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CVLG NYSE

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
1W: +9.6% 1M: +20.6% 3M: +27.0% YTD: +67.6% 1Y: +62.5% 3Y: +102.8% 5Y: +227.6%
$37.41
+0.04 (+0.11%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±7.5%
$29 $32 $34 $37 $39
NYSE · Industrials · Trucking · Alpha Radar Strong Buy · Power 66 · $941.1M mcap · 15M float · 1.06% daily turnover · Short 62% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
40.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 3.1%  ·  5Y Avg: 25.7%
Cost Advantage
49
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
52
Network Effect
24
Scale
50
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CVLG shows a Weak competitive edge (40.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 3.1% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 4Hold: 5Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
May 22, 2026
DCF
1
ROE
2
ROA
3
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CVLG receives an overall rating of C+. Areas of concern: DCF (1/5), ROE (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-07 C C+
2026-04-27 C+ C
2026-04-01 C C+
2026-03-04 C+ C
2026-03-02 C C+
2026-02-02 B- C
2026-01-03 B B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

41 Grade C
Profitability
6
Balance Sheet
64
Earnings Quality
64
Growth
26
Value
44
Momentum
59
Safety
50
Cash Flow
61
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CVLG scores highest in Earnings Quality (64/100) and lowest in Profitability (6/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.13
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Beneish M-Score
-1.36
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.86
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB
Score: 42.3/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 23.11x
Accruals: -10.8%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CVLG scores 2.13, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CVLG scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CVLG's score of -1.36 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CVLG's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CVLG receives an estimated rating of BB (score: 42.3/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CVLG's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
184.13x
PEG
-2.10x
P/S
0.78x
P/B
2.30x
P/FCF
5.13x
P/OCF
6.09x
EV/EBITDA
7.05x
EV/Revenue
0.63x
EV/EBIT
59.09x
EV/FCF
5.44x
Earnings Yield
0.71%
FCF Yield
19.48%
Shareholder Yield
1.12%
Graham Number
$8.14
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 184.1x earnings, CVLG is priced for high growth expectations. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $8.14 per share, 359% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
1.629
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.243
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.011
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
1.147
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.488
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
1.2%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CVLG's ROE of 1.2% is driven by Asset Turnover (1.147), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 1.63 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$1.64
Price/Value
16.57x
Margin of Safety
-1556.85%
Premium
1556.85%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CVLG's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. CVLG trades at a 1557% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $1.64, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 184.1x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$37.44
Median 1Y
$40.57
5th Pctile
$18.83
95th Pctile
$87.53
Ann. Volatility
49.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
David R. Parker,
CEO and Chairman of the Board
$753,021 $— $1,794,678
M. Paul Bunn,
President
$654,901 $1,000,001 $1,668,646
Tripp Grant,
EVP and CFO
$425,069 $500,001 $941,998
Dustin Koehl,
EVP and COO
$425,006 $450,005 $878,919
Joey Ballard,
EVP and CPSO
$360,069 $400,010 $802,007

CEO Pay Ratio

79:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $1,794,678
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $22,608
Employees: 2,900

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
2,900
-6.5% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$401,542
Rev: $1,164,472,000
Profit / Employee
$2,496
NI: $7,239,000
SGA / Employee
$22,608
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 2.6% 5.4% 19.0% 22.4% 25.3% 35.9% 29.9% 28.4% 25.0% 14.8% 14.2% 10.9% 10.9% 10.8% 8.5% 9.1% 8.6% 7.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1.21%
ROA 1.1% 2.2% 9.1% 10.8% 12.2% 17.3% 15.0% 14.2% 12.6% 7.4% 6.3% 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 3.7% 3.9% 3.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.49%
ROIC 8.1% 10.5% 11.9% 14.4% 15.9% 23.2% 18.7% 17.7% 15.6% 8.7% 6.4% 5.1% 5.5% 5.6% 5.0% 5.3% 4.8% 3.9% 3.6% 3.1% 3.14%
ROCE 13.0% 15.8% 16.1% 19.5% 21.9% 30.4% 22.8% 21.7% 19.1% 11.9% 10.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 7.3% 7.7% 7.2% 6.2% 2.0% 1.4% 1.45%
Gross Margin 14.8% 14.5% 13.6% 15.7% 16.5% 15.7% 13.1% 14.6% 13.9% 15.2% 15.7% 16.5% 12.0% 15.7% 16.9% 15.6% 16.1% 14.3% 12.5% 8.4% 8.41%
Operating Margin 7.2% 7.3% 6.2% 8.2% 8.5% 18.9% 3.7% 6.6% 4.3% 5.2% 5.2% 1.6% 5.7% 5.6% 3.1% 2.8% 3.8% 2.7% -2.3% 2.2% 2.16%
Net Margin 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 7.6% 7.7% 16.2% 3.9% 6.2% 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 1.4% 4.2% 4.5% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.1% -6.2% 1.4% 1.44%
EBITDA Margin 13.9% 13.4% 12.2% 15.1% 15.1% 25.9% 10.3% 14.3% 13.2% 13.4% 13.6% 10.4% 14.5% 14.4% 12.1% 12.3% 12.9% 11.6% 1.3% 10.0% 9.96%
FCF Margin 1.3% 5.5% 3.6% 5.6% 5.7% 4.2% 4.8% 1.6% -3.2% -5.3% -12.0% -13.5% -12.5% -9.2% -2.7% -1.1% 0.1% -2.7% 9.8% 11.6% 11.63%
OCF Margin 8.0% 10.9% 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 10.4% 13.1% 10.7% 8.2% 8.1% 7.7% 8.9% 10.3% 11.8% 10.9% 11.2% 11.0% 9.6% 9.8% 9.8% 9.80%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.87%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 13.69%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.93%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.87%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.95%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.72%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 26.38%
CROIC snapshot only 31.33%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 1.16%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 0.26%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 8.50%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.21%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 40.35 26.07 7.11 4.86 4.73 3.61 4.39 4.65 6.40 10.90 11.23 14.80 15.85 17.30 20.98 15.97 18.33 18.26 76.15 140.83 184.128
P/S Ratio 0.37 0.46 0.41 0.31 0.32 0.34 0.39 0.40 0.51 0.52 0.56 0.56 0.60 0.64 0.67 0.55 0.58 0.51 0.47 0.60 0.783
P/B Ratio 1.17 1.55 1.23 1.00 1.09 1.19 1.27 1.27 1.54 1.56 1.54 1.56 1.67 1.80 1.72 1.40 1.51 1.34 1.36 1.78 2.302
P/FCF 28.15 8.35 11.38 5.54 5.70 8.11 8.13 25.16 -15.61 -9.80 -4.67 -4.19 -4.78 -6.97 -25.06 -51.23 414.41 -19.30 4.85 5.13 5.132
P/OCF 4.64 4.25 5.90 3.38 3.30 3.29 3.00 3.77 6.14 6.45 7.31 6.35 5.77 5.47 6.13 4.88 5.28 5.35 4.85 6.09 6.093
EV/EBITDA 3.50 3.92 3.66 2.72 2.72 2.30 2.89 2.99 3.73 4.87 6.07 6.53 6.57 6.80 6.95 5.84 6.28 6.06 5.38 7.05 7.053
EV/Revenue 0.48 0.57 0.48 0.37 0.38 0.40 0.48 0.50 0.60 0.62 0.83 0.83 0.85 0.90 0.90 0.78 0.81 0.74 0.51 0.63 0.632
EV/EBIT 6.26 6.46 6.07 4.18 4.03 3.11 4.03 4.25 5.68 9.19 11.36 14.25 14.36 15.21 17.06 13.94 15.65 16.89 33.64 59.09 59.091
EV/FCF 36.73 10.26 13.12 6.58 6.68 9.40 10.02 30.98 -18.58 -11.65 -6.86 -6.12 -6.84 -9.76 -33.75 -73.00 577.80 -27.87 5.22 5.44 5.436
Earnings Yield 2.5% 3.8% 14.1% 20.6% 21.1% 27.7% 22.8% 21.5% 15.6% 9.2% 8.9% 6.8% 6.3% 5.8% 4.8% 6.3% 5.5% 5.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.71%
FCF Yield 3.6% 12.0% 8.8% 18.1% 17.5% 12.3% 12.3% 4.0% -6.4% -10.2% -21.4% -23.9% -20.9% -14.3% -4.0% -2.0% 0.2% -5.2% 20.6% 19.5% 19.48%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 3.293
EV/OCF snapshot only 6.453
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 4.939
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 39.330
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.12%
Graham Number snapshot only $8.14
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.11 1.11 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.09 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.11 1.11 1.109
Quick Ratio 1.08 1.08 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.11 1.11 1.109
Debt/Equity 0.38 0.38 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.84 0.84 0.838
Net Debt/Equity 0.36 0.36 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.10 0.10 0.105
Debt/Assets 0.16 0.16 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.308
Debt/EBITDA 0.88 0.79 0.55 0.49 0.45 0.36 0.88 0.91 0.97 1.25 1.95 2.08 2.00 1.96 2.03 1.98 2.02 2.12 3.07 3.14 3.143
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.82 0.73 0.48 0.43 0.40 0.32 0.55 0.56 0.60 0.77 1.94 2.06 1.98 1.95 1.79 1.74 1.77 1.86 0.38 0.39 0.393
Interest Coverage 16.39 27.74 29.36 38.07 41.84 53.79 47.32 42.10 26.22 11.96 10.07 6.14 5.50 5.24 4.38 4.80 5.02 4.18 1.46 0.98 0.983
Equity Multiplier 2.33 2.33 1.86 1.86 1.86 1.86 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.37 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.28 2.72 2.72 2.719
Cash Ratio snapshot only 1.411
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 8.237
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.875
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.413
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1274.5 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.17 1.25 1.57 1.68 1.77 1.83 1.68 1.65 1.59 1.55 1.26 1.27 1.29 1.29 1.16 1.15 1.17 1.17 1.11 1.15 1.147
Inventory Turnover 214.11 228.80 279.02 295.92 310.38 319.11 301.47 296.22 287.69 282.41 224.62 225.77 229.88 229.40 182.73 181.73 181.93 184.17 352.17 371.24 371.243
Receivables Turnover 10.59 11.33 8.95 9.56 10.08 10.40 9.28 9.10 8.76 8.59 8.42 8.51 8.61 8.60 7.96 7.90 8.01 8.07 7.94 8.19 8.194
Payables Turnover 30.65 32.75 29.18 30.95 32.46 33.37 32.31 31.75 30.84 30.27 28.02 28.16 28.68 28.62 29.46 29.30 29.34 29.70 25.69 27.08 27.084
DSO 34 32 41 38 36 35 39 40 42 42 43 43 42 42 46 46 46 45 46 45 44.5 days
DIO 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1.0 days
DPO 12 11 13 12 11 11 11 11 12 12 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 14 13 13.5 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 24 23 30 28 26 25 29 30 31 32 32 32 31 31 35 36 35 35 33 32 32.0 days
Operating Cycle snapshot only 45.5 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 4.058
Capital Intensity snapshot only 0.914
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 6.4% 15.4% 24.7% 31.6% 29.0% 24.4% 16.3% 6.8% -2.5% -7.4% -9.3% -6.4% -1.7% 0.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 2.9% 7.1% 7.15%
Net Income 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 8.6% 5.6% 79.0% 43.7% 12.4% -53.1% -49.2% -58.7% -53.3% -22.1% -35.0% -9.5% -14.9% -23.3% -79.8% -86.8% -86.77%
EPS 1.3% 2.1% 2.4% 3.5% 9.4% 6.6% 1.1% 73.7% 30.5% -48.9% -47.3% -58.5% -54.2% -23.4% -36.1% -10.4% -14.6% -21.5% -77.5% -86.0% -86.04%
FCF 1.3% 3.3% 2.2% 3.7% 4.6% -5.4% 54.9% -69.7% -1.6% -2.2% -3.3% -8.9% -2.8% -73.8% 77.4% 92.0% 1.0% 70.8% 4.8% 12.7% 12.65%
EBITDA 1.5% 1.7% 93.2% 86.1% 30.5% 47.6% 49.7% 29.6% 12.8% -31.3% -26.2% -28.5% -20.9% 4.2% -2.8% 6.4% 0.3% -6.3% -24.4% -28.2% -28.19%
Op. Income 2.6% 3.9% 5.8% 40.0% 96.9% 1.2% 79.7% 42.2% 11.6% -56.7% -51.3% -60.2% -49.5% -7.6% -22.5% 7.4% -12.2% -30.3% -55.4% -60.5% -60.47%
OCF Growth snapshot only -6.54%
Asset Growth snapshot only 10.10%
Equity Growth snapshot only -7.83%
Debt Growth snapshot only 14.08%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.18%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 13.67%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 6.7% 6.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.3% 9.2% 10.8% 10.4% 10.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.5% 7.3% 4.9% 2.7% 0.2% -1.2% -1.9% -1.5% 0.3% 0.28%
Revenue 5Y 5.6% 7.3% 9.3% 10.7% 11.7% 11.9% 11.5% 10.6% 8.8% 6.6% 4.5% 3.7% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 7.2% 7.22%
EPS 3Y -48.9% -36.9% 16.0% 23.1% 35.2% 81.5% 1.6% 3.2% 84.0% 43.6% -10.4% -13.6% -20.0% -32.5% -57.7% -62.7% -62.71%
EPS 5Y -20.8% -5.0% 31.2% 43.4% 54.0% 62.3% 20.2% 18.0% 12.6% -0.6% 11.9% 6.1% 8.1% 18.5% 41.5% 93.7%
Net Income 3Y -50.3% -38.7% 12.6% 19.1% 27.9% 69.0% 1.3% 2.8% 71.7% 34.3% -16.1% -18.7% -23.5% -34.6% -59.5% -63.3% -63.31%
Net Income 5Y -21.9% -6.4% 29.3% 40.8% 49.4% 55.5% 14.2% 11.5% 5.9% -6.5% 5.4% 0.0% 1.9% 12.0% 33.5% 83.9%
EBITDA 3Y 3.0% 4.2% 0.2% 3.3% 6.6% 20.1% 26.1% 30.3% 54.3% 40.6% 28.8% 19.9% 5.2% 1.9% 2.4% -0.5% -3.7% -12.4% -18.4% -18.3% -18.28%
EBITDA 5Y 0.9% 4.1% 5.5% 8.8% 10.8% 15.8% 15.1% 13.3% 10.0% 2.8% 2.2% 0.4% 1.6% 4.4% 7.5% 11.0% 23.9% 22.1% 9.4% 5.6% 5.65%
Gross Profit 3Y 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 3.1% 6.8% 12.8% 17.7% 17.0% 17.3% 14.1% 14.4% 14.9% 9.2% 6.8% 5.4% 1.0% 0.9% -1.3% -3.0% -4.9% -4.95%
Gross Profit 5Y 2.4% 5.1% 8.7% 12.0% 14.7% 15.1% 14.9% 12.5% 7.5% 4.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 5.3% 8.6% 8.5% 12.3% 10.8% 9.2% 6.4% 6.38%
Op. Income 3Y 0.6% 4.3% 4.4% 11.6% 19.1% 54.6% 96.0% 1.3% 3.5% -4.3% -12.1% -15.3% -20.9% -34.6% -44.8% -44.7% -44.73%
Op. Income 5Y -3.4% 5.6% 15.7% 25.1% 31.2% 37.0% 32.9% 27.3% 17.5% 1.5% -0.1% -4.7% -1.0% 8.1% 23.2% 39.8%
FCF 3Y 21.1% -1.3% -8.6% 56.7% -71.2% 24.6% 94.3% 94.30%
FCF 5Y 59.7% 59.71%
OCF 3Y -9.7% -4.4% -16.3% 1.9% 10.6% 26.0% 35.5% 35.3% 13.6% 22.8% 10.4% 9.2% 16.9% 7.7% 18.8% 6.9% 2.7% -4.4% -10.6% -2.5% -2.50%
OCF 5Y -4.7% 3.6% -6.5% 4.8% 6.6% 8.7% 14.0% 7.4% -0.9% -5.6% -7.4% 0.4% 6.3% 16.1% 13.9% 19.7% 14.2% 17.5% 12.5% 9.1% 9.11%
Assets 3Y 1.4% 1.4% -5.6% -5.6% -5.6% -5.6% -3.3% -3.3% -3.3% -3.3% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 12.1% 15.2% 15.2% 15.2% 15.2% 11.3% 11.3% 11.30%
Assets 5Y 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 10.2% 10.2% 10.17%
Equity 3Y -0.5% -0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 11.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 2.3% 2.3% 2.32%
Book Value 3Y 2.2% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 6.4% 8.1% 12.3% 12.0% 10.7% 10.8% 20.2% 19.8% 19.5% 19.2% 15.1% 14.7% 12.8% 11.2% 6.8% 4.0% 4.00%
Dividend 3Y 80.3% 47.7% 29.1% 19.0% 14.8% 11.1% 9.1% 6.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.2% 12.0% 6.1% 6.07%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.66 0.80 0.76 0.69 0.74 0.81 0.86 0.87 0.87 0.77 0.62 0.55 0.55 0.57 0.60 0.56 0.54 0.48 0.52 0.64 0.639
Earnings Stability 0.17 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.05 0.24 0.21 0.29 0.23 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.10 0.02 0.00 0.000
Margin Stability 0.88 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.90 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.93 0.92 0.89 0.92 0.94 0.92 0.919
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.95 0.50 0.80 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.86 0.96 0.94 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.64 0.88 0.28 0.35 0.17 0.27 0.75 0.58 0.90 0.84 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend 0.01 0.05 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.32 0.27 0.22 0.11 -0.05 -0.09 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.13 -0.10 -0.09 -0.05 -0.09 -0.08 -0.084
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.02 -0.024
FCF Margin Trend 0.06 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.03 0.05 -0.02 -0.07 -0.10 -0.16 -0.17 -0.14 -0.09 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.05 0.17 0.19 0.189
Sustainable Growth Rate 2.6% 5.4% 19.0% 22.1% 24.6% 34.9% 28.7% 27.1% 23.6% 13.3% 12.7% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.2% 7.7% 7.0% 6.0% 0.0% -0.5% -0.47%
Internal Growth Rate 1.1% 2.3% 10.1% 11.9% 13.5% 20.2% 16.8% 15.7% 13.4% 7.2% 6.0% 4.4% 4.4% 4.3% 3.2% 3.4% 3.1% 2.7% 0.0%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 8.70 6.13 1.21 1.44 1.43 1.10 1.47 1.23 1.04 1.69 1.54 2.33 2.74 3.16 3.42 3.27 3.47 3.42 15.70 23.11 23.112
FCF/OCF 0.16 0.51 0.52 0.61 0.58 0.41 0.37 0.15 -0.39 -0.66 -1.56 -1.52 -1.21 -0.78 -0.24 -0.10 0.01 -0.28 1.00 1.19 1.187
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 27.440
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.093
CapEx/Revenue 6.7% 5.3% 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 6.2% 8.3% 9.1% 11.5% 13.4% 19.7% 22.4% 22.8% 21.0% 13.5% 12.3% 10.9% 12.3% 0.0% 1.8% 1.83%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.232
Accruals Ratio -0.08 -0.11 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.02 -0.07 -0.03 -0.01 -0.05 -0.03 -0.06 -0.08 -0.10 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.10 -0.11 -0.108
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.100
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 4.045
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.75%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.03 $0.06 $0.11 $0.15 $0.17 $0.19 $0.20 $0.21 $0.21 $0.21 $0.21 $0.21 $0.22 $0.24 $0.25 $0.29 $0.27 $0.28
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 5.7% 10.1% 10.5% 13.5% 13.6% 13.8% 16.1% 16.1% 18.1% 21.3% 98.9% 1.4% 1.39%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 3.0% 6.2% 7.3% 24.7% 4.1% 6.3% 5.0% 5.05%
Total Payout Ratio 99.6% 59.7% 17.0% 25.2% 58.6% 64.5% 81.9% 92.5% 79.2% 83.0% 56.5% 24.4% 13.7% 13.9% 16.1% 16.1% 18.1% 24.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.58%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number 3.50 1.57 0.71 0.36 0.23 0.12 0.07 0.01 0.09 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.15 0.147
Buyback Yield 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 4.9% 11.9% 17.1% 17.7% 18.9% 11.5% 6.7% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.14%
Net Buyback Yield 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 4.9% 11.9% 17.1% 17.7% 18.9% 11.5% 6.7% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.13%
Total Shareholder Return 2.5% 2.3% 2.4% 5.2% 12.4% 17.9% 18.6% 19.9% 12.4% 7.6% 5.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 1.11%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.16 0.26 0.77 0.74 0.74 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.79 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.84 1.29 1.63 1.629
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.73 0.79 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.96 0.92 0.90 0.84 0.82 0.81 0.77 0.79 0.80 0.76 0.32 0.24 0.243
EBIT Margin 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.011
Asset Turnover 1.17 1.25 1.57 1.68 1.77 1.83 1.68 1.65 1.59 1.55 1.26 1.27 1.29 1.29 1.16 1.15 1.17 1.17 1.11 1.15 1.147
Equity Multiplier 2.43 2.43 2.07 2.07 2.07 2.07 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.32 2.49 2.49 2.488
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.25 $0.51 $1.79 $2.14 $2.57 $3.86 $3.83 $3.72 $3.35 $1.97 $2.01 $1.54 $1.54 $1.51 $1.29 $1.38 $1.31 $1.19 $0.29 $0.19 $0.19
Book Value/Share $8.54 $8.56 $10.30 $10.43 $11.09 $11.74 $13.27 $13.59 $13.89 $13.78 $14.71 $14.62 $14.58 $14.51 $15.71 $15.72 $15.90 $16.14 $16.15 $15.28 $16.25
Tangible Book/Share $6.57 $6.59 $8.45 $8.55 $9.10 $9.63 $9.53 $9.76 $9.97 $9.90 $8.32 $8.26 $8.24 $8.20 $9.65 $9.66 $9.77 $9.92 $8.71 $8.24 $8.24
Revenue/Share $26.83 $28.78 $30.81 $33.30 $37.36 $40.79 $42.83 $42.95 $42.31 $41.15 $40.25 $40.42 $40.81 $40.58 $40.55 $40.25 $41.26 $42.22 $46.56 $45.48 $47.93
FCF/Share $0.35 $1.59 $1.12 $1.88 $2.13 $1.72 $2.07 $0.69 $-1.37 $-2.19 $-4.84 $-5.45 $-5.09 $-3.75 $-1.08 $-0.43 $0.06 $-1.12 $4.54 $5.29 $5.58
OCF/Share $2.15 $3.13 $2.16 $3.07 $3.68 $4.23 $5.60 $4.58 $3.49 $3.33 $3.09 $3.60 $4.21 $4.78 $4.40 $4.52 $4.55 $4.05 $4.54 $4.46 $4.70
Cash/Share $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.25 $0.27 $0.28 $2.42 $2.47 $2.53 $2.51 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $0.08 $1.28 $1.28 $1.29 $1.31 $11.85 $11.21 $9.78
EBITDA/Share $3.71 $4.17 $4.00 $4.54 $5.22 $7.01 $7.16 $7.11 $6.84 $5.25 $5.48 $5.11 $5.31 $5.38 $5.23 $5.38 $5.34 $5.16 $4.41 $4.08 $4.08
Debt/Share $3.28 $3.29 $2.19 $2.21 $2.36 $2.49 $6.32 $6.47 $6.62 $6.57 $10.70 $10.63 $10.61 $10.56 $10.64 $10.65 $10.77 $10.93 $13.54 $12.81 $12.81
Net Debt/Share $3.03 $3.04 $1.94 $1.96 $2.09 $2.21 $3.91 $4.00 $4.09 $4.06 $10.62 $10.55 $10.53 $10.47 $9.36 $9.37 $9.48 $9.62 $1.70 $1.60 $1.60
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 2.133
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.126
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 4 5 7 5 7 6 5 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.64 -2.73 -2.18 -2.42 -2.46 -2.30 -2.87 -2.75 -2.52 -2.77 -2.36 -2.53 -2.35 -2.59 -2.99 -2.83 -3.18 -2.83 -1.78 -1.36 -1.362
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.864
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 56.31%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-17.46
EVA snapshot only $-30633392.71
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB
Credit Score 73.08 77.90 89.00 88.87 92.22 96.41 84.58 80.58 76.91 71.83 63.72 57.29 58.44 59.04 54.17 51.82 54.92 48.63 45.71 42.35 42.346
Credit Grade snapshot only 12
Credit Trend snapshot only -9.474
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 475.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 25
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 31

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms