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Not Investment Advice

CXW NYSE

CoreCivic, Inc.
1W: -0.6% 1M: +3.5% 3M: +26.2% YTD: +11.0% 1Y: -6.4% 3Y: +137.8% 5Y: +169.7%
$21.50
+0.38 (+1.80%)
After Hours: $21.75 (+0.25, +1.16%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.6%
$18 $19 $21 $22 $24
NYSE · Real Estate · REIT - Specialty · Alpha Radar Buy · Power 63 · $2.1B mcap · 95M float · 1.20% daily turnover · Short 50% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.0 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 9.0%  ·  5Y Avg: 4.2%
Cost Advantage ★
48
Intangibles
31
Switching Cost
35
Network Effect
39
Scale
40
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. CXW has No discernible competitive edge (38.0/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 9.0% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 10Hold: 2Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2024-06-11 Northland Securities Greg Gibas Initiated $17 +48.3% $11.46
2024-06-11 Wedbush Jay McCanless Initiated $14 -5.3% $14.79

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
May 22, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
4
ROA
4
D/E
2
P/E
2
P/B
2
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. CXW receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROE (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: D/E (2/5), P/E (2/5), P/B (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-05-14 A- B+
2026-05-11 B+ A-
2026-05-08 B B+
2026-05-06 B+ B
2026-05-04 A- B+
2026-04-24 B+ A-
2026-04-22 A- B+
2026-04-13 B+ A-
2026-04-08 A- B+
2026-04-01 B+ A-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

44 Grade B
Profitability
29
Balance Sheet
53
Earnings Quality
79
Growth
72
Value
70
Momentum
97
Safety
30
Cash Flow
26
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. CXW scores highest in Momentum (97/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (26/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.64
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
8/9
Beneish M-Score
-1.87
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.23
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 55.2/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.27x
Accruals: -1.1%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. CXW scores 1.64, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. CXW scores 8/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. CXW's score of -1.87 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. CXW's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. CXW receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 55.2/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). CXW's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
17.24x
PEG
0.28x
P/S
0.91x
P/B
1.60x
P/FCF
75.31x
P/OCF
12.00x
EV/EBITDA
8.23x
EV/Revenue
1.32x
EV/EBIT
12.70x
EV/FCF
117.75x
Earnings Yield
6.58%
FCF Yield
1.33%
Shareholder Yield
11.88%
Graham Number
$19.44
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 17.2x earnings, CXW trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 6.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $19.44 per share, 11% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.729
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.733
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.104
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.755
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.135
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
8.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. CXW's ROE of 8.9% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.755), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Adj. Growth Rate
7.46%
Fair P/E
23.41x
Intrinsic Value
$29.11
Price/Value
0.65x
Margin of Safety
35.04%
Premium
-35.04%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with CXW's realized 7.5% 3-year EPS CAGR — what the company actually delivered, not what analysts hope for. At an intrinsic value of $29.11, CXW appears undervalued with a 35% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 23.4x compares to the current market P/E of 17.2x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$21.50
Median 1Y
$19.61
5th Pctile
$8.63
95th Pctile
$44.49
Ann. Volatility
50.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Executive Compensation

C-suite compensation breakdown including salary, stock awards, options, and incentive pay. The CEO-to-employee pay ratio and Gini coefficient measure pay distribution fairness.

C-Suite Compensation

ExecutiveSalaryStockTotal
Hininger
$1,110,000 $3,000,011 $7,203,173
Swindle
$695,999 $1,299,999 $3,488,419
Grande
$603,268 $1,404,986 $3,321,232
Garfinkle
$593,250 $1,404,986 $3,293,765
Mayberry
$591,653 $1,379,999 $3,196,487

CEO Pay Ratio

601:1
CEO-to-Employee Pay Ratio
CEO Total Comp: $7,471,923
Avg Employee Cost (SGA/emp): $12,423
Employees: 13,651

C-Suite Pay Equality (Gini)

