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AGL NYSE

Agilon Health, Inc.
1W: +2.3% 1M: +183.4% 3M: +18241.0% YTD: +11815.1% 1Y: +3136.3% 3Y: +248.8% 5Y: +167.9%
$86.39
+5.82 (+7.22%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±61.0%
$-18 $32 $82 $132 $182
NYSE · Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 61 · $1.4B mcap · 12M float · 3.41% daily turnover · Short 34% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
29.5 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 252.6%
Cost Advantage ★
52
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
18
Network Effect
34
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AGL has No discernible competitive edge (29.5/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 252.6% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$48
Low
$56
Avg Target
$72
High
Based on 3 analysts since May 6, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 14Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$43.60
Analysts5
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-08 Wells Fargo $2 $72 +70 +18.7% $60.66
2026-05-07 Jefferies Jack Slevin $1 $48 +47 +72.4% $27.85
2026-05-07 Deutsche Bank $33 $49 +16 +75.9% $27.85
2026-04-09 Deutsche Bank George Hill $4 $33 +29 +66.3% $19.84
2026-04-08 Evercore ISI Initiated $16 -13.4% $18.47
2025-10-07 Wells Fargo Initiated $2 -94.6% $28.00
2025-08-15 Jefferies Jack Slevin Initiated $1 -96.0% $27.38
2024-10-29 Citigroup Daniel Grosslight Initiated $2 -96.0% $63.00
2024-10-02 Bank of America Securities Adam Ron Initiated $3 -96.6% $88.38
2024-08-08 Deutsche Bank George Hill Initiated $4 -97.1% $140.00
2024-05-29 Robert W. Baird Michael Ha Initiated $6 -95.8% $144.00
2024-05-24 Truist Financial Jailendra Singh $33 $6 -26 -95.4% $141.25
2022-07-26 Truist Financial David MacDonald Initiated $33 -94.7% $628.25

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AGL receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-06 C- C
2026-04-01 D+ C-
2026-03-31 C- D+
2026-03-06 C C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

16 Grade D
Profitability
3
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
31
Growth
30
Value
32
Momentum
33
Safety
30
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AGL scores highest in Momentum (33/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.48
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Beneish M-Score
-4.26
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.20
Bankruptcy prob: 3.9%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 33.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 0.13x
Accruals: -21.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. AGL scores 1.48, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AGL scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AGL's score of -4.26 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AGL's implied 3.9% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AGL receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 33.7/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-3.84x
PEG
0.08x
P/S
0.25x
P/B
7.90x
P/FCF
-1.72x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
0.32x
EV/Revenue
-0.02x
EV/EBIT
0.30x
EV/FCF
1.52x
Earnings Yield
-283.38%
FCF Yield
-58.13%
Shareholder Yield
2.18%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. AGL currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.003
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.962
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.067
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
3.873
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
5.028
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-125.0%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AGL's ROE of -125.0% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 5.03x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1283 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$86.72
Median 1Y
$24.19
5th Pctile
$1.19
95th Pctile
$485.16
Ann. Volatility
172.5%
Analyst Target
$43.60
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Steven Sell
Former Chief Executive Officer and President
$431,507 $4,050,004 $7,278,387
Jeffrey Schwaneke Financial
ancial Officer and Interim Co-Principal Executive Officer
$625,000 $2,950,003 $5,610,878
Benjamin Shaker Markets
arkets Officer and Interim Co-Principal Executive Officer
$450,000 $2,950,003 $5,357,548
Denise Zamore Legal
Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary
$425,000 $1,500,008 $3,123,418
Girish Venkatachaliah Technology
nology Officer
$425,000 $937,506 $2,056,086

CEO Pay Ratio

26:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $7,278,387
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $278,664
Employees: 856

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
856
-20.4% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$6,930,579
Rev: $5,932,576,000
Profit / Employee
$-473,536
NI: $-405,347,000
SGA / Employee
$278,664
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 1.0% 1.2% -35.8% -35.7% -27.7% -26.5% -10.0% -8.6% -8.2% -8.3% -30.8% -33.4% -35.1% -45.2% -45.9% -42.7% -55.7% -54.4% -1.3% -1.2% -1.25%
ROA -67.0% -75.0% -24.7% -24.6% -11.0% -10.5% -6.5% -5.6% -5.4% -5.4% -15.3% -16.6% -17.4% -22.4% -15.0% -13.9% -18.2% -17.7% -26.0% -24.9% -24.86%
ROIC 74.0% 82.9% -3.1% -3.1% -86.0% -81.0% -43.9% -43.5% -46.4% -50.0% -82.0% -84.8% -90.0% -1.2% -2.1% -2.2% -2.7% -2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.53%
ROCE -1.6% -1.8% -31.5% -31.4% -9.0% -8.4% -8.7% -8.0% -7.5% -6.6% -24.1% -24.7% -26.7% -39.3% -41.7% -42.5% -55.2% -54.1% -2.0% -2.0% -1.99%
Gross Margin 4.6% 3.3% 2.1% 6.5% 5.1% 3.7% 1.4% 6.9% 5.1% 3.2% -11.7% 4.7% 2.2% -4.4% -2.5% 3.3% -3.8% -5.2% -6.2% 4.1% 4.10%
Operating Margin -59.8% -7.8% -10.3% -0.1% -3.1% -4.2% -10.0% 0.0% -2.7% -3.5% -19.6% -0.4% -2.9% -9.2% -7.1% -1.4% -8.3% -8.9% -9.9% 0.7% 0.71%
Net Margin -59.9% -7.8% -12.3% 0.2% -3.1% -4.4% -8.2% 1.5% -1.6% -2.8% -28.3% -0.4% -2.1% -8.1% -6.9% 0.8% -7.5% -7.7% -12.0% 2.1% 2.11%
EBITDA Margin -58.5% -7.0% -11.4% 0.7% -2.5% -3.7% -7.3% 1.3% -0.7% -1.2% -19.1% 0.6% -1.5% -7.5% -6.3% 0.4% -6.8% -7.1% -11.4% 1.2% 1.19%
FCF Margin -8.0% -6.7% -8.2% -7.0% -8.1% -6.4% -6.0% -6.4% -4.3% -4.2% -4.5% -4.0% -3.7% -3.0% -1.3% -1.0% -1.2% -1.7% -2.4% -1.3% -1.32%
OCF Margin -7.9% -6.1% -7.6% -6.3% -6.7% -5.2% -4.8% -5.4% -3.7% -3.7% -3.8% -3.1% -2.8% -2.5% -1.0% -0.7% -1.0% -1.2% -1.8% -0.9% -0.86%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.30%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -86.73%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -19.90%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -6.52%
Cash ROA snapshot only -3.94%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -5.28%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -6.40%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 3.83%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.66%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -51.24 -30.64 -27.35 -27.55 -79.41 -90.14 -62.42 -110.41 -80.98 -81.31 -19.54 -8.76 -9.01 -4.20 -3.01 -7.39 -3.02 -0.06 -0.03 -0.35 -3.839
P/S Ratio 30.69 10.71 7.53 5.18 3.96 3.88 2.46 3.26 2.03 1.82 1.26 0.54 0.53 0.30 0.13 0.30 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.248
P/B Ratio -53.78 -36.01 9.80 9.85 8.14 8.82 6.39 9.73 6.83 6.92 7.75 3.77 4.06 2.44 1.66 3.80 2.02 0.04 0.09 1.04 7.904
P/FCF -384.83 -159.65 -91.80 -74.20 -49.14 -61.10 -40.69 -50.73 -47.71 -43.18 -27.71 -13.63 -14.45 -10.06 -9.76 -29.46 -13.49 -0.17 -0.08 -1.72 -1.720
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA -52.37 -31.57 -25.79 -26.25 -82.03 -96.09 -66.67 -118.68 -90.09 -109.59 -28.67 -12.27 -12.35 -4.24 -1.93 -6.43 -2.00 1.20 0.64 0.32 0.325
EV/Revenue 30.62 10.67 6.83 4.70 3.52 3.48 2.15 2.99 1.79 1.62 1.15 0.44 0.45 0.22 0.07 0.24 0.10 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 -0.020
EV/EBIT -51.73 -30.85 -25.04 -25.26 -71.62 -83.53 -57.60 -100.07 -72.40 -82.72 -25.53 -10.86 -11.01 -3.91 -1.74 -5.77 -1.84 1.09 0.60 0.30 0.301
EV/FCF -383.99 -159.13 -83.26 -67.33 -43.64 -54.78 -35.64 -46.60 -42.18 -38.24 -25.32 -11.21 -12.07 -7.31 -5.25 -23.50 -8.37 3.50 1.69 1.52 1.521
Earnings Yield -2.0% -3.3% -3.7% -3.6% -1.3% -1.1% -1.6% -0.9% -1.2% -1.2% -5.1% -11.4% -11.1% -23.8% -33.2% -13.5% -33.2% -18.1% -34.3% -2.8% -2.83%
FCF Yield -0.3% -0.6% -1.1% -1.3% -2.0% -1.6% -2.5% -2.0% -2.1% -2.3% -3.6% -7.3% -6.9% -9.9% -10.2% -3.4% -7.4% -5.8% -12.3% -58.1% -58.13%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.085
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.160
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.18%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.10 1.10 3.83 3.83 3.83 3.83 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.02 1.02 1.019
Quick Ratio 1.10 1.10 3.83 3.83 3.83 3.83 2.71 2.71 2.71 2.71 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.02 1.02 1.019
Debt/Equity -0.26 -0.26 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.29 0.29 0.290
Net Debt/Equity -0.91 -0.91 -0.91 -0.91 -0.79 -0.79 -0.79 -0.79 -0.67 -0.67 -0.67 -0.67 -0.77 -0.77 -0.77 -0.77 -1.96 -1.96 -1.959
Debt/Assets 0.16 0.16 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.029
Debt/EBITDA -0.25 -0.23 -0.16 -0.16 -0.62 -0.66 -0.60 -0.67 -0.75 -0.90 -0.32 -0.31 -0.29 -0.19 -0.20 -0.20 -0.15 -0.15 -0.10 -0.10 -0.103
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.12 0.10 2.64 2.68 10.34 11.08 9.44 10.52 11.81 14.16 2.71 2.65 2.43 1.60 1.66 1.63 1.23 1.26 0.67 0.69 0.692
Interest Coverage -197.19 -140.07 -120.96 -94.74 -31.30 -28.27 -22.36 -18.07 -15.09 -12.11 -28.04 -29.80 -31.48 -46.28 -39.28 -38.58 -51.16 -48.42 -59.85 -116.79 -116.792
Equity Multiplier -1.57 -1.57 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 2.63 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.68 10.03 10.03 10.031
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.265
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -108.194
Cash to Debt snapshot only 7.745
FCF to Debt snapshot only -2.081
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1577.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.12 2.15 0.90 1.31 2.21 2.44 1.65 1.89 2.14 2.41 2.37 2.69 2.93 3.11 3.49 3.45 3.40 3.39 3.95 3.87 3.873
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 3.45 6.62 4.84 7.07 10.25 11.33 6.89 7.91 8.93 10.05 5.68 6.45 7.02 7.46 6.19 6.11 6.02 6.01 7.02 6.88 6.884
Payables Turnover 1.83 3.54 3.94 5.69 7.04 7.78 6.28 7.17 8.09 9.13 5.54 6.30 6.90 7.48 5.72 5.67 5.67 5.67 5.53 5.43 5.426
DSO 106 55 75 52 36 32 53 46 41 36 64 57 52 49 59 60 61 61 52 53 53.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 199 103 93 64 52 47 58 51 45 40 66 58 53 49 64 64 64 64 66 67 67.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -94 -48 -17 -12 -16 -15 -5 -5 -4 -4 -2 -1 -1 0 -5 -5 -4 -4 -14 -14 -14.2 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 228.991
Cash Velocity snapshot only 20.412
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.218
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3.5% 1.6% 90.7% 49.9% 56.3% 59.2% 50.5% 48.8% 43.7% 35.5% 48.7% 29.5% 17.1% 9.9% -2.1% -2.8% -2.82%
Net Income 62.5% 68.1% 72.8% 76.5% 21.5% 17.0% -1.5% -2.1% -2.4% -3.3% 0.9% 15.0% -5.7% 19.9% -50.4% -54.3% -54.35%
EPS 65.3% 69.6% 73.8% 76.6% 22.1% 15.9% -1.5% -2.2% -2.4% -3.3% 1.7% 15.8% -5.1% -18.9% -36.4% -37.3% -37.25%
FCF -3.5% -1.5% -40.2% -37.9% 17.6% -5.9% -13.3% 8.4% -24.9% 3.7% 56.7% 66.8% 62.1% 38.7% -74.7% -26.2% -26.21%
EBITDA 67.0% 72.2% 76.8% 78.9% 27.5% 35.2% -87.1% -1.1% -1.6% -3.8% -33.4% -32.6% -61.9% -3.4% -69.1% -61.8% -61.76%
Op. Income 64.7% 70.3% 68.5% 68.8% -20.8% -38.1% -88.9% -97.1% -96.1% -1.5% -28.4% -30.6% -52.3% -8.7% -44.1% -26.6% -26.64%
OCF Growth snapshot only -19.20%
Asset Growth snapshot only -26.68%
Equity Growth snapshot only -73.09%
Debt Growth snapshot only -16.26%
Shares Change snapshot only -95.96%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.2% 77.5% 62.2% 42.4% 38.0% 33.4% 29.9% 23.2% 23.25%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 28.9% -53.2%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 57.4% 57.4% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% -9.2% -9.2% -9.19%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y -24.4% -24.4% -24.4% -24.4% -50.4% -50.4% -50.44%
Book Value 3Y -25.4% -23.8% -24.8% 1.2% 44.6% 46.1% 46.06%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.88 0.85 0.848
Earnings Stability 0.83 0.81 0.20 0.12 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.024
Margin Stability 0.98 0.93 0.59 0.51 0.51 0.11 0.22 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.91 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.94 0.98 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend -0.17 -0.21 -0.36 -0.49 -0.30 -0.25 -0.40 -0.32 -2.61 -2.48 -2.475
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.035
FCF Margin Trend 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.012
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.13 0.17 0.27 0.33 1.35 1.21 1.23 1.84 1.47 1.64 0.59 0.50 0.47 0.35 0.22 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.27 0.13 0.134
FCF/OCF 1.01 1.10 1.09 1.11 1.19 1.21 1.25 1.19 1.15 1.15 1.19 1.28 1.32 1.19 1.39 1.45 1.21 1.43 1.32 1.53 1.531
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.205
CapEx/Revenue 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.46%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.932
Accruals Ratio -0.58 -0.62 -0.18 -0.16 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.03 -0.06 -0.08 -0.09 -0.15 -0.12 -0.12 -0.15 -0.14 -0.19 -0.22 -0.215
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.209
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -1.884
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio
FCF Payout Ratio
Total Payout Ratio
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 2.8% 3.9% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 17.4% 26.2% 2.2% 2.18%
Net Buyback Yield -7.6% -11.4% -11.0% -11.0% -0.2% -0.3% -0.5% -0.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 7.9% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% 0.3% 17.3% 26.2% 2.2% 2.18%
Total Shareholder Return -7.6% -11.4% -11.0% -11.0% -0.2% -0.3% -0.5% -0.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 7.9% -0.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.0% 0.3% 17.3% 26.2% 2.2% 2.18%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.98 1.00 1.01 0.93 0.95 1.06 1.38 1.46 1.42 1.25 1.05 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.97 1.00 1.003
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.96 0.962
EBIT Margin -0.59 -0.35 -0.27 -0.19 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.05 -0.04 -0.04 -0.06 -0.04 -0.04 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.067
Asset Turnover 1.12 2.15 0.90 1.31 2.21 2.44 1.65 1.89 2.14 2.41 2.37 2.69 2.93 3.11 3.49 3.45 3.40 3.39 3.95 3.87 3.873
Equity Multiplier -1.57 -1.57 1.45 1.45 2.52 2.52 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.54 2.02 2.02 2.02 2.02 3.07 3.07 3.07 3.07 5.03 5.03 5.028
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.79 $-0.86 $-0.99 $-0.92 $-0.27 $-0.26 $-0.26 $-0.22 $-0.21 $-0.22 $-0.64 $-0.70 $-0.73 $-0.93 $-0.63 $-0.59 $-0.76 $-18.59 $-23.60 $-22.42 $-22.42
Book Value/Share $-0.75 $-0.73 $2.75 $2.57 $2.68 $2.66 $2.53 $2.44 $2.54 $2.57 $1.62 $1.62 $1.61 $1.61 $1.14 $1.14 $1.14 $28.41 $7.64 $7.61 $10.93
Tangible Book/Share $-1.02 $-0.99 $2.51 $2.35 $2.44 $2.42 $2.48 $2.39 $2.49 $2.51 $1.40 $1.40 $1.40 $1.39 $0.91 $0.91 $0.90 $22.56 $3.68 $3.66 $3.66
Revenue/Share $1.32 $2.45 $3.58 $4.89 $5.51 $6.04 $6.57 $7.29 $8.55 $9.73 $9.97 $11.31 $12.25 $13.01 $14.71 $14.50 $14.26 $355.01 $357.71 $349.31 $350.64
FCF/Share $-0.11 $-0.16 $-0.29 $-0.34 $-0.44 $-0.38 $-0.40 $-0.47 $-0.36 $-0.41 $-0.45 $-0.45 $-0.45 $-0.39 $-0.19 $-0.15 $-0.17 $-5.94 $-8.45 $-4.60 $-4.62
OCF/Share $-0.10 $-0.15 $-0.27 $-0.31 $-0.37 $-0.32 $-0.32 $-0.39 $-0.32 $-0.36 $-0.38 $-0.35 $-0.34 $-0.33 $-0.14 $-0.10 $-0.14 $-4.15 $-6.38 $-3.00 $-3.02
Cash/Share $0.28 $0.27 $2.66 $2.49 $2.59 $2.57 $2.13 $2.06 $2.14 $2.16 $1.21 $1.21 $1.20 $1.20 $0.98 $0.98 $0.98 $24.47 $17.19 $17.11 $18.25
EBITDA/Share $-0.77 $-0.83 $-0.95 $-0.88 $-0.24 $-0.22 $-0.21 $-0.18 $-0.17 $-0.14 $-0.40 $-0.41 $-0.44 $-0.67 $-0.53 $-0.54 $-0.71 $-17.29 $-22.24 $-21.53 $-21.53
Debt/Share $0.19 $0.19 $0.15 $0.14 $0.15 $0.15 $0.13 $0.12 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.13 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $2.65 $2.22 $2.21 $2.21
Net Debt/Share $-0.09 $-0.09 $-2.51 $-2.35 $-2.44 $-2.42 $-2.00 $-1.93 $-2.01 $-2.03 $-1.08 $-1.08 $-1.08 $-1.08 $-0.88 $-0.88 $-0.87 $-21.81 $-14.97 $-14.90 $-14.90
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.483
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -6.894
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 2 5 5 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 4 4
Beneish M-Score -1.49 -1.66 -1.60 -1.71 -1.76 -1.60 -2.57 -1.85 -1.42 -3.30 -0.59 -2.67 -3.86 -3.07 -4.32 -4.26 -4.260
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.199
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -8.49%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-2.87
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 20.00 20.00 61.92 62.02 63.07 63.35 63.25 63.89 63.59 63.56 60.17 50.47 54.41 50.00 43.21 48.15 42.73 36.14 33.60 33.66 33.660
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -14.489
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 26
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 24

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