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AROW NASDAQ

Arrow Financial Corporation
1W: +2.9% 1M: +1.2% 3M: +4.7% YTD: +18.5% 1Y: +41.2% 3Y: +140.4% 5Y: +30.4%
$36.82
+0.06 (+0.16%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.3%
$33 $34 $35 $36 $37
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 63 · $608.6M mcap · 14M float · 0.640% daily turnover · Short 65% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
48.4 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 11.8%  ·  5Y Avg: 9.6%
Cost Advantage
40
Intangibles
55
Switching Cost
47
Network Effect
54
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. AROW shows a Weak competitive edge (48.4/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 11.8% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 0Hold: 1Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-02-04 Piper Sandler Frank Schiraldi $32 $30 -2 +11.4% $26.93
2024-12-20 Piper Sandler Frank Schiraldi Initiated $32 +10.4% $28.98

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

A-
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
3
P/E
3
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. AROW receives an overall rating of A-. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-22 B+ A-
2026-05-21 A- B+
2026-05-20 B+ A-
2026-05-04 B B+
2026-04-30 B+ B
2026-04-24 A- B+
2026-04-22 B+ A-
2026-04-21 A- B+
2026-04-01 B A-
2026-03-02 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

59 Grade A
Profitability
65
Balance Sheet
42
Earnings Quality
90
Growth
64
Value
84
Momentum
79
Safety
30
Cash Flow
77
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. AROW scores highest in Earnings Quality (90/100) and lowest in Safety (30/100). An overall grade of A places AROW among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.68
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-3.01
Bankruptcy prob: 4.7%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 65.7/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 0.91x
Accruals: 0.1%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. AROW scores 1.68, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. AROW scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. AROW's score of -2.51 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. AROW's implied 4.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. AROW receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 65.7/100), with a stable trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). AROW's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.80x
PEG
0.15x
P/S
2.47x
P/B
1.37x
P/FCF
13.32x
P/OCF
11.85x
EV/EBITDA
8.16x
EV/Revenue
2.23x
EV/EBIT
8.52x
EV/FCF
13.32x
Earnings Yield
9.29%
FCF Yield
7.51%
Shareholder Yield
4.73%
Graham Number
$42.97
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.8x earnings, AROW trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 9.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $42.97 per share, suggesting a potential 17% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.791
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.262
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.056
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
10.510
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. AROW's ROE of 12.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 10.51x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
5.89%
Fair P/E
20.29x
Intrinsic Value
$63.23
Price/Value
0.53x
Margin of Safety
46.91%
Premium
-46.91%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with AROW's realized 5.9% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $63.23, AROW appears undervalued with a 47% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 20.3x compares to the current market P/E of 11.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$36.82
Median 1Y
$37.35
5th Pctile
$21.15
95th Pctile
$65.66
Ann. Volatility
34.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
David S. DeMarco,
President and CEO
$715,850 $— $62,642
Andrew J. Wise,
SEVP, CRO and Corporate Secretary
$375,950 $— $55,983
Penko K. Ivanov,
SEVP, CFO, Treasurer and CAO
$422,300 $— $53,647
Marc J. Yrsha,
SEVP and CBO
$375,950 $— $51,309
Michael J. Jacobs
EVP and CIO
$260,000 $— $25,696
Brooke M. Pancoe,
EVP and CHRO
$260,000 $— $24,777

CEO Pay Ratio

0:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $62,642
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $146,785
Employees: 578

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
578
+4.3% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$419,687
Rev: $242,579,000
Profit / Employee
$76,043
NI: $43,953,000
SGA / Employee
$146,785
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 15.8% 16.4% 14.1% 13.9% 13.6% 13.3% 13.5% 12.4% 10.7% 9.5% 8.2% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 7.6% 7.3% 7.8% 8.8% 10.6% 12.3% 12.28%
ROA 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.17%
ROIC -15.5% -16.1% -8.7% -8.5% -8.3% -8.2% -27.5% -25.2% -21.9% -19.4% -15.9% -15.4% -16.8% -17.4% -16.2% -15.5% -16.7% -18.8% 10.2% 11.8% 11.84%
ROCE 14.7% 15.4% 13.5% 13.4% 13.0% 12.7% 14.2% 13.0% 11.2% 9.8% 8.1% 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 7.8% 7.5% 8.1% 9.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.73%
Gross Margin 95.8% 96.6% 95.2% 94.9% 93.6% 88.1% 84.4% 77.6% 67.6% 65.9% 62.9% 61.8% 61.3% 61.9% 56.3% 58.7% 66.8% 67.5% 67.7% 70.8% 70.82%
Operating Margin 45.8% 44.8% 37.2% 43.9% 40.5% 37.0% 36.1% 25.5% 16.3% 19.1% 18.1% 17.8% 19.6% 20.0% 9.5% 14.0% 23.5% 26.6% 26.7% 27.8% 27.79%
Net Margin 34.8% 34.6% 28.7% 33.9% 31.2% 28.9% 28.1% 20.0% 12.9% 15.4% 14.9% 14.0% 15.4% 15.6% 8.1% 10.8% 18.3% 20.6% 22.3% 21.6% 21.60%
EBITDA Margin 51.1% 50.0% 42.6% 49.1% 45.4% 41.8% 40.0% 29.6% 19.9% 22.1% 21.5% 20.3% 21.8% 22.4% 11.9% 16.0% 25.9% 29.1% 26.7% 27.8% 27.79%
FCF Margin 41.3% 43.5% 41.3% 37.6% 32.2% 30.4% 28.3% 25.5% 23.7% 21.1% 7.0% 6.0% 4.5% 3.6% 12.9% 12.6% 12.7% 15.1% 14.9% 16.7% 16.75%
OCF Margin 45.0% 47.1% 46.1% 43.6% 39.5% 39.6% 37.2% 33.8% 31.3% 26.5% 10.7% 8.7% 6.7% 5.7% 15.5% 15.1% 15.4% 17.5% 17.0% 18.8% 18.82%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 8.86%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 10.50%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.84%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.55%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 11.21%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.04%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 10.76%
CROIC snapshot only 9.57%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 20.72%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 26.18%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 29.77%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.47%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 9.06 8.65 9.33 8.78 8.91 8.55 10.07 8.13 7.69 7.67 14.54 13.47 12.91 13.84 15.53 14.99 14.03 13.37 11.73 10.77 11.798
P/S Ratio 3.07 3.01 3.14 2.90 2.86 2.62 3.06 2.19 1.71 1.44 2.28 1.93 1.93 2.08 2.07 1.88 1.86 1.96 2.12 2.23 2.466
P/B Ratio 1.36 1.35 1.25 1.16 1.15 1.08 1.39 1.03 0.85 0.75 1.15 1.03 1.08 1.20 1.15 1.06 1.07 1.15 1.19 1.28 1.370
P/FCF 7.44 6.92 7.62 7.72 8.88 8.62 10.81 8.59 7.20 6.85 32.40 32.44 42.80 58.21 15.98 14.93 14.66 12.97 14.24 13.32 13.321
P/OCF 6.82 6.39 6.82 6.65 7.25 6.62 8.23 6.48 5.46 5.46 21.25 22.18 28.63 36.41 13.38 12.44 12.11 11.22 12.48 11.85 11.854
EV/EBITDA -2.86 -2.77 -6.67 -7.18 -7.47 -7.95 -0.56 -2.58 -4.09 -5.30 -2.97 -4.12 -3.50 -2.38 -2.87 -3.88 -3.52 -2.51 8.66 8.16 8.156
EV/Revenue -1.38 -1.39 -3.26 -3.46 -3.50 -3.55 -0.25 -1.01 -1.33 -1.46 -0.69 -0.86 -0.75 -0.51 -0.55 -0.70 -0.68 -0.53 2.12 2.23 2.231
EV/EBIT -3.19 -3.10 -7.48 -8.06 -8.40 -8.97 -0.63 -2.90 -4.68 -6.11 -3.50 -4.85 -4.02 -2.71 -3.29 -4.44 -4.01 -2.83 9.31 8.52 8.525
EV/FCF -3.35 -3.20 -7.89 -9.22 -10.85 -11.70 -0.87 -3.94 -5.60 -6.92 -9.73 -14.53 -16.61 -14.38 -4.25 -5.58 -5.31 -3.50 14.24 13.32 13.323
Earnings Yield 11.0% 11.6% 10.7% 11.4% 11.2% 11.7% 9.9% 12.3% 13.0% 13.0% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 7.2% 6.4% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5% 8.5% 9.3% 9.29%
FCF Yield 13.4% 14.4% 13.1% 13.0% 11.3% 11.6% 9.2% 11.6% 13.9% 14.6% 3.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.7% 6.3% 6.7% 6.8% 7.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.51%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.145
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.355
EV/OCF snapshot only 11.855
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.271
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 8.525
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.73%
Graham Number snapshot only $42.97
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.23 0.23 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.04 0.04 0.040
Quick Ratio 0.23 0.23 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.04 0.04 0.040
Debt/Equity 0.26 0.26 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.068
Net Debt/Equity -1.97 -1.97 -2.55 -2.55 -2.55 -2.55 -1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -1.46 -1.46 -1.46 -1.46 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/Assets 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.007
Debt/EBITDA 1.23 1.17 0.97 0.98 1.01 1.02 1.52 1.65 1.88 2.12 1.62 1.68 1.57 1.51 0.79 0.82 0.76 0.68 0.49 0.43 0.432
Net Debt/EBITDA -9.21 -8.75 -13.11 -13.19 -13.59 -13.82 -7.54 -8.19 -9.35 -10.55 -12.86 -13.33 -12.50 -12.03 -13.67 -14.25 -13.24 -11.84 0.00 0.00 0.001
Interest Coverage 8.93 11.27 12.40 13.38 12.40 8.51 5.56 3.16 1.61 0.99 0.65 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.45 0.44 0.48 0.56 0.72 0.85 0.854
Equity Multiplier 11.03 11.03 10.85 10.85 10.85 10.85 11.23 11.23 11.23 11.23 10.98 10.98 10.98 10.98 10.74 10.74 10.74 10.74 10.29 10.29 10.295
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.040
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.893
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.998
FCF to Debt snapshot only 1.416
Defensive Interval snapshot only 102.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.056
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover
Payables Turnover
DSO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Cash Conversion Cycle 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.153
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.472
Capital Intensity snapshot only 18.014
