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ALCO NASDAQ

Alico, Inc.
1W: -0.3% 1M: -2.9% 3M: -1.0% YTD: +11.2% 1Y: +30.8% 3Y: +83.6% 5Y: +42.5%
$41.31
+0.46 (+1.13%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$38 $39 $40 $41 $42
NASDAQ · Consumer Defensive · Agricultural Farm Products · Alpha Radar Sell · Power 40 · $306.4M mcap · 6M float · 0.504% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
29.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -29.6%  ·  5Y Avg: -11.4%
Cost Advantage
16
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
54
Network Effect
23
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ALCO has No discernible competitive edge (29.7/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -29.6% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$45
Avg Target
$45
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$45.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-03-27 Roth Capital Gerry Sweeney $42 $45 +3 +10.8% $40.61
2025-11-26 Roth Capital Gerry Sweeney Initiated $42 +22.8% $34.20

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ALCO receives an overall rating of C-. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-18 D+ C-
2026-05-12 C- D+
2026-05-11 D+ C-
2026-04-01 C- D+
2026-02-13 C C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

42 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
54
Earnings Quality
51
Growth
48
Value
38
Momentum
50
Safety
65
Cash Flow
61
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ALCO scores highest in Safety (65/100) and lowest in Profitability (20/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.67
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
1.25
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.84
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 50.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -0.84x
Accruals: -11.6%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ALCO scores 2.67, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ALCO scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ALCO's score of 1.25 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ALCO's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ALCO receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 50.4/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-16.63x
PEG
-0.20x
P/S
18.66x
P/B
3.08x
P/FCF
24.89x
P/OCF
19.83x
EV/EBITDA
11.78x
EV/Revenue
22.08x
EV/EBIT
-14.20x
EV/FCF
28.64x
Earnings Yield
-6.02%
FCF Yield
4.02%
Shareholder Yield
0.49%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. ALCO currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.657
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.131
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-1.555
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.055
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.695
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-10.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ALCO's ROE of -10.7% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.055), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$41.31
Median 1Y
$42.14
5th Pctile
$23.80
95th Pctile
$74.35
Ann. Volatility
34.6%
Analyst Target
$45.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
John E. Kiernan
President and Chief Executive Officer
$544,529 $468,180 $1,385,168
Mitch Hutchcraft Real
utive Vice President Real Estate
$333,712 $— $555,769
Brad Heine Financial
ancial Officer
$275,000 $— $380,668

CEO Pay Ratio

4:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,385,168
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $344,324
Employees: 34

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
34
-82.9% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$1,296,059
Rev: $44,066,000
Profit / Employee
$-4,333,353
NI: $-147,334,000
SGA / Employee
$344,324
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 25.8% 15.2% 17.9% 24.9% 14.2% 5.0% -0.5% -12.2% -8.5% 0.7% 19.6% 16.3% 10.7% 2.8% -18.2% -56.7% -63.3% -83.2% -80.0% -10.7% -10.72%
ROA 12.6% 8.1% 9.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% -0.3% -7.1% -4.9% 0.4% 11.4% 9.5% 6.2% 1.7% -10.9% -34.0% -38.0% -49.1% -47.2% -6.3% -6.32%
ROIC 2.9% 3.0% 2.5% 1.1% -0.8% -6.4% 6.2% -9.1% -6.0% -0.8% -3.0% -5.4% -8.8% -11.5% -14.1% -44.9% -50.5% -1.1% -1.1% -29.6% -29.60%
ROCE 18.6% 12.3% 12.6% 11.1% 3.2% -2.6% -5.4% -7.6% -5.6% 1.8% 17.0% 13.8% 10.3% 3.7% -14.3% -44.4% -50.4% -92.5% -88.8% -13.0% -13.04%
Gross Margin 24.4% -6.0% 11.8% 8.1% 5.1% -21.2% -35.9% -29.7% 2.1% 1.6% -1.0% -1.0% -31.5% -21.1% -48.8% -6.9% -3.3% -7.7% -2.9% -66.6% -66.55%
Operating Margin 18.9% -65.0% -5.0% 2.9% -4.8% -23.6% -59.6% -42.2% 1.7% -2.2% -1.3% -1.1% -49.4% -24.3% -64.1% -8.5% -3.7% -11.3% -4.5% -1.5% -1.46%
Net Margin 77.7% -24.3% 66.1% 41.7% 10.4% -20.8% -30.1% -36.6% 1.6% 1.4% 3.1% -87.3% -15.0% -19.4% -54.3% -6.2% -2.2% -10.6% -1.8% 2.1% 2.11%
EBITDA Margin 1.2% 82.9% 75.1% 10.7% 32.1% -19.6% 7.8% -16.4% 2.3% 13.4% 4.5% -91.2% 11.6% -20.3% -39.7% -59.7% 2.3% -2.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.07%
FCF Margin -23.8% -22.8% -11.1% -22.8% -29.9% -15.6% -15.7% -47.7% -58.5% -57.5% -61.3% -97.3% -95.5% -1.0% -84.7% -42.1% 12.3% 33.2% 66.3% 77.1% 77.09%
OCF Margin 12.4% 15.2% 10.9% -0.3% -6.7% 7.1% 7.4% -15.9% -12.2% -15.7% -22.6% -47.1% -52.5% -65.4% -50.3% -22.9% 25.0% 45.7% 76.6% 96.8% 96.77%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -19.39%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -9.37%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -11.80%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -19.07%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -23.66%
Cash ROA snapshot only 7.88%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 10.56%
CROIC snapshot only 8.41%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -2.71%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -1.76%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 72.89%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 4.18%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 4.60 6.85 6.36 4.73 7.99 17.38 -142.03 -6.07 -9.25 104.15 4.57 5.53 7.52 30.39 -4.36 -1.61 -1.59 -1.80 -1.96 -16.60 -16.625
P/S Ratio 2.23 2.20 2.38 2.60 2.74 2.28 2.04 3.07 4.74 4.70 5.06 5.51 4.22 4.54 3.98 4.60 5.64 6.01 9.57 19.19 18.659
P/B Ratio 1.13 0.99 1.08 1.11 1.07 0.86 0.73 0.74 0.78 0.76 0.89 0.90 0.80 0.84 0.78 0.90 0.99 2.57 2.70 3.06 3.082
P/FCF -9.36 -9.65 -21.37 -11.40 -9.18 -14.62 -13.01 -6.44 -8.11 -8.18 -8.26 -5.67 -4.42 -4.38 -4.70 -10.93 45.75 18.12 14.42 24.89 24.889
P/OCF 18.03 14.46 21.80 32.15 27.48 22.53 13.17 12.49 19.83 19.829
EV/EBITDA 4.35 5.55 5.77 6.48 13.52 65.20 -49.73 -19.95 -46.33 13.78 4.06 4.81 5.62 10.20 -7.04 -9.08 -19.81 -688.12 36.40 11.78 11.783
EV/Revenue 3.58 3.34 3.50 3.79 4.05 3.48 3.30 4.94 7.48 7.91 8.01 8.70 6.97 6.45 5.77 6.40 7.65 7.09 11.20 22.08 22.076
EV/EBIT 5.24 7.21 7.45 8.62 28.84 -30.96 -13.62 -9.69 -13.71 42.74 4.94 6.10 7.62 20.76 -5.14 -1.83 -1.73 -1.73 -1.87 -14.20 -14.198
EV/FCF -15.03 -14.68 -31.53 -16.66 -13.57 -22.29 -21.06 -10.36 -12.79 -13.75 -13.08 -8.94 -7.30 -6.22 -6.82 -15.21 62.07 21.37 16.88 28.64 28.636
Earnings Yield 21.7% 14.6% 15.7% 21.1% 12.5% 5.8% -0.7% -16.5% -10.8% 1.0% 21.9% 18.1% 13.3% 3.3% -22.9% -61.9% -63.0% -55.6% -51.0% -6.0% -6.02%
FCF Yield -10.7% -10.4% -4.7% -8.8% -10.9% -6.8% -7.7% -15.5% -12.3% -12.2% -12.1% -17.6% -22.6% -22.8% -21.3% -9.1% 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 4.0% 4.02%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.126
EV/OCF snapshot only 22.814
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.49%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.45 2.46 2.46 2.46 2.46 1.91 1.91 1.91 1.91 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.81 3.81 3.81 3.81 9.56 9.56 9.56 9.563
Quick Ratio 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 8.83 8.83 8.83 8.828
Debt/Equity 0.70 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.830
Net Debt/Equity 0.68 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.460
Debt/Assets 0.36 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.424
Debt/EBITDA 1.68 1.91 1.87 2.06 4.40 22.61 -19.17 -7.61 -17.09 5.63 1.51 1.78 2.24 3.12 -2.27 -2.65 -5.39 -188.43 9.57 2.78 2.781
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.64 1.90 1.86 2.05 4.37 22.44 -19.02 -7.55 -16.96 5.58 1.49 1.76 2.22 3.02 -2.19 -2.55 -5.21 -104.45 5.30 1.54 1.542
Interest Coverage 16.73 12.63 14.01 13.14 3.89 -3.11 -5.92 -7.54 -5.08 1.50 13.06 12.01 10.13 4.10 -19.65 -51.84 -54.23 -37.35 -35.36 -5.41 -5.415
Equity Multiplier 1.96 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.79 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.59 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.956
Cash Ratio snapshot only 6.639
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.524
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.446
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.148
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1108.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.055
Inventory Turnover 2.12 2.01 2.13 2.13 2.09 3.00 3.03 2.52 1.60 0.83 1.18 1.39 2.05 2.50 2.42 5.00 5.45 12.32 11.29 3.49 3.486
Receivables Turnover 43.25 20.77 21.08 19.87 18.16 28.60 27.13 18.31 12.50 76.92 83.48 77.34 89.55 62.90 66.83 66.65 59.61 49.37 32.56 18.40 18.397
Payables Turnover 22.30 15.67 16.63 16.62 16.29 20.06 20.22 16.83 10.66 6.90 9.77 11.55 16.95 21.30 20.66 42.67 46.50 112.24 102.84 31.76 31.759
DSO 8 18 17 18 20 13 13 20 29 5 4 5 4 6 5 5 6 7 11 20 19.8 days
DIO 172 182 171 171 175 122 121 145 229 438 310 262 178 146 151 73 67 30 32 105 104.7 days
DPO 16 23 22 22 22 18 18 22 34 53 37 32 22 17 18 9 8 3 4 11 11.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 164 176 166 168 172 116 116 143 224 390 277 235 161 135 139 70 65 34 40 113 113.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.116
Operating Cycle snapshot only 124.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.431
Capital Intensity snapshot only 12.274
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 22.9% 17.4% 15.7% 3.2% -13.3% -15.3% -20.9% -43.3% -57.6% -56.7% -50.4% -31.9% 15.4% 17.1% 14.6% 23.4% -4.7% -5.5% -41.4% -66.8% -66.78%
Net Income 1.3% 47.3% 54.0% 1.0% -38.6% -65.4% -1.0% -1.5% -1.6% -85.1% 39.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% -1.9% -4.5% -7.0% -22.1% -2.1% 86.5% 86.51%
EPS 1.3% 46.6% 53.2% 1.0% -39.1% -65.6% -1.0% -1.5% -1.6% -85.1% 39.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% -1.9% -4.5% -7.0% -22.1% -2.1% 86.5% 86.53%
FCF -5.4% -17.1% 67.7% 8.0% -8.8% 42.0% -11.5% -18.7% 17.1% -59.7% -94.0% -38.8% -88.5% -1.1% -58.3% 46.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 1.61%
EBITDA 87.3% 33.9% 27.4% 7.3% -68.4% -92.5% -1.1% -1.2% -1.2% 3.7% 15.8% 6.0% 9.9% 29.1% -1.5% -1.5% -1.3% -1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 1.88%
Op. Income -33.4% 1.1% 55.7% -56.8% -1.2% -2.7% -3.8% -9.7% -7.6% 83.1% 49.3% 34.1% -71.0% -15.1% -2.9% -6.2% -3.7% -2.0% -2.3% 70.8% 70.85%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.40%
Asset Growth snapshot only -49.46%
Equity Growth snapshot only -58.98%
Debt Growth snapshot only -7.13%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.10%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 0.33%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 9.1% 10.1% 11.9% 4.3% -8.2% -9.1% -9.7% -21.2% -23.3% -24.5% -23.1% -26.4% -24.9% -24.5% -23.4% -21.9% -22.5% -21.7% -30.7% -34.7% -34.66%
Revenue 5Y -6.4% -5.5% -4.8% -3.7% -6.1% -6.7% -7.7% -11.6% -13.8% -13.3% -11.2% -15.2% -17.7% -17.5% -16.0% -16.3% -13.1% -13.8% -21.1% -30.4% -30.42%
EPS 3Y 38.4% 1.8% 55.8% 13.3% -32.0% -57.8% 20.9% 12.0% -21.5% -41.7%
EPS 5Y 49.4% 40.6% 40.6% 63.5% 42.2% -33.0% 91.3% 21.3% 3.0% -29.0%
Net Income 3Y 38.8% 1.8% 56.4% 13.9% -31.7% -57.6% 21.5% 12.5% -21.1% -41.5%
Net Income 5Y 46.4% 37.9% 37.8% 60.4% 39.5% -32.7% 92.0% 21.8% 3.4% -28.7%
EBITDA 3Y 51.1% 51.7% 32.6% -11.1% -59.0% -22.4% 17.6% 8.5% -13.8% -23.3%
EBITDA 5Y 16.6% 11.8% 11.3% 12.7% -3.4% -13.0% 3.8% 34.9% 22.6% 7.3% -16.2% -29.8% -11.5% -11.49%
Gross Profit 3Y 9.1% -1.1% -21.8% -45.9% -28.9%
Gross Profit 5Y -8.9% -7.4% -11.0% -14.8% -26.8% -18.9%
Op. Income 3Y 11.1% -7.3% -38.8%
Op. Income 5Y -10.5% -7.9% -14.3% -23.4%
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y -1.8%
OCF 3Y -4.3% -4.7% -10.5% -48.9% -50.9% 45.6% 51.0%
OCF 5Y -20.3% -11.5% -15.4% -25.4% -29.1% -17.1% 80.5% 62.2% 1.2% 1.17%
Assets 3Y 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% -0.7% -0.7% -0.7% -0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -2.7% -21.0% -21.0% -21.0% -21.03%
Assets 5Y -1.6% -1.1% -1.1% -1.1% -1.1% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% -0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -13.8% -13.8% -13.8% -13.82%
Equity 3Y 10.4% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% -25.0% -25.0% -25.0% -24.95%
Book Value 3Y 14.2% 11.7% 11.7% 11.6% 11.5% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% -25.1% -25.1% -25.1% -25.10%
Dividend 3Y 25.2% 42.1% 55.6% 54.8% 54.1% 27.8% 13.4% -2.9% -18.3% -31.5% -53.7% -49.6% -43.5% -32.7% -0.3% -0.3% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.1% -0.09%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.33 0.25 0.18 0.22 0.60 0.70 0.76 0.50 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.53 0.83 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.64 0.69 0.85 0.90 0.898
Earnings Stability 0.63 0.62 0.64 0.78 0.65 0.24 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.09 0.01 0.08 0.75 0.38 0.46 0.51 0.56 0.61 0.32 0.316
Margin Stability 0.27 0.73 0.67 0.69 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.81 0.50 0.50 0.85 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.21 0.62 0.57 0.32 0.52 0.03 0.00 0.00
ROE Trend 0.12 -0.01 0.00 0.08 -0.05 -0.08 -0.15 -0.30 -0.27 -0.09 0.11 0.11 0.08 -0.00 -0.27 -0.58 -0.64 -1.45 -1.38 0.01 0.014
Gross Margin Trend -0.06 -0.06 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.37 -0.42 -0.70 -0.55 0.13 -0.07 -0.20 -0.60 -1.21 -0.85 -2.72 -3.50 -3.27 -5.11 -0.86 -0.856
FCF Margin Trend -0.37 -0.23 -0.06 -0.24 -0.21 0.07 0.10 -0.24 -0.32 -0.38 -0.48 -0.62 -0.51 -0.67 -0.46 0.30 0.89 1.14 1.39 1.47 1.467
Sustainable Growth Rate 23.9% 12.1% 13.5% 19.3% 7.6% -1.2% -1.3% 19.0% 15.7% 10.0% 2.2%
Internal Growth Rate 13.2% 6.9% 7.8% 11.5% 4.3% 12.5% 10.1% 6.2% 1.3%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.26 0.47 0.29 -0.01 -0.19 0.54 -5.17 0.32 0.24 -3.48 -0.20 -0.47 -0.94 -4.37 0.55 0.08 -0.07 -0.14 -0.16 -0.84 -0.837
FCF/OCF -1.93 -1.50 -1.02 73.01 4.49 -2.20 -2.11 2.99 4.81 3.66 2.72 2.06 1.82 1.59 1.68 1.83 0.49 0.73 0.87 0.80 0.797
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.667
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.516
CapEx/Revenue 36.2% 38.0% 22.0% 22.5% 23.2% 22.7% 23.1% 31.7% 46.3% 41.8% 38.7% 50.1% 43.0% 38.3% 34.4% 19.1% 12.7% 12.5% 10.2% 19.7% 19.67%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.057
Accruals Ratio 0.09 0.04 0.07 0.13 0.09 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.04 0.02 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.09 -0.05 -0.31 -0.41 -0.56 -0.55 -0.12 -0.116
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.124
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.338
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 1.7% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% 5.8% 7.2% 8.5% 6.5% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.48%
Dividend/Share $0.54 $0.95 $1.36 $1.67 $1.99 $1.99 $1.99 $1.55 $1.10 $0.65 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20 $0.20
Payout Ratio 7.6% 20.5% 24.9% 22.2% 46.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 5.8% 21.9%
FCF Payout Ratio 28.0% 10.5% 7.9% 12.1% 12.09%
Total Payout Ratio 8.1% 20.5% 24.9% 22.2% 46.3% 1.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 5.8% 21.9%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.79 1.92 2.84 2.80 2.78 1.19 0.56 -0.01 -0.40 -0.65 -0.89 -0.86 -0.81 -0.68 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.008
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -2.7% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return -1.0% 3.0% 3.8% 4.6% 5.6% 7.0% 8.4% 6.3% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.49%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.75 0.75 0.86 0.83 0.89 0.93 -0.66 0.88 0.87 0.73 0.74 0.76 0.73 0.64 0.77 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.79 0.66 0.657
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.94 0.92 0.93 1.51 2.74 -1.25 -0.09 1.13 1.08 0.33 0.92 0.92 0.84 0.76 1.05 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.13 1.131
EBIT Margin 0.68 0.46 0.47 0.44 0.14 -0.11 -0.24 -0.51 -0.55 0.18 1.62 1.43 0.91 0.31 -1.12 -3.49 -4.42 -4.11 -5.98 -1.55 -1.555
Asset Turnover 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.055
Equity Multiplier 2.05 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.69 1.69 1.69 1.695
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $7.05 $4.62 $5.46 $7.54 $4.29 $1.59 $-0.16 $-3.91 $-2.71 $0.24 $6.29 $5.24 $3.42 $0.91 $-5.91 $-18.43 $-20.54 $-19.27 $-18.51 $-2.48 $-2.48
Book Value/Share $28.76 $32.11 $32.11 $32.05 $31.92 $32.12 $32.10 $32.08 $32.05 $32.19 $32.17 $32.15 $32.13 $32.93 $32.90 $32.89 $32.87 $13.48 $13.46 $13.48 $14.02
Tangible Book/Share $28.47 $31.82 $31.82 $31.76 $31.62 $31.82 $31.81 $31.78 $31.75 $31.90 $31.87 $31.86 $31.84 $32.63 $32.61 $32.59 $32.58 $13.18 $13.17 $13.18 $13.18
Revenue/Share $14.55 $14.39 $14.61 $13.75 $12.51 $12.12 $11.48 $7.74 $5.29 $5.24 $5.68 $5.26 $6.08 $6.11 $6.49 $6.47 $5.78 $5.76 $3.80 $2.15 $2.15
FCF/Share $-3.47 $-3.28 $-1.62 $-3.13 $-3.74 $-1.89 $-1.80 $-3.69 $-3.09 $-3.01 $-3.48 $-5.11 $-5.81 $-6.34 $-5.50 $-2.72 $0.71 $1.91 $2.52 $1.66 $1.66
OCF/Share $1.80 $2.19 $1.59 $-0.04 $-0.83 $0.86 $0.85 $-1.24 $-0.64 $-0.82 $-1.28 $-2.48 $-3.19 $-4.00 $-3.27 $-1.48 $1.45 $2.63 $2.91 $2.08 $2.08
Cash/Share $0.42 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.12 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.11 $0.14 $0.14 $0.14 $0.14 $0.41 $0.41 $0.41 $0.41 $4.99 $4.98 $4.99 $6.92
EBITDA/Share $11.97 $8.68 $8.87 $8.05 $3.75 $0.65 $-0.76 $-1.92 $-0.85 $3.00 $11.22 $9.50 $7.55 $3.87 $-5.32 $-4.56 $-2.23 $-0.06 $1.17 $4.02 $4.02
Debt/Share $20.07 $16.61 $16.61 $16.58 $16.51 $14.61 $14.60 $14.59 $14.58 $16.91 $16.90 $16.89 $16.88 $12.08 $12.07 $12.06 $12.06 $11.19 $11.18 $11.19 $11.19
Net Debt/Share $19.64 $16.50 $16.50 $16.47 $16.40 $14.50 $14.49 $14.48 $14.47 $16.77 $16.76 $16.75 $16.74 $11.66 $11.66 $11.65 $11.64 $6.20 $6.20 $6.20 $6.20
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 2.675
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 5.910
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 6 5 3 2 2 1 2 4 4 4 5 3 3 2 2 5 3 5 5
Beneish M-Score 2.85 -1.20 -0.54 -0.64 0.62 -4.47 -4.32 -4.72 -4.75 -9.35 -1.75 -1.68 -5.27 -2.32 -1.83 -4.24 -4.32 -6.04 -6.02 1.25 1.247
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.845
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -13.35%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-5.05
EVA snapshot only $-59575820.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 62.53 61.16 60.77 58.75 46.93 22.64 32.23 32.18 32.33 33.85 62.03 61.73 60.18 52.74 37.34 32.02 34.65 32.70 30.85 50.42 50.416
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only 18.392
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 42
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 37

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