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ARI NYSE

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
1W: -0.2% 1M: -0.8% 3M: +3.0% YTD: +11.1% 1Y: +17.1% 3Y: +53.1% 5Y: +22.2%
$10.94
-0.01 (-0.09%)
After Hours: $10.71 (-0.23, -2.15%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.4%
$10 $11 $11 $11 $11
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 50 · $1.5B mcap · 132M float · 1.08% daily turnover · Short 60% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
42.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Network Effects  ·  ROIC: 4.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 1.6%
Cost Advantage
55
Intangibles
31
Switching Cost
35
Network Effect
58
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. ARI shows a Weak competitive edge (42.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Network Effects. ROIC of 4.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$10
Avg Target
$10
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 2Hold: 9Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$10.50
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-07-15 UBS Doug Harter Initiated $10 +6.5% $9.86
2022-04-25 J.P. Morgan Initiated $14 +2.1% $13.22

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
4
ROA
3
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. ARI receives an overall rating of B-. Strongest factors: ROE (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-12 B B-
2026-05-04 B- B
2026-04-30 B B-
2026-04-01 B- B
2026-03-30 C+ B-
2026-03-10 B- C+
2026-02-23 B B-
2026-02-17 C B
2026-02-11 B+ C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

41 Grade D
Profitability
34
Balance Sheet
15
Earnings Quality
80
Growth
76
Value
84
Momentum
89
Safety
15
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. ARI scores highest in Momentum (89/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.14
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-1.12
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.96
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
CCC
Score: 19.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.91x
Accruals: 0.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. ARI scores 0.14, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. ARI scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. ARI's score of -1.12 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. ARI's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. ARI receives an estimated rating of CCC (score: 19.1/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). ARI's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.99x
PEG
-0.01x
P/S
2.05x
P/B
0.84x
P/FCF
53.47x
P/OCF
12.74x
EV/EBITDA
22.17x
EV/Revenue
13.05x
EV/EBIT
22.87x
EV/FCF
335.38x
Earnings Yield
8.61%
FCF Yield
1.87%
Shareholder Yield
12.47%
Graham Number
$16.48
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.0x earnings, ARI trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $16.48 per share, suggesting a potential 51% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.997
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.315
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.571
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.077
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.909
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
6.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. ARI's ROE of 6.8% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.91x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
1060.99%
Fair P/E
2130.47x
Intrinsic Value
$1935.99
Price/Value
