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AMSF NASDAQ

AMERISAFE, Inc.
1W: +3.3% 1M: +4.9% 3M: -2.2% YTD: -15.4% 1Y: -26.0% 3Y: -24.6% 5Y: -23.9%
$31.53
-0.27 (-0.85%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±2.8%
$30 $31 $32 $33 $33
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 60 · $589.7M mcap · 18M float · 1.26% daily turnover · Short 37% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 24.4%  ·  5Y Avg: 23.2%
Cost Advantage ★
58
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
38
Network Effect
24
Scale
53
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AMSF has No discernible competitive edge (38.9/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 24.4% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$34
Low
$34
Avg Target
$34
High
Based on 1 analyst since Apr 22, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 3Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$34.00
Analysts1
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-01-16 consensus Hold Buy
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-04-23 Truist Financial Initiated $34 +13.5% $29.96
2026-01-16 Morgan Stanley Initiated $55 +43.1% $38.43
2025-10-14 JMP Securities Initiated $60 +45.3% $41.30

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Jun 12, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
5
ROA
5
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
1
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AMSF receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (5/5), ROA (5/5). Areas of concern: D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-22 A- B+
2026-04-21 B+ A-
2026-04-08 A- B+
2026-03-05 B+ A-
2026-02-26 B B+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

31 Grade C
Profitability
47
Balance Sheet
65
Earnings Quality
40
Growth
44
Value
70
Momentum
40
Safety
100
Cash Flow
32
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AMSF scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (32/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-I Score
5.80
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.67
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.86
Bankruptcy prob: 2.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA+
Score: 90.9/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.22x
Accruals: 3.3%
The Altman-I Score is adapted for insurance companies, emphasizing return on equity, tangible net worth, and cash reserves alongside the standard equity and earnings components. AMSF scores 5.80, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AMSF scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AMSF's score of -2.67 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AMSF's implied 2.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AMSF receives an estimated rating of AA+ (score: 90.9/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AMSF's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.76x
PEG
-6.36x
P/S
1.82x
P/B
2.40x
P/FCF
78.67x
P/OCF
61.86x
EV/EBITDA
9.73x
EV/Revenue
1.75x
EV/EBIT
9.82x
EV/FCF
70.98x
Earnings Yield
7.37%
FCF Yield
1.27%
Shareholder Yield
10.35%
Graham Number
$27.15
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.8x earnings, AMSF trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 7.4% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $27.15 per share, 16% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.802
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.178
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.297
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.304
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
18.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AMSF's ROE of 18.2% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.30x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$20.88
Price/Value
1.60x
Margin of Safety
-59.61%
Premium
59.61%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AMSF's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. AMSF trades at a 60% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $20.88, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$31.53
Median 1Y
$30.02
5th Pctile
$18.96
95th Pctile
$47.47
Ann. Volatility
28.2%
Analyst Target
$34.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
G. Janelle Frost
President and Chief Executive Officer
$803,146 $896,500 $2,369,553
Vincent J. Gagliano
Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer
$421,750 $256,800 $928,884
Raymond F. Wise
Executive Vice President, Chief Sales Officer
$395,625 $240,000 $886,409
Anastasios G. Omiridis
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
$484,896 $322,500 $849,536
Kathryn H. Shirley
Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer and Secretary
$372,708 $228,000 $795,646

CEO Pay Ratio

Insufficient data for pay ratio.

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
-100.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
Rev: $317,252,000
Profit / Employee
NI: $47,145,000
SGA / Employee
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 21.8% 20.9% 15.7% 15.2% 11.0% 9.2% 15.5% 15.5% 18.2% 17.8% 20.4% 20.2% 18.7% 20.1% 20.2% 17.3% 18.3% 18.2% 18.5% 18.2% 18.21%
ROA 6.4% 6.1% 4.6% 4.4% 3.2% 2.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.0% 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2% 4.23%
ROIC 25.1% 24.0% 20.0% 19.4% 14.0% 11.7% -70.1% -70.1% -82.1% -80.4% 39.1% 38.8% 35.9% 38.6% 43.7% 37.4% 39.8% 39.4% 24.8% 24.4% 24.37%
ROCE 8.0% 7.8% 5.8% 5.7% 4.0% 3.2% 5.3% 5.3% 6.3% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 5.8% 6.2% 6.0% 5.1% 5.5% 5.4% 17.7% 17.4% 17.41%
Gross Margin 53.5% 52.3% 17.7% 43.1% 32.7% 39.6% 47.4% 42.9% 45.2% 1.0% 1.0% 43.0% 38.6% 43.1% 49.4% 36.4% 42.2% 41.6% 64.5% 42.0% 42.02%
Operating Margin 35.9% 33.9% 2.5% 28.4% 10.5% 18.8% 32.2% 27.4% 25.9% 17.0% 29.9% 25.8% 18.1% 22.6% 22.7% 15.5% 21.5% 21.3% 15.6% 12.7% 12.69%
Net Margin 29.3% 26.2% 4.5% 23.0% 9.0% 15.9% 26.0% 22.1% 20.7% 13.7% 23.9% 21.0% 14.5% 18.2% 17.8% 12.3% 17.2% 16.9% 12.8% 10.2% 10.17%
EBITDA Margin 36.2% 34.2% 2.8% 28.8% 10.9% 19.3% 32.6% 27.9% 26.3% 17.0% 30.3% 26.2% 18.4% 23.0% 23.0% 15.7% 21.8% 21.5% 15.7% 12.7% 12.69%
FCF Margin 13.8% 12.6% 11.6% 8.9% 11.9% 14.4% 8.9% 11.0% 7.5% 5.6% 9.5% 7.3% 4.1% 5.2% 7.6% 4.9% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 2.5% 2.46%
OCF Margin 14.1% 12.9% 12.0% 9.3% 12.5% 15.2% 9.6% 11.6% 7.8% 5.9% 9.7% 7.7% 4.5% 5.5% 7.8% 4.9% 3.0% 3.6% 3.5% 3.1% 3.13%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 19.32%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 18.29%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.54%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 21.75%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 18.87%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.98%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 5.34%
CROIC snapshot only 4.20%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 14.27%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.79%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 4.86%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.75%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 8.09 8.01 11.38 10.90 15.79 17.12 14.12 13.40 12.53 12.12 12.54 13.63 12.96 13.33 16.71 20.10 15.85 16.15 15.45 13.57 12.764
P/S Ratio 2.29 2.23 2.37 2.26 2.47 2.24 2.66 2.50 2.67 2.52 2.54 2.72 2.39 2.60 3.00 3.17 2.61 2.60 2.30 1.94 1.816
P/B Ratio 1.75 1.66 1.87 1.74 1.82 1.64 2.47 2.35 2.57 2.43 2.66 2.87 2.53 2.80 3.60 3.71 3.11 3.13 2.90 2.50 2.399
P/FCF 16.58 17.75 20.39 25.42 20.68 15.57 30.07 22.81 35.68 44.72 26.59 37.17 58.24 49.70 39.68 64.48 100.95 86.85 81.66 78.67 78.668
P/OCF 16.26 17.33 19.70 24.38 19.71 14.72 27.85 21.58 34.05 42.87 26.10 35.20 52.77 47.26 38.31 64.07 88.42 71.52 65.81 61.86 61.857
EV/EBITDA 5.98 5.83 8.42 7.98 11.69 12.99 5.63 5.04 5.13 4.68 8.23 9.11 8.45 8.86 11.35 13.61 10.42 10.60 11.19 9.73 9.727
EV/Revenue 2.10 2.04 2.14 2.03 2.23 2.00 1.32 1.17 1.37 1.22 2.10 2.29 1.96 2.18 2.58 2.73 2.18 2.18 2.10 1.75 1.747
EV/EBIT 6.03 5.88 8.53 8.09 11.93 13.35 5.74 5.15 5.22 4.74 8.34 9.23 8.56 8.99 11.53 13.83 10.58 10.74 11.34 9.82 9.816
EV/FCF 15.26 16.25 18.48 22.85 18.68 13.90 14.88 10.67 18.32 21.74 22.03 31.27 47.73 41.60 34.09 55.66 84.46 72.79 74.77 70.98 70.981
Earnings Yield 12.4% 12.5% 8.8% 9.2% 6.3% 5.8% 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 8.0% 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 6.0% 5.0% 6.3% 6.2% 6.5% 7.4% 7.37%
FCF Yield 6.0% 5.6% 4.9% 3.9% 4.8% 6.4% 3.3% 4.4% 2.8% 2.2% 3.8% 2.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.27%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.727
EV/OCF snapshot only 55.813
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.670
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 9.816
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 10.35%
Graham Number snapshot only $27.15
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 18.78 18.78 19.54 19.54 19.54 19.54 0.32 0.32 0.318
Quick Ratio 47.04 47.04 18.64 18.64 18.64 18.64 0.32 0.32 0.318
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.002
Net Debt/Equity -0.14 -0.14 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 -1.25 -1.25 -1.25 -1.25 -0.46 -0.46 -0.46 -0.46 -0.51 -0.51 -0.51 -0.51 -0.24 -0.24 -0.244
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.008
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.52 -0.54 -0.87 -0.90 -1.25 -1.56 -5.75 -5.74 -4.86 -4.95 -1.70 -1.72 -1.86 -1.72 -1.86 -2.16 -2.03 -2.05 -1.03 -1.05 -1.053
Interest Coverage
Equity Multiplier 3.35 3.35 3.51 3.51 3.51 3.51 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.10 4.10 4.105
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.088
Cash to Debt snapshot only 126.122
FCF to Debt snapshot only 16.277
Defensive Interval snapshot only 840.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.297
Inventory Turnover 10.27 10.38 10.13 7.58
Receivables Turnover 1.64 1.59 1.53 1.49 1.43 1.42 1.17 1.18 1.21 1.22 1.20 1.21 1.21 1.24 1.18 1.15 1.17 1.19 1.51 1.54 1.544
Payables Turnover 8.48 7.96 9.61 9.51 9.93 10.37 4.58 4.63 4.51 3.38 4.54 4.59 4.86 7.21
DSO 223 230 238 244 255 257 312 308 301 299 303 301 301 295 308 317 311 308 242 236 236.4 days
DIO -427 -455 -365 -369 -353 -338 36 35 36 48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 43 46 38 38 37 35 80 79 81 108 80 80 75 51 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Conversion Cycle -247 -271 -165 -163 -135 -117 267 265 256 240 223 222 226 245 308 317 311 308 242 236
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.244
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.180
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -4.5% -5.1% -6.9% -10.4% -12.2% -10.0% -6.8% -3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.1% 3.8% 1.3% 2.8% 0.7% -2.5% -0.9% -1.7% 2.6% 7.8% 7.82%
Net Income 5.3% -1.5% -24.1% -32.9% -51.4% -57.7% -15.4% -12.8% 41.1% 66.0% 11.7% 10.9% -12.4% -3.6% -10.7% -23.1% -11.6% -18.7% -15.0% -2.4% -2.36%
EPS 5.1% -1.8% -24.2% -33.0% -51.3% -57.4% -14.5% -11.9% 42.1% 66.4% 11.6% 11.1% -12.1% -3.0% -10.3% -22.8% -11.5% -18.6% -14.3% -0.9% -0.85%
FCF -42.1% -38.3% -41.3% -57.1% -23.9% 3.0% -28.8% 19.5% -35.1% -59.1% 12.2% -30.8% -44.5% -4.5% -20.3% -34.6% -37.6% -43.7% -61.8% -46.0% -45.99%
EBITDA 4.4% -0.9% -25.4% -33.8% -52.3% -60.5% -14.3% -11.7% 44.9% 77.5% 13.7% 12.3% -12.2% -3.4% -10.6% -22.0% -10.4% -17.6% -15.0% -3.6% -3.62%
Op. Income 4.4% -1.0% -25.7% -34.1% -52.9% -61.2% -14.9% -12.3% 45.3% 80.0% 14.4% 13.0% -11.8% -3.6% -10.8% -22.3% -10.6% -17.4% -14.8% -2.9% -2.93%
OCF Growth snapshot only -31.75%
Asset Growth snapshot only -10.80%
Equity Growth snapshot only -2.23%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.52%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -42.94%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -3.8% -4.8% -5.8% -6.7% -7.7% -7.7% -7.3% -5.6% -4.6% -3.7% -3.3% -3.5% -2.7% -1.1% -0.7% -0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 2.94%
Revenue 5Y -3.4% -4.0% -4.4% -4.7% -5.2% -5.0% -4.7% -4.4% -4.1% -4.1% -4.1% -4.0% -3.8% -3.3% -3.6% -3.2% -2.7% -2.0% -1.3% -1.1% -1.13%
EPS 3Y 23.3% 19.0% -3.0% -5.4% -15.3% -20.8% -15.5% -12.7% -10.1% -11.4% -10.2% -13.1% -15.3% -11.7% -5.0% -8.9% 3.4% 9.5% -5.0% -5.3% -5.28%
EPS 5Y 2.8% 1.8% -3.5% -1.2% -7.0% -9.9% 3.8% 2.6% 5.4% 3.6% -2.7% -3.7% -5.4% -4.3% -9.6% -10.6% -10.8% -11.3% -11.1% -12.9% -12.90%
Net Income 3Y 23.5% 19.3% -2.8% -5.2% -15.2% -20.9% -15.7% -12.9% -10.3% -11.6% -10.5% -13.4% -15.6% -12.2% -5.5% -9.4% 3.0% 9.2% -5.4% -5.9% -5.90%
Net Income 5Y 3.0% 2.1% -3.3% -1.0% -6.9% -9.9% 3.8% 2.6% 5.3% 3.6% -2.8% -3.8% -5.5% -4.5% -9.8% -10.8% -11.0% -11.5% -11.5% -13.4% -13.39%
EBITDA 3Y 12.6% 11.0% -3.2% -5.6% -15.8% -22.3% -16.0% -13.3% -10.3% -11.4% -10.1% -13.1% -15.3% -12.1% -4.5% -8.2% 4.5% 12.2% -4.7% -5.5% -5.51%
EBITDA 5Y -0.3% -1.0% -6.7% -4.5% -10.1% -13.5% -3.7% -3.8% -0.3% -0.8% -2.4% -3.5% -5.3% -4.3% -9.6% -10.6% -10.7% -11.2% -11.2% -13.2% -13.20%
Gross Profit 3Y 5.8% 5.7% -3.0% -5.4% -11.0% -14.1% -10.6% -8.5% -7.3% 2.6% 11.5% 9.6% 9.3% 2.3% 0.1% -0.5% 7.1% 10.6% 6.8% 8.2% 8.20%
Gross Profit 5Y -1.6% -1.5% -4.8% -4.1% -7.0% -8.4% -3.0% -2.8% -0.9% 4.8% 8.5% 7.9% 7.4% 3.1% -4.5% -4.6% -4.9% -4.5% -1.5% -1.7% -1.67%
Op. Income 3Y 12.7% 11.1% -3.2% -5.7% -16.0% -22.8% -16.3% -13.6% -10.6% -11.5% -10.2% -13.2% -15.5% -12.3% -4.6% -8.3% 4.6% 12.7% -4.5% -5.2% -5.17%
Op. Income 5Y -0.3% -1.0% -6.8% -4.5% -10.2% -13.8% -3.8% -4.0% -0.4% -0.9% -2.4% -3.6% -5.4% -4.4% -9.8% -10.7% -10.8% -11.2% -11.3% -13.2% -13.20%
FCF 3Y -28.3% -25.3% -27.7% -36.3% -29.5% -22.1% -30.5% -23.3% -34.1% -36.2% -22.3% -29.2% -35.0% -26.2% -14.0% -18.5% -39.2% -39.6% -30.1% -37.5% -37.46%
FCF 5Y -17.6% -18.2% -20.1% -23.7% -18.4% -20.5% -27.5% -22.7% -28.9% -29.4% -21.3% -26.5% -33.9% -28.6% -21.4% -27.2% -37.0% -32.5% -32.2% -34.0% -33.97%
OCF 3Y -28.1% -24.9% -27.2% -35.4% -28.4% -20.9% -29.0% -22.3% -33.5% -35.5% -22.2% -28.3% -33.3% -25.5% -14.0% -19.5% -37.5% -36.8% -26.8% -33.5% -33.49%
OCF 5Y -17.4% -18.0% -19.8% -23.3% -17.8% -19.7% -26.4% -22.0% -28.4% -28.9% -21.2% -25.8% -32.6% -28.1% -21.0% -27.4% -35.6% -30.0% -29.5% -31.0% -30.96%
Assets 3Y -1.1% -1.1% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -5.3% -5.3% -5.3% -5.3% -5.8% -5.8% -5.8% -5.8% -6.2% -6.2% -6.2% -6.2% -6.6% -6.6% -6.64%
Assets 5Y -0.4% -0.4% -1.6% -1.6% -1.6% -1.6% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -3.5% -4.1% -4.1% -4.1% -4.1% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -6.8% -6.8% -6.83%
Equity 3Y 1.0% 1.0% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -9.6% -9.6% -9.6% -9.6% -12.7% -12.7% -12.7% -12.7% -13.6% -13.6% -13.6% -13.6% -7.5% -7.5% -7.46%
Book Value 3Y 0.8% 0.8% -1.1% -1.1% -0.9% -0.8% -9.5% -9.5% -9.4% -9.4% -12.4% -12.4% -12.3% -12.2% -13.2% -13.2% -13.3% -13.3% -7.1% -6.9% -6.85%
Dividend 3Y 0.5% 0.4% 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% -2.2% -2.1% -2.0% -1.9% -2.4% -2.5% -2.6% -2.7% -16.8% -16.5% -16.52%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.95 0.94 0.91 0.91 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.92 0.89 0.90 0.88 0.84 0.74 0.62 0.65 0.68 0.46 0.28 0.19 0.18 0.185
Earnings Stability 0.28 0.28 0.07 0.19 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.44 0.42 0.37 0.33 0.81 0.75 0.58 0.46 0.76 0.74 0.736
Margin Stability 0.88 0.88 0.93 0.91 0.87 0.83 0.91 0.90 0.86 0.77 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.78 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.78 0.75 0.75 0.751
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.98 0.99 0.90 0.87 0.50 0.50 0.94 0.95 0.84 0.50 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.99 0.96 0.91 0.95 0.93 0.94 0.99 0.991
Earnings Smoothness 0.95 0.98 0.73 0.61 0.31 0.19 0.83 0.86 0.66 0.50 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.96 0.89 0.74 0.88 0.79 0.84 0.98 0.976
ROE Trend 0.02 0.01 -0.04 -0.05 -0.10 -0.11 -0.01 -0.01 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.02 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.014
Gross Margin Trend 0.05 0.07 -0.04 -0.05 -0.12 -0.17 -0.04 -0.04 0.01 0.16 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.11 -0.13 -0.14 -0.14 -0.15 -0.11 -0.09 -0.092
FCF Margin Trend -0.11 -0.09 -0.08 -0.11 -0.06 -0.02 -0.06 -0.03 -0.05 -0.08 -0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.05 -0.02 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.06 -0.04 -0.037
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.2% 0.2% -8.2% -8.7% -13.0% -14.9% -12.5% -12.7% -10.2% -10.7% -10.2% -10.6% -12.2% -11.0% -10.9% -13.9% -13.0% -13.3% -0.6% -1.0% -1.02%
Internal Growth Rate 0.4% 0.1%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.50 0.46 0.58 0.45 0.80 1.16 0.51 0.62 0.37 0.28 0.48 0.39 0.25 0.28 0.44 0.31 0.18 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.219
FCF/OCF 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.98 0.95 0.91 0.95 0.97 0.99 0.88 0.82 0.81 0.79 0.786
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.172
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.174
CapEx/Revenue 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.67%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 4.114
Accruals Ratio 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.033
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.437
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.199
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 11.7% 12.4% 13.4% 14.4% 13.8% 15.4% 12.8% 13.5% 12.5% 13.2% 12.0% 11.2% 12.8% 11.6% 9.2% 9.0% 10.8% 10.7% 6.7% 7.8% 8.25%
Dividend/Share $4.62 $4.63 $5.15 $5.16 $5.21 $5.24 $5.23 $5.25 $5.29 $5.31 $4.85 $4.89 $4.93 $4.96 $4.47 $4.48 $4.51 $4.54 $2.56 $2.59 $2.60
Payout Ratio 94.4% 99.0% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.06%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 3.7% 2.9% 2.4% 3.8% 3.1% 4.4% 5.9% 3.2% 4.2% 7.4% 5.8% 3.7% 5.8% 10.9% 9.3% 5.4% 6.1% 6.12%
Total Payout Ratio 94.4% 99.0% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.40%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.14 0.14 0.26 0.27 0.26 0.28 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 -0.36 -0.35 -0.352
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.7% 2.6% 2.57%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.7% 2.6% 2.57%
Total Shareholder Return 11.7% 12.4% 13.4% 14.7% 14.6% 17.2% 14.4% 14.9% 13.3% 13.3% 12.3% 11.4% 13.6% 12.5% 9.8% 9.5% 11.3% 11.3% 8.3% 10.4% 10.35%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.81 0.80 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.87 0.82 0.82 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.802
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.35 0.35 0.25 0.25 0.19 0.15 0.23 0.23 0.26 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.23 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.21 0.20 0.19 0.18 0.178
Asset Turnover 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.26 0.29 0.30 0.297
Equity Multiplier 3.41 3.41 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.43 3.73 3.73 3.73 3.73 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.10 4.34 4.34 4.34 4.34 4.30 4.30 4.304
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.90 $4.67 $3.39 $3.28 $2.39 $1.99 $2.89 $2.89 $3.39 $3.31 $3.23 $3.21 $2.98 $3.21 $2.90 $2.48 $2.64 $2.62 $2.49 $2.46 $2.46
Book Value/Share $22.64 $22.61 $20.56 $20.55 $20.66 $20.72 $16.53 $16.50 $16.54 $16.51 $15.22 $15.22 $15.27 $15.30 $13.46 $13.44 $13.46 $13.49 $13.26 $13.34 $13.15
Tangible Book/Share $-33.16 $-33.12 $-31.18 $-31.16 $-31.32 $-31.42 $16.53 $16.50 $16.54 $16.51 $15.22 $15.22 $15.27 $15.30 $13.46 $13.44 $13.46 $13.49 $12.15 $12.22 $12.22
Revenue/Share $17.33 $16.79 $16.27 $15.85 $15.26 $15.22 $15.34 $15.48 $15.90 $15.95 $15.97 $16.08 $16.15 $16.49 $16.17 $15.73 $16.03 $16.24 $16.73 $17.22 $17.31
FCF/Share $2.39 $2.11 $1.89 $1.41 $1.82 $2.19 $1.36 $1.70 $1.19 $0.90 $1.52 $1.18 $0.66 $0.86 $1.22 $0.77 $0.41 $0.49 $0.47 $0.42 $0.43
OCF/Share $2.44 $2.16 $1.96 $1.47 $1.91 $2.32 $1.47 $1.80 $1.25 $0.94 $1.55 $1.24 $0.73 $0.91 $1.27 $0.78 $0.47 $0.59 $0.58 $0.54 $0.54
Cash/Share $3.19 $3.18 $3.64 $3.64 $3.66 $3.67 $20.65 $20.62 $20.67 $20.64 $6.94 $6.95 $6.97 $6.98 $6.83 $6.82 $6.83 $6.85 $3.26 $3.28 $6.60
EBITDA/Share $6.09 $5.88 $4.14 $4.03 $2.91 $2.34 $3.59 $3.59 $4.25 $4.17 $4.08 $4.04 $3.74 $4.05 $3.67 $3.16 $3.36 $3.34 $3.14 $3.09 $3.09
Debt/Share $0.03 $0.03 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03
Net Debt/Share $-3.16 $-3.16 $-3.62 $-3.62 $-3.64 $-3.65 $-20.65 $-20.62 $-20.67 $-20.64 $-6.94 $-6.95 $-6.97 $-6.98 $-6.83 $-6.82 $-6.83 $-6.85 $-3.24 $-3.26 $-3.26
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-I Score 5.795
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -1.647
Piotroski F-Score 4 3 3 3 4 5 4 4 6 6 5 6 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.82 -2.88 -0.79 -1.77 -1.51 -1.86 -2.35 -2.02 -2.07 -2.25 -2.61 -2.33 -2.20 -1.58 -1.88 -2.31 -2.38 -2.34 -2.72 -2.67 -2.670
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.857
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-34.78
EVA snapshot only $27324700.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA+
Credit Score 90.66 90.19 90.62 91.15 90.20 89.77 80.82 81.02 81.29 82.90 80.85 79.53 79.58 79.46 79.85 81.23 81.07 82.45 91.17 90.92 90.920
Credit Grade snapshot only 2
Credit Trend snapshot only 9.693
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 65.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 74
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 94

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