CEO Compensation Mix

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
13,651
+17.2% YoY
Revenue / Employee
$161,979
Rev: $2,211,182,000
Profit / Employee
$8,534
NI: $116,503,000
SGA / Employee
$12,423
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE -8.0% -7.7% -3.8% 6.7% 6.3% 9.1% 8.7% 8.3% 8.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.2% 4.6% 5.7% 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 8.9% 8.92%
ROA -2.9% -2.8% -1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 4.18%
ROIC -39.6% -22.0% -4.4% 6.5% 6.0% 5.1% 4.9% 4.6% 4.5% 3.5% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.8% 5.9% 5.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.99%
ROCE 2.7% 3.1% 5.5% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 9.0% 8.6% 8.7% 6.0% 6.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.2% 6.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 8.4% 8.38%
Gross Margin 21.0% 21.0% 22.3% 16.9% 16.5% 13.8% 18.6% 15.8% 15.1% 22.0% 18.4% 24.5% 16.8% 24.6% 23.1% 23.3% 26.0% 22.5% 22.2% 18.5% 18.49%
Operating Margin 13.8% 13.7% 14.2% 10.0% 9.6% 7.3% 11.2% 8.7% 8.1% 0.0% 10.9% 10.9% 9.9% 9.6% 8.0% 9.7% 12.0% 14.7% 14.8% 11.4% 11.39%
Net Margin 3.4% 6.4% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 14.7% 5.2% 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 5.4% 1.9% 3.9% 4.3% 4.0% 5.1% 7.2% 4.5% 4.4% 6.2% 6.17%
EBITDA Margin 17.1% 19.8% 20.5% 17.8% 15.0% 31.3% 17.8% 15.4% 14.9% 14.5% 17.6% 11.9% 15.7% 16.0% 15.2% 15.9% 17.8% 14.9% 14.6% 16.8% 16.81%
FCF Margin 10.1% 15.1% 9.8% 9.9% 10.5% 1.0% 3.9% 3.6% 6.0% 9.1% 8.5% 7.2% 8.6% 9.0% 10.1% 8.1% 8.5% 5.4% 2.4% 1.1% 1.12%
OCF Margin 14.2% 19.2% 14.1% 14.0% 14.9% 5.3% 8.3% 7.9% 10.0% 13.1% 12.2% 11.0% 12.4% 12.8% 13.7% 12.5% 13.6% 11.2% 8.8% 7.0% 7.01%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.41%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 6.81%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.98%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 4.33%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 8.76%
Cash ROA snapshot only 5.03%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 6.52%
CROIC snapshot only 1.04%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 9.67%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 7.59%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 7.58%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.62%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio -11.61 -10.18 -23.11 14.56 14.88 8.25 10.99 9.18 8.94 19.63 24.68 27.08 20.92 18.46 35.03 26.54 22.11 20.34 17.06 15.21 17.241
P/S Ratio 0.69 0.58 0.64 0.73 0.70 0.56 0.73 0.57 0.58 0.69 0.88 0.90 0.73 0.71 1.23 1.15 1.15 1.06 0.90 0.84 0.914
P/B Ratio 0.92 0.78 0.87 0.98 0.95 0.76 0.94 0.74 0.75 0.90 1.13 1.19 0.97 0.95 1.62 1.50 1.54 1.49 1.41 1.40 1.597
P/FCF 6.78 3.86 6.58 7.30 6.73 56.25 18.62 15.85 9.64 7.56 10.32 12.59 8.49 7.92 12.19 14.18 13.47 19.67 36.82 75.31 75.306
P/OCF 4.85 3.03 4.56 5.16 4.74 10.67 8.75 7.29 5.79 5.25 7.19 8.25 5.89 5.57 8.96 9.21 8.46 9.48 10.21 12.00 11.999
EV/EBITDA 13.37 12.13 8.38 7.81 7.93 6.20 6.83 6.24 6.26 8.60 9.30 9.97 8.63 8.27 11.54 10.29 9.87 9.39 8.89 8.23 8.226
EV/Revenue 1.68 1.58 1.39 1.47 1.45 1.31 1.40 1.24 1.24 1.35 1.45 1.46 1.28 1.26 1.69 1.61 1.60 1.50 1.40 1.32 1.316
EV/EBIT 33.65 27.98 14.86 12.66 13.00 9.29 10.31 9.53 9.53 15.16 16.31 18.11 15.39 14.40 20.82 17.57 16.10 15.17 14.11 12.70 12.701
EV/FCF 16.61 10.44 14.19 14.81 13.88 131.43 35.76 34.31 20.77 14.84 17.03 20.38 14.88 14.04 16.76 19.91 18.77 27.69 57.36 117.75 117.748
Earnings Yield -8.6% -9.8% -4.3% 6.9% 6.7% 12.1% 9.1% 10.9% 11.2% 5.1% 4.1% 3.7% 4.8% 5.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 6.6% 6.58%
FCF Yield 14.7% 25.9% 15.2% 13.7% 14.9% 1.8% 5.4% 6.3% 10.4% 13.2% 9.7% 7.9% 11.8% 12.6% 8.2% 7.1% 7.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.3% 1.33%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.285
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.408
EV/OCF snapshot only 18.762
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 5.931
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 9.916
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 11.88%
Graham Number snapshot only $19.44
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.29 2.29 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.66 1.66 1.657
Quick Ratio 2.29 2.29 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.66 1.66 1.657
Debt/Equity 1.41 1.41 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.23 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.87 0.87 0.869
Net Debt/Equity 1.33 1.33 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.79 0.79 0.789
Debt/Assets 0.53 0.53 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.37 0.37 0.375
Debt/EBITDA 8.39 8.11 5.46 4.82 4.97 4.31 3.67 3.77 3.76 4.73 4.08 4.24 4.12 4.01 3.52 3.31 3.12 3.04 3.50 3.27 3.266
Net Debt/EBITDA 7.91 7.65 4.49 3.96 4.09 3.55 3.27 3.36 3.36 4.22 3.67 3.81 3.71 3.60 3.15 2.96 2.79 2.72 3.18 2.96 2.965
Interest Coverage 1.11 1.24 2.69 3.24 3.17 3.99 2.95 2.97 3.12 2.22 2.31 2.16 2.30 2.49 2.36 2.80 3.35 3.43 3.53 3.74 3.743
Equity Multiplier 2.67 2.67 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.27 2.27 2.27 2.27 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.10 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 2.32 2.32 2.318
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.305
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 5.779
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.092
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.021
Defensive Interval snapshot only 978.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.69 0.71 0.76 0.755
Inventory Turnover
Receivables Turnover 6.79 6.80 6.77 6.76 6.73 6.71 6.20 6.22 6.24 6.31 6.07 6.21 6.29 6.32 6.53 6.49 6.65 6.94 6.02 6.36 6.360
Payables Turnover 17.33 17.64 16.34 16.83 16.99 17.31 17.08 17.18 17.32 17.07 19.26 19.17 19.34 19.26 21.06 21.01 20.88 21.97 7.95 8.54 8.538
DSO 54 54 54 54 54 54 59 59 58 58 60 59 58 58 56 56 55 53 61 57 57.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 21 21 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 21 19 19 19 19 17 17 17 17 46 43 42.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 33 33 32 32 33 33 38 37 37 36 41 40 39 39 39 39 37 36 15 15 14.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.096
Cash Velocity snapshot only 20.786
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.393
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue -5.5% -3.4% -2.2% -0.4% -0.4% -1.0% -0.9% -0.6% 0.2% 1.7% 2.8% 4.8% 5.8% 5.2% 3.4% 0.5% 1.6% 5.7% 12.7% 19.9% 19.89%
Net Income -1.8% -1.9% -2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 24.9% 36.9% -47.9% -44.7% -44.1% -42.6% 16.0% 1.9% 30.4% 51.1% 43.6% 69.2% 53.1% 53.14%
EPS -1.8% -1.9% -2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 30.6% 41.0% -46.6% -44.0% -42.5% -41.1% 19.6% 5.4% 32.6% 53.5% 46.0% 80.5% 62.7% 62.66%
FCF -19.8% 19.2% -32.9% -40.5% 2.9% -93.4% -60.4% -63.7% -42.6% 8.2% 1.2% 1.1% 52.6% 4.2% 22.5% 13.5% 0.7% -36.3% -72.7% -83.5% -83.48%
EBITDA -40.0% -34.1% 4.4% 48.7% 44.9% 61.5% 22.5% 5.2% 8.7% -25.0% -21.7% -22.7% -20.6% 2.6% -2.9% 7.4% 11.0% 10.6% 21.2% 22.2% 22.22%
Op. Income -42.6% -26.4% 24.2% 1.2% 63.1% 23.0% -12.9% -29.2% -25.6% -31.5% -25.6% -14.6% -4.6% 56.6% 43.8% 24.5% 26.4% 15.8% 52.7% 71.2% 71.16%
OCF Growth snapshot only -32.64%
Asset Growth snapshot only 11.08%
Equity Growth snapshot only -5.90%
Debt Growth snapshot only 20.52%
Shares Change snapshot only -5.85%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -61.21%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% -0.3% -1.2% -2.1% -2.3% -2.4% -1.9% -0.9% -0.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.5% 4.2% 6.2% 8.1% 8.10%
Revenue 5Y 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% -0.2% -0.4% 0.3% 1.6% 3.0% 4.6% 4.57%
EPS 3Y -18.9% -20.9% -12.1% -12.8% -11.0% -4.3% -17.4% 9.6% -0.1% 8.5% -2.3% 2.1% 7.5% 7.46%
EPS 5Y -16.5% -16.0% -8.4% -6.9% -6.5% -4.8% -15.6% -15.2% -16.7% -16.3% -15.4% -17.1% -11.7% -4.5% -0.3% 20.1%
Net Income 3Y -18.4% -21.4% -12.5% -13.5% -12.3% -6.2% -18.9% 7.7% -3.1% 5.9% -4.6% -1.6% 3.8% 3.77%
Net Income 5Y -16.2% -16.2% -8.6% -7.2% -6.9% -5.5% -16.3% -15.7% -17.6% -17.5% -16.6% -18.3% -13.2% -6.5% -2.3% 16.6%
EBITDA 3Y -16.1% -15.6% -8.6% -5.6% -7.2% -3.0% -3.9% -4.0% -1.9% -7.2% 0.0% 6.5% 7.7% 7.5% -2.4% -4.4% -1.4% -5.2% -2.7% 0.5% 0.49%
EBITDA 5Y -11.9% -11.8% -7.8% -5.3% -5.2% -1.6% -1.5% -1.6% -1.4% -6.1% -6.1% -7.3% -7.2% -6.8% -7.6% -6.0% -3.6% -1.9% 3.3% 9.7% 9.68%
Gross Profit 3Y -2.6% -4.3% -6.6% -11.0% -13.6% -17.1% -18.4% -18.2% -17.5% -12.6% -12.1% -7.5% -5.1% -2.5% 1.0% 4.2% 10.9% 15.5% 19.5% 20.0% 20.04%
Gross Profit 5Y -3.1% -4.5% -5.9% -7.9% -8.4% -9.5% -10.1% -10.0% -10.3% -8.0% -8.2% -6.2% -6.2% -5.9% -4.8% -4.9% -1.5% -0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.05%
Op. Income 3Y -18.2% -14.9% -6.8% -3.0% -6.9% -12.1% -14.5% -13.9% -11.4% -14.7% -7.0% 9.7% 5.0% 9.7% -2.3% -9.0% -3.6% 7.5% 17.8% 22.1% 22.08%
Op. Income 5Y -13.2% -11.4% -7.4% -4.3% -5.2% -7.2% -7.5% -7.4% -7.8% -12.3% -12.1% -11.2% -10.6% -6.2% -7.7% -7.5% -3.4% 2.4% 12.1% 23.0% 22.99%
FCF 3Y -10.1% 2.7% -3.2% 8.3% 17.4% -49.4% -23.5% -27.2% -22.1% -10.3% -15.9% -23.5% -3.4% -14.3% 2.8% -5.1% -4.1% 82.9% -9.2% -27.0% -26.97%
FCF 5Y -7.1% -0.6% -8.3% -6.1% -5.4% -40.9% -23.1% -24.8% -15.6% -8.1% -4.3% -0.8% 7.2% 4.4% 4.2% -1.9% -6.2% -13.7% -27.6% -39.1% -39.06%
OCF 3Y -8.3% -0.3% -6.6% -3.7% -3.5% -34.3% -24.3% -25.5% -20.0% -9.6% -13.3% -17.6% -2.5% -11.0% 0.7% -2.4% -0.4% 34.0% 8.2% 4.0% 4.00%
OCF 5Y -7.9% -2.0% -6.9% -5.5% -4.4% -22.1% -14.8% -16.5% -11.6% -7.5% -6.4% -6.2% -4.4% -5.9% -5.4% -7.1% -5.6% -6.7% -11.4% -15.5% -15.47%
Assets 3Y 4.3% 4.3% -1.4% -1.4% -1.4% -1.4% -5.1% -5.1% -5.1% -5.1% -5.8% -5.8% -5.8% -5.8% -5.7% -5.7% -5.7% -5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.12%
Assets 5Y 2.0% 2.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -0.2% -3.2% -3.2% -3.2% -3.2% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -5.0% -2.6% -2.6% -2.57%
Equity 3Y -1.4% -1.4% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% -1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% -0.6% -0.6% -0.64%
Book Value 3Y -2.4% -2.3% -1.4% -1.5% -0.5% -0.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 3.2% 3.9% 4.3% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 6.0% 5.4% 5.4% 3.1% 2.9% 2.89%
Dividend 3Y -80.4% -75.1% -71.4% -68.0% 3.6% -29.0% -28.7% -55.3% -57.3% -46.1% -46.2% -47.9% 4.5% 4.5% 4.0% 85.1% -29.1% -29.1% -28.2% -24.5% -24.48%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.30 0.20 0.09 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.39 0.50 0.57 0.568
Earnings Stability 0.59 0.63 0.77 0.44 0.45 0.34 0.37 0.15 0.13 0.20 0.22 0.07 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.04 0.07 0.28 0.47 0.467
Margin Stability 0.93 0.91 0.89 0.85 0.84 0.81 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.81 0.80 0.82 0.81 0.83 0.828
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.82 0.83 0.94 0.99 0.88 0.50 0.83 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.78 0.69 0.37 0.42 0.43 0.46 0.85 0.98 0.74 0.59 0.64 0.49 0.58 0.580
ROE Trend -0.20 -0.19 -0.13 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.04 0.02 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.042
Gross Margin Trend -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.07 -0.07 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.06 -0.03 -0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.012
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.05 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.13 -0.08 -0.10 -0.04 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.01 -0.04 -0.07 -0.07 -0.065
Sustainable Growth Rate 6.6% 6.2% 9.1% 8.7% 8.2% 8.5% 4.7% 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.2% 4.6% 5.7% 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 8.9% 8.92%
Internal Growth Rate 2.6% 2.4% 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 3.7% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.4% 4.36%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income -2.40 -3.36 -5.07 2.82 3.14 0.77 1.26 1.26 1.54 3.74 3.43 3.28 3.55 3.32 3.91 2.88 2.61 2.14 1.67 1.27 1.267
FCF/OCF 0.71 0.79 0.69 0.71 0.70 0.19 0.47 0.46 0.60 0.69 0.70 0.66 0.69 0.70 0.74 0.65 0.63 0.48 0.28 0.16 0.159
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.202
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.438
CapEx/Revenue 4.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.1% 4.4% 4.3% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 4.0% 3.7% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 5.8% 6.4% 5.9% 5.89%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.046
Accruals Ratio -0.10 -0.12 -0.09 -0.05 -0.05 0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.05 -0.06 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.011
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.017
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.189
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.01 $0.02 $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.01 $0.01 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 1.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.03%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.17%
Total Payout Ratio 7.5% 48.0% 63.5% 66.0% 90.5% 58.6% 48.0% 63.9% 96.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 93.4% 98.0% 1.3% 2.0% 1.8% 1.81%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number -0.99 -0.98 -0.97 -0.97 0.10 -0.65 -0.65 -0.91 -0.93 -0.85 -0.85 -0.87 0.04 0.04 0.04 4.80 -0.67 -0.67 -0.67 -0.61 -0.612
Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 3.1% 7.6% 5.9% 9.8% 6.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 5.7% 5.8% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 6.4% 11.5% 11.9% 11.87%
Net Buyback Yield 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 3.1% 7.6% 5.9% 9.8% 6.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 5.7% 5.8% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 6.4% 11.5% 11.9% 11.87%
Total Shareholder Return 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 3.2% 7.7% 6.0% 9.9% 6.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 5.7% 5.8% 3.2% 3.5% 4.4% 6.4% 11.5% 11.9% 11.88%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) -9.49 -4.61 -0.60 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.72 0.73 0.72 0.71 0.77 0.74 0.73 0.75 0.73 0.74 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.729
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.12 0.22 0.49 0.57 0.56 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.55 0.57 0.54 0.57 0.60 0.58 0.64 0.70 0.71 0.72 0.73 0.733
EBIT Margin 0.05 0.06 0.09 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.104
Asset Turnover 0.50 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.51 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.65 0.65 0.66 0.69 0.71 0.76 0.755
Equity Multiplier 2.71 2.71 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.61 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.18 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.14 2.14 2.135
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.90 $-0.87 $-0.43 $0.77 $0.75 $1.07 $1.05 $1.00 $1.05 $0.57 $0.59 $0.58 $0.62 $0.69 $0.62 $0.76 $0.95 $1.00 $1.12 $1.24 $1.24
Book Value/Share $11.39 $11.39 $11.41 $11.36 $11.69 $11.69 $12.32 $12.41 $12.57 $12.52 $12.87 $13.16 $13.32 $13.31 $13.46 $13.52 $13.68 $13.68 $13.51 $13.51 $13.52
Tangible Book/Share $11.25 $11.25 $11.30 $11.25 $11.58 $11.57 $12.21 $12.30 $12.46 $12.41 $12.77 $13.05 $13.21 $13.21 $13.35 $13.41 $13.57 $13.57 $13.43 $13.43 $13.43
Revenue/Share $15.25 $15.27 $15.49 $15.41 $15.79 $15.72 $15.87 $16.02 $16.30 $16.40 $16.52 $17.27 $17.72 $17.78 $17.68 $17.65 $18.30 $19.11 $21.26 $22.48 $22.65
FCF/Share $1.54 $2.31 $1.52 $1.53 $1.65 $0.16 $0.62 $0.58 $0.98 $1.49 $1.41 $1.24 $1.53 $1.60 $1.78 $1.43 $1.56 $1.03 $0.52 $0.25 $0.25
OCF/Share $2.16 $2.93 $2.19 $2.16 $2.35 $0.83 $1.32 $1.26 $1.62 $2.14 $2.02 $1.89 $2.20 $2.27 $2.43 $2.20 $2.49 $2.15 $1.87 $1.58 $1.59
Cash/Share $0.93 $0.93 $2.49 $2.48 $2.55 $2.55 $1.29 $1.29 $1.31 $1.31 $1.06 $1.08 $1.10 $1.10 $0.97 $0.97 $0.98 $0.98 $1.08 $1.08 $2.03
EBITDA/Share $1.92 $1.98 $2.57 $2.90 $2.89 $3.33 $3.25 $3.19 $3.24 $2.56 $2.58 $2.54 $2.64 $2.71 $2.59 $2.77 $2.98 $3.05 $3.35 $3.59 $3.59
Debt/Share $16.10 $16.10 $14.03 $13.97 $14.38 $14.37 $11.93 $12.01 $12.17 $12.12 $10.52 $10.75 $10.88 $10.88 $9.13 $9.17 $9.28 $9.28 $11.74 $11.74 $11.74
Net Debt/Share $15.17 $15.17 $11.54 $11.49 $11.82 $11.81 $10.65 $10.72 $10.86 $10.82 $9.46 $9.67 $9.78 $9.78 $8.16 $8.20 $8.29 $8.29 $10.66 $10.66 $10.66
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score 1.636
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.979
Piotroski F-Score 3 3 4 5 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 7 6 7 6 8 8 8
Beneish M-Score -2.98 -3.06 -2.82 -2.38 -2.55 -2.12 -2.31 -2.40 -2.44 -2.86 -2.74 -2.90 -2.80 -2.85 -2.96 -2.75 -2.99 -2.63 -2.04 -1.87 -1.875
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.233
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 10.20%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-11.93
EVA snapshot only $-25325176.88
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 29.64 31.48 37.46 45.46 44.50 41.59 39.77 39.91 45.45 40.63 49.34 50.05 49.66 51.02 51.80 51.15 61.87 62.07 52.48 55.22 55.216
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 4.064
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 63
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 71

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