0.01x
Margin of Safety
99.45%
Premium
-99.45%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with ARI's realized 1061.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $1935.99, ARI appears undervalued with a 99% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 2130.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.94
Median 1Y
$10.10
5th Pctile
$4.45
95th Pctile
$22.88
Ann. Volatility
48.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Stuart A. Rothstein
, President and Chief Executive Officer
$— $743,724 $743,724
Anastasia Mironova ,
Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary (commenced serving as Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary on April 4, 2022)
$192,952 $194,595 $703,783

CEO Pay Ratio

1:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $743,724
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $615,750
Employees: 100

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
100
0.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$7,104,860
Rev: $710,486,000
Profit / Employee
$1,267,200
NI: $126,720,000
SGA / Employee
$615,750
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 8.7% 9.1% 9.8% 5.9% 6.1% 11.4% 5.3% 8.7% 2.1% -3.8% 2.5% -4.2% 1.0% -5.0% -5.9% 0.5% -0.2% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.81%
ROA 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 1.8% 1.8% 3.4% 1.4% 2.3% 0.5% -1.0% 0.6% -1.0% 0.3% -1.2% -1.4% 0.1% -0.0% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.39%
ROIC 2.9% 2.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.7% 3.2% 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.6% 1.0% 1.0% 2.4% 2.3% 4.5% 4.8% 4.1% 4.11%
ROCE -0.0% -0.0% 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.5% 2.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% -0.1% -0.1% -0.9% -0.1% 1.9% 3.3% 4.4% 4.40%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 68.5% 67.6% 82.9% 89.9% -4.9% 1.0% 1.0% 22.1% 76.6% 1.0% 69.3% 72.6% 71.9% 81.7% 82.9% 79.9% 78.5% 23.4% 23.42%
Operating Margin 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 99.4% 61.2% 77.1% 18.4% 0.0% 0.0% 98.5% 56.7% 0.0% 45.8% 50.0% 49.6% 51.4% 38.2% 97.3% 77.2% 13.0% 12.96%
Net Margin 1.2% 76.7% 53.4% -49.2% 92.2% 1.4% -23.0% 55.8% -4.9% 21.5% 54.8% -1.2% 50.5% -1.3% 56.7% 14.9% 11.1% 30.4% 16.0% 15.2% 15.20%
EBITDA Margin 0.0% 0.0% 1.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.9% 0.0% 0.0% 99.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -46.8% 39.5% 1.0% 81.0% 15.3% 15.27%
FCF Margin 78.5% 72.2% 71.9% 77.1% 62.1% 70.3% 85.7% 93.5% 1.1% 70.1% 49.8% 30.0% 21.1% 10.4% 10.3% 7.8% 10.1% 9.4% 6.0% 3.9% 3.89%
OCF Margin 78.5% 72.2% 71.9% 77.2% 62.2% 76.6% 97.7% 1.1% 1.4% 88.4% 67.8% 54.0% 47.8% 57.9% 66.8% 48.0% 39.6% 30.7% 20.1% 16.3% 16.32%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.04%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 3.52%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.13%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.93%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 4.06%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.17%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 1.20%
CROIC snapshot only 0.29%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 55.83%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 17.96%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.19%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.87%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.74 7.00 6.36 9.37 8.66 3.62 8.79 5.33 25.66 -12.80 23.36 -14.01 50.54 -10.05 -9.36 116.26 -315.37 10.24 10.61 11.62 11.993
P/S Ratio 5.56 5.22 5.13 4.77 4.20 2.79 3.96 3.59 5.11 3.52 3.36 3.33 2.65 3.65 3.74 3.25 2.60 2.36 1.89 2.08 2.050
P/B Ratio 0.72 0.69 0.62 0.55 0.52 0.41 0.46 0.46 0.52 0.48 0.61 0.60 0.55 0.52 0.60 0.67 0.70 0.75 0.72 0.79 0.840
P/FCF 7.09 7.24 7.14 6.18 6.76 3.97 4.63 3.84 4.64 5.03 6.75 11.12 12.59 35.23 36.43 41.80 25.68 25.21 31.79 53.47 53.472
P/OCF 7.09 7.23 7.13 6.18 6.75 3.65 4.05 3.29 3.76 3.99 4.96 6.17 5.55 6.31 5.59 6.77 6.58 7.68 9.44 12.74 12.744
EV/EBITDA 81.69 38.45 38.08 36.67 46.79 105.98 108.04 27.58 38.13 38.02 37.42 -90.14 -979.31 46.32 29.47 22.17 22.173
EV/Revenue 19.77 19.25 25.56 26.10 24.02 19.51 28.60 26.02 33.13 24.40 20.03 20.12 17.46 25.16 24.00 18.87 14.63 12.49 12.84 13.05 13.048
EV/EBIT -12905.38 -3716.68 84.26 39.18 38.70 37.04 55.43 176.06 188.83 31.14 39.47 39.49 38.45 -1690.87 -1544.89 -92.94 -969.67 47.16 30.08 22.87 22.869
EV/FCF 25.19 26.66 35.58 33.83 38.65 27.74 33.38 27.84 30.06 34.82 40.19 67.17 82.81 242.60 233.91 242.50 144.33 133.39 215.62 335.38 335.382
Earnings Yield 12.9% 14.3% 15.7% 10.7% 11.5% 27.6% 11.4% 18.8% 3.9% -7.8% 4.3% -7.1% 2.0% -9.9% -10.7% 0.9% -0.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.6% 8.61%
FCF Yield 14.1% 13.8% 14.0% 16.2% 14.8% 25.2% 21.6% 26.1% 21.6% 19.9% 14.8% 9.0% 7.9% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.9% 4.0% 3.1% 1.9% 1.87%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.795
EV/OCF snapshot only 79.933
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 19.601
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 23.290
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 12.47%
Graham Number snapshot only $16.48
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 47.74 47.74 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.30 0.30 0.300
Quick Ratio 47.74 47.74 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.30 0.30 0.300
Debt/Equity 1.99 1.99 2.62 2.62 2.62 2.62 2.96 2.96 2.96 2.96 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.15 3.41 3.41 3.41 3.41 4.27 4.27 4.266
Net Debt/Equity 1.85 1.85 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.47 2.87 2.87 2.87 2.87 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.05 3.24 3.24 3.24 3.24 4.19 4.19 4.191
Debt/Assets 0.65 0.65 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.80 0.80 0.800
Debt/EBITDA 69.26 33.32 33.32 33.32 41.63 94.38 94.38 24.38 32.79 32.79 32.79 -78.50 -847.17 39.54 25.58 18.97 18.973
Net Debt/EBITDA 65.31 31.42 31.42 31.42 40.30 91.37 91.37 23.60 31.73 31.73 31.73 -74.60 -805.09 37.57 25.12 18.64 18.638
Interest Coverage -0.00 -0.01 0.52 1.03 0.94 0.82 0.52 0.13 0.11 0.58 0.44 0.42 0.41 -0.01 -0.01 -0.16 -0.02 0.35 0.66 0.86 0.863
Equity Multiplier 3.06 3.06 3.67 3.67 3.67 3.67 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.06 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.21 4.49 4.49 4.49 4.49 5.33 5.33 5.334
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.199
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.890
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.018
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.003
Defensive Interval snapshot only 12294.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.077
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 5.14 5.64 4.52 6.06 5.86 5.82 6.60 4.54 4.58 5.95 7.72 9.16 10.99 10.97 10.969
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.00 2.09 3.97 5.23 6.50 3.60 2.61 1.96 9.62 6.80 6.80 7.59 2.24 2.08 3.16 3.50 3.97 9.68 16.78 16.779
DSO 7970 7867 4307 4495 4177 3523 71 65 81 60 62 63 55 80 80 61 47 40 33 33 33.3 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 -325 -448 -597 -122 -126 -126 -113 -382 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 175 92 70 56 101 140 186 38 54 54 48 163 175 116 104 92 38 22 21.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 4132 4404 4107 3467 -356 -523 -703 -99 -117 -117 -105 -465 -95 -54 -57 -52 -5 12 11.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.072
Capital Intensity snapshot only 13.961
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% -19.6% -3.1% 13.4% -1.2% 13.2% -15.7% -4.6% 47.4% 33.2% 88.7% -3.2% -25.8% -3.0% 11.0% 91.6% 1.4% 82.4% 82.36%
Net Income 5.4% 3.2% 11.2% -33.9% -34.7% 17.1% -44.7% 49.5% -65.4% -1.3% -52.9% -1.5% -50.2% -27.8% -3.1% 1.1% -1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 10.7% 10.67%
EPS 5.8% 2.6% 11.2% -19.5% -35.0% 21.7% -32.8% 35.0% -57.9% -1.4% -53.2% -1.5% -50.0% -30.7% -3.1% 1.1% -1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 10.6% 10.61%
FCF 6.7% 8.9% 21.5% 33.2% -23.3% 10.5% 17.8% 37.2% 49.4% -5.0% -14.2% -57.3% -63.9% -85.7% -84.7% -74.8% -46.6% 73.0% 37.6% -8.8% -8.81%
EBITDA 93.0% -59.0% -59.0% 58.6% 26.7% 1.9% 1.9% -1.0% -1.0% -1.4% -1.0% 6.1% 6.13%
Op. Income 12.1% 5.8% 1.9% -46.2% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 61.1% -3.8% 0.2% -10.4% 13.2% 60.3% -59.9% -59.8% -25.3% -20.3% 2.1% 3.5% 1.1% 1.05%
OCF Growth snapshot only -38.00%
Asset Growth snapshot only 17.71%
Equity Growth snapshot only -0.98%
Debt Growth snapshot only 23.91%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.52%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -15.90%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.3% 2.9% -2.5% -6.1% -2.5% 3.1% -4.5% 51.1% 27.6% 43.0% 52.6% 6.6% 15.5% 1.5% 2.6% 13.5% 20.9% 20.9% 37.4% 33.1% 33.09%
Revenue 5Y 17.5% 15.7% 8.9% 4.9% 4.3% 4.8% 1.4% 3.1% -2.6% 3.3% 6.2% 4.6% 8.0% 0.3% -1.0% 34.9% 34.2% 40.2% 44.3% 16.5% 16.50%
EPS 3Y -10.3% -1.2% -0.9% -12.7% -16.8% 4.9% -11.4% 79.6% 22.8% 56.4% -48.5% -56.7% -14.6% 1.2% -11.3% -11.28%
EPS 5Y 0.7% -5.5% -7.1% -13.6% -18.1% -4.2% -13.2% -5.7% -27.7% -21.1% -34.5% -19.0% 22.0% 53.3% -5.4% -5.37%
Net Income 3Y -0.4% 2.3% 0.5% -17.2% -17.2% 7.3% -18.7% 80.2% 12.9% 46.8% -51.7% -56.8% -19.1% 0.9% -14.4% -14.39%
Net Income 5Y 20.9% 12.1% 7.2% -6.2% -8.2% 4.4% -8.5% 0.7% -25.9% -23.4% -37.2% -20.6% 20.9% 47.1% -9.1% -9.10%
EBITDA 3Y -3.6% 22.7% 78.1% 78.12%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 2.3% 2.9% -5.2% -11.2% -9.2% -4.3% -13.8% 41.8% 20.2% 5.7% 24.1% -13.5% -5.9% -5.6% -2.3% 9.6% 20.2% 21.2% 41.7% 23.9% 23.87%
Gross Profit 5Y 17.5% 15.7% 7.1% 1.4% -0.0% 0.2% -4.6% -0.7% -6.0% -13.8% -6.2% -7.8% -4.4% -4.0% -5.5% 27.6% 28.2% 34.2% 38.2% 7.4% 7.40%
Op. Income 3Y -15.0% -25.3% -25.6% -27.1% -20.6% -6.2% 2.7% 3.7% 76.6% -0.6% 15.6% -3.6% -8.9% 10.9% 7.1% 7.3% 17.1% 20.2% 20.16%
Op. Income 5Y 6.4% -6.9% -9.1% -10.9% -7.7% 0.6% 1.3% -3.9% -10.0% -1.4% -5.0% -6.7% -5.0% -19.8% -17.2% 1.4% 58.0% 8.5% 8.49%
FCF 3Y -3.2% -6.3% -9.2% -4.4% -4.5% 0.7% -5.0% 1.3% 7.0% 4.6% 7.0% -7.9% -25.5% -46.8% -46.4% -47.1% -34.0% -38.3% -43.5% -53.9% -53.88%
FCF 5Y 20.1% 15.3% 10.9% 9.4% 4.1% 9.3% 8.7% 5.3% 0.8% -2.9% -5.4% -12.6% -14.0% -32.6% -35.4% -35.5% -25.1% -22.3% -23.7% -29.1% -29.09%
OCF 3Y -3.2% -6.3% -9.2% -4.4% -4.5% 3.7% -0.7% 6.7% 14.8% 13.0% 18.6% 12.0% -2.1% -5.7% 0.1% -3.1% 3.9% -10.8% -19.0% -29.4% -29.35%
OCF 5Y 20.1% 15.3% 10.9% 9.4% 4.1% 11.2% 11.6% 8.6% 5.2% 1.7% 0.6% -1.6% 1.3% -4.9% -6.0% -7.1% -1.6% -1.4% -2.8% -5.5% -5.53%
Assets 3Y 19.3% 19.3% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 18.2% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.15%
Assets 5Y 20.6% 20.6% 19.3% 19.3% 19.3% 19.3% 18.5% 18.5% 18.5% 18.5% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 7.4% 7.4% 7.37%
Equity 3Y 2.8% 2.8% -2.9% -2.9% -2.9% -2.9% -3.6% -3.6% -3.6% -3.6% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% -6.5% -6.5% -6.5% -6.5% -7.6% -7.6% -7.62%
Book Value 3Y -7.4% -0.7% -4.3% 2.4% -2.5% -5.1% 5.1% -3.9% 4.9% -2.4% 5.6% 5.4% 5.7% 6.3% -0.0% -6.2% 0.3% -1.3% -7.3% -4.3% -4.27%
Dividend 3Y -18.2% -10.8% -6.7% 2.9% -0.3% -2.5% 9.0% -0.2% 9.0% 1.4% 6.8% 6.6% 6.9% 7.3% 4.2% -4.9% -1.3% -5.6% -7.8% -2.2% -2.18%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.13 0.10 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.12 0.01 0.21 0.18 0.12 0.16 0.12 0.05 0.93 0.88 0.78 0.74 0.56 0.559
Earnings Stability 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.16 0.01 0.12 0.01 0.33 0.21 0.28 0.27 0.40 0.42 0.48 0.18 0.30 0.10 0.06 0.23 0.231
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 0.96 0.93 0.91 0.91 0.88 0.90 0.89 0.69 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.70 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.71 0.79 0.77 0.769
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.86 0.86 0.93 0.82 0.80 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.58 0.84 0.42 0.60 0.03 0.28 0.33 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.05 -0.00 0.01 -0.06 -0.14 -0.05 -0.12 -0.03 -0.09 -0.10 -0.02 -0.02 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.087
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 -0.08 -0.16 -0.19 -0.20 -0.22 -0.10 -0.07 -0.50 -0.29 -0.30 -0.28 0.20 0.16 0.08 0.11 0.20 0.14 0.02 0.019
FCF Margin Trend -0.48 -0.55 -0.44 -1.01 -0.71 -0.55 -0.22 0.32 0.40 -0.01 -0.29 -0.55 -0.65 -0.60 -0.57 -0.54 -0.56 -0.31 -0.24 -0.15 -0.150
Sustainable Growth Rate -0.2% 0.4% 0.5% -3.4% -3.2% 2.1% -3.8% -0.5% -7.1% -6.8% -8.4% -8.4% -0.7% -1.4% -1.4% -1.44%
Internal Growth Rate 0.1% 0.1% 0.6%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.09 0.97 0.89 1.52 1.28 0.99 2.17 1.62 6.83 -3.21 4.71 -2.27 9.11 -1.59 -1.67 17.16 -47.93 1.33 1.12 0.91 0.912
FCF/OCF 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.92 0.88 0.86 0.81 0.79 0.73 0.55 0.44 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.26 0.30 0.30 0.24 0.238
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.217
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.277
CapEx/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 6.3% 12.1% 15.7% 25.9% 18.3% 18.0% 24.1% 26.7% 47.5% 56.6% 40.2% 29.4% 21.4% 14.1% 12.4% 12.43%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 11.547
Accruals Ratio -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.054
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 0.479
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 13.3% 13.7% 15.0% 16.8% 17.7% 22.5% 19.6% 19.8% 17.3% 18.8% 15.8% 16.1% 17.8% 18.7% 17.7% 14.5% 12.7% 10.8% 11.4% 10.4% 9.14%
Dividend/Share $1.27 $1.25 $1.24 $1.51 $1.24 $1.29 $1.51 $1.37 $1.51 $1.51 $1.52 $1.51 $1.53 $1.54 $1.42 $1.32 $1.20 $1.09 $1.11 $1.10 $1.00
Payout Ratio 1.0% 95.9% 95.1% 1.6% 1.5% 81.4% 1.7% 1.1% 4.5% 3.7% 9.0% 16.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.21%
FCF Payout Ratio 94.0% 99.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 89.2% 90.7% 75.8% 80.5% 94.4% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 6.6% 6.4% 6.0% 3.3% 2.7% 3.6% 5.6% 5.57%
Total Payout Ratio 1.4% 1.1% 97.0% 1.6% 1.5% 81.4% 1.7% 1.1% 4.5% 3.7% 10.6% 21.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.45%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.12 -0.08 -0.00 0.10 0.15 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.10 -0.00 -0.09 -0.18 -0.11 -0.05 -0.055
Buyback Yield 5.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 2.1% 2.05%
Net Buyback Yield 5.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 2.1% 2.05%
Total Shareholder Return 18.5% 16.3% 15.3% 17.1% 17.7% 22.5% 19.6% 19.8% 17.3% 18.8% 15.8% 16.1% 20.9% 22.2% 21.3% 18.1% 13.3% 11.2% 11.8% 12.5% 12.47%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.75 0.75 0.85 0.47 0.68 0.33 -10.96 -1.69 0.51 -0.35 0.55 1.00 0.96 1.11 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.997
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -469.12 -144.12 2.66 1.02 1.04 1.72 1.88 6.72 3.42 0.03 -0.17 -0.92 -0.33 44.35 25.61 -0.14 0.49 0.87 0.42 0.31 0.315
EBIT Margin -0.00 -0.01 0.30 0.67 0.62 0.53 0.52 0.15 0.18 0.78 0.51 0.51 0.45 -0.01 -0.02 -0.20 -0.02 0.26 0.43 0.57 0.571
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.077
Equity Multiplier 2.82 2.82 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 4.13 4.13 4.13 4.13 4.34 4.34 4.34 4.34 4.91 4.91 4.909
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.24 $1.31 $1.31 $0.96 $0.81 $1.59 $0.88 $1.30 $0.34 $-0.63 $0.41 $-0.67 $0.17 $-0.82 $-0.86 $0.08 $-0.03 $0.99 $0.91 $0.91 $0.91
Book Value/Share $13.29 $13.29 $13.43 $16.35 $13.36 $13.96 $16.75 $15.14 $16.66 $16.66 $15.63 $15.57 $15.71 $15.98 $13.42 $13.49 $13.47 $13.42 $13.36 $13.29 $13.02
Tangible Book/Share $13.29 $13.29 $13.43 $16.35 $13.36 $13.96 $84.80 $76.68 $84.36 $84.35 $15.63 $15.57 $15.71 $15.98 $13.42 $13.49 $13.47 $13.42 $13.36 $13.29 $13.29
Revenue/Share $1.73 $1.75 $1.62 $1.89 $1.67 $2.06 $1.95 $1.93 $1.70 $2.29 $2.86 $2.83 $3.23 $2.26 $2.15 $2.80 $3.63 $4.29 $5.11 $5.08 $5.10
FCF/Share $1.36 $1.26 $1.17 $1.46 $1.03 $1.45 $1.67 $1.81 $1.88 $1.60 $1.42 $0.85 $0.68 $0.23 $0.22 $0.22 $0.37 $0.40 $0.30 $0.20 $0.20
OCF/Share $1.36 $1.26 $1.17 $1.46 $1.04 $1.58 $1.90 $2.11 $2.32 $2.02 $1.94 $1.53 $1.55 $1.31 $1.43 $1.34 $1.43 $1.32 $1.03 $0.83 $0.83
Cash/Share $1.91 $1.90 $2.01 $2.44 $2.00 $2.09 $1.58 $1.43 $1.57 $1.57 $1.60 $1.59 $1.60 $1.63 $2.27 $2.28 $2.28 $2.27 $1.01 $1.00 $0.91
EBITDA/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.51 $1.28 $1.05 $1.10 $1.19 $0.48 $0.52 $2.02 $1.50 $1.49 $1.51 $0.00 $0.00 $-0.59 $-0.05 $1.16 $2.23 $2.99 $2.99
Debt/Share $26.44 $26.43 $35.17 $42.82 $35.00 $36.57 $49.58 $44.83 $49.32 $49.31 $49.23 $49.02 $49.46 $50.31 $45.75 $45.98 $45.90 $45.75 $56.99 $56.67 $56.67
Net Debt/Share $24.54 $24.53 $33.16 $40.37 $33.00 $34.48 $48.00 $43.40 $47.74 $47.74 $47.63 $47.43 $47.86 $48.68 $43.48 $43.69 $43.62 $43.48 $55.98 $55.67 $55.67
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.137
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.138
Piotroski F-Score 7 5 5 5 4 6 5 7 6 4 5 4 5 4 3 6 5 6 8 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.58 -1.75 25029.88 25029.94 25030.16 25030.47 21.48 -2.09 2.12 -0.37 9.23 -2.53 -0.10 -2.40 -2.86 -2.01 -1.75 -1.85 -1.49 -1.12 -1.118
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.961
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-56.07
EVA snapshot only $-567490519.76
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only CCC
Credit Score 41.72 40.21 18.25 23.86 19.00 20.15 16.03 14.89 14.83 15.42 18.91 19.25 18.53 21.68 13.40 23.10 29.41 18.94 18.24 19.09 19.085
Credit Grade snapshot only 17
Credit Trend snapshot only -4.012
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 1200.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 42
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 5

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms