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CSTL NASDAQ

Castle Biosciences, Inc.
1W: +8.8% 1M: -18.2% 3M: -29.7% YTD: -46.7% 1Y: +24.5% 3Y: -9.4% 5Y: -62.8%
$20.15
-0.39 (-1.90%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±12.7%
$14 $17 $19 $22 $24
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Research · Alpha Radar Strong Sell · Power 28 · $611.1M mcap · 27M float · 1.53% daily turnover · Short 54% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
49.8 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: -12.6%  ·  5Y Avg: -33.4%
Cost Advantage
57
Intangibles
59
Switching Cost
49
Network Effect
48
Scale
28
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CSTL shows a Weak competitive edge (49.8/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. Negative ROIC of -12.6% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$40
Avg Target
$47
High
Based on 7 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 11Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$40.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-04-20 Canaccord Genuity Kyle Mikson $50 $40 -10 +59.7% $25.04
2026-01-29 KeyBanc Paul Knight $36 $50 +14 +27.7% $39.16
2026-01-26 Guggenheim Subbu Nambi $43 $47 +4 +9.1% $43.08
2026-01-12 Lake Street Initiated $52 +29.5% $40.14
2026-01-05 Guggenheim $30 $43 +13 +13.8% $37.77
2025-12-22 Canaccord Genuity $42 $50 +8 +26.8% $39.44
2025-12-12 BTIG Mark Massaro $45 $50 +5 +31.7% $37.97
2025-03-28 Guggenheim Subbu Nambi Initiated $30 +49.3% $20.10
2025-02-28 Robert W. Baird $39 $37 -2 +70.7% $21.68
2024-11-05 BTIG Sung Ji Nam $40 $45 +5 +44.5% $31.15
2024-11-05 Robert W. Baird Catherine Schulte $41 $39 -2 +18.9% $32.80
2024-11-05 KeyBanc Paul Knight Initiated $36 +9.8% $32.80
2024-10-29 Canaccord Genuity Kyle Mikson Initiated $42 +29.6% $32.40
2024-10-14 BTIG Sung Ji Nam $35 $40 +5 +27.8% $31.31
2024-08-06 BTIG Sung Ji Nam Initiated $35 +33.4% $26.24
2022-11-04 Robert W. Baird Catherine Schulte Analyst Initiated $41 +65.9% $24.72

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
3
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CSTL receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-22 B- C+
2026-05-06 C+ B-
2026-02-26 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

30 Grade D
Profitability
20
Balance Sheet
0
Earnings Quality
48
Growth
31
Value
40
Momentum
34
Safety
100
Cash Flow
16
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CSTL scores highest in Safety (100/100) and lowest in Balance Sheet (0/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
4.62
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
Beneish M-Score
-3.10
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-9.37
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A
Score: 70.3/100
Trend: Stable
Earnings Quality
OCF/NI: -3.76x
Accruals: -11.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CSTL scores 4.62, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CSTL scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CSTL's score of -3.10 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CSTL's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CSTL receives an estimated rating of A (score: 70.3/100), with a stable trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-46.93x
PEG
0.47x
P/S
1.80x
P/B
1.31x
P/FCF
162.41x
P/OCF
15.21x
EV/EBITDA
-98.40x
EV/Revenue
1.39x
EV/EBIT
-21.81x
EV/FCF
104.29x
Earnings Yield
-1.75%
FCF Yield
0.62%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. CSTL currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.727
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.817
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.064
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.613
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.198
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-2.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CSTL's ROE of -2.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.613), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
Price/Value
Margin of Safety
Premium
Assessment
Overvalued

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1717 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$20.15
Median 1Y
$15.13
5th Pctile
$4.39
95th Pctile
$53.26
Ann. Volatility
75.1%
Analyst Target
$40.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Derek J. Maetzold
President and CEO
$751,350 $4,977,208 $6,786,771
Frank Stokes Financial
ancial Officer
$522,544 $1,417,918 $2,419,837
Kristen M. Oelschlager
Chief Operating Officer
$529,204 $1,417,918 $2,362,571
Tobin W. Juvenal
Chief Commercial Officer
$529,204 $1,417,918 $2,362,571

CEO Pay Ratio

26:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $6,786,771
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $259,709
Employees: 883

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
883
+16.0% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$389,840
Rev: $344,229,000
Profit / Employee
$-27,359
NI: $-24,158,000
SGA / Employee
$259,709
Avg labor cost proxy
R&D / Employee
$58,720
Innovation spend

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -9.0% -11.9% -7.6% -12.5% -10.8% -12.8% -16.6% -17.7% -21.9% -18.6% -14.5% -7.8% -0.8% 1.5% 4.3% -1.2% -2.2% -2.9% -5.2% -2.8% -2.77%
ROA -8.1% -10.6% -6.9% -11.5% -9.9% -11.7% -14.8% -15.8% -19.5% -16.6% -12.8% -6.8% -0.7% 1.3% 3.7% -1.0% -1.9% -2.5% -4.4% -2.3% -2.31%
ROIC -2.7% -3.8% -35.1% -52.8% -66.4% -74.9% -47.9% -51.5% -49.8% -43.7% -32.8% -20.3% -7.6% -0.3% 3.9% -5.8% -9.6% -14.6% -16.2% -12.6% -12.63%
ROCE -5.1% -7.0% -9.1% -13.8% -12.6% -14.5% -16.8% -17.9% -21.6% -18.3% -14.1% -7.6% -0.9% 2.9% 4.6% -0.3% -2.1% -3.9% -5.8% -4.2% -4.24%
Gross Margin 83.8% 80.8% 81.6% 77.9% 77.9% 76.1% 75.2% 75.8% 77.9% 81.6% 81.2% 81.0% 83.3% 81.8% 81.3% 81.4% 79.5% 77.5% 79.0% 72.2% 72.15%
Operating Margin -38.7% -50.3% -60.6% -91.3% -69.9% -58.2% -59.6% -75.0% -42.2% -15.7% -8.6% -7.5% 5.8% 5.9% 4.7% -31.7% -4.9% -8.2% -4.4% -22.0% -22.00%
Net Margin -38.6% -50.2% -25.7% -91.7% -4.7% -54.7% -53.8% -69.5% -37.5% -11.2% -3.9% -3.5% 10.3% 2.6% 11.1% -29.4% 5.2% -0.6% -2.7% -17.4% -17.35%
EBITDA Margin -35.8% -45.6% -54.7% -83.2% -2.8% -46.8% -46.2% -62.5% -31.3% -6.0% 1.0% 1.2% 13.2% 14.0% 15.9% 4.0% 3.8% 6.3% 1.2% -17.2% -17.22%
FCF Margin -22.6% -22.9% -23.9% -40.7% -39.0% -34.9% -34.5% -35.6% -30.8% -21.8% -8.8% -2.6% 7.0% 11.1% 11.0% 12.0% 10.0% 7.4% 8.2% 1.3% 1.33%
OCF Margin -17.2% -19.3% -20.2% -37.5% -35.7% -31.1% -30.4% -30.0% -24.1% -15.7% -2.6% 5.2% 14.2% 18.9% 19.5% 18.9% 18.0% 18.0% 18.7% 14.2% 14.20%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.90%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -8.44%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -3.32%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -13.78%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -5.25%
Cash ROA snapshot only 8.34%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 23.17%
CROIC snapshot only 2.17%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -7.74%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -5.19%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 15.79%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 69.31%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 10.21%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -81.60 -56.52 -34.70 -22.09 -12.86 -12.96 -9.26 -8.43 -4.13 -6.00 -10.19 -19.77 -201.88 138.03 44.11 -112.99 -63.73 -54.10 -47.23 -57.18 -46.934
P/S Ratio 23.56 19.48 11.54 11.62 5.19 5.55 4.53 3.97 2.19 2.36 2.67 2.43 2.18 2.69 2.42 1.65 1.74 1.93 3.31 2.16 1.798
P/B Ratio 4.43 4.05 2.64 2.77 1.39 1.67 1.56 1.51 0.92 1.14 1.50 1.56 1.60 2.14 1.77 1.26 1.32 1.45 2.42 1.56 1.305
P/FCF -104.47 -84.88 -48.33 -28.57 -13.31 -15.90 -13.14 -11.15 -7.10 -10.84 -30.43 -94.28 31.07 24.28 22.03 13.72 17.47 26.09 40.28 162.41 162.411
P/OCF 46.91 15.35 14.19 12.41 8.72 9.65 10.72 17.73 15.21 15.207
EV/EBITDA -70.75 -46.84 -20.88 -14.92 -5.25 -6.72 -6.45 -5.77 -1.58 -3.28 -7.95 -21.33 42.52 24.35 14.11 7.50 10.33 15.32 66.88 -98.40 -98.395
EV/Revenue 18.31 14.73 8.12 8.35 2.27 2.95 2.75 2.36 0.73 1.08 1.63 1.52 1.38 1.96 1.62 0.88 0.97 1.15 2.55 1.39 1.386
EV/EBIT -66.95 -43.45 -19.11 -13.60 -4.56 -5.75 -5.46 -4.88 -1.37 -2.76 -6.24 -12.43 -106.69 52.54 24.30 -186.79 -33.94 -21.04 -29.83 -21.81 -21.809
EV/FCF -81.20 -64.19 -34.03 -20.52 -5.83 -8.45 -7.96 -6.62 -2.35 -4.97 -18.60 -59.01 19.76 17.68 14.72 7.33 9.74 15.57 31.01 104.29 104.290
Earnings Yield -1.2% -1.8% -2.9% -4.5% -7.8% -7.7% -10.8% -11.9% -24.2% -16.7% -9.8% -5.1% -0.5% 0.7% 2.3% -0.9% -1.6% -1.8% -2.1% -1.7% -1.75%
FCF Yield -1.0% -1.2% -2.1% -3.5% -7.5% -6.3% -7.6% -9.0% -14.1% -9.2% -3.3% -1.1% 3.2% 4.1% 4.5% 7.3% 5.7% 3.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.62%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.469
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.976
EV/OCF snapshot only 9.765
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.799
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 20.58 20.58 14.21 14.21 14.21 14.21 8.09 8.09 8.09 8.09 6.20 6.20 6.20 6.20 7.29 7.29 7.29 7.29 5.26 5.26 5.258
Quick Ratio 20.47 20.47 14.13 14.13 14.13 14.13 7.98 7.98 7.98 7.98 6.04 6.04 6.04 6.04 7.13 7.13 7.13 7.13 5.11 5.11 5.109
Debt/Equity 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.08 0.078
Net Debt/Equity -0.99 -0.99 -0.78 -0.78 -0.78 -0.78 -0.61 -0.61 -0.61 -0.61 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -0.58 -0.59 -0.59 -0.59 -0.59 -0.56 -0.56 -0.558
Debt/Assets 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.064
Debt/EBITDA -0.00 -0.00 -0.22 -0.15 -0.17 -0.15 -0.23 -0.22 -0.17 -0.21 -0.34 -0.86 1.64 0.61 0.69 0.65 0.81 1.02 2.81 -7.71 -7.708
Net Debt/EBITDA 20.28 15.10 8.78 5.86 6.74 5.92 4.20 3.94 3.18 3.87 5.06 12.75 -24.34 -9.08 -7.00 -6.54 -8.19 -10.34 -19.99 54.84 54.836
Interest Coverage -19.40 -74.09 -40011.00 -15054.25 -6879.00 -4534.57 -4052.18 -4088.17 -5220.24 -5797.85 -5214.00 -1459.19 -12.95 23.87 38.37 -2.82 -29.96 -121.98 -342.47 -106.43 -106.429
Equity Multiplier 1.06 1.06 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.23 1.23 1.229
Cash Ratio snapshot only 4.361
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -23.590
Cash to Debt snapshot only 8.114
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.122
Defensive Interval snapshot only 423.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.28 0.31 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.30 0.33 0.37 0.42 0.49 0.56 0.64 0.69 0.67 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.62 0.61 0.613
Inventory Turnover 6.87 8.05 7.47 8.84 10.73 12.78 10.67 12.08 13.20 14.02 7.55 8.17 8.75 9.47 7.49 7.80 8.19 8.57 7.73 8.48 8.478
Receivables Turnover 5.70 6.30 6.26 6.53 7.34 8.24 6.72 7.47 8.22 9.42 7.12 8.12 9.31 10.10 7.42 7.75 7.74 7.67 7.28 7.19 7.186
Payables Turnover 5.99 7.01 6.81 8.07 9.79 11.66 8.80 9.96 10.89 11.56 6.00 6.49 6.95 7.53 7.01 7.30 7.67 8.03 5.55 6.09 6.087
DSO 64 58 58 56 50 44 54 49 44 39 51 45 39 36 49 47 47 48 50 51 50.8 days
DIO 53 45 49 41 34 29 34 30 28 26 48 45 42 39 49 47 45 43 47 43 43.1 days
DPO 61 52 54 45 37 31 41 37 34 32 61 56 52 48 52 50 48 45 66 60 60.0 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 56 51 54 52 46 42 47 42 39 33 39 33 28 26 46 44 44 45 32 34 33.9 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.029
Operating Cycle snapshot only 93.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 1.135
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.702
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 24.9% 37.1% 50.2% 44.2% 41.1% 43.3% 45.7% 55.1% 52.0% 55.2% 60.4% 64.7% 71.7% 62.4% 51.1% 38.4% 20.4% 10.1% 3.7% -2.1% -2.06%
Net Income -4.2% -7.9% -2.0% -2.4% -97.3% -78.0% -1.1% -38.9% -99.7% -42.6% 14.4% 57.1% 96.5% 1.1% 1.3% 83.5% -2.1% -3.0% -2.3% -1.5% -1.53%
EPS -3.2% -6.0% -1.5% -2.3% -89.9% -71.0% -1.1% -32.7% -94.7% -39.8% 16.8% 58.4% 96.8% 1.1% 1.3% 84.2% -2.0% -3.0% -2.4% -1.4% -1.42%
FCF -2.1% -2.9% -5.4% -27.9% -1.4% -1.2% -1.1% -35.9% -20.2% 3.1% 59.3% 88.1% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 7.5% 71.6% -26.5% -22.5% -89.2% -89.18%
EBITDA -2.8% -184.2% -4.2% -3.4% -1.4% -1.0% -59.4% -13.5% -61.5% -16.7% 22.8% 71.3% 1.1% 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 2.5% 2.8% -65.6% -1.1% -1.12%
Op. Income -3.7% -30.1% -5.1% -4.1% -2.8% -2.1% -1.3% -66.2% -27.9% 0.5% 27.1% 58.2% 83.8% 98.8% 1.1% 67.1% -46.3% -32.7% -5.9% -1.4% -1.41%
OCF Growth snapshot only -26.51%
Asset Growth snapshot only 8.91%
Equity Growth snapshot only 3.30%
Debt Growth snapshot only 40.12%
Shares Change snapshot only 4.47%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.0% 61.7% 45.1% 38.9% 45.0% 51.9% 54.5% 54.4% 53.4% 52.3% 52.4% 46.5% 40.5% 35.9% 30.7% 30.71%
Revenue 5Y 84.0% 59.3% 47.4% 40.8% 40.4% 40.6% 37.9% 37.95%
EPS 3Y
EPS 5Y -12.8% 7.3%
Net Income 3Y
Net Income 5Y 0.8% 18.2%
EBITDA 3Y
EBITDA 5Y 29.0% 30.6% 28.9% 24.4% 1.8%
Gross Profit 3Y 94.8% 54.1% 38.4% 33.1% 40.6% 48.9% 51.8% 52.6% 52.2% 51.4% 53.0% 47.5% 41.6% 37.5% 31.2% 31.21%
Gross Profit 5Y 81.2% 56.8% 45.4% 38.9% 38.5% 38.8% 35.3% 35.33%
Op. Income 3Y
Op. Income 5Y 4.2%
FCF 3Y
FCF 5Y 1.3% 50.5% 60.0% 17.0% 19.8% 40.8% 24.9% 24.94%
OCF 3Y 26.0%
OCF 5Y 1.4% 65.4% 67.4% 27.6% 33.1% 45.5% 49.4% 49.39%
Assets 3Y 1.7% 55.2% 55.2% 55.2% 55.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 9.0% 9.0% 8.95%
Assets 5Y 82.5% 34.7% 34.7% 34.7% 34.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.66%
Equity 3Y 67.4% 67.4% 67.4% 67.4% -2.0% -2.0% -2.0% -2.0% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 5.7% 5.7% 5.66%
Book Value 3Y 48.9% 48.9% 45.5% 51.6% -10.3% -5.2% -6.3% -6.8% -2.4% -0.5% -0.8% 0.1% 2.0% 1.6% 1.64%
Dividend 3Y
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.96 1.00 0.98 0.96 0.98 0.99 0.95 0.93 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.940
Earnings Stability 0.93 1.00 0.98 0.99 0.97 0.97 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.89 0.47 0.13 0.14 0.04 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.158
Margin Stability 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.956
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.50 0.83 0.94 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness
ROE Trend -0.11 -0.16 -0.12 -0.07 -0.12 -0.10 -0.14 -0.09 -0.02 0.07 0.16 0.17 0.20 0.12 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.02 0.018
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.03 -0.00 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 -0.00 -0.01 -0.04 -0.042
FCF Margin Trend -0.33 -0.35 -0.46 -0.40 -0.32 -0.27 -0.16 -0.00 0.07 0.20 0.36 0.42 0.39 0.33 0.31 0.22 0.13 0.07 -0.03 -0.034
Sustainable Growth Rate 1.5% 4.3%
Internal Growth Rate 1.4% 3.8%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.60 0.56 0.61 0.71 0.88 0.73 0.62 0.64 0.46 0.40 0.10 -0.42 -13.15 9.73 3.56 -12.95 -6.60 -5.05 -2.66 -3.76 -3.760
FCF/OCF 1.31 1.19 1.18 1.09 1.09 1.12 1.14 1.19 1.28 1.38 3.42 -0.50 0.49 0.58 0.56 0.64 0.55 0.41 0.44 0.09 0.094
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.352
CapEx/Revenue 5.3% 3.7% 3.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.8% 4.1% 5.6% 6.7% 6.0% 6.2% 7.8% 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 6.9% 8.1% 10.6% 10.5% 12.9% 12.87%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 2.611
Accruals Ratio -0.03 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.06 -0.06 -0.11 -0.10 -0.12 -0.10 -0.10 -0.12 -0.09 -0.14 -0.15 -0.15 -0.16 -0.11 -0.110
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.063
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.103
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0%
Div. Increase Streak
Chowder Number
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield -14.2% -14.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.3% -0.34%
Total Shareholder Return -14.2% -14.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.3% -0.34%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 0.78 0.86 0.81 0.83 0.97 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.77 0.55 0.85 2.29 0.92 0.65 0.82 0.73 0.727
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.05 1.01 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.08 0.96 0.97 1.35 1.03 1.01 1.00 0.82 0.817
EBIT Margin -0.27 -0.34 -0.43 -0.61 -0.50 -0.51 -0.50 -0.48 -0.53 -0.39 -0.26 -0.12 -0.01 0.04 0.07 -0.00 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.06 -0.064
Asset Turnover 0.28 0.31 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.30 0.33 0.37 0.42 0.49 0.56 0.64 0.69 0.67 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.62 0.61 0.613
Equity Multiplier 1.12 1.12 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.16 1.20 1.20 1.198
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.90 $-1.18 $-1.24 $-2.03 $-1.71 $-2.01 $-2.54 $-2.70 $-3.32 $-2.81 $-2.12 $-1.12 $-0.11 $0.21 $0.60 $-0.18 $-0.32 $-0.42 $-0.82 $-0.43 $-0.43
Book Value/Share $16.57 $16.44 $16.26 $16.19 $15.80 $15.65 $15.12 $15.00 $14.93 $14.87 $14.41 $14.24 $13.62 $13.31 $15.09 $15.93 $15.43 $15.68 $16.05 $15.75 $15.44
Tangible Book/Share $16.57 $16.44 $12.74 $12.70 $12.39 $12.27 $10.33 $10.25 $10.20 $10.17 $10.09 $9.97 $9.53 $9.32 $11.58 $12.22 $11.83 $12.03 $12.66 $12.42 $12.42
Revenue/Share $3.11 $3.41 $3.71 $3.86 $4.23 $4.70 $5.19 $5.72 $6.27 $7.16 $8.10 $9.12 $10.01 $10.61 $11.00 $12.13 $11.72 $11.82 $11.74 $11.37 $11.37
FCF/Share $-0.70 $-0.78 $-0.89 $-1.57 $-1.65 $-1.64 $-1.79 $-2.04 $-1.93 $-1.56 $-0.71 $-0.23 $0.70 $1.17 $1.21 $1.46 $1.17 $0.87 $0.97 $0.15 $0.15
OCF/Share $-0.54 $-0.66 $-0.75 $-1.45 $-1.51 $-1.46 $-1.58 $-1.72 $-1.51 $-1.13 $-0.21 $0.47 $1.42 $2.01 $2.15 $2.30 $2.12 $2.13 $2.19 $1.61 $1.61
Cash/Share $16.33 $16.21 $13.01 $12.97 $12.65 $12.53 $9.80 $9.72 $9.67 $9.64 $8.96 $8.84 $8.46 $8.27 $9.71 $10.25 $9.92 $10.08 $10.21 $10.02 $8.76
EBITDA/Share $-0.81 $-1.07 $-1.45 $-2.16 $-1.83 $-2.06 $-2.21 $-2.34 $-2.88 $-2.36 $-1.66 $-0.65 $0.33 $0.85 $1.26 $1.43 $1.10 $0.89 $0.45 $-0.16 $-0.16
Debt/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.32 $0.32 $0.31 $0.31 $0.51 $0.50 $0.50 $0.50 $0.56 $0.56 $0.53 $0.52 $0.87 $0.92 $0.89 $0.91 $1.26 $1.24 $1.24
Net Debt/Share $-16.33 $-16.21 $-12.69 $-12.64 $-12.33 $-12.21 $-9.29 $-9.22 $-9.17 $-9.14 $-8.39 $-8.29 $-7.93 $-7.75 $-8.83 $-9.33 $-9.03 $-9.18 $-8.95 $-8.79 $-8.79
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 4.617
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 8.956
Piotroski F-Score 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 7 5 6 4 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.25 -2.44 10.74 10.67 10.86 10.80 -2.16 -2.18 -2.45 -2.35 -2.43 -2.32 -2.33 -2.52 -2.62 -2.87 -2.85 -2.85 -3.36 -3.10 -3.096
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -9.374
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -5.34%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $8.48
EVA snapshot only $-47126410.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A
Credit Score 65.48 65.43 59.21 60.44 60.73 61.72 63.18 62.04 62.72 63.10 63.35 67.96 70.15 95.94 96.32 71.20 70.99 70.15 68.94 70.35 70.349
Credit Grade snapshot only 6
Credit Trend snapshot only -0.854
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 150.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 65
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 67

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