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Also trades as: 0S6.DE (XETRA) · $vol 0M · 0S6.F (FSX) · $vol 0M

CRNC NASDAQ

Cerence Inc.
1W: -7.0% 1M: +12.3% 3M: +22.4% YTD: -16.2% 1Y: +8.9% 3Y: -60.0% 5Y: -88.6%
$10.98
+1.29 (+13.31%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±10.9%
$8 $9 $10 $11 $12
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 58 · $496.2M mcap · 44M float · 1.79% daily turnover · Short 59% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
44.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -10.8%  ·  5Y Avg: -34.9%
Cost Advantage
50
Intangibles
73
Switching Cost
27
Network Effect
34
Scale
28
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CRNC shows a Weak competitive edge (44.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -10.8% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$10
Avg Target
$10
High
Based on 2 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 10Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$9.50
Analysts2
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-02-09 Goldman Sachs $11 $8 -3 +3.0% $7.77
2025-11-20 Goldman Sachs Initiated $11 -7.9% $11.95
2024-08-09 Wells Fargo Colin Langan Initiated $3 +19.1% $2.77
2024-05-09 Evercore ISI Chris McNally Initiated $8 +18.7% $6.74
2024-04-17 Robert W. Baird Luke Junk Initiated $15 +33.3% $11.26
2022-08-10 Needham Initiated $30 +28.5% $23.34
2022-02-06 Raymond James Brian Gesuale Initiated $76 +74.3% $43.61

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C-
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CRNC receives an overall rating of C-. Strongest factors: P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-08 C C-
2026-04-01 C- C
2026-03-23 C C-
2026-03-02 C- C
2026-02-06 D+ C-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

43 Grade D
Profitability
22
Balance Sheet
42
Earnings Quality
31
Growth
83
Value
23
Momentum
76
Safety
0
Cash Flow
68
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CRNC scores highest in Growth (83/100) and lowest in Safety (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
-0.93
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.36
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.57
Bankruptcy prob: 0.4%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 36.1/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -4.50x
Accruals: -16.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CRNC scores -0.93, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CRNC scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CRNC's score of -3.36 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CRNC's implied 0.4% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CRNC receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 36.1/100), with a improving trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-25.20x
PEG
-0.03x
P/S
1.64x
P/B
3.12x
P/FCF
3.94x
P/OCF
3.35x
EV/EBITDA
11.60x
EV/Revenue
1.45x
EV/EBIT
15.62x
EV/FCF
5.84x
Earnings Yield
-6.64%
FCF Yield
25.37%
Shareholder Yield
2.55%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. CRNC currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
-0.943
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.742
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.093
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.453
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
4.568
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-13.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CRNC's ROE of -13.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 4.57x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of -0.94 suggests the company retains less than 60% of pre-tax earnings after taxes.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1681 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$10.98
Median 1Y
$6.29
5th Pctile
$1.38
95th Pctile
$28.72
Ann. Volatility
92.8%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Brian Krzanich
President and Chief Executive Officer
$590,769 $6,996,538 $8,544,306
Antonio Rodriquez EVP,
Chief Financial Officer
$396,442 $4,611,526 $5,735,685
Nils Schanz EVP,
Product and Technology
$461,760 $2,579,174 $4,345,657
Christian Mentz EVP,
Chief Revenue Officer
$442,859 $2,579,174 $4,067,486
Jennifer Salinas EVP,
Chief Administrative Officer and General Counsel
$500,000 $2,631,816 $3,744,577
Dr. Stefan Ortmanns
Former President and Chief Executive Officer
$154,429 $— $2,608,182

CEO Pay Ratio

157:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $8,544,306
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $54,296
Employees: 1,300

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
1,300
-7.1% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$193,678
Rev: $251,781,000
Profit / Employee
$-14,395
NI: $-18,714,000
SGA / Employee
$54,296
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$75,197
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 3.3% -7.3% -35.6% -38.1% -41.0% -31.5% -8.0% -4.3% -40.1% -82.3% -1.4% -1.5% -80.5% -6.2% -12.8% 0.2% -13.5% -13.47%
ROA 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 1.9% -4.3% -20.6% -22.0% -23.7% -18.2% -4.3% -2.3% -21.6% -44.3% -58.8% -63.6% -33.7% -2.6% -2.8% 0.1% -2.9% -2.95%
ROIC 5.9% 5.4% 5.1% 4.3% -9.7% 3.4% 1.1% -0.8% -3.0% -1.4% -6.4% 4.4% 5.4% 11.8% -4.8% 2.3% 1.4% 3.5% 0.2% -10.8% -10.80%
ROCE 4.3% 4.0% 4.5% 3.6% 3.6% -15.7% -17.5% -19.6% -21.7% -1.9% 3.2% -18.1% -48.0% -1.2% -1.3% -75.5% -2.5% 0.3% 9.1% 5.3% 5.30%
Gross Margin 72.1% 72.2% 71.0% 68.2% 69.5% 54.0% 65.9% 59.9% 65.1% 70.8% 80.6% 68.4% 70.7% 62.7% 63.9% 76.5% 72.8% 72.6% 86.3% 73.7% 73.68%
Operating Margin 17.3% 13.3% 29.5% 7.8% 19.1% -22.8% 2.6% -21.8% -11.9% 5.9% 42.9% -11.4% 5.2% -16.2% -11.5% 25.9% -0.2% -1.8% 32.2% -3.6% -3.61%
Net Margin 6.0% 8.1% 20.2% -0.6% -1.1% -4.0% -2.6% -38.1% -26.7% -14.3% 17.2% -4.1% -4.4% -37.3% -47.7% 27.8% -4.4% -22.0% -4.6% 2.6% 2.61%
EBITDA Margin 23.2% 18.7% 31.7% 14.7% 23.4% -3.9% 9.1% -19.5% -10.1% 7.9% 46.4% -3.8% -5.0% -26.8% -25.1% 28.4% 7.0% -2.8% 29.5% 2.0% 2.01%
FCF Margin 17.4% 16.1% 14.1% 9.9% 2.1% -6.0% -7.3% -4.7% -5.5% 0.9% 0.5% -1.2% 4.8% 3.7% 9.8% 14.9% 17.0% 18.6% 23.6% 24.8% 24.85%
OCF Margin 20.3% 19.2% 17.7% 14.4% 7.1% -0.7% -3.0% -1.5% -3.1% 2.7% 2.1% 0.5% 6.2% 5.2% 12.0% 17.2% 22.2% 24.3% 28.4% 29.3% 29.28%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -97.40%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -67.84%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -24.26%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 36.55%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -8.46%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.03%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 30.14%
CROIC snapshot only 25.58%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -10.49%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 6.89%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 35.93%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 31.04%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 8.52%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 90.94 83.24 77.29 43.72 -13.64 -2.00 -2.23 -3.16 -4.29 -14.61 -32.02 -2.33 -0.20 -0.22 -0.53 -1.21 -17.14 -28.86 1434.47 -15.06 -25.201
P/S Ratio 11.02 9.87 8.77 3.77 2.70 1.89 2.34 3.78 4.34 2.79 2.77 1.89 0.33 0.40 1.38 1.60 1.80 2.14 1.52 0.98 1.642
P/B Ratio 4.38 3.70 3.30 1.37 0.96 0.87 1.04 1.58 1.65 1.18 1.39 0.95 0.17 0.93 2.39 2.89 3.13 3.58 3.19 1.96 3.123
P/FCF 63.26 61.28 62.24 37.96 128.38 -31.69 -32.03 -80.80 -78.92 296.03 528.58 -159.12 6.85 10.81 14.13 10.78 10.58 11.53 6.44 3.94 3.942
P/OCF 54.26 51.35 49.48 26.14 37.95 104.05 134.42 388.16 5.29 7.67 11.51 9.32 8.10 8.83 5.35 3.35 3.346
EV/EBITDA 46.06 42.98 35.69 18.52 13.72 -4.94 -4.99 -6.23 -5.73 -179.33 22.53 -4.26 -0.55 -0.53 -0.79 -1.62 -596.24 57.14 10.63 11.60 11.603
EV/Revenue 11.42 10.20 9.10 4.12 3.05 2.42 2.88 4.35 4.97 3.40 3.29 2.40 0.83 0.91 2.07 2.26 2.48 2.71 1.97 1.45 1.452
EV/EBIT 67.15 63.46 50.66 28.01 20.20 -4.30 -4.46 -5.68 -5.31 -46.30 30.84 -4.03 -0.54 -0.52 -0.78 -1.57 -50.34 487.03 12.89 15.62 15.623
EV/FCF 65.50 63.38 64.63 41.47 145.33 -40.46 -39.45 -93.08 -90.41 360.48 626.27 -202.45 17.22 24.60 21.18 15.24 14.61 14.58 8.36 5.84 5.844
Earnings Yield 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 2.3% -7.3% -50.1% -44.8% -31.7% -23.3% -6.8% -3.1% -42.9% -4.9% -4.5% -1.9% -82.7% -5.8% -3.5% 0.1% -6.6% -6.64%
FCF Yield 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.6% 0.8% -3.2% -3.1% -1.2% -1.3% 0.3% 0.2% -0.6% 14.6% 9.3% 7.1% 9.3% 9.4% 8.7% 15.5% 25.4% 25.37%
EV/OCF snapshot only 4.960
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.859
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 13.057
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.55%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.25 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.841
Quick Ratio 1.25 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.55 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.841
Debt/Equity 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.528
Net Debt/Equity 0.16 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.948
Debt/Assets 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.365
Debt/EBITDA 3.15 3.15 2.93 3.47 3.54 -1.79 -1.57 -1.37 -1.22 -51.83 5.68 -1.47 -0.54 -0.53 -0.46 -0.83 -288.60 19.27 3.93 6.09 6.089
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.58 1.42 1.32 1.57 1.60 -1.07 -0.94 -0.82 -0.73 -32.06 3.51 -0.91 -0.33 -0.30 -0.26 -0.47 -164.47 11.95 2.44 3.78 3.777
Interest Coverage 4.53 4.45 5.12 4.09 3.96 -12.81 -14.12 -15.16 -16.47 -1.46 2.57 -15.27 -43.81 -45.57 -51.04 -29.78 -1.04 0.14 5.69 3.87 3.870
Equity Multiplier 1.76 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.87 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.98 4.19 4.19 4.19 4.185
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.864
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.211
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.380
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.326
Defensive Interval snapshot only 264.1 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.23 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.33 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.38 0.47 0.45 0.453
Inventory Turnover 29.13 28.66 26.93 26.69 25.79 23.34 22.45 21.38
Receivables Turnover 6.59 8.11 8.12 7.87 7.70 7.24 7.00 6.60 6.00 5.54 6.57 6.56 6.72 5.35 3.94 4.10 3.97 4.14 5.19 4.97 4.966
Payables Turnover 9.17 11.33 11.06 10.87 10.88 9.88 9.98 9.98 9.47 7.42 7.29 6.86 6.79 8.59 7.77 7.48 7.12 28.94 27.84 27.24 27.240
DSO 55 45 45 46 47 50 52 55 61 66 56 56 54 68 93 89 92 88 70 74 73.5 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 13 14 14 14 16 16 17 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 40 32 33 34 34 37 37 37 39 49 50 53 54 43 47 49 51 13 13 13 13.4 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 16 13 12 13 14 13 16 19 22 29 18 16 14 40 61 56 58 76 57 60 60.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.753
Cash Velocity snapshot only 3.455
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.087
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 18.0% 17.1% 11.8% 4.7% -3.3% -15.3% -18.3% -20.3% -26.1% -10.2% 10.1% 16.5% 31.5% 12.6% -30.1% -27.1% -31.2% -24.0% 29.5% 18.8% 18.84%
Net Income -33.0% 3.4% 2.2% 1.6% -2.6% -7.8% -8.5% -12.1% -2.8% 81.9% 90.9% 21.1% -1.1% -9.5% -20.0% -19.3% 95.6% 96.8% 1.0% 94.2% 94.16%
EPS -37.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.6% -2.6% -7.8% -9.4% -11.8% -2.7% 82.3% 92.6% 24.0% -1.0% -9.1% -23.2% 3.4% 95.7% 96.9% 1.0% 93.6% 93.59%
FCF 2.3% 1.4% 92.6% -36.3% -88.3% -1.3% -1.4% -1.4% -2.9% 1.1% 1.1% 70.5% 2.2% 3.4% 12.0% 10.1% 1.4% 2.8% 2.1% 98.8% 98.79%
EBITDA 3.5% 2.1% 1.1% 52.3% -13.2% -2.7% -2.8% -3.5% -3.9% 96.5% 1.3% 6.0% -1.3% -99.6% -13.5% -81.3% 99.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.11%
Op. Income 1.3% 70.0% 47.4% 19.5% -9.7% -41.6% -83.2% -1.1% -1.5% -1.4% 2.3% 6.5% 2.8% 4.0% -1.5% -81.5% -91.1% -71.7% 4.0% 2.7% 2.70%
OCF Growth snapshot only 1.02%
Asset Growth snapshot only -10.22%
Equity Growth snapshot only 6.79%
Debt Growth snapshot only -22.01%
Shares Change snapshot only -8.99%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 58.1% 25.5% 6.6% -5.5% -3.8% 0.2% -1.0% -2.0% -5.0% -14.3% -12.2% -12.6% -8.4% -0.1% 0.3% 0.32%
Revenue 5Y 31.9% 8.8% 0.6% -5.3% -5.3% -1.9% -3.4% -3.38%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y -52.9%
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y -52.5%
EBITDA 3Y 2.7%
EBITDA 5Y -16.5% 4.5% -7.2% -7.15%
Gross Profit 3Y 60.7% 27.0% 6.7% -5.8% -2.7% 3.5% 2.1% -0.0% -4.0% -16.2% -12.8% -12.7% -6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.59%
Gross Profit 5Y 35.6% 10.0% 2.5% -3.1% -2.9% 1.9% -0.3% -0.32%
Op. Income 3Y 47.2% -10.1% -6.6% -3.1% -5.8% -11.0% -48.0% -56.5% -30.0% 64.1%
Op. Income 5Y 30.9% -22.6% -30.0% -19.4% 1.8% -9.0% -9.01%
FCF 3Y -52.4% -59.9% -36.1% -41.9% -24.2% 0.4% 75.5%
FCF 5Y -7.2% 0.2% 40.6% 15.5% 12.7% 21.3% 5.1% 5.12%
OCF 3Y -43.9% -46.2% -71.4% -33.9% -38.6% -24.8% -6.9% 27.8%
OCF 5Y -2.4% 0.3% 18.5% 7.5% 6.4% 14.2% 4.0% 4.05%
Assets 3Y -3.9% -3.9% -3.9% -3.9% -8.4% -8.4% -8.4% -8.4% -25.6% -25.6% -25.6% -25.6% -21.8% -21.8% -21.8% -21.80%
Assets 5Y -13.9% -13.9% -13.9% -13.9% -17.9% -17.9% -17.9% -17.87%
Equity 3Y -12.6% -12.6% -12.6% -12.6% -10.1% -10.1% -10.1% -10.1% -48.5% -48.5% -48.5% -48.5% -40.4% -40.4% -40.4% -40.43%
Book Value 3Y -14.9% -15.6% -14.7% -15.5% -11.1% -13.9% -12.0% -12.0% -49.4% -47.9% -53.0% -50.1% -42.3% -42.7% -43.4% -43.41%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.88 0.88 0.85 0.55 0.57 0.44 0.14 0.19 0.32 0.08 0.18 0.19 0.45 0.14 0.01 0.18 0.44 0.26 0.40 0.396
Earnings Stability 0.19 0.32 0.53 0.87 0.67 0.67 0.71 0.89 0.36 0.30 0.76 0.90 0.63 0.60 0.79 0.30 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.118
Margin Stability 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.919
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.92 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.61 0.00 0.10
ROE Trend 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.13 -0.45 -0.49 -0.52 -0.37 0.11 0.17 -0.17 -0.61 -3.91 -4.25 -1.93 0.43 2.00 2.28 1.27 1.265
Gross Margin Trend 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.04 -0.00 -0.03 -0.06 -0.08 -0.03 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.07 -0.02 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.09 0.07 0.068
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.03 0.00 -0.10 -0.18 -0.18 -0.18 -0.15 -0.04 -0.03 -0.04 0.07 0.06 0.13 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.180
Sustainable Growth Rate 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 3.3% 0.2%
Internal Growth Rate 3.0% 2.8% 2.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.68 1.62 1.56 1.67 -0.36 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.03 -0.14 -0.24 -0.01 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.13 -2.12 -3.27 268.10 -4.50 -4.502
FCF/OCF 0.86 0.84 0.80 0.69 0.30 9.16 2.46 3.15 1.80 0.35 0.25 -2.44 0.77 0.71 0.81 0.86 0.77 0.77 0.83 0.85 0.849
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -3.821
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 2.339
CapEx/Revenue 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 4.3% 3.2% 2.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 5.2% 5.7% 4.8% 4.4% 4.43%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.376
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.06 -0.20 -0.21 -0.23 -0.18 -0.05 -0.03 -0.22 -0.46 -0.61 -0.67 -0.38 -0.08 -0.12 -0.13 -0.16 -0.162
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.040
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 6.609
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 16.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 22.5%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 2.6% 2.55%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -0.3% -1.2% -2.8% -4.0% -5.8% -0.8% -0.6% -0.5% -0.7% -1.0% -1.8% -9.8% -8.3% -1.8% -0.6% -0.6% -0.5% -0.3% -0.4% -0.41%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% -0.3% -1.2% -2.8% -4.0% -5.8% -0.8% -0.6% -0.5% -0.7% -1.0% -1.8% -9.8% -8.3% -1.8% -0.6% -0.6% -0.5% -0.3% -0.4% -0.41%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.91 0.95 0.78 0.78 -1.75 1.56 1.52 1.46 1.02 1.55 -1.33 1.28 1.03 1.01 0.96 0.89 1.09 2.12 0.01 -0.94 -0.943
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.78 0.78 0.80 0.76 0.75 1.08 1.07 1.07 1.06 1.68 0.61 1.07 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.96 -6.29 0.82 0.74 0.742
EBIT Margin 0.17 0.16 0.18 0.15 0.15 -0.56 -0.64 -0.77 -0.93 -0.07 0.11 -0.60 -1.54 -1.73 -2.66 -1.44 -0.05 0.01 0.15 0.09 0.093
Asset Turnover 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18 0.23 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.33 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.38 0.47 0.45 0.453
Equity Multiplier 1.57 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.71 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.86 1.86 1.86 1.86 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 4.57 4.57 4.57 4.568
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.17 $1.15 $0.99 $0.83 $-1.85 $-7.89 $-8.31 $-8.89 $-6.82 $-1.39 $-0.61 $-6.76 $-13.86 $-14.05 $-14.83 $-6.53 $-0.60 $-0.43 $0.01 $-0.42 $-0.42
Book Value/Share $24.37 $25.96 $23.26 $26.33 $26.25 $18.09 $17.84 $17.73 $17.68 $17.22 $14.11 $16.65 $16.63 $3.37 $3.29 $2.74 $3.26 $3.48 $3.35 $3.21 $3.52
Tangible Book/Share $-5.50 $-3.07 $-2.75 $-3.11 $-3.10 $-4.76 $-4.69 $-4.66 $-4.65 $-5.19 $-4.25 $-5.02 $-5.01 $-3.76 $-3.67 $-3.06 $-3.64 $-3.42 $-3.30 $-3.16 $-3.16
Revenue/Share $9.68 $9.74 $8.74 $9.58 $9.36 $8.32 $7.94 $7.44 $6.74 $7.30 $7.09 $8.35 $8.55 $7.92 $5.69 $4.93 $5.69 $5.81 $7.03 $6.44 $6.70
FCF/Share $1.69 $1.57 $1.23 $0.95 $0.20 $-0.50 $-0.58 $-0.35 $-0.37 $0.07 $0.04 $-0.10 $0.41 $0.29 $0.56 $0.73 $0.96 $1.08 $1.66 $1.60 $1.66
OCF/Share $1.97 $1.87 $1.55 $1.38 $0.66 $-0.05 $-0.24 $-0.11 $-0.21 $0.20 $0.15 $0.04 $0.53 $0.41 $0.68 $0.85 $1.26 $1.41 $2.00 $1.89 $1.96
Cash/Share $3.76 $4.00 $3.58 $4.05 $4.04 $2.92 $2.88 $2.86 $2.86 $2.73 $2.24 $2.65 $2.64 $3.03 $2.96 $2.46 $2.94 $2.02 $1.95 $1.86 $2.40
EBITDA/Share $2.40 $2.31 $2.23 $2.13 $2.08 $-4.07 $-4.57 $-5.19 $-5.85 $-0.14 $1.03 $-4.70 $-12.93 $-13.41 $-14.88 $-6.90 $-0.02 $0.28 $1.30 $0.81 $0.81
Debt/Share $7.55 $7.29 $6.53 $7.39 $7.37 $7.28 $7.18 $7.13 $7.11 $7.17 $5.87 $6.93 $6.92 $7.05 $6.88 $5.73 $6.82 $5.31 $5.12 $4.91 $4.91
Net Debt/Share $3.79 $3.29 $2.95 $3.34 $3.33 $4.36 $4.30 $4.27 $4.26 $4.43 $3.63 $4.29 $4.28 $4.02 $3.92 $3.27 $3.89 $3.30 $3.18 $3.04 $3.04
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score -0.930
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.030
Piotroski F-Score 7 8 8 7 4 2 2 1 1 4 5 5 4 3 3 3 4 5 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.74 -2.71 -2.59 -2.62 -2.80 -3.27 -3.85 -3.82 -3.43 -2.45 -2.21 -3.21 -4.35 -6.75 -6.35 -5.37 -3.45 -3.17 -2.68 -3.36 -3.362
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.571
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-6.26
EVA snapshot only $-61049539.48
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 66.03 68.74 70.02 47.95 46.32 31.28 32.15 31.63 31.76 32.06 35.55 31.29 28.83 21.01 21.93 23.42 23.79 22.50 43.87 36.07 36.072
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only 12.653
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 26
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 18

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