23.53
2023-11-07 Stephens Mike Scialla Initiated $23 +21.3% $18.96

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AESI receives an overall rating of C-. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-08 C C-
2026-04-27 C- C
2026-02-26 C+ C-
2026-02-24 C C+
2026-02-23 C- C
2026-01-07 C C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

15 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
44
Earnings Quality
42
Growth
26
Value
48
Momentum
30
Safety
30
Cash Flow
26
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AESI scores highest in Value (48/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.37
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-18.28
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.96
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B
Score: 29.5/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -1.46x
Accruals: -11.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AESI scores 1.37, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AESI scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AESI's score of -18.28 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AESI's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AESI receives an estimated rating of B (score: 29.5/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-24.06x
PEG
0.24x
P/S
2.24x
P/B
2.03x
P/FCF
87.74x
P/OCF
11.37x
EV/EBITDA
15.77x
EV/Revenue
2.04x
EV/EBIT
-35.38x
EV/FCF
116.63x
Earnings Yield
-6.04%
FCF Yield
1.14%
Shareholder Yield
3.79%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. AESI currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.827
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.945
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.058
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.506
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.871
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-8.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AESI's ROE of -8.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.506), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 805 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$19.07
Median 1Y
$18.35
5th Pctile
$8.04
95th Pctile
$41.77
Ann. Volatility
48.4%
Analyst Target
$17.83
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
John Turner
Chief Executive Officer and President
$906,154 $4,072,930 $5,508,018
Ben M. “Bud”
Brigham Executive Chairman
$253,077 $4,197,688 $4,450,765
Chris Scholla Sand
er Executive Vice President and President of Sand and Logistics
$409,615 $1,730,995 $4,241,333
Blake McCarthy Financial
ancial Officer
$494,231 $1,730,995 $2,483,864
Dathan C. Voelter
General Counsel, Secretary and Chief Compliance Officer
$438,403 $1,145,503 $1,905,244

CEO Pay Ratio

60:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $5,508,018
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $91,879
Employees: 1,511

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,511
+32.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$724,891
Rev: $1,095,310,000
Profit / Employee
$-33,292
NI: $-50,304,000
SGA / Employee
$91,879
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 11.0% 18.5% 24.3% 18.4% 18.9% 15.5% 11.8% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% -1.4% -4.5% -8.8% -8.80%
ROA 7.5% 12.6% 16.5% 12.7% 13.0% 10.6% 8.1% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% -0.8% -2.4% -4.7% -4.70%
ROIC 11.4% 23.8% 33.8% 27.9% 23.7% 17.9% 12.4% 6.0% 4.6% 3.3% 1.9% -0.7% -3.0% -2.99%
ROCE 11.2% 22.8% 32.7% 22.7% 19.8% 15.6% 11.4% 6.6% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% -0.5% -3.0% -3.05%
Gross Margin 53.7% 54.9% 50.5% 44.6% 35.7% 21.0% 17.4% 18.4% 18.3% 18.1% 6.3% 4.9% -0.6% -0.64%
Operating Margin 48.1% 47.4% 41.4% 34.9% 20.6% 9.8% 5.0% 11.3% 5.2% 2.5% -6.9% -8.0% -13.4% -13.43%
Net Margin 36.7% 23.8% 18.7% 25.3% 13.9% 5.2% 1.3% 5.3% 0.4% -1.9% -9.1% -8.9% -17.8% -17.80%
EBITDA Margin 54.0% 53.5% 48.3% 43.6% 30.5% 20.2% 15.2% 24.3% 19.7% 19.3% 11.3% 14.1% 6.6% 6.62%
FCF Margin -4.4% 3.6% -6.8% -10.8% -17.7% -24.2% -15.8% -11.1% -10.5% -1.6% -1.6% -2.8% 1.8% 1.75%
OCF Margin 35.4% 50.2% 45.2% 48.7% 43.5% 31.0% 29.3% 24.3% 18.0% 20.4% 16.5% 10.7% 13.5% 13.52%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.39%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.55%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.04%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -2.96%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.45%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.23%
CROIC snapshot only 1.07%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -4.92%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -11.24%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.85%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.31%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 26.68 16.30 16.08 9.78 17.50 19.39 27.97 39.09 59.71 115.77 -103.01 -23.22 -16.55 -24.058
P/S Ratio 9.79 4.90 4.22 2.55 3.50 2.66 2.46 2.22 1.77 1.39 1.26 1.07 1.54 2.240
P/B Ratio 2.94 3.02 3.91 1.80 2.63 2.39 2.62 2.26 1.98 1.56 1.36 0.97 1.35 2.033
P/FCF -224.01 136.93 -62.09 -23.54 -19.74 -10.98 -15.55 -19.94 -16.90 -89.28 -76.45 -37.78 87.74 87.743
P/OCF 27.69 9.77 9.35 5.23 8.03 8.58 8.39 9.14 9.80 6.82 7.63 9.96 11.37 11.371
EV/EBITDA 18.92 9.50 8.40 4.99 7.95 8.01 9.98 12.24 10.97 9.17 8.90 9.54 15.77 15.775
EV/Revenue 10.21 5.11 4.36 2.50 3.45 2.62 2.42 2.65 2.16 1.79 1.67 1.56 2.04 2.044
EV/EBIT 21.17 10.68 9.54 5.77 9.74 11.15 16.87 24.48 27.80 29.88 52.61 -167.59 -35.38 -35.378
EV/FCF -233.73 142.71 -64.12 -23.06 -19.46 -10.81 -15.33 -23.84 -20.68 -114.56 -101.36 -55.18 116.63 116.629
Earnings Yield 3.7% 6.1% 6.2% 10.2% 5.7% 5.2% 3.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% -1.0% -4.3% -6.0% -6.04%
FCF Yield -0.4% 0.7% -1.6% -4.2% -5.1% -9.1% -6.4% -5.0% -5.9% -1.1% -1.3% -2.6% 1.1% 1.14%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.245
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.871
EV/OCF snapshot only 15.115
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 27.448
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.79%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.02 2.02 2.02 3.44 3.44 3.44 3.44 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.46 1.46 1.457
Quick Ratio 1.83 1.83 1.83 3.21 3.21 3.21 3.21 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.05 1.05 1.049
Debt/Equity 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.48 0.48 0.479
Net Debt/Equity 0.13 0.13 0.13 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.445
Debt/Assets 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.260
Debt/EBITDA 1.78 0.87 0.60 0.58 0.63 0.70 0.79 2.32 2.32 2.34 2.53 3.24 4.20 4.202
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.79 0.38 0.27 -0.10 -0.11 -0.13 -0.14 2.00 2.00 2.02 2.19 3.01 3.91 3.907
Interest Coverage 21.51 38.05 39.62 34.54 25.07 9.54 4.60 2.96 1.97 1.39 0.66 -0.18 -1.00 -0.996
Equity Multiplier 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.84 1.84 1.843
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.193
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.233
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.070
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.032
Defensive Interval snapshot only 555.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.20 0.42 0.63 0.49 0.65 0.77 0.92 0.65 0.72 0.72 0.69 0.52 0.51 0.506
Inventory Turnover 4.33 8.78 13.53 13.73 18.45 26.51 35.57 26.41 30.22 30.52 30.26 15.16 15.54 15.541
Receivables Turnover 2.06 4.24 6.36 8.63 8.97 10.70 12.72 8.91 9.79 9.80 9.42 6.32 6.13 6.133
Payables Turnover 2.25 4.55 7.02 4.93 7.63 10.96 14.71 9.16 10.48 10.59 10.50 10.20 10.46 10.457
DSO 177 86 57 42 41 34 29 41 37 37 39 58 60 59.5 days
DIO 84 42 27 27 20 14 10 14 12 12 12 24 23 23.5 days
DPO 163 80 52 74 48 33 25 40 35 34 35 36 35 34.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 99 48 32 -5 13 15 14 15 15 15 16 46 48 48.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.671
Operating Cycle snapshot only 83.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 26.169
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.096
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3.3% 1.5% 95.8% 72.0% 77.7% 49.2% 20.7% 3.7% -8.4% -8.41%
Net Income 1.3% 12.6% -34.6% -62.5% -73.7% -86.9% -1.2% -1.8% -3.9% -3.87%
EPS 1.1% 0.6% -41.1% -66.3% -75.8% -88.1% -1.2% -1.8% -3.8% -3.76%
FCF -16.3% -17.7% -3.5% -76.8% -5.0% 90.4% 87.4% 73.7% 1.2% 1.15%
EBITDA 2.4% 50.2% -8.6% -25.5% -19.2% -11.0% -6.6% -21.9% -39.8% -39.79%
Op. Income 2.1% 21.3% -38.6% -57.0% -61.2% -62.5% -73.3% -1.1% -1.7% -1.74%
OCF Growth snapshot only -31.35%
Asset Growth snapshot only 12.97%
Equity Growth snapshot only 16.63%
Debt Growth snapshot only 9.21%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.07%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -41.83%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 90.7% 90.66%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 18.5% 18.48%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y -1.3% -1.30%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 38.4% 38.40%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 43.7% 43.70%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y 33.2% 33.22%
Book Value 3Y 23.8% 23.79%
Dividend 3Y -22.4% -22.43%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.81 0.83 0.829
Earnings Stability 0.05 0.64 0.95 1.00 0.58 0.575
Margin Stability 0.54 0.49 0.39 0.29 0.30 0.303
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.200
Earnings Smoothness 0.21 0.88 0.58 0.09 0.00 0.00
ROE Trend -0.10 -0.14 -0.18 -0.16 -0.17 -0.173
Gross Margin Trend -0.31 -0.27 -0.24 -0.24 -0.25 -0.249
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.09 0.10 0.08 0.16 0.158
Sustainable Growth Rate 8.1% 12.7% 13.1% 9.5% 6.9% 2.1% -1.3% -3.9% -7.6% -10.4%
Internal Growth Rate 5.8% 9.4% 9.8% 7.0% 4.9% 1.5%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.96 1.67 1.72 1.87 2.18 2.26 3.34 4.28 6.09 16.97 -13.51 -2.33 -1.46 -1.456
FCF/OCF -0.12 0.07 -0.15 -0.22 -0.41 -0.78 -0.54 -0.46 -0.58 -0.08 -0.10 -0.26 0.13 0.130
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.189
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.044
CapEx/Revenue 39.7% 46.6% 52.0% 59.5% 61.2% 55.2% 45.1% 35.4% 28.5% 22.0% 18.2% 13.5% 11.8% 11.77%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.628
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -0.08 -0.12 -0.11 -0.15 -0.13 -0.19 -0.12 -0.11 -0.14 -0.12 -0.08 -0.12 -0.115
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.071
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.769
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.0% 1.9% 2.9% 4.9% 3.6% 4.5% 4.0% 4.1% 5.2% 7.0% 8.4% 7.9% 3.8% 1.31%
Dividend/Share $0.15 $0.30 $0.57 $0.77 $0.76 $0.82 $0.81 $0.87 $0.89 $0.91 $0.96 $0.74 $0.50 $0.25
Payout Ratio 26.6% 31.6% 46.0% 48.2% 63.7% 86.5% 1.1% 1.6% 3.1% 8.1%
FCF Payout Ratio 2.7% 3.3% 3.32%
Total Payout Ratio 26.6% 31.6% 46.0% 48.2% 63.7% 86.5% 1.1% 1.7% 3.2% 8.2%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number 4.58 2.12 0.62 0.30 0.33 0.29 0.40 0.03 -0.38 -0.381
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.01%
Net Buyback Yield -20.2% -19.4% -15.0% -18.8% -0.4% -0.2% -0.2% 0.1% -12.2% -15.5% -17.8% -21.6% 0.0% 0.01%
Total Shareholder Return -19.2% -17.4% -12.1% -13.9% 3.3% 4.2% 3.8% 4.2% -7.0% -8.5% -9.4% -13.7% 3.8% 3.79%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.80 0.65 0.59 0.62 0.59 0.65 0.78 0.79 0.77 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.83 0.827
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.95 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.90 0.78 0.66 0.49 0.28 -0.52 6.70 1.94 1.945
EBIT Margin 0.48 0.48 0.46 0.43 0.35 0.23 0.14 0.11 0.08 0.06 0.03 -0.01 -0.06 -0.058
Asset Turnover 0.20 0.42 0.63 0.49 0.65 0.77 0.92 0.65 0.72 0.72 0.69 0.52 0.51 0.506
Equity Multiplier 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.45 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.87 1.87 1.871
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.56 $0.95 $1.24 $1.60 $1.19 $0.95 $0.73 $0.54 $0.29 $0.11 $-0.11 $-0.41 $-0.79 $-0.79
Book Value/Share $5.11 $5.11 $5.11 $8.68 $7.90 $7.75 $7.81 $9.32 $8.66 $8.38 $8.38 $9.75 $9.70 $9.38
Tangible Book/Share $5.11 $5.11 $5.11 $8.66 $7.88 $7.73 $7.80 $7.74 $7.20 $6.97 $6.96 $7.05 $7.01 $7.01
Revenue/Share $1.53 $3.15 $4.73 $6.14 $5.95 $6.95 $8.33 $9.49 $9.69 $9.40 $9.03 $8.83 $8.53 $8.53
FCF/Share $-0.07 $0.11 $-0.32 $-0.66 $-1.05 $-1.68 $-1.32 $-1.06 $-1.01 $-0.15 $-0.15 $-0.25 $0.15 $0.15
OCF/Share $0.54 $1.58 $2.13 $2.99 $2.59 $2.15 $2.44 $2.31 $1.75 $1.92 $1.49 $0.95 $1.15 $1.15
Cash/Share $0.82 $0.82 $0.82 $2.10 $1.91 $1.88 $1.89 $0.64 $0.60 $0.58 $0.58 $0.33 $0.33 $0.32
EBITDA/Share $0.83 $1.69 $2.46 $3.07 $2.58 $2.27 $2.02 $2.06 $1.91 $1.83 $1.69 $1.44 $1.11 $1.11
Debt/Share $1.47 $1.47 $1.47 $1.78 $1.62 $1.59 $1.60 $4.76 $4.43 $4.29 $4.28 $4.67 $4.65 $4.65
Net Debt/Share $0.65 $0.65 $0.65 $-0.32 $-0.29 $-0.29 $-0.29 $4.12 $3.83 $3.71 $3.70 $4.34 $4.32 $4.32
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.369
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.709
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 4 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -3.19 -2.04 -1.94 9.54 9.31 8.97 10.05 -1.05 -18.28 -18.280
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.964
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -3.65%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-5.71
EVA snapshot only $-227049320.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B
Credit Score 88.63 92.90 90.65 90.46 92.74 87.69 81.96 47.52 44.35 35.38 32.08 25.76 29.50 29.500
Credit Grade snapshot only 15
Credit Trend snapshot only -14.853
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 750.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 13
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 21

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms