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CRGY NYSE

Crescent Energy Company
1W: +4.9% 1M: +3.7% 3M: +22.3% YTD: +53.9% 1Y: +48.7% 3Y: +50.6%
$13.20
+0.10 (+0.76%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±5.5%
$12 $12 $13 $14 $14
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 61 · $4.4B mcap · 230M float · 3.84% daily turnover · Short 32% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
51.4 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 3.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 0.8%
Cost Advantage
50
Intangibles
51
Switching Cost
69
Network Effect
43
Scale
33
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CRGY shows a Weak competitive edge (51.4/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 3.6% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$13
Low
$20
Avg Target
$20
High
Based on 8 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 6Hold: 4Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$20.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-04-30 Raymond James $17 $20 +3 +47.9% $13.53
2026-01-27 Wells Fargo $20 $13 -7 +47.1% $8.84
2026-01-25 Jefferies Initiated $9 +3.3% $8.71
2026-01-09 BMO Capital Phillip Jungwirth Initiated $10 +21.2% $8.25
2025-12-12 Mizuho Securities William Janela $11 $12 +1 +26.3% $9.50
2025-11-04 Mizuho Securities Nitin Kumar $14 $11 -3 +28.8% $8.54
2025-08-27 Raymond James John Freeman $14 $17 +3 +78.5% $9.53
2025-08-22 Raymond James $18 $14 -4 +40.8% $9.94
2025-03-23 Wells Fargo Hanwen Chang Initiated $20 +74.5% $11.46
2025-03-05 Williams Trading Initiated $16 +44.9% $11.04
2025-01-03 Wolfe Research John Abbott $16 $17 +1 +12.1% $15.17
2024-12-04 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann $20 $18 -2 +24.4% $14.46
2024-09-24 Evercore ISI Stephen Richardson Initiated $17 +48.7% $11.43
2024-07-17 Wolfe Research John Abbott Initiated $16 +30.0% $12.31
2024-06-27 KeyBanc Tim Rezvan Initiated $16 +34.1% $11.93
2024-05-24 Raymond James John Freeman Initiated $18 +44.9% $12.42
2024-05-23 Truist Financial Neal Dingmann Initiated $20 +62.3% $12.32
2024-05-13 Mizuho Securities William Jane $13 $14 +1 +15.1% $12.16
2024-03-22 Mizuho Securities Nitin Kumar Initiated $13 +15.6% $11.25
2023-09-27 Stephens Mike Scialla Initiated $17 +30.5% $13.03

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C
May 22, 2026
DCF
3
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CRGY receives an overall rating of C. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-05 B- C
2026-04-30 B+ B-
2026-04-24 B B+
2026-04-22 B+ B
2026-04-01 C+ B+
2026-03-02 B- C+
2026-02-27 B B-
2026-02-26 C+ B
2026-01-03 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

26 Grade D
Profitability
37
Balance Sheet
46
Earnings Quality
25
Growth
47
Value
49
Momentum
46
Safety
15
Cash Flow
32
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CRGY scores highest in Value (49/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
0.93
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
10.66
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.11
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 38.1/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -6.15x
Accruals: -18.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CRGY scores 0.93, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CRGY scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CRGY's score of 10.66 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CRGY's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CRGY receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 38.1/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-15.22x
PEG
0.01x
P/S
1.14x
P/B
0.93x
P/FCF
14.37x
P/OCF
2.53x
EV/EBITDA
5.02x
EV/Revenue
2.61x
EV/EBIT
13.36x
EV/FCF
32.30x
Earnings Yield
-6.43%
FCF Yield
6.96%
Shareholder Yield
3.59%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. CRGY currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.924
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
-0.413
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.196
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.353
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.604
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-6.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CRGY's ROE of -6.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.353), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.92 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1118 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$13.20
Median 1Y
$11.45
5th Pctile
$4.77
95th Pctile
$27.53
Ann. Volatility
50.7%
Analyst Target
$20.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,066
+8.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$3,358,144
Rev: $3,579,782,000
Profit / Employee
$124,677
NI: $132,906,000
SGA / Employee
$442,927
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -2.8% -15.3% -7.3% 10.0% 12.6% 31.6% 25.1% 2.7% 5.3% -1.3% 1.3% 4.6% -4.7% -3.8% 1.0% 1.0% 3.2% -6.9% -6.87%
ROA -0.4% -2.0% -1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 4.3% 3.4% 0.4% 1.1% -0.3% 0.3% 0.9% -1.4% -1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% -2.6% -2.64%
ROIC 9.9% 20.4% 62.7% 77.2% 55.2% 50.8% 31.7% 20.7% 8.7% 8.2% 9.5% 5.4% 2.8% 3.3% 2.8% 3.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.60%
ROCE 4.0% -5.1% 2.1% 15.8% 12.0% 25.9% 21.4% 7.2% 8.1% 3.2% 3.7% 6.4% 0.6% 1.5% 3.3% 3.4% 4.5% 6.7% 6.67%
Gross Margin 85.4% 84.2% 88.3% 85.9% 83.1% 77.8% 77.0% 81.2% 80.1% 80.1% 81.3% 82.6% 83.3% 83.0% 82.2% 81.1% 18.4% 91.4% 91.37%
Operating Margin 34.9% 43.9% 55.0% 48.3% 15.2% 25.5% 13.0% 22.0% -4.8% 20.4% 18.3% -1.0% -3.1% 18.1% 8.9% 3.6% 5.8% 27.7% 27.69%
Net Margin -4.2% -14.2% 6.0% 13.7% 1.3% 10.1% 1.0% -8.2% 8.4% -3.7% 5.7% -1.3% -13.5% -0.2% 17.1% -1.1% -1.0% -35.5% -35.50%
EBITDA Margin 56.3% -52.1% 50.2% 88.5% 34.4% 75.9% 52.3% 12.0% 58.4% 27.8% 51.5% 41.1% 19.6% 38.3% 64.1% 41.2% 42.8% 57.6% 57.63%
FCF Margin 2.7% 5.3% 8.3% 12.8% 13.5% 13.4% 10.9% 7.9% 4.7% 4.2% 9.6% -1.1% -0.7% -24.1% -20.4% -7.6% -4.3% 8.1% 8.09%
OCF Margin 18.2% 20.9% 24.5% 31.1% 33.1% 36.6% 39.4% 34.4% 39.3% 35.9% 37.6% 42.8% 41.7% 42.7% 45.8% 47.2% 46.9% 46.0% 45.96%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.14%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 0.75%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -1.18%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.75%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.60%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.08%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 16.38%
CROIC snapshot only 2.88%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 10.11%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -8.09%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.42%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 3.06%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -58.15 -23.72 -36.14 28.59 18.05 6.92 8.13 92.91 22.01 -120.39 123.51 37.20 -28.52 -29.95 93.47 95.35 20.70 -15.56 -15.215
P/S Ratio 2.43 2.33 0.91 0.69 0.57 0.55 0.59 0.80 0.62 0.80 0.76 0.81 1.12 0.86 0.62 0.62 0.77 1.16 1.143
P/B Ratio 1.65 3.63 2.64 2.87 2.06 1.97 1.84 2.29 0.87 1.15 1.16 1.29 1.04 0.89 0.69 0.72 0.53 0.86 0.926
P/FCF 89.39 44.16 11.01 5.41 4.22 4.09 5.43 10.19 13.18 19.29 7.92 -72.09 -154.17 -3.58 -3.05 -8.27 -17.72 14.37 14.366
P/OCF 13.33 11.16 3.73 2.22 1.72 1.50 1.51 2.34 1.59 2.24 2.02 1.89 2.67 2.01 1.36 1.32 1.64 2.53 2.529
EV/EBITDA 8.01 -66.94 6.83 2.50 2.67 1.57 1.69 3.20 2.78 4.14 3.82 3.27 6.29 4.90 3.64 3.57 4.97 5.02 5.021
EV/Revenue 4.51 3.24 1.40 1.03 1.00 0.98 1.09 1.35 1.36 1.52 1.43 1.46 2.14 1.79 1.49 1.46 2.31 2.61 2.613
EV/EBIT 11.53 -14.95 29.22 4.08 5.00 2.25 2.62 8.84 6.62 19.05 16.85 10.24 131.95 46.90 18.57 18.63 16.56 13.36 13.358
EV/FCF 165.72 61.31 16.89 8.06 7.41 7.32 10.01 17.11 28.79 36.56 14.96 -129.98 -295.72 -7.45 -7.28 -19.34 -53.35 32.30 32.299
Earnings Yield -1.7% -4.2% -2.8% 3.5% 5.5% 14.5% 12.3% 1.1% 4.5% -0.8% 0.8% 2.7% -3.5% -3.3% 1.1% 1.0% 4.8% -6.4% -6.43%
FCF Yield 1.1% 2.3% 9.1% 18.5% 23.7% 24.4% 18.4% 9.8% 7.6% 5.2% 12.6% -1.4% -0.6% -28.0% -32.8% -12.1% -5.6% 7.0% 6.96%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.010
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.858
EV/OCF snapshot only 5.686
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.717
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 20.412
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 3.59%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 1.48 1.48 1.478
Quick Ratio 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 1.48 1.48 1.478
Debt/Equity 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.07 1.07 1.071
Net Debt/Equity 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1.07 1.07 1.071
Debt/Assets 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.44 0.44 0.445
Debt/EBITDA 4.18 -21.24 2.69 0.93 1.15 0.69 0.77 1.29 1.51 1.96 1.80 1.46 3.14 2.66 2.21 2.13 3.32 2.79 2.788
Net Debt/EBITDA 3.69 -18.73 2.38 0.82 1.15 0.69 0.77 1.29 1.51 1.95 1.80 1.46 3.01 2.55 2.12 2.04 3.32 2.79 2.788
Interest Coverage 14.01 -7.81 1.74 8.78 6.39 12.19 9.56 2.83 3.37 1.23 1.30 2.03 0.22 0.50 0.99 0.97 1.68 2.26 2.261
Equity Multiplier 7.56 7.56 7.56 7.56 7.10 7.10 7.10 7.10 3.99 3.99 3.99 3.99 2.93 2.93 2.93 2.93 2.41 2.41 2.409
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.000
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.016
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.000
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.056
Defensive Interval snapshot only 123.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.21 0.38 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.47 0.43 0.37 0.38 0.41 0.42 0.37 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.33 0.35 0.353
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 1.35 3.10 5.76 8.29 7.62 7.60 6.56 6.01 4.93 5.07 5.40 5.61 5.59 6.15 6.61 6.84 5.57 5.93 5.933
Payables Turnover 0.61 1.47 2.43 3.53 3.44 3.72 3.77 3.77 3.54 3.54 3.60 3.67 4.66 4.93 5.26 5.56 17.29 16.42 16.425
DSO 270 118 63 44 48 48 56 61 74 72 68 65 65 59 55 53 66 62 61.5 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 598 249 150 103 106 98 97 97 103 103 101 100 78 74 69 66 21 22 22.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -328 -131 -87 -59 -58 -50 -41 -36 -29 -31 -34 -35 -13 -15 -14 -12 44 39 39.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 13146.341
Capital Intensity snapshot only 3.264
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 5.6% 1.9% 33.6% -15.0% -22.1% -19.6% -0.8% 12.6% 23.0% 31.6% 32.8% 32.3% 22.1% 18.3% 18.27%
Net Income 6.0% 3.3% 4.9% -69.5% -30.1% -1.1% -91.6% 1.8% -2.7% -4.7% 43.9% -60.1% 2.2% -2.1% -2.08%
EPS 4.2% 3.3% 4.9% -69.7% -5.1% -1.1% -92.2% 1.3% -1.9% -3.0% 0.1% -66.7% 1.8% -1.4% -1.40%
FCF 31.8% 6.3% 75.8% -47.5% -72.7% -75.0% -13.0% -1.2% -1.2% -8.6% -3.8% -7.9% -6.3% 1.4% 1.40%
EBITDA 3.4% 38.1% 3.2% -13.0% 1.8% -52.7% -42.6% 18.8% -14.6% 30.7% 44.6% 21.4% 67.2% 68.4% 68.37%
Op. Income 6.9% 1.8% -20.4% -65.7% -74.7% -73.7% -50.6% -53.4% -32.7% -16.7% -40.3% 18.9% 52.4% 90.2% 90.17%
OCF Growth snapshot only 27.30%
Asset Growth snapshot only 35.83%
Equity Growth snapshot only 65.01%
Debt Growth snapshot only 76.56%
Shares Change snapshot only 27.95%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 72.65%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 85.0% 44.8% 20.7% 8.2% 5.4% 7.7% 7.74%
Revenue 5Y
EPS 3Y -38.9% -11.2%
EPS 5Y
Net Income 3Y -30.0% 11.2%
Net Income 5Y
EBITDA 3Y 56.4% 51.9% 7.8% 13.3% 1.4% 1.36%
EBITDA 5Y
Gross Profit 3Y 82.4% 43.6% 19.0% 6.6% -3.0% 1.4% 1.37%
Gross Profit 5Y
Op. Income 3Y 10.6% -15.4% -38.3% -42.5% -36.2% -25.3% -25.32%
Op. Income 5Y
FCF 3Y -8.9% -8.91%
FCF 5Y
OCF 3Y 1.4% 83.8% 48.7% 24.3% 18.4% 16.3% 16.26%
OCF 5Y
Assets 3Y 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 21.1% 27.4% 27.4% 27.38%
Assets 5Y
Equity 3Y 66.2% 66.2% 66.2% 66.2% 82.6% 82.6% 82.62%
Book Value 3Y 27.5% 44.7% 44.5% 45.0% 45.9% 45.8% 45.76%
Dividend 3Y -7.4% 6.6% 7.7% 6.9% -3.4% -4.2% -4.25%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.51 0.46 0.73 0.08 0.52 0.60 0.88 0.44 0.31 0.50 0.498
Earnings Stability 0.52 0.06 0.07 0.04 0.18 0.03 0.00 0.26 0.02 0.33 0.331
Margin Stability 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.90 0.92 0.921
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.82 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.65 0.00 0.05 0.64 0.14
ROE Trend -0.00 -0.08 -0.07 -0.03 -0.11 -0.17 -0.11 -0.02 0.02 -0.04 -0.036
Gross Margin Trend -0.06 -0.05 -0.03 -0.02 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.14 -0.11 -0.109
FCF Margin Trend -0.03 -0.05 -0.00 -0.11 -0.10 -0.33 -0.31 -0.11 -0.06 0.18 0.180
Sustainable Growth Rate 7.2% 9.5% 28.0% 21.8% -1.2% 2.4% -2.6% 0.2% -2.9% -3.3% 0.4%
Internal Growth Rate 1.0% 1.3% 4.0% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -4.36 -2.13 -9.69 12.87 10.47 4.62 5.40 39.68 13.84 -53.78 61.26 19.70 -10.67 -14.87 68.80 71.99 12.64 -6.15 -6.153
FCF/OCF 0.15 0.25 0.34 0.41 0.41 0.37 0.28 0.23 0.12 0.12 0.25 -0.03 -0.02 -0.56 -0.45 -0.16 -0.09 0.18 0.176
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -1.083
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.883
CapEx/Revenue 15.5% 15.6% 16.2% 18.3% 19.6% 23.2% 28.5% 26.5% 34.5% 31.7% 28.1% 43.9% 42.5% 66.8% 66.2% 54.7% 51.3% 37.9% 37.87%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.166
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.06 -0.10 -0.16 -0.16 -0.16 -0.15 -0.14 -0.14 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.17 -0.18 -0.20 -0.21 -0.14 -0.19 -0.189
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.055
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.113
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 4.3% 4.6% 4.2% 3.0% 3.64%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.03 $0.07 $0.11 $0.14 $0.16 $0.15 $0.18 $0.30 $0.23 $0.27 $0.27 $0.28 $0.30 $0.36 $0.41 $0.35 $0.40 $0.48
Payout Ratio 28.2% 24.5% 11.1% 13.3% 1.5% 54.7% 3.1% 96.0% 4.0% 4.4% 86.6%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.3% 9.0% 7.5% 5.3% 5.7% 6.6% 8.9% 16.0% 32.8% 40.6% 19.6% 42.5% 42.47%
Total Payout Ratio 28.2% 24.5% 11.1% 13.3% 1.5% 54.7% 3.1% 1.2% 6.2% 5.9% 1.1%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 640.23 4.32 1.11 0.59 0.58 0.56 0.94 0.89 0.78 0.86 0.94 0.89 0.81 0.76 0.756
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 2.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.64%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% -9.6% -11.2% -13.0% -13.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.64%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% -7.7% -8.4% -8.7% -8.6% 5.4% 3.6% 3.59%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -0.12 0.40 -1.24 0.11 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.09 0.20 -0.45 0.31 0.30 0.68 0.75 -12.58 -2.64 0.66 0.92 0.924
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.93 1.13 0.42 0.89 0.84 0.92 0.90 0.65 0.70 0.19 0.23 0.51 -3.55 -1.00 -0.01 -0.03 0.40 -0.41 -0.413
EBIT Margin 0.39 -0.22 0.05 0.25 0.20 0.43 0.42 0.15 0.21 0.08 0.09 0.14 0.02 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.14 0.20 0.196
Asset Turnover 0.09 0.21 0.38 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.47 0.43 0.37 0.38 0.41 0.42 0.37 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.33 0.35 0.353
Equity Multiplier 7.56 7.56 7.56 7.56 7.30 7.30 7.30 7.30 5.02 5.02 5.02 5.02 3.30 3.30 3.30 3.30 2.60 2.60 2.604
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.18 $-0.62 $-0.29 $0.41 $0.58 $1.45 $1.15 $0.12 $0.55 $-0.09 $0.09 $0.28 $-0.49 $-0.36 $0.09 $0.09 $0.41 $-0.87 $-0.87
Book Value/Share $6.42 $4.03 $4.03 $4.04 $5.07 $5.08 $5.07 $5.00 $13.83 $9.52 $9.51 $8.02 $13.30 $12.20 $12.16 $12.29 $15.75 $15.74 $14.28
Tangible Book/Share $5.70 $3.57 $3.57 $3.58 $5.07 $5.08 $5.07 $5.00 $13.83 $9.52 $9.51 $8.02 $13.30 $12.20 $12.16 $12.29 $15.75 $15.74 $15.74
Revenue/Share $4.36 $6.27 $11.63 $16.78 $18.29 $18.26 $15.73 $14.19 $19.33 $13.68 $14.57 $12.76 $12.46 $12.57 $13.47 $14.10 $10.92 $11.61 $11.61
FCF/Share $0.12 $0.33 $0.97 $2.14 $2.47 $2.45 $1.72 $1.12 $0.92 $0.57 $1.40 $-0.14 $-0.09 $-3.02 $-2.75 $-1.06 $-0.47 $0.94 $0.94
OCF/Share $0.80 $1.31 $2.85 $5.22 $6.06 $6.68 $6.20 $4.88 $7.59 $4.91 $5.49 $5.46 $5.20 $5.37 $6.17 $6.65 $5.12 $5.34 $5.34
Cash/Share $1.21 $0.76 $0.76 $0.76 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.01 $0.56 $0.52 $0.52 $0.52 $0.00 $0.00 $0.03
EBITDA/Share $2.45 $-0.30 $2.39 $6.93 $6.85 $11.42 $10.20 $6.00 $9.47 $5.03 $5.47 $5.69 $4.24 $4.59 $5.51 $5.77 $5.08 $6.04 $6.04
Debt/Share $10.26 $6.44 $6.44 $6.45 $7.88 $7.89 $7.87 $7.76 $14.31 $9.85 $9.85 $8.30 $13.32 $12.21 $12.17 $12.31 $16.87 $16.85 $16.85
Net Debt/Share $9.05 $5.68 $5.68 $5.69 $7.88 $7.89 $7.87 $7.76 $14.29 $9.83 $9.83 $8.29 $12.75 $11.70 $11.65 $11.78 $16.87 $16.85 $16.85
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 0.928
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.359
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 3 4 6 7 7 4 6 5 6 8 6 6 8 6 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.95 -2.97 -2.54 -2.91 -3.02 -3.06 -2.98 -3.21 -2.46 -2.46 -2.61 -2.57 12.95 10.66 10.656
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.108
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.24%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-16.50
EVA snapshot only $-684122880.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 38.60 22.95 29.04 59.84 51.61 62.79 52.05 34.44 41.06 32.14 32.69 35.87 25.27 26.67 25.35 26.10 33.22 38.12 38.122
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only 11.456
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 28
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 29

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