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 4.1% 4.9% 2.3% 2.6% 0.6% 2.7% 8.5% 11.8% 17.4% 19.2% 19.4% 22.4% 21.5% 20.1% 16.4% 11.5% 8.4% 6.9% 8.7% 8.8% 8.85%
Net Income 35.1% 36.7% 22.1% 6.9% -4.5% -9.6% -2.1% -8.9% -18.8% -26.8% -38.4% -34.9% -18.3% -4.3% -1.2% -2.8% -3.7% 4.4% 47.9% 80.3% 80.29%
EPS 33.6% 35.5% 21.4% 6.5% -4.3% -9.6% -5.2% -11.5% -21.2% -28.9% -38.1% -34.1% -16.7% -2.5% 0.3% -1.7% -2.8% 6.5% 50.9% 83.3% 83.26%
FCF 83.5% 90.9% 64.2% 27.2% -21.4% -28.3% -25.6% -24.2% -13.5% -17.2% -70.3% -71.4% -76.9% -79.7% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 3.5% 25.3% 45.2% 45.17%
EBITDA 34.1% 38.9% 23.0% 9.3% -2.5% -8.9% -2.4% -9.6% -18.5% -26.5% -37.2% -34.3% -20.0% -6.1% -3.4% -3.9% -3.0% 4.3% 39.3% 64.8% 64.78%
Op. Income 37.0% 39.9% 24.2% 9.5% -3.4% -9.6% -2.3% -10.0% -19.9% -28.1% -40.4% -37.0% -20.4% -5.0% -0.4% -1.3% -1.9% 5.6% 48.3% 80.4% 80.42%
OCF Growth snapshot only 35.87%
Asset Growth snapshot only 3.24%
Equity Growth snapshot only 7.72%
Debt Growth snapshot only -13.13%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.62%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 3.97%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 7.7% 7.1% 5.6% 4.8% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 8.7% 9.9% 12.0% 12.8% 13.7% 14.7% 15.1% 15.6% 15.2% 14.7% 14.1% 14.08%
Revenue 5Y 7.7% 7.6% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.4% 7.7% 8.1% 8.5% 8.8% 9.5% 10.0% 10.1% 10.0% 9.9% 10.1% 10.5% 10.9% 11.2% 11.23%
EPS 3Y 13.5% 13.0% 10.7% 9.9% 9.9% 8.4% 7.8% 5.3% 0.2% -4.5% -10.7% -14.7% -14.4% -14.4% -16.2% -16.9% -13.9% -9.6% -2.1% 5.9% 5.89%
EPS 5Y 13.5% 13.8% 12.9% 12.6% 11.5% 10.5% 9.6% 6.4% 1.9% -1.5% -4.5% -5.0% -2.7% -2.4% -4.9% -5.4% -4.0% -2.0% 1.5% 2.3% 2.28%
Net Income 3Y 14.1% 13.5% 11.2% 10.4% 10.3% 8.8% 9.2% 6.7% 1.6% -3.3% -9.7% -14.1% -14.1% -14.1% -15.9% -16.8% -13.9% -9.9% -3.4% 4.5% 4.51%
Net Income 5Y 14.3% 14.4% 13.4% 13.1% 12.0% 11.0% 10.7% 7.5% 2.9% -0.7% -3.7% -4.4% -2.3% -2.0% -4.5% -5.1% -3.8% -2.0% 1.5% 2.1% 2.15%
EBITDA 3Y 14.4% 15.4% 13.0% 12.5% 12.0% 10.4% 10.3% 7.6% 2.1% -2.4% -9.0% -13.4% -14.0% -14.4% -16.1% -17.0% -14.1% -10.4% -5.5% 1.3% 1.33%
EBITDA 5Y 10.8% 11.4% 10.6% 10.5% 9.6% 8.9% 9.3% 7.0% 3.5% 0.6% -2.4% -3.3% -1.7% -1.5% -4.1% -4.7% -3.7% -1.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.57%
Gross Profit 3Y 8.9% 9.5% 8.9% 8.5% 8.4% 8.0% 8.0% 7.4% 6.1% 4.5% 2.1% 0.3% -1.0% -1.5% -1.9% -1.7% -0.3% 1.0% 3.1% 5.7% 5.73%
Gross Profit 5Y 7.7% 8.2% 7.9% 7.7% 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.4% 5.3% 4.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 3.8% 3.3% 3.3% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.30%
Op. Income 3Y 14.3% 14.9% 12.4% 11.9% 11.4% 9.9% 10.1% 7.5% 2.0% -3.1% -10.2% -14.7% -14.9% -14.8% -16.6% -17.6% -14.5% -10.3% -4.2% 3.9% 3.92%
Op. Income 5Y 11.9% 12.2% 11.3% 11.2% 10.1% 9.1% 9.6% 7.0% 3.0% -0.3% -3.7% -4.5% -2.5% -1.9% -4.5% -5.0% -3.7% -1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.03%
FCF 3Y 18.0% 16.3% 18.3% 18.2% 12.3% 13.7% 7.9% 2.3% 7.6% 4.3% -28.7% -34.9% -46.1% -50.6% -22.1% -20.1% -15.2% -8.7% -7.3% -0.8% -0.85%
FCF 5Y 15.9% 14.8% 12.9% 11.3% 5.6% 6.4% 5.2% 2.7% 2.3% -1.4% -18.2% -18.6% -22.4% -24.4% -4.4% -6.4% -2.6% 0.8% -0.5% -1.2% -1.21%
OCF 3Y 18.3% 16.1% 17.6% 17.1% 11.8% 13.9% 10.8% 6.6% 12.2% 7.7% -21.4% -28.9% -40.1% -43.8% -20.3% -19.2% -15.6% -12.3% -11.6% -6.1% -6.13%
OCF 5Y 17.1% 15.6% 14.5% 13.7% 8.9% 11.1% 9.6% 6.9% 6.3% 1.5% -13.3% -15.2% -19.4% -21.2% -4.7% -5.9% -1.8% 1.1% -0.5% -1.2% -1.19%
Assets 3Y 10.1% 10.1% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 3.85%
Assets 5Y 8.6% 8.6% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 3.8% 3.8% 3.80%
Equity 3Y 10.2% 10.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 5.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 6.9% 6.9% 6.90%
Book Value 3Y 9.6% 9.7% 10.8% 10.7% 10.8% 10.9% 4.0% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.31%
Dividend 3Y 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% -0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.64%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.94 0.93 0.95 0.96 0.95 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.85 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.961
Earnings Stability 0.88 0.87 0.95 0.96 0.88 0.82 0.93 0.79 0.35 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.19 0.34 0.41 0.36 0.15 0.08 0.077
Margin Stability 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.88 0.86 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.818
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.86 0.85 0.91 0.97 0.98 0.96 0.99 0.96 0.92 0.89 0.85 0.86 0.93 0.98 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.81 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.70 0.69 0.80 0.93 0.95 0.90 0.98 0.91 0.79 0.69 0.53 0.58 0.80 0.96 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.61 0.43 0.427
ROE Trend 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.03 0.04 0.045
Gross Margin Trend 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.10 0.08 0.04 -0.01 -0.07 -0.15 -0.21 -0.25 -0.26 -0.24 -0.21 -0.19 -0.15 -0.10 -0.05 0.01 0.06 0.062
FCF Margin Trend 0.17 0.20 0.15 0.08 -0.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.08 -0.13 -0.16 -0.28 -0.26 -0.23 -0.22 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.075
Sustainable Growth Rate 10.7% 11.3% 9.5% 9.2% 8.8% 8.5% 8.7% 7.5% 5.8% 4.6% 3.3% 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% 2.9% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 6.0% 7.7% 7.68%
Internal Growth Rate 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.74%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.33 1.35 1.37 1.32 1.23 1.29 1.22 1.25 1.41 1.41 0.68 0.61 0.45 0.38 1.16 1.21 1.16 1.19 0.94 0.91 0.909
FCF/OCF 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.86 0.82 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.76 0.80 0.66 0.68 0.67 0.63 0.84 0.83 0.83 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.890
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.808
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.688
CapEx/Revenue 3.7% 3.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.3% 9.2% 8.9% 8.3% 7.6% 5.4% 3.7% 2.8% 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 2.07%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.750
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.575
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.914
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.5% 4.8% 5.9% 6.8% 4.1% 4.6% 4.4% 4.0% 4.0% 4.3% 4.3% 4.1% 3.7% 3.5% 3.20%
Dividend/Share $0.97 $0.98 $0.98 $1.00 $1.02 $1.04 $1.02 $1.03 $1.04 $1.05 $1.06 $1.07 $1.08 $1.09 $1.09 $1.10 $1.12 $1.15 $1.15 $1.17 $1.18
Payout Ratio 32.0% 31.0% 32.7% 33.7% 35.2% 36.5% 35.7% 39.3% 45.6% 51.9% 59.8% 62.0% 57.1% 55.2% 61.6% 64.9% 60.8% 54.7% 43.0% 37.5% 37.46%
FCF Payout Ratio 26.2% 24.8% 26.7% 29.7% 35.1% 36.8% 38.4% 41.5% 42.7% 46.3% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 63.3% 64.7% 63.5% 53.0% 52.2% 46.3% 46.33%
Total Payout Ratio 32.5% 36.1% 38.0% 43.4% 45.9% 42.3% 41.6% 42.9% 48.5% 54.8% 71.8% 91.9% 86.2% 83.3% 84.4% 80.1% 90.1% 84.8% 66.3% 50.9% 50.90%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.075
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 1.25%
Net Buyback Yield -0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.7% 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 1.13%
Total Shareholder Return 3.2% 3.8% 3.7% 4.5% 4.7% 4.5% 3.7% 4.8% 5.8% 6.8% 4.8% 6.8% 6.7% 6.0% 5.4% 5.3% 6.4% 6.3% 5.6% 4.6% 4.61%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.79 0.80 0.79 0.79 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.791
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.43 0.45 0.44 0.43 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.35 0.28 0.24 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.262
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.056
Equity Multiplier 10.80 10.80 10.94 10.94 10.94 10.94 11.04 11.04 11.04 11.04 11.10 11.10 11.10 11.10 10.86 10.86 10.86 10.86 10.51 10.51 10.510
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $3.02 $3.14 $3.01 $2.97 $2.89 $2.84 $2.86 $2.63 $2.28 $2.02 $1.77 $1.73 $1.90 $1.97 $1.77 $1.70 $1.85 $2.10 $2.68 $3.12 $3.12
Book Value/Share $20.18 $20.18 $22.42 $22.41 $22.45 $22.42 $20.69 $20.72 $20.74 $20.74 $22.33 $22.52 $22.73 $22.68 $23.95 $24.04 $24.22 $24.44 $26.31 $26.33 $26.87
Tangible Book/Share $18.75 $18.75 $20.98 $20.97 $21.01 $20.98 $19.32 $19.35 $19.36 $19.36 $20.98 $21.15 $21.35 $21.31 $22.41 $22.49 $22.66 $22.86 $24.76 $24.77 $24.77
Revenue/Share $8.93 $9.02 $8.93 $8.98 $9.00 $9.27 $9.40 $9.74 $10.25 $10.73 $11.27 $12.06 $12.71 $13.13 $13.33 $13.60 $13.90 $14.31 $14.78 $15.05 $15.07
FCF/Share $3.69 $3.92 $3.69 $3.37 $2.90 $2.81 $2.66 $2.49 $2.43 $2.26 $0.79 $0.72 $0.57 $0.47 $1.72 $1.71 $1.77 $2.16 $2.21 $2.52 $2.52
OCF/Share $4.02 $4.25 $4.12 $3.92 $3.56 $3.67 $3.49 $3.29 $3.21 $2.84 $1.21 $1.05 $0.86 $0.75 $2.06 $2.05 $2.14 $2.50 $2.52 $2.83 $2.84
Cash/Share $45.04 $45.04 $61.42 $61.39 $61.51 $61.42 $37.35 $37.40 $37.43 $37.43 $37.66 $37.96 $38.32 $38.25 $36.90 $37.05 $37.32 $37.65 $1.77 $1.78 $1.78
EBITDA/Share $4.32 $4.54 $4.36 $4.33 $4.22 $4.14 $4.12 $3.80 $3.33 $2.95 $2.60 $2.53 $2.72 $2.82 $2.55 $2.46 $2.67 $3.01 $3.63 $4.12 $4.12
Debt/Share $5.29 $5.29 $4.24 $4.24 $4.24 $4.24 $6.26 $6.27 $6.27 $6.27 $4.21 $4.24 $4.28 $4.27 $2.01 $2.02 $2.03 $2.05 $1.78 $1.78 $1.78
Net Debt/Share $-39.75 $-39.75 $-57.18 $-57.16 $-57.26 $-57.18 $-31.09 $-31.14 $-31.16 $-31.16 $-33.45 $-33.72 $-34.04 $-33.97 $-34.89 $-35.03 $-35.29 $-35.60 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-B Score 1.676
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -0.706
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 7 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.48 -2.51 -2.57 -2.46 -2.49 -2.33 -2.16 -2.18 -2.03 -2.07 -2.06 -2.04 -2.20 -2.27 -2.36 -2.38 -2.46 -2.44 -2.40 -2.51 -2.506
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -3.015
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-242.94
EVA snapshot only $7936600.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 81.85 82.71 79.47 79.60 79.92 79.65 72.28 70.77 66.91 64.38 49.96 47.22 49.44 51.28 66.41 66.15 66.07 69.57 65.30 65.66 65.656
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.494
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 54
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 55

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