— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: AMBC-WT (NYSE)

AMBC NYSE

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
1W: -5.3% 1M: -13.5% 3M: -6.7% 1Y: -37.4% 3Y: -53.0% 5Y: -52.7%
$8.29
Last traded 2025-12-31 — delisted
NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty · $397.4M mcap · 38M float · 2.25% daily turnover · Short 41% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
29.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -12.5%  ·  5Y Avg: -18.6%
Cost Advantage
12
Intangibles
14
Switching Cost
53
Network Effect
39
Scale
28
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AMBC has No discernible competitive edge (29.2/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -12.5% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 5Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-07-15 Truist Financial Mark Hughes Initiated $10 — +40.2% $7.13
2022-11-28 Compass Point Giuliano Bologna Initiated $18 — +17.3% $15.35

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 32 Grade D
Profitability
0
Balance Sheet
52
Earnings Quality
54
Growth
88
Value
33
Momentum
80
Safety
80
Cash Flow
20
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AMBC scores highest in Growth (88/100) and lowest in Profitability (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score
3.42
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-3.93
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.74
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 38.5/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.42x
Accruals: -1.6%
The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. AMBC scores 3.42, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AMBC scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AMBC's score of -3.93 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AMBC's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AMBC receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 38.5/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-2.28x
PEG
-0.02x
P/S
1.24x
P/B
0.54x
P/FCF
-5.68x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
2.06x
EV/Revenue
0.92x
EV/EBIT
-11.41x
EV/FCF
-4.75x
Earnings Yield
-42.23%
FCF Yield
-17.59%
Shareholder Yield
7.54%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. AMBC currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-1.507
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-3.821
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.081
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.059
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
6.931
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-19.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AMBC's ROE of -19.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 6.93x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of -1.51 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$7.78
Median 1Y
$5.98
5th Pctile
$2.62
95th Pctile
$13.76
Ann. Volatility
50.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE -0.8% -1.5% -3.1% 0.2% 31.4% 45.5% 44.9% 46.1% 17.2% 0.4% 4.4% 5.3% -1.8% -50.2% -56.2% -62.4% -67.6% -33.2% -28.4% -19.1% -19.14%
ROA -0.1% -0.1% -0.3% 0.0% 3.0% 5.1% 4.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% -0.3% -6.8% -7.5% -8.3% -13.7% -5.1% -4.2% -2.8% -2.76%
ROIC -0.2% -0.9% -0.2% 0.1% 8.1% 17.1% 16.8% 17.0% 7.9% 0.1% 1.2% 1.2% -1.5% -11.7% -12.8% -13.5% -28.4% -14.3% -15.9% -12.5% -12.46%
ROCE 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 5.5% 8.7% 7.7% 7.2% 3.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% -0.6% -1.8% -1.8% -1.7% -7.2% -2.4% -1.9% -1.1% -1.14%
Gross Margin 2.0% 1.3% 75.8% 1.3% 5.3% 1.3% 52.6% 77.0% 1.9% 57.5% 32.2% 28.9% 48.7% 1.5% 60.6% 59.8% 56.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Operating Margin 38.5% -35.8% 3.3% 20.7% 4.3% 89.2% -50.9% -19.7% 91.7% -21.9% -6.5% -28.9% -29.7% 71.4% -24.1% -41.8% -48.2% -46.1% -3.2% -14.1% -14.06%
Net Margin 32.7% -41.5% 1.7% 17.2% 4.2% 89.2% -56.1% -21.3% 91.7% -21.9% 40.5% -1.5% -39.3% 6.4% -73.9% -1.3% -1.7% -44.4% -6.6% 0.0% 0.00%
EBITDA Margin 1.4% 67.9% 50.8% 2.3% 5.0% 1.1% -10.5% 19.7% 1.3% -9.6% -3.3% -25.7% -14.2% 1.4% -0.8% -13.9% -24.2% 2.2% 8.5% 0.7% 0.71%
FCF Margin -50.7% -52.4% -29.8% -14.6% 18.1% 3.1% 3.9% 3.6% 3.7% 78.7% 57.7% 56.0% 69.2% 62.4% 68.0% 53.8% -35.3% -3.3% -17.0% -19.4% -19.37%
OCF Margin -50.7% -52.4% -29.8% -14.6% 18.1% 3.1% 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 76.0% 55.0% 53.2% 69.2% 62.4% 68.0% 53.8% -35.3% -3.3% -17.0% -19.4% -19.37%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -32.37%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -11.87%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.62%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -33.66%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -9.42%
Cash ROA snapshot only -2.72%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -9.69%
CROIC snapshot only -9.69%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -24.90%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 30.85%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 67.71%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.64%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio -84.21 -46.78 -15.89 259.26 1.80 1.54 1.45 1.39 2.90 150.26 12.69 8.55 -22.11 -1.09 -0.66 -0.49 -0.51 -1.40 -1.59 -2.37 -2.284
P/S Ratio 2.37 2.99 1.79 2.04 2.07 1.90 1.95 1.66 1.47 2.86 2.83 2.41 2.19 7.13 4.20 3.33 4.05 1.46 1.20 1.10 1.239
P/B Ratio 0.63 0.72 0.54 0.66 0.58 0.64 0.56 0.52 0.45 0.55 0.53 0.43 0.36 0.71 0.49 0.40 0.48 0.51 0.49 0.51 0.539
P/FCF -4.68 -5.71 -6.01 -14.01 11.46 0.60 0.50 0.46 0.40 3.63 4.91 4.31 3.17 11.43 6.17 6.20 -11.48 -43.81 -7.08 -5.68 -5.684
P/OCF — — — — 11.46 0.60 0.50 0.46 0.40 3.76 5.16 4.54 3.17 11.43 6.17 6.20 — — — — —
EV/EBITDA 18.87 21.81 22.36 17.53 6.43 3.53 3.51 3.48 5.58 42.54 20.63 27.28 -63.14 -3.00 -1.77 -1.34 0.55 3.32 1.77 2.06 2.064
EV/Revenue 17.48 21.37 17.73 16.35 12.77 6.17 6.55 5.49 4.57 14.72 7.70 7.80 8.21 5.00 2.53 1.77 -0.78 1.66 0.82 0.92 0.921
EV/EBIT 24.69 28.42 29.37 22.45 7.02 3.78 3.74 3.68 6.30 64.52 28.20 38.32 -39.21 -3.11 -1.73 -1.24 0.50 -7.86 -5.52 -11.41 -11.407
EV/FCF -34.47 -40.78 -59.46 -112.26 70.62 1.96 1.69 1.52 1.25 18.70 13.34 13.93 11.87 8.01 3.72 3.29 2.22 -49.67 -4.80 -4.75 -4.754
Earnings Yield -1.2% -2.1% -6.3% 0.4% 55.6% 64.8% 69.0% 72.0% 34.5% 0.7% 7.9% 11.7% -4.5% -91.4% -1.5% -2.0% -1.9% -71.2% -62.9% -42.2% -42.23%
FCF Yield -21.4% -17.5% -16.6% -7.1% 8.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 27.6% 20.4% 23.2% 31.5% 8.8% 16.2% 16.1% -8.7% -2.3% -14.1% -17.6% -17.59%
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 7.864
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 7.54%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio — 130.97 — — — 66.69 — — — — — — — 4.37 1.85 — — — — — —
Quick Ratio — 228.30 — — — 111.90 — — — — — — — 4.37 1.85 — — — — — —
Debt/Equity 6.10 6.21 6.96 7.05 4.91 2.99 2.84 2.77 2.53 2.55 2.52 2.46 2.50 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.00 0.16 0.16 0.22 0.222
Net Debt/Equity 4.04 4.43 4.80 4.64 2.99 1.45 1.32 1.21 0.94 2.29 0.91 0.97 1.00 -0.21 -0.19 -0.19 -0.57 0.07 -0.16 -0.08 -0.083
Debt/Assets 0.53 0.52 0.55 0.55 0.53 0.47 0.43 0.43 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.068
Debt/EBITDA 24.60 26.31 29.20 23.33 8.84 5.06 5.28 5.58 10.17 38.19 36.04 47.91 -115.45 -1.05 -1.06 -1.11 -0.00 0.94 0.87 1.09 1.087
Net Debt/EBITDA 16.31 18.75 20.11 15.34 5.39 2.45 2.46 2.43 3.79 34.29 13.03 18.85 -46.26 1.28 1.17 1.18 3.38 0.39 -0.84 -0.40 -0.404
Interest Coverage 1.04 1.01 0.92 1.05 2.83 4.12 4.51 5.28 3.58 0.94 1.45 1.56 -2.58 -14.66 -9.70 -7.18 -6.80 -2.34 -2.52 -2.22 -2.225
Equity Multiplier 11.52 11.85 12.62 12.83 9.33 6.37 6.55 6.51 6.20 6.19 6.18 5.98 6.32 9.40 9.68 9.91 2.55 3.11 3.18 3.26 3.264
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 12.292
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.372
FCF to Debt snapshot only -0.400
Defensive Interval snapshot only 482.2 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.059
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.26 0.61 0.43 0.38 0.35 0.30 0.18 0.18 0.15 1.15 1.16 1.18 1.181
Payables Turnover -2.00 -2.80 -1.97 -1.17 -10.36 -10.44 -9.69 -5.09 -1.16 0.17 0.17 0.30 1.05 3.53 1.43 1.07 0.92 5.39 5.46 6.25 6.253
DSO 3260 3671 3016 3237 3085 1345 1328 1206 1387 601 858 956 1053 1227 1978 2083 2379 319 314 309 309.0 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — -53625 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — — — — — — — — — 2089 2143 1234 347 103 255 342 397 68 67 58 58.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — — -55112 -1286 -278 707 1124 1723 1741 1981 251 247 251 250.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.504
Capital Intensity snapshot only 7.113
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 78.2% 61.3% -14.1% -13.9% -0.7% 69.6% 31.3% 54.7% 36.5% -38.0% -29.2% -37.5% -36.7% -67.5% -61.4% -58.2% -59.3% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.13%
Net Income 98.5% 96.3% 77.9% 1.0% 41.6% 33.6% 16.7% 233.5% -40.0% -99.0% -88.3% -85.2% -1.1% -112.3% -11.9% -11.0% -31.3% 53.0% 64.4% 78.5% 78.54%
EPS 98.5% 96.4% 78.1% 1.0% 42.7% 34.0% 17.3% 233.1% -41.2% -99.0% -88.5% -85.4% -1.1% -106.5% -11.7% -10.6% -31.0% 52.1% 62.8% 77.3% 77.25%
FCF 21.2% 25.6% 35.9% 74.7% 1.4% 11.2% 18.1% 39.5% 26.6% -84.5% -89.5% -90.3% -88.0% -74.3% -54.5% -59.9% -1.2% -1.2% -1.7% -2.1% -2.13%
EBITDA 2.1% 2.5% 58.0% 62.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 1.6% -43.8% -87.7% -85.8% -88.7% -1.1% -2.6% -2.5% -2.9% -3.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.06%
Op. Income 1.0% 1.0% 91.9% 1.1% 36.0% 174.3% 45.8% 42.2% -40.2% -98.3% -92.9% -93.3% -1.3% -12.1% -4.2% -4.7% -1.4% -1.4% 19.9% 34.9% 34.87%
OCF Growth snapshot only -2.13%
Asset Growth snapshot only -73.24%
Equity Growth snapshot only -18.73%
Debt Growth snapshot only 3.64%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.67%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -23.9% -21.0% -14.3% -12.3% -14.9% -5.2% 3.4% 8.0% 34.2% 19.3% -7.2% -5.9% -5.0% -30.1% -29.0% -26.1% -29.4% -16.0% -6.8% -6.6% -6.55%
Revenue 5Y -8.2% -13.0% -14.7% -17.8% -15.8% -7.2% -11.5% -9.4% -9.8% -12.3% -10.2% -8.2% -11.9% -29.7% -21.3% -20.0% -9.1% 10.1% -1.8% 1.7% 1.68%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — — — — 36.6% 36.7% -6.6% -54.8% — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — 36.6% 36.3% -6.2% -54.9% — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y -24.4% -26.7% -10.2% -16.2% 5.0% 24.9% 84.9% — — — -11.6% -21.6% — — — — — -44.7% -41.5% -38.7% -38.66%
EBITDA 5Y -21.8% -9.6% -4.5% 1.6% — — 10.5% 7.8% -12.3% -31.9% -20.5% -29.5% — — — — — — -0.5% -0.4% -0.40%
Gross Profit 3Y -22.0% -23.0% -5.6% -16.1% 2.2% 18.2% 52.5% 1.5% — — 6.0% -1.6% -32.3% — — — — -48.6% -54.3% -63.1% -63.12%
Gross Profit 5Y -19.2% -8.2% -2.3% -1.9% 74.2% 50.4% 6.7% 6.5% -8.7% -18.9% -9.6% -16.1% -28.8% — — — — — -19.2% -29.8% -29.84%
Op. Income 3Y -68.5% -77.8% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y -56.6% -50.9% — — — — 30.6% 31.2% -7.1% -49.4% — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y -6.8% -5.5% -8.4% -11.9% -11.2% -15.7% -13.7% -13.9% -15.1% -13.9% -13.1% -14.1% -8.9% -13.2% -10.5% -5.4% -38.9% -34.7% -34.9% -34.5% -34.54%
Assets 5Y -12.6% -11.5% -12.7% -15.2% -16.6% -19.2% -18.5% -17.7% -12.3% -10.4% -10.9% -11.1% -7.2% -9.6% -8.4% -7.8% -30.0% -30.0% -29.3% -29.3% -29.29%
Equity 3Y -15.5% -13.3% -17.4% -19.3% -13.7% -5.4% 7.8% 5.4% 6.9% 8.0% 8.7% 8.8% 11.4% -6.2% -2.3% 3.1% -5.8% -17.0% -17.2% -17.6% -17.62%
Book Value 3Y -16.3% -13.8% -18.3% -19.1% -12.9% -5.4% 8.2% 5.7% 6.4% 8.5% 9.1% 9.1% 10.9% -7.2% -2.3% 1.4% -7.3% -17.7% -17.0% -17.4% -17.40%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.34 0.57 0.94 0.87 0.67 0.36 0.60 0.47 0.24 0.14 0.59 0.18 0.45 0.65 0.48 0.34 0.01 0.00 0.23 0.10 0.099
Earnings Stability 0.22 0.06 0.08 0.01 0.14 0.21 0.17 0.25 0.06 0.04 0.40 0.56 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.15 0.13 0.132
Margin Stability 0.00 0.12 0.67 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.33 0.00 0.14 0.53 0.62 0.50 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — — 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.23 0.58 0.63 0.47 0.44 -0.00 -0.20 -0.14 -0.14 -0.25 -0.86 -0.95 -1.02 -0.99 -0.04 0.03 0.17 0.165
Gross Margin Trend 1.06 1.07 0.59 0.73 2.09 1.44 1.11 0.94 -0.52 -0.63 -0.69 -0.68 -1.26 -2.14 -1.89 -1.58 -0.99 0.30 -0.04 -0.21 -0.213
FCF Margin Trend 0.53 0.36 0.37 0.36 1.01 3.98 4.23 3.94 3.82 -0.52 -1.22 -1.18 -1.23 -1.34 -1.55 -1.55 -2.53 -0.74 -0.80 -0.74 -0.743
Sustainable Growth Rate — — — 0.2% 31.4% 45.5% 44.9% 46.1% 17.2% 0.4% 4.4% 5.3% — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate — — — 0.0% 3.1% 5.4% 5.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.7% 0.9% — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 18.00 8.19 2.65 -18.50 0.16 2.56 2.88 3.04 7.18 40.00 2.46 1.88 -6.97 -0.10 -0.11 -0.08 0.04 0.03 0.22 0.42 0.417
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.03 1.05 1.05 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.417
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only -0.434
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.03 -0.08 -0.09 -0.10 -0.14 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.13 -0.05 -0.03 -0.02 -0.016
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.048
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — —
Total Payout Ratio — — — 7.0% 8.6% 6.9% 7.4% 4.7% 5.1% 30.2% 2.6% 2.2% — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 4.8% 4.5% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 1.9% 3.6% 4.4% 3.7% 8.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.54%
Net Buyback Yield -1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 1.9% 3.6% 4.4% -0.5% 3.5% 2.8% 2.7% 2.73%
Total Shareholder Return -1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 1.9% 3.6% 4.4% -0.5% 3.5% 2.8% 2.7% 2.73%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -1.14 -16.00 2.07 0.22 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.42 1.51 2.04 0.44 5.59 5.59 5.81 5.96 -4.30 -2.94 -1.51 -1.507
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.03 0.01 -0.09 0.05 0.65 0.76 0.78 0.81 0.72 0.20 0.54 0.68 1.07 0.72 0.77 0.82 0.84 -1.15 -1.74 -3.82 -3.821
EBIT Margin 0.71 0.75 0.60 0.73 1.82 1.63 1.75 1.49 0.72 0.23 0.27 0.20 -0.21 -1.61 -1.46 -1.43 -1.57 -0.21 -0.15 -0.08 -0.081
Asset Turnover 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.059
Equity Multiplier 11.95 12.05 12.33 12.44 10.45 8.85 9.11 8.94 7.59 6.28 6.36 6.23 6.26 7.43 7.52 7.50 4.94 6.54 6.72 6.93 6.931
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.17 $-0.34 $-0.65 $0.04 $7.09 $11.31 $10.69 $10.25 $4.17 $0.11 $1.23 $1.50 $-0.51 $-11.57 $-13.17 $-14.44 $-16.22 $-5.54 $-4.90 $-3.29 $-3.29
Book Value/Share $22.55 $22.26 $19.30 $17.16 $22.01 $27.17 $27.52 $27.32 $27.02 $29.87 $29.45 $29.60 $30.72 $17.80 $18.01 $17.87 $17.53 $15.17 $15.73 $15.39 $22.37
Tangible Book/Share $14.82 $13.51 $10.94 $8.93 $14.07 $18.77 $19.14 $19.06 $18.86 $26.99 $21.62 $21.92 $9.08 $1.95 $1.65 $1.12 $1.22 $-6.35 $-6.16 $-6.23 $-6.23
Revenue/Share $6.04 $5.36 $5.81 $5.56 $6.15 $9.20 $7.92 $8.59 $8.22 $5.77 $5.51 $5.31 $5.11 $1.77 $2.08 $2.13 $2.06 $5.32 $6.46 $7.06 $7.06
FCF/Share $-3.06 $-2.81 $-1.73 $-0.81 $1.11 $28.95 $30.77 $31.12 $30.06 $4.54 $3.18 $2.98 $3.53 $1.11 $1.42 $1.15 $-0.73 $-0.18 $-1.10 $-1.37 $-1.37
OCF/Share $-3.06 $-2.81 $-1.73 $-0.81 $1.11 $28.95 $30.77 $31.12 $29.91 $4.39 $3.03 $2.83 $3.53 $1.11 $1.42 $1.15 $-0.73 $-0.18 $-1.10 $-1.37 $-1.37
Cash/Share $46.32 $39.72 $41.87 $41.46 $42.23 $41.93 $41.68 $42.62 $42.94 $7.79 $47.34 $44.17 $45.94 $6.90 $6.65 $6.45 $9.95 $1.45 $5.09 $4.70 $4.70
EBITDA/Share $5.59 $5.25 $4.60 $5.19 $12.21 $16.08 $14.79 $13.55 $6.73 $2.00 $2.06 $1.52 $-0.66 $-2.95 $-2.98 $-2.82 $-2.95 $2.66 $2.98 $3.15 $3.15
Debt/Share $137.51 $138.24 $134.42 $121.02 $108.03 $81.30 $78.07 $75.55 $68.45 $76.22 $74.16 $72.82 $76.66 $3.12 $3.17 $3.12 $0.00 $2.49 $2.58 $3.42 $3.42
Net Debt/Share $91.19 $98.52 $92.55 $79.57 $65.81 $39.37 $36.39 $32.93 $25.51 $68.44 $26.82 $28.65 $30.72 $-3.78 $-3.48 $-3.33 $-9.95 $1.04 $-2.51 $-1.27 $-1.27
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman-I Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.418
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.600
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 1 4 7 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4
Beneish M-Score -3.14 -2.57 -2.53 -2.91 -2.72 -1.65 -4.06 -2.50 -3.18 -2.40 -1.88 -1.28 -0.74 — -3.41 -3.45 -5.53 — -3.92 -3.93 -3.935
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.744
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-21.10
EVA snapshot only $-143951596.09
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 22.88 27.73 20.26 22.18 42.56 65.15 57.90 64.55 56.65 36.58 40.20 42.49 41.71 35.13 33.47 31.45 45.98 37.65 41.49 38.54 38.543
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only 7.089
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 3
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 28

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms