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ALRS NASDAQ

Alerus Financial Corporation
1W: +5.3% 1M: +10.6% 3M: +10.8% YTD: +25.7% 1Y: +31.1% 3Y: +119.2% 5Y: +2.6%
$28.05
-0.16 (-0.57%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.1%
$25 $26 $27 $27 $28
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 69 · $704.9M mcap · 23M float · 0.639% daily turnover · Short 43% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
54.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 2.9%  ·  5Y Avg: 6.6%
Cost Advantage
51
Intangibles
76
Switching Cost
38
Network Effect
59
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ALRS shows a Weak competitive edge (54.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 2.9% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$28
Low
$28
Avg Target
$28
High
Based on 1 analyst since Apr 29, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 0Hold: 4Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$28.50
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-01 Piper Sandler Nathan Race $23 $28 +6 +5.8% $26.94
2026-01-30 Raymond James David Long $27 $29 +2 +18.8% $24.42
2026-01-05 Raymond James David Long $24 $27 +3 +20.3% $22.45
2024-10-31 Piper Sandler Nathan Race $24 $23 -1 +12.7% $20.40
2024-09-17 Raymond James Wallave William IV Initiated $24 +7.2% $22.39
2024-07-29 Piper Sandler Nathan Race $22 $24 +2 +7.3% $22.37
2024-05-16 D.A. Davidson Jeffrey Rulis Initiated $22 +11.4% $19.74
2024-05-16 Piper Sandler Nathan Race $24 $22 -1 +14.5% $19.65
2024-04-29 Piper Sandler Nathan Race Initiated $24 +16.9% $20.10

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
2
ROA
3
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ALRS receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-01 C+ B-
2026-04-29 B- C+
2026-04-22 B B-
2026-04-16 B- B
2026-04-10 B B-
2026-04-08 B- B
2026-02-03 B+ B-
2026-01-03 B B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

53 Grade A
Profitability
62
Balance Sheet
23
Earnings Quality
91
Growth
40
Value
65
Momentum
72
Safety
50
Cash Flow
82
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ALRS scores highest in Earnings Quality (91/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (23/100). An overall grade of A places ALRS among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.84
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.17
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.80
Bankruptcy prob: 0.8%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 44.0/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 3.23x
Accruals: -1.2%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. ALRS scores 1.84, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ALRS scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ALRS's score of -3.17 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ALRS's implied 0.8% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ALRS receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 44.0/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ALRS's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
26.29x
PEG
-2.14x
P/S
2.13x
P/B
1.24x
P/FCF
6.95x
P/OCF
6.87x
EV/EBITDA
19.97x
EV/Revenue
2.95x
EV/EBIT
27.60x
EV/FCF
11.24x
Earnings Yield
4.50%
FCF Yield
14.38%
Shareholder Yield
4.65%
Graham Number
$23.11
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 26.3x earnings, ALRS commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $23.11 per share, 21% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.768
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.107
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.063
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
9.895
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
5.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ALRS's ROE of 5.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 9.89x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
11.07%
Fair P/E
30.64x
Intrinsic Value
$32.68
Price/Value
0.73x
Margin of Safety
27.45%
Premium
-27.45%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ALRS's realized 11.1% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $32.68, ALRS appears undervalued with a 27% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 30.6x compares to the current market P/E of 26.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$28.05
Median 1Y
$28.57
5th Pctile
$15.80
95th Pctile
$51.86
Ann. Volatility
34.5%
Analyst Target
$28.50
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Katie A. Lorenson
President and Chief Executive Officer
$625,000 $437,500 $1,630,180
Jim R. Collins
Executive Vice President and Chief Banking and Revenue Officer
$465,000 $186,000 $967,397
Karin M. Taylor
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
$405,000 $162,000 $848,787
Forrest R. Wilson
Executive Vice President and Chief Retirement Services Officer
$390,000 $156,000 $816,197
Alan A. Villalon
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
$360,000 $162,000 $768,688

CEO Pay Ratio

14:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,630,180
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $117,238
Employees: 864

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
864
-3.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$379,462
Rev: $327,855,000
Profit / Employee
$20,184
NI: $17,439,000
SGA / Employee
$117,238
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 17.8% 16.3% 15.3% 13.8% 13.1% 12.1% 11.2% 10.6% 10.6% 10.4% 3.2% 2.7% 1.9% 0.8% 4.1% 5.7% 8.9% 11.7% 3.3% 5.1% 5.11%
ROA 2.0% 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.52%
ROIC -14.9% -13.6% -7.8% -7.1% -6.7% -6.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 8.9% 7.6% 5.4% 2.4% 10.9% 15.1% 23.7% 30.9% 1.9% 2.9% 2.89%
ROCE 18.1% 16.6% 16.3% 14.7% 13.9% 12.9% 12.4% 11.8% 11.7% 11.4% 3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 3.6% 5.0% 7.8% 10.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.72%
Gross Margin 97.5% 1.0% 1.0% 97.3% 96.9% 93.3% 85.4% 76.5% 72.5% 69.0% 45.2% 63.7% 58.1% 60.8% 57.6% 70.7% 72.9% 72.2% 22.9% 82.4% 82.44%
Operating Margin 26.4% 29.9% 29.1% 25.2% 22.6% 21.3% 23.9% 16.8% 17.7% 16.5% -39.6% 11.5% 10.2% 8.5% -0.3% 18.4% 26.0% 22.2% -1.3% 30.9% 30.92%
Net Margin 20.1% 22.8% 22.1% 19.6% 17.5% 16.3% 18.0% 13.1% 13.8% 13.1% -32.8% 8.7% 7.8% 6.5% -0.1% 14.0% 20.0% 17.1% -1.0% 23.5% 23.48%
EBITDA Margin 30.2% 33.6% 32.8% 29.2% 26.1% 24.9% 27.5% 20.1% 23.3% 16.8% -38.8% 14.4% 12.9% 11.3% 8.4% 22.4% 29.8% 27.5% -1.2% 30.9% 30.92%
FCF Margin 32.8% 47.1% 62.5% 56.9% 36.7% 38.0% 45.0% 26.6% 38.2% 27.4% 8.3% 13.5% 2.0% 3.2% 5.0% 3.2% 9.1% 14.2% 20.3% 26.2% 26.21%
OCF Margin 33.7% 47.9% 63.2% 57.6% 37.5% 38.9% 45.8% 27.7% 39.2% 28.2% 9.5% 14.6% 4.4% 6.4% 8.8% 7.1% 12.6% 15.5% 20.6% 26.5% 26.52%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.15%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 7.27%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.41%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.51%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.71%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.68%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 9.36%
CROIC snapshot only 9.25%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 8.20%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 10.68%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 34.46%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.64%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.99 9.03 8.46 8.89 8.14 9.52 10.59 7.75 8.82 9.05 35.73 41.33 53.10 143.82 26.45 18.86 14.22 11.29 32.80 22.23 26.292
P/S Ratio 1.74 1.88 1.89 1.88 1.68 1.80 1.89 1.25 1.34 1.31 1.72 1.61 1.39 1.58 1.42 1.32 1.47 1.45 1.74 1.82 2.133
P/B Ratio 1.32 1.37 1.24 1.18 1.03 1.11 1.19 0.83 0.93 0.95 1.13 1.11 1.01 1.20 0.95 0.94 1.11 1.15 1.01 1.07 1.240
P/FCF 5.30 3.99 3.02 3.31 4.56 4.73 4.19 4.70 3.52 4.77 20.62 11.94 70.67 48.76 28.31 40.70 16.23 10.23 8.60 6.95 6.953
P/OCF 5.16 3.93 2.99 3.27 4.47 4.62 4.11 4.51 3.43 4.63 18.02 11.02 32.01 24.76 16.22 18.62 11.74 9.38 8.47 6.87 6.872
EV/EBITDA -3.23 -3.29 -7.53 -8.60 -9.89 -10.15 1.50 -0.66 0.01 0.10 8.10 8.54 8.95 16.25 3.61 2.72 3.17 2.73 23.66 19.97 19.974
EV/Revenue -1.04 -1.02 -2.49 -2.71 -3.02 -2.87 0.40 -0.16 0.00 0.02 0.74 0.68 0.51 0.73 0.42 0.38 0.58 0.60 2.88 2.95 2.947
EV/EBIT -3.64 -3.74 -8.50 -9.78 -11.27 -11.67 1.74 -0.77 0.01 0.11 11.36 12.47 13.14 36.13 5.93 4.12 4.32 3.61 41.76 27.60 27.600
EV/FCF -3.17 -2.17 -3.98 -4.76 -8.22 -7.54 0.90 -0.61 0.01 0.08 8.89 5.03 25.76 22.49 8.28 11.61 6.43 4.26 14.19 11.24 11.244
Earnings Yield 12.5% 11.1% 11.8% 11.2% 12.3% 10.5% 9.4% 12.9% 11.3% 11.0% 2.8% 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 8.9% 3.0% 4.5% 4.50%
FCF Yield 18.9% 25.0% 33.1% 30.2% 21.9% 21.2% 23.9% 21.3% 28.4% 21.0% 4.9% 8.4% 1.4% 2.1% 3.5% 2.5% 6.2% 9.8% 11.6% 14.4% 14.38%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.350
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.113
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.172
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 27.600
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.65%
Graham Number snapshot only $23.11
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.30 0.30 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.29 0.29 0.288
Quick Ratio 0.30 0.30 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.29 0.29 0.288
Debt/Equity 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.78 0.78 0.780
Net Debt/Equity -2.12 -2.12 -2.87 -2.87 -2.87 -2.87 -0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -0.93 -0.64 -0.64 -0.64 -0.64 -0.67 -0.67 -0.67 -0.67 0.66 0.66 0.658
Debt/Assets 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.084
Debt/EBITDA 0.82 0.89 0.81 0.89 0.94 1.01 7.33 7.65 7.46 7.85 17.04 18.69 24.88 30.25 8.33 6.50 4.62 3.65 11.05 9.04 9.036
Net Debt/EBITDA -8.63 -9.36 -13.26 -14.59 -15.37 -16.51 -5.51 -5.75 -5.61 -5.90 -10.69 -11.73 -15.61 -18.98 -8.73 -6.81 -4.84 -3.83 9.32 7.62 7.622
Interest Coverage 9.84 10.61 12.43 10.99 10.04 6.46 3.29 1.73 1.09 0.77 0.21 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.20 0.28 0.45 0.59 0.21 0.35 0.345
Equity Multiplier 9.13 9.13 9.44 9.44 9.44 9.44 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.62 10.62 10.62 10.62 9.26 9.26 9.258
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.223
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.477
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.157
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.197
Defensive Interval snapshot only 167.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.063
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 29.21 27.97 25.91 24.70 24.16 24.32 20.99 21.99 23.18 24.19 17.03 17.82 18.80 19.51 18.47 19.67 20.86 21.93 15.68 15.80 15.802
Payables Turnover
DSO 12 13 14 15 15 15 17 17 16 15 21 20 19 19 20 19 17 17 23 23 23.1 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Conversion Cycle 12 13 14 15 15 15 17 17 16 15 21 20 19 19 20 19 17 17 23 23
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.588
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.792
Capital Intensity snapshot only 15.829
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 17.7% 5.0% -1.7% -11.4% -12.6% -8.0% -4.7% 4.7% 12.9% 17.0% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 7.6% 35.9% 38.2% 38.9% 40.7% -0.8% -6.1% -6.07%
Net Income 73.3% 19.0% 17.9% -12.6% -17.4% -16.7% -24.1% -20.2% -16.4% -10.6% -70.8% -73.8% -81.4% -91.8% 51.8% 1.5% 4.5% 15.4% -1.8% 10.0% 9.96%
EPS 72.8% 18.7% 17.7% -12.8% -17.5% -27.9% -34.4% -31.1% -27.6% -10.0% -70.4% -73.5% -81.2% -91.8% 20.7% 93.1% 3.3% 11.8% -2.8% 11.1% 11.07%
FCF 12.8% 20.8% 6.7% 1.5% -2.1% -25.8% -31.4% -51.0% 17.4% -15.8% -80.0% -45.1% -94.4% -87.2% -18.2% -66.8% 5.4% 5.2% 3.0% 6.6% 6.58%
EBITDA 61.8% 16.8% 15.5% -12.3% -17.0% -16.2% -22.4% -18.3% -11.7% -9.8% -63.2% -65.0% -74.3% -77.8% 71.1% 1.4% 3.5% 5.9% 4.8% -0.1% -0.11%
Op. Income 74.8% 19.4% 18.0% -13.0% -17.9% -17.2% -24.5% -20.3% -16.5% -11.4% -69.6% -72.0% -78.9% -88.3% 46.1% 1.3% 3.9% 10.7% -2.4% 9.6% 9.58%
OCF Growth snapshot only 2.51%
Asset Growth snapshot only -0.60%
Equity Growth snapshot only 14.03%
Debt Growth snapshot only 38.96%
Shares Change snapshot only -0.99%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 24.26%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 11.1% 9.0% 7.7% 5.3% 3.6% 3.1% 3.2% 4.6% 5.1% 4.1% 0.4% 0.1% 2.2% 5.0% 11.9% 16.1% 19.3% 21.0% 13.4% 12.0% 11.97%
Revenue 5Y 11.1% 9.5% 7.9% 6.5% 5.5% 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.3% 6.7% 10.1% 11.3% 11.8% 11.3% 6.4% 5.4% 5.43%
EPS 3Y 33.6% 24.7% 17.9% 14.6% 8.9% 2.7% 5.2% 4.7% 1.0% -8.3% -38.9% -45.8% -51.8% -62.4% -38.3% -29.3% -16.4% -1.7% -29.7% -17.2% -17.17%
EPS 5Y 27.1% 28.6% 24.1% 18.8% 15.3% 7.6% 12.4% 8.7% 7.3% 4.7% -20.5% -22.7% -29.4% -39.6% -16.1% -10.1% -3.6% -4.1% -23.1% -19.3% -19.33%
Net Income 3Y 43.9% 34.1% 26.8% 23.3% 17.1% 14.4% 10.6% 10.1% 6.2% -3.9% -36.0% -43.3% -49.5% -60.6% -30.4% -19.7% -5.1% 6.5% -24.2% -10.7% -10.67%
Net Income 5Y 32.9% 34.4% 29.7% 24.3% 20.6% 15.8% 21.0% 17.0% 15.5% 12.4% -14.7% -17.1% -24.2% -35.7% -9.7% -2.8% 4.1% 3.7% -17.2% -13.1% -13.05%
EBITDA 3Y 27.1% 23.0% 26.2% 21.5% 14.7% 11.0% 8.2% 7.9% 5.8% -4.1% -30.9% -36.9% -42.7% -44.8% -21.2% -11.7% 0.7% 11.5% -12.9% -5.6% -5.55%
EBITDA 5Y 22.5% 20.5% 18.2% 14.5% 10.4% 7.4% 7.1% 6.1% 8.5% 7.1% -10.5% -12.5% -19.3% -22.8% -4.4% 1.1% 6.5% 6.3% -10.0% -9.6% -9.59%
Gross Profit 3Y 13.1% 12.2% 11.7% 9.6% 7.8% 6.7% 5.3% 4.7% 2.6% -1.3% -8.9% -11.5% -12.2% -11.6% -5.4% -0.7% 4.1% 7.8% 1.8% 4.2% 4.22%
Gross Profit 5Y 11.6% 10.7% 9.1% 7.5% 6.4% 5.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.1% 3.3% -0.5% -0.7% -1.4% -1.7% 2.1% 4.0% 5.6% 5.7% 0.3% -0.2% -0.22%
Op. Income 3Y 30.7% 24.3% 27.9% 23.7% 16.8% 13.6% 10.3% 10.0% 6.2% -4.3% -35.3% -42.1% -47.5% -55.9% -30.5% -19.7% -5.1% 6.5% -24.3% -10.7% -10.73%
Op. Income 5Y 31.7% 31.3% 26.7% 21.4% 15.6% 11.2% 9.6% 7.6% 8.9% 7.1% -13.7% -15.8% -22.4% -31.4% -9.9% -2.9% 4.2% 3.6% -17.3% -13.2% -13.20%
FCF 3Y 20.4% 24.9% 34.6% 40.2% 33.3% 51.4% 83.6% 1.5% -11.9% -60.0% -56.9% -51.7% -55.3% -25.1% -12.9% -13.1% 11.4% 11.36%
FCF 5Y 51.9% 30.3% 19.7% 10.3% 2.3% 17.6% 5.3% 15.0% 4.0% -19.6% -5.8% -31.1% -17.9% 0.3% 41.4% 11.5% 11.46%
OCF 3Y 19.7% 24.1% 33.2% 37.7% 29.6% 45.2% 74.9% 1.2% -11.5% -48.3% -46.3% -42.1% -42.2% -17.2% -11.0% -13.1% 10.3% 10.30%
OCF 5Y 43.1% 32.2% 20.8% 11.6% 3.2% 16.5% 5.1% 14.5% 3.9% -18.1% -5.6% -21.0% -8.7% 8.5% 39.2% 10.3% 10.27%
Assets 3Y 12.1% 12.1% 15.9% 15.9% 15.9% 15.9% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 17.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8% 15.8% 11.4% 11.4% 11.43%
Assets 5Y 11.6% 11.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 12.4% 17.4% 17.4% 17.4% 17.4% 11.7% 11.7% 11.66%
Equity 3Y 22.3% 22.3% 22.2% 22.2% 22.2% 22.2% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 16.5% 16.5% 16.55%
Book Value 3Y 13.6% 13.7% 13.7% 13.7% 13.6% 9.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% -0.8% -0.8% -0.8% -0.9% -1.4% -2.0% -2.0% 2.7% 8.0% 8.1% 8.06%
Dividend 3Y -6.4% -6.5% -5.9% -5.4% -4.9% -6.5% 0.8% 2.4% 4.3% 2.1% -0.2% -1.9% -4.4% -3.6% -9.7% -8.1% -5.2% 1.0% 2.4% -0.3% -0.32%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.96 0.99 0.94 0.76 0.72 0.74 0.69 0.61 0.67 0.74 0.59 0.55 0.68 0.82 0.66 0.71 0.71 0.66 0.63 0.56 0.563
Earnings Stability 0.84 0.95 0.95 0.83 0.82 0.80 0.74 0.55 0.51 0.44 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.22 0.33 0.29 0.14 0.10 0.70 0.59 0.586
Margin Stability 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.90 0.86 0.85 0.82 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.814
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.92 0.93 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.90 0.92 0.93 0.96 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.96 0.960
Earnings Smoothness 0.46 0.83 0.84 0.87 0.81 0.82 0.73 0.77 0.82 0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.91 0.905
ROE Trend 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.10 -0.09 -0.10 -0.10 -0.04 -0.02 0.02 0.05 -0.00 0.01 0.010
Gross Margin Trend 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.04 -0.02 -0.08 -0.15 -0.22 -0.29 -0.29 -0.30 -0.28 -0.20 -0.14 -0.05 0.02 0.03 0.08 0.076
FCF Margin Trend 0.23 0.42 0.64 0.48 0.19 0.16 0.19 -0.12 0.03 -0.15 -0.45 -0.28 -0.36 -0.29 -0.22 -0.17 -0.11 -0.01 0.14 0.18 0.178
Sustainable Growth Rate 14.4% 12.9% 12.2% 10.6% 9.9% 8.7% 7.6% 6.8% 6.5% 6.3% -0.8% -1.3% -2.1% -3.3% 0.5% 1.8% 4.7% 7.1% -0.6% 1.2% 1.18%
Internal Growth Rate 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.12%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.55 2.30 2.83 2.72 1.82 2.06 2.57 1.72 2.57 1.95 1.98 3.75 1.66 5.81 1.63 1.01 1.21 1.20 3.87 3.23 3.234
FCF/OCF 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.87 0.92 0.45 0.51 0.57 0.46 0.72 0.92 0.98 0.99 0.988
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 3.196
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.797
CapEx/Revenue 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.1% 3.7% 3.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.31%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.076
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.012
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.700
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.011
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 4.6% 4.4% 4.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 2.99%
Dividend/Share $0.59 $0.60 $0.62 $0.62 $0.63 $0.59 $0.63 $0.67 $0.72 $0.73 $0.73 $0.74 $0.73 $0.75 $0.61 $0.65 $0.71 $0.77 $0.82 $0.82 $0.84
Payout Ratio 19.0% 21.1% 20.4% 22.9% 24.6% 28.6% 32.0% 35.9% 38.8% 39.2% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 4.9% 87.0% 68.0% 47.4% 39.1% 1.2% 76.9% 76.87%
FCF Payout Ratio 12.6% 9.3% 7.3% 8.5% 13.8% 14.2% 12.7% 21.7% 15.5% 20.7% 72.0% 42.8% 2.8% 1.7% 93.1% 1.5% 54.1% 35.4% 31.3% 24.0% 24.05%
Total Payout Ratio 20.1% 22.3% 21.8% 24.8% 26.7% 30.7% 33.8% 37.2% 47.6% 51.5% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 5.7% 88.5% 69.0% 48.2% 40.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.03%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.16 0.22 0.29 0.36 0.27 0.18 0.12 0.04 0.06 0.09 0.17 0.28 0.35 0.38 0.28 0.277
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.2% 1.19%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 1.2% 1.19%
Total Shareholder Return 2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 5.1% 5.2% 4.9% 3.9% 3.3% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 3.8% 4.6% 4.65%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.74 0.72 0.68 0.54 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.768
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.29 0.27 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.25 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.07 0.09 0.14 0.17 0.07 0.11 0.107
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.06 0.06 0.063
Equity Multiplier 8.72 8.72 9.29 9.29 9.29 9.29 10.01 10.01 10.01 10.01 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.59 10.61 10.61 10.61 10.61 9.89 9.89 9.895
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.13 $2.87 $3.01 $2.72 $2.58 $2.07 $1.98 $1.88 $1.87 $1.86 $0.58 $0.50 $0.35 $0.15 $0.71 $0.96 $1.51 $1.96 $0.69 $1.07 $1.07
Book Value/Share $18.87 $18.87 $20.56 $20.54 $20.50 $17.77 $17.64 $17.63 $17.63 $17.76 $18.46 $18.47 $18.41 $18.39 $19.70 $19.31 $19.31 $19.27 $22.24 $22.24 $22.63
Tangible Book/Share $15.55 $15.55 $17.49 $17.47 $17.44 $15.12 $14.07 $14.06 $14.06 $14.17 $15.16 $15.17 $15.12 $15.10 $14.24 $13.95 $13.95 $13.92 $17.56 $17.56 $17.56
Revenue/Share $14.37 $13.75 $13.49 $12.84 $12.54 $10.94 $11.10 $11.62 $12.26 $12.89 $12.16 $12.74 $13.40 $13.88 $13.14 $13.71 $14.54 $15.25 $12.91 $13.01 $13.01
FCF/Share $4.72 $6.48 $8.43 $7.31 $4.61 $4.16 $5.00 $3.10 $4.68 $3.53 $1.01 $1.72 $0.26 $0.45 $0.66 $0.45 $1.32 $2.17 $2.62 $3.41 $3.41
OCF/Share $4.84 $6.59 $8.53 $7.40 $4.71 $4.26 $5.09 $3.23 $4.80 $3.63 $1.16 $1.87 $0.58 $0.89 $1.15 $0.97 $1.83 $2.36 $2.66 $3.45 $3.45
Cash/Share $43.74 $43.73 $62.70 $62.63 $62.51 $54.17 $38.33 $38.31 $38.32 $38.59 $30.84 $30.85 $30.75 $30.72 $25.82 $25.31 $25.31 $25.25 $2.71 $2.71 $5.07
EBITDA/Share $4.63 $4.27 $4.46 $4.05 $3.83 $3.09 $2.99 $2.86 $2.93 $2.81 $1.11 $1.01 $0.76 $0.62 $1.51 $1.90 $2.67 $3.37 $1.57 $1.92 $1.92
Debt/Share $3.81 $3.81 $3.62 $3.61 $3.61 $3.12 $21.89 $21.87 $21.88 $22.04 $18.95 $18.96 $18.90 $18.87 $12.61 $12.36 $12.36 $12.33 $17.35 $17.35 $17.35
Net Debt/Share $-39.93 $-39.93 $-59.08 $-59.01 $-58.91 $-51.05 $-16.45 $-16.43 $-16.44 $-16.56 $-11.89 $-11.90 $-11.86 $-11.84 $-13.21 $-12.95 $-12.95 $-12.92 $14.63 $14.63 $14.63
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-B Score 1.843
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.073
Piotroski F-Score 8 7 7 5 5 5 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 4 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.43 -2.44 -2.26 -2.15 -2.16 -2.16 -1.91 -1.84 -1.82 -1.79 -1.72 -2.18 -2.13 -2.22 -1.91 -2.38 -2.47 -2.44 -2.44 -3.17 -3.174
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.797
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-180.18
EVA snapshot only $-66557000.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 93.56 93.51 93.52 91.29 91.51 91.47 63.39 55.61 57.58 56.65 43.45 34.53 33.52 33.45 38.81 41.96 48.92 52.89 34.96 44.03 44.032
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only 2.072
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 21
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 30

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