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CBLL NASDAQ

CeriBell, Inc.
1W: +5.7% 1M: -8.4% 3M: +0.4% YTD: -13.2% 1Y: +3.4%
$18.43
-0.07 (-0.41%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±12.2%
$14 $16 $18 $20 $23
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Medical - Devices · Alpha Radar Neutral · Power 45 · $701.9M mcap · 24M float · 1.20% daily turnover · Short 41% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
51.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -279.6%
Cost Advantage
42
Intangibles
59
Switching Cost
65
Network Effect
43
Scale
35
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CBLL shows a Weak competitive edge (51.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -279.6% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$25
Low
$25
Avg Target
$25
High
Based on 1 analyst since May 11, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$25.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-05-12 Canaccord Genuity William Plovanic $30 $25 -5 +24.6% $20.06
2025-12-15 BTIG Marie Thibault Initiated $30 +43.2% $20.95
2024-11-05 Canaccord Genuity William Plovanic Initiated $30 +10.1% $27.26

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Jun 09, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
3
P/E
1
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CBLL receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-02-26 B- C+
2026-02-24 C B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

39 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
56
Growth
52
Value
36
Momentum
50
Safety
100
Cash Flow
30
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CBLL scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
9.16
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Beneish M-Score
-2.29
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.62
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB+
Score: 64.3/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: 0.81x
Accruals: -5.5%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CBLL scores 9.16, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CBLL scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CBLL's score of -2.29 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CBLL's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CBLL receives an estimated rating of BBB+ (score: 64.3/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-11.54x
PEG
-0.42x
P/S
7.38x
P/B
4.95x
P/FCF
-13.92x
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA
-9.34x
EV/Revenue
5.82x
EV/EBIT
-9.23x
EV/FCF
-11.16x
Earnings Yield
-8.74%
FCF Yield
-7.18%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. CBLL currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.000
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.007
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.631
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.451
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.216
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-34.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CBLL's ROE of -34.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.451), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.00 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 415 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$18.50
Median 1Y
$11.84
5th Pctile
$3.50
95th Pctile
$40.04
Ann. Volatility
73.0%
Analyst Target
$25.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Xingjuan (Jane) Chao,
Ph.D. President, Chief Executive Officer, and Co-Founder
$639,000 $1,707,132 $4,565,821
Scott Blumberg
Chief Financial Officer
$430,000 $576,145 $1,784,496
Raymond Woo, Ph.D.
Chief Technology Officer
$418,500 $576,145 $1,764,516

CEO Pay Ratio

13:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $4,565,821
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $359,428
Employees: 327

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
327
+16.4% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$272,364
Rev: $89,063,000
Profit / Employee
$-163,339
NI: $-53,412,000
SGA / Employee
$359,428
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$58,541
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -6.6% -13.3% -20.4% -27.4% -30.8% -34.8% -34.85%
ROA -5.6% -11.2% -17.3% -23.3% -25.4% -28.7% -28.67%
ROIC -54.3% -1.1% -1.8% -2.4% -2.5% -2.8% -2.80%
ROCE -5.7% -11.5% -17.7% -23.8% -29.2% -34.0% -33.95%
Gross Margin 87.6% 87.9% 88.1% 88.3% 87.3% 87.3% 87.27%
Operating Margin -69.5% -69.3% -70.5% -64.8% -58.9% -78.3% -78.30%
Net Margin -67.9% -62.4% -64.4% -59.6% -54.6% -74.5% -74.50%
EBITDA Margin -63.2% -58.4% -60.6% -55.8% -52.7% -78.3% -78.30%
FCF Margin -55.7% -56.4% -49.2% -49.8% -47.0% -52.2% -52.17%
OCF Margin -53.8% -54.8% -48.0% -48.5% -46.0% -51.4% -51.39%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -29.20%
Cash ROA snapshot only -24.95%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -2.66%
CROIC snapshot only -2.70%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -53.97%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -63.51%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 22.15%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 1.34%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.53%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -64.22 -27.19 -17.43 -8.06 -15.28 -11.44 -11.541
P/S Ratio 43.57 17.66 11.29 5.11 9.16 7.26 7.384
P/B Ratio 4.22 3.61 3.56 2.21 5.25 4.44 4.948
P/FCF -78.17 -31.31 -22.95 -10.26 -19.50 -13.92 -13.920
P/OCF
EV/EBITDA -54.23 -21.82 -13.89 -5.10 -13.46 -9.34 -9.340
EV/Revenue 34.27 13.24 8.42 3.02 7.63 5.82 5.821
EV/EBIT -52.60 -21.20 -13.51 -4.96 -13.18 -9.23 -9.229
EV/FCF -61.48 -23.48 -17.13 -6.07 -16.23 -11.16 -11.158
Earnings Yield -1.6% -3.7% -5.7% -12.4% -6.5% -8.7% -8.74%
FCF Yield -1.3% -3.2% -4.4% -9.8% -5.1% -7.2% -7.18%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 4.468
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.636
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 16.73 16.73 16.73 16.73 9.73 9.73 9.730
Quick Ratio 16.19 16.19 16.19 16.19 9.35 9.35 9.350
Debt/Equity 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.143
Net Debt/Equity -0.90 -0.90 -0.90 -0.90 -0.88 -0.88 -0.882
Debt/Assets 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.114
Debt/EBITDA -1.87 -0.93 -0.60 -0.45 -0.44 -0.38 -0.376
Net Debt/EBITDA 14.72 7.28 4.72 3.51 2.71 2.31 2.312
Interest Coverage -24.20 -25.14 -25.95 -26.22 -27.26 -60.87 -60.874
Equity Multiplier 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.26 1.26 1.261
Cash Ratio snapshot only 8.299
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -60.148
Cash to Debt snapshot only 7.149
FCF to Debt snapshot only -2.226
Defensive Interval snapshot only 428.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.08 0.17 0.27 0.37 0.42 0.45 0.451
Inventory Turnover 0.33 0.69 1.05 1.43 1.52 1.64 1.642
Receivables Turnover 1.70 3.59 5.54 7.61 6.87 7.33 7.332
Payables Turnover 2.01 4.18 6.38 8.70 5.42 5.87 5.866
DSO 214 102 66 48 53 50 49.8 days
DIO 1103 530 347 255 241 222 222.3 days
DPO 182 87 57 42 67 62 62.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 1135 544 356 261 226 210 209.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 21.975
Operating Cycle snapshot only 272.1 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.597
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.060
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3.8% 1.4% 1.44%
Net Income -3.2% -1.4% -1.38%
EPS -2.6% -1.3% -1.27%
FCF -3.1% -1.3% -1.25%
EBITDA -3.3% -1.5% -1.50%
Op. Income -3.5% -1.4% -1.40%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.29%
Asset Growth snapshot only -13.14%
Equity Growth snapshot only -18.74%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.44%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.97%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability
Earnings Stability
Margin Stability
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend
Gross Margin Trend
FCF Margin Trend
Sustainable Growth Rate
Internal Growth Rate
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.79 0.84 0.74 0.77 0.77 0.81 0.809
FCF/OCF 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.02 1.02 1.015
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.822
CapEx/Revenue 1.9% 1.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.78%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.041
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.055
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.178
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -65.661
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio
FCF Payout Ratio
Total Payout Ratio
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% -0.3% -0.9% -0.6% -1.0% -1.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% -0.3% -0.9% -0.6% -1.0% -1.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.01 1.007
EBIT Margin -0.65 -0.62 -0.62 -0.61 -0.58 -0.63 -0.631
Asset Turnover 0.08 0.17 0.27 0.37 0.42 0.45 0.451
Equity Multiplier 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.22 1.22 1.216
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.40 $-0.71 $-1.07 $-1.43 $-1.44 $-1.60 $-1.60
Book Value/Share $6.13 $5.33 $5.27 $5.19 $4.17 $4.12 $3.74
Tangible Book/Share $6.13 $5.33 $5.27 $5.19 $4.15 $4.10 $4.10
Revenue/Share $0.59 $1.09 $1.66 $2.25 $2.39 $2.52 $2.52
FCF/Share $-0.33 $-0.61 $-0.82 $-1.12 $-1.12 $-1.32 $-1.32
OCF/Share $-0.32 $-0.60 $-0.80 $-1.09 $-1.10 $-1.30 $-1.30
Cash/Share $6.23 $5.42 $5.36 $5.28 $4.28 $4.23 $3.75
EBITDA/Share $-0.38 $-0.66 $-1.01 $-1.33 $-1.36 $-1.57 $-1.57
Debt/Share $0.70 $0.61 $0.61 $0.60 $0.60 $0.59 $0.59
Net Debt/Share $-5.52 $-4.81 $-4.75 $-4.68 $-3.68 $-3.64 $-3.64
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 9.162
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 17.799
Piotroski F-Score 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.28 -2.29 -2.287
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.622
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -34.89%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $3.88
EVA snapshot only $-53137700.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB+
Credit Score 64.15 63.87 64.13 64.09 64.22 64.33 64.332
Credit Grade snapshot only 8
Credit Trend snapshot only 0.461
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 225.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 61
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 58

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms