— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

BBNX NASDAQ

Beta Bionics, Inc.
1W: +15.3% 1M: -13.0% 3M: -22.6% YTD: -63.7% 1Y: -33.0%
$11.82
+1.21 (+11.40%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±7.7%
$8 $9 $9 $10 $11
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Medical - Equipment & Services · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 44 · $526.7M mcap · 22M float · 4.69% daily turnover · Short 43% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
40.6 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Efficient Scale  ·  ROIC: -75.4%
Cost Advantage
34
Intangibles
41
Switching Cost
31
Network Effect
50
Scale ★
55
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. BBNX shows a Weak competitive edge (40.6/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Efficient Scale. Negative ROIC of -75.4% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$27
Avg Target
$27
High
Based on 19 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$26.63
Analysts19
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-18 Lake Street $40 $20 -20 +60.7% $12.45
2026-02-18 Robert W. Baird $28 $14 -14 +0.2% $13.97
2026-02-18 Stifel Nicolaus Jonathan Block $25 $22 -3 +57.5% $13.97
2026-02-08 UBS Initiated $24 +83.5% $13.08
2026-02-04 Stifel Nicolaus $31 $25 -6 +77.8% $14.06
2026-02-02 Truist Financial $37 $25 -12 +79.9% $13.89
2026-01-26 Cowen & Co. Initiated $17 +10.0% $15.46
2026-01-15 Goldman Sachs David Roman $33 $25 -8 +47.1% $16.99
2026-01-09 Lake Street $35 $40 +5 +88.1% $21.26
2025-12-18 Truist Financial Richard Newitter $32 $37 +5 +21.5% $30.45
2025-12-16 Robert W. Baird $23 $28 +5 -5.8% $29.73
2025-10-29 Lake Street Frank Takkinen Initiated $35 +44.2% $24.28
2025-10-29 Stifel Nicolaus Jonathan Block Initiated $31 +27.7% $24.28
2025-10-29 Goldman Sachs David Roman $26 $33 +7 +35.9% $24.28
2025-10-29 Robert W. Baird $17 $23 +6 -5.3% $24.28
2025-10-29 Piper Sandler Matt O'Brien Initiated $32 +13.0% $28.32
2025-10-29 Truist Financial Richard Newitter Initiated $32 +31.8% $24.28
2025-10-01 Goldman Sachs Initiated $26 +30.9% $19.87
2025-07-30 Robert W. Baird Initiated $17 +1.4% $16.76

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
3
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. BBNX receives an overall rating of C. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-04-21 C- C
2026-04-01 C C-
2026-03-02 C- C
2026-02-19 D+ C-
2026-02-18 C D+
2026-02-17 C- C
2026-02-12 C C-
2026-01-03 C- C

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

40 Grade D
Profitability
18
Balance Sheet
84
Earnings Quality
57
Growth
52
Value
32
Momentum
50
Safety
100
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BBNX scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Profitability (18/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
5.43
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Beneish M-Score
-0.94
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.16
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A+
Score: 77.8/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 0.82x
Accruals: -4.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. BBNX scores 5.43, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BBNX scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BBNX's score of -0.94 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BBNX's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BBNX receives an estimated rating of A+ (score: 77.8/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-7.91x
PEG
-0.11x
P/S
4.78x
P/B
1.94x
P/FCF
-7.28x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
-3.44x
EV/Revenue
2.17x
EV/EBIT
-3.47x
EV/FCF
-3.91x
Earnings Yield
-14.92%
FCF Yield
-13.73%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. BBNX currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.965
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.624
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.461
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.316
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-36.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BBNX's ROE of -36.5% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.461), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 330 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$11.82
Median 1Y
$4.67
5th Pctile
$1.03
95th Pctile
$21.20
Ann. Volatility
89.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
420
-47.5% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$238,693
Rev: $100,251,000
Profit / Employee
$-174,286
NI: $-73,200,000
SGA / Employee
$220,069
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$82,831
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -37.7% -59.9% -78.6% -25.5% -36.5% -36.54%
ROA -19.1% -30.4% -39.9% -22.3% -27.8% -27.78%
ROIC 72.5% 1.5% 2.2% -69.9% -75.4% -75.35%
ROCE -14.5% -27.6% -38.7% -21.2% -23.1% -23.11%
Gross Margin 50.9% 53.8% 55.5% 59.0% 59.5% 59.50%
Operating Margin -1.1% -85.5% -62.5% -50.2% -87.9% -87.86%
Net Margin -1.6% -72.6% -52.1% -41.9% -79.3% -79.26%
EBITDA Margin -1.0% -69.8% -49.6% -48.0% -87.9% -87.86%
FCF Margin -1.2% -87.3% -67.1% -56.1% -55.4% -55.45%
OCF Margin -1.1% -82.1% -62.1% -50.8% -49.7% -49.69%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -20.49%
Cash ROA snapshot only -16.66%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -67.59%
CROIC snapshot only -75.41%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -55.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -60.27%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 34.07%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 93.21%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 17.22%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -13.12 -13.88 -14.51 -16.87 -6.70 -7.906
P/S Ratio 21.31 15.46 12.73 12.32 4.04 4.778
P/B Ratio 4.95 8.31 11.41 4.29 1.55 1.936
P/FCF -18.51 -17.71 -18.98 -21.97 -7.28 -7.285
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA -15.50 -15.63 -16.13 -16.28 -3.44 -3.439
EV/Revenue 15.85 13.10 11.31 10.26 2.17 2.165
EV/EBIT -15.00 -15.08 -15.50 -16.28 -3.47 -3.469
EV/FCF -13.77 -15.01 -16.87 -18.29 -3.91 -3.905
Earnings Yield -7.6% -7.2% -6.9% -5.9% -14.9% -14.92%
FCF Yield -5.4% -5.6% -5.3% -4.6% -13.7% -13.73%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.548
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.789
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 6.29 6.29 6.29 8.66 8.66 8.663
Quick Ratio 5.66 5.66 5.66 7.96 7.96 7.961
Debt/Equity 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.04 0.04 0.044
Net Debt/Equity -1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -0.72 -0.72 -0.718
Debt/Assets 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.039
Debt/EBITDA -0.40 -0.21 -0.15 -0.20 -0.18 -0.182
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.34 2.81 2.02 3.27 2.98 2.976
Interest Coverage
Equity Multiplier 1.97 1.97 1.97 1.14 1.14 1.143
Cash Ratio snapshot only 7.089
Cash to Debt snapshot only 17.305
FCF to Debt snapshot only -4.825
Defensive Interval snapshot only 614.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.27 0.46 0.30 0.46 0.461
Inventory Turnover 0.65 1.46 2.37 2.06 2.70 2.696
Receivables Turnover 1.47 3.41 5.68 5.86 7.57 7.573
Payables Turnover 3.04 6.80 11.06 8.95 12.03 12.034
DSO 248 107 64 62 48 48.2 days
DIO 561 251 154 177 135 135.4 days
DPO 120 54 33 41 30 30.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 689 304 185 199 153 153.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 7.240
Operating Cycle snapshot only 183.6 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.503
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.982
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 5.2% 5.25%
Net Income -1.3% -1.32%
EPS -60.3% -60.26%
FCF -2.0% -2.01%
EBITDA -2.8% -2.85%
Op. Income -3.1% -3.15%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.74%
Asset Growth snapshot only 1.20%
Equity Growth snapshot only 2.78%
Debt Growth snapshot only 74.61%
Shares Change snapshot only 44.67%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability
Earnings Stability
Margin Stability
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend
FCF Margin Trend
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.70 0.74 0.71 0.70 0.82 0.825
FCF/OCF 1.02 1.06 1.08 1.10 1.12 1.116
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.920
CapEx/Revenue 1.9% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.8% 5.75%
Accruals Ratio -0.06 -0.08 -0.12 -0.07 -0.05 -0.049
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.526
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -8.639
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio
FCF Payout Ratio
Total Payout Ratio
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -56.1% -33.4% -24.6% -17.4% -1.0% -0.98%
Total Shareholder Return -56.1% -33.4% -24.6% -17.4% -1.0% -0.98%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.54 1.28 1.20 1.16 0.97 0.965
EBIT Margin -1.06 -0.87 -0.73 -0.63 -0.62 -0.624
Asset Turnover 0.12 0.27 0.46 0.30 0.46 0.461
Equity Multiplier 1.97 1.97 1.97 1.14 1.32 1.316
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.93 $-1.05 $-1.37 $-1.81 $-1.50 $-1.50
Book Value/Share $2.47 $1.75 $1.74 $7.10 $6.47 $6.10
Tangible Book/Share $2.47 $1.75 $1.74 $7.10 $6.47 $6.47
Revenue/Share $0.57 $0.94 $1.56 $2.47 $2.48 $2.48
FCF/Share $-0.66 $-0.82 $-1.05 $-1.39 $-1.38 $-1.38
OCF/Share $-0.65 $-0.77 $-0.97 $-1.26 $-1.23 $-1.23
Cash/Share $3.37 $2.39 $2.37 $5.41 $4.93 $4.49
EBITDA/Share $-0.59 $-0.79 $-1.10 $-1.56 $-1.56 $-1.56
Debt/Share $0.24 $0.17 $0.17 $0.31 $0.29 $0.29
Net Debt/Share $-3.14 $-2.22 $-2.21 $-5.10 $-4.65 $-4.65
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 5.429
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 11.020
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 2 5 5
Beneish M-Score -0.94 -0.937
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.161
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -27.28%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $5.10
EVA snapshot only $-69180200.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A+
Credit Score 45.95 61.11 71.68 75.72 77.78 77.778
Credit Grade snapshot only 5
Credit Trend snapshot only 31.823
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 125.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 87
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 70